Tearsheet

Full House Resorts (FLL)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $3.03 | Market Cap: $109.4 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Casinos & Gaming

Full House Resorts (FLL)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $3.03
Market Cap: $109.4 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Casinos & Gaming

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Regional Casino Gaming, and Localized Hospitality Services.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -88%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -130%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 432%
1   Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.2%
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -39%
3   Key risks
FLL key risks include [1] a high debt load creating significant bankruptcy risk and [2] the operational underperformance and slower-than-expected ramp-up of new growth projects.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Regional Casino Gaming, and Localized Hospitality Services.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -88%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -130%
2 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 432%
3 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.2%
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -39%
5 Key risks
FLL key risks include [1] a high debt load creating significant bankruptcy risk and [2] the operational underperformance and slower-than-expected ramp-up of new growth projects.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

FLL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for the stock movement of Full House Resorts (FLL) for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Lower-than-expected Q2 2025 Financial Results: Full House Resorts announced its second-quarter 2025 results on August 7, 2025, just prior to the specified period, revealing a slight increase in revenue but a wider net loss compared to the previous year. The company's revenue and Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 were 5% and 15% below consensus estimates, respectively, likely setting a negative tone for the stock at the beginning of the period.

2. Q3 2025 Earnings Per Share Miss: On November 6, 2025, Full House Resorts reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results. While the company saw increased revenues and adjusted EBITDA, its earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.21 missed analysts' consensus estimates by $0.01. This miss, despite some operational improvements, likely contributed to investor caution.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
FLL Return17%208%-38%-29%-24%-26%-10%
Peers Return36%7%-2%15%17%10%112%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FLL Win Rate67%67%42%42%42%42% 
Peers Win Rate60%45%38%52%57%65% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FLL Max Drawdown-84%-6%-57%-52%-27%-44% 
Peers Max Drawdown-56%-20%-29%-6%-15%-25% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CHDN, BYD, MCRI, LVS, FLUT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventFLLS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-70.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven244.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-85.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven583.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven236 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-60.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven150.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven569 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-78.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven372.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven687 days1,480 days

Compare to CHDN, BYD, MCRI, LVS, FLUT


In The Past

Full House Resorts's stock fell -70.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/27/2021. A -70.9% loss requires a 244.0% gain to breakeven.

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About Full House Resorts (FLL)

Better Bets than Full House Resorts (FLL)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1Full House Resorts Earnings Notes 
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to FLL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Full House Resorts

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FLLCHDNBYDMCRILVSFLUTMedian
NameFull Hou.Churchil.Boyd Gam.Monarch .Las Vega.Flutter . 
Mkt Price3.03117.3785.2499.4766.49217.7292.35
Mkt Cap0.18.36.91.845.338.37.6
Rev LTM3002,8844,07154012,26415,4383,478
Op Inc LTM37259411022,817574650
FCF LTM-62654121221,215742339
FCF 3Y Avg-931245041131,389-124
CFO LTM138049631642,7341,408884
CFO 3Y Avg137229401582,715-722

Growth & Margins

FLLCHDNBYDMCRILVSFLUTMedian
NameFull Hou.Churchil.Boyd Gam.Monarch .Las Vega.Flutter . 
Rev Chg LTM7.4%8.0%5.9%4.6%8.4%13.8%7.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg21.1%20.2%5.0%4.8%51.6%-20.2%
Rev Chg Q3.0%8.7%4.5%3.6%24.2%16.8%6.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.8%1.9%1.1%0.9%5.6%3.7%1.5%
Op Mgn LTM1.0%25.1%23.1%19.0%23.0%3.7%21.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg3.4%25.0%25.1%21.3%21.0%-21.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.0%0.2%-0.6%0.4%1.1%-2.9%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM4.3%27.9%23.7%30.5%22.3%9.1%23.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg4.7%27.2%24.3%30.6%25.4%-25.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-2.2%9.2%10.1%22.7%9.9%4.8%9.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-40.7%4.3%13.1%21.9%13.0%-13.0%

Valuation

FLLCHDNBYDMCRILVSFLUTMedian
NameFull Hou.Churchil.Boyd Gam.Monarch .Las Vega.Flutter . 
Mkt Cap0.18.36.91.845.338.37.6
P/S0.42.41.73.63.02.52.4
P/EBIT-2,069.98.22.718.912.8191.610.5
P/E-2.916.93.723.423.6-140.410.3
P/CFO9.18.57.311.813.427.210.4
Total Yield-34.6%5.9%27.0%5.4%6.4%-0.7%5.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.2%1.1%2.2%0.0%0.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-61.5%1.6%8.0%7.7%3.8%-3.8%
D/E4.60.80.40.00.40.30.4
Net D/E4.30.70.3-0.00.30.20.3

Returns

FLLCHDNBYDMCRILVSFLUTMedian
NameFull Hou.Churchil.Boyd Gam.Monarch .Las Vega.Flutter . 
1M Rtn32.3%18.0%10.2%5.6%2.5%13.9%12.1%
3M Rtn-10.6%22.6%3.1%-1.6%26.7%-22.0%0.8%
6M Rtn-18.8%19.1%12.5%18.9%60.6%-20.1%15.7%
12M Rtn-27.9%-10.6%16.5%22.6%26.6%-20.3%2.9%
3Y Rtn-58.7%9.9%53.8%41.9%46.6%55.8%44.3%
1M Excs Rtn31.6%17.3%9.5%4.9%1.7%13.2%11.3%
3M Excs Rtn-14.5%20.9%1.2%-4.1%24.1%-24.2%-1.4%
6M Excs Rtn-31.1%6.7%0.2%6.5%48.2%-32.5%3.3%
12M Excs Rtn-42.2%-24.5%4.0%4.4%15.0%-32.7%-10.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-129.8%-61.1%-18.5%-32.6%-24.4%-20.9%-28.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
West373351  
Midwest & South298194  
Corporate and Other1749  
Contracted Sports Wagering12  
Total688595  


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity913,981
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520257.4%
Average Daily Volume175,755
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.20
Basic Shares Quantity36,111,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/20259.6%8.4%12.6%
8/7/2025-18.0%-18.2%-24.3%
3/6/20252.9%0.2%-19.8%
11/6/2024-8.1%-9.6%-15.5%
8/6/2024-3.3%-0.8%-2.3%
3/5/20245.1%0.8%8.2%
11/8/202318.7%27.9%28.9%
8/8/2023-17.2%-15.9%-25.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101012
# Negative10108
Median Positive9.2%7.6%10.6%
Median Negative-9.9%-9.5%-22.0%
Max Positive19.1%37.6%63.1%
Max Negative-38.3%-69.7%-32.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024311202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023315202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022316202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021315202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Green Eric J8142025Buy3.5410,00035,368827,466Form