Geovax Labs (GOVX)
Market Price (3/14/2026): $1.72 | Market Cap: $1.4 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Geovax Labs (GOVX)
Market Price (3/14/2026): $1.72Market Cap: $1.4 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -359% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -129%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -169% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -26 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -762% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -65% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is null | |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -724%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -724% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -1817% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 122% | ||
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 26% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -359% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -65% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -129%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -169% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -26 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -762% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is null |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -724%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -724% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -1817% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 122% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 26% |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Reverse Stock Split to Maintain Nasdaq Listing.
GeoVax Labs implemented a 1-for-25 reverse stock split, effective January 9, 2026, to regain compliance with Nasdaq's $1.00 minimum bid price requirement. This corporate action, which reduced the number of outstanding shares from approximately 43.3 million to 1.7 million, is typically viewed negatively by investors as it signals a company's struggle to maintain its listing and does not fundamentally improve its business operations.
2. Dilutive Equity Offerings.
The company engaged in significant equity offerings that diluted existing shareholder value. GeoVax completed a Composite Units Offering of approximately $6.49 million on December 22, 2025, and filed a Follow-on Equity Offering of approximately $1.00 million on February 13, 2026. These capital raises, particularly for a company with ongoing losses, typically exert downward pressure on the stock price by increasing the number of shares outstanding.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -83.3% change in GOVX stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/13/2026 was primarily driven by a -83.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 3132026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 10.28 | 1.72 | -83.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 3 | 3 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 2.5 | 0.4 | -83.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 1 | 1 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -83.3% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/13/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GOVX | -83.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | -3.1% | 13.4% |
| Sector (XLV) | -5.0% | 4.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -90.8% change in GOVX stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/13/2026 was primarily driven by a -77.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 3132026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 18.64 | 1.72 | -90.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 6 | 3 | -45.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.9 | 0.4 | -77.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 1 | 1 | -24.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -90.8% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/13/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GOVX | -90.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.0% | 20.0% |
| Sector (XLV) | 9.5% | 7.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -95.2% change in GOVX stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/13/2026 was primarily driven by a -86.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282025 | 3132026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 36.00 | 1.72 | -95.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 3 | 3 | 8.5% |
| P/S Multiple | 3.0 | 0.4 | -86.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 0 | 1 | -68.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -95.2% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/13/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GOVX | -95.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.4% | 24.5% |
| Sector (XLV) | 1.9% | 18.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -99.3% change in GOVX stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/13/2026 was primarily driven by a -99.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282023 | 3132026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 252.15 | 1.72 | -99.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 3 | 1260.5% |
| P/S Multiple | 64.0 | 0.4 | -99.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 0 | 1 | -92.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -99.3% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/13/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GOVX | -99.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 73.4% | 14.6% |
| Sector (XLV) | 23.3% | 9.4% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GOVX Return | 7% | -83% | -43% | -54% | -93% | -56% | -100% |
| Peers Return | 15% | -57% | -56% | 45% | -11% | 19% | -67% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -1% | 80% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GOVX Win Rate | 33% | 17% | 33% | 33% | 25% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 45% | 32% | 30% | 43% | 53% | 67% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GOVX Max Drawdown | -3% | -85% | -52% | -80% | -94% | -67% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -26% | -68% | -64% | -48% | -49% | -12% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -2% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: EBS, SIGA, TNXP, MRNA, NVAX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/13/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | GOVX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -96.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 2713.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -54.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 121.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 183 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -100.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 349900.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 269 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -65.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 188.9% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 72 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to EBS, SIGA, TNXP, MRNA, NVAX
In The Past
Geovax Labs's stock fell -96.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/17/2021. A -96.4% loss requires a 2713.3% gain to breakeven.
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About Geovax Labs (GOVX)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for GeoVax Labs (GOVX):
A Moderna that uses a unique virus-like particle (MVA-VLP) platform for a broad portfolio of vaccines against infectious diseases and cancers.
Similar to how CRISPR Therapeutics leverages its gene-editing platform for diverse medical applications, GeoVax Labs uses its MVA-VLP platform for vaccines and immunotherapies.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Preventive Vaccines: Vaccines developed to prevent infectious diseases such such as COVID-19, HIV, Zika virus, malaria, and various hemorrhagic fever viruses (Ebola, Sudan, Marburg, Lassa).
- Therapeutic Vaccines and Immunotherapies: Vaccines and immunotherapies designed to treat existing conditions including HIV, chronic Hepatitis B infections, and solid tumor cancers.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Geovax Labs (GOVX) is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on research and development. As such, it does not currently have traditional commercial customers that purchase finished products for resale or direct use by individuals. Instead, its primary interactions and sources of funding/support come from governmental agencies and academic/research institutions through collaboration and partnership agreements.
Therefore, the major entities that support Geovax Labs' operations and R&D efforts, which can be considered its "major customers" in the context of a clinical-stage company, are:
- The National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID) of the National Institutes of Health (NIH)
- The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)
- The U.S. Department of Defense (DoD)
- Emory University
- University of Pittsburgh
- The Burnet Institute
These entities are governmental bodies or academic/research institutions and do not have public company stock symbols.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Bavarian Nordic A/S (BAVA)
- Oncotelic Therapeutics, Inc. (OTLC)
- Virionyx, Inc.
- KBI Biopharma, Inc.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
The emergence and increasing dominance of mRNA vaccine technology presents a clear emerging threat to companies like GeoVax Labs that rely on alternative vaccine platforms for their pipeline across multiple disease areas, including infectious diseases and cancers.AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
nullLatest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Geovax Labs Stock Slides 61% With A 9-Day Losing Spree | 12/20/2025 | |
| Geovax Labs Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| Would You Still Hold Geovax Labs Stock If It Fell Another 30%? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to GOVX.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02282026 | QDEL | QuidelOrtho | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02272026 | CHE | Chemed | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02272026 | LLY | Eli Lilly | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02202026 | HAE | Haemonetics | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.5% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| 02132026 | IQV | IQVIA | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.1% | 7.1% | -3.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 9.15 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.4 |
| Rev LTM | 439 |
| Op Inc LTM | 32 |
| FCF LTM | -51 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -56 |
| CFO LTM | -50 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -53 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -4.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -6.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | -26.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -5.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -72.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -22.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -3.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -60.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -46.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -65.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -49.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.4 |
| P/S | 1.9 |
| P/EBIT | 1.5 |
| P/E | 1.9 |
| P/CFO | -0.8 |
| Total Yield | -0.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -56.0% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -18.7% |
| 3M Rtn | -23.9% |
| 6M Rtn | -20.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 15.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | -41.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -16.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -21.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -24.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -8.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -112.3% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $1.72 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 02/23/2007 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -95.5% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $2.65 | $12.74 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -35.1% | -86.5% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 144.0% | 122.0% |
| Downside Capture | 544.63 | 447.52 |
| Upside Capture | -435.54 | 46.30 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 13.2% | 26.4% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.08 | 1.92 | 2.07 | 2.10 | 1.56 | 1.37 |
| Up Beta | 11.18 | 5.17 | 3.53 | 2.24 | 1.31 | 0.59 |
| Down Beta | 6.14 | 3.45 | 3.20 | 2.86 | 1.09 | 1.34 |
| Up Capture | -626% | -328% | -335% | -128% | 21% | 21% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 9 | 20 | 31 | 70 | 142 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 6 | 12 | 16 | 41 | 107 | 304 |
| Down Capture | 130% | 366% | 459% | 300% | 171% | 113% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 30 | 54 | 109 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 13 | 26 | 42 | 79 | 134 | 425 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GOVX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOVX | -95.9% | 121.8% | -1.96 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 5.0% | 17.5% | 0.12 | 19.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 19.6% | 18.9% | 0.81 | 26.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 71.9% | 26.3% | 2.05 | -3.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 19.3% | 17.3% | 0.89 | 0.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.2% | 16.3% | 0.19 | 16.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -15.0% | 44.2% | -0.24 | 20.5% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GOVX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOVX | -75.0% | 160.7% | -0.24 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 7.5% | 14.5% | 0.33 | 10.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.1% | 17.0% | 0.61 | 14.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.1% | 17.3% | 1.14 | 4.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.2% | 19.0% | 0.47 | 4.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.8% | 18.8% | 0.16 | 10.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 6.4% | 56.7% | 0.33 | 9.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GOVX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOVX | -68.8% | 191.5% | -0.20 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 10.1% | 16.5% | 0.50 | 2.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.5% | 17.9% | 0.70 | 3.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.4% | 15.6% | 0.77 | 5.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.6% | 17.6% | 0.40 | 1.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.6% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 0.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.5% | 66.8% | 1.07 | 3.6% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/13/2025 | -3.8% | -14.5% | -38.9% |
| 7/29/2025 | 1.8% | -3.0% | 0.8% |
| 3/28/2025 | -4.5% | -8.1% | -10.0% |
| 11/13/2024 | -3.3% | -3.3% | -13.0% |
| 8/7/2024 | 5.1% | 82.6% | 92.1% |
| 5/15/2024 | 1.2% | 8.7% | -30.2% |
| 3/1/2024 | -7.5% | -16.1% | -24.4% |
| 11/9/2023 | -1.8% | 1.1% | -40.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| # Negative | 12 | 12 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 1.2% | 3.2% | 11.7% |
| Median Negative | -3.6% | -6.0% | -26.3% |
| Max Positive | 5.1% | 82.6% | 92.1% |
| Max Negative | -9.8% | -24.4% | -66.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2025 | 11/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/28/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/01/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/27/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/29/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/23/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 04/27/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/09/2022 | 10-K |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spencer, John N Jr | Direct | Buy | 10202025 | 0.55 | 10,000 | 5,498 | 11,767 | Form | |
| 2 | McKee, Kelly T Jr | Chief Medical Officer | Direct | Buy | 8082025 | 0.67 | 1,107 | 742 | 2,341 | Form |
| 3 | Spencer, John N Jr | Direct | Buy | 4112025 | 0.98 | 10,000 | 9,800 | 11,174 | Form | |
| 4 | Sharkey, John W | VP, Business Development | Direct | Buy | 4102025 | 0.99 | 6,000 | 5,940 | 6,129 | Form |
| 5 | Dodd, David A | President, CEO | Direct | Buy | 4012025 | 1.08 | 10,000 | 10,800 | 39,594 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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