Fly-E (FLYE)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $8.89 | Market Cap: $0.6 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automobile Manufacturers
Fly-E (FLYE)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $8.89Market Cap: $0.6 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Automobile Manufacturers
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -89% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -6.0 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -26% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Advanced Air Mobility, and Drone Technology. | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 34018% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -29%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -32% | |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -47%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -56% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -15470% | |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 1366% | |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 47% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -89% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Advanced Air Mobility, and Drone Technology. |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -6.0 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -26% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 34018% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -29%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -32% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -47%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -56% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -15470% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 1366% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 47% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
FLYE Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for the stock movement of Fly-E (FLYE) by -38.7% for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Legal and Consumer Confidence Issues from Lithium-Battery Accidents
Multiple law-firm press releases and class action reminders surfaced in October-November 2025 regarding lithium-battery accidents and associated revenue declines, creating a legal overhang and significantly impacting consumer confidence. This led to reduced sales volume as customers reportedly opted for oil-powered vehicles over electric ones.
2. Weak Financial Performance and Increased Costs
Fly-E Group reported a decrease in net revenues and gross profit for its fiscal third quarter of 2025, alongside a 26% increase in total operating expenses, which contributed to a negative EBITDA of $0.8 million and a net loss of $0.68 million. These ongoing financial challenges continued to weigh on investor sentiment during the period.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| FLYE Return | - | - | - | - | - | -87% | -87% |
| Peers Return | 151% | 46% | -30% | 25% | 20% | 17% | 350% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| FLYE Win Rate | - | - | - | - | 33% | 30% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 35% | 42% | 18% | 32% | 35% | 45% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| FLYE Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | - | -99% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -25% | -5% | -32% | -8% | -13% | -15% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: F, EMPD, SBLX, TSLA, GM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
FLYE has limited trading history. Below is the Consumer Discretionary sector ETF (XLY) in its place.
| Event | XLY | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -40.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 67.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 680 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -33.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 82 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -21.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 105 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -60.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 150.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 779 days | 1480 days |
Compare to
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -40.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/19/2021. A -40.3% loss requires a 67.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Fly-E Stock 5-Day Winning Spree: Stock Climbs 308% | Notification | |
| Would You Still Hold Fly-E Stock If It Fell Another 30%? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to FLYE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Fly-E
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 10.88 |
| Mkt Cap | 61.3 |
| Rev LTM | 47,828 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,806 |
| FCF LTM | -13 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -13 |
| CFO LTM | 7,869 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 7,064 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -1.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | -12.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -3.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -12.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -0.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -1.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -18.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -2.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -28.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -11.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 61.3 |
| P/S | 0.3 |
| P/EBIT | 8.8 |
| P/E | 14.5 |
| P/CFO | 2.4 |
| Total Yield | 3.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 0.5% |
| D/E | 2.9 |
| Net D/E | 2.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -2.0% |
| 3M Rtn | -8.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 32.8% |
| 12M Rtn | 28.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 92.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -2.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -12.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 18.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 14.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 22.9% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8192025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 7152025 | 10-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2192025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11192024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8162024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 6282024 | 10-K 3/31/2024 |
| 9302023 | 2022024 | S-1 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 11132023 | DRS/A 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 6052024 | 424B4 3/31/2023 |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |