Fabrinet (FN)
Market Price (6/20/2026): $575.0 | Market Cap: $20.6 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Electronic Manufacturing Services
Fabrinet (FN)
Market Price (6/20/2026): $575.0Market Cap: $20.6 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Electronic Manufacturing Services
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more. | Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 80x Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 116% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.2% Key risksFN key risks include [1] an extreme customer concentration, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more. |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 80x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 116% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.2% |
| Key risksFN key risks include [1] an extreme customer concentration, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Fabrinet (FN) stock has gained about 5% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Fabrinet reported exceptionally strong financial results for fiscal Q3 2026, which ended March 27, 2026, significantly exceeding guidance and analyst expectations. The company's revenue increased by 39% year-over-year to $1,214.3 million, and non-GAAP diluted earnings per share (EPS) reached $3.72, surpassing analyst forecasts of $3.54 by approximately 5%. This strong performance was supported by broad-based program momentum.
2. Robust growth in high-performance computing (HPC), telecom, and datacom markets served as a primary driver. In fiscal Q3 2026, telecom revenue achieved a record $628 million, while data center interconnect (DCI) revenues surged 90.4% year-over-year to $196.9 million. Additionally, high-performance computing (HPC) revenue contributed $106.7 million, with management expecting continued growth in this segment.
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Fabrinet (FN) stock has gained about 5% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Fabrinet reported exceptionally strong financial results for fiscal Q3 2026, which ended March 27, 2026, significantly exceeding guidance and analyst expectations. The company's revenue increased by 39% year-over-year to $1,214.3 million, and non-GAAP diluted earnings per share (EPS) reached $3.72, surpassing analyst forecasts of $3.54 by approximately 5%. This strong performance was supported by broad-based program momentum.
2. Robust growth in high-performance computing (HPC), telecom, and datacom markets served as a primary driver. In fiscal Q3 2026, telecom revenue achieved a record $628 million, while data center interconnect (DCI) revenues surged 90.4% year-over-year to $196.9 million. Additionally, high-performance computing (HPC) revenue contributed $106.7 million, with management expecting continued growth in this segment.
3. The company provided strong guidance for its fiscal Q4 2026 and highlighted strategic capacity expansion initiatives. Fabrinet anticipates fiscal Q4 2026 revenue to be in the range of $1.25 billion to $1.29 billion, with non-GAAP EPS expected between $3.72 and $3.87. Furthermore, Fabrinet is expanding its manufacturing capacity with a new facility in Chonburi, Thailand, projected to add $3 billion in revenue capacity, with Phase 1 alone adding $350-$400 million by July. A minority investment of approximately $32.4 million was also made in Raytec Semiconductor to advance co-packaged optics capabilities.
4. Positive sentiment from Wall Street analysts, including multiple upgrades and increased price targets, followed the strong earnings and strategic outlook. Following the fiscal Q3 2026 results, several analysts reiterated "Buy" ratings and raised their price targets for Fabrinet, with some targets reaching up to $800.00. The consensus analyst rating for the stock is a "Moderate Buy".
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 5.2% change in FN stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 8.8% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 6192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 545.63 | 573.76 | 5.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 3,893 | 4,235 | 8.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 9.7% | 9.9% | 2.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 51.8 | 48.8 | -5.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 36 | 36 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 5.2% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 6/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FN | 5.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.2% | 50.4% |
| Sector (XLK) | 38.1% | 51.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 24.9% change in FN stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 17.9% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 6192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 459.41 | 573.76 | 24.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 3,593 | 4,235 | 17.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 9.8% | 9.9% | 1.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 46.8 | 48.8 | 4.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 36 | 36 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 24.9% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 6/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FN | 24.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.9% | 50.0% |
| Sector (XLK) | 34.1% | 54.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 146.4% change in FN stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 90.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312025 | 6192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 232.87 | 573.76 | 146.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 3,263 | 4,235 | 29.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 10.0% | 9.9% | -0.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 25.6 | 48.8 | 90.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 36 | 36 | 0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 146.4% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2025 to 6/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FN | 146.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 28.1% | 52.0% |
| Sector (XLK) | 66.8% | 57.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 406.8% change in FN stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 186.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312023 | 6192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 113.22 | 573.76 | 406.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,577 | 4,235 | 64.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 9.4% | 9.9% | 5.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 17.0 | 48.8 | 186.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 37 | 36 | 2.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 406.8% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2023 to 6/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FN | 406.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 85.7% | 49.7% |
| Sector (XLK) | 137.9% | 55.5% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| FN Return | 53% | 8% | 48% | 16% | 107% | 28% | 653% |
| Peers Return | 27% | -12% | 52% | 91% | 162% | 79% | 1419% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 98% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| FN Win Rate | 67% | 42% | 58% | 50% | 67% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 47% | 58% | 63% | 65% | 70% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| FN Max Drawdown | -17% | -39% | -34% | -28% | -36% | -22% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -27% | -39% | -32% | -30% | -43% | -26% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: JBL, CLS, SANM, LITE, COHR. See FN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/18/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | FN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -28.4% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 39.8% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 60 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -20.2% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 25.4% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 13 days | 18 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -28.0% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 38.9% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 40 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -38.0% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 61.2% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 145 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -25.0% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 33.4% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 36 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -12.0% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 13.6% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 8 days | 105 days |
In The Past
Fabrinet's stock fell -28.4% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 39.8% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | FN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -28.4% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 39.8% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 60 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -20.2% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 25.4% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 13 days | 18 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -28.0% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 38.9% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 40 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -38.0% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 61.2% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 145 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -25.0% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 33.4% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 36 days | 140 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -27.8% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 38.5% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 53 days | 6 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -35.9% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 56.0% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 104 days | 123 days |
In The Past
Fabrinet's stock fell -28.4% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 39.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Fabrinet (FN)
Fabrinet (FN) is a global provider of advanced optical packaging and precision manufacturing services. The company specializes in comprehensive optical, electro-mechanical, and electronic manufacturing, offering a complete suite of services from process design and engineering to supply chain management, manufacturing, advanced packaging, integration, and final testing. Operating across North America, the Asia-Pacific, and Europe, Fabrinet serves as a critical manufacturing partner for complex technological products.
The company's product offerings are diverse, spanning multiple high-tech industries. For optical communications, Fabrinet manufactures essential components such as reconfigurable optical add-drop multiplexers (ROADMs), optical amplifiers, modulators, tunable lasers, transceivers, and active optical cables, which are vital for routing data traffic and providing high-speed interconnectivity in networks and data centers. Beyond communications, they produce various types of industrial lasers used in semiconductor processing, biotechnology, and material processing, along with a range of sensors for automotive and medical applications, including non-contact temperature measurement sensors. Fabrinet also designs and fabricates custom optical components like crystals, lenses, prisms, and mirrors.
Fabrinet primarily serves Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) across a broad spectrum of markets. Their key customers include manufacturers of optical communication components, modules, and sub-systems, as well as those in the industrial laser, automotive components, medical devices, and sensor industries. This positions Fabrinet as a crucial behind-the-scenes partner for companies requiring highly precise and advanced manufacturing capabilities for their sophisticated products.
```AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-2 brief analogies for Fabrinet (FN):
- Fabrinet is like Foxconn for high-precision optical and electro-mechanical manufacturing.
- Fabrinet is like TSMC for advanced optical components and industrial lasers.
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- Manufacturing Services: Fabrinet provides optical packaging and precision optical, electro-mechanical, and electronic manufacturing services, encompassing process design, supply chain management, assembly, and testing.
- Switching Products: These include reconfigurable optical add-drop multiplexers, optical amplifiers, and modulators, which enable routing of voice, video, and data traffic through fiber optic cables.
- Tunable Lasers, Transceivers, and Transponders: Optical components utilized for various communication applications, often enabling high-speed data transmission.
- Active Optical Cables: High-speed interconnect solutions designed for data centers and computing clusters to provide robust connectivity.
- Industrial Lasers: A range of lasers, including solid state, diode-pumped, gas, and fiber lasers, used in semiconductor processing, biotechnology, medical devices, and material processing.
- Sensors: Various sensors such as differential pressure, micro-gyro, fuel, and non-contact temperature measurement sensors, primarily for automotive and medical industries.
- Custom Optical Components & Substrates: Designs and fabricates application-specific crystals, lenses, prisms, mirrors, laser components, and custom and standard glass products.
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- Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE)
- Coherent Corp. (COHR)
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- Customer Concentration: Fabrinet relies on a small number of customers for a significant portion of its revenue. For instance, two customers collectively accounted for 45.8% of revenues in fiscal year 2025 and 48.5% in fiscal year 2024. The reduction of orders or the loss of any of these key customers could materially and adversely impact Fabrinet's financial performance and revenue stability.
- Operational and Supply Chain Fragility, Coupled with Geopolitical and Macroeconomic Risks: The company operates in complex industries, such as optical communications and datacom, which necessitate a consistent flow of specialized components. Fabrinet is exposed to risks from a global supply chain, including reliance on single or limited suppliers for critical materials, where disruptions can halt production and increase costs. Furthermore, operating across multiple countries like Thailand and China exposes Fabrinet to geopolitical risks such as tariffs, trade restrictions, and fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates, as well as political and economic instability, which can disrupt operations and increase costs.
- Intense Competition and Rapid Technological Advancements: Fabrinet operates in a highly competitive and technologically dynamic environment. Competitors with potentially greater resources may invest more heavily in research and development, marketing, and aggressive pricing strategies, which could impact Fabrinet's market share and profitability. The company must continuously innovate and adapt its service offerings to remain competitive and meet evolving customer needs.
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- Optical Communications (including Transceivers, Modulators, Optical Amplifiers, ROADM, Silicon Photonics, Line Cards, and Network Systems): This segment is a significant revenue driver for Fabrinet. The broader global photonics market, which encompasses optical communications, industrial lasers, and medical applications, is projected to grow at approximately 5% annually to reach $1.3 trillion by 2030.
- High-Performance Computing (HPC): Fabrinet's involvement in complex printed circuit board assembly (PCBA) for HPC products contributes to this growing market. The global HPC market is anticipated to exceed $87 billion by 2030, with an annual growth rate of 7.2%.
- Industrial Lasers (including Solid-State, Diode-Pumped, Gas, and Ultrafast Lasers): These products are utilized in semiconductor processing, biotechnology, medical devices, metrology, and material processing industries. This market is also generally covered under the global photonics market, which is expected to reach $1.3 trillion by 2030.
- Automotive Components (including EV Charging, LIDAR, LED & Laser Lighting, Safety & Control Sensors, and Pressure & Temperature Sensors): Fabrinet provides various sensors for the automotive industry. The global automotive sensors market was valued at $35.3 billion in 2025 and is forecasted to grow to $81.8 billion by 2035, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.7%. The U.S. automotive sensors market was valued at $8.9 billion in 2025 and grew to $9.7 billion in 2026.
- Medical Devices (including Medical Diagnostics, Metrology & Instrumentation, and Non-Contact Temperature Sensors): Fabrinet manufactures components for the medical industry. The global medical sensors market was valued at over $15 billion in 2022 and is projected to achieve a CAGR exceeding 10% between 2023 and 2032. North America alone accounted for more than 33% of the medical sensors market in 2022.
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Fabrinet (FN) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key areas:
- High-Performance Computing (HPC) and AI-related Optical Interconnects: A significant driver of future revenue growth for Fabrinet is the increasing demand for high-speed optical hardware in Artificial Intelligence (AI) and cloud data centers. High-performance computing (HPC) revenue has shown substantial growth, with a key HPC program anticipated to exceed $150 million per quarter when fully ramped in the next couple of quarters. This growth is underpinned by the need for advanced optical interconnect products crucial for AI infrastructure.
- Growth in Optical Communications (Telecom and Datacom): Fabrinet anticipates continued strong performance in its optical communications segment. This includes robust growth in telecom revenue, driven by system programs and increasing demand for data center interconnect (DCI) products, particularly high-speed coherent optical modules like 400ZR and 800ZR. Datacom revenues are also expected to see sequential growth, fueled by the strong demand for high-speed transceivers used in large data center networks and a transition to 1.6 Terabit (1.6T) transceivers.
- Manufacturing Capacity Expansion: To support its anticipated growth across various segments, Fabrinet is undertaking significant manufacturing capacity expansion. This includes the construction of Building 10, which will add 2 million square feet, with 250,000 square feet becoming available by mid-calendar year 2026, and an additional 120,000 square feet at its Pinehurst campus. This expansion is a direct investment to meet future demand and enable increased production volumes.
- Diversification in Non-Optical Communications: Fabrinet is also expanding its non-optical communications revenue, which has shown significant growth. This diversification is particularly notable in the automotive sector, where revenue has surpassed $100 million for the first time, driven by strong momentum in electric vehicle (EV) charging infrastructure products. Additionally, the industrial lasers segment continues to contribute to this non-optical growth.
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Share Repurchases
- Fabrinet completed a share repurchase program totaling 3,887,487 shares for US$365.10 million under its 2017 authorization, as reported in February 2026.
- The company engaged in share repurchases of approximately $68.7 million in a recent period within fiscal year 2026, and $5.08 million in another period of fiscal year 2026.
Share Issuance
- No significant dollar amount of share issuances by Fabrinet was identified during the last 3-5 years in the available information.
Inbound Investments
- Fabrinet's "Investments And Advances" was reported as $0 million as of March 2026, suggesting no significant non-current investments made in the company by third parties.
Outbound Investments
- Fabrinet's "Investments And Advances" was reported as $0 million as of March 2026, indicating no significant strategic investments made by the company in other entities.
Capital Expenditures
- Fabrinet has consistently undertaken ongoing capital investments for capacity expansion, with quarterly capital expenditures (Purchase of PP&E) ranging around $40 million to $50 million in recent quarters, including $51.6 million in Q2 2026 and approximately $45 million in Q1 2026.
- For fiscal year 2025, cash used in investing activities, which includes capital expenditures, was $286.3 million.
- The company is aggressively expanding its manufacturing capacity, including accelerating 250,000 square feet of Building 10 for mid-2026 completion (part of a total 2 million square feet by early 2027) and converting 120,000 square feet at its Pinehurst campus to manufacturing.
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 381.06 |
| Mkt Cap | 41.1 |
| Rev LTM | 8,972 |
| Op Inc LTM | 651 |
| FCF LTM | 303 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 286 |
| CFO LTM | 669 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 507 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 33.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 14.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 46.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 10.0% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 57.4% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 15.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 9.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 5.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 6.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 3.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 41.1 |
| P/S | 4.0 |
| P/Op Inc | 42.4 |
| P/EBIT | 41.1 |
| P/E | 49.7 |
| P/CFO | 64.2 |
| Total Yield | 2.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.1% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 6.0% |
| 3M Rtn | 42.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 61.8% |
| 12M Rtn | 170.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 474.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 6.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 22.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 59.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 151.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 504.3% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $573.76 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 20.6 | |
| First Trading Date | 06/25/2010 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -23.1% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $663.83 | $510.84 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | -13.6% | 12.3% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 83.1% | 67.4% |
| Downside Capture | 343.53 | 298.15 |
| Upside Capture | 226.29 | 309.67 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 49.8% | 52.2% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.91 | 2.53 | 2.73 | 2.96 | 2.80 | 1.99 |
| Up Beta | -2.89 | 2.20 | 2.08 | 2.29 | 2.63 | 1.75 |
| Down Beta | 1.56 | 4.37 | 3.70 | 2.37 | 2.64 | 1.96 |
| Up Capture | 172% | 218% | 323% | 627% | 983% | 3434% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 36 | 67 | 141 | 432 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 22 | 34 | 66 | 139 | 398 |
| Down Capture | 587% | 334% | 257% | 245% | 181% | 113% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 13 | 27 | 57 | 109 | 318 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 19 | 29 | 58 | 110 | 351 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with FN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FN | 124.1% | 67.3% | 1.48 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 59.9% | 23.1% | 1.96 | 57.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 26.5% | 12.4% | 1.61 | 51.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.2% | 27.5% | 0.77 | 12.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 19.8% | 18.8% | 0.83 | -8.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 11.0% | 13.7% | 0.52 | 7.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -40.0% | 42.5% | -1.08 | 27.6% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with FN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FN | 43.8% | 53.8% | 0.88 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 22.9% | 25.3% | 0.80 | 54.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.5% | 17.1% | 0.62 | 49.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.1% | 18.3% | 0.76 | 8.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.5% | 19.4% | 0.29 | 6.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.9% | 18.9% | 0.00 | 26.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 11.0% | 54.2% | 0.40 | 18.2% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with FN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FN | 31.3% | 48.3% | 0.75 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 25.4% | 24.7% | 0.93 | 52.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 18.0% | 0.73 | 48.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.3% | 16.1% | 0.63 | 4.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 5.9% | 18.0% | 0.26 | 12.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.3% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 28.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 60.0% | 66.8% | 1.00 | 13.4% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/5/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/4/2026 | -8.0% | -9.5% | 1.0% |
| 2/2/2026 | -10.2% | 0.5% | 12.9% |
| 11/3/2025 | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% |
| 8/18/2025 | -12.8% | -4.5% | 9.5% |
| 5/5/2025 | -7.3% | -2.5% | 8.3% |
| 2/3/2025 | -8.2% | -6.5% | -12.3% |
| 11/4/2024 | -3.9% | 13.1% | 0.9% |
| 8/19/2024 | 15.7% | 8.9% | -1.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 13 | 18 |
| # Negative | 13 | 11 | 6 |
| Median Positive | 9.5% | 11.3% | 8.9% |
| Median Negative | -7.7% | -6.5% | -11.8% |
| Max Positive | 31.6% | 33.2% | 31.7% |
| Max Negative | -18.4% | -13.8% | -16.4% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/4/2026 | -8.0% | -9.5% | 1.0% |
| 2/2/2026 | -10.2% | 0.5% | 12.9% |
| 11/3/2025 | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% |
| 8/18/2025 | -12.8% | -4.5% | 9.5% |
| 5/5/2025 | -7.3% | -2.5% | 8.3% |
| 2/3/2025 | -8.2% | -6.5% | -12.3% |
| 11/4/2024 | -3.9% | 13.1% | 0.9% |
| 8/19/2024 | 15.7% | 8.9% | -1.1% |
| 5/6/2024 | 10.8% | 16.4% | 28.5% |
| 2/5/2024 | -18.4% | -8.4% | 0.6% |
| 11/6/2023 | 6.1% | 4.7% | 0.6% |
| 8/21/2023 | 31.6% | 33.2% | 31.7% |
| 5/8/2023 | -0.9% | -1.7% | 20.2% |
| 2/6/2023 | -7.7% | -4.0% | -8.1% |
| 11/7/2022 | 9.5% | 11.8% | 14.8% |
| 8/15/2022 | 14.9% | 11.6% | 2.1% |
| 5/2/2022 | -5.8% | -13.8% | -13.2% |
| 1/31/2022 | -10.2% | -13.8% | -11.3% |
| 11/1/2021 | 13.2% | 21.7% | 16.4% |
| 8/16/2021 | 7.8% | 10.6% | 19.4% |
| 5/3/2021 | -1.4% | -3.7% | 5.5% |
| 2/1/2021 | 3.7% | 11.3% | 8.2% |
| 11/2/2020 | 4.1% | 10.0% | 13.3% |
| 8/17/2020 | -2.4% | -6.5% | -16.4% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 13 | 18 |
| # Negative | 13 | 11 | 6 |
| Median Positive | 9.5% | 11.3% | 8.9% |
| Median Negative | -7.7% | -6.5% | -11.8% |
| Max Positive | 31.6% | 33.2% | 31.7% |
| Max Negative | -18.4% | -13.8% | -16.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/05/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/03/2026 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/19/2025 | 10-K |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/20/2024 | 10-K |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/22/2023 | 10-K |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/16/2022 | 10-K |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/05/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/03/2026 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/19/2025 | 10-K |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/20/2024 | 10-K |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/22/2023 | 10-K |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/16/2022 | 10-K |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/01/2022 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/02/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/17/2021 | 10-K |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/04/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 02/02/2021 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2020 | 11/03/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 08/18/2020 | 10-K |
| 03/31/2020 | 05/05/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 02/04/2020 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2019 | 11/05/2019 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2019 | 08/20/2019 | 10-K |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 5/31/2026Latest: Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 5/4/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q4 2026 Revenue | 1.25 Bil | 1.27 Bil | 1.29 Bil | 8.1% | Raised | Guidance: 1.18 Bil for Q3 2026 | |
| Q4 2026 GAAP EPS | 3.48 | 3.56 | 3.63 | 7.9% | Raised | Guidance: 3.29 for Q3 2026 | |
| Q4 2026 Non-GAAP EPS | 3.72 | 3.79 | 3.87 | 7.7% | Raised | Guidance: 3.52 for Q3 2026 | |
Prior: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 2/2/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q3 2026 Revenue | 1.15 Bil | 1.18 Bil | 1.20 Bil | 9.3% | Higher New | Guidance: 1.07 Bil for Q2 2026 | |
| Q3 2026 GAAP EPS | 3.22 | 3.29 | 3.37 | 10.4% | Higher New | Guidance: 2.98 for Q2 2026 | |
| Q3 2026 Non-GAAP EPS | 3.45 | 3.52 | 3.6 | 9.3% | Higher New | Guidance: 3.23 for Q2 2026 | |
Insider Activity
Updated 5/22/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bahrami, Homa | Direct | Sell | 5222026 | 711.91 | 2,500 | 1,779,775 | 11,556,435 | Form | |
| 2 | Kelly, Thomas F | Direct | Sell | 2272026 | 623.85 | 1,850 | 1,154,131 | 10,812,026 | Form | |
| 3 | Knight, Darlene S | Direct | Sell | 12052025 | 482.11 | 500 | 241,056 | 1,293,991 | Form | |
| 4 | Kelly, Thomas F | Direct | Sell | 12052025 | 464.14 | 2,200 | 1,021,112 | 8,720,764 | Form | |
| 5 | Knight, Darlene S | Direct | Sell | 12042025 | 472.00 | 500 | 236,000 | 1,502,848 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bahrami, Homa | Direct | Sell | 5222026 | 711.91 | 2,500 | 1,779,775 | 11,556,435 | Form | |
| 2 | Kelly, Thomas F | Direct | Sell | 2272026 | 623.85 | 1,850 | 1,154,131 | 10,812,026 | Form | |
| 3 | Knight, Darlene S | Direct | Sell | 12052025 | 482.11 | 500 | 241,056 | 1,293,991 | Form | |
| 4 | Kelly, Thomas F | Direct | Sell | 12052025 | 464.14 | 2,200 | 1,021,112 | 8,720,764 | Form | |
| 5 | Knight, Darlene S | Direct | Sell | 12042025 | 472.00 | 500 | 236,000 | 1,502,848 | Form | |
| 6 | Bahrami, Homa | Direct | Sell | 12012025 | 453.75 | 3,500 | 1,588,114 | 8,310,830 | Form | |
| 7 | Grady, Seamus | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 12012025 | 446.95 | 22,451 | 10,034,497 | 10,535,976 | Form |
| 8 | Knight, Darlene S | Direct | Sell | 9082025 | 366.00 | 479 | 175,314 | 1,348,344 | Form | |
| 9 | Gill, Harpal | PRESIDENT & COO | Direct | Sell | 9042025 | 355.15 | 14,203 | 5,044,153 | 4,966,021 | Form |
| 10 | Archer, Edward T | EVP, Sales & Marketing | Direct | Sell | 9042025 | 354.48 | 3,333 | 1,181,473 | 2,355,148 | Form |
| 11 | Olson, Rollance E | Direct | Sell | 9032025 | 334.12 | 9,000 | 3,007,100 | 4,744,870 | Form | |
| 12 | Archer, Edward T | EVP, Sales & Marketing | Direct | Sell | 9022025 | 335.13 | 3,200 | 1,072,432 | 3,343,641 | Form |
| 13 | Sverha, Csaba | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 8292025 | 349.86 | 13,000 | 4,548,140 | 2,991,976 | Form |
| 14 | Grady, Seamus | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 8292025 | 329.52 | 9,513 | 3,134,730 | 15,165,860 | Form |
| 15 | Knight, Darlene S | Direct | Sell | 8292025 | 335.12 | 1,200 | 402,150 | 1,395,125 | Form | |
| 16 | Sverha, Csaba | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 8262025 | 310.68 | 10,000 | 3,106,788 | 6,695,750 | Form |
| 17 | Gill, Harpal | PRESIDENT & COO | Direct | Sell | 6042025 | 240.00 | 18,675 | 4,482,019 | 4,336,338 | Form |
| 18 | Olson, Rollance E | Direct | Sell | 5132025 | 223.98 | 2,500 | 559,940 | 5,196,467 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Information Technology Resources |
| TechCrunch |
| Wired |
| CIO |
| MIT Technology Review |
| Gartner Insights |
| Ars Technica |
| Electronic Manufacturing Services Resources |
| EMSNOW |
| I-Connect007 |
| Circuits Assembly |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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