Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.1%, FCF Yield is 6.7%
Key risks
EXEL key risks include [1] its heavy financial dependence on the flagship product CABOMETYX amid intense market competition and [2] the critical need for its key pipeline asset, Show more.
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 36%
 
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%
 
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 44%
 
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Oncology Treatments, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
 
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.1%, FCF Yield is 6.7%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 36%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 44%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Oncology Treatments, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
5 Key risks
EXEL key risks include [1] its heavy financial dependence on the flagship product CABOMETYX amid intense market competition and [2] the critical need for its key pipeline asset, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

EXEL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Below are key points explaining Exelixis (EXEL) stock movement for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:

1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Performance: Exelixis reported robust third-quarter 2025 financial results on November 4, 2025, with total revenues reaching $597.8 million and U.S. net product revenues from the cabozantinib franchise at $542.9 million. The company announced GAAP diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.69 and non-GAAP diluted EPS of $0.78, surpassing analyst estimates.

2. Positive Phase 3 STELLAR-303 Trial Results for Zanzalintinib: Detailed positive results from the Phase 3 STELLAR-303 pivotal trial, evaluating zanzalintinib in combination with atezolizumab for advanced colorectal cancer, were presented at the 2025 European Society for Medical Oncology Congress (ESMO 2025) and published in The Lancet. Exelixis stated its intention to submit its first New Drug Application (NDA) for zanzalintinib in the U.S. before the end of 2025, indicating significant pipeline advancement.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
EXEL Return14%-9%-12%50%39%25%136%
Peers Return-4%21%20%-11%4%14%47%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
EXEL Win Rate42%58%50%58%58%58% 
Peers Win Rate47%50%55%37%50%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
EXEL Max Drawdown-18%-21%-18%0%-16%-3% 
Peers Max Drawdown-23%-8%-11%-23%-14%-14% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BMY, PFE, MRK, AMGN, GILD. See EXEL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventEXELS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-41.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven70.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven667 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-33.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven50.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven35 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-57.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven133.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2,193 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-80.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven415.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven829 days1,480 days

Compare to ACAD, AGIO, NKTR, OMER, ACSB


In The Past

Exelixis's stock fell -41.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/14/2021. A -41.5% loss requires a 70.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Exelixis (EXEL)

Better Bets than Exelixis (EXEL)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to EXEL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%
EXEL_7312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%07312025EXELExelixisQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
14.9%14.9%-4.6%
EXEL_12312022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy12312022EXELExelixisDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
19.1%49.6%0.0%
EXEL_5312022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield05312022EXELExelixisDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.3%5.2%-18.4%
EXEL_8312019_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield08312019EXELExelixisDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.3%9.0%-27.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%
EXEL_7312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%07312025EXELExelixisQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
14.9%14.9%-4.6%
EXEL_12312022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy12312022EXELExelixisDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
19.1%49.6%0.0%
EXEL_5312022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield05312022EXELExelixisDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.3%5.2%-18.4%
EXEL_8312019_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield08312019EXELExelixisDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.3%9.0%-27.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Exelixis

Peers to compare with:

Financials

EXELBMYPFEMRKAMGNGILDMedian
NameExelixis Bristol-.Pfizer Merck Amgen Gilead S. 
Mkt Price42.0053.5525.0499.18326.01121.3676.37
Mkt Cap11.3109.0142.4247.5175.4150.9146.6
Rev LTM2,28848,03462,78664,23535,97129,08642,002
Op Inc LTM82011,42015,41722,3918,67111,15111,286
FCF LTM74415,30210,37613,04911,5399,16210,958
FCF 3Y Avg42813,5988,92713,6859,0678,8158,997
CFO LTM79116,62113,07717,06513,1269,66713,102
CFO 3Y Avg55314,84612,12717,50610,3229,36411,224

Growth & Margins

EXELBMYPFEMRKAMGNGILDMedian
NameExelixis Bristol-.Pfizer Merck Amgen Gilead S. 
Rev Chg LTM9.9%1.3%3.9%1.7%10.6%2.8%3.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg11.8%1.0%-13.2%2.9%11.2%2.3%2.6%
Rev Chg Q10.8%2.8%-5.9%3.7%12.4%3.0%3.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.6%0.7%-1.6%1.0%3.0%0.8%0.9%
Op Mgn LTM35.8%23.8%24.6%34.9%24.1%38.3%29.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg22.5%19.0%19.4%23.7%25.4%39.2%23.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM2.1%2.9%-1.4%3.7%0.6%0.9%1.5%
CFO/Rev LTM34.6%34.6%20.8%26.6%36.5%33.2%33.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg26.5%31.7%18.9%28.2%32.7%33.1%29.9%
FCF/Rev LTM32.5%31.9%16.5%20.3%32.1%31.5%31.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg19.8%29.0%13.9%22.0%28.8%31.2%25.4%

Valuation

EXELBMYPFEMRKAMGNGILDMedian
NameExelixis Bristol-.Pfizer Merck Amgen Gilead S. 
Mkt Cap11.3109.0142.4247.5175.4150.9146.6
P/S4.81.92.33.34.24.73.7
P/EBIT13.59.212.29.113.712.712.4
P/E16.415.214.711.021.717.015.8
P/CFO14.05.511.112.311.614.311.9
Total Yield6.1%12.0%13.5%13.0%7.9%8.8%10.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%5.4%6.7%3.9%3.3%2.9%3.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.7%13.2%5.5%5.5%5.9%8.0%5.7%
D/E0.00.60.40.20.40.20.3
Net D/E-0.10.40.30.10.30.10.2

Returns

EXELBMYPFEMRKAMGNGILDMedian
NameExelixis Bristol-.Pfizer Merck Amgen Gilead S. 
1M Rtn-1.0%14.4%-0.2%7.7%-4.6%-1.6%-0.6%
3M Rtn3.9%17.6%5.9%23.3%19.5%8.8%13.2%
6M Rtn3.1%17.4%8.5%27.4%14.3%13.9%14.1%
12M Rtn21.1%-2.5%1.6%2.8%26.6%34.4%12.0%
3Y Rtn163.5%-16.8%-42.1%-0.5%34.2%55.4%16.9%
1M Excs Rtn-1.7%13.7%-0.9%7.0%-5.3%-2.3%-1.3%
3M Excs Rtn2.5%17.7%4.2%21.3%17.7%6.2%11.9%
6M Excs Rtn-9.3%5.0%-3.8%15.0%1.9%1.5%1.7%
12M Excs Rtn8.8%-10.3%-6.1%-9.4%13.3%24.7%1.4%
3Y Excs Rtn92.8%-90.9%-111.3%-68.0%-38.8%-14.8%-53.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
CABOMETYX1,6151,3761,054719733
License revenues179    
Collaboration services revenues23210358246208
COMETRIQ1425232327
Total1,8301,6111,435988968


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity21,360,218
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520256.0%
Average Daily Volume2,477,165
Days-to-Cover Short Interest8.62
Basic Shares Quantity268,421,000
Short % of Basic Shares8.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/20256.5%13.4%17.0%
7/28/2025-16.8%-17.1%-13.6%
5/13/202520.8%20.1%13.1%
1/13/20251.0%3.2%-7.1%
10/29/202412.9%21.0%25.1%
8/6/202413.1%13.9%9.0%
4/30/2024-6.5%-5.6%-11.4%
2/6/2024-7.6%-7.3%1.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151313
# Negative91111
Median Positive3.6%7.0%9.0%
Median Negative-6.5%-5.6%-10.7%
Max Positive20.8%21.0%25.1%
Max Negative-16.8%-17.1%-24.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025728202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025513202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024211202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241029202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024430202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023206202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023801202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022207202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221101202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021218202210-K 12/31/2021