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Grove Collaborative (GROV)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $1.19 | Market Cap: $46.9 Mil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Household Products

Grove Collaborative (GROV)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $1.19
Market Cap: $46.9 Mil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Household Products

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Consumption, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Eco-friendly Products, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -73%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -114%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -18 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -10.0%
1   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -15%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -19%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -9.4%
2   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.7%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.5%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -52%
4   Significant short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 16.78
5   Key risks
GROV key risks include [1] significant revenue declines and a history of unprofitability and [2] operational disruptions stemming from its e-commerce platform migration.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Consumption, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Eco-friendly Products, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -73%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -114%
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -18 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -10.0%
3 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -15%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -19%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -9.4%
4 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.7%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.5%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -52%
6 Significant short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 16.78
7 Key risks
GROV key risks include [1] significant revenue declines and a history of unprofitability and [2] operational disruptions stemming from its e-commerce platform migration.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

GROV Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the approximate -21.1% stock movement for Grove Collaborative (GROV) from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Grove Collaborative reported a significant year-over-year revenue decline in Q3 2025. The company announced Q3 2025 revenue of $43.7 million, marking a 9.4% decrease compared to the same period in the previous year and a 0.7% sequential decline from Q2 2025. Furthermore, Grove revised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to the lower end of its previously stated range, projecting between $172.5 million and $175 million.

2. The company experienced an increased net loss and adjusted EBITDA loss in Q3 2025. Grove's net loss for Q3 2025 was $3.0 million, a considerable increase from the $1.3 million net loss reported in the prior year's third quarter. Additionally, Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter registered a loss of $1.2 million, contrasting with a breakeven performance in Q3 2024.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
GROV Return-96%-11%-21%-16%
Peers Return-21%6%34%-29%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GROV Win Rate43%42%50%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate42%42%47%58%30% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GROV Max Drawdown-98%-24%-29%-26% 
Peers Max Drawdown-33%-20%-7%-32% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HNST, CHD, CLX, CL, KMB.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventGROVS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-98.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven4790.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to IPAR, CENT, CL, KMB, CHD


In The Past

Grove Collaborative's stock fell -98.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/14/2021. A -98.0% loss requires a 4790.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Grove Collaborative (GROV)

Better Bets than Grove Collaborative (GROV)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to GROV. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.8%5.8%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.9%-5.9%-7.5%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
15.4%15.4%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.7%6.7%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.7%-3.7%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.8%5.8%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.9%-5.9%-7.5%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
15.4%15.4%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.7%6.7%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.7%-3.7%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Grove Collaborative

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GROVHNSTCHDCLXCLKMBMedian
NameGrove Co.Honest Church &.Clorox Colgate-.Kimberly. 
Mkt Price1.202.7986.52101.5279.73102.9483.12
Mkt Cap0.00.321.212.464.634.216.8
Rev LTM1813836,0666,77119,99918,8836,418
Op Inc LTM-1851,0791,0094,3463,1601,044
FCF LTM-8-229316363,3702,102783
FCF 3Y Avg-13-48657003,0282,456782
CFO LTM-7-211,0738533,9202,872963
CFO 3Y Avg-10-31,0599163,6593,221988

Growth & Margins

GROVHNSTCHDCLXCLKMBMedian
NameGrove Co.Honest Church &.Clorox Colgate-.Kimberly. 
Rev Chg LTM-15.4%3.9%1.1%-9.3%0.1%-3.1%-1.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-18.5%7.1%4.6%-1.1%4.2%-2.1%1.6%
Rev Chg Q-9.4%-6.7%-0.3%-18.9%1.0%-1.6%-4.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.5%-1.7%-0.1%-4.7%0.3%-0.4%-1.0%
Op Mgn LTM-10.0%1.2%17.8%14.9%21.7%16.7%15.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-13.6%-5.0%18.3%12.6%21.2%15.2%13.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.9%0.1%-1.2%-1.7%-0.1%0.3%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-3.7%-5.5%17.7%12.6%19.6%15.2%13.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-4.5%-0.9%18.0%12.9%18.7%16.5%14.7%
FCF/Rev LTM-4.5%-5.6%15.3%9.4%16.9%11.1%10.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-5.5%-1.1%14.7%9.9%15.4%12.5%11.2%

Valuation

GROVHNSTCHDCLXCLKMBMedian
NameGrove Co.Honest Church &.Clorox Colgate-.Kimberly. 
Mkt Cap0.00.321.212.464.634.216.8
P/S0.31.13.52.23.22.22.2
P/EBIT-2.388.027.613.815.413.614.6
P/E-2.158.240.819.122.317.020.7
P/CFO-7.1-19.620.017.716.514.415.5
Total Yield-48.2%1.7%3.1%7.2%7.3%9.9%5.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.7%2.0%2.8%4.0%1.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-18.5%-4.2%3.8%4.1%4.4%5.6%4.0%
D/E0.40.00.10.20.10.20.2
Net D/E0.3-0.10.10.20.10.20.1

Returns

GROVHNSTCHDCLXCLKMBMedian
NameGrove Co.Honest Church &.Clorox Colgate-.Kimberly. 
1M Rtn-10.4%14.8%4.2%0.3%1.2%0.5%0.8%
3M Rtn-20.5%-30.2%-5.6%-18.2%-2.4%-17.0%-17.6%
6M Rtn7.1%-36.2%-9.2%-14.3%-8.4%-17.8%-11.7%
12M Rtn-13.7%-60.6%-17.2%-35.5%-12.7%-18.3%-17.7%
3Y Rtn-27.5%0.0%11.9%-22.2%10.1%-14.8%-7.4%
1M Excs Rtn-11.2%14.1%3.5%-0.4%0.4%-0.2%0.1%
3M Excs Rtn-21.3%-32.5%-7.0%-18.7%-2.9%-18.3%-18.5%
6M Excs Rtn-5.2%-48.5%-21.5%-26.7%-20.8%-30.2%-24.1%
12M Excs Rtn-31.1%-71.6%-28.1%-47.2%-23.7%-29.5%-30.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-113.9%-65.1%-58.0%-93.4%-59.5%-84.9%-75.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil202420232022
Third-party products140167197
Grove Brands119155187
Total259322384


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,714,333
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520250.5%
Average Daily Volume102,157
Days-to-Cover Short Interest16.78
Basic Shares Quantity39,377,394
Short % of Basic Shares4.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/13/20252.1%-6.2% 
8/7/20257.8%15.5%17.8%
3/11/2025-2.4%-1.8%-30.7%
11/12/2024-11.8%-11.2%-0.7%
8/8/2024-6.3%-9.1%-7.0%
3/6/2024-5.8%-21.1%-24.2%
11/9/20238.8%8.8%-5.5%
8/14/202330.1%44.3%24.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive544
# Negative677
Median Positive7.8%19.7%11.4%
Median Negative-7.3%-11.2%-15.6%
Max Positive30.1%44.3%24.7%
Max Negative-11.8%-21.1%-63.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251113202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025514202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024319202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241113202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024812202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024514202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023320202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022316202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022812202210-Q 6/30/2022
123120213112022S-4/A 12/31/2021
6302021822202210-Q/A 6/30/2021