Fractyl Health (GUTS)
Market Price (5/21/2026): $0.9147 | Market Cap: $145.0 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Fractyl Health (GUTS)
Market Price (5/21/2026): $0.9147Market Cap: $145.0 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Diabetes Management, Targeted Therapies, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -127%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -173% | Penny stockMkt Price is 0.9 Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -93 Mil Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is null Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -78% High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 133% Key risksGUTS key risks include [1] a heavy dependence on successful clinical trial outcomes and regulatory approval for its core Revita and preclinical Rejuva therapies, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Diabetes Management, Targeted Therapies, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -127%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -173% |
| Penny stockMkt Price is 0.9 |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -93 Mil |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is null |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -78% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 133% |
| Key risksGUTS key risks include [1] a heavy dependence on successful clinical trial outcomes and regulatory approval for its core Revita and preclinical Rejuva therapies, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Positive 6-month randomized data from the REMAIN-1 Midpoint Cohort for its Revita program, announced in late January 2026, showed participants experienced approximately 70% less post-GLP-1 weight regain with Revita versus sham.
2. Fractyl Health completed participant randomization in the pivotal REMAIN-1 Cohort in February 2026, a critical step towards regulatory submission, with plans for topline 6-month data in early Q4 2026 and a potential De Novo FDA submission in late Q4 2026.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 100.3% change in GUTS stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 9.2233720368547763E17% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 0.46 | 0.92 | 100.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | |
| P/S Multiple | 9,913.5 | ∞ | 9.2233720368547763E17% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 65 | 158 | -59.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GUTS | 100.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 7.4% | 47.8% |
| Sector (XLV) | -4.5% | 22.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -25.1% change in GUTS stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/20/2026 was primarily driven by a null change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.23 | 0.92 | -25.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | |
| P/S Multiple | 3,548.4 | ∞ | 9.2233720368547763E17% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 49 | 158 | -69.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GUTS | -25.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.3% | 26.6% |
| Sector (XLV) | 2.9% | 10.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -27.5% change in GUTS stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/20/2026 was primarily driven by a null change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.27 | 0.92 | -27.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | |
| P/S Multiple | 662.2 | ∞ | 9.2233720368547763E17% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 48 | 158 | -69.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GUTS | -27.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 35.2% | 21.6% |
| Sector (XLV) | 6.6% | 18.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GUTS | ||
| Market (SPY) | 85.2% | 16.7% |
| Sector (XLV) | 15.8% | 18.0% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GUTS Return | - | - | - | -84% | 7% | -63% | -94% |
| Peers Return | 7% | -4% | 28% | 9% | 30% | -12% | 65% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 7% | 96% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GUTS Win Rate | - | - | - | 18% | 50% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 47% | 57% | 50% | 57% | 63% | 36% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GUTS Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | -69% | -83% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -28% | -27% | -22% | -23% | -23% | -27% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: BSX, MDT, JNJ, LLY, CRSP.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/20/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | GUTS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -34.7% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 53.1% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 22 days | 79 days |
In The Past
Fractyl Health's stock fell -34.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 53.1% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | GUTS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -34.7% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 53.1% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 22 days | 79 days |
In The Past
Fractyl Health's stock fell -34.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 53.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Fractyl Health (GUTS)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-2 brief analogies to describe Fractyl Health:
- Fractyl Health is like a Merck or Moderna developing a 'vaccine' for type 2 diabetes and obesity, aiming for durable disease modification that reduces or eliminates the need for chronic medication.
- They're also like a gene therapy company such as Sarepta or Spark Therapeutics, but entirely focused on developing long-term, potentially curative treatments for widespread metabolic diseases.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Revita DMR System (Revita): An outpatient procedural therapy that uses hydrothermal ablation to durably modify duodenal dysfunction, aiming to improve glycemic control and aid in weight maintenance for patients with type 2 diabetes and obesity.
- Rejuva: A novel pancreatic gene therapy (PGTx) platform designed to enable long-term remission of type 2 diabetes and obesity by durably altering metabolic hormone function in pancreatic islet cells.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Fractyl Health (GUTS) sells its products, primarily the Revita DMR System, as an outpatient procedural therapy within the healthcare ecosystem. The company does not directly sell its products to individual patients in a retail capacity. Instead, its major customers are organizations within the healthcare sector that either purchase and administer the therapy or provide reimbursement for it. The background information does not name specific public companies as customers. Based on the provided description, the company serves the following categories of customers:- Healthcare Providers: These include hospitals, clinics, and outpatient centers that acquire the Revita DMR System to perform the procedural therapy on their patients. Fractyl Health initiates commercial launches with these providers, as seen with its pilot commercial launch in Germany.
- Healthcare Payers: This category encompasses government healthcare systems (e.g., national health services) and private insurance companies that provide reimbursement for the Revita DMR Procedure. Securing reimbursement, as mentioned with Revita Germany, is a critical step for making the therapy accessible to patients and financially viable for providers.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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Harith Rajagopalan, M.D., Ph.D. Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer
Dr. Harith Rajagopalan is the Co-founder and Chief Executive Officer of Fractyl Health, a company he started while serving as an Entrepreneur-in-Residence at General Catalyst Partners, a venture capital firm. Prior to founding Fractyl Health, he worked as an academic cardiologist and physician-scientist. Dr. Rajagopalan earned his B.S. in chemistry from Stanford University and later obtained M.D. and Ph.D. degrees from Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, where he conducted award-winning research on intestinal cancers. He completed his training in internal medicine and clinical cardiology at Brigham and Women's Hospital and a research fellowship at Harvard Medical School.
Lara Smith Weber Chief Financial Officer
Lara Smith Weber was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Fractyl Health, effective January 12, 2026. She brings over two decades of financial leadership experience from the medtech, biotech, and other growth-oriented industries. Ms. Smith Weber has a strong background in building financial organizations, managing transitions to commercial-stage operations, and guiding companies through periods of operational growth and public-market complexities. Most recently, she served as Chief Financial Officer of Inari, where she oversaw multiple financings and enhanced the company's capital structure. Her previous roles include Chief Financial Officer of ONWARD Medical, a publicly traded medtech company, and U.S. Chief Financial Officer and Head of Commercial Finance at MorphoSys.
Jay Caplan Co-Founder, President, and Chief Product Officer
Jay Caplan is a Co-Founder, President, and Chief Product Officer at Fractyl Health, with more than 20 years of leadership experience in the medical device sector. Before co-founding Fractyl Health, Mr. Caplan was the Chief Operating Officer of Candela Corporation, a prominent company in aesthetic devices. He also served as Chief Technology Officer and Vice President of Research and Development at InfraReDx, Inc., a venture-backed startup focused on cardiovascular imaging systems. Earlier in his career, he was Vice President of Operations for Thermo Cardiosystems, where he led the development of the HeartMate II left ventricular assist device. Mr. Caplan holds a B.S. in electrical engineering from M.I.T. and an MBA from The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania.
Len Rosberg Vice President of Manufacturing
Len Rosberg serves as the Vice President of Manufacturing at Fractyl Health. He has over 20 years of experience in supply chain management and manufacturing engineering within major medical device companies. Prior to joining Fractyl Health, Mr. Rosberg was the Vice President of Operations for Candela Corporation. His extensive industry background includes positions at Boston Scientific, Thoratec, and Baxter International. His technical expertise covers reliability engineering, design for manufacturability, and the implementation of scalable manufacturing processes.
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Key Risks to Fractyl Health
- Clinical Development and Regulatory Approval Risk: Fractyl Health's success is heavily dependent on the successful completion of ongoing and planned clinical trials, particularly for its lead product candidate, the Revita DMR System, and its earlier-stage Rejuva gene therapy platform. The company anticipates completing enrollment for its pivotal Revitalize-1 study in the first half of 2024 and expects to report topline data in the fourth quarter of 2024. Additionally, it plans to submit an IDE for the potentially pivotal Remain-1 study in the first quarter of 2024 and to initiate a first-in-human study for its Rejuva GLP-1 pancreatic gene therapy candidate in the first half of 2025. Failure to achieve positive results in these trials, experience delays, or obtain the necessary regulatory approvals (such as FDA approval, despite Breakthrough Device designation for Revita) would significantly jeopardize the company's ability to bring its products to market and generate revenue.
- Commercialization and Market Adoption Risk: Even if Revita receives regulatory approvals, the company faces significant challenges in commercialization and market adoption. While Revita is approved for inadequately controlled T2D in Europe and a pilot commercial launch has begun in Germany after securing reimbursement, broad market penetration and financial success will depend on securing widespread reimbursement in other key markets, demonstrating compelling real-world evidence, and achieving acceptance among physicians and patients for a novel procedural therapy. The company's ability to effectively market and distribute Revita and overcome potential resistance to a new interventional approach will be critical.
- Competition from Existing and Emerging Metabolic Therapies: Fractyl Health operates in a highly competitive landscape with established and rapidly evolving treatments for type 2 diabetes and obesity. The company acknowledges the availability of "highly potent drugs in the GLP-1RA class" that lower blood sugar, lower weight, and prevent cardiovascular mortality. Although Fractyl aims to address the unmet need for durable metabolic health maintenance without chronic pharmacotherapy, the continued development of new or improved GLP-1RAs, or other novel pharmaceutical, procedural, or gene therapies, could diminish the competitive advantage or market opportunity for Revita and Rejuva if they offer comparable or superior long-term benefits or convenience.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Fractyl Health (symbol: GUTS) targets a significant addressable market in the treatment of metabolic diseases. In the United States, approximately 100 million people have prediabetes and/or obesity, with an additional 25 million people suffering from Type 2 Diabetes (T2D) and on medical therapy. The company aims to provide alternatives to the current standard of care, which includes pharmaceuticals. In 2022, the annual pharmaceutical spending on drugs for controlling glucose and body weight was estimated to be $65 billion. This figure, while representing the market for chronic pharmaceutical treatments, indicates the substantial financial opportunity for novel, durable therapies like those being developed by Fractyl Health, particularly within the United States market.AI Analysis | Feedback
Fractyl Health (GUTS) anticipates several key drivers for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, primarily centered around its lead product candidate, the Revita DMR System, and the progression of its Rejuva gene therapy platform. The expected drivers of future revenue growth include:- U.S. Regulatory Approval and Commercial Launch of Revita for Post-GLP-1 Weight Maintenance: Fractyl Health is actively pursuing U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approval for Revita to address weight maintenance in patients discontinuing GLP-1 receptor agonist (GLP-1RA) therapies. The company anticipates submitting a Premarket Approval (PMA) application in the second half of 2026, following the expected topline 6-month randomized data from the pivotal REMAIN-1 study. Successful approval and subsequent commercialization would open a significant new market for the company.
- Expanded Adoption and Market Penetration of Revita in European Markets: Revita is already approved for patients with inadequately controlled Type 2 Diabetes (T2D) in Europe, with commercial availability and reimbursement secured in Germany since the first half of 2023. While the company has paused investment in Revita for T2D clinical trials in favor of weight maintenance, ongoing commercial activities and real-world registry studies in Germany continue to contribute revenue. Future growth could also come from expanding the Revita system for the post-GLP-1 weight maintenance indication into European markets following further clinical validation.
- Positive Clinical Data Readouts and Progression of Revita's REMAIN-1 Program: The ongoing REMAIN-1 pivotal study is crucial for demonstrating Revita's efficacy and durability in maintaining weight loss after GLP-1RA discontinuation. The company expects to report 6-month primary endpoint data from the REMAIN-1 Pivotal Cohort in the second half of 2026 and 1-year data from the Midpoint Cohort in the third quarter of 2026. These positive data readouts are essential for supporting regulatory submissions, securing favorable reimbursement, and driving broader clinical adoption, thereby fueling revenue growth.
- Advancement of the Rejuva Gene Therapy Platform into Human Clinical Trials: Fractyl Health's Rejuva gene therapy platform, designed for long-term remission of T2D and obesity, is progressing towards clinical validation. The company completed Clinical Trial Applications (CTA) for its lead candidate, RJVA-001, in the EU and Australia in the second half of 2025, with expectations to dose the first patients and report preliminary data in the second half of 2026. While direct product sales from gene therapy are unlikely within 2-3 years due to the early clinical stage, successful progress in human trials could significantly enhance the company's valuation and attract strategic partnerships or licensing deals, potentially generating revenue through upfront payments or milestone achievements.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Issuance
- Fractyl Health completed its Initial Public Offering (IPO) in February 2024, pricing 7,333,333 shares of common stock at $15.00 per share, resulting in approximately $110.0 million in gross proceeds.
- In August 2025, the company completed an underwritten public offering of common stock and accompanying Tranche A and Tranche B warrants, generating gross proceeds of $20 million.
- Fractyl Health announced the pricing of an underwritten offering of 60 million shares of its common stock in September 2025, with expected gross proceeds of approximately $60 million.
- The exercise of Tranche A warrants from the August 2025 financing resulted in $23.0 million in gross proceeds, with an additional $4.1 million received by January 2, 2026, totaling $27.1 million from warrant exercises by early 2026.
Inbound Investments
- Notable institutional investors, including Nantahala Capital, ADAR1 Capital Management, Second Line Capital, 683 Capital, and SilverArc Capital, participated in Fractyl Health's underwritten public offering in August 2025.
Capital Expenditures
- Fractyl Health reported capital expenditures of $1.8 million, which consumed a significant portion of its operating cash flow in a recent period.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Fractyl Health Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| Can Fractyl Health Stock Hold Up When Markets Turn? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
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| 04302026 | GEHC | GE HealthCare Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
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| 04302026 | ABT | Abbott Laboratories | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 04302026 | ZBIO | Zenas BioPharma | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 67.41 |
| Mkt Cap | 92.2 |
| Rev LTM | 28,049 |
| Op Inc LTM | 5,358 |
| FCF LTM | 4,354 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,129 |
| CFO LTM | 5,813 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 5,280 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 10.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.5% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 15.9% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 5.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 19.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 18.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 21.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 15.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 92.2 |
| P/S | 5.7 |
| P/Op Inc | 17.8 |
| P/EBIT | 18.3 |
| P/E | 22.7 |
| P/CFO | 16.6 |
| Total Yield | 3.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 1.2% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -3.8% |
| 3M Rtn | -7.6% |
| 6M Rtn | -12.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 8.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 1.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -6.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -17.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -26.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -15.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -78.7% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $0.92 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.1 | |
| First Trading Date | 02/02/2024 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -68.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $0.59 | $1.12 |
| DMA Trend | down | up |
| Distance from DMA | 57.0% | -17.6% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 96.5% | 133.6% |
| Downside Capture | 277.41 | 437.48 |
| Upside Capture | 491.95 | 221.37 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 43.8% | 18.9% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.77 | 2.48 | 3.10 | 2.31 | 2.16 | -0.21 |
| Up Beta | 2.50 | 1.72 | 1.89 | 1.65 | 0.98 | -0.52 |
| Down Beta | -1.44 | 0.85 | -2.91 | -0.64 | 1.10 | 0.82 |
| Up Capture | 390% | 481% | 515% | 518% | 432% | 83% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 15 | 21 | 32 | 60 | 122 | 252 |
| Down Capture | 208% | 225% | 449% | 276% | 205% | 113% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 7 | 22 | 32 | 59 | 111 | 282 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GUTS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GUTS | -53.9% | 133.5% | 0.24 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 11.5% | 14.7% | 0.52 | 14.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 26.2% | 12.1% | 1.62 | 19.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 40.2% | 26.8% | 1.24 | 10.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 46.2% | 18.7% | 1.89 | -5.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 11.1% | 13.4% | 0.54 | 2.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -27.4% | 41.8% | -0.65 | 21.6% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GUTS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GUTS | -40.2% | 115.4% | -0.35 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 5.4% | 14.6% | 0.19 | 17.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.1% | 17.0% | 0.65 | 16.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 19.5% | 18.0% | 0.89 | 10.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.1% | 19.4% | 0.46 | -4.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.0% | 18.8% | 0.11 | 11.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 9.1% | 55.6% | 0.37 | 18.3% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GUTS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GUTS | -22.7% | 115.4% | -0.35 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 9.6% | 16.5% | 0.47 | 17.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.5% | 17.9% | 0.74 | 16.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.1% | 16.0% | 0.68 | 10.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.9% | 17.9% | 0.36 | -4.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.4% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 11.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.1% | 66.9% | 1.06 | 18.3% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 3/24/2026 | 16.2% | 6.4% | 35.0% |
| 11/12/2025 | -0.9% | 17.7% | 98.2% |
| 8/12/2025 | 2.7% | 0.7% | 3.7% |
| 5/13/2025 | -13.3% | 18.6% | 22.6% |
| 3/3/2025 | -3.8% | -8.3% | -28.8% |
| 11/12/2024 | -2.5% | -9.9% | -9.3% |
| 8/14/2024 | 5.4% | 34.5% | 25.1% |
| 4/1/2024 | 0.7% | -0.5% | -5.7% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| # Negative | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Median Positive | 4.0% | 17.7% | 25.1% |
| Median Negative | -3.2% | -8.3% | -9.3% |
| Max Positive | 16.2% | 34.5% | 98.2% |
| Max Negative | -13.3% | -9.9% | -28.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/12/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/24/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/03/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/13/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 04/01/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 02/02/2024 | 424B4 |
| 06/30/2023 | 09/21/2023 | DRS/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 04/04/2022 | DRS/A |
| 09/30/2021 | 02/03/2022 | DRS/A |
| 06/30/2021 | 11/09/2021 | DRS |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/24/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2027 Cash Runway | Affirmed | Guidance: 2,027 for 2027 | |||||
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 1/5/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2027 Cash Runway | |||||||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rajagopalan, Harith | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Buy | 12082025 | 1.92 | 10,416 | 19,999 | 963,350 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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