Geovax Labs (GOVX)
Market Price (12/15/2025): $0.373 | Market Cap: $7.6 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Geovax Labs (GOVX)
Market Price (12/15/2025): $0.373Market Cap: $7.6 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -52% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -141%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -170% | Penny stockMkt Price is 0.4 |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -26 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -762% | |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is null | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -724%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -724% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -268% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 104% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -52% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -141%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -170% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15% |
| Penny stockMkt Price is 0.4 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -26 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -762% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is null |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -724%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -724% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -268% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 104% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
GOVX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Nasdaq Deficiency and Delisting Risk. Geovax Labs received a deficiency letter from Nasdaq on July 31, 2025, indicating that its common stock's closing bid price had fallen below the $1.00 minimum requirement for 30 consecutive business days. The company was given until January 27, 2026, to regain compliance, or it could face potential delisting from the Nasdaq Capital Market.
2. Termination of Key COVID-19 Vaccine Project. On April 11, 2025, GeoVax Labs announced the termination of its COVID-19 vaccine project, GEO-CM04S1, under a collaboration with Advanced Technology International (ATI), which was funded by the Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority (BARDA). This decision by BARDA to terminate the contract for convenience meant the halt of all activities related to the Phase 2B clinical trial for the vaccine, significantly impacting a major development program and its associated funding.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GOVX Return | 1126567% | 7% | -83% | -43% | -54% | -84% | 8516% |
| Peers Return | 642% | 15% | -57% | -56% | 45% | -9% | 113% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 111% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GOVX Win Rate | 42% | 33% | 17% | 33% | 33% | 25% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 45% | 32% | 30% | 43% | 55% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GOVX Max Drawdown | 0% | -3% | -85% | -52% | -80% | -85% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -20% | -26% | -68% | -64% | -48% | -49% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EBS, SIGA, TNXP, MRNA, NVAX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | GOVX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -96.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 2713.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -54.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 121.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 183 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -100.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 349900.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 269 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -65.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 188.9% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 72 days | 1480 days |
Compare to VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN
In The Past
Geovax Labs's stock fell -96.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/17/2021. A -96.4% loss requires a 2713.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| With Geovax Labs Stock Sliding, Have You Assessed The Risk? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to GOVX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.0% | 15.0% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.1% | -5.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.0% | 9.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.0% | 16.0% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.0% | 15.0% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.1% | -5.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.0% | 9.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.0% | 16.0% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Geovax Labs
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 8.99 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.5 |
| Rev LTM | 492 |
| Op Inc LTM | 32 |
| FCF LTM | -51 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -71 |
| CFO LTM | -50 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -53 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -4.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -1.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | -46.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -8.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -72.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -27.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -27.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -63.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -45.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -79.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -50.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.5 |
| P/S | 3.0 |
| P/EBIT | 2.0 |
| P/E | 1.6 |
| P/CFO | -1.6 |
| Total Yield | -9.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -43.3% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 10.3% |
| 3M Rtn | -22.6% |
| 6M Rtn | -1.9% |
| 12M Rtn | -23.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | -63.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 5.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -26.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -16.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -26.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -146.2% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/13/2025 | -3.8% | -14.5% | |
| 7/29/2025 | 1.8% | -3.0% | 0.8% |
| 3/28/2025 | -4.5% | -8.1% | -10.0% |
| 11/13/2024 | -3.3% | -3.3% | -13.0% |
| 8/7/2024 | 5.1% | 82.6% | 92.1% |
| 5/15/2024 | 1.2% | 8.7% | -30.2% |
| 3/1/2024 | -7.5% | -16.1% | -24.4% |
| 11/9/2023 | -1.8% | 1.1% | -40.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| # Negative | 12 | 12 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 1.2% | 3.2% | 11.7% |
| Median Negative | -3.6% | -6.0% | -24.4% |
| Max Positive | 5.1% | 82.6% | 92.1% |
| Max Negative | -9.8% | -24.4% | -66.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11132025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7282025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5142024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8032022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4272022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3092022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | SPENCER JOHN N JR | 10202025 | Buy | 0.55 | 10,000 | 5,498 | 11,767 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
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