Gladstone Commercial (GOOD)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $11.015 | Market Cap: $516.4 MilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Diversified REITs
Gladstone Commercial (GOOD)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $11.015Market Cap: $516.4 MilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Diversified REITs
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.5%, Dividend Yield is 2.8%, FCF Yield is 16% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -45%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -95% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 144% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 61%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 61% | Key risksGOOD key risks include [1] high financial leverage and debt, Show more. | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 21% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include E-commerce Logistics REITs, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.5%, Dividend Yield is 2.8%, FCF Yield is 16% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 61%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 61% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 21% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include E-commerce Logistics REITs, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -45%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -95% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 144% |
| Key risksGOOD key risks include [1] high financial leverage and debt, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
GOOD Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025, Gladstone Commercial (GOOD) experienced a stock price decline of approximately 15.9%. Several key factors contributed to this negative movement:
1. Q3 2025 Earnings Miss: Gladstone Commercial reported its third-quarter 2025 earnings, revealing a significant shortfall in earnings per share (EPS). The company posted an EPS of $0.02, which was 80% lower than the forecasted $0.10. Additionally, Funds from Operations (FFO) of $0.35 per share missed the consensus estimate of $0.39. This substantial earnings miss likely dampened investor confidence despite revenue slightly exceeding projections.
2. Stock Reaching a New 52-Week Low: Around November 21, 2025, Gladstone Commercial's shares hit a new 52-week low at $10.53, indicating a strong bearish trend and concerns among investors regarding the company's performance and outlook. The stock remained near its 52-week low of $10.91 following the Q3 earnings disappointment.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GOOD Return | -10% | 54% | -23% | -22% | 33% | -27% | -18% |
| Peers Return | -6% | 36% | -14% | 3% | -7% | 17% | 24% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GOOD Win Rate | 50% | 75% | 33% | 33% | 50% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 55% | 67% | 45% | 48% | 48% | 62% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GOOD Max Drawdown | -64% | -2% | -38% | -40% | -8% | -30% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -41% | -6% | -27% | -19% | -12% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: STAG, WPC, O, NNN, LXP.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | GOOD | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -57.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 137.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -65.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 188.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 447 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -27.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 37.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 561 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -71.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 244.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,493 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to WPC, ALEX, CTO, OLP, EPRT
In The Past
Gladstone Commercial's stock fell -57.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -57.9% loss requires a 137.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to GOOD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -3.6% | -3.6% | -5.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -3.6% | -3.6% | -5.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Gladstone Commercial
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 45.36 |
| Mkt Cap | 7.3 |
| Rev LTM | 865 |
| Op Inc LTM | 433 |
| FCF LTM | 531 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 513 |
| CFO LTM | 561 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 534 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 41.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 38.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 64.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 63.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 64.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 60.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 7.3 |
| P/S | 8.4 |
| P/EBIT | 15.6 |
| P/E | 27.4 |
| P/CFO | 11.9 |
| Total Yield | 7.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 4.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 9.3% |
| D/E | 0.6 |
| Net D/E | 0.6 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -0.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -2.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 4.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 11.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 6.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -2.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -8.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -1.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -64.3% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/3/2025 | -6.1% | -3.7% | -3.7% |
| 8/6/2025 | -0.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% |
| 5/7/2025 | -0.4% | 1.8% | 5.3% |
| 2/18/2025 | 0.8% | 1.4% | -5.9% |
| 11/4/2024 | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% |
| 8/6/2024 | 1.3% | 1.7% | 6.6% |
| 5/6/2024 | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% |
| 2/21/2024 | 0.1% | -3.0% | 9.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 11 | 16 |
| # Negative | 12 | 13 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 1.5% | 2.5% | 7.0% |
| Median Negative | -1.5% | -3.2% | -5.7% |
| Max Positive | 11.7% | 8.1% | 11.3% |
| Max Negative | -6.1% | -14.6% | -30.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11032025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2182025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11042024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5062024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2212024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11062023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5032023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2222023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11072022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8012022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2152022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |