Terrestrial Energy (IMSR)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $7.08 | Market Cap: $649.3 MilSector: Utilities | Industry: Electric Utilities
Terrestrial Energy (IMSR)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $7.08Market Cap: $649.3 MilSector: UtilitiesIndustry: Electric Utilities
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Datacenter Power, Hydrogen Economy, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Mini Nuclear, Show more. | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -15 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -12072% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8232%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8895% | |
| Key risksIMSR key risks include [1] obtaining regulatory approval for its commercially unproven molten salt reactor technology and [2] its pre-revenue financial status, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Datacenter Power, Hydrogen Economy, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Mini Nuclear, Show more. |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -15 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -12072% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8232%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8895% |
| Key risksIMSR key risks include [1] obtaining regulatory approval for its commercially unproven molten salt reactor technology and [2] its pre-revenue financial status, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
IMSR Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Terrestrial Energy (IMSR) began trading publicly on the Nasdaq Stock Market under the ticker symbol "IMSR" following the completion of a business combination with HCM II Acquisition Corp., with trading commencing around late October 2025. The stock reached an all-time high of $31.50 on October 14, 2025, but subsequently experienced a significant decline, reaching an all-time low of $7.52 on November 24, 2025. As of December 18, 2025, the stock was trading around $7.09 to $8.36.
Here are some key points explaining the stock's movement during the approximate period from its public listing in late October 2025 to December 18, 2025:
1. Post-SPAC Merger Volatility: The initial surge to $31.50 shortly after the public listing likely reflects the typical volatility and speculative trading often associated with companies going public via Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC) mergers. These initial highs can sometimes be unsustainable as the market reassesses the company's valuation post-merger.
2. Market Adjustment and Valuation Reassessment: Following the initial excitement, the market appears to have re-evaluated Terrestrial Energy's valuation. The transaction valued Terrestrial Energy at a pre-money equity value of $925 million, with a pro forma enterprise value of approximately $1 billion and a pro forma equity value of about $1.3 billion. The subsequent decline could indicate a market correction to a more conservative valuation.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| IMSR Return | � | � | � | � | � | � | � |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | � | � | 97% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| IMSR Win Rate | � | � | � | � | � | 0% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | � | � | 66% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| IMSR Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | � | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | -20% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SMR, OKLO, GEV, BWXT, NNE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
IMSR has limited trading history. Below is the Utilities sector ETF (XLU) in its place.
| Event | XLU | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -28.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 39.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 347 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -36.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 58.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 633 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -16.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 308 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -48.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 95.2% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2,058 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -28.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/12/2022. A -28.1% loss requires a 39.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to IMSR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.9% | -0.9% | -2.4% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -0.8% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.7% | 6.7% | -3.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.9% | -0.9% | -2.4% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -0.8% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.7% | 6.7% | -3.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Terrestrial Energy
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 52.96 |
| Mkt Cap | 15.4 |
| Rev LTM | 32 |
| Op Inc LTM | -27 |
| FCF LTM | -14 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 26 |
| CFO LTM | -14 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 107 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 14.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 142.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 28.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 6.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -490.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -813.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -216.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -535.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -217.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -540.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 15.4 |
| P/S | 5.5 |
| P/EBIT | 16.0 |
| P/E | -14.0 |
| P/CFO | -18.8 |
| Total Yield | -0.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -9.3% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -12.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -16.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 20.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 43.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 193.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -13.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -22.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 7.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 29.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 118.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 3312025 | 7172025 | S-4 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 9262025 | 424B3 12/31/2024 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |