Tearsheet

Hillman Solutions (HLMN)


Market Price (12/24/2025): $8.93 | Market Cap: $1.8 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Household Appliances

Hillman Solutions (HLMN)


Market Price (12/24/2025): $8.93
Market Cap: $1.8 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Household Appliances

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 42%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -43%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -52%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 47x
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Home Improvement & Renovation, and Building & Construction Support. Themes include Hardware & Fastener Supply Chain, Retail Merchandising & Category Management, Show more.
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.0%
2   Key risks
HLMN key risks include [1] a high concentration of revenue from a few major retailers, Show more.
0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 42%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Home Improvement & Renovation, and Building & Construction Support. Themes include Hardware & Fastener Supply Chain, Retail Merchandising & Category Management, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -43%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -52%
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 47x
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.0%
5 Key risks
HLMN key risks include [1] a high concentration of revenue from a few major retailers, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

HLMN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

The stock of Hillman Solutions (HLMN) experienced a decline of approximately 9.2% between August 31, 2025, and December 24, 2025. This movement can be attributed to several factors observed during this period.

1. Q3 2025 Earnings Report and Market Reaction: Hillman Solutions reported its Q3 2025 earnings on November 4, 2025, where it surpassed EPS estimates with $0.22 against a forecast of $0.18, and reported record sales and Adjusted EBITDA. Despite the EPS beat and strong operational performance, the revenue of $424.9 million slightly missed Wall Street estimates of $425.7 million. This minor revenue miss, combined with broader market sentiment, led to a pre-market decline of 1.19% in the stock to $9.17 following the announcement.

2. Downward Trend Signals in December 2025: Technical analysis in early December 2025 indicated bearish trends for HLMN. The stock moved below its 50-day moving average on December 4, 2025, signaling a shift from an upward to a downward trend. By December 5, 2025, HLMN was in a -3.29% downward trend, sliding for three consecutive days, which is considered a bearish sign and suggests potential for further declines.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -3.8% change in HLMN stock from 9/23/2025 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a -44.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
923202512232025Change
Stock Price ($)9.328.97-3.76%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1505.001536.652.10%
Net Income Margin (%)1.44%2.44%68.97%
P/E Multiple84.7647.32-44.17%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)197.59197.75-0.08%
Cumulative Contribution-3.76%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/23/2025 to 12/23/2025
ReturnCorrelation
HLMN-3.8% 
Market (SPY)3.7%31.5%
Sector (XLY)2.7%44.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 30.0% change in HLMN stock from 6/24/2025 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a 96.1% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
624202512232025Change
Stock Price ($)6.908.9730.00%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1481.631536.653.71%
Net Income Margin (%)1.24%2.44%96.11%
P/E Multiple73.8647.32-35.93%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)197.28197.75-0.24%
Cumulative Contribution30.00%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/24/2025 to 12/23/2025
ReturnCorrelation
HLMN30.0% 
Market (SPY)13.7%25.4%
Sector (XLY)13.5%36.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The -8.4% change in HLMN stock from 12/23/2024 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a -79.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
1223202412232025Change
Stock Price ($)9.798.97-8.38%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1470.841536.654.47%
Net Income Margin (%)0.57%2.44%326.23%
P/E Multiple228.2947.32-79.27%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)196.30197.75-0.74%
Cumulative Contribution-8.38%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/23/2024 to 12/23/2025
ReturnCorrelation
HLMN-8.4% 
Market (SPY)16.7%44.9%
Sector (XLY)7.3%51.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 31.5% change in HLMN stock from 12/24/2022 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a 800.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
1224202212232025Change
Stock Price ($)6.828.9731.52%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1480.161536.653.82%
Net Income Margin (%)0.27%2.44%800.42%
P/E Multiple330.5747.32-85.69%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)194.37197.75-1.74%
Cumulative Contribution31.49%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/24/2023 to 12/23/2025
ReturnCorrelation
HLMN-1.5% 
Market (SPY)48.4%48.1%
Sector (XLY)38.2%53.2%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
HLMN Return�3%-33%28%6%-6%�
Peers Return23%28%-33%52%-5%-1%50%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%114%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
HLMN Win Rate�33%42%42%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate63%62%32%60%43%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
HLMN Max Drawdown�-7%-37%-9%-7%-32% 
Peers Max Drawdown-40%-5%-43%-1%-14%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FBIN, SWK, ITW, FAST, SSD.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/23/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventHLMNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-50.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven103.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-1.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven14 days148 days

Compare to SN, IRBT, ALH, XWIN, WHR

In The Past

Hillman Solutions's stock fell -50.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/13/2021. A -50.9% loss requires a 103.7% gain to breakeven.

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About Hillman Solutions (HLMN)

Hillman Solutions Corp., together with its subsidiaries, provides hardware-related products and related merchandising services in North America. It offers hardware products, including anchor shackles and eye bolts, door hinges and chains, garage doors, safety hasps, gate hooks and latches, magnets, hooks and storage, corner braces and mending plates, and springs; and fasteners, such as anchors, ball bearings, bolts, kits, nails, nuts, pins, rivets, screws, spacers, threaded inserts, tools/brushes, washers, wire hardware, and other accessories. The company also offers driveway markers/reflectors, numbers, letters, plaques, signs, stencils, survey and flagging tapes, and safety and caution products; threaded rods, aluminum tubes, and slotted and aluminum angles; wall hangings, including frame hardware, hooks, picture hanging, adhesives, mirrors, wires, and accessories, as well as picture hanging and tool-free mounting products; face masks, gloves, and glasses; keys and engravings; and electrical, plumbing, and automotive products and accessories. It offers its products under the DECK PLUS, GORILLA GRIP, HILLMAN, HARDWARE Essentials, minute key, POWERPRO, OOK, Fas.n.Tite, Distinctions, AWP, OZCO, The Steel Works, and Digz brand names. The company sells its products to hardware stores, home centers, mass merchants, pet supply stores, and other retail outlets, as well as industrial original equipment manufacturers. Hillman Solutions Corp. was founded in 1964 and is headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-2 brief analogies for Hillman Solutions (HLMN):

  • The Fastenal or Grainger for the hardware aisles of Home Depot and Lowe's.

  • A behind-the-scenes partner that supplies hardware, fasteners, and key-making solutions to major home improvement retailers, akin to how WESCO International serves industrial and electrical businesses.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Fasteners: A wide array of screws, nuts, bolts, washers, and anchors for construction, repair, and DIY projects.
  • Key Duplication Systems & Accessories: Products and equipment for key cutting services, including key blanks, key chains, and engraving solutions.
  • General Hardware: Various home improvement items such as hooks, picture hanging kits, letters, numbers, and specialty hardware.
  • Protective & Safety Wear: Personal protective equipment like gloves and safety glasses for consumer and professional use.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Hillman Solutions (HLMN) primarily sells its products to other companies, specifically major retail chains, rather than directly to individuals. These retailers then sell Hillman's products to their end consumers.

Its major customers, based on recent public filings, include:

  • The Home Depot, Inc. (Symbol: HD)
  • Lowe's Companies, Inc. (Symbol: LOW)
  • Walmart Inc. (Symbol: WMT)

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Jon Michael Adinolfi, President and Chief Executive Officer

Jon Michael Adinolfi assumed the role of President and Chief Executive Officer of Hillman Solutions on January 1, 2025, having previously served as Chief Operating Officer since June 2023. Prior to becoming COO, Mr. Adinolfi was the Divisional President, Hillman U.S., a position he held since joining the company in 2019. Before his time at Hillman, he held leadership roles at Stanley Black & Decker, including President of U.S. Retail from November 2016 to July 2019, President of Hand Tools from October 2013 to December 2016, and CFO - North America, CDIY from June 2011 to September 2013. Mr. Adinolfi also served as President at Crown Bolt from 2008 to 2011, which was a fastener supplier for Home Depot.

Robert Kraft, Chief Financial Officer

Robert Kraft has served as Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer of Hillman Solutions since November 2017. Before joining Hillman, Mr. Kraft was the President of the Omnicare (Long Term Care) division and an Executive Vice President of CVS Health Corporation from August 2015 to September 2017. From November 2010 to August 2015, he was the Chief Financial Officer and Senior Vice President of Omnicare, Inc., where he managed the sale of Omnicare to CVS Health for $13 billion. Mr. Kraft began his career with PriceWaterhouseCoopers LLP in 1992 and became a Partner in 2004. He has experience working with private equity-backed organizations. Mr. Kraft is also a member of the Board of Directors of Medpace Holdings, Inc.

Doug Cahill, Executive Chairman

Doug Cahill will transition to the role of Executive Chairman effective January 1, 2025, having previously served as Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer of Hillman Solutions. He has led Hillman for the past ten years. Prior to his tenure at Hillman, Mr. Cahill was a Managing Director of CCMP Capital Advisors and a member of the firm's Investment Committee. CCMP Capital Advisors is a private equity firm that acquired a controlling majority stake in Hillman in 2014.

Bob Davis, Executive Vice President of Global Supply Chain

Bob Davis has been the Executive Vice President of Global Supply Chain for Hillman Solutions since February 2024. He joined Hillman in November 2021, holding various roles including Vice President of Transportation and Indirect Sourcing, and Vice President of Operations for Hillman's Protective Solutions Division, while also overseeing Global Sourcing and Packaging. Before Hillman, Mr. Davis gained 16 years of experience in Supply Chain Leadership at Home Depot, where he led all Supply Chain Operations for Crown Bolt for twelve years. He also held increasing roles of responsibility in Stores leadership, Distribution, and Logistics leadership at Target Corporation.

Amanda Kitzberger, Chief Legal Officer

Amanda Kitzberger has served as Chief Legal Officer of Hillman Solutions since May 2023. Her previous roles at Hillman include Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary from February 2023 to May 2023, Vice President of Human Resources from June 2021 to February 2023, and Assistant General Counsel from January 2019 to June 2021. Before joining Hillman, she was the VP General Counsel and Human Resources at Clopay Plastic Products Co. Her career encompasses leading legal, ethics, and human resource functions across various global technology manufacturing companies.

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Key Risks to Hillman Solutions (HLMN) Business:
  1. Tariff Impacts, Supply Chain Costs, and Raw Material Price Volatility: Hillman Solutions faces significant challenges from tariffs, which have a notable impact on profitability and necessitate strategic pricing adjustments. The company also grapples with increased supply chain costs and volatility in raw material prices, particularly steel.
  2. Large Customer Concentration: A substantial portion of Hillman Solutions' revenue is concentrated with a few major retailers. For instance, Home Depot and Lowe's accounted for 22% and 19% of the company's 2024 revenues, respectively. This reliance on a limited number of key customers poses a risk if these relationships deteriorate or if the financial performance of these retailers declines.
  3. Unfavorable Economic Conditions and Market Softness: The business is susceptible to broader economic downturns, including inflation, recessions, and reduced consumer spending. Such conditions can negatively impact home renovation and construction projects, directly affecting demand for Hillman's products. Market softness has already contributed to declines in sales and retail foot traffic.

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Hillman Solutions (HLMN) operates in a significant addressable market primarily across North America. The company's main products and services fall into three categories: hardware solutions, protective solutions, and robotic and digital solutions.

The addressable market for Hillman Solutions' core hardware-related products is estimated to be approximately $6 billion. When considering adjacencies and extensions of their offerings, this addressable market expands to $20 billion. These market sizes are for the North American region.

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Hillman Solutions (HLMN) anticipates several key drivers to fuel its revenue growth over the next two to three years. These drivers are rooted in strategic initiatives, market positioning, and expected macroeconomic improvements. Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Hillman Solutions:
  • Strategic Acquisitions: Hillman has demonstrated a strategy of enhancing its offerings and market presence through acquisitions. For instance, the Intex acquisition in August 2024 contributed to net sales in the third quarter of 2025. Similarly, the Koch acquisition also provided a boost to sales in 2024. The company has explicitly stated its intention to continue expanding its offerings through future acquisitions, suggesting this will remain a key growth avenue.
  • New Business Wins and Core Segment Expansion: Hillman expects new business wins to be a significant contributor to its top-line growth, as evidenced by their impact on Q3 2025 results and projections for 2026. The Hardware & Protective Solutions (HPS) segment, which encompasses fastening, hardware products, and personal protective equipment, has shown strong performance, leading growth with a 10% revenue increase in Q3 2025. Continued expansion and new product introductions within these core segments, such as the previously launched Rope & Chain accessories, are expected to drive further revenue.
  • Pricing Power: The company has successfully implemented price increases, with a "10-point increase from price" driving robust top-line results in Q3 2025. Management also cited "rollover price" as a contributor to anticipated high single to low double-digit top-line growth in 2026. This ability to adjust pricing reflects the essential nature of Hillman's products and its strong position within its markets.
  • Growth of Robotics and Digital Solutions: Hillman is making measured capital investments into its Robotics and Digital Solutions (RDS) segment, particularly with its Mini Key 3.5 machines. Over 3,000 Mini Key 3.5 machines have been deployed, and these investments are expected to generate healthy returns on invested capital in the future. This segment represents an area for technological innovation and efficiency, contributing to new revenue streams.
  • Favorable Market Conditions and Housing Recovery: While subject to external factors, Hillman's outlook for high single to low double-digit top-line growth in 2026 assumes a stable market. Management has expressed optimism about future market conditions, anticipating a return in the housing market which historically provides a strong tailwind for the company's products used in everyday repair and maintenance projects. Improved macro conditions could significantly boost demand for Hillman's offerings.

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Share Repurchases

  • Hillman's Board of Directors authorized a share repurchase program of up to $100 million on August 5, 2025. This marks the company's first share repurchase program since becoming publicly traded in 2021.
  • In the third quarter of 2025, Hillman repurchased approximately 325.6 thousand shares of its common stock for about $3.2 million at an average price of $9.72 per share.

Share Issuance

  • As of February 14, 2025, 197,328,512 shares of common stock were issued and outstanding.
  • As of February 20, 2024, there were 195,181,953 shares of common stock issued and outstanding.
  • The company approved a shelf registration statement in Q2 2025 but does not intend to use it to raise capital in the foreseeable future.

Outbound Investments

  • Hillman acquired Intex in August 2024, which expanded its cleaning products category to include wiping cloths, consumable rags, and cleaning textiles. This acquisition contributed to the company's net sales growth.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures were $17.172 million for Q3 2025 and $24.118 million for Q3 2024.
  • For the first nine months of 2025, capital expenditures totaled $55.347 million, compared to $64.196 million for the first nine months of 2024.
  • Hillman expected to spend between $65 million and $75 million for capital expenditures in 2024, primarily focused on new key duplicating kiosks and machines, merchandising racks, and IT projects.

Better Bets than Hillman Solutions (HLMN)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to HLMN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
10.6%10.6%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.6%2.6%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.5%19.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.9%3.9%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Hillman Solutions

Peers to compare with:

Financials

HLMNFBINSWKITWFASTSSDMedian
NameHillman .Fortune .Stanley .Illinois.Fastenal Simpson . 
Mkt Price8.9750.5274.65251.8341.72165.3062.59
Mkt Cap1.86.111.373.247.96.99.1
Rev LTM1,5374,49015,16615,8837,9982,3116,244
Op Inc LTM1116631,1244,1621,616447893
FCF LTM413953702,845965239382
FCF 3Y Avg1075546442,8111,069263599
CFO LTM1175436953,2771,210419619
CFO 3Y Avg1847579883,2651,279402873

Growth & Margins

HLMNFBINSWKITWFASTSSDMedian
NameHillman .Fortune .Stanley .Illinois.Fastenal Simpson . 
Rev Chg LTM4.5%-3.8%-1.4%-0.4%6.9%4.3%1.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.3%22.7%-3.6%0.5%5.5%3.9%2.6%
Rev Chg Q8.0%-0.5%0.1%2.3%11.7%6.2%4.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.1%-0.1%0.0%0.6%2.9%1.6%1.1%
Op Mgn LTM7.2%14.8%7.4%26.2%20.2%19.3%17.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.6%15.4%5.8%25.9%20.4%20.4%17.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.1%-0.6%0.4%0.2%0.1%-0.3%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM7.6%12.1%4.6%20.6%15.1%18.1%13.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg12.4%16.5%6.4%20.4%16.9%18.0%16.7%
FCF/Rev LTM2.7%8.8%2.4%17.9%12.1%10.3%9.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg7.2%12.1%4.1%17.6%14.2%11.8%12.0%

Valuation

HLMNFBINSWKITWFASTSSDMedian
NameHillman .Fortune .Stanley .Illinois.Fastenal Simpson . 
Mkt Cap1.86.111.373.247.96.99.1
P/S1.21.40.74.66.03.02.2
P/EBIT16.110.813.917.429.515.415.7
P/E47.318.525.824.239.019.925.0
P/CFO15.111.216.322.339.616.416.3
Total Yield2.1%7.4%8.3%6.5%4.6%5.7%6.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.0%4.4%2.4%2.0%0.7%2.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.0%6.9%4.7%3.8%2.7%3.9%4.3%
D/E0.40.50.60.10.00.10.3
Net D/E0.40.40.60.10.00.00.3

Returns

HLMNFBINSWKITWFASTSSDMedian
NameHillman .Fortune .Stanley .Illinois.Fastenal Simpson . 
1M Rtn6.4%7.3%14.2%1.6%4.5%1.6%5.5%
3M Rtn-3.8%-6.1%0.3%-3.0%-12.6%-7.7%-4.9%
6M Rtn30.0%-2.6%15.1%3.7%1.5%4.1%3.9%
12M Rtn-8.4%-26.1%-4.0%0.1%14.4%-0.9%-2.4%
3Y Rtn31.5%-6.9%13.7%20.9%88.3%89.6%26.2%
1M Excs Rtn1.8%2.7%9.5%-3.0%-0.1%-3.1%0.8%
3M Excs Rtn-7.6%-9.8%-3.5%-6.5%-15.9%-10.3%-8.7%
6M Excs Rtn18.7%-14.1%1.9%-9.7%-11.0%-7.8%-8.7%
12M Excs Rtn-28.1%-42.7%-19.4%-17.8%-2.7%-19.1%-19.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-52.5%-86.8%-69.2%-55.5%8.5%5.9%-54.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil2024202320222021
Fastening and Hardware1,006990889838
Personal Protective216243285318
Keys and Key Accessories202197193161
Engraving and Resharp525659 
Engraving   51
Resharp   0
Total1,4761,4861,4261,368


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$8.97 
Market Cap ($ Bil)1.8 
First Trading Date12/03/2020 
Distance from 52W High-14.6% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$8.98$8.56
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-0.1%4.8%
 3M1YR
Volatility30.9%42.3%
Downside Capture124.03130.09
Upside Capture84.24101.72
Correlation (SPY)32.5%44.8%
HLMN Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.310.630.701.090.981.19
Up Beta0.880.531.041.550.880.96
Down Beta-0.560.230.120.580.851.10
Up Capture106%53%36%125%93%208%
Bmk +ve Days13263974142427
Stock +ve Days7172554109364
Down Capture197%102%126%114%121%108%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days10213364131362

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of HLMN With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 HLMNSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-11.1%7.8%18.8%72.9%9.0%3.7%-11.4%
Annualized Volatility42.1%24.3%19.5%19.2%15.3%17.2%35.0%
Sharpe Ratio-0.180.250.762.720.360.05-0.14
Correlation With Other Assets 51.6%44.7%-5.1%1.8%45.4%19.5%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of HLMN With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 HLMNSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-2.3%9.9%14.8%18.9%11.8%4.7%35.5%
Annualized Volatility37.6%23.8%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.9%
Sharpe Ratio0.040.380.700.980.510.160.62
Correlation With Other Assets 48.7%46.8%7.2%10.9%50.2%22.1%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of HLMN With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 HLMNSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-1.8%13.2%14.8%15.1%6.8%5.4%69.1%
Annualized Volatility37.5%22.0%18.0%14.8%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio0.050.550.710.850.310.230.90
Correlation With Other Assets 48.7%46.7%7.1%10.9%50.1%22.0%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,125,367
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-2.6%
Average Daily Volume884,219
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.80
Basic Shares Quantity197,754,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.6%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/2025-2.8%-5.6%-3.1%
8/5/202519.1%19.1%20.4%
4/29/2025-7.4%-2.5%-3.2%
2/18/2025-2.1%-2.1%-13.2%
11/5/20243.4%5.2%7.0%
8/6/20247.7%0.4%8.2%
5/7/2024-4.3%-5.0%-9.4%
2/22/20244.8%7.1%16.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive988
# Negative899
Median Positive4.8%5.8%15.5%
Median Negative-4.4%-4.0%-9.9%
Max Positive19.1%19.1%30.0%
Max Negative-9.7%-8.6%-18.1%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025429202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024220202510-K 12/28/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/30/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023509202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022227202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/24/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/25/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/26/2022
12312021316202210-K 12/25/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Parker Aaron JerrodChief People Offic.8112025Sell9.864,53244,686558,253Form
1Kraft Robert O.CFO and Treasurer5052025Buy7.09140,000992,6004,486,212Form
2Ride ScottPresident, Hillman Canada2212025Sell10.0612,359124,332485,264Form