HIVE Digital Technologies (HIVE)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $3.5 | Market Cap: $637.0 MilSector: Financials | Industry: Diversified Capital Markets
HIVE Digital Technologies (HIVE)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $3.5Market Cap: $637.0 MilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Diversified Capital Markets
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -26%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -23% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -52 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -40% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Crypto & Blockchain, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Cryptocurrency Mining, and Renewable Energy Adoption for Digital Infrastructure. | Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 21x | |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -9.8% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -136% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Crypto & Blockchain, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Cryptocurrency Mining, and Renewable Energy Adoption for Digital Infrastructure. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -26%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -23% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -52 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -40% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 21x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -9.8% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -136% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
HIVE Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Below are the key points explaining the 66.4% stock movement of HIVE Digital Technologies (HIVE) from approximately July 31, 2025, to November 18, 2025.
1. Significant Expansion of Bitcoin Mining Capacity and Production: HIVE Digital Technologies demonstrated consistent operational growth throughout the period, significantly increasing its Bitcoin mining hashrate and production. The company surpassed 15 EH/s in July, 18 EH/s in August, and 21 EH/s in September, ultimately reaching and exceeding 24 EH/s of operational capacity by October and 25 EH/s of installed global Bitcoin mining capacity by November 2025. This expansion directly led to increased Bitcoin production, with 203 BTC mined in July, 247 BTC in August, and 289 BTC in October, representing substantial month-over-month and year-over-year increases.
2. Record Financial Performance: HIVE reported strong financial results, notably in its Q1 FY2026 (ended June 30, 2025), where it topped analyst estimates for both EPS and revenue, achieving $45.61 million in revenue and $44.6 million in Adjusted EBITDA. This positive trend continued into Q2 FY2026 (ended September 30, 2025), with the company delivering record revenue of $87.3 million, marking a 285% year-over-year increase and a 91% quarter-over-quarter surge, along with $31.5 million in Adjusted EBITDA.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| HIVE Return | 2489% | 40% | -89% | 215% | -37% | 25% | 875% |
| Peers Return | -1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -18% | 8% | -12% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 13% | 107% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| HIVE Win Rate | 58% | 58% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 12% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| HIVE Max Drawdown | 0% | -5% | -89% | 0% | -50% | -54% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -19% | -36% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ABTC, FIGR, GEMI, GRAN, GSIW.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | HIVE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -94.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1775.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -68.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 213.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 131 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -97.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 4285.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 388 days | 120 days |
Compare to ABTC, FIGR, GEMI, GRAN, GSIW
In The Past
HIVE Digital Technologies's stock fell -94.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/19/2021. A -94.7% loss requires a 1775.9% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to HIVE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | BRO | Brown & Brown | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.2% | 1.2% | -4.2% |
| 10312025 | CPAY | Corpay | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.2% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| 10312025 | EEFT | Euronet Worldwide | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.9% | -6.9% | -7.4% |
| 10312025 | GPN | Global Payments | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.7% | -4.7% | -4.7% |
| 10102025 | APO | Apollo Asset Management | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 10.5% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | BRO | Brown & Brown | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.2% | 1.2% | -4.2% |
| 10312025 | CPAY | Corpay | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.2% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| 10312025 | EEFT | Euronet Worldwide | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.9% | -6.9% | -7.4% |
| 10312025 | GPN | Global Payments | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.7% | -4.7% | -4.7% |
| 10102025 | APO | Apollo Asset Management | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 10.5% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for HIVE Digital Technologies
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 4.30 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.6 |
| Rev LTM | 130 |
| Op Inc LTM | -52 |
| FCF LTM | -177 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -88 |
| CFO LTM | 31 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 22 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -9.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 41.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 11.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -39.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -22.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 34.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 24.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -136.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -69.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.6 |
| P/S | 5.0 |
| P/EBIT | 18.6 |
| P/E | 22.5 |
| P/CFO | 20.7 |
| Total Yield | 4.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -26.5% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -11.6% |
| 3M Rtn | -14.9% |
| 6M Rtn | -5.9% |
| 12M Rtn | -49.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 58.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -11.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -17.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -17.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -63.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -22.7% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue from digital currency mining | 111 | 106 | 210 | 67 | 29 |
| High performance computing hosting | 3 | 0 | |||
| Revenue from hosting | 2 | 1 | |||
| (Loss) gain on sale of digital currencies | 6 | 1 | |||
| Revaluation of digital currencies | 15 | ||||
| Revaluation gain on digital currencies | -1 | ||||
| Total | 114 | 106 | 211 | 88 | 29 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8152025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 6262025 | 40-F 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2112025 | 6-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8132024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 6242024 | 40-F 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2132024 | 6-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11132023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8112023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 6302023 | 40-F 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2212023 | 6-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11152022 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8172022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 7222022 | 40-F 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2162022 | 6-K 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11162021 | 6-K 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |