First National (FXNC)
Market Price (7/13/2026): $29.07 | Market Cap: $262.5 MilSector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks
First National (FXNC)
Market Price (7/13/2026): $29.07Market Cap: $262.5 MilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Regional Banks
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, Dividend Yield is 2.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.8%, FCF Yield is 9.0% Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -60% Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 23% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Community & Regional Banking. Themes include Local Commercial & Real Estate Lending, Relationship-Based Banking Services, and Community Financial Stewardship. | Key risksFXNC key risks include that the provided summary only identifies generic banking industry risks without detailing any issues specific to the company. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, Dividend Yield is 2.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.8%, FCF Yield is 9.0% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -60% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 23% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Community & Regional Banking. Themes include Local Commercial & Real Estate Lending, Relationship-Based Banking Services, and Community Financial Stewardship. |
| Key risksFXNC key risks include that the provided summary only identifies generic banking industry risks without detailing any issues specific to the company. |
Qualitative Assessment
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First National (FXNC) stock has gained about 10% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong First Quarter Fiscal 2026 Performance. First National reported robust earnings for fiscal Q1 2026, which ended on March 31, 2026, with an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.54. This figure surpassed analysts' consensus estimates of $0.52 by $0.02, representing a 3.85% earnings surprise. The company's net income for the quarter significantly increased to $4.89 million, compared to $1.6 million in fiscal Q1 2025. Additionally, basic and diluted EPS rose to $0.54 from $0.18 in the prior year, driven by a year-over-year increase in net interest income to $18.68 million from $17.45 million.
2. Improved Net Interest Margins and Asset Quality. An analysis of the company's fiscal year 2025 results, published in late March 2026, highlighted a strengthening net interest margin. The trailing twelve-month net profit margin for fiscal year 2025 reached 20.3%, up from 12.0% a year earlier. The net interest margin on a trailing basis stood at 3.88%, with quarterly margins consistently between 3.84% and 3.95%, indicating a more profitable core banking operation. Furthermore, First National demonstrated improving asset quality with a reduction in non-performing loans, decreasing from $6.97 million in fiscal Q4 2024 to $4.65 million in fiscal Q4 2025.
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First National (FXNC) stock has gained about 10% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong First Quarter Fiscal 2026 Performance. First National reported robust earnings for fiscal Q1 2026, which ended on March 31, 2026, with an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.54. This figure surpassed analysts' consensus estimates of $0.52 by $0.02, representing a 3.85% earnings surprise. The company's net income for the quarter significantly increased to $4.89 million, compared to $1.6 million in fiscal Q1 2025. Additionally, basic and diluted EPS rose to $0.54 from $0.18 in the prior year, driven by a year-over-year increase in net interest income to $18.68 million from $17.45 million.
2. Improved Net Interest Margins and Asset Quality. An analysis of the company's fiscal year 2025 results, published in late March 2026, highlighted a strengthening net interest margin. The trailing twelve-month net profit margin for fiscal year 2025 reached 20.3%, up from 12.0% a year earlier. The net interest margin on a trailing basis stood at 3.88%, with quarterly margins consistently between 3.84% and 3.95%, indicating a more profitable core banking operation. Furthermore, First National demonstrated improving asset quality with a reduction in non-performing loans, decreasing from $6.97 million in fiscal Q4 2024 to $4.65 million in fiscal Q4 2025.
3. Positive Earnings Growth Projections and Upcoming Dividend. Analysts project continued positive momentum for First National, with earnings expected to grow by 7.14% in the next year, from $2.38 to $2.55 per share. For the upcoming fiscal Q2 2026, estimated for July 29, 2026, the company is anticipated to report an EPS of $0.59. Investor sentiment was also supported by news regarding the company's upcoming quarterly dividend, which consistently pays $0.17 per share, contributing to a trailing twelve-month dividend yield of 2.18%.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 9.2% change in FXNC stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 16.8% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 3312026 | 7122026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 26.76 | 29.23 | 9.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 88 | 89 | 1.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 20.2% | 23.6% | 16.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 13.6 | 12.6 | -7.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 9 | 9 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 9.2% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 7/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FXNC | 9.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.1% | 0.8% |
| Sector (XLF) | 12.8% | 38.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 17.2% change in FXNC stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 79.8% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 7122026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 24.93 | 29.23 | 17.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 86 | 89 | 3.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 13.1% | 23.6% | 79.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 19.9 | 12.6 | -36.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 9 | 9 | -0.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 17.2% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 7/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FXNC | 17.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 11.0% | 12.8% |
| Sector (XLF) | 2.2% | 41.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 54.1% change in FXNC stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 210.2% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 6302025 | 7122026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 18.97 | 29.23 | 54.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 70 | 89 | 26.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 7.6% | 23.6% | 210.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 31.8 | 12.6 | -60.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 9 | 9 | -0.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 54.1% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2025 to 7/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FXNC | 54.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 23.2% | 21.0% |
| Sector (XLF) | 7.7% | 45.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 95.1% change in FXNC stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 126.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 6302023 | 7122026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 14.98 | 29.23 | 95.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 57 | 89 | 55.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 29.4% | 23.6% | -20.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 5.6 | 12.6 | 126.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 6 | 9 | -30.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 95.1% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2023 to 7/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FXNC | 95.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 76.3% | 31.8% |
| Sector (XLF) | 72.7% | 38.5% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| FXNC Return | 39% | -23% | 32% | 10% | 13% | 18% | 106% |
| Peers Return | 33% | 5% | -0% | 10% | -1% | 21% | 83% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 10% | 101% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| FXNC Win Rate | 75% | 33% | 75% | 42% | 50% | 71% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 42% | 45% | 45% | 52% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 57% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| FXNC Max Drawdown | -10% | -38% | -28% | -32% | -30% | -10% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -17% | -21% | -35% | -17% | -25% | -13% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: UBSI, AUB, TOWN, BHRB, FCBC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/10/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | FXNC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -27.9% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 38.7% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 233 days | 79 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -20.6% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 25.9% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 99 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -36.6% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 57.7% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 428 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -30.9% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 44.7% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 427 days | 140 days |
| 2013 Taper Tantrum | ||
| % Loss | -22.9% | -0.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.7% | 0.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 211 days | 1 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -21.7% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.8% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2335 days | 123 days |
In The Past
First National's stock fell -27.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 38.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | FXNC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -27.9% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 38.7% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 233 days | 79 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -20.6% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 25.9% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 99 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -36.6% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 57.7% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 428 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -30.9% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 44.7% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 427 days | 140 days |
| 2013 Taper Tantrum | ||
| % Loss | -22.9% | -0.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.7% | 0.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 211 days | 1 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -21.7% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.8% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2335 days | 123 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -49.7% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 98.7% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3756 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
First National's stock fell -27.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 38.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About First National (FXNC)
First National Corporation (FXNC) operates as the bank holding company for First Bank, providing a comprehensive range of commercial banking services. The company primarily serves small and medium-sized businesses, individuals, estates, local governmental entities, and non-profit organizations within Virginia. Essentially, FXNC functions as a community-oriented bank offering both traditional and specialized financial solutions to its local market.
The company's main product offerings include a variety of deposit products such as checking, savings, money market, and individual retirement accounts, alongside certificates of deposit and treasury management solutions. On the lending side, First National provides a broad spectrum of loan products. These include construction loans, 1-4 family residential real estate loans, and commercial real estate loans secured by various types of properties. Additionally, it offers commercial and industrial loans, home equity loans, and diverse secured and unsecured consumer loans like lines of credit and automobile loans.
Beyond core banking, FXNC extends its services to include wealth management, encompassing estate planning, investment management, and various trustee services. The company also offers title insurance and investment services, complemented by modern conveniences such as internet and mobile banking, and remote deposit capture. First National connects with its customers through 20 branch offices, a loan production office, a customer service center, and an ATM network, with its headquarters in Strasburg, Virginia.
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- A regional Bank of America for Virginia, offering traditional banking and wealth management services.
- Think of it as a full-service community bank for Virginia, similar to a localized Wells Fargo.
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- Deposit Accounts: A range of accounts including checking, savings, money market, IRAs, and certificates of deposit for individuals and businesses.
- Treasury Management Solutions: Services designed to help businesses manage their cash flow and financial operations efficiently.
- Construction Loans: Financing for residential, land acquisition, and development projects.
- Residential Real Estate Loans: Loans for 1-4 family homes and home equity.
- Commercial Real Estate Loans: Financing secured by various types of commercial properties.
- Commercial and Industrial Loans: Loans for businesses secured by assets like accounts receivable, equipment, and inventory.
- Consumer Loans: Secured and unsecured loans for personal use, including lines of credit and automobile loans.
- Wealth Management: Comprehensive services covering estate planning, investment management, and trustee services.
- Title Insurance: Protection for real estate owners against losses from title defects.
- Investment Services: Financial advisory and management services related to investments.
- Digital Banking Services: Convenient online and mobile banking, including remote deposit capture.
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First National (FXNC) serves a diverse customer base in Virginia. As a bank, its customers are generally broad categories of clients rather than a few specific, identifiable major companies. Based on the company description, its major customer categories include:
- Individuals and Estates: This category includes individual consumers who utilize a wide range of personal banking services such as checking, savings, money market, and individual retirement accounts, as well as 1-4 family residential real estate loans, home equity loans, and other secured and unsecured consumer loans. It also encompasses individuals and their estates seeking wealth management services like estate planning, investment management, and trustee services.
- Small and Medium-Sized Businesses: First National provides commercial banking services, construction loans (including land acquisition and development loans), commercial real estate loans, and commercial and industrial loans secured by business assets (accounts receivable, equipment, inventory) to small and medium-sized businesses within its service area.
- Local Governmental Entities and Non-Profit Organizations: The company also serves local governmental entities and non-profit organizations by offering various commercial banking services tailored to their specific needs.
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Scott C. Harvard, President and Chief Executive Officer
Scott C. Harvard has served as President and Chief Executive Officer of First National Corporation since May 2011 and as Chief Executive Officer of First Bank since June 2015. Prior to joining the company, Mr. Harvard owned and operated Harvard Resources from 2009 to 2011. He also held the position of Executive Vice President of Hampton Roads Bankshares from 2008 to 2009. From 1985 to 2008, he was President and Chief Executive Officer of Shore Financial Corporation and its wholly-owned subsidiary, Shore Bank. Mr. Harvard has served on the board of directors for the Virginia Bankers Association, including a term as chairman, and is a board member of the Virginia Bankers Association Education Foundation, the Federal Home Loan Bank of Atlanta, and CBB Financial Corp. and its subsidiary, Community Bankers Bank.
Brad Schwartz, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Brad Schwartz was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of First National Corporation and First Bank on March 31, 2025. Most recently, he served as President and Chief Operating Officer of TowneBank until his retirement in December 2022. He held the role of President of TowneBank since July 2021 and Chief Operating Officer since 2016, following the merger of Monarch Bank into TowneBank. Previously, Mr. Schwartz served as Chief Executive Officer of Monarch Bank from 2009 until 2016, and as Chief Financial Officer/Chief Operating Officer of Monarch Bank from 2004 until 2009.
Dennis A. Dysart, President and Chief Operating Officer of First Bank
Dennis A. Dysart currently serves as President and Chief Operating Officer of First Bank. He has been employed by the Bank since 1993 and has held various positions, including Chief Credit Officer (April 2012 to August 2014), Chief Operating Officer (May 2011 to March 2012), Interim Chief Executive Officer (January 2011 to May 2011), Executive Vice President - Chief Administrative Officer (2005 to March 2011), Executive Vice President - Administration (2003 to 2005), and Senior Vice President - Administration (1999 to 2003). Mr. Dysart has been credited with developing First Bank's current branch designs and managing the construction of several branches.
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The key risks to First National Corporation (FXNC) primarily stem from its core banking operations and the economic environment in which it operates. These risks include credit risk associated with its loan portfolio, sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations, and challenges in maintaining adequate liquidity and deposit funding.
- Credit Risk from Real Estate Concentration and Loan Portfolio Quality: As a bank that provides various commercial banking services, First National Corporation has a significant concentration in loans secured by real estate, including residential, land acquisition, development, and commercial real estate loans. Adverse changes in real estate markets could negatively affect the value of collateral and the ability of borrowers to repay these loans, thereby impacting the adequacy of the allowance for credit losses on loans and potentially leading to increased charge-offs and provisions for credit losses.
- Interest Rate Risk: Changes in interest rates pose a significant risk to First National Corporation. Fluctuations in interest rates can negatively affect the value of the company's securities portfolio and its net interest income. Additionally, rising interest rates could unfavorably impact the ability of the company's customers to repay their loans, leading to higher delinquencies and potential loan losses.
- Liquidity Risk and Deposit Retention: The ability to maintain adequate liquidity is crucial for First National Corporation to fund loan growth and meet potential demand from deposit customers. The company faces the risk of being unable to retain deposit customers or access secondary funding sources, especially if its reputation, or that of the broader banking industry, were to be damaged. This could impair its financial flexibility and operational stability.
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The increasing prevalence and adoption of digital-only banks and specialized financial technology (fintech) companies present a clear emerging threat. These entities leverage technology to offer a wide range of banking services—including deposits, loans (consumer, small business, and commercial), and wealth management—entirely online or via mobile applications, often with lower overheads and more streamlined user experiences. This directly challenges First National's traditional branch-based model and regional focus by providing alternatives that can offer greater convenience, competitive rates, and broader accessibility to customers who may no longer prioritize physical branch proximity. This trend mirrors the disruptive impact of digital platforms on traditional brick-and-mortar businesses, threatening to erode First National's customer base and market share across its core offerings.
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First National Corporation (symbol: FXNC) operates primarily in Virginia, offering a range of financial products and services. The addressable market sizes for its main offerings in Virginia are as follows:
- Commercial Banking: The market size for the Commercial Banking industry in Virginia is projected to be $20.9 billion in 2026.
- Real Estate Loans: The market size of the Real Estate Loans & Collateralized Debt industry in Virginia is $108.4 billion in 2026. This category encompasses various real estate-backed loan products, including residential, land acquisition and development, and commercial real estate loans.
- Deposits: Total deposits across all banks in Virginia were $296 billion in 2024.
- Wealth Management: The market size of the Portfolio Management & Investment Advice industry in Virginia is estimated to be $5.7 billion in 2026.
- Title Insurance: While a specific dollar value for the Virginia title insurance market was not directly available, Virginia ranks 12th nationally in title premium reported in NAIC annual statement filings. The global title insurance market was estimated at $4.01 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $4.152 billion in 2025.
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Share Repurchases
- First National Corporation has authorized a stock repurchase plan to buy back up to $5 million of its outstanding common stock.
Share Issuance
- First National Corp had 9 million shares outstanding in fiscal year 2024, marking a 43.3% increase from the prior year.
- The CEO, Harvard Scott C, received a stock grant of 5,225 shares on February 15, 2026.
- The CFO, Brad Schwartz, acquired a total of 6,000 shares through insider purchases over the past year.
Outbound Investments
- First National Corporation completed a merger with Touchstone Bankshares, Inc., which expanded its assets to approximately $2.1 billion and its branch network to 33 offices across Virginia and North Carolina.
- First Bank announced a strategic branch optimization plan on February 12, 2026.
Capital Expenditures
- First National Corp invested $3.3 million in capital expenditures in fiscal year 2024, representing a 76.8% increase from the previous year.
- The average capital expenditures margin (CapEx % AVG 3YRS) for First National Corp over the past 5 years has been 2.7%.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| First National Stock Lost 7.4%, Buy Or Wait? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 43.03 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.1 |
| Rev LTM | 614 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 106 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 115 |
| CFO LTM | 138 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 145 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 21.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 12.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.3% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | - |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | - |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 30.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 33.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 25.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 29.6% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $29.23 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.3 | |
| First Trading Date | 12/29/2006 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -5.5% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $28.44 | $25.94 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 2.8% | 12.7% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 25.7% | 23.1% |
| Downside Capture | 16.11 | 18.08 |
| Upside Capture | 16.22 | 57.93 |
| Correlation (SPY) | -8.3% | 21.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.49 | -0.22 | 0.02 | 0.22 | 0.40 | 0.53 |
| Up Beta | -1.65 | -0.87 | -0.03 | 0.28 | 0.51 | 0.70 |
| Down Beta | -0.69 | -0.39 | -0.63 | 0.10 | 0.37 | 0.71 |
| Up Capture | 35% | 45% | 38% | 37% | 53% | 15% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 24 | 40 | 67 | 140 | 429 |
| Stock +ve Days | 14 | 25 | 35 | 63 | 124 | 339 |
| Down Capture | -52% | -40% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 40% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 10 | 17 | 23 | 58 | 112 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 7 | 15 | 26 | 60 | 123 | 366 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with FXNC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FXNC | 44.6% | 23.0% | 1.53 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 7.6% | 14.8% | 0.28 | 45.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 22.1% | 12.5% | 1.31 | 21.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 23.5% | 27.8% | 0.75 | -0.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 23.6% | 18.7% | 0.99 | -24.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.4% | 13.9% | 0.67 | 39.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -42.5% | 42.8% | -1.17 | 7.7% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with FXNC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FXNC | 10.6% | 26.4% | 0.42 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 10.4% | 18.6% | 0.43 | 31.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.4% | 17.1% | 0.61 | 27.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.8% | 18.3% | 0.79 | -3.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.3% | 19.5% | 0.27 | 1.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.9% | 18.9% | 0.05 | 27.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 13.8% | 53.4% | 0.44 | 6.7% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with FXNC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FXNC | 4.3% | 30.6% | 0.27 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 13.9% | 22.1% | 0.57 | 24.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.6% | 17.9% | 0.75 | 22.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.6% | 16.1% | 0.59 | -1.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 6.0% | 18.0% | 0.26 | 7.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.1% | 20.7% | 0.21 | 21.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 58.6% | 66.2% | 0.99 | 6.5% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/3/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/30/2026 | 1.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% |
| 1/29/2026 | 0.9% | 10.0% | 4.6% |
| 10/30/2025 | 1.0% | 2.9% | 9.7% |
| 7/30/2025 | 0.2% | -2.2% | 8.4% |
| 4/30/2025 | -4.5% | -4.5% | 0.9% |
| 2/6/2025 | -0.6% | -3.0% | -16.2% |
| 11/6/2024 | -1.0% | 5.0% | 12.3% |
| 8/1/2024 | -1.2% | -5.3% | -2.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 13 | 17 |
| # Negative | 13 | 11 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 1.0% | 3.0% | 6.2% |
| Median Negative | -1.0% | -2.6% | -7.0% |
| Max Positive | 4.0% | 14.4% | 22.7% |
| Max Negative | -4.7% | -5.3% | -16.2% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/30/2026 | 1.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% |
| 1/29/2026 | 0.9% | 10.0% | 4.6% |
| 10/30/2025 | 1.0% | 2.9% | 9.7% |
| 7/30/2025 | 0.2% | -2.2% | 8.4% |
| 4/30/2025 | -4.5% | -4.5% | 0.9% |
| 2/6/2025 | -0.6% | -3.0% | -16.2% |
| 11/6/2024 | -1.0% | 5.0% | 12.3% |
| 8/1/2024 | -1.2% | -5.3% | -2.3% |
| 4/30/2024 | -0.1% | 3.7% | 6.2% |
| 2/2/2024 | -0.3% | -2.6% | -10.2% |
| 10/27/2023 | 1.6% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| 7/27/2023 | 4.0% | 2.2% | 9.0% |
| 5/2/2023 | -4.7% | -1.1% | 6.8% |
| 1/26/2023 | -0.2% | -1.1% | 2.5% |
| 10/26/2022 | 1.4% | 14.4% | 22.7% |
| 7/28/2022 | -0.6% | -4.3% | -7.0% |
| 4/29/2022 | -1.3% | -0.7% | -2.3% |
| 2/4/2022 | -3.2% | -3.8% | -8.5% |
| 10/29/2021 | -2.1% | -1.2% | -1.3% |
| 8/4/2021 | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| 5/5/2021 | 0.5% | 0.0% | 7.0% |
| 2/2/2021 | -0.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| 10/29/2020 | 0.0% | 2.4% | 10.7% |
| 7/29/2020 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 3.2% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 13 | 17 |
| # Negative | 13 | 11 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 1.0% | 3.0% | 6.2% |
| Median Negative | -1.0% | -2.6% | -7.0% |
| Max Positive | 4.0% | 14.4% | 22.7% |
| Max Negative | -4.7% | -5.3% | -16.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/13/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/25/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/14/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/14/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/31/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/29/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/13/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/15/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/30/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/15/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/13/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/25/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/14/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/14/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/31/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/29/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/13/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/15/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/30/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/15/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/16/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/30/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/15/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/16/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/17/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 03/31/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 11/09/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 08/10/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 05/11/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 03/13/2020 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2019 | 11/08/2019 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2019 | 08/08/2019 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Updated 5/6/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Schwartz, Brad E | EVP - CFO | Direct | Buy | 3042026 | 26.91 | 1,000 | 26,910 | 174,108 | Form |
| 2 | Schwartz, Brad E | EVP - CFO | Direct | Buy | 8072025 | 21.02 | 1,000 | 21,020 | 105,100 | Form |
| 3 | Schwartz, Brad E | EVP - CFO | Direct | Buy | 6062025 | 19.65 | 1,000 | 19,650 | 78,600 | Form |
| 4 | Schwartz, Brad E | EVP - CFO | Direct | Buy | 6022025 | 20.20 | 1,000 | 20,200 | 60,600 | Form |
| 5 | Schwartz, Brad E | EVP - CFO | Direct | Buy | 5092025 | 19.60 | 1,000 | 19,600 | 39,200 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Schwartz, Brad E | EVP - CFO | Direct | Buy | 3042026 | 26.91 | 1,000 | 26,910 | 174,108 | Form |
| 2 | Schwartz, Brad E | EVP - CFO | Direct | Buy | 8072025 | 21.02 | 1,000 | 21,020 | 105,100 | Form |
| 3 | Schwartz, Brad E | EVP - CFO | Direct | Buy | 6062025 | 19.65 | 1,000 | 19,650 | 78,600 | Form |
| 4 | Schwartz, Brad E | EVP - CFO | Direct | Buy | 6022025 | 20.20 | 1,000 | 20,200 | 60,600 | Form |
| 5 | Schwartz, Brad E | EVP - CFO | Direct | Buy | 5092025 | 19.60 | 1,000 | 19,600 | 39,200 | Form |
| 6 | Schwartz, Brad E | EVP - CFO | Direct | Buy | 5062025 | 19.57 | 1,000 | 19,570 | 19,570 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Financials Resources |
| Federal Reserve Economic Data |
| Federal Reserve |
| FDIC Data |
| American Banker |
| The Banker |
| Banking Technology |
| Regional Banks Resources |
| Bank Director |
| Independent Banker |
| S&P Global Market Intelligence |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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