Terrestrial Energy (IMSR)
Market Price (3/30/2026): $6.1 | Market Cap: $559.4 MilSector: Utilities | Industry: Electric Utilities
Terrestrial Energy (IMSR)
Market Price (3/30/2026): $6.1Market Cap: $559.4 MilSector: UtilitiesIndustry: Electric Utilities
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Datacenter Power, Hydrogen Economy, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Mini Nuclear, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -83%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -123% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -15 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -12072% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 4,408x | ||
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 568% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8232%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8895% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.3% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 120% | ||
| Key risksIMSR key risks include [1] obtaining regulatory approval for its commercially unproven molten salt reactor technology and [2] its pre-revenue financial status, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Datacenter Power, Hydrogen Economy, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Mini Nuclear, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -83%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -123% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -15 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -12072% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 4,408x |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 568% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8232%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8895% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.3% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 120% |
| Key risksIMSR key risks include [1] obtaining regulatory approval for its commercially unproven molten salt reactor technology and [2] its pre-revenue financial status, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Persistent negative market reaction to investor communications and lack of new material disclosures
Despite Terrestrial Energy's participation in investor conferences in December 2025 and January 2026, these events often led to stock declines, including drops of 4.0%, 5.93%, and 10.98%. Similarly, a letter to stockholders from CEO Simon Irish on January 29, 2026, summarizing 2025 accomplishments and outlining 2026 milestones, resulted in an 11.19% decline, as it was perceived to offer no new material disclosures.
2. Pre-revenue status and inherent development and regulatory risks
Terrestrial Energy remains a pre-revenue company, which carries inherent risks. The company is developing its Integral Molten Salt Reactor (IMSR) technology, which is commercially unproven and requires extensive regulatory approval. This ongoing development phase, coupled with lagging behind better-funded competitors already in the construction phase, contributes to investor uncertainty and downward pressure on the stock.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -36.3% change in IMSR stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 3292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 9.44 | 6.01 | -36.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | � | 0.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | � | � | 0.0% |
| P/E Multiple | � | � | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 92 | 92 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| IMSR | -36.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.3% | 46.1% |
| Sector (XLU) | 1.4% | 7.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| IMSR | ||
| Market (SPY) | 0.6% | 43.8% |
| Sector (XLU) | 9.7% | 13.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| IMSR | ||
| Market (SPY) | 9.8% | 43.8% |
| Sector (XLU) | 18.4% | 13.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| IMSR | ||
| Market (SPY) | 69.4% | 43.8% |
| Sector (XLU) | 53.8% | 13.8% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| IMSR Return | - | - | - | - | -60% | 6% | -58% |
| Peers Return | -7% | 9% | -9% | 221% | 74% | -2% | 402% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -5% | 72% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| IMSR Win Rate | - | - | - | - | 0% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 36% | 53% | 53% | 68% | 60% | 53% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| IMSR Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | -60% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -13% | -8% | -28% | -28% | -20% | -13% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -5% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: SMR, OKLO, GEV, BWXT, NNE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/27/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
IMSR has limited trading history. Below is the Utilities sector ETF (XLU) in its place.
| Event | XLU | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -28.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 39.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 347 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -36.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 58.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 633 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -16.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 308 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -48.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 95.2% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2,058 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to SMR, OKLO, GEV, BWXT, NNE
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -28.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/12/2022. A -28.1% loss requires a 39.0% gain to breakeven.
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About Terrestrial Energy (IMSR)
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
- Facilitating a Business Combination: Terrestrial Energy operates as a blank check company whose primary purpose is to identify and complete a merger, acquisition, or similar business combination with one or more private businesses.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Based on the provided company description, Terrestrial Energy (symbol: IMSR) is a blank check company (SPAC). As a blank check company, it has not yet engaged in any business operations or identified an acquisition target. Therefore, it does not currently have any major customers, as it does not sell products or services.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Shawn Matthews, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Matthews has served as Chairman and CEO of HCM II Acquisition Corp. since its inception. He is also the founder and Chief Investment Officer of Hondius Capital Management, a global asset management firm specializing in macro strategies, which he founded in 2019. Prior to founding Hondius Capital Management, he was the CEO and President of Cantor Fitzgerald & Co. from 2009 to 2018, overseeing more than 100 affiliated entities in financial services and fintech. His career at Cantor Fitzgerald, which he joined in 2005, included senior roles such as Head of Capital Markets and Head of Mortgage Trading. Mr. Matthews has a track record of launching special purpose acquisition companies (SPACs), including HCM Acquisition Corp. and HCM III Acquisition Corp., through Hondius Capital Management. Before his time at Cantor, he held positions at Wertheim Schroder & Co. and founded both a broker-dealer, West Side Capital, and a hedge fund, Alchemist Capital Management.
Steven Bischoff, President and Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Bischoff served as President, Chief Financial Officer, and Director at HCM II Acquisition Corp. He currently holds positions as Chief Executive Officer at Zenith Securities LLC, Chief Financial & Accounting Officer at HCM III Acquisition Corp., and Executive Vice President at Atlantic Home Loans, Inc. He is also slated to become Chief Financial Officer at HCM IV Acquisition Corp. starting in 2025. His extensive career includes former roles such as Partner & Managing Director at Amherst Securities Group LP, Managing Director at GMAC ResCap, Partner & Managing Director at National Alliance Capital Markets, Independent Director at HCM Acquisition Corp., and Chief Operating Officer at Cantor Fitzgerald & Co. Mr. Bischoff was also Head of Asset Management and Investment Banking at NatAlliance Securities and is noted as a founder, Board Member, and Managing Director at Amherst Securities.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Terrestrial Energy (IMSR), a nuclear technology company focused on developing the Integral Molten Salt Reactor (IMSR), faces significant risks as it works towards commercializing its advanced reactor technology. The primary key risks to Terrestrial Energy's business include:- Development and Commercialization Risk: Terrestrial Energy is an early-stage company that has not yet constructed a commercial IMSR plant and lacks binding contracts with customers. Its financial reports show minimal revenue, substantial losses, and limited cash reserves, underscoring a high reliance on future capital infusions and successful execution of its business plan. The company's projections depend entirely on future sales of engineering services, reactor components, and fuel, making its ability to transition from development to a revenue-generating entity its most critical challenge.
- Regulatory and Licensing Risk: The nuclear industry is subject to extensive and complex regulatory frameworks. While Terrestrial Energy has achieved milestones such as the Canadian Nuclear Safety Commission's pre-licensing vendor design review and the U.S. NRC's approval of key safety mechanisms, the company's ability to navigate the full licensing process for commercial deployment remains a substantial hurdle. The lengthy and intricate nature of nuclear regulatory approvals poses a significant risk to the company's timeline and market entry.
- Construction and Operational Risks: Should Terrestrial Energy overcome regulatory challenges, it will still face considerable risks associated with the construction and operation of its IMSR plants. These include potential for significant construction delays, cost overruns, and the inherent complexities of deploying novel nuclear technology. Additionally, the company must contend with competition from established and emerging energy sources, as well as the broader public perception and acceptance of nuclear power.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
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AI Analysis | Feedback
Terrestrial Energy (NASDAQ: IMSR) is a pre-revenue company focused on developing and commercializing its Integral Molten Salt Reactor (IMSR) technology, a Generation IV nuclear reactor. While commercial plant operations and significant revenue generation are projected for the early 2030s, the company's future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years will be driven by crucial milestones that advance its technology towards deployment. Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Terrestrial Energy (IMSR) over the next 2-3 years:- Advancement in Regulatory Design Certification: A primary driver for future revenue will be achieving full regulatory design certification from key bodies such as the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) and the Canadian Nuclear Safety Commission (CNSC). This certification is a prerequisite for securing customer contracts and project financing, making progress in this area critical for enabling eventual revenue streams.
- Securing First-of-a-Kind (FOAK) Commercial Contracts and Project Commitments: Although full plant commissioning is anticipated in the early 2030s, securing initial binding contracts or strong project commitments for IMSR plant deployment within the next 2-3 years will be a significant indicator of future revenue potential. Such agreements demonstrate market acceptance and commercial viability, laying the groundwork for revenue from plant construction, fuel supply, and operational services. For example, Texas A&M University has already partnered with Terrestrial Energy for the construction of a commercial IMSR plant.
- Expansion into Diverse High-Growth Market Applications: Terrestrial Energy is strategically targeting applications beyond traditional electric power generation, including data center power supply, industrial heat and power, and the production of low-carbon fuels and materials. Successfully engaging with and securing early agreements or pilot projects in these high-demand sectors over the next 2-3 years would significantly broaden the company’s potential revenue base for when its plants become operational.
- Development of its Build-Own-Operate Business Model and Recurring Revenue Streams: The company plans to implement a capital-efficient build-own-operate business model, which envisions four distinct recurring revenue streams over the 50+ year lifecycle of an IMSR plant. These include engineering and construction services, the supply of critical components (such as replacement IMSR core-units every seven years and IMSR fuel), and operating, maintenance, and decommissioning services. Progress in formalizing these service offerings and securing preliminary agreements or partnerships related to these streams in the near term will be crucial for establishing sustainable, long-term revenue.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Issuance
- 47,741,728 new common shares were issued to the securityholders of the legacy Terrestrial Energy company as part of the business combination.
- 5,000,000 common shares were issued to private investors through a PIPE (Private Investment in Public Equity) transaction at $10.00 per share.
- The total outstanding common shares post-transaction was approximately 105 million.
Inbound Investments
- The company received $50 million from a Private Investment in Public Equity (PIPE) in connection with the SPAC merger.
- The business combination with HCM II Acquisition Corp. generated gross proceeds exceeding $292 million, including the PIPE investment and approximately $242 million from the SPAC's trust account after minimal redemptions.
- Prior to the SPAC merger, Terrestrial Energy (the operating company before becoming public via the SPAC) had raised $94 million.
Capital Expenditures
- The company's capital expenditure is primarily directed towards research, engineering, and pre-licensing activities for its Integral Molten Salt Reactor (IMSR) technology.
- Terrestrial Energy is a pre-revenue company focused on developing its proprietary IMSR technology, rather than operating income-generating assets.
- The capital raised from the SPAC merger (exceeding $292 million) is intended to accelerate the commercial deployment of its IMSR nuclear technology, with the first plants projected for the early 2030s.
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to IMSR.
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Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 35.26 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.6 |
| Rev LTM | 16 |
| Op Inc LTM | -34 |
| FCF LTM | -19 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 120 |
| CFO LTM | -15 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 203 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 9.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 29.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -1,093.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 0.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -723.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -726.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 5.6 |
| P/S | 55.1 |
| P/EBIT | -11.8 |
| P/E | -16.2 |
| P/CFO | -28.4 |
| Total Yield | -2.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -13.6% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -16.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -20.6% |
| 6M Rtn | -51.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 40.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 262.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -13.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -15.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -50.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 18.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 204.4% |
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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