Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 3.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.7%, FCF Yield is 10%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.2%
 
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -67%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -50%
 
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 39%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, and Wealth Management Technology.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 3.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.7%, FCF Yield is 10%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -67%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 39%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, and Wealth Management Technology.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.2%
6 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -50%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

STBA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The S&T Bancorp (STBA) stock experienced fluctuations between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025. While a precise 3.3% movement for the entire period isn't explicitly detailed, several key events and financial updates influenced the stock's performance during this time.

**1. S&T Bancorp's Q3 2025 Earnings Beat Estimates**: On October 23, 2025, S&T Bancorp announced its third-quarter 2025 financial results. The company reported a net income of $35.0 million, or $0.91 per diluted share, surpassing analyst consensus estimates of $0.87 per share by approximately 6%. This "beat and meet" quarter demonstrated strength in profitability, with key financial metrics showing improvement over the preceding quarter and the same period in the previous year.

**2. Net Interest Income Growth and Margin Expansion**: S&T Bancorp reported a net interest income increase of $2.6 million, or 3.00%, in the third quarter of 2025 compared to the second quarter of 2025. The net interest margin (NIM) on a fully taxable equivalent basis also expanded by 5 basis points to 3.93% from 3.88% in the prior quarter. These improvements were attributed to increased average interest-earning assets and a decrease in total interest-bearing liability costs.

**3. Positive Market Reaction to Earnings Despite Initial Downward Pressure**: Although pre-market trading initially showed downward pressure on the stock price following the Q3 2025 earnings announcement, the stock price subsequently rose by 1.4% to $35.69 in pre-market trading as the market processed the positive earnings surprise and strong operational performance. This mixed reaction suggests investors were cautiously optimistic, weighing the earnings beat against broader sector concerns.

**4. Increase in Quarterly Cash Dividend**: On October 29, 2025, S&T Bancorp's Board of Directors approved an increase in the quarterly cash dividend to $0.36 per share. This dividend increase, with an ex-dividend date of November 13, 2025, and payment date of November 28, 2025, likely contributed to investor confidence and could have influenced the stock's stability or upward movement during the period.

**5. Strategic Initiatives and Loan Growth**: The company's Q3 2025 performance highlighted strategic investments in AI and growth in its deposit franchise. Additionally, total portfolio loans increased by $46.6 million, or 2.33% annualized, compared to June 30, 2025. This strategic focus and loan growth indicate ongoing efforts to enhance efficiency and expand operations, which can positively influence investor sentiment and stock valuation.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
STBA Return-35%32%13%2%19%8%25%
Peers Return-2%12%-18%18%1%19%28%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
STBA Win Rate33%58%33%50%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate22%25%28%35%27%51% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
STBA Max Drawdown-56%-1%-13%-25%-12%-13% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-2%-23%-16%-10%-7% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSTBAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-34.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven53.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven266 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-58.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven138.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1395 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-29.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven41.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-72.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven269.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2995 days1480 days

Compare to NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU


In The Past

S&T Bancorp's stock fell -34.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/17/2023. A -34.8% loss requires a 53.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About S&T Bancorp (STBA)

Better Bets than S&T Bancorp (STBA)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to STBA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
15.2%15.2%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.5%-2.5%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.2%-6.2%-11.0%
STBA_12312022_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%12312022STBAS&T BancorpQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-18.8%2.1%-24.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
15.2%15.2%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.5%-2.5%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.2%-6.2%-11.0%
STBA_12312022_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%12312022STBAS&T BancorpQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-18.8%2.1%-24.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for S&T Bancorp

Peers to compare with:

Financials

STBANEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameS&T Banc.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Price40.4311.3121.9516.4715.0917.4416.95
Mkt Cap1.50.30.2--84.20.9
Rev LTM3912696090268,967180
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM148-52020-843,65712
FCF 3Y Avg155-22916-52,31716
CFO LTM152-51920-443,94112
CFO 3Y Avg159-22818-52,50618

Growth & Margins

STBANEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameS&T Banc.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Rev Chg LTM-0.4%21.8%13.1%-2.1%23.7%13.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.7%31.6%-2.3%-0.0%70.1%3.7%
Rev Chg Q6.9%20.7%19.4%-16.5%20.4%19.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.7%4.7%4.6%-4.0%5.0%4.6%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM38.9%-193.4%33.7%-4.2%17.4%44.0%25.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg40.0%-91.8%31.7%-19.2%37.8%31.7%
FCF/Rev LTM37.7%-193.4%33.0%-8.3%15.3%40.8%24.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg38.9%-91.9%27.6%-17.8%34.9%27.6%

Valuation

STBANEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameS&T Banc.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Cap1.50.30.2--84.20.9
P/S3.71.12.7--7.43.2
P/EBIT-------
P/E10.84.911.6--28.811.2
P/CFO9.5-0.67.9--16.88.7
Total Yield12.9%20.2%13.5%--3.5%13.2%
Dividend Yield3.6%0.0%4.9%--0.0%1.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg11.9%-76.1%9.6%--4.3%6.9%
D/E0.22.60.2--0.00.2
Net D/E-0.71.8-4.5---0.4-0.5

Returns

STBANEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameS&T Banc.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
1M Rtn10.2%9.4%5.5%7.2%7.0%8.1%7.6%
3M Rtn3.9%-6.0%13.0%9.1%13.4%17.0%11.1%
6M Rtn13.2%10.7%29.3%--46.1%21.2%
12M Rtn-1.3%-14.3%32.6%--49.4%15.6%
3Y Rtn24.0%-24.8%8.7%--291.0%16.3%
1M Excs Rtn10.3%9.4%5.5%7.2%7.1%8.2%7.7%
3M Excs Rtn-3.2%-12.1%4.9%1.3%9.3%11.9%3.1%
6M Excs Rtn-1.5%-4.0%14.6%--31.3%6.5%
12M Excs Rtn-15.6%-30.2%21.1%--25.6%2.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-49.6%-94.1%-60.5%--240.5%-55.0%

FDIC Bank Data

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Community Banking407374   
Single Segment  341339299
Total407374341339299


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity667,127
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202512.7%
Average Daily Volume193,590
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.45
Basic Shares Quantity38,315,498
Short % of Basic Shares1.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024303202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021