Tearsheet

HIVE Digital Technologies (HIVE)


Market Price (12/22/2025): $2.845 | Market Cap: $649.1 Mil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Diversified Capital Markets

HIVE Digital Technologies (HIVE)


Market Price (12/22/2025): $2.845
Market Cap: $649.1 Mil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Diversified Capital Markets

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 57%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -68%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -29%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -42 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -22%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 28x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 31x
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Crypto & Blockchain, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Cryptocurrency Mining, and Renewable Energy Adoption for Digital Infrastructure.
  Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
3   Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -105%
4   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 146%
5   Key risks
HIVE key risks include [1] substantial shareholder dilution from its perpetual need for equity financing and [2] an unproven pivot into AI that is challenged by a lack of scale, Show more.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 57%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Crypto & Blockchain, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Cryptocurrency Mining, and Renewable Energy Adoption for Digital Infrastructure.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -68%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -29%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -42 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -22%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 28x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 31x
6 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
7 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -105%
8 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 146%
9 Key risks
HIVE key risks include [1] substantial shareholder dilution from its perpetual need for equity financing and [2] an unproven pivot into AI that is challenged by a lack of scale, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

HIVE Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. **Bearish Cryptocurrency Market Downturn and Volatility**

The overall cryptocurrency market experienced a significant downturn in late 2025, with its total market capitalization falling to an eight-month low by December, and Bitcoin's price dropping sharply from October highs, intensifying pessimism among traders. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index entered "extreme fear" territory, remaining below 30 since early November, indicating a widespread risk-off sentiment that likely impacted HIVE Digital Technologies' stock.

2. **Lingering Impact of Underperforming Fiscal Q4 2025 Earnings**

While released in June 2025, the fiscal Q4 2025 earnings report highlighted a 15.4% year-over-year decline in revenue, despite higher Bitcoin prices, and a net loss of $0.34 per share, primarily due to the Bitcoin halving and rising network difficulty. The sentiment from this "underwhelming" performance, coupled with a recommendation to "continue to avoid" the stock by analysts in late June 2025, likely carried into the requested period and contributed to negative investor sentiment.

3. **Sustained Margin Pressure from Bitcoin Halving and Network Difficulty**

The Bitcoin halving event in April 2024 continuously exerted pressure on miner rewards and gross operating margins throughout 2025. This structural change in mining economics, leading to reduced profitability per Bitcoin mined, remained a significant headwind for HIVE and other cryptocurrency miners.

4. **Analyst Price Target Reduction**

In November 2025, B. Riley's Nick Giles cut HIVE Digital's price target from $8 to $7, despite maintaining a "Buy" rating. This reduction in the price target by an analyst could signal a revised, more cautious outlook on the company's future growth or valuation, potentially influencing investor decisions negatively.

5. **Broader Macroeconomic Headwinds and "Risk-Off" Sentiment**

Global markets faced a complex environment of macroeconomic pressures in late 2025, including resurgent inflation worries, and increased global trade tensions. This created a "risk-off" sentiment among investors, leading to withdrawals from more volatile assets, such as cryptocurrency-related stocks like HIVE Digital Technologies.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
HIVE Return2489%40%-89%215%-37%-6%632%
Peers Return20%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
HIVE Win Rate58%58%33%50%50%58% 
Peers Win Rate50%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
HIVE Max Drawdown0%-5%-89%0%-50%-54% 
Peers Max Drawdown-42% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MARA, RIOT, CLSK, CORZ, HUT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventHIVES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-94.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1775.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-68.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven213.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven131 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-97.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven4285.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven388 days120 days

Compare to ABTC, FIGR, GEMI, MIAX, STKE


In The Past

HIVE Digital Technologies's stock fell -94.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/19/2021. A -94.7% loss requires a 1775.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About HIVE Digital Technologies (HIVE)

Better Bets than HIVE Digital Technologies (HIVE)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to HIVE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.0%2.0%-0.5%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.8%-4.8%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.8%5.8%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-12.1%-12.1%-12.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.0%2.0%-0.5%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.8%-4.8%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.8%5.8%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-12.1%-12.1%-12.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for HIVE Digital Technologies

Peers to compare with:

Financials

HIVEMARARIOTCLSKCORZHUTMedian
NameHIVE Dig.MARA Riot Pla.Cleanspa.Core Sci.Hut 8  
Mkt Price2.8310.1814.5012.0315.6044.1213.27
Mkt Cap0.63.85.03.45.04.74.2
Rev LTM193919637766334668653
Op Inc LTM-42-625-324-107-159403-133
FCF LTM-203-1,323-1,631-1,024-354-752-888
FCF 3Y Avg-110-736-906-794-123-302-519
CFO LTM23-891-566-461139-104-282
CFO 3Y Avg12-554-229-237116-59-144

Growth & Margins

HIVEMARARIOTCLSKCORZHUTMedian
NameHIVE Dig.MARA Riot Pla.Cleanspa.Core Sci.Hut 8  
Rev Chg LTM57.1%53.5%103.6%102.2%-40.1%88.7%72.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg18.4%82.7%37.8%87.8%-21.9%135.5%60.3%
Rev Chg Q285.3%91.7%112.6%150.5%-14.9%279.5%131.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM50.2%15.1%17.6%21.3%-4.1%21.4%19.4%
Op Mgn LTM-21.9%-68.0%-50.8%-14.0%-47.5%60.3%-34.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-24.0%-57.8%-80.1%-34.8%-19.5%35.9%-29.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM19.1%7.5%18.4%2.5%-5.9%0.9%5.0%
CFO/Rev LTM11.8%-97.0%-88.8%-60.2%41.6%-15.5%-37.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg12.3%-98.4%-42.8%-44.0%27.9%-20.6%-31.7%
FCF/Rev LTM-105.2%-144.0%-256.0%-133.6%-106.0%-112.5%-123.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-73.3%-123.8%-207.0%-199.5%-36.0%-61.5%-98.6%

Valuation

HIVEMARARIOTCLSKCORZHUTMedian
NameHIVE Dig.MARA Riot Pla.Cleanspa.Core Sci.Hut 8  
Mkt Cap0.63.85.03.45.04.74.2
P/S3.34.17.94.414.97.05.7
P/EBIT23.93.127.38.2-13.012.410.3
P/E31.34.130.79.3-6.522.616.0
P/CFO28.3-4.2-8.9-7.435.8-45.0-5.8
Total Yield3.2%24.5%3.3%10.7%-15.5%4.4%3.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-19.7%-18.1%-26.4%-41.8%---23.1%
D/E0.01.00.20.20.20.10.2
Net D/E-0.00.70.1-0.10.10.10.1

Returns

HIVEMARARIOTCLSKCORZHUTMedian
NameHIVE Dig.MARA Riot Pla.Cleanspa.Core Sci.Hut 8  
1M Rtn-2.1%1.1%14.1%23.6%5.9%28.5%10.0%
3M Rtn-25.3%-44.3%-17.0%-11.7%-6.1%21.7%-14.3%
6M Rtn66.5%-28.9%51.7%33.7%31.5%164.2%42.7%
12M Rtn-9.6%-49.0%25.5%8.0%10.4%86.3%9.2%
3Y Rtn75.8%177.4%283.6%489.7%--230.5%
1M Excs Rtn-11.0%-11.2%5.7%14.8%-1.5%14.6%2.1%
3M Excs Rtn-28.0%-46.6%-19.2%-14.5%-11.2%14.4%-16.9%
6M Excs Rtn56.0%-41.6%43.0%22.5%24.0%164.2%33.5%
12M Excs Rtn-39.3%-71.6%-9.2%-15.6%-15.6%36.0%-15.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-28.9%44.6%178.3%356.6%--111.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Revenue from digital currency mining1111062106729
High performance computing hosting30   
Revenue from hosting  21 
(Loss) gain on sale of digital currencies   61
Revaluation of digital currencies   15 
Revaluation gain on digital currencies    -1
Total1141062118829


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity14,502,374
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202554.3%
Average Daily Volume20,412,803
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity228,137,757
Short % of Basic Shares6.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302025111720256-K 9/30/2025
630202581520256-K 6/30/2025
3312025626202540-F 3/31/2025
1231202421120256-K 12/31/2024
9302024111220246-K 9/30/2024
630202481320246-K 6/30/2024
3312024624202440-F 3/31/2024
1231202321320246-K 12/31/2023
9302023111320236-K 9/30/2023
630202381120236-K 6/30/2023
3312023630202340-F 3/31/2023
1231202222120236-K 12/31/2022
9302022111520226-K 9/30/2022
630202281720226-K 6/30/2022
3312022722202240-F 3/31/2022
1231202121620226-K 12/31/2021