HIVE Digital Technologies (HIVE)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $3.25 | Market Cap: $591.5 MilSector: Financials | Industry: Diversified Capital Markets
HIVE Digital Technologies (HIVE)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $3.25Market Cap: $591.5 MilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Diversified Capital Markets
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.5% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -46%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -10% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -52 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -40% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -9.8% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Crypto & Blockchain, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Cryptocurrency Mining, and Renewable Energy Adoption for Digital Infrastructure. | Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -136% |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.5% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Crypto & Blockchain, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Cryptocurrency Mining, and Renewable Energy Adoption for Digital Infrastructure. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -46%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -10% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -52 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -40% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -9.8% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -136% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
HIVE Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Following are the key points explaining the 11.2% movement in HIVE Digital Technologies (HIVE) stock from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Strong Bitcoin Production Growth and Capacity Expansion: HIVE Digital Technologies reported a 22% month-over-month increase in Bitcoin production for August 2025, reaching an average hashrate of 16.3 EH/s and exceeding 18 EH/s of global mining capacity. By November 28, 2025, the company had achieved a 283% year-to-date growth in its Bitcoin-mining capacity, with management targeting 25 EH/s by U.S. Thanksgiving 2025. 2. Exceeding Q2 2025 Revenue Estimates: HIVE Digital Technologies announced impressive revenue of $87.3 million for its fiscal Q2, surpassing analysts' estimates. This strong financial performance was viewed as a positive indication of the company's aggressive market expansion strategy and adaptive potential.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| HIVE Return | 2489% | 40% | -89% | 215% | -37% | 11% | 763% |
| Peers Return | -1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -19% | -19% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| HIVE Win Rate | 58% | 58% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 22% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| HIVE Max Drawdown | 0% | -5% | -89% | 0% | -50% | -54% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ABTC, FIGR, GEMI, MIAX, STKE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | HIVE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -94.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1775.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -68.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 213.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 131 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -97.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 4285.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 388 days | 120 days |
Compare to ABTC, FIGR, GEMI, MIAX, STKE
In The Past
HIVE Digital Technologies's stock fell -94.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/19/2021. A -94.7% loss requires a 1775.9% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to HIVE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.4% | 3.4% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 9.5% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.1% | 0.1% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.4% | 3.4% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 9.5% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.1% | 0.1% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for HIVE Digital Technologies
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 7.02 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.6 |
| Rev LTM | 130 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1 |
| FCF LTM | -85 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -29 |
| CFO LTM | 31 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 22 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 19.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 16.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 41.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 11.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 4.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -10.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 2.9% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 3.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -136.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -33.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.6 |
| P/S | 2.5 |
| P/EBIT | 9.4 |
| P/E | 11.4 |
| P/CFO | 10.5 |
| Total Yield | 8.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -26.5% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -27.2% |
| 3M Rtn | -28.2% |
| 6M Rtn | -12.1% |
| 12M Rtn | -56.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | -22.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -27.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -26.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -26.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -70.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -88.3% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue from digital currency mining | 111 | 106 | 210 | 67 | 29 |
| High performance computing hosting | 3 | 0 | |||
| Revenue from hosting | 2 | 1 | |||
| (Loss) gain on sale of digital currencies | 6 | 1 | |||
| Revaluation of digital currencies | 15 | ||||
| Revaluation gain on digital currencies | -1 | ||||
| Total | 114 | 106 | 211 | 88 | 29 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8152025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 6262025 | 40-F 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2112025 | 6-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8132024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 6242024 | 40-F 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2132024 | 6-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11132023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8112023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 6302023 | 40-F 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2212023 | 6-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11152022 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8172022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 7222022 | 40-F 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2162022 | 6-K 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11162021 | 6-K 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |