Fractyl Health (GUTS)


Market Price (7/28/2026): $0.8033 | Market Cap: $127.3 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Fractyl Health (GUTS)


Market Price (7/28/2026): $0.8033
Market Cap: $127.3 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Diabetes Management, Targeted Therapies, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -113%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -157%

Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.8

Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -93 Mil

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is null

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -89%

High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 122%

Key risks
GUTS key risks include [1] a heavy dependence on successful clinical trial outcomes and regulatory approval for its core Revita and preclinical Rejuva therapies, Show more.

0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Diabetes Management, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -113%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -157%
2 Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.8
3 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -93 Mil
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is null
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -89%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 122%
8 Key risks
GUTS key risks include [1] a heavy dependence on successful clinical trial outcomes and regulatory approval for its core Revita and preclinical Rejuva therapies, Show more.

GUTS in ETFs

Weight = GUTS's share of each fund

VTI0.00%

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 7/20/2026

Fractyl Health (GUTS) stock has gained about 75% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Positive one-year clinical trial results for the Revita DMR System in post-GLP-1 weight maintenance significantly de-risked the program.

In fiscal Q2 2026, Fractyl Health reported positive one-year results from its open-label REVEAL-1 study, demonstrating that patients maintained approximately 78% of their GLP-1-induced weight loss after discontinuing GLP-1 therapy, with a mean weight change of only 5.3% versus a typical 15% regain. This was further reinforced in fiscal Q3 2026 by positive one-year randomized data from the REMAIN-1 Midpoint Cohort, where Revita reduced weight regain to 7.8% versus 13.0% with sham, and an optimized subgroup maintained about 84% of GLP-1-induced weight loss compared to 46% for sham. The consistent favorable safety profile across studies also bolstered investor confidence.

2. Robust regulatory progress and a clear path to market for Revita provided significant catalysts.

During fiscal Q2 2026, Fractyl Health confirmed the completion of randomization for the pivotal REMAIN-1 Cohort and reaffirmed its timeline for key regulatory milestones, including top-line six-month data from the Pivotal Cohort expected in early fiscal Q4 2026 and a potential FDA De Novo marketing application submission in late fiscal Q4 2026. Furthermore, the company received FDA feedback suggesting that Revita's safety profile is consistent with a Class II device classification, which could streamline its regulatory path.

Show more
Updated on 7/20/2026

Fractyl Health (GUTS) stock has gained about 75% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Positive one-year clinical trial results for the Revita DMR System in post-GLP-1 weight maintenance significantly de-risked the program.

In fiscal Q2 2026, Fractyl Health reported positive one-year results from its open-label REVEAL-1 study, demonstrating that patients maintained approximately 78% of their GLP-1-induced weight loss after discontinuing GLP-1 therapy, with a mean weight change of only 5.3% versus a typical 15% regain. This was further reinforced in fiscal Q3 2026 by positive one-year randomized data from the REMAIN-1 Midpoint Cohort, where Revita reduced weight regain to 7.8% versus 13.0% with sham, and an optimized subgroup maintained about 84% of GLP-1-induced weight loss compared to 46% for sham. The consistent favorable safety profile across studies also bolstered investor confidence.

2. Robust regulatory progress and a clear path to market for Revita provided significant catalysts.

During fiscal Q2 2026, Fractyl Health confirmed the completion of randomization for the pivotal REMAIN-1 Cohort and reaffirmed its timeline for key regulatory milestones, including top-line six-month data from the Pivotal Cohort expected in early fiscal Q4 2026 and a potential FDA De Novo marketing application submission in late fiscal Q4 2026. Furthermore, the company received FDA feedback suggesting that Revita's safety profile is consistent with a Class II device classification, which could streamline its regulatory path.

3. Improved financial results and extended cash runway reduced immediate financial concerns.

In fiscal Q2 2026, Fractyl Health reported first quarter 2026 net income of $9.2 million, a substantial improvement from a $23.7 million net loss in the prior year, largely due to a $30.1 million non-cash gain from changes in warrant liabilities. The company also reported Q1 2026 earnings per share of $0.06, beating the consensus estimate of -$0.17. Management reiterated that its cash and cash equivalents of $63.2 million as of March 31, 2026, are expected to fund operations into early 2027, alleviating near-term financing risks.

4. Positive analyst sentiment and elevated price targets reflected growing confidence in the company's prospects.

Following the clinical data releases and financial updates, several analysts maintained or issued "Buy" ratings for GUTS. As of July 2026, the consensus price target from 6 analysts was approximately $5.12, with some analysts projecting targets as high as $8.00, representing a significant potential upside from the stock's trading price during the period. This positive reassessment by analysts contributed to investor optimism.

Show less
Holding a concentrated position? Know your true downside before the momentum shifts.
Protect Your Wealth →

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 75.0% change in GUTS stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/27/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)33120267272026Change
Stock Price ($)0.460.8075.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)000.0%
P/S Multiple0.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)153158-3.2%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 7/27/2026
ReturnCorrelation
GUTS75.0% 
Market (SPY)13.6%36.0%
Sector (XLV)11.5%-12.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The -63.6% change in GUTS stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/27/2026 was primarily driven by a null change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)123120257272026Change
Stock Price ($)2.200.80-63.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)00 
P/S Multiple47,412.29.2233720368547763E17%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)65158-59.2%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 7/27/2026
ReturnCorrelation
GUTS-63.6% 
Market (SPY)8.7%27.4%
Sector (XLV)6.0%1.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The -50.6% change in GUTS stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/27/2026 was primarily driven by a null change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)63020257272026Change
Stock Price ($)1.620.80-50.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)00 
P/S Multiple1,319.49.2233720368547763E17%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)49158-69.2%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2025 to 7/27/2026
ReturnCorrelation
GUTS-50.6% 
Market (SPY)20.6%22.6%
Sector (XLV)22.8%8.2%

Fundamental Drivers

null
null

Market Drivers

6/30/2023 to 7/27/2026
ReturnCorrelation
GUTS  
Market (SPY)72.6%17.2%
Sector (XLV)28.9%14.1%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
GUTS Return----84%7%-65%-94%
Peers Return7%-4%28%9%30%-7%74%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%8%97%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GUTS Win Rate---18%50%43% 
Peers Win Rate47%57%50%57%63%43% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%43% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GUTS Max Drawdown-----69%-83% 
Peers Max Drawdown-28%-27%-22%-23%-23%-29% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: BSX, MDT, JNJ, LLY, CRSP.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/27/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventGUTSS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-34.7%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven53.1%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven22 days79 days

Compare to BSX, MDT, JNJ, LLY, CRSP

In The Past

Fractyl Health's stock fell -34.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 53.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventGUTSS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-34.7%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven53.1%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven22 days79 days

Compare to BSX, MDT, JNJ, LLY, CRSP

In The Past

Fractyl Health's stock fell -34.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 53.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Fractyl Health (GUTS)

Fractyl Health (GUTS) is a metabolic therapeutics company dedicated to pioneering new and durable approaches for treating prevalent metabolic diseases, including type 2 diabetes (T2D) and obesity. Recognizing the limitations of current chronic medications like GLP-1 receptor agonists, which often require lifelong administration and can lead to metabolic relapse upon discontinuation, Fractyl aims to develop disease-modifying therapies that target the underlying organ-level root causes of these conditions. The company's core mission is to enable long-term metabolic health maintenance, shifting patient care from temporary management to sustained prevention and remission without the burden of continuous pharmacotherapy.

The company's lead product candidate is the Revita DMR System, an outpatient procedural therapy designed to durably modify duodenal dysfunction—a significant pathological consequence of modern diets that can initiate T2D and obesity. Revita works by performing hydrothermal ablation of the dysfunctional duodenal mucosa, which helps restore physiological signaling for improved glucose control and satiety. Revita has shown durable blood glucose lowering and weight maintenance in T2D patients and holds FDA Breakthrough Device designation. It is currently in a pivotal U.S. study (Revitalize-1) for inadequately controlled T2D patients on insulin, with topline data expected in Q4 2024. Fractyl also plans a study (Remain-1) to evaluate Revita for weight maintenance in patients discontinuing GLP-1RA therapy. Revita is already approved and has seen a pilot commercial launch in Europe for inadequately controlled T2D, serving as a potential backbone therapy for preventing T2D progression and weight gain.

In addition to Revita, Fractyl is developing Rejuva, a novel pancreatic gene therapy (PGTx) platform. Rejuva utilizes an adeno-associated virus (AAV) to deliver gene therapy locally to pancreatic islet cells, aiming to durably alter metabolic hormone function and potentially achieve long-term remission of T2D and obesity. Preclinical studies have shown a GLP-1 PGTx candidate outperforming semaglutide in glycemic control and weight reduction. Fractyl plans to initiate first-in-human studies for its lead Rejuva candidate (RJVA-001) in the first half of 2025. Through both Revita and Rejuva, Fractyl Health seeks to revolutionize treatment across the spectrum of metabolic diseases, offering solutions that align clinical and economic interests around the long-term regression of T2D and obesity.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-2 brief analogies to describe Fractyl Health:

  • Fractyl Health is like a Merck or Moderna developing a 'vaccine' for type 2 diabetes and obesity, aiming for durable disease modification that reduces or eliminates the need for chronic medication.
  • They're also like a gene therapy company such as Sarepta or Spark Therapeutics, but entirely focused on developing long-term, potentially curative treatments for widespread metabolic diseases.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Revita DMR System (Revita): An outpatient procedural therapy that uses hydrothermal ablation to durably modify duodenal dysfunction, aiming to improve glycemic control and aid in weight maintenance for patients with type 2 diabetes and obesity.
  • Rejuva: A novel pancreatic gene therapy (PGTx) platform designed to enable long-term remission of type 2 diabetes and obesity by durably altering metabolic hormone function in pancreatic islet cells.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Fractyl Health (GUTS) sells its products, primarily the Revita DMR System, as an outpatient procedural therapy within the healthcare ecosystem. The company does not directly sell its products to individual patients in a retail capacity. Instead, its major customers are organizations within the healthcare sector that either purchase and administer the therapy or provide reimbursement for it. The background information does not name specific public companies as customers. Based on the provided description, the company serves the following categories of customers:
  • Healthcare Providers: These include hospitals, clinics, and outpatient centers that acquire the Revita DMR System to perform the procedural therapy on their patients. Fractyl Health initiates commercial launches with these providers, as seen with its pilot commercial launch in Germany.
  • Healthcare Payers: This category encompasses government healthcare systems (e.g., national health services) and private insurance companies that provide reimbursement for the Revita DMR Procedure. Securing reimbursement, as mentioned with Revita Germany, is a critical step for making the therapy accessible to patients and financially viable for providers.

AI Analysis | Feedback

null

AI Analysis | Feedback

Harith Rajagopalan, M.D., Ph.D. Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer

Dr. Harith Rajagopalan is the Co-founder and Chief Executive Officer of Fractyl Health, a company he started while serving as an Entrepreneur-in-Residence at General Catalyst Partners, a venture capital firm. Prior to founding Fractyl Health, he worked as an academic cardiologist and physician-scientist. Dr. Rajagopalan earned his B.S. in chemistry from Stanford University and later obtained M.D. and Ph.D. degrees from Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, where he conducted award-winning research on intestinal cancers. He completed his training in internal medicine and clinical cardiology at Brigham and Women's Hospital and a research fellowship at Harvard Medical School.

Lara Smith Weber Chief Financial Officer

Lara Smith Weber was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Fractyl Health, effective January 12, 2026. She brings over two decades of financial leadership experience from the medtech, biotech, and other growth-oriented industries. Ms. Smith Weber has a strong background in building financial organizations, managing transitions to commercial-stage operations, and guiding companies through periods of operational growth and public-market complexities. Most recently, she served as Chief Financial Officer of Inari, where she oversaw multiple financings and enhanced the company's capital structure. Her previous roles include Chief Financial Officer of ONWARD Medical, a publicly traded medtech company, and U.S. Chief Financial Officer and Head of Commercial Finance at MorphoSys.

Jay Caplan Co-Founder, President, and Chief Product Officer

Jay Caplan is a Co-Founder, President, and Chief Product Officer at Fractyl Health, with more than 20 years of leadership experience in the medical device sector. Before co-founding Fractyl Health, Mr. Caplan was the Chief Operating Officer of Candela Corporation, a prominent company in aesthetic devices. He also served as Chief Technology Officer and Vice President of Research and Development at InfraReDx, Inc., a venture-backed startup focused on cardiovascular imaging systems. Earlier in his career, he was Vice President of Operations for Thermo Cardiosystems, where he led the development of the HeartMate II left ventricular assist device. Mr. Caplan holds a B.S. in electrical engineering from M.I.T. and an MBA from The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania.

Len Rosberg Vice President of Manufacturing

Len Rosberg serves as the Vice President of Manufacturing at Fractyl Health. He has over 20 years of experience in supply chain management and manufacturing engineering within major medical device companies. Prior to joining Fractyl Health, Mr. Rosberg was the Vice President of Operations for Candela Corporation. His extensive industry background includes positions at Boston Scientific, Thoratec, and Baxter International. His technical expertise covers reliability engineering, design for manufacturability, and the implementation of scalable manufacturing processes.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Key Risks to Fractyl Health

  1. Clinical Development and Regulatory Approval Risk: Fractyl Health's success is heavily dependent on the successful completion of ongoing and planned clinical trials, particularly for its lead product candidate, the Revita DMR System, and its earlier-stage Rejuva gene therapy platform. The company anticipates completing enrollment for its pivotal Revitalize-1 study in the first half of 2024 and expects to report topline data in the fourth quarter of 2024. Additionally, it plans to submit an IDE for the potentially pivotal Remain-1 study in the first quarter of 2024 and to initiate a first-in-human study for its Rejuva GLP-1 pancreatic gene therapy candidate in the first half of 2025. Failure to achieve positive results in these trials, experience delays, or obtain the necessary regulatory approvals (such as FDA approval, despite Breakthrough Device designation for Revita) would significantly jeopardize the company's ability to bring its products to market and generate revenue.
  2. Commercialization and Market Adoption Risk: Even if Revita receives regulatory approvals, the company faces significant challenges in commercialization and market adoption. While Revita is approved for inadequately controlled T2D in Europe and a pilot commercial launch has begun in Germany after securing reimbursement, broad market penetration and financial success will depend on securing widespread reimbursement in other key markets, demonstrating compelling real-world evidence, and achieving acceptance among physicians and patients for a novel procedural therapy. The company's ability to effectively market and distribute Revita and overcome potential resistance to a new interventional approach will be critical.
  3. Competition from Existing and Emerging Metabolic Therapies: Fractyl Health operates in a highly competitive landscape with established and rapidly evolving treatments for type 2 diabetes and obesity. The company acknowledges the availability of "highly potent drugs in the GLP-1RA class" that lower blood sugar, lower weight, and prevent cardiovascular mortality. Although Fractyl aims to address the unmet need for durable metabolic health maintenance without chronic pharmacotherapy, the continued development of new or improved GLP-1RAs, or other novel pharmaceutical, procedural, or gene therapies, could diminish the competitive advantage or market opportunity for Revita and Rejuva if they offer comparable or superior long-term benefits or convenience.

AI Analysis | Feedback

null

AI Analysis | Feedback

Fractyl Health (symbol: GUTS) targets a significant addressable market in the treatment of metabolic diseases. In the United States, approximately 100 million people have prediabetes and/or obesity, with an additional 25 million people suffering from Type 2 Diabetes (T2D) and on medical therapy. The company aims to provide alternatives to the current standard of care, which includes pharmaceuticals. In 2022, the annual pharmaceutical spending on drugs for controlling glucose and body weight was estimated to be $65 billion. This figure, while representing the market for chronic pharmaceutical treatments, indicates the substantial financial opportunity for novel, durable therapies like those being developed by Fractyl Health, particularly within the United States market.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Fractyl Health (GUTS) anticipates several key drivers for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, primarily centered around its lead product candidate, the Revita DMR System, and the progression of its Rejuva gene therapy platform. The expected drivers of future revenue growth include:
  1. U.S. Regulatory Approval and Commercial Launch of Revita for Post-GLP-1 Weight Maintenance: Fractyl Health is actively pursuing U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approval for Revita to address weight maintenance in patients discontinuing GLP-1 receptor agonist (GLP-1RA) therapies. The company anticipates submitting a Premarket Approval (PMA) application in the second half of 2026, following the expected topline 6-month randomized data from the pivotal REMAIN-1 study. Successful approval and subsequent commercialization would open a significant new market for the company.
  2. Expanded Adoption and Market Penetration of Revita in European Markets: Revita is already approved for patients with inadequately controlled Type 2 Diabetes (T2D) in Europe, with commercial availability and reimbursement secured in Germany since the first half of 2023. While the company has paused investment in Revita for T2D clinical trials in favor of weight maintenance, ongoing commercial activities and real-world registry studies in Germany continue to contribute revenue. Future growth could also come from expanding the Revita system for the post-GLP-1 weight maintenance indication into European markets following further clinical validation.
  3. Positive Clinical Data Readouts and Progression of Revita's REMAIN-1 Program: The ongoing REMAIN-1 pivotal study is crucial for demonstrating Revita's efficacy and durability in maintaining weight loss after GLP-1RA discontinuation. The company expects to report 6-month primary endpoint data from the REMAIN-1 Pivotal Cohort in the second half of 2026 and 1-year data from the Midpoint Cohort in the third quarter of 2026. These positive data readouts are essential for supporting regulatory submissions, securing favorable reimbursement, and driving broader clinical adoption, thereby fueling revenue growth.
  4. Advancement of the Rejuva Gene Therapy Platform into Human Clinical Trials: Fractyl Health's Rejuva gene therapy platform, designed for long-term remission of T2D and obesity, is progressing towards clinical validation. The company completed Clinical Trial Applications (CTA) for its lead candidate, RJVA-001, in the EU and Australia in the second half of 2025, with expectations to dose the first patients and report preliminary data in the second half of 2026. While direct product sales from gene therapy are unlikely within 2-3 years due to the early clinical stage, successful progress in human trials could significantly enhance the company's valuation and attract strategic partnerships or licensing deals, potentially generating revenue through upfront payments or milestone achievements.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Issuance

  • Fractyl Health completed its Initial Public Offering (IPO) in February 2024, pricing 7,333,333 shares of common stock at $15.00 per share, resulting in approximately $110.0 million in gross proceeds.
  • In August 2025, the company completed an underwritten public offering of common stock and accompanying Tranche A and Tranche B warrants, generating gross proceeds of $20 million.
  • Fractyl Health announced the pricing of an underwritten offering of 60 million shares of its common stock in September 2025, with expected gross proceeds of approximately $60 million.
  • The exercise of Tranche A warrants from the August 2025 financing resulted in $23.0 million in gross proceeds, with an additional $4.1 million received by January 2, 2026, totaling $27.1 million from warrant exercises by early 2026.

Inbound Investments

  • Notable institutional investors, including Nantahala Capital, ADAR1 Capital Management, Second Line Capital, 683 Capital, and SilverArc Capital, participated in Fractyl Health's underwritten public offering in August 2025.

Capital Expenditures

  • Fractyl Health reported capital expenditures of $1.8 million, which consumed a significant portion of its operating cash flow in a recent period.

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GUTSBSXMDTJNJLLYCRSPMedian
NameFractyl .Boston S.MedtronicJohnson .Eli LillyCRISPR T. 
Mkt Price0.8045.5184.22265.951,197.5346.7365.47
Mkt Cap0.167.6107.9640.21,071.24.587.7
Rev LTM020,61536,36397,92972,250128,489
Op Inc LTM-934,1066,82726,25634,172-6465,466
FCF LTM-883,2985,42622,22810,368-4264,362
FCF 3Y Avg-712,5255,27019,4861,734-3012,129
CFO LTM-884,3417,33027,60820,480-4005,836
CFO 3Y Avg-713,5437,05425,09311,158-2895,298

Growth & Margins

GUTSBSXMDTJNJLLYCRSPMedian
NameFractyl .Boston S.MedtronicJohnson .Eli LillyCRISPR T. 
Rev Chg LTM-100.0%17.4%8.4%8.1%47.4%-97.1%8.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg900.2%16.5%5.2%6.0%37.9%-5.0%11.2%
Rev Chg Q-11.6%9.9%6.6%55.5%-10.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.7%2.5%1.6%10.8%-2.6%
Op Inc Chg LTM4.0%26.6%4.4%21.4%73.3%-36.3%12.9%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-28.2%24.4%5.8%6.7%67.4%-16.1%6.3%
Op Mgn LTM-19.9%18.8%26.8%47.3%-64,639.5%19.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-18.5%18.4%25.6%39.7%-22,035.2%18.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%0.1%0.0%1.7%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM-21.1%20.2%28.2%28.3%-39,996.4%21.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-19.9%20.7%27.4%19.2%-13,643.7%19.9%
FCF/Rev LTM-16.0%14.9%22.7%14.4%-42,617.6%14.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-14.0%15.5%21.2%0.3%-14,519.9%14.0%

Valuation

GUTSBSXMDTJNJLLYCRSPMedian
NameFractyl .Boston S.MedtronicJohnson .Eli LillyCRISPR T. 
Mkt Cap0.167.6107.9640.21,071.24.587.7
P/S-3.33.06.514.84,488.56.5
P/Op Inc-1.416.515.824.431.3-6.916.1
P/EBIT-1.416.515.724.429.9-6.916.1
P/E-1.219.022.530.442.4-7.920.7
P/CFO-1.415.614.723.252.3-11.215.1
Total Yield-85.2%5.3%7.8%5.3%2.9%-12.7%4.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%3.4%2.0%0.5%0.0%0.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-69.1%2.8%5.0%4.6%0.1%-6.4%1.4%
D/E0.50.20.30.10.00.20.2
Net D/E-0.00.10.20.00.0-0.40.0

Returns

GUTSBSXMDTJNJLLYCRSPMedian
NameFractyl .Boston S.MedtronicJohnson .Eli LillyCRISPR T. 
1M Rtn7.8%2.9%4.0%4.4%-0.9%-14.9%3.4%
3M Rtn22.6%-24.1%2.5%18.7%38.2%-8.4%10.6%
6M Rtn-63.3%-51.4%-14.9%21.4%13.1%-14.5%-14.7%
12M Rtn-58.3%-57.1%-6.4%62.0%48.4%-27.8%-17.1%
3Y Rtn-93.8%-12.0%5.3%66.4%166.8%-17.9%-3.3%
1M Excs Rtn-0.5%2.2%4.8%7.8%5.4%-14.2%3.5%
3M Excs Rtn25.7%-30.1%-1.5%14.1%32.2%-7.7%6.3%
6M Excs Rtn-68.9%-58.0%-22.3%15.0%5.7%-23.0%-22.6%
12M Excs Rtn-74.6%-73.6%-22.3%44.3%33.2%-45.8%-34.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-157.2%-78.3%-59.4%8.9%100.3%-80.8%-68.9%

Comparison Analyses

null

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment00000
Total00000


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202220212020
Single Segment1211086110335
Total1211086110335


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$0.80 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.1 
First Trading Date02/02/2024 
Distance from 52W High-66.2% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$0.83$1.06
DMA Trenddownup
Distance from DMA-3.1%-24.2%
 3M1YR
Volatility109.0%122.9%
Downside Capture447.58441.23
Upside Capture484.50259.35
Correlation (SPY)32.6%21.7%
GUTS Betas & Captures as of 6/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.262.252.472.542.08-0.16
Up Beta0.831.302.041.781.150.35
Down Beta-1.08-0.78-0.88-1.86-0.01-1.38
Up Capture238%502%590%594%577%171%
Bmk +ve Days11244067140429
Stock +ve Days8193458120271
Down Capture200%291%307%293%198%113%
Bmk -ve Days10172358112321
Stock -ve Days12212863117303

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with GUTS
GUTS-58.2%122.4%0.08-
Sector ETF (XLV)22.0%15.7%1.077.6%
Equity (SPY)17.6%12.7%1.0021.6%
Gold (GLD)20.8%28.1%0.6611.3%
Commodities (DBC)29.6%19.5%1.21-7.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)13.9%14.1%0.69-1.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-46.0%43.0%-1.3121.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with GUTS
GUTS-41.9%113.7%-0.35-
Sector ETF (XLV)6.8%15.0%0.2714.0%
Equity (SPY)13.2%17.1%0.5917.1%
Gold (GLD)17.2%18.4%0.7510.1%
Commodities (DBC)9.7%19.5%0.38-3.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.3%18.9%0.079.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)15.8%53.5%0.4718.7%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with GUTS
GUTS-23.8%113.7%-0.35-
Sector ETF (XLV)10.1%16.6%0.4914.0%
Equity (SPY)14.9%17.9%0.7117.1%
Gold (GLD)11.4%16.1%0.5810.1%
Commodities (DBC)6.9%18.0%0.30-3.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.2%20.7%0.219.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)58.0%66.2%0.9818.7%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date7152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2.5 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 63020269.0%
Average Daily Volume1.9 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.3 days
Basic Shares Quantity158.5 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares1.6%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 7/15/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/12/202629.2%11.3%-1.4%
3/24/202616.2%6.4%35.0%
1/5/2026-8.4%-11.1%-80.1%
11/12/2025-0.9%17.7%98.2%
8/12/20252.7%0.7%3.7%
5/13/2025-13.3%18.6%22.6%
3/3/2025-3.8%-8.3%-28.8%
11/12/2024-2.5%-9.9%-9.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive576
# Negative534
Median Positive8.5%14.3%23.9%
Median Negative-3.8%-9.9%-19.1%
Max Positive29.2%34.5%98.2%
Max Negative-13.3%-11.1%-80.1%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/12/202629.2%11.3%-1.4%
3/24/202616.2%6.4%35.0%
1/5/2026-8.4%-11.1%-80.1%
11/12/2025-0.9%17.7%98.2%
8/12/20252.7%0.7%3.7%
5/13/2025-13.3%18.6%22.6%
3/3/2025-3.8%-8.3%-28.8%
11/12/2024-2.5%-9.9%-9.3%
8/14/20245.4%34.5%25.1%
5/13/20248.5%14.3%0.0%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive576
# Negative534
Median Positive8.5%14.3%23.9%
Median Negative-3.8%-9.9%-19.1%
Max Positive29.2%34.5%98.2%
Max Negative-13.3%-11.1%-80.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/12/202610-Q
12/31/202503/24/202610-K
09/30/202511/12/202510-Q
06/30/202508/12/202510-Q
03/31/202505/13/202510-Q
12/31/202403/03/202510-K
09/30/202411/12/202410-Q
06/30/202408/14/202410-Q
03/31/202405/13/202410-Q
12/31/202304/01/202410-K
09/30/202302/02/2024424B4
06/30/202309/21/2023DRS/A
12/31/202104/04/2022DRS/A
09/30/202102/03/2022DRS/A
06/30/202111/09/2021DRS
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/12/202610-Q
12/31/202503/24/202610-K
09/30/202511/12/202510-Q
06/30/202508/12/202510-Q
03/31/202505/13/202510-Q
12/31/202403/03/202510-K
09/30/202411/12/202410-Q
06/30/202408/14/202410-Q
03/31/202405/13/202410-Q
12/31/202304/01/202410-K
09/30/202302/02/2024424B4
06/30/202309/21/2023DRS/A
12/31/202104/04/2022DRS/A
09/30/202102/03/2022DRS/A
06/30/202111/09/2021DRS

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 7/27/2026

Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/12/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2027 Cash Runway     AffirmedGuidance: 0 for 2027

Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/24/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2027 Cash Runway     AffirmedGuidance: 2,027 for 2027

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 1/5/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2027 Cash Runway 2,027    

Insider Activity

Updated 6/15/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Royan, Ajay DirectBuy61520260.8523,00019,59634,848Form
2Bradley, William DirectBuy61120260.7368,49350,32962,180Form
3Sheffield, Ian DirectBuy61120260.7335,00025,52925,529Form
4Rajagopalan, HarithChief Executive OfficerDirectBuy61120260.7325,00018,252394,661Form
5Smith, Weber LaraChief Financial OfficerDirectBuy60920260.6920,00013,70813,708Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Royan, Ajay DirectBuy61520260.8523,00019,59634,848Form
2Bradley, William DirectBuy61120260.7368,49350,32962,180Form
3Sheffield, Ian DirectBuy61120260.7335,00025,52925,529Form
4Rajagopalan, HarithChief Executive OfficerDirectBuy61120260.7325,00018,252394,661Form
5Smith, Weber LaraChief Financial OfficerDirectBuy60920260.6920,00013,70813,708Form
6Rajagopalan, HarithChief Executive OfficerDirectBuy120820251.9210,41619,999963,350Form
Core Cache Last Updated: 7/27/2026