Exelixis (EXEL)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $41.99 | Market Cap: $11.3 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Exelixis (EXEL)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $41.99Market Cap: $11.3 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.1%, FCF Yield is 6.7% | Key risksEXEL key risks include [1] its heavy financial dependence on the flagship product CABOMETYX amid intense market competition and [2] the critical need for its key pipeline asset, Show more. |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 36% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 44% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Oncology Treatments, Targeted Therapies, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.1%, FCF Yield is 6.7% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 36% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 44% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Oncology Treatments, Targeted Therapies, Show more. |
| Key risksEXEL key risks include [1] its heavy financial dependence on the flagship product CABOMETYX amid intense market competition and [2] the critical need for its key pipeline asset, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
EXEL Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Below are key points explaining Exelixis (EXEL) stock movement for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Performance: Exelixis reported robust third-quarter 2025 financial results on November 4, 2025, with total revenues reaching $597.8 million and U.S. net product revenues from the cabozantinib franchise at $542.9 million. The company announced GAAP diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.69 and non-GAAP diluted EPS of $0.78, surpassing analyst estimates.
2. Positive Phase 3 STELLAR-303 Trial Results for Zanzalintinib: Detailed positive results from the Phase 3 STELLAR-303 pivotal trial, evaluating zanzalintinib in combination with atezolizumab for advanced colorectal cancer, were presented at the 2025 European Society for Medical Oncology Congress (ESMO 2025) and published in The Lancet. Exelixis stated its intention to submit its first New Drug Application (NDA) for zanzalintinib in the U.S. before the end of 2025, indicating significant pipeline advancement.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| EXEL Return | 14% | -9% | -12% | 50% | 39% | 25% | 136% |
| Peers Return | -4% | 21% | 20% | -11% | 4% | 14% | 47% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| EXEL Win Rate | 42% | 58% | 50% | 58% | 58% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 47% | 50% | 55% | 37% | 50% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| EXEL Max Drawdown | -18% | -21% | -18% | 0% | -16% | -3% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -23% | -8% | -11% | -23% | -14% | -14% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BMY, PFE, MRK, AMGN, GILD. See EXEL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | EXEL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -41.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 70.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 667 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -33.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 50.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 35 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -57.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 133.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2,193 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -80.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 415.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 829 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to ACAD, AGIO, NKTR, OMER, ACSB
In The Past
Exelixis's stock fell -41.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/14/2021. A -41.5% loss requires a 70.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to EXEL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -5.1% |
| 07312025 | EXEL | Exelixis | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 14.9% | 14.9% | -4.6% |
| 12312022 | EXEL | Exelixis | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.1% | 49.6% | 0.0% |
| 05312022 | EXEL | Exelixis | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.3% | 5.2% | -18.4% |
| 08312019 | EXEL | Exelixis | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.3% | 9.0% | -27.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -5.1% |
| 07312025 | EXEL | Exelixis | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 14.9% | 14.9% | -4.6% |
| 12312022 | EXEL | Exelixis | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.1% | 49.6% | 0.0% |
| 05312022 | EXEL | Exelixis | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.3% | 5.2% | -18.4% |
| 08312019 | EXEL | Exelixis | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.3% | 9.0% | -27.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Exelixis
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 76.37 |
| Mkt Cap | 146.6 |
| Rev LTM | 42,002 |
| Op Inc LTM | 11,286 |
| FCF LTM | 10,958 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 8,997 |
| CFO LTM | 13,102 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 11,224 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 29.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 23.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 33.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 29.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 31.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 25.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 146.6 |
| P/S | 3.7 |
| P/EBIT | 12.4 |
| P/E | 15.8 |
| P/CFO | 11.9 |
| Total Yield | 10.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.7% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -0.6% |
| 3M Rtn | 13.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 14.1% |
| 12M Rtn | 12.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 16.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 11.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 1.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 1.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -53.4% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/4/2025 | 6.5% | 13.4% | 17.0% |
| 7/28/2025 | -16.8% | -17.1% | -13.6% |
| 5/13/2025 | 20.8% | 20.1% | 13.1% |
| 1/13/2025 | 1.0% | 3.2% | -7.1% |
| 10/29/2024 | 12.9% | 21.0% | 25.1% |
| 8/6/2024 | 13.1% | 13.9% | 9.0% |
| 4/30/2024 | -6.5% | -5.6% | -11.4% |
| 2/6/2024 | -7.6% | -7.3% | 1.2% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 15 | 13 | 13 |
| # Negative | 9 | 11 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 3.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% |
| Median Negative | -6.5% | -5.6% | -10.7% |
| Max Positive | 20.8% | 21.0% | 25.1% |
| Max Negative | -16.8% | -17.1% | -24.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11042025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7282025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5132025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2112025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10292024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4302024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2062024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11012023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8012023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2072023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11012022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2182022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |