Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.0%, FCF Yield is 7.4%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -42%
Key risks
INCY key risks include [1] significant revenue concentration on its lead drug Jakafi ahead of its 2028 patent expiration and [2] a challenging history of setbacks and failures in its clinical development pipeline.
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -20%
  
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 26%
  
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%
  
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%
  
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.0%, FCF Yield is 7.4%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -20%
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 26%
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
6 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -42%
7 Key risks
INCY key risks include [1] significant revenue concentration on its lead drug Jakafi ahead of its 2028 patent expiration and [2] a challenging history of setbacks and failures in its clinical development pipeline.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Incyte (INCY) stock has lost about 15% since 11/30/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Incyte reported an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.80 for the fourth quarter of 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.94 and analysts' expectations of $1.83 by 1.64%.

2. The company experienced significant clinical trial setbacks with its KRAS G12D inhibitors in early March 2026. A Phase 1 solid tumor study for INCB161734 was placed on clinical hold by four European Union member states due to a Grade 5 pneumonitis (death) in a participant, along with three other confirmed or suspected pneumonitis cases. Concurrently, a study for another KRAS G12D inhibitor, INCB186748, ceased recruitment after enrolling only 10% of its target.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -13.1% change in INCY stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/20/2026 was primarily driven by a -19.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)113020253202026Change
Stock Price ($)104.4690.78-13.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4,8135,1416.8%
Net Income Margin (%)24.7%25.0%1.3%
P/E Multiple17.213.9-19.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)196197-0.9%
Cumulative Contribution-13.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

11/30/2025 to 3/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
INCY-13.1% 
Market (SPY)-4.8%40.1%
Sector (XLV)-7.8%59.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 7.3% change in INCY stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 31.8% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)83120253202026Change
Stock Price ($)84.6190.787.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4,5855,14112.1%
Net Income Margin (%)19.0%25.0%31.8%
P/E Multiple18.813.9-26.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)194197-1.7%
Cumulative Contribution7.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 3/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
INCY7.3% 
Market (SPY)1.1%31.6%
Sector (XLV)6.2%48.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 23.5% change in INCY stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 3154.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)22820253202026Change
Stock Price ($)73.5090.7823.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4,2415,14121.2%
Net Income Margin (%)0.8%25.0%3154.4%
P/E Multiple435.313.9-96.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)193197-2.2%
Cumulative Contribution23.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2025 to 3/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
INCY23.5% 
Market (SPY)10.4%35.2%
Sector (XLV)-1.1%46.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 17.9% change in INCY stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 149.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)22820233202026Change
Stock Price ($)76.9890.7817.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,3955,14151.5%
Net Income Margin (%)10.0%25.0%149.4%
P/E Multiple50.313.9-72.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)22319712.8%
Cumulative Contribution17.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2023 to 3/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
INCY17.9% 
Market (SPY)70.3%27.9%
Sector (XLV)19.6%41.2%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
INCY Return-16%9%-22%10%43%-6%7%
Peers Return26%13%-7%1%15%8%68%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-3%76%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
INCY Win Rate50%67%58%58%75%67% 
Peers Win Rate55%52%40%53%53%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%33% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
INCY Max Drawdown-27%-10%-35%-18%-20%-7% 
Peers Max Drawdown-7%-13%-22%-16%-15%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-3% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: BMY, GILD, AMGN, REGN, PFE. See INCY Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/20/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventINCYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-48.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven92.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven735 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-27.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven38.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven16 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-61.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven161.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-83.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven505.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven365 days1,480 days

Compare to BMY, GILD, AMGN, REGN, PFE

In The Past

Incyte's stock fell -48.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/25/2021. A -48.1% loss requires a 92.7% gain to breakeven.

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About Incyte (INCY)

Incyte Corporation, a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the discovery, development, and commercialization of proprietary therapeutics in the United States and internationally. The company offers JAKAFI, a drug for the treatment of myelofibrosis and polycythemia vera; PEMAZYRE, a fibroblast growth factor receptor kinase inhibitor that act as oncogenic drivers in various liquid and solid tumor types; and ICLUSIG, a kinase inhibitor to treat chronic myeloid leukemia and philadelphia-chromosome positive acute lymphoblastic leukemia. Its clinical stage products include ruxolitinib, a steroid-refractory chronic graft-versus-host-diseases (GVHD); itacitinib, which is in Phase II/III clinical trial to treat naïve chronic GVHD; and pemigatinib for treating bladder cancer, cholangiocarcinoma, myeloproliferative syndrome, and tumor agnostic. In addition, the company engages in developing Parsaclisib, which is in Phase II clinical trial for follicular lymphoma, marginal zone lymphoma, and mantel cell lymphoma. Additionally, it develops Retifanlimab that is in Phase II clinical trials for MSI-high endometrial cancer, merkel cell carcinoma, and anal cancer, as well as in Phase II clinical trials for patients with non-small cell lung cancer. It has collaboration agreements with Novartis International Pharmaceutical Ltd.; Eli Lilly and Company; Agenus Inc.; Calithera Biosciences, Inc; MacroGenics, Inc.; Merus N.V.; Syros Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; Innovent Biologics, Inc.; Zai Lab Limited; Cellenkos, Inc.; and Nimble Therapeutics, as well as clinical collaborations with MorphoSys AG and Xencor, Inc. to investigate the combination of tafasitamab, plamotamab, and lenalidomide in patients with relapsed or refractory diffuse large B-cell lymphoma, and relapsed or refractory follicular lymphoma. The company was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in Wilmington, Delaware.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are a few analogies for Incyte:

  • Like a more specialized Bristol Myers Squibb (BMS), focusing on innovative therapies for certain cancers and immune disorders.
  • Gilead Sciences, but with its primary focus on developing advanced treatments for blood cancers and autoimmune conditions rather than antivirals.
  • Think of a focused Amgen, specifically targeting difficult-to-treat cancers and inflammatory conditions with its proprietary drugs.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Incyte's major products are proprietary therapeutic drugs:

  • JAKAFI: A drug used for the treatment of myelofibrosis and polycythemia vera.
  • PEMAZYRE: A fibroblast growth factor receptor kinase inhibitor acting as an oncogenic driver in various liquid and solid tumor types.
  • ICLUSIG: A kinase inhibitor used to treat chronic myeloid leukemia and Philadelphia-chromosome positive acute lymphoblastic leukemia.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Incyte (symbol: INCY) is a biopharmaceutical company that develops and commercializes proprietary therapeutics, which are prescription drugs. As such, it sells primarily to other companies within the healthcare supply chain, rather than directly to individual patients. These customers typically include:

  • Pharmaceutical wholesale distributors
  • Retail and mail-order pharmacies
  • Hospitals and clinics

However, the provided background information does not identify specific major customer companies by name that purchase Incyte's commercialized products (e.g., JAKAFI, PEMAZYRE, ICLUSIG) for distribution or direct patient use. The companies listed in the background are primarily collaboration partners for research, development, and co-commercialization efforts, not direct customers for Incyte's currently marketed drugs.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Novartis International Pharmaceutical Ltd. (NVS)
  • Eli Lilly and Company (LLY)
  • Agenus Inc. (AGEN)
  • Calithera Biosciences, Inc
  • MacroGenics, Inc. (MGNX)
  • Merus N.V. (MRUS)
  • Syros Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (SYRS)
  • Innovent Biologics, Inc. (1801.HK)
  • Zai Lab Limited (ZLAB)
  • Cellenkos, Inc.
  • Nimble Therapeutics
  • MorphoSys AG (MOR)
  • Xencor, Inc. (XNCR)

AI Analysis | Feedback

Bill Meury, President and Chief Executive Officer

Bill Meury joined Incyte in 2025 as President and Chief Executive Officer and a member of the Board of Directors. He has over three decades of industry experience in organizational strategy, pipeline and commercial execution, and capital allocation. Before Incyte, Mr. Meury was CEO of Anthos Therapeutics, which was acquired by Novartis for $925 million. Prior to Anthos, he served as President and CEO of Karuna Therapeutics, leading its transition into a fully integrated R&D and commercial organization, which later merged with Bristol Myers Squibb in a $14 billion deal. He also served as a Partner at Hildred Capital Management, a private equity firm focused on healthcare. Earlier in his career, he spent more than two decades at Allergan, serving as Chief Commercial Officer, overseeing a global business with $16 billion in revenue and approximately 8,000 employees, until its acquisition by AbbVie.

Thomas Tray, Principal Financial Officer

Thomas Tray was appointed as Incyte's Principal Financial Officer, effective September 16, 2025. He previously served as the Vice President, Finance and Chief Accounting Officer. Mr. Tray joined Incyte Corporation in June 2005 as Manager of External Reporting and has held roles of increasing responsibility since then. He holds a Bachelor of Science in Accounting from Mount Saint Mary's University and an Executive MBA in Pharmaceutical Marketing from Saint Joseph's University.

Pablo J. Cagnoni, M.D., President, Head of Research & Development

Dr. Pablo J. Cagnoni joined Incyte in 2023 as President, Head of Research & Development. In this role, he oversees Incyte's research and development efforts across its portfolio in Hematology, Oncology, and Inflammation and Autoimmunity. Prior to Incyte, Dr. Cagnoni served as CEO of Laronde and held leadership roles at Rubius Therapeutics, Tizona Therapeutics, Onyx Pharmaceuticals, and Novartis Oncology.

Steven H. Stein, M.D., Executive Vice President and Chief Medical Officer

Dr. Steven Stein joined Incyte in 2015 and currently serves as Executive Vice President and Chief Medical Officer. As CMO, he is responsible for clinical development, clinical operations, pharmacovigilance, statistics and data management, and regulatory affairs. Before joining Incyte, he worked at Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation, most recently as Senior Vice President, U.S. Clinical Development & Medical Affairs for Novartis Oncology.

Richard Hoffman, Executive Vice President and General Counsel

Richard Hoffman joined Incyte in December 2025 as Executive Vice President and General Counsel. He leads the Company's global legal and compliance functions and has over 20 years of experience advising and supporting biopharmaceutical and life science companies.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key risks to Incyte's business:

  1. Jakafi Patent Cliff: Incyte faces a significant risk due to the upcoming patent expiration of its flagship drug, Jakafi (ruxolitinib). Jakafi is a major revenue driver, accounting for a substantial portion of the company's total net product revenue, with some reports indicating it generated almost $4 billion yearly. The generic launch date for Jakafi in the U.S. is estimated around March 22, 2029, with its patents expiring before 2030. Analysts project a dramatic revenue decline, potentially over 50% in the first year, as generic versions enter the market. Incyte is actively planning for a "post-Jakafi era" to manage this loss of exclusivity.

  2. Pipeline Dependence and Clinical Development Risk: To mitigate the impact of the Jakafi patent expiration, Incyte is heavily reliant on the successful development and commercialization of its pipeline products. The company is investing significantly in its late-stage pipeline, with multiple anticipated product launches. However, pipeline execution carries inherent risks, as evidenced by past clinical trial setbacks. The failure of key candidates to achieve regulatory approval or market uptake could severely impact Incyte's ability to offset the revenue decline from Jakafi.

  3. Intense Competition and Regulatory/Pricing Pressures: Incyte operates in the highly competitive biopharmaceutical industry, where it constantly faces the threat of new entrants and existing competitors introducing alternative therapies that could diminish demand for its products. Additionally, the company is subject to stringent regulatory requirements for drug approval and commercialization. There is also an ongoing risk from political and legislative changes, such as efforts to negotiate lower drug prices, which could adversely affect the pricing and profitability of Incyte's products, including Jakafi.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Incyte (NASDAQ: INCY) offers a range of proprietary therapeutics with the following addressable market sizes for its main products:

  • JAKAFI (ruxolitinib):
    • For Myelofibrosis: The global myelofibrosis treatment market was valued at approximately USD 2.2 billion in 2024, with projections to increase to USD 5.638 billion in 2034 across the 7 major markets (US, EU4, UK, and Japan). The US alone represented nearly USD 1,700 million of this market in 2024.
    • For Polycythemia Vera: The market size for Polycythemia Vera in the 7 major markets (7MM: United States, EU4, UK, and Japan) was approximately USD 1.90 billion in 2024 and is projected to increase during the forecast period (2025-2034). The United States market for Polycythemia Vera was approximately USD 1.44 billion in 2024. The global Polycythemia Vera treatment market was valued at USD 8 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 14.8 billion by 2035.
  • PEMAZYRE (pemigatinib):
    • For Cholangiocarcinoma: The global cholangiocarcinoma therapeutics market was estimated at USD 1.2 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach approximately USD 2.2 billion by 2030. Another report indicates the global market size was USD 583.65 million in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 2.42 billion by 2035. North America is anticipated to hold the largest share of this market, with about 35% by 2035.
  • ICLUSIG:
    • For Chronic Myeloid Leukemia and Philadelphia-chromosome positive acute lymphoblastic leukemia: The 7 major chronic myeloid leukemia market was valued at USD 5.7 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 8.9 billion by 2035. The global chronic myeloid leukemia treatment market was valued at USD 8.6 billion in 2023 and is anticipated to reach USD 14.3 billion by 2033. North America held a strong lead with over 42% market share in 2023.
  • ruxolitinib for steroid-refractory chronic graft-versus-host-diseases (GVHD) and itacitinib for naïve chronic GVHD: Null
  • pemigatinib for bladder cancer, myeloproliferative syndrome, and tumor agnostic: Null
  • Parsaclisib:
    • For Follicular Lymphoma: The follicular lymphoma market size in the 7 major markets (7MM) is expected to grow from USD 1,702 million in 2025 to USD 3,081 million in 2036. The United States accounted for the largest market share in the 7MM, with approximately USD 1,000 million in 2024. The global follicular lymphoma drugs market was valued at USD 1.8 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 3.05 billion by 2032.
    • For Marginal Zone Lymphoma: The marginal zone lymphoma market across the top 7 markets (US, EU4, UK, and Japan) reached a value of USD 1.8 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 3.0 billion by 2035. The global Marginal Zone Lymphoma (MZL) treatment market, estimated at USD 2 billion in 2025, is projected to reach USD 3.8 billion by 2033.
    • For Mantle Cell Lymphoma: The global mantle cell lymphoma therapeutics market size was valued at USD 1.45 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 2.78 billion by 2034. North America is the largest market, accounting for approximately 45% of the global market share. Another source states the global market size was USD 2.6 billion in 2025 and is expected to grow to USD 3.81 billion in 2030.
  • Retifanlimab:
    • For MSI-high endometrial cancer: Null
    • For Merkel Cell Carcinoma: The global Merkel cell carcinoma therapeutics market size was valued at USD 1.97 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 3.71 billion by 2034. North America holds 42% of this market. Another report estimates the global market at USD 3.24 billion in 2024, projected to grow to USD 4.53 billion by 2033.
    • For Anal Cancer: The global anal cancer market size was valued at USD 928.91 million in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 1444.76 million in 2033. North America is the most significant global anal cancer market shareholder. The U.S. anal cancer market was valued at USD 0.43 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 0.75 billion by 2032.
    • For Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer: The global non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) market was estimated at USD 20.2 billion in 2024, expected to grow to USD 53.9 billion in 2034. The NSCLC market in the 7 major markets is projected to reach approximately USD 65 billion by 2034. North America is the largest market, with an estimated share of 38.7% in 2025.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Incyte (INCY) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:

  1. Continued Growth and Lifecycle Management of Jakafi (ruxolitinib): Jakafi, Incyte's flagship product, is anticipated to maintain strong demand across its approved indications, including myelofibrosis, polycythemia vera, and graft-versus-host disease (GVHD). The projected launch of Jakafi XR (extended-release) in mid-2026 is expected to contribute to revenue by facilitating a conversion from the immediate-release version, targeting a 15-20% uptake rate before the loss of exclusivity for the original formulation.
  2. Significant Expansion and International Uptake of Opzelura (ruxolitinib cream): Opzelura is a crucial growth driver for Incyte, particularly in the treatment of vitiligo and atopic dermatitis (AD). The company expects substantial contributions from international launches, especially the anticipated rollout of Opzelura for moderate AD in Europe.
  3. Increasing Contributions from the Broader Hematology and Oncology Portfolio: Incyte's hematology and oncology portfolio, excluding Jakafi, is poised for continued growth. Products such as Niktimvo (axatilimab-csfr), Monjuvi (tafasitamab-cxix), Zynyz, and Pemazyre are demonstrating strong performance. Niktimvo, a recently launched product, has shown robust uptake, while Monjuvi and Zynyz have experienced growth driven by label expansions. Pemazyre has also received approvals for new indications, further bolstering this segment.
  4. Advancement and Potential New Approvals from the Late-Stage Pipeline, particularly Povorcitinib: Incyte's robust pipeline, with 14 pivotal clinical trials expected by the end of 2026, represents a significant source of future revenue. Povorcitinib, an oral JAK1 inhibitor, is a key late-stage asset with potential for substantial revenue contribution, especially with its NDA submission for hidradenitis suppurativa (HS) in Europe and positive Phase 2 results in chronic spontaneous urticaria (CSU).

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Share Repurchases

  • In May 2024, Incyte's Board of Directors authorized a $2.0 billion share repurchase program.
  • In June 2024, Incyte completed a modified "Dutch Auction" tender offer and a separate agreement to repurchase approximately $2.0 billion of its common stock, representing about 14.8% of outstanding shares.
  • Annual share buybacks by Incyte totaled $2.005 billion in 2024.

Share Issuance

  • In October 2025, Incyte adopted the 2024 Inducement Stock Incentive Plan, reserving 2,000,000 shares of common stock for issuance.
  • Incyte's shares outstanding increased by 0.88% in 2023 from 2022, but then declined by 6.82% in 2024 and 4.67% in 2025, reflecting a net reduction in shares outstanding.

Outbound Investments

  • In February 2024, Incyte acquired exclusive global rights for tafasitamab, subsequently recognizing all revenue from its sales in the United States.

Capital Expenditures

  • Incyte's capital expenditures were $77.83 million in 2022, $32.49 million in 2023, $86.26 million in 2024, and $58.87 million in 2025.
  • Projected capital expenditures for 2026 are $86.42 million.
  • Capital expenditures primarily support the company's significant research and development efforts and the continued investment in its late-stage development assets.

Better Bets vs. Incyte (INCY)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

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Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
QDEL_2282026_Insider_Buying_45D_2Buy_200K02282026QDELQuidelOrthoInsiderInsider Buys 45DStrong Insider Buying
Companies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days
0.0%0.0%0.0%
CHE_2272026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02272026CHEChemedDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.0%0.0%0.0%
LLY_2272026_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper02272026LLYEli LillyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.0%0.0%0.0%
HAE_2202026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02202026HAEHaemoneticsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.5%3.5%0.0%
IQV_2132026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy02132026IQVIQVIADip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.1%7.1%-3.0%
INCY_12122025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%12122025INCYIncyteQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
6.1%6.1%0.0%
INCY_2282022_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V202282022INCYIncyteInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
3.2%12.7%-3.1%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

INCYBMYGILDAMGNREGNPFEMedian
NameIncyte Bristol-.Gilead S.Amgen Regenero.Pfizer  
Mkt Price90.7857.48137.21347.80732.8726.97114.00
Mkt Cap17.9116.9170.3187.175.6153.4135.1
Rev LTM5,14148,19529,44136,75114,34362,57933,096
Op Inc LTM1,34313,72311,6999,0803,70217,40610,390
FCF LTM1,33012,8459,4568,1003,7659,0758,588
FCF 3Y Avg67113,1469,0618,6183,6577,9018,259
CFO LTM1,41314,15610,0199,9584,97911,7049,988
CFO 3Y Avg74814,4029,6189,9734,66411,0499,795

Growth & Margins

INCYBMYGILDAMGNREGNPFEMedian
NameIncyte Bristol-.Gilead S.Amgen Regenero.Pfizer  
Rev Chg LTM21.2%-0.2%2.4%10.0%1.0%-1.6%1.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg15.0%1.5%2.6%11.9%5.7%-12.0%4.1%
Rev Chg Q27.8%1.3%4.7%8.6%2.5%-1.2%3.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM6.8%0.3%1.2%2.2%0.7%-0.3%0.9%
Op Mgn LTM26.1%28.5%39.7%24.7%25.8%27.8%27.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg15.4%19.6%36.4%24.8%29.0%19.6%22.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.0%4.7%1.1%0.6%-0.9%0.9%0.7%
CFO/Rev LTM27.5%29.4%34.0%27.1%34.7%18.7%28.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg16.3%30.5%33.7%30.5%33.6%17.8%30.5%
FCF/Rev LTM25.9%26.7%32.1%22.0%26.3%14.5%26.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg14.5%27.9%31.8%26.4%26.4%12.7%26.4%

Valuation

INCYBMYGILDAMGNREGNPFEMedian
NameIncyte Bristol-.Gilead S.Amgen Regenero.Pfizer  
Mkt Cap17.9116.9170.3187.175.6153.4135.1
P/S3.52.45.85.15.32.54.3
P/EBIT10.810.415.716.014.315.014.7
P/E13.916.620.024.316.819.718.3
P/CFO12.78.317.018.815.213.114.1
Total Yield7.2%10.3%7.3%6.9%6.5%11.4%7.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%4.3%2.4%2.7%0.5%6.4%2.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.9%12.0%7.5%5.6%4.4%5.3%5.5%
D/E0.00.40.10.30.00.40.2
Net D/E-0.20.30.10.2-0.10.30.2

Returns

INCYBMYGILDAMGNREGNPFEMedian
NameIncyte Bristol-.Gilead S.Amgen Regenero.Pfizer  
1M Rtn-11.9%-3.8%-9.7%-8.4%-7.4%-1.5%-7.9%
3M Rtn-11.6%7.3%11.0%7.0%-4.5%8.9%7.1%
6M Rtn4.9%31.0%21.7%23.6%24.1%16.1%22.7%
12M Rtn49.9%-0.1%33.0%13.9%11.2%10.5%12.5%
3Y Rtn23.5%-2.4%91.9%64.0%-2.9%-20.5%10.6%
1M Excs Rtn-5.6%0.5%-3.5%-2.2%-1.0%5.6%-1.6%
3M Excs Rtn-3.8%11.8%16.9%10.6%1.1%12.7%11.2%
6M Excs Rtn7.5%31.2%24.1%29.8%24.6%17.4%24.4%
12M Excs Rtn35.8%-14.1%16.4%-1.0%-5.1%-4.3%-2.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-41.9%-69.5%23.5%-4.5%-70.1%-86.9%-55.7%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Global discovery, development and commercialization of proprietary therapeutics3,696    
Milestone and contract revenues 1659520578
Product revenues, net 2,7472,3222,0691,775
Product royalty revenues 483569393306
Total3,6963,3952,9862,6672,159


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$90.78 
Market Cap ($ Bil)17.9 
First Trading Date11/04/1993 
Distance from 52W High-17.9% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$100.52$89.67
DMA Trendupdown
Distance from DMA-9.7%1.2%
 3M1YR
Volatility33.7%33.9%
Downside Capture150.0590.89
Upside Capture117.25119.37
Correlation (SPY)42.6%36.6%
INCY Betas & Captures as of 2/28/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.951.131.120.700.610.55
Up Beta2.452.582.401.040.370.41
Down Beta-2.18-0.46-0.49-0.150.470.50
Up Capture163%165%146%123%108%33%
Bmk +ve Days9203170142431
Stock +ve Days12233168137386
Down Capture127%136%158%87%91%87%
Bmk -ve Days12213054109320
Stock -ve Days9183055112361

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with INCY
INCY52.7%33.8%1.30-
Sector ETF (XLV)0.2%17.6%-0.1450.8%
Equity (SPY)15.8%18.9%0.6436.8%
Gold (GLD)48.2%27.0%1.45-2.9%
Commodities (DBC)17.8%17.4%0.835.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.0%16.4%-0.1139.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-19.0%44.2%-0.3518.5%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with INCY
INCY2.7%29.2%0.12-
Sector ETF (XLV)6.3%14.5%0.2641.8%
Equity (SPY)11.8%17.0%0.5431.8%
Gold (GLD)20.7%17.5%0.971.5%
Commodities (DBC)10.9%19.0%0.461.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.8%18.8%0.0630.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)4.7%56.7%0.3012.0%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with INCY
INCY2.6%34.7%0.17-
Sector ETF (XLV)9.6%16.5%0.4747.2%
Equity (SPY)14.2%17.9%0.6838.2%
Gold (GLD)13.3%15.7%0.700.3%
Commodities (DBC)8.3%17.6%0.399.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.0%20.7%0.2126.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)66.9%66.8%1.068.5%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date2272026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity11.0 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 21520260.0%
Average Daily Volume1.6 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.8 days
Basic Shares Quantity197.4 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares5.6%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
2/10/2026-8.2%-7.2%-13.2%
10/28/2025-1.5%9.1%13.4%
7/29/202510.3%11.2%19.7%
4/29/20251.5%4.4%9.1%
2/10/2025-7.9%-5.0%-8.2%
10/29/202412.0%15.3%13.9%
7/30/2024-1.2%-9.6%-4.3%
4/30/2024-1.0%2.9%8.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive799
# Negative171515
Median Positive3.4%4.4%8.3%
Median Negative-4.4%-5.1%-8.2%
Max Positive12.0%15.3%19.7%
Max Negative-8.5%-12.7%-18.3%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202502/10/202610-K
09/30/202510/28/202510-Q
06/30/202507/29/202510-Q
03/31/202504/29/202510-Q
12/31/202402/10/202510-K
09/30/202410/29/202410-Q
06/30/202407/30/202410-Q
03/31/202404/30/202410-Q
12/31/202302/13/202410-K
09/30/202310/31/202310-Q
06/30/202308/01/202310-Q
03/31/202305/02/202310-Q
12/31/202202/07/202310-K
09/30/202211/01/202210-Q
06/30/202208/02/202210-Q
03/31/202205/03/202210-Q

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Tray, ThomasPrincipal Accounting OfficerDirectSell1222202598.2560058,9502,257,097Form
2Tray, ThomasPrincipal Accounting OfficerDirectSell12222025100.002,774277,4002,297,300Form
3Morrissey, Michael JamesEVP, Head of Tech. OperationsDirectSell1218202597.2954,0085,254,5473,096,805Form
4Morrissey, Michael JamesEVP, Head of Tech. OperationsDirectSell1218202597.264,323420,4552,675,331Form
5Mayes, Patrick AEVP & Chief Scientific OfficerDirectSell1212202595.585,553530,7565,760,224Form