Tearsheet

Atlantic Union Bankshares (AUB)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $34.97 | Market Cap: $5.0 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks

Atlantic Union Bankshares (AUB)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $34.97
Market Cap: $5.0 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Regional Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 54%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -28%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -59%
 
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 184%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 183%, CFO LTM is 2.2 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.2 Bil
  
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 44%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%
  
4 Capital ratio is >2x the minimum of 6%
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 12%
  
5 Uninsured deposits are low
Uninsured Deposits Ratio %Fraction of deposits that exceed the insurance deposit thresholds. For example, the FDIC protects deposits up to $250K. A high uninsured deposits ratio indicates large accounts and greater potential exposure to bank run risk. is 29%
  
6 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, and Wealth Management Technology.
  
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 54%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 184%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 183%, CFO LTM is 2.2 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.2 Bil
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 44%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%
4 Capital ratio is >2x the minimum of 6%
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 12%
5 Uninsured deposits are low
Uninsured Deposits Ratio %Fraction of deposits that exceed the insurance deposit thresholds. For example, the FDIC protects deposits up to $250K. A high uninsured deposits ratio indicates large accounts and greater potential exposure to bank run risk. is 29%
6 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, and Wealth Management Technology.
7 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -28%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -59%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AUB Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Q3 2025 Revenue Miss

Atlantic Union Bankshares reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results on October 23, 2025, where its revenue of $375.38 million slightly missed the analyst forecast of $379.08 million. This revenue shortfall contributed to a 3% decline in the stock during pre-market trading on the day of the announcement.

2. Analyst Price Target Adjustments Post-Earnings

Following the Q3 2025 earnings release, several analysts revised their outlooks for Atlantic Union Bankshares. For instance, in late October 2025, TD Cowen lowered its price target from $46 to $44, Raymond James adjusted its target from $43 to $40, and Piper Sandler reduced its target from $45 to $42. While most ratings remained positive, these downward adjustments in price targets indicated a less optimistic future valuation, potentially pressuring the stock.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AUB Return-9%17%-2%8%7%-6%14%
Peers Return-10%22%-4%0%14%5%28%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AUB Win Rate50%50%50%50%50%40% 
Peers Win Rate43%53%37%33%42%44% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AUB Max Drawdown-48%-2%-17%-32%-14%-36% 
Peers Max Drawdown-31%-1%-13%-35%-13%-14% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ABCB, EBC, FULT, BOH, AVBC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAUBS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-41.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven70.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven438 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-48.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven92.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven286 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-36.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven57.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2144 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-69.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven224.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2806 days1480 days

Compare to ABCB, EBC, FULT, BOH, AVBC


In The Past

Atlantic Union Bankshares's stock fell -41.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/6/2023. A -41.3% loss requires a 70.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Atlantic Union Bankshares (AUB)

Better Bets than Atlantic Union Bankshares (AUB)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AUB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Atlantic Union Bankshares

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AUBABCBEBCFULTBOHAVBCMedian
NameAtlantic.Ameris B.Eastern .Fulton F.Bank of .Avidia B. 
Mkt Price34.9876.7118.8218.7565.9916.4726.90
Mkt Cap5.05.23.73.42.6-3.7
Rev LTM1,2051,1566511,29968390920
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM2,210395397281210-8338
FCF 3Y Avg926319279321160-319
CFO LTM2,221414417336236-4375
CFO 3Y Avg934335292355177-335

Growth & Margins

AUBABCBEBCFULTBOHAVBCMedian
NameAtlantic.Ameris B.Eastern .Fulton F.Bank of .Avidia B. 
Rev Chg LTM53.9%7.4%-4.0%15.2%8.9%-8.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg22.9%4.2%19.1%9.5%0.1%-9.5%
Rev Chg Q71.0%10.9%16.3%2.8%12.3%-12.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM14.6%2.7%5.4%0.7%3.0%-3.0%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM184.3%35.8%64.1%25.9%34.6%-4.2%35.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg87.6%30.5%55.0%30.7%26.4%-30.7%
FCF/Rev LTM183.3%34.1%61.0%21.6%30.8%-8.3%32.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg86.8%29.1%52.7%27.8%23.8%-29.1%

Valuation

AUBABCBEBCFULTBOHAVBCMedian
NameAtlantic.Ameris B.Eastern .Fulton F.Bank of .Avidia B. 
Mkt Cap5.05.23.73.42.6-3.7
P/S4.14.35.52.63.8-4.1
P/EBIT-------
P/E22.812.672.99.414.1-14.1
P/CFO2.312.18.610.111.0-10.1
Total Yield5.0%9.0%4.2%10.7%11.4%-9.0%
Dividend Yield0.6%1.0%2.8%0.0%4.3%-1.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg22.1%8.7%9.5%12.8%7.0%-9.5%
D/E0.20.10.00.40.2-0.2
Net D/E-0.0-0.5-0.1-0.5-1.1--0.5

Returns

AUBABCBEBCFULTBOHAVBCMedian
NameAtlantic.Ameris B.Eastern .Fulton F.Bank of .Avidia B. 
1M Rtn7.2%6.1%9.7%6.9%2.3%7.2%7.0%
3M Rtn-0.5%5.6%11.4%-2.7%-1.2%9.1%2.5%
6M Rtn20.0%26.9%30.5%11.8%2.2%-20.0%
12M Rtn-14.7%13.2%7.3%-7.5%-12.1%--7.5%
3Y Rtn8.6%51.6%5.9%14.3%-6.6%-8.6%
1M Excs Rtn7.3%6.1%9.7%6.9%2.3%7.2%7.1%
3M Excs Rtn-7.1%-2.1%3.9%-9.3%-8.5%1.3%-4.6%
6M Excs Rtn5.3%12.2%15.8%-2.9%-12.6%-5.3%
12M Excs Rtn-27.5%-3.0%-8.8%-23.2%-26.5%--23.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-59.1%-19.5%-64.0%-56.5%-77.1%--59.1%

FDIC Bank Data

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Wholesale Banking308338312  
Consumer Banking305280311  
Corporate Other898554  
Community Banking   687671
Total702703677687671


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7,578,166
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120253.6%
Average Daily Volume956,354
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.92
Basic Shares Quantity141,728,909
Short % of Basic Shares5.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Ellett Frank Russell8082025Buy31.491,44145,3772,457,700Form
1Ellett Frank Russell8072025Buy31.325,000156,6002,086,100Form
2Asbury John CPRESIDENT AND CEO7292025Buy32.917,500246,8258,903,208Form