Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $321.41 | Market Cap: $12.7 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense
Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $321.41Market Cap: $12.7 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Aerospace & Defense
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.0%, FCF Yield is 5.9% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.4%, Dist 3Y High is -2.4% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.7% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 37% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -12%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -22% | Key risksHII key risks include [1] a heavy dependence on the timing and funding of U.S. Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cybersecurity, Advanced Aviation & Space, and Datacenter Power. Themes include Network Security, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.0%, FCF Yield is 5.9% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 37% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cybersecurity, Advanced Aviation & Space, and Datacenter Power. Themes include Network Security, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.4%, Dist 3Y High is -2.4% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -12%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -22% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.7% |
| Key risksHII key risks include [1] a heavy dependence on the timing and funding of U.S. Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
HII Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
For the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) experienced a significant stock movement, influenced by several key factors:
1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Performance: Huntington Ingalls Industries reported record revenues of $3.2 billion for the third quarter of 2025, marking a 16.1% increase from the same period in 2024. Diluted earnings per share (EPS) reached $3.68, surpassing the consensus estimate of $3.29. This strong performance, announced on October 30, 2025, led to an 8.98% surge in the company's stock price on that day alone.
2. Significant New Contract Awards and Robust Backlog: During the third quarter of 2025, HII secured new contract awards totaling $2.0 billion. This brought the company's total backlog to an impressive $55.7 billion as of September 30, 2025, providing substantial long-term revenue visibility and investor confidence.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| HII Return | -30% | 12% | 26% | 15% | -26% | 77% | 49% |
| Peers Return | -7% | 17% | 29% | -4% | 18% | 28% | 104% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| HII Win Rate | 50% | 58% | 50% | 50% | 33% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 57% | 62% | 48% | 60% | 62% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| HII Max Drawdown | -44% | -8% | -4% | -16% | -28% | -15% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -33% | -9% | -3% | -22% | -4% | -9% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GD, NOC, LMT, RTX, LDOS. See HII Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | HII | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -25.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 33.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 223 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -50.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 102.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,252 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -34.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 53.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 381 days | 120 days |
Compare to AXON, BWXT, CAE, SPCE, APEX
In The Past
Huntington Ingalls Industries's stock fell -25.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/28/2022. A -25.1% loss requires a 33.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to HII. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.8% | 19.8% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.2% | 4.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| 03312020 | HII | Huntington Ingalls Industries | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -21.6% | 15.8% | -23.5% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.8% | 19.8% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.2% | 4.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| 03312020 | HII | Huntington Ingalls Industries | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -21.6% | 15.8% | -23.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Huntington Ingalls Industries
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 328.85 |
| Mkt Cap | 85.7 |
| Rev LTM | 46,218 |
| Op Inc LTM | 4,712 |
| FCF LTM | 3,214 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,766 |
| CFO LTM | 4,578 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 4,071 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 10.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 9.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 8.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 85.7 |
| P/S | 1.7 |
| P/EBIT | 16.3 |
| P/E | 21.7 |
| P/CFO | 17.1 |
| Total Yield | 5.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.5% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.5% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.0% |
| 3M Rtn | 2.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 22.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 25.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 47.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 0.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 1.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 9.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 14.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -23.6% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/30/2025 | 6.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% |
| 7/31/2025 | 7.9% | 3.5% | 6.5% |
| 5/1/2025 | -1.2% | -0.1% | -2.6% |
| 2/6/2025 | -18.3% | -16.4% | 1.0% |
| 10/31/2024 | -26.2% | -18.9% | -20.4% |
| 8/1/2024 | -4.6% | -9.5% | 1.0% |
| 5/2/2024 | -11.5% | -10.9% | -8.2% |
| 2/1/2024 | 3.4% | 6.1% | 13.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 10 | 15 |
| # Negative | 15 | 15 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.5% |
| Median Negative | -4.0% | -5.9% | -7.8% |
| Max Positive | 7.9% | 8.8% | 17.0% |
| Max Negative | -26.2% | -18.9% | -33.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2062025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2012024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2092023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2102022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |