Firstsun Capital Bancorp (FSUN)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $38.86 | Market Cap: $1.1 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks
Firstsun Capital Bancorp (FSUN)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $38.86Market Cap: $1.1 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Regional Banks
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.1%, FCF Yield is 8.1% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -25%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -61% | Key risksFSUN key risks include [1] significant execution risks and negative investor sentiment surrounding its proposed merger with First Foundation Inc., Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -54% | ||
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 35% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.1%, FCF Yield is 8.1% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -54% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 35% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -25%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -61% |
| Key risksFSUN key risks include [1] significant execution risks and negative investor sentiment surrounding its proposed merger with First Foundation Inc., Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
FSUN Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. FirstSun Capital Bancorp announced an all-stock merger with First Foundation Inc. on October 27, 2025. This strategic combination, despite an initial steep decline of nearly 17% in FSUN's stock price following the announcement, likely contributed to a re-evaluation of the company's long-term growth potential and subsequent recovery, culminating in the net positive movement for the period.
2. The company released its Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Report on October 27, 2025. While FirstSun Capital Bancorp reported diluted earnings per share of $0.82, missing analysts' consensus estimates of $0.90, the report also showcased a strong net interest margin of 4.07% and healthy annualized loan growth of 10.6%, indicating underlying operational strength that could have supported the stock.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| FSUN Return | � | � | � | -7% | 18% | -4% | � |
| Peers Return | -5% | 48% | -11% | -3% | 27% | 10% | 68% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| FSUN Win Rate | � | � | 75% | 42% | 58% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 48% | 68% | 50% | 43% | 57% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| FSUN Max Drawdown | � | � | � | -32% | -1% | -25% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -58% | -2% | -26% | -46% | -12% | -22% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ZION, WAL, BOKF, TCBI, CFR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | FSUN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -34.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 53.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 427 days | 464 days |
Compare to NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU
In The Past
Firstsun Capital Bancorp's stock fell -34.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/22/2022. A -34.9% loss requires a 53.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| How Low Can Firstsun Capital Bancorp Stock Really Go? | Return | |
| Time To Buy Firstsun Capital Bancorp Stock? | Buy or Fear | |
| Firstsun Capital Bancorp (FSUN) Valuation Ratios Comparison | Financials | |
| Firstsun Capital Bancorp (FSUN) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | |
| Firstsun Capital Bancorp (FSUN) Net Income Comparison | Financials |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to FSUN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.4% | -2.4% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.6% | 4.6% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -9.0% | -9.0% | -11.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.4% | -2.4% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.6% | 4.6% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -9.0% | -9.0% | -11.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Firstsun Capital Bancorp
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 89.77 |
| Mkt Cap | 7.9 |
| Rev LTM | 2,092 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 158 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 213 |
| CFO LTM | 203 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 232 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 22.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 30.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 20.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 24.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 7.9 |
| P/S | 3.0 |
| P/EBIT | - |
| P/E | 12.4 |
| P/CFO | 9.5 |
| Total Yield | 9.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.7% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | -1.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 16.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 3.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 21.8% |
| 12M Rtn | 3.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 36.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 15.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -0.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 9.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -9.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -37.7% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/27/2025 | -16.5% | -16.7% | -14.1% |
| 7/28/2025 | -8.3% | -11.7% | -4.5% |
| 4/28/2025 | -2.0% | -1.5% | 0.0% |
| 1/27/2025 | -1.0% | -0.7% | -3.2% |
| 10/28/2024 | -0.6% | -14.0% | -3.7% |
| 7/29/2024 | 5.6% | 9.5% | 12.8% |
| 4/30/2024 | -1.4% | -2.3% | -3.6% |
| 1/26/2024 | 0.0% | -2.1% | -3.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| # Negative | 9 | 10 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 1.9% | 3.9% | 7.2% |
| Median Negative | -1.7% | -3.3% | -3.7% |
| Max Positive | 5.6% | 9.5% | 15.1% |
| Max Negative | -16.5% | -16.7% | -14.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8082025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5092025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3072025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11082024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8092024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5102024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3072024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8112023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5122023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3162023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11102022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8122022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5122022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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