Franklin Financial Services (FRAF)
Market Price (6/22/2026): $61.07 | Market Cap: $273.2 MilSector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks
Franklin Financial Services (FRAF)
Market Price (6/22/2026): $61.07Market Cap: $273.2 MilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Regional Banks
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 2.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.5%, FCF Yield is 15% Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -33% Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 45%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 31% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Community Banking. Themes include Local Lending & Deposit Services, and Small Business Financing. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% | Key risksFRAF key risks include [1] an increased cost of deposits resulting from its sensitivity to interest rate movements and [2] higher provisions for credit losses attributed to growth in its loan portfolio. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 2.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.5%, FCF Yield is 15% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -33% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 45%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 31% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Community Banking. Themes include Local Lending & Deposit Services, and Small Business Financing. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% |
| Key risksFRAF key risks include [1] an increased cost of deposits resulting from its sensitivity to interest rate movements and [2] higher provisions for credit losses attributed to growth in its loan portfolio. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Franklin Financial Services (FRAF) stock has gained about 20% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Franklin Financial Services reported robust fiscal Q1 2026 earnings that significantly surpassed analyst expectations.
The company announced diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.48 for the fiscal quarter ending March 31, 2026, beating the analyst consensus estimate of $1.3668 by 8.28%. This also marked a substantial 69.2% increase from the $0.88 diluted EPS reported in fiscal Q1 2025. Net income for the quarter reached $6.6 million. Following this announcement, the stock price rose by 1.22%.
2. The company demonstrated significant improvements in its Net Interest Margin (NIM) and overall profitability metrics.
Franklin Financial's Net Interest Margin (NIM) increased to 3.53% in fiscal Q1 2026, up from 3.05% in fiscal Q1 2025. This expansion was primarily driven by an 18.7% rise in net interest income compared to the prior year's first quarter, resulting from a 13.6% increase in interest from the loan portfolio and a 19.2% decrease in interest expense. Concurrently, the Return on Average Assets (ROA) improved to 1.20% from 0.72% in fiscal Q1 2025, and Return on Average Equity (ROE) climbed to 15.13% from 10.80% in the same period.
Show more
Franklin Financial Services (FRAF) stock has gained about 20% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Franklin Financial Services reported robust fiscal Q1 2026 earnings that significantly surpassed analyst expectations.
The company announced diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.48 for the fiscal quarter ending March 31, 2026, beating the analyst consensus estimate of $1.3668 by 8.28%. This also marked a substantial 69.2% increase from the $0.88 diluted EPS reported in fiscal Q1 2025. Net income for the quarter reached $6.6 million. Following this announcement, the stock price rose by 1.22%.
2. The company demonstrated significant improvements in its Net Interest Margin (NIM) and overall profitability metrics.
Franklin Financial's Net Interest Margin (NIM) increased to 3.53% in fiscal Q1 2026, up from 3.05% in fiscal Q1 2025. This expansion was primarily driven by an 18.7% rise in net interest income compared to the prior year's first quarter, resulting from a 13.6% increase in interest from the loan portfolio and a 19.2% decrease in interest expense. Concurrently, the Return on Average Assets (ROA) improved to 1.20% from 0.72% in fiscal Q1 2025, and Return on Average Equity (ROE) climbed to 15.13% from 10.80% in the same period.
3. Franklin Financial maintained strong asset quality and achieved healthy balance sheet growth.
As of March 31, 2026, the company reported solid asset quality metrics, with nonperforming assets at a low 0.37% of total assets and nonperforming loans at 0.54% of gross loans. Total assets grew to $2.298 billion, representing a 2.6% increase from $2.239 billion at the end of fiscal year 2025. Total deposits also saw a 2.9% increase, reaching $1.890 billion from year-end 2025, with noninterest-bearing deposits growing by 6.9%.
4. The company announced an increase in its quarterly cash dividend.
On April 8, 2026, the Board of Directors declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.34 per share for the second quarter of 2026, payable on May 27, 2026. This dividend represents a 3.0% increase over the second quarter 2025 dividend, signaling confidence in ongoing financial performance and commitment to shareholder returns. Franklin Financial has a history of consistent dividend payments, spanning 43 consecutive years.
Show less
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 20.1% change in FRAF stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 33.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 6212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 51.17 | 61.45 | 20.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 80 | 91 | 14.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 19.7% | 26.3% | 33.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 14.6 | 11.5 | -21.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 4 | 4 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 20.1% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 6/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FRAF | 20.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.2% | 15.5% |
| Sector (XLF) | 4.7% | 31.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 16.3% change in FRAF stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 33.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 6212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 52.82 | 61.45 | 16.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 80 | 91 | 14.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 19.7% | 26.3% | 33.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 15.1 | 11.5 | -23.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 4 | 4 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 16.3% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 6/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FRAF | 16.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.9% | 16.6% |
| Sector (XLF) | 1.3% | 31.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 64.6% change in FRAF stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 62.9% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 5312025 | 6212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 37.32 | 61.45 | 64.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 72 | 91 | 26.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 16.1% | 26.3% | 62.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 14.2 | 11.5 | -19.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 4 | 4 | -0.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 64.6% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2025 to 6/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FRAF | 64.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 28.1% | 24.0% |
| Sector (XLF) | 6.7% | 38.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 163.4% change in FRAF stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 70.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312023 | 6212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 23.33 | 61.45 | 163.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 67 | 91 | 36.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 22.8% | 26.3% | 15.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 6.7 | 11.5 | 70.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 4 | 4 | -1.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 163.4% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2023 to 6/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FRAF | 163.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 85.7% | 20.3% |
| Sector (XLF) | 77.0% | 29.7% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| FRAF Return | 28% | 13% | -9% | -1% | 73% | 22% | 174% |
| Peers Return | 77% | -4% | 21% | 9% | 18% | 12% | 195% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 98% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| FRAF Win Rate | 75% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 58% | 83% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 73% | 42% | 52% | 50% | 58% | 67% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| FRAF Max Drawdown | -14% | -17% | -31% | -23% | -14% | -12% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -20% | -30% | -40% | -20% | -26% | -15% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: FNB, FULT, WSBC, STBA, CUBI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/18/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | FRAF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -12.2% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 13.9% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 13 days | 79 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -24.3% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.1% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 180 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -11.8% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 13.3% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 42 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -40.2% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 67.1% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 627 days | 140 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -13.1% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 15.1% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 551 days | 123 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -41.2% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 70.1% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3299 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
Franklin Financial Services's stock fell -12.2% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 13.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
| Event | FRAF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -24.3% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.1% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 180 days | 31 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -40.2% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 67.1% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 627 days | 140 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -41.2% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 70.1% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3299 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
Franklin Financial Services's stock fell -12.2% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 13.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Franklin Financial Services (FRAF)
Franklin Financial Services Corporation (FRAF) operates as a bank holding company, primarily through its subsidiary, Farmers and Merchants Trust Company of Chambersburg. It functions as a community bank, offering a comprehensive suite of financial services. Its core business revolves around traditional commercial and retail banking services, alongside specialized trust and investment offerings, serving local communities in Pennsylvania.
The company's primary offerings include a wide array of deposit products such as checking, savings, money market, and time deposit accounts. On the lending side, FRAF provides various loan types, including commercial real estate, construction, agricultural, commercial and industrial, and residential mortgages, as well as consumer installment loans. Beyond traditional banking, it offers extensive investment and trust services, encompassing estate planning, corporate and personal trust fund management, pension services, and the sale of mutual funds, annuities, and insurance products.
FRAF primarily serves small and medium-sized businesses, individuals, governmental entities, and non-profit organizations within Franklin, Cumberland, Fulton, and Huntingdon counties in Pennsylvania, where it maintains twenty-two community banking offices. A unique aspect of its operations includes its non-bank subsidiary, Franklin Future Fund Inc., which makes venture capital investments. This combination allows FRAF to cater to both conventional banking needs and provide specialized financial and investment solutions within its regional market.
AI Analysis | Feedback
It's like a community-focused version of a regional bank such as Truist or M&T Bank, but serving a much more concentrated area in Pennsylvania.
Think of it as a traditional, full-service community bank for specific counties in Pennsylvania, similar to how a much larger institution like Wells Fargo operates, but on a hyper-local scale.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Deposit Accounts: Offers various checking, savings, money management, and time deposit accounts for individuals and businesses.
- Loan Services: Provides a comprehensive range of commercial, residential mortgage, agricultural, and consumer installment and revolving loans.
- Trust and Wealth Management: Manages estates, corporate and personal trusts, pension and employee benefit funds, and offers custodial services.
- Investment Products: Sells mutual funds, annuities, and insurance products to clients.
- Venture Capital Investments: Makes venture capital investments through its non-bank subsidiary, Franklin Future Fund Inc.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Franklin Financial Services (FRAF) serves a diverse customer base, primarily providing commercial, retail banking, and trust services. Given the nature of its business as a community bank and financial services provider, it does not have a few major customer companies in the traditional sense. Instead, its services are offered to a broad range of clients, which can be categorized as follows:
- Small and Medium-Sized Businesses: The company provides a comprehensive suite of commercial banking services, including commercial real estate, construction and land development, agricultural, and commercial and industrial loans. It also offers deposit products, accounts receivable and inventory financing, and commercial equipment financing.
- Individuals (Consumers): FRAF offers retail banking products such as checking, savings, money management, and time deposit accounts. Additionally, it provides residential mortgage loans, installment and revolving consumer loans, estate planning and administration, personal trust fund management, and sells mutual funds, annuities, and insurance products.
- Governmental and Non-Profit Organizations: The company caters to these entities by providing banking, trust, and investment services tailored to their specific operational and financial management needs, including corporate trust fund management, pension and profit sharing, and other employee benefit funds management services.
AI Analysis | Feedback
AI Analysis | Feedback
Craig W. Best, President and Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Best was appointed President of Franklin Financial Services Corporation and F&M Trust on January 14, 2025, and subsequently became Chief Executive Officer on April 29, 2025. He brings over 40 years of banking experience, specializing in merger and acquisition, corporate banking, retail banking, and credit administration. Before joining F&M Trust, he served as President and Chief Executive Officer of Peoples Security Bank and Trust Company and its bank holding company, Peoples Financial Corp. Previously, he was the President and CEO of Penseco Financial Services Corporation and its subsidiary until their merger with Peoples Financial Services Corp. His career also includes a tenure as Chief Operating Officer of First Commonwealth Bank.
Mark R. Hollar, Executive Vice President, Treasurer and Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Hollar has served as Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer of Franklin Financial Services and F&M Trust since 2005 (or 2006, according to some sources), having joined F&M Trust in 1994. He holds a bachelor's degree in business administration from Shippensburg University of Pennsylvania and an MBA from Frostburg University. Mr. Hollar also attended the Graduate School of Banking at the University of Wisconsin – Madison and served as an officer in the United States Marine Corps.
Charles Benner Carroll, Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer of F&M Trust
Mr. Carroll serves as Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer of F&M Trust, the bank subsidiary of Franklin Financial Services Corporation, focusing on the day-to-day operations of the core banking subsidiary.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Key Business Risks for Franklin Financial Services (FRAF)
- Credit Risk and Regional Economic Downturn: As a community bank primarily engaged in lending activities across Franklin, Cumberland, Fulton, and Huntingdon counties in Pennsylvania, Franklin Financial Services is significantly exposed to credit risk. A downturn in the regional economy, impacting local businesses (small and medium-sized businesses, agricultural operations) and individuals, could lead to increased loan defaults across its diverse portfolio, including commercial real estate, construction and land development, agricultural, commercial and industrial, and residential mortgage loans. Such an event would directly result in higher loan losses and reduced demand for banking services, adversely affecting the company's financial performance.
- Interest Rate Risk: Franklin Financial Services' profitability, like that of other financial institutions, is highly sensitive to fluctuations in interest rates. Changes in market interest rates can affect the interest earned on its loan portfolio and investments, as well as the interest paid on deposits and borrowed funds. A mismatch in the repricing characteristics of its assets and liabilities could lead to a compression of its net interest margin, thereby reducing profitability.
- Regulatory and Compliance Risk: The banking industry is subject to extensive and complex federal and state laws, regulations, and supervisory oversight. Changes in these regulatory requirements, or the interpretation and enforcement thereof, could necessitate significant investments in compliance infrastructure, alter business practices, limit certain revenue-generating activities, or impose higher capital requirements. Failure to comply with applicable regulations could also result in penalties, fines, or reputational damage, all of which could negatively impact the company's operations and financial condition.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The emergence and rapid growth of digital-first fintech companies and challenger banks that offer banking services with superior digital convenience, lower overhead, and often better user experiences. These entities directly compete with traditional branch-based community banks like Franklin Financial Services for deposits, payments, and lending, threatening to erode their customer base, particularly among individuals and small businesses prioritizing digital interactions and convenience.
AI Analysis | Feedback
AI Analysis | Feedback
Franklin Financial Services (NASDAQ: FRAF) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several key strategies:
- Continued Commercial and Residential Mortgage Loan Growth: The company has demonstrated robust loan growth, particularly in commercial real estate and 1-4 family residential mortgages, which has been a primary contributor to increased interest income. Management emphasizes continued focus on expanding commercial lending.
- Expansion of Wealth Management Services: Growth in wealth management fees and assets under management has consistently boosted non-interest income. Assets under management reached $1.421 billion by the end of 2025, supporting recurring asset management fees and referral income.
- Strategic Expansion of Residential Mortgages into the Secondary Market: Franklin Financial Services is actively increasing loan originations and expanding the sale of residential mortgages into the secondary market. This initiative is expected to generate additional fee income for the company.
- Strategic Deposit Growth and Efficient Funding Management: The company has experienced growth in total deposits, and effective management of deposit costs is crucial for net interest margin expansion. This approach supports net interest income, a primary component of revenue.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- Franklin Financial Services Corporation's board of directors authorized the repurchase of up to 150,000 shares of common stock, effective from January 1, 2026, through December 31, 2026.
- In January 2025, an open market repurchase plan was approved to repurchase 150,000 shares of common stock over a one-year period.
- Under an approved plan, 19,300 shares of common stock were repurchased in 2025 to fund the quarterly dividend reinvestment plan and Employee Stock Purchase Plan.
Share Issuance
- In March 2026, restricted stock units (RSUs) were granted to executives, including the SVP and Chief HR Officer, which are scheduled to vest in installments over several years.
Capital Expenditures
- Franklin Financial Services Corp's Capital Expenditures to Operating Cash Flow (CapEx/OCF) was 4.78% for the latest trailing twelve months.
- The highest CapEx/OCF recorded by Franklin Financial Services Corp over the past five years was 58.9% on June 30, 2022.
- The lowest CapEx/OCF recorded by Franklin Financial Services Corp over the past five years was 1.88% on December 31, 2023.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Franklin Financial Services Stock Fell 8.5% in a Month, What Now? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 41.56 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.0 |
| Rev LTM | 961 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 346 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 207 |
| CFO LTM | 421 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 258 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 19.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 9.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 14.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.2% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | - |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | - |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 38.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 33.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 33.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 30.1% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $61.45 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.3 | |
| First Trading Date | 02/23/2007 | |
| Distance from 52W High | 0.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $57.47 | $51.06 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 6.9% | 20.3% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 31.7% | 30.9% |
| Downside Capture | -5.88 | 11.28 |
| Upside Capture | 78.07 | 78.11 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 11.5% | 24.3% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.49 | 0.58 | 0.41 | 0.52 | 0.66 | 0.37 |
| Up Beta | 0.75 | 0.12 | -0.16 | 0.55 | 0.82 | 0.46 |
| Down Beta | 3.64 | 0.92 | 0.73 | 1.09 | 0.94 | 0.42 |
| Up Capture | 13% | 88% | 70% | 35% | 61% | 16% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 36 | 67 | 141 | 432 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 22 | 30 | 62 | 125 | 360 |
| Down Capture | -97% | 86% | 43% | 26% | 32% | 28% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 13 | 27 | 57 | 109 | 318 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 19 | 33 | 62 | 122 | 353 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with FRAF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRAF | 84.8% | 30.8% | 2.01 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 8.3% | 14.6% | 0.33 | 39.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 26.5% | 12.4% | 1.61 | 24.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.2% | 27.5% | 0.77 | -4.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 19.8% | 18.8% | 0.83 | -15.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 11.0% | 13.7% | 0.52 | 36.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -40.0% | 42.4% | -1.08 | 14.8% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with FRAF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRAF | 18.7% | 24.6% | 0.72 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 9.3% | 18.6% | 0.37 | 23.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.5% | 17.1% | 0.62 | 16.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.1% | 18.3% | 0.76 | -0.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.5% | 19.4% | 0.29 | 0.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.9% | 18.9% | 0.00 | 17.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 11.0% | 54.2% | 0.40 | 8.6% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with FRAF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRAF | 7.4% | 33.9% | 0.39 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 13.0% | 22.2% | 0.54 | 42.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 18.0% | 0.73 | 34.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.3% | 16.1% | 0.63 | -1.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 5.9% | 18.0% | 0.26 | 14.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.3% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 37.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 60.0% | 66.8% | 1.00 | 11.6% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/3/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/23/2026 | -0.4% | 0.2% | 4.2% |
| 1/27/2026 | 2.1% | 3.8% | 7.8% |
| 10/28/2025 | -1.8% | -2.0% | 16.6% |
| 7/22/2025 | 2.7% | -1.3% | 3.1% |
| 4/29/2025 | -0.7% | -0.8% | -0.7% |
| 1/28/2025 | 2.1% | 4.8% | 14.4% |
| 10/22/2024 | 1.0% | 10.7% | 14.7% |
| 7/23/2024 | 0.7% | 3.8% | -1.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 14 | 13 |
| # Negative | 12 | 10 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 1.6% | 1.7% | 4.2% |
| Median Negative | -1.1% | -1.7% | -1.6% |
| Max Positive | 4.5% | 11.3% | 24.0% |
| Max Negative | -2.8% | -5.8% | -20.0% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/23/2026 | -0.4% | 0.2% | 4.2% |
| 1/27/2026 | 2.1% | 3.8% | 7.8% |
| 10/28/2025 | -1.8% | -2.0% | 16.6% |
| 7/22/2025 | 2.7% | -1.3% | 3.1% |
| 4/29/2025 | -0.7% | -0.8% | -0.7% |
| 1/28/2025 | 2.1% | 4.8% | 14.4% |
| 10/22/2024 | 1.0% | 10.7% | 14.7% |
| 7/23/2024 | 0.7% | 3.8% | -1.0% |
| 4/23/2024 | -2.1% | -0.5% | -12.5% |
| 1/30/2024 | -1.7% | -4.9% | -20.0% |
| 10/24/2023 | 4.5% | 11.3% | 16.3% |
| 7/25/2023 | 0.6% | 0.7% | -1.5% |
| 4/25/2023 | 0.2% | -1.8% | -10.3% |
| 1/24/2023 | -0.5% | -1.2% | -1.6% |
| 10/25/2022 | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| 7/26/2022 | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% |
| 4/26/2022 | -2.8% | -5.1% | -12.9% |
| 1/25/2022 | -0.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| 10/26/2021 | -0.1% | 0.1% | 1.5% |
| 7/27/2021 | -1.1% | -5.8% | -5.7% |
| 4/26/2021 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 1.0% |
| 1/26/2021 | -1.1% | -1.6% | -0.7% |
| 10/27/2020 | -2.3% | 1.0% | 24.0% |
| 7/28/2020 | 2.5% | 1.5% | -1.4% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 14 | 13 |
| # Negative | 12 | 10 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 1.6% | 1.7% | 4.2% |
| Median Negative | -1.1% | -1.7% | -1.6% |
| Max Positive | 4.5% | 11.3% | 24.0% |
| Max Negative | -2.8% | -5.8% | -20.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/11/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/13/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/10/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/14/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/15/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/14/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/11/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/12/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/10/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/05/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/11/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/13/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/10/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/14/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/15/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/14/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/11/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/12/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/10/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/05/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/13/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/10/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/08/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/09/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/10/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 03/11/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 11/09/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 08/07/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 05/11/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 03/13/2020 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2019 | 11/08/2019 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2019 | 08/02/2019 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 6/1/2026Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/23/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q2 2026 Dividends | 0.34 | 3.0% | 1.0% | Higher New | Actual: 0.33 for Q1 2026 | ||
| 2026 Share Repurchases | 0.15 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 0.15 Mil for 2026 | |||
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 1/27/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Dividends | 0.33 | 0 | Same New | Actual: 0.33 for Q4 2025 | |||
| 2026 Share Repurchases | 0.15 Mil | ||||||
Insider Activity
Updated 6/2/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Duffey, Gregory A | Direct | Buy | 6012026 | 58.88 | 17 | 1,001 | 1,403,994 | Form | |
| 2 | Butz, Steven D | EVP, CCSO | Direct | Sell | 6012026 | 57.73 | 1,400 | 80,822 | 323,865 | Form |
| 3 | Duffey, Gregory A | Direct | Buy | 4302026 | 55.35 | 18 | 996 | 1,313,068 | Form | |
| 4 | Snook, Gregory I | Direct | Buy | 3112026 | 48.18 | 2,200 | 105,996 | 447,496 | Form | |
| 5 | Duffey, Gregory A | Direct | Buy | 2262026 | 52.33 | 19 | 994 | 1,217,143 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Duffey, Gregory A | Direct | Buy | 6012026 | 58.88 | 17 | 1,001 | 1,403,994 | Form | |
| 2 | Butz, Steven D | EVP, CCSO | Direct | Sell | 6012026 | 57.73 | 1,400 | 80,822 | 323,865 | Form |
| 3 | Duffey, Gregory A | Direct | Buy | 4302026 | 55.35 | 18 | 996 | 1,313,068 | Form | |
| 4 | Snook, Gregory I | Direct | Buy | 3112026 | 48.18 | 2,200 | 105,996 | 447,496 | Form | |
| 5 | Duffey, Gregory A | Direct | Buy | 2262026 | 52.33 | 19 | 994 | 1,217,143 | Form | |
| 6 | Carroll, Charles Benner JR | COO | Direct | Buy | 2092026 | 46.93 | 380 | 17,833 | 189,269 | Form |
| 7 | Rzomp, Kimberly | Direct | Sell | 12232025 | 54.07 | 1,500 | 81,105 | 315,877 | Form | |
| 8 | Duffey, Gregory A | Direct | Buy | 11282025 | 53.91 | 19 | 1,024 | 1,281,441 | Form | |
| 9 | Carroll, Charles Benner JR | EVP, COO | Direct | Sell | 8292025 | 46.55 | 650 | 30,257 | 162,832 | Form |
| 10 | Duffey, Gregory A | Direct | Buy | 8292025 | 46.55 | 21 | 978 | 1,097,649 | Form | |
| 11 | Ehrig, Scott D | SVP, Chief Wealth Officer | Direct | Sell | 8292025 | 46.83 | 1,060 | 49,640 | 90,944 | Form |
| 12 | Hollar, Mark R | EVP/CFO | Direct | Sell | 8272025 | 46.75 | 179 | 8,368 | 747,579 | Form |
| 13 | Long, David M | SVP, Chief Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 8262025 | 44.30 | 137 | 6,069 | 52,318 | Form |
| 14 | Duffey, Gregory A | Direct | Buy | 8012025 | 40.48 | 25 | 1,012 | 948,689 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Financials Resources |
| Federal Reserve Economic Data |
| Federal Reserve |
| FDIC Data |
| American Banker |
| The Banker |
| Banking Technology |
| Regional Banks Resources |
| Bank Director |
| Independent Banker |
| S&P Global Market Intelligence |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.