Tearsheet

Hillman Solutions (HLMN)


Market Price (3/3/2026): $8.12 | Market Cap: $1.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Household Appliances

Hillman Solutions (HLMN)


Market Price (3/3/2026): $8.12
Market Cap: $1.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Household Appliances

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 45%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -52%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -80%
Key risks
HLMN key risks include [1] a high concentration of revenue from a few major retailers, Show more.
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Home Improvement & Renovation, and Building & Construction Support. Themes include Hardware & Fastener Supply Chain, Retail Merchandising & Category Management, Show more.
  
0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 45%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Home Improvement & Renovation, and Building & Construction Support. Themes include Hardware & Fastener Supply Chain, Retail Merchandising & Category Management, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -52%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -80%
3 Key risks
HLMN key risks include [1] a high concentration of revenue from a few major retailers, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Hillman Solutions (HLMN) stock has lost about 5% since 11/30/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Disappointing 2026 Guidance and Q4 2025 Revenue Miss.

Hillman Solutions' stock declined following its Q4 2025 earnings report on February 17, 2026, which revealed a revenue miss of approximately $13.7 million against analyst estimates ($365.1 million reported vs. $378.85 million estimated). More significantly, the company's 2026 guidance projected modest adjusted EBITDA growth of only 1.7% at the midpoint ($275 million to $285 million) over 2025, a substantial deceleration from the 13.9% growth experienced in 2025. Furthermore, adjusted gross profit margins are expected to decrease to between 46% and 47% in 2026 from 48.7% in 2025 due to fully realized tariff costs. The stock dropped over 10% immediately after this announcement.

2. Significant Decline in Free Cash Flow.

The company reported a substantial decrease in free cash flow for full-year 2025, dropping to $35.1 million from $98.1 million in 2024. This was primarily attributed to approximately $65 million in tariff-related impacts. This decline likely raised investor concerns regarding cash generation.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -7.2% change in HLMN stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/2/2026 was primarily driven by a -13.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)113020253022026Change
Stock Price ($)8.758.12-7.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,5371,5521.0%
Net Income Margin (%)2.4%2.6%6.4%
P/E Multiple46.239.7-13.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1981970.3%
Cumulative Contribution-7.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

11/30/2025 to 3/2/2026
ReturnCorrelation
HLMN-7.2% 
Market (SPY)0.4%26.4%
Sector (XLY)-2.4%43.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The -17.8% change in HLMN stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/2/2026 was primarily driven by a -55.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)83120253022026Change
Stock Price ($)9.888.12-17.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,5051,5523.1%
Net Income Margin (%)1.4%2.6%79.9%
P/E Multiple89.939.7-55.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1981970.2%
Cumulative Contribution-17.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 3/2/2026
ReturnCorrelation
HLMN-17.8% 
Market (SPY)6.7%26.1%
Sector (XLY)-0.2%37.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The -16.8% change in HLMN stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/2/2026 was primarily driven by a -64.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)22820253022026Change
Stock Price ($)9.768.12-16.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,4731,5525.4%
Net Income Margin (%)1.2%2.6%121.6%
P/E Multiple111.339.7-64.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)197197-0.2%
Cumulative Contribution-16.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2025 to 3/2/2026
ReturnCorrelation
HLMN-16.8% 
Market (SPY)16.5%41.9%
Sector (XLY)7.6%49.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The -8.7% change in HLMN stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/2/2026 was primarily driven by a -4.9% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)22820233022026Change
Stock Price ($)8.898.12-8.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,5520.0%
Net Income Margin (%)2.6%0.0%
P/E Multiple39.70.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)188197-4.9%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2023 to 3/2/2026
ReturnCorrelation
HLMN-8.7% 
Market (SPY)79.7%46.5%
Sector (XLY)62.4%50.9%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
HLMN Return3%-33%28%6%-11%-5%-22%
Peers Return28%-33%52%-5%-3%16%38%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%0%83%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
HLMN Win Rate33%42%42%50%42%33% 
Peers Win Rate62%32%60%43%53%67% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%33% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
HLMN Max Drawdown-7%-37%-9%-7%-32%-5% 
Peers Max Drawdown-5%-43%-1%-14%-19%0% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-1% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: FBIN, SWK, ITW, FAST, SSD.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/2/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventHLMNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-50.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven103.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-1.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven14 days148 days

Compare to FBIN, SWK, ITW, FAST, SSD

In The Past

Hillman Solutions's stock fell -50.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/13/2021. A -50.9% loss requires a 103.7% gain to breakeven.

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About Hillman Solutions (HLMN)

Hillman Solutions Corp., together with its subsidiaries, provides hardware-related products and related merchandising services in North America. It offers hardware products, including anchor shackles and eye bolts, door hinges and chains, garage doors, safety hasps, gate hooks and latches, magnets, hooks and storage, corner braces and mending plates, and springs; and fasteners, such as anchors, ball bearings, bolts, kits, nails, nuts, pins, rivets, screws, spacers, threaded inserts, tools/brushes, washers, wire hardware, and other accessories. The company also offers driveway markers/reflectors, numbers, letters, plaques, signs, stencils, survey and flagging tapes, and safety and caution products; threaded rods, aluminum tubes, and slotted and aluminum angles; wall hangings, including frame hardware, hooks, picture hanging, adhesives, mirrors, wires, and accessories, as well as picture hanging and tool-free mounting products; face masks, gloves, and glasses; keys and engravings; and electrical, plumbing, and automotive products and accessories. It offers its products under the DECK PLUS, GORILLA GRIP, HILLMAN, HARDWARE Essentials, minute key, POWERPRO, OOK, Fas.n.Tite, Distinctions, AWP, OZCO, The Steel Works, and Digz brand names. The company sells its products to hardware stores, home centers, mass merchants, pet supply stores, and other retail outlets, as well as industrial original equipment manufacturers. Hillman Solutions Corp. was founded in 1964 and is headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-2 brief analogies for Hillman Solutions (HLMN):

  • The Fastenal or Grainger for the hardware aisles of Home Depot and Lowe's.

  • A behind-the-scenes partner that supplies hardware, fasteners, and key-making solutions to major home improvement retailers, akin to how WESCO International serves industrial and electrical businesses.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Fasteners: A wide array of screws, nuts, bolts, washers, and anchors for construction, repair, and DIY projects.
  • Key Duplication Systems & Accessories: Products and equipment for key cutting services, including key blanks, key chains, and engraving solutions.
  • General Hardware: Various home improvement items such as hooks, picture hanging kits, letters, numbers, and specialty hardware.
  • Protective & Safety Wear: Personal protective equipment like gloves and safety glasses for consumer and professional use.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Hillman Solutions (HLMN) primarily sells its products to other companies, specifically major retail chains, rather than directly to individuals. These retailers then sell Hillman's products to their end consumers.

Its major customers, based on recent public filings, include:

  • The Home Depot, Inc. (Symbol: HD)
  • Lowe's Companies, Inc. (Symbol: LOW)
  • Walmart Inc. (Symbol: WMT)

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Jon Michael Adinolfi, President and Chief Executive Officer

Jon Michael Adinolfi assumed the role of President and Chief Executive Officer of Hillman Solutions on January 1, 2025, having previously served as Chief Operating Officer since June 2023. Prior to becoming COO, Mr. Adinolfi was the Divisional President, Hillman U.S., a position he held since joining the company in 2019. Before his time at Hillman, he held leadership roles at Stanley Black & Decker, including President of U.S. Retail from November 2016 to July 2019, President of Hand Tools from October 2013 to December 2016, and CFO - North America, CDIY from June 2011 to September 2013. Mr. Adinolfi also served as President at Crown Bolt from 2008 to 2011, which was a fastener supplier for Home Depot.

Robert Kraft, Chief Financial Officer

Robert Kraft has served as Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer of Hillman Solutions since November 2017. Before joining Hillman, Mr. Kraft was the President of the Omnicare (Long Term Care) division and an Executive Vice President of CVS Health Corporation from August 2015 to September 2017. From November 2010 to August 2015, he was the Chief Financial Officer and Senior Vice President of Omnicare, Inc., where he managed the sale of Omnicare to CVS Health for $13 billion. Mr. Kraft began his career with PriceWaterhouseCoopers LLP in 1992 and became a Partner in 2004. He has experience working with private equity-backed organizations. Mr. Kraft is also a member of the Board of Directors of Medpace Holdings, Inc.

Doug Cahill, Executive Chairman

Doug Cahill will transition to the role of Executive Chairman effective January 1, 2025, having previously served as Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer of Hillman Solutions. He has led Hillman for the past ten years. Prior to his tenure at Hillman, Mr. Cahill was a Managing Director of CCMP Capital Advisors and a member of the firm's Investment Committee. CCMP Capital Advisors is a private equity firm that acquired a controlling majority stake in Hillman in 2014.

Bob Davis, Executive Vice President of Global Supply Chain

Bob Davis has been the Executive Vice President of Global Supply Chain for Hillman Solutions since February 2024. He joined Hillman in November 2021, holding various roles including Vice President of Transportation and Indirect Sourcing, and Vice President of Operations for Hillman's Protective Solutions Division, while also overseeing Global Sourcing and Packaging. Before Hillman, Mr. Davis gained 16 years of experience in Supply Chain Leadership at Home Depot, where he led all Supply Chain Operations for Crown Bolt for twelve years. He also held increasing roles of responsibility in Stores leadership, Distribution, and Logistics leadership at Target Corporation.

Amanda Kitzberger, Chief Legal Officer

Amanda Kitzberger has served as Chief Legal Officer of Hillman Solutions since May 2023. Her previous roles at Hillman include Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary from February 2023 to May 2023, Vice President of Human Resources from June 2021 to February 2023, and Assistant General Counsel from January 2019 to June 2021. Before joining Hillman, she was the VP General Counsel and Human Resources at Clopay Plastic Products Co. Her career encompasses leading legal, ethics, and human resource functions across various global technology manufacturing companies.

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Key Risks to Hillman Solutions (HLMN) Business:
  1. Tariff Impacts, Supply Chain Costs, and Raw Material Price Volatility: Hillman Solutions faces significant challenges from tariffs, which have a notable impact on profitability and necessitate strategic pricing adjustments. The company also grapples with increased supply chain costs and volatility in raw material prices, particularly steel.
  2. Large Customer Concentration: A substantial portion of Hillman Solutions' revenue is concentrated with a few major retailers. For instance, Home Depot and Lowe's accounted for 22% and 19% of the company's 2024 revenues, respectively. This reliance on a limited number of key customers poses a risk if these relationships deteriorate or if the financial performance of these retailers declines.
  3. Unfavorable Economic Conditions and Market Softness: The business is susceptible to broader economic downturns, including inflation, recessions, and reduced consumer spending. Such conditions can negatively impact home renovation and construction projects, directly affecting demand for Hillman's products. Market softness has already contributed to declines in sales and retail foot traffic.

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Hillman Solutions (HLMN) operates in a significant addressable market primarily across North America. The company's main products and services fall into three categories: hardware solutions, protective solutions, and robotic and digital solutions.

The addressable market for Hillman Solutions' core hardware-related products is estimated to be approximately $6 billion. When considering adjacencies and extensions of their offerings, this addressable market expands to $20 billion. These market sizes are for the North American region.

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Hillman Solutions (HLMN) anticipates several key drivers to fuel its revenue growth over the next two to three years. These drivers are rooted in strategic initiatives, market positioning, and expected macroeconomic improvements. Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Hillman Solutions:
  • Strategic Acquisitions: Hillman has demonstrated a strategy of enhancing its offerings and market presence through acquisitions. For instance, the Intex acquisition in August 2024 contributed to net sales in the third quarter of 2025. Similarly, the Koch acquisition also provided a boost to sales in 2024. The company has explicitly stated its intention to continue expanding its offerings through future acquisitions, suggesting this will remain a key growth avenue.
  • New Business Wins and Core Segment Expansion: Hillman expects new business wins to be a significant contributor to its top-line growth, as evidenced by their impact on Q3 2025 results and projections for 2026. The Hardware & Protective Solutions (HPS) segment, which encompasses fastening, hardware products, and personal protective equipment, has shown strong performance, leading growth with a 10% revenue increase in Q3 2025. Continued expansion and new product introductions within these core segments, such as the previously launched Rope & Chain accessories, are expected to drive further revenue.
  • Pricing Power: The company has successfully implemented price increases, with a "10-point increase from price" driving robust top-line results in Q3 2025. Management also cited "rollover price" as a contributor to anticipated high single to low double-digit top-line growth in 2026. This ability to adjust pricing reflects the essential nature of Hillman's products and its strong position within its markets.
  • Growth of Robotics and Digital Solutions: Hillman is making measured capital investments into its Robotics and Digital Solutions (RDS) segment, particularly with its Mini Key 3.5 machines. Over 3,000 Mini Key 3.5 machines have been deployed, and these investments are expected to generate healthy returns on invested capital in the future. This segment represents an area for technological innovation and efficiency, contributing to new revenue streams.
  • Favorable Market Conditions and Housing Recovery: While subject to external factors, Hillman's outlook for high single to low double-digit top-line growth in 2026 assumes a stable market. Management has expressed optimism about future market conditions, anticipating a return in the housing market which historically provides a strong tailwind for the company's products used in everyday repair and maintenance projects. Improved macro conditions could significantly boost demand for Hillman's offerings.

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Share Repurchases

  • Hillman's Board of Directors authorized a share repurchase program of up to $100 million on August 5, 2025. This marks the company's first share repurchase program since becoming publicly traded in 2021.
  • In the third quarter of 2025, Hillman repurchased approximately 325.6 thousand shares of its common stock for about $3.2 million at an average price of $9.72 per share.

Share Issuance

  • As of February 14, 2025, 197,328,512 shares of common stock were issued and outstanding.
  • As of February 20, 2024, there were 195,181,953 shares of common stock issued and outstanding.
  • The company approved a shelf registration statement in Q2 2025 but does not intend to use it to raise capital in the foreseeable future.

Outbound Investments

  • Hillman acquired Intex in August 2024, which expanded its cleaning products category to include wiping cloths, consumable rags, and cleaning textiles. This acquisition contributed to the company's net sales growth.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures were $17.172 million for Q3 2025 and $24.118 million for Q3 2024.
  • For the first nine months of 2025, capital expenditures totaled $55.347 million, compared to $64.196 million for the first nine months of 2024.
  • Hillman expected to spend between $65 million and $75 million for capital expenditures in 2024, primarily focused on new key duplicating kiosks and machines, merchandising racks, and IT projects.

Better Bets vs. Hillman Solutions (HLMN)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to HLMN.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MBLY_2272026_Dip_Buyer_HighCashEquity_ExInd02272026MBLYMobileye GlobalDip BuyDB | Cash/EquityDip Buyer with High Net Cash % Equity
Buying dips for companies with significant net cash as a % of market cap along with meaningful cash flow generation
0.0%0.0%0.0%
SAH_2202026_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V202202026SAHSonic AutomotiveInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.9%-5.9%-6.1%
MAT_2132026_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V202132026MATMattelInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
2.9%2.9%0.0%
SONO_2132026_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V202132026SONOSonosInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.7%-0.7%-4.6%
DECK_2062026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy02062026DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
1.6%1.6%-0.8%
HLMN_11302022_Insider_Buying_45D_2Buy_200K11302022HLMNHillman SolutionsInsiderInsider Buys 45DStrong Insider Buying
Companies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days
1.8%-8.0%-17.7%
HLMN_3312022_Insider_Buying_45D_2Buy_200K03312022HLMNHillman SolutionsInsiderInsider Buys 45DStrong Insider Buying
Companies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days
-36.1%-29.1%-43.4%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

HLMNFBINSWKITWFASTSSDMedian
NameHillman .Fortune .Stanley .Illinois.Fastenal Simpson . 
Mkt Price8.1252.3784.04291.1746.33192.9668.20
Mkt Cap1.66.312.784.353.28.010.4
Rev LTM1,5524,49015,13016,0448,2002,3116,345
Op Inc LTM1146631,2554,2161,656447959
FCF LTM353956882,7071,050239542
FCF 3Y Avg1025547642,8781,086263659
CFO LTM1055439713,1261,296419757
CFO 3Y Avg1767571,0903,3151,301402923

Growth & Margins

HLMNFBINSWKITWFASTSSDMedian
NameHillman .Fortune .Stanley .Illinois.Fastenal Simpson . 
Rev Chg LTM5.4%-3.8%-1.5%0.9%8.7%4.3%2.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.5%22.7%-3.7%0.2%5.5%3.9%2.7%
Rev Chg Q4.5%-0.5%-1.0%4.1%11.1%6.2%4.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.0%-0.1%-0.2%1.0%2.5%1.6%1.0%
Op Mgn LTM7.3%14.8%8.3%26.3%20.2%19.3%17.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.8%15.4%6.7%26.1%20.3%20.4%17.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%-0.6%0.9%0.1%-0.0%-0.3%0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM6.8%12.1%6.4%19.5%15.8%18.1%13.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg11.8%16.5%7.1%20.7%17.0%18.0%16.7%
FCF/Rev LTM2.3%8.8%4.5%16.9%12.8%10.3%9.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg6.9%12.1%4.9%18.0%14.2%11.8%12.0%

Valuation

HLMNFBINSWKITWFASTSSDMedian
NameHillman .Fortune .Stanley .Illinois.Fastenal Simpson . 
Mkt Cap1.66.312.784.353.28.010.4
P/S1.01.40.85.36.53.52.4
P/EBIT14.211.213.619.832.017.916.0
P/E39.719.231.727.542.323.329.6
P/CFO15.211.613.127.041.119.117.2
Total Yield2.5%7.1%7.1%5.8%4.3%4.9%5.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.9%3.9%2.1%1.9%0.6%1.9%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.6%6.8%6.0%3.8%2.7%3.4%4.7%
D/E0.50.50.50.10.00.10.3
Net D/E0.50.40.40.10.00.00.3

Returns

HLMNFBINSWKITWFASTSSDMedian
NameHillman .Fortune .Stanley .Illinois.Fastenal Simpson . 
1M Rtn-13.3%-2.7%6.8%11.4%6.8%9.2%6.8%
3M Rtn-6.9%1.5%19.1%18.4%16.0%13.5%14.8%
6M Rtn-17.8%-9.6%15.7%11.4%-5.7%1.3%-2.2%
12M Rtn-16.8%-17.5%1.7%13.1%24.9%18.2%7.4%
3Y Rtn-10.8%-12.3%8.4%30.0%85.8%75.7%19.2%
1M Excs Rtn-13.1%-3.1%7.5%12.0%8.2%9.7%7.9%
3M Excs Rtn-9.4%1.1%16.0%16.7%14.6%13.9%14.3%
6M Excs Rtn-24.4%-16.1%8.4%5.1%-12.5%-5.5%-9.0%
12M Excs Rtn-35.0%-35.2%-14.7%-3.1%10.3%1.4%-8.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-79.8%-83.1%-62.6%-38.7%22.6%11.6%-50.6%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Fastening and Hardware1,0161,006990889838
Personal Protective230216243285318
Keys and Key Fobs178202197193161
Engraving and Resharp48525659 
Engraving    51
Resharp    0
Total1,4731,4761,4861,4261,368


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$8.12 
Market Cap ($ Bil)1.6 
First Trading Date12/03/2020 
Distance from 52W High-24.4% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$9.39$8.84
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA-13.5%-8.2%
 3M1YR
Volatility43.2%44.8%
Downside Capture95.74123.19
Upside Capture44.3785.09
Correlation (SPY)26.5%41.5%
HLMN Betas & Captures as of 2/28/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.220.951.080.840.961.15
Up Beta1.621.661.591.170.900.96
Down Beta2.561.731.480.730.931.04
Up Capture-177%-1%49%39%79%162%
Bmk +ve Days9203170142431
Stock +ve Days10182550108359
Down Capture24%76%95%110%115%109%
Bmk -ve Days12213054109320
Stock -ve Days11233568134367

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with HLMN
HLMN-15.3%44.8%-0.25-
Sector ETF (XLY)9.4%24.1%0.3248.8%
Equity (SPY)18.4%19.3%0.7541.4%
Gold (GLD)86.5%25.7%2.41-0.1%
Commodities (DBC)16.5%17.1%0.734.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)7.1%16.6%0.2440.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-22.3%45.0%-0.4316.5%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with HLMN
HLMN-4.7%38.5%-0.02-
Sector ETF (XLY)7.8%23.7%0.2948.7%
Equity (SPY)13.6%17.0%0.6346.3%
Gold (GLD)23.9%17.2%1.147.8%
Commodities (DBC)11.1%19.0%0.4710.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.1%18.8%0.1749.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)6.2%56.8%0.3321.6%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with HLMN
HLMN-1.7%37.8%0.01-
Sector ETF (XLY)13.2%21.9%0.5548.2%
Equity (SPY)15.3%17.9%0.7345.9%
Gold (GLD)15.6%15.6%0.847.3%
Commodities (DBC)8.9%17.6%0.4210.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)6.5%20.7%0.2849.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)65.1%66.8%1.0520.7%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date2132026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4.7 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 1312026-12.2%
Average Daily Volume1.8 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.5 days
Basic Shares Quantity197.2 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares2.4%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/2025-2.8%-5.6%-3.1%
8/5/202519.1%19.1%20.4%
4/29/2025-7.4%-2.5%-3.2%
2/18/2025-2.1%-2.1%-13.2%
11/5/20243.4%5.2%7.0%
8/6/20247.7%0.4%8.2%
5/7/2024-4.3%-5.0%-9.4%
2/22/20244.8%7.1%16.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive988
# Negative899
Median Positive4.8%5.8%15.5%
Median Negative-4.4%-4.0%-9.9%
Max Positive19.1%19.1%30.0%
Max Negative-9.7%-8.6%-18.1%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202502/17/202610-K
09/30/202511/04/202510-Q
06/30/202508/05/202510-Q
03/31/202504/29/202510-Q
12/31/202402/20/202510-K
09/30/202411/05/202410-Q
06/30/202408/06/202410-Q
03/31/202405/07/202410-Q
12/31/202302/22/202410-K
09/30/202311/08/202310-Q
06/30/202308/08/202310-Q
03/31/202305/09/202310-Q
12/31/202202/27/202310-K
09/30/202211/03/202210-Q
06/30/202208/03/202210-Q
03/31/202205/03/202210-Q

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Parker, Aaron JerrodChief People Offic.DirectSell81120259.864,53244,686558,253Form
2Kraft, Robert OCFO and TreasurerDirectBuy50520257.09140,000992,6004,486,212Form
3Ride, ScottPresident, Hillman CanadaDirectSell221202510.0612,359124,332485,264Form