Intellicheck (IDN)
Market Price (2/4/2026): $5.24 | Market Cap: $105.5 MilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software
Intellicheck (IDN)
Market Price (2/4/2026): $5.24Market Cap: $105.5 MilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Application Software
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cybersecurity, Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Identity Management, Show more. | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 1,819x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 128x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 505x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 102% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.9% | |
| Key risksIDN key risks include [1] significant customer concentration, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cybersecurity, Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Identity Management, Show more. |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 1,819x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 128x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 505x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 102% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.9% |
| Key risksIDN key risks include [1] significant customer concentration, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Intellicheck (IDN) stock has gained about 15% since 10/31/2025 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Beat. Intellicheck reported robust financial results for the third quarter of 2025 on November 12, 2025, with earnings per share (EPS) of $0.01. This significantly surpassed analysts' expectations of a -$0.01 loss, representing a 200% beat and a considerable improvement from the -$0.04 EPS in the same period of the prior year.
2. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Upgrades. During the period, Intellicheck received favorable attention from financial analysts. Notably, HC Wainwright & Co. reiterated a "Strong Buy" rating and raised its price target from $6.00 to $8.50 on December 16, 2025. Additionally, Northland Capital upgraded the stock from "Market Perform" to "Outperform" with a $7 price target on November 13, 2025. On February 2, 2026, Zacks also assigned Intellicheck a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), citing a 20% increase in 2026 earnings estimates over the preceding 60 days.
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1. Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Beat. Intellicheck reported robust financial results for the third quarter of 2025 on November 12, 2025, with earnings per share (EPS) of $0.01. This significantly surpassed analysts' expectations of a -$0.01 loss, representing a 200% beat and a considerable improvement from the -$0.04 EPS in the same period of the prior year.
2. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Upgrades. During the period, Intellicheck received favorable attention from financial analysts. Notably, HC Wainwright & Co. reiterated a "Strong Buy" rating and raised its price target from $6.00 to $8.50 on December 16, 2025. Additionally, Northland Capital upgraded the stock from "Market Perform" to "Outperform" with a $7 price target on November 13, 2025. On February 2, 2026, Zacks also assigned Intellicheck a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), citing a 20% increase in 2026 earnings estimates over the preceding 60 days.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 14.2% change in IDN stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 9.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 2032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 4.59 | 5.24 | 14.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 21 | 22 | 6.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 4.4 | 4.8 | 9.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 20 | 20 | -1.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 14.2% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 2/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| IDN | 14.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 1.1% | -20.5% |
| Sector (XLK) | -5.5% | -8.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 5.9% change in IDN stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 8.7% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 2032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 4.95 | 5.24 | 5.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 20 | 22 | 8.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 4.9 | 4.8 | -1.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 20 | 20 | -1.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 5.9% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 2/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| IDN | 5.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.4% | -1.4% |
| Sector (XLK) | 8.3% | 2.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 97.7% change in IDN stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 78.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312025 | 2032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.65 | 5.24 | 97.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 19 | 22 | 14.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 2.7 | 4.8 | 78.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 19 | 20 | -3.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 97.7% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 2/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| IDN | 97.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.6% | 24.0% |
| Sector (XLK) | 23.7% | 22.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 92.6% change in IDN stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 43.4% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 1312023 | 2032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.72 | 5.24 | 92.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 15 | 22 | 43.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 3.4 | 4.8 | 43.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 19 | 20 | -6.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 92.6% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 2/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| IDN | 92.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 75.9% | 17.4% |
| Sector (XLK) | 113.3% | 17.4% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| IDN Return | -59% | -57% | -5% | 47% | 139% | -17% | -52% |
| Peers Return | -21% | -46% | 3% | 14% | 12% | -1% | -44% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 2% | 86% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| IDN Win Rate | 50% | 33% | 67% | 33% | 50% | 0% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 46% | 32% | 42% | 50% | 47% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 100% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| IDN Max Drawdown | -59% | -69% | -18% | -12% | -19% | -17% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -32% | -60% | -31% | -27% | -27% | -6% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: MITK, OSPN, YOU, TLS, OKTA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/3/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | IDN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -90.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 949.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -79.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 381.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 227 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -61.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 162.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 419 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -92.2% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1174.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1,480 days |
Compare to MITK, OSPN, YOU, TLS, OKTA
In The Past
Intellicheck's stock fell -90.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/8/2021. A -90.5% loss requires a 949.7% gain to breakeven.
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About Intellicheck (IDN)
Intellicheck, Inc., a technology company, develops, integrates, and markets threat identification and identity authentication solutions for bank and retail fraud prevention, law enforcement threat identification, and mobile and handheld access control and security systems primarily in the United States. It provides identity systems products, including commercial identification products, such as Intellicheck Platform, an identity solution that checks whether an ID is valid, matches the ID to the person presenting it, and provides a risk score to determine the risk of doing business with that person; IDN-Portal that provides the ability to scan an ID using a mobile phone; IDN-Portal+ that uses a retail scanner to validate an ID, and get additional data for analytics and analysis; IDN-Direct that provides access to additional data and the ability to use the platform's Risk Score capability to help with decision-making; and Intellicheck mobile app, which provides the ability to login and scan an ID. The company also offers State Aware Software solution, which provides or restricts information that is electronically scanned from an ID based on the electronic reading laws according to the state in which the ID is scanned; data collection devices that enable its software applications to be used on a variety of commercially available credit card terminals, PDAs, tablets, laptops, desktops, mobile phones, and point-of-sale terminals; and instant credit application kiosk software applications. It serves government, military, and commercial markets. The company was formerly known as Intellicheck Mobilisa, Inc. and changed its name to Intellicheck, Inc. in May 2017. Intellicheck, Inc. was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Melville, New York.
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```htmlHere are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Intellicheck (IDN):
- The Plaid for secure identity and age verification. (Plaid connects financial accounts; Intellicheck verifies physical IDs for transactions.)
- The TSA PreCheck for business identity and age verification. (TSA PreCheck expedites trusted identity checks for travel; Intellicheck expedites trusted identity and age checks for businesses to prevent fraud and ensure compliance.)
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- Intellicheck ID Verification Platform: This service provides real-time authentication of government-issued identification documents to prevent identity fraud (Identity Verification and Fraud Prevention).
- Age Verification: This service enables businesses to accurately verify customer ages for regulatory compliance in regulated industries (Regulatory Compliance and Age Verification).
- Customer Due Diligence (CDD) & Know Your Customer (KYC) Services: This service assists financial institutions in meeting compliance requirements by verifying customer identities (Financial Crime Prevention and Regulatory Compliance).
- Retail Fraud Prevention: This service helps retailers prevent identity-based losses from various fraud types, including credit card and return fraud (Fraud Prevention for Retail and E-commerce).
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Intellicheck (symbol: IDN) primarily sells its identity verification and fraud prevention solutions to other businesses (B2B).
Based on the company's annual reports (e.g., Form 10-K), Intellicheck does not have any single customer that accounts for more than 10% of its total revenues. This indicates a diversified customer base rather than reliance on a few "major" individual companies whose names are publicly disclosed. Therefore, while specific individual customer company names are not publicly identified as "major," Intellicheck serves a broad range of companies across several key sectors.
The primary categories of customer companies that Intellicheck serves include:
- Financial Services Institutions: This category includes traditional banks, credit unions, and fintech companies. These customers utilize Intellicheck's solutions for fraud prevention during processes such as account opening, loan applications, and other high-value transactions.
- Retailers: Both brick-and-mortar stores and e-commerce platforms fall into this category. Retail customers leverage Intellicheck for critical functions like age verification (e.g., for age-restricted products like alcohol and tobacco), preventing return fraud, and in-store identity verification for various transactions.
- Government and Law Enforcement Agencies: This includes federal, state, and local entities such as police departments, border patrol, and departments of motor vehicles. They use Intellicheck's technology for quick and accurate identity verification in the field, at checkpoints, or at service points.
- Hospitality and Entertainment Venues: This category encompasses hotels, bars, nightclubs, and casinos. These businesses rely on Intellicheck for age verification at entry points, during check-ins, or for transactions involving age-restricted activities, helping to prevent the use of fraudulent IDs.
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Company Name: Amazon.com, Inc.
Symbol: AMZN
Role: Cloud Infrastructure Provider (Amazon Web Services)
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Bryan Lewis, President & CEO Bryan Lewis has over 30 years of global leadership experience in sales and operations within the financial services and financial technology sectors, with a track record of scaling high-growth and under-performing companies to create significant shareholder value. Prior to joining Intellicheck, he served as Chief Operating Officer at Third Bridge, Inc., where he oversaw substantial growth, increasing employees from 100 to 600 and achieving a 56% compound annual growth rate over four years. He previously held senior leadership positions at companies including BondDesk (which was sold to TradeWeb), TheMarkets.com (sold to Capital IQ), Reuters, Barra (sold to MSCI), and Bloomberg. Lewis began his career as a bond trader. He is recognized as a turnaround specialist who leads companies to profitability and successful exits. Adam Sragovicz, Chief Financial Officer Adam Sragovicz assumed the role of CFO on September 1, 2024. He brings extensive experience in senior-level finance, management, and operating positions. Sragovicz previously served as CFO of Conduit Pharmaceuticals and as CFO at Presidio Property Trust, where he managed external auditor, lender, investor relationships, accounting, and financial planning and analysis. His background also includes roles as Vice President, Treasury at Encore Capital Group (NASDAQ: ECPG), and Senior Vice President, Bank Relations at UniCache International. Additionally, he held positions as Vice President Finance and Treasury at Imperial Capital Bank and Vice President Strategic and Financial Planning at Union Bank of California, demonstrating significant banking and financial planning expertise. Jonathan Robins, Chief Technology Officer Jonathan Robins was appointed Chief Technology Officer in October 2023. He possesses over 35 years of experience in technological innovation and leadership. Robins' expertise includes shaping growth strategies, optimizing engineering teams, and fostering customer-focused cultures to deliver high-value engineering solutions. He successfully built and later sold his own company, which focused on business processes and custom application development leveraging internet technology. After selling his business, Robins joined the Chicago Cubs, where he focused on architecting software applications that utilized large data sets, statistical modeling, AI, and machine learning solutions. Tim Poulin, Senior Vice President of Sales Tim Poulin serves as the Senior Vice President of Sales for Intellicheck. Sandra Bower, VP Customer Experience and Account Management Sandra Bower holds the position of Vice President of Customer Experience and Account Management.AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Intellicheck's business include:
- Customer Concentration: Intellicheck faces a significant risk due to its reliance on a limited number of major customers. For example, three customers reportedly represented 55% of the company's revenues. The loss of one or more significant customers could adversely impact the business and its financial health.
- Technological Advancements and Competition: The identity verification industry is rapidly evolving, requiring Intellicheck to continuously innovate to maintain its competitive edge. Rapid technological advancements could render existing technology obsolete, and the emergence of new solutions, such as Mobile Driver's Licenses (mDLs), could potentially reduce the need for Intellicheck's traditional services. The company also operates in a competitive market with established and emerging players vying for market share.
- Cybersecurity Threats and Data Privacy: As a provider of digital identity validation solutions, Intellicheck handles sensitive information, making it vulnerable to cybersecurity threats. Any data breach could severely undermine trust in its platform and lead to adverse legal or regulatory consequences. Additionally, the company must comply with evolving data privacy laws, especially concerning biometric information.
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The widespread adoption of government-backed and standardized digital identity systems, such as the European Union's eIDAS 2.0 regulation which mandates the creation of EU Digital Identity Wallets. These systems aim to provide citizens with universally accepted, verifiable digital credentials for identity and attributes (like age), potentially reducing or eliminating the need for businesses to rely on third-party commercial services for physical document authentication and age verification in many use cases.
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Intellicheck (IDN) offers on-demand digital identity validation solutions, primarily focusing on identity verification, fraud prevention, and age verification for various sectors, including financial services, retail, automotive, government, and age-restricted industries. The company's technology processes encoded information from government-issued IDs and driver's licenses to provide real-time authentication.
Addressable Markets:
- Identity Verification Market (U.S.): The U.S. identity verification market was valued at approximately USD 2.9 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 8.9 billion by 2033, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 13.20% from 2025-2033. Another estimate places the U.S. market at USD 10.9 billion in 2023, expected to grow to USD 21.8 billion by 2028 with a CAGR of 14.9%. Furthermore, the U.S. identity verification market size is projected to reach USD 4.4 billion in 2025 and grow to USD 16.7 billion by 2034 at a CAGR of 15.9%.
- Identity Verification Market (Global, with North America share): The global identity verification service and software market was valued at USD 11.1 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach USD 45.3 billion by 2033, with a CAGR of 15.10%. North America held a dominant market position in 2023, capturing over 38.7% of the market share, accounting for USD 4.29 billion in revenue. The global identity verification software market size was valued at USD 12.47 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 41.96 billion by 2033 at a CAGR of 14.43%. North America led this market in 2024, holding approximately 35% of the revenue share.
- Age Verification Software Market (Global): The global age verification software market size was approximately USD 1.97 billion in 2024, projected to reach USD 2.22 billion in 2025, and USD 5 billion by 2033, with an estimated CAGR of 12.35% from 2025 to 2033. Another report indicates the global age verification software market size was USD 1.2 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 3.8 billion by 2032, with a CAGR of 13.6% from 2024 to 2032. North America holds a substantial share of this market. The global Age Verification System market size was valued at USD 74.3 million in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 100 million by 2032, with a CAGR of 4.4% during the forecast period.
- Fraud Detection and Prevention Market (U.S.): The U.S. fraud detection and prevention market size was valued at USD 5.6 billion in 2024 and is estimated to reach USD 13 billion by 2033, showing a CAGR of 9.8% from 2025-2033. Other estimates for the U.S. fraud detection and prevention market include USD 9,298.7 million in 2024, expected to reach USD 24,289.2 million by 2030 at a CAGR of 17.9% from 2025 to 2030. The U.S. fraud detection software market alone was valued at USD 6.6 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 23.9 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 17.6%.
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Intellicheck (IDN) Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth
Over the next 2-3 years, Intellicheck (IDN) is expected to drive future revenue growth through several key initiatives:
- Strategic Vertical Expansion: Intellicheck's successful pivot from the cyclical retail sector to higher-value, less-cyclical verticals such as financial services, automotive, and title insurance is a primary driver. This strategic diversification is expanding the total addressable market and leading to new customer acquisition in these sectors.
- Multi-year Agreements and Enterprise Wins: The company is focused on securing multi-year agreements, particularly with prominent financial services clients and large enterprises. These agreements are crucial for generating higher-value, recurring revenue streams and are seen as significant validation of Intellicheck's technology.
- Increased Pricing Power and Higher Price Per Scan: Intellicheck has demonstrated an ability to increase its pricing for new business, especially within new verticals like automotive and title insurance, which typically command a higher cost per scan. This pricing power is contributing to revenue growth.
- Growth in SaaS Revenue and Expanded Customer Use Cases: The company's core SaaS revenue continues to grow, and a key focus is on driving additional use cases for existing customers. Initiatives like a customer success program are expected to increase incremental revenue by expanding how current clients utilize Intellicheck's identity verification solutions.
- Expansion through Channel Partnerships: Intellicheck is actively pursuing channel partnerships with software providers that serve smaller banks and credit unions. This strategy aims to broaden the company's reach into this client base and drive further adoption of its solutions.
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Share Repurchases
- Intellicheck did not repurchase any shares in 2023.
- No shares were repurchased by Intellicheck during 2024.
Share Issuance
- In June 2020, Intellicheck completed a public offering of 1,538,461 shares of common stock at $6.50 per share, generating approximately $10.0 million in gross proceeds intended for general corporate purposes and working capital.
- In Q2 2025, 83,266 shares were issued for vested restricted stock grants.
- A shelf registration statement (Form S-3) was filed in August 2025, which would allow the company to sell shares in the market if the need or an unusual opportunity arises, renewing a previous 2020 filing.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures were $0.66 million in 2021, $0.19 million in 2022, $0.50 million in 2023, and $0.93 million in 2024.
- In Q2 2024, Intellicheck incurred $781,000 in capitalization expense, primarily for software development related to AWS deployment.
- In Q2 2025, $47,000 was capitalized, with no significant further capitalization expected for the subsequent quarter, as R&D costs for current offerings are projected to be expensed entirely.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Intellicheck Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| Can Intellicheck Stock Hold Up When Markets Turn? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 10.41 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.4 |
| Rev LTM | 211 |
| Op Inc LTM | 34 |
| FCF LTM | 53 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 31 |
| CFO LTM | 57 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 36 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 13.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 13.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 7.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -0.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 27.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 25.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.4 |
| P/S | 3.1 |
| P/EBIT | 19.5 |
| P/E | 33.6 |
| P/CFO | 12.9 |
| Total Yield | 1.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.1% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -5.6% |
| 3M Rtn | -1.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 2.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 16.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 4.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -6.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 0.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -4.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 1.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -59.6% |
Price Behavior
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $5.24 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.1 | |
| First Trading Date | 11/19/1999 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -26.5% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $6.35 | $5.18 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | -17.5% | 1.2% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 96.3% | 75.5% |
| Downside Capture | -84.85 | 50.81 |
| Upside Capture | 30.10 | 114.75 |
| Correlation (SPY) | -22.7% | 23.8% |
IDN Betas & Captures as of 1/31/2026
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.46 | 0.26 | -1.90 | -0.24 | 0.93 | 0.96 |
| Up Beta | 0.60 | -0.17 | -1.03 | 1.10 | 1.25 | 1.21 |
| Down Beta | -1.42 | -0.51 | -5.44 | -2.20 | 0.82 | 1.06 |
| Up Capture | -2% | 43% | 47% | 51% | 119% | 66% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 34 | 71 | 142 | 430 |
| Stock +ve Days | 8 | 19 | 29 | 58 | 114 | 349 |
| Down Capture | 413% | 130% | -96% | 21% | 50% | 90% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 9 | 19 | 27 | 54 | 109 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 22 | 32 | 67 | 129 | 366 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with IDN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IDN | 88.0% | 75.4% | 1.14 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 23.8% | 27.0% | 0.76 | 22.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.6% | 19.2% | 0.63 | 24.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 77.2% | 24.5% | 2.30 | 5.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.0% | 16.5% | 0.40 | 14.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.9% | 16.5% | -0.00 | 16.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -23.4% | 40.3% | -0.56 | 11.8% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with IDN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IDN | -15.0% | 80.1% | 0.13 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 17.6% | 24.7% | 0.64 | 24.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.5% | 17.0% | 0.68 | 22.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.5% | 16.8% | 1.04 | 2.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 12.0% | 18.9% | 0.51 | 4.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.8% | 18.8% | 0.16 | 11.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 20.9% | 57.5% | 0.56 | 13.1% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with IDN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IDN | 17.1% | 81.5% | 0.55 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 22.9% | 24.2% | 0.86 | 22.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.6% | 17.9% | 0.75 | 24.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 15.6% | 15.5% | 0.84 | 2.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.4% | 17.6% | 0.39 | 7.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.6% | 20.8% | 0.24 | 19.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 69.9% | 66.5% | 1.09 | 10.1% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/12/2025 | 37.9% | 59.2% | 40.8% |
| 8/12/2025 | -1.6% | 2.8% | 8.9% |
| 5/13/2025 | 5.3% | 32.0% | 75.0% |
| 11/13/2024 | -11.1% | -10.4% | 9.6% |
| 8/8/2024 | -28.4% | -17.3% | -28.4% |
| 3/21/2024 | 74.9% | 98.9% | 75.4% |
| 11/8/2023 | -14.5% | -14.5% | -11.5% |
| 8/10/2023 | -3.0% | -5.7% | -6.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 8 | 10 |
| # Negative | 10 | 10 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 5.5% | 13.0% | 14.2% |
| Median Negative | -12.5% | -12.8% | -16.3% |
| Max Positive | 74.9% | 98.9% | 75.4% |
| Max Negative | -28.4% | -31.7% | -35.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2025 | 11/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/31/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 04/01/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/11/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/28/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/14/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/15/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 06/17/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/24/2022 | 10-K |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Smith, Guy L | Direct | Buy | 11252025 | 6.18 | 1,000 | 6,180 | 2,428,419 | Form | |
| 2 | Braca, Gregory | Direct | Sell | 5232025 | 4.33 | 7,703 | 33,359 | 3,564 | Form | |
| 3 | Smith, Guy L | Direct | Buy | 5232025 | 3.73 | 2,500 | 9,327 | 1,462,319 | Form | |
| 4 | Braca, Gregory | Direct | Sell | 5232025 | 3.89 | 48,297 | 187,829 | 33,158 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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