Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -359%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -129%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -169%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -26 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -762%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -65%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is null
2   Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -724%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -724%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -1817%
5   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 122%
6   Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 26%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -359%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -65%
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -129%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -169%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -26 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -762%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is null
5 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -724%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -724%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -1817%
8 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 122%
9 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 26%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Geovax Labs (GOVX) stock has lost about 85% since 11/30/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Reverse Stock Split to Maintain Nasdaq Listing.

GeoVax Labs implemented a 1-for-25 reverse stock split, effective January 9, 2026, to regain compliance with Nasdaq's $1.00 minimum bid price requirement. This corporate action, which reduced the number of outstanding shares from approximately 43.3 million to 1.7 million, is typically viewed negatively by investors as it signals a company's struggle to maintain its listing and does not fundamentally improve its business operations.

2. Dilutive Equity Offerings.

The company engaged in significant equity offerings that diluted existing shareholder value. GeoVax completed a Composite Units Offering of approximately $6.49 million on December 22, 2025, and filed a Follow-on Equity Offering of approximately $1.00 million on February 13, 2026. These capital raises, particularly for a company with ongoing losses, typically exert downward pressure on the stock price by increasing the number of shares outstanding.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -83.3% change in GOVX stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/13/2026 was primarily driven by a -83.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)113020253132026Change
Stock Price ($)10.281.72-83.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)330.0%
P/S Multiple2.50.4-83.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)110.0%
Cumulative Contribution-83.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

11/30/2025 to 3/13/2026
ReturnCorrelation
GOVX-83.3% 
Market (SPY)-3.1%13.4%
Sector (XLV)-5.0%4.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The -90.8% change in GOVX stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/13/2026 was primarily driven by a -77.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)83120253132026Change
Stock Price ($)18.641.72-90.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)63-45.4%
P/S Multiple1.90.4-77.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)11-24.3%
Cumulative Contribution-90.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 3/13/2026
ReturnCorrelation
GOVX-90.8% 
Market (SPY)3.0%20.0%
Sector (XLV)9.5%7.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The -95.2% change in GOVX stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/13/2026 was primarily driven by a -86.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)22820253132026Change
Stock Price ($)36.001.72-95.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)338.5%
P/S Multiple3.00.4-86.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)01-68.4%
Cumulative Contribution-95.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2025 to 3/13/2026
ReturnCorrelation
GOVX-95.2% 
Market (SPY)12.4%24.5%
Sector (XLV)1.9%18.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The -99.3% change in GOVX stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/13/2026 was primarily driven by a -99.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)22820233132026Change
Stock Price ($)252.151.72-99.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)031260.5%
P/S Multiple64.00.4-99.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)01-92.3%
Cumulative Contribution-99.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2023 to 3/13/2026
ReturnCorrelation
GOVX-99.3% 
Market (SPY)73.4%14.6%
Sector (XLV)23.3%9.4%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
GOVX Return7%-83%-43%-54%-93%-56%-100%
Peers Return15%-57%-56%45%-11%19%-67%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-1%80%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GOVX Win Rate33%17%33%33%25%33% 
Peers Win Rate45%32%30%43%53%67% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%33% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GOVX Max Drawdown-3%-85%-52%-80%-94%-67% 
Peers Max Drawdown-26%-68%-64%-48%-49%-12% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-2% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: EBS, SIGA, TNXP, MRNA, NVAX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/13/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventGOVXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-96.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven2713.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-54.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven121.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven183 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-100.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven349900.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven269 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-65.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven188.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven72 days1,480 days

Compare to EBS, SIGA, TNXP, MRNA, NVAX

In The Past

Geovax Labs's stock fell -96.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/17/2021. A -96.4% loss requires a 2713.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Geovax Labs (GOVX)

GeoVax Labs, Inc., a clinical-stage biotechnology company, develops human vaccines and immunotherapies against infectious diseases and cancers using modified vaccinia ankara virus-like particle vaccine platform. It is developing various preventive vaccines against (COVID-19), human immunodeficiency virus (HIV); Zika virus; malaria; and hemorrhagic fever viruses, such as Ebola, Sudan, Marburg, and Lassa, as well as therapeutic vaccines for HIV, chronic Hepatitis B infections, and solid tumor cancers. The company has collaboration and partnership agreements with the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases of the National Institutes of Health; Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; U.S. Department of Defense; Emory University; University of Pittsburgh; and the Burnet Institute. GeoVax Labs, Inc. was incorporated in 1988 and is based in Smyrna, Georgia.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for GeoVax Labs (GOVX):

  • A Moderna that uses a unique virus-like particle (MVA-VLP) platform for a broad portfolio of vaccines against infectious diseases and cancers.

  • Similar to how CRISPR Therapeutics leverages its gene-editing platform for diverse medical applications, GeoVax Labs uses its MVA-VLP platform for vaccines and immunotherapies.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Preventive Vaccines: Vaccines developed to prevent infectious diseases such such as COVID-19, HIV, Zika virus, malaria, and various hemorrhagic fever viruses (Ebola, Sudan, Marburg, Lassa).
  • Therapeutic Vaccines and Immunotherapies: Vaccines and immunotherapies designed to treat existing conditions including HIV, chronic Hepatitis B infections, and solid tumor cancers.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Geovax Labs (GOVX) is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on research and development. As such, it does not currently have traditional commercial customers that purchase finished products for resale or direct use by individuals. Instead, its primary interactions and sources of funding/support come from governmental agencies and academic/research institutions through collaboration and partnership agreements.

Therefore, the major entities that support Geovax Labs' operations and R&D efforts, which can be considered its "major customers" in the context of a clinical-stage company, are:

  • The National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID) of the National Institutes of Health (NIH)
  • The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)
  • The U.S. Department of Defense (DoD)
  • Emory University
  • University of Pittsburgh
  • The Burnet Institute

These entities are governmental bodies or academic/research institutions and do not have public company stock symbols.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Bavarian Nordic A/S (BAVA)
  • Oncotelic Therapeutics, Inc. (OTLC)
  • Virionyx, Inc.
  • KBI Biopharma, Inc.

AI Analysis | Feedback

null

AI Analysis | Feedback

null

AI Analysis | Feedback

The emergence and increasing dominance of mRNA vaccine technology presents a clear emerging threat to companies like GeoVax Labs that rely on alternative vaccine platforms for their pipeline across multiple disease areas, including infectious diseases and cancers.

AI Analysis | Feedback

null

AI Analysis | Feedback

null

AI Analysis | Feedback

null

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to GOVX.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
QDEL_2282026_Insider_Buying_45D_2Buy_200K02282026QDELQuidelOrthoInsiderInsider Buys 45DStrong Insider Buying
Companies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days
0.0%0.0%0.0%
CHE_2272026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02272026CHEChemedDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.0%0.0%0.0%
LLY_2272026_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper02272026LLYEli LillyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.0%0.0%0.0%
HAE_2202026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02202026HAEHaemoneticsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.5%3.5%0.0%
IQV_2132026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy02132026IQVIQVIADip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.1%7.1%-3.0%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GOVXEBSSIGATNXPMRNANVAXMedian
NameGeovax L.Emergent.SIGA Tec.Tonix Ph.Moderna Novavax  
Mkt Price1.728.075.2613.2452.5610.239.15
Mkt Cap0.00.40.40.120.61.70.4
Rev LTM3705172101,9221,083439
Op Inc LTM-2611290-96-3,07455132
FCF LTM-24157116-77-2,075-251-51
FCF 3Y Avg-24-2265-87-3,318-375-56
CFO LTM-24171117-75-1,873-245-50
CFO 3Y Avg-24865-82-2,665-349-53

Growth & Margins

GOVXEBSSIGATNXPMRNANVAXMedian
NameGeovax L.Emergent.SIGA Tec.Tonix Ph.Moderna Novavax  
Rev Chg LTM8.5%-30.4%-0.9%-8.8%-39.9%58.8%-4.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--12.2%104.9%--52.3%-0.7%-6.5%
Rev Chg Q-100.0%-24.0%-73.8%16.6%-29.3%66.6%-26.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-45.4%-6.1%-4.1%4.8%-12.7%5.7%-5.1%
Op Mgn LTM-761.6%15.9%52.4%-932.4%-159.9%50.8%-72.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg--3.9%28.1%-1,584.1%-115.3%-22.4%-22.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-354.3%0.1%-3.8%-140.7%-2.7%11.3%-3.3%
CFO/Rev LTM-723.6%24.2%67.7%-726.5%-97.5%-22.6%-60.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-3.3%43.6%-1,296.8%-79.2%-46.1%-46.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-724.4%22.2%67.5%-751.3%-108.0%-23.2%-65.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-0.2%43.6%-1,408.1%-97.1%-49.9%-49.9%

Valuation

GOVXEBSSIGATNXPMRNANVAXMedian
NameGeovax L.Emergent.SIGA Tec.Tonix Ph.Moderna Novavax  
Mkt Cap0.00.40.40.120.61.70.4
P/S0.40.62.211.510.71.51.9
P/EBIT-0.13.04.2-2.8-7.53.61.5
P/E-0.18.05.1-1.2-7.33.81.9
P/CFO-0.12.53.2-1.6-11.0-6.8-0.8
Total Yield-1,813.3%12.5%19.8%-84.0%-13.7%26.5%-0.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-367.2%-58.4%15.1%-51,904.5%-17.7%-53.6%-56.0%
D/E0.01.40.00.00.10.10.0
Net D/E-3.60.9-0.5-1.6-0.2-0.3-0.4

Returns

GOVXEBSSIGATNXPMRNANVAXMedian
NameGeovax L.Emergent.SIGA Tec.Tonix Ph.Moderna Novavax  
1M Rtn-32.5%-26.8%-20.8%-16.5%29.7%14.1%-18.7%
3M Rtn-81.6%-29.3%-18.6%-31.3%78.4%55.8%-23.9%
6M Rtn-90.2%-0.9%-41.0%-53.7%123.6%28.3%-20.9%
12M Rtn-95.5%46.5%6.6%-2.9%53.2%25.3%15.9%
3Y Rtn-99.3%-16.8%22.3%-99.9%-65.3%63.2%-41.0%
1M Excs Rtn-30.2%-24.4%-18.4%-14.1%32.1%16.5%-16.3%
3M Excs Rtn-81.0%-28.6%-14.2%-31.4%82.7%53.5%-21.4%
6M Excs Rtn-93.3%-4.8%-44.9%-60.4%104.2%20.8%-24.8%
12M Excs Rtn-116.8%10.2%-24.0%-22.3%29.1%5.3%-8.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-169.1%-91.8%-55.7%-169.6%-132.7%-21.2%-112.3%

Comparison Analyses

null

Financials

Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$1.72 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.0 
First Trading Date02/23/2007 
Distance from 52W High-95.5% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$2.65$12.74
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-35.1%-86.5%
 3M1YR
Volatility144.0%122.0%
Downside Capture544.63447.52
Upside Capture-435.5446.30
Correlation (SPY)13.2%26.4%
GOVX Betas & Captures as of 2/28/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.081.922.072.101.561.37
Up Beta11.185.173.532.241.310.59
Down Beta6.143.453.202.861.091.34
Up Capture-626%-328%-335%-128%21%21%
Bmk +ve Days9203170142431
Stock +ve Days6121641107304
Down Capture130%366%459%300%171%113%
Bmk -ve Days12213054109320
Stock -ve Days13264279134425

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with GOVX
GOVX-95.9%121.8%-1.96-
Sector ETF (XLV)5.0%17.5%0.1219.1%
Equity (SPY)19.6%18.9%0.8126.9%
Gold (GLD)71.9%26.3%2.05-3.6%
Commodities (DBC)19.3%17.3%0.890.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)6.2%16.3%0.1916.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-15.0%44.2%-0.2420.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with GOVX
GOVX-75.0%160.7%-0.24-
Sector ETF (XLV)7.5%14.5%0.3310.9%
Equity (SPY)13.1%17.0%0.6114.6%
Gold (GLD)24.1%17.3%1.144.0%
Commodities (DBC)11.2%19.0%0.474.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.8%18.8%0.1610.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)6.4%56.7%0.339.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with GOVX
GOVX-68.8%191.5%-0.20-
Sector ETF (XLV)10.1%16.5%0.502.8%
Equity (SPY)14.5%17.9%0.703.5%
Gold (GLD)14.4%15.6%0.775.8%
Commodities (DBC)8.6%17.6%0.401.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.6%20.7%0.230.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.5%66.8%1.073.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date2272026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity0.2 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 2152026-22.7%
Average Daily Volume0.2 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.3 days
Basic Shares Quantity0.8 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares26.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/13/2025-3.8%-14.5%-38.9%
7/29/20251.8%-3.0%0.8%
3/28/2025-4.5%-8.1%-10.0%
11/13/2024-3.3%-3.3%-13.0%
8/7/20245.1%82.6%92.1%
5/15/20241.2%8.7%-30.2%
3/1/2024-7.5%-16.1%-24.4%
11/9/2023-1.8%1.1%-40.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive777
# Negative121212
Median Positive1.2%3.2%11.7%
Median Negative-3.6%-6.0%-26.3%
Max Positive5.1%82.6%92.1%
Max Negative-9.8%-24.4%-66.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202511/13/202510-Q
06/30/202507/28/202510-Q
03/31/202505/01/202510-Q
12/31/202403/27/202510-K
09/30/202411/12/202410-Q
06/30/202408/06/202410-Q
03/31/202405/14/202410-Q
12/31/202302/29/202410-K
09/30/202311/08/202310-Q
06/30/202308/09/202310-Q
03/31/202305/04/202310-Q
12/31/202203/23/202310-K
09/30/202211/09/202210-Q
06/30/202208/03/202210-Q
03/31/202204/27/202210-Q
12/31/202103/09/202210-K

Insider Activity

Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Spencer, John N Jr DirectBuy102020250.5510,0005,49811,767Form
2McKee, Kelly T JrChief Medical OfficerDirectBuy80820250.671,1077422,341Form
3Spencer, John N Jr DirectBuy41120250.9810,0009,80011,174Form
4Sharkey, John WVP, Business DevelopmentDirectBuy41020250.996,0005,9406,129Form
5Dodd, David APresident, CEODirectBuy40120251.0810,00010,80039,594Form