Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

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Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%

Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 12%

Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 2.1 Bil

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Social Media & Creator Economy, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -49%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -116%

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 16%

Key risks
ETSY key risks include [1] a multi-year decline in merchandise sales due to its dependence on discretionary consumer spending and [2] a shrinking user base, Show more.

0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 12%
2 Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 2.1 Bil
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Social Media & Creator Economy, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -49%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -116%
5 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 16%
6 Key risks
ETSY key risks include [1] a multi-year decline in merchandise sales due to its dependence on discretionary consumer spending and [2] a shrinking user base, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Etsy (ETSY) stock has remained largely at the same level since 12/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Mixed Q4 2025 Financial Performance and Conservative 2026 Guidance. Etsy reported fourth-quarter 2025 diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.92, surpassing analysts' estimates of $0.86 by 6.98%. However, the company missed revenue estimates, reporting $881.6 million against expectations of $902.6 million. Gross Merchandise Sales (GMS) grew only 0.1% year-over-year, and declined 1.0% on a currency-neutral basis. Furthermore, Etsy's guidance for Q1 2026 projected GMS of $2.38-$2.43 billion (a modest 2% to 4% year-over-year increase for continuing operations) and expected "slight GMS growth" for the full year 2026, indicating limited immediate upside.

2. Strategic Divestiture of Depop. Etsy announced an agreement to sell its fashion resale marketplace, Depop, to eBay for $1.2 billion, with the transaction expected to close in Q2 2026. While this divestiture significantly bolstered Etsy's cash position, it also meant divesting a segment that, despite being a drag on Adjusted EBITDA, contributed to overall GMS. This move may have created some uncertainty regarding the company's future growth drivers for its consolidated GMS.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -0.2% change in ETSY stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/13/2026 was primarily driven by a -11.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)123120254132026Change
Stock Price ($)55.4455.34-0.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2,8542,8841.0%
Net Income Margin (%)6.4%5.7%-11.4%
P/E Multiple30.233.410.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)99980.9%
Cumulative Contribution-0.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 4/13/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ETSY-0.2% 
Market (SPY)-5.4%28.7%
Sector (XLY)-4.6%30.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The -16.6% change in ETSY stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/13/2026 was primarily driven by a -20.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)93020254132026Change
Stock Price ($)66.3955.34-16.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2,8382,8841.6%
Net Income Margin (%)5.8%5.7%-2.2%
P/E Multiple41.833.4-20.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)103984.8%
Cumulative Contribution-16.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2025 to 4/13/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ETSY-16.6% 
Market (SPY)-2.9%35.5%
Sector (XLY)-4.7%37.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 17.3% change in ETSY stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/13/2026 was primarily driven by a 94.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120254132026Change
Stock Price ($)47.1855.3417.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2,8082,8842.7%
Net Income Margin (%)10.8%5.7%-47.7%
P/E Multiple17.233.494.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1119812.4%
Cumulative Contribution17.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2025 to 4/13/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ETSY17.3% 
Market (SPY)16.3%33.2%
Sector (XLY)16.1%35.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The -50.3% change in ETSY stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/13/2026 was primarily driven by a -65.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120234132026Change
Stock Price ($)111.3355.34-50.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2,5662,88412.4%
P/S Multiple5.51.9-65.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1269828.2%
Cumulative Contribution-50.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2023 to 4/13/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ETSY-50.3% 
Market (SPY)63.3%33.3%
Sector (XLY)55.8%38.1%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
ETSY Return23%-45%-32%-35%5%-5%-70%
Peers Return22%-55%76%37%45%-8%77%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-0%81%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ETSY Win Rate50%25%42%33%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate55%27%65%58%60%45% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ETSY Max Drawdown-12%-68%-49%-41%-23%-21% 
Peers Max Drawdown-7%-60%-3%-17%-25%-17% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-7% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: AMZN, EBAY, SHOP, W, WSM. See ETSY Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/13/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventETSYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-79.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven389.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-49.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven97.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven31 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-44.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven79.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven147 days120 days

Compare to AMZN, EBAY, SHOP, W, WSM

In The Past

Etsy's stock fell -79.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/24/2021. A -79.6% loss requires a 389.5% gain to breakeven.

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About Etsy (ETSY)

Etsy, Inc. operates two-sided online marketplaces that connect buyers and sellers primarily in the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, Canada, Australia, France, and India. Its primary marketplace is Etsy.com that connects artisans and entrepreneurs with various consumers. The company also offers Reverb, a musical instrument marketplace; Depop, a fashion resale marketplace; and Elo7, a Brazil-based marketplace for handmade and unique items. In addition, it offers various seller services, including Etsy Payments, a payment processing service; Etsy Ads, an advertising platform; and Shipping Labels, which allows sellers in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Australia, and India to purchase discounted shipping labels. Further, the company provides various seller tools, including Shop Manager dashboard, a centralized hub for Etsy sellers to track orders, manage inventory, view metrics and statistics, and have conversations with their customers; and Sell on Etsy, an application to enable enhanced onboarding and video uploading. Additionally, it offers Etsy seller analytics pages that provides insights regarding traffic acquisition for their shops; Targeted Offers, a sales and promotions tool, and social media tool; and accounting and bookkeeping services. The company also provides educational resources comprising blog posts, video tutorials, Etsy Seller Handbook, Etsy.com online forums, and insights; Etsy Teams, a platform to build personal relationships with other Etsy sellers; and a Star Seller program. As of December 31, 2021, it connected a total of 7.5 million active sellers to 96.3 million active buyers; and had 120 million items for sale. The company was formerly known as Indieco, Inc changed its name to Etsy, Inc. in June 2006. Etsy, Inc. was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Brooklyn, New York.

AI Analysis | Feedback

1. eBay for handmade and vintage items.

2. Amazon for artisans and unique crafts.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Etsy.com Marketplace: The primary online marketplace connecting artisans and entrepreneurs with consumers for handmade, vintage, and unique items.
  • Reverb Marketplace: An online marketplace dedicated to buying and selling musical instruments.
  • Depop Marketplace: An online fashion resale marketplace.
  • Elo7 Marketplace: A Brazil-based online marketplace for handmade and unique items.
  • Etsy Payments: A payment processing service provided to sellers on its platforms.
  • Etsy Ads: An advertising platform enabling sellers to promote their products to buyers.
  • Shipping Labels: A service allowing sellers to purchase discounted shipping labels for their orders.
  • Seller Tools (e.g., Shop Manager, Sell on Etsy App, Analytics): A suite of tools including a centralized dashboard, mobile application, and analytics pages for managing shops, orders, and inventory.
  • Seller Support & Educational Resources: Content and features like blog posts, video tutorials, a seller handbook, and online forums to assist and educate sellers.
  • Star Seller Program: A recognition program designed to reward sellers for providing excellent customer service and fulfilling orders efficiently.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Etsy (ETSY) primarily serves individuals, both on the selling and buying sides of its marketplaces. Its major customer categories are:

  1. Artisans and Entrepreneurs (Sellers): These are individuals and small businesses who create and sell handmade goods, vintage items, craft supplies, musical instruments, and fashion resale items through Etsy's various platforms (Etsy.com, Reverb, Depop, Elo7). They are customers for Etsy's seller services, paying for listing fees, transaction fees, payment processing (Etsy Payments), advertising (Etsy Ads), shipping labels, and various other tools and resources designed to help them manage and grow their shops.
  2. Consumers (Buyers): These are individuals who visit Etsy's online marketplaces to discover and purchase unique items from sellers. While they do not directly pay Etsy for the goods themselves (they pay the sellers), they are integral to the marketplace ecosystem. Etsy provides them with a platform for discovery, secure payment processing through Etsy Payments, and a trusted environment for their transactions.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Kruti Patel Goyal, Chief Executive Officer

Kruti Patel Goyal became Etsy's Chief Executive Officer on January 1, 2026, succeeding Josh Silverman. She previously served as Etsy's President and Chief Growth Officer starting in January 2025, overseeing Product, Marketing, Member Support, Trust and Safety, and Strategy and Operations. Prior to that, from 2022 to 2025, Goyal was the CEO of Depop, an Etsy subsidiary, where she led growth and strengthened the marketplace. She joined Etsy in 2010 and has held various leadership roles, including Chief Product Officer, Chief Operating Officer, and Head of Marketplace Integrity and Trust & Safety. Her career began in mergers and acquisitions at Morgan Stanley and as a growth equity investor at General Atlantic Partners.

Lanny Baker, Chief Financial Officer

Lanny Baker joined Etsy as Chief Financial Officer effective the first week of January 2025, succeeding Rachel Glaser. Before joining Etsy, Baker served as the Chief Operating Officer and previously as Chief Financial Officer of Eventbrite, a global events marketplace.

Josh Silverman, Executive Chairman

Josh Silverman served as Etsy's Chief Executive Officer from 2017 until December 2025, transitioning to Executive Chair on January 1, 2026, a role he will hold through December 31, 2026. He co-founded Evite, Inc., which was acquired by IAC/InterActiveCorp in 2001. Silverman's prior leadership roles include CEO of Shopping.com (an eBay company) from 2006 to 2008 and CEO of Skype from 2008 to 2010. He also served as President of Consumer Products and Services at American Express from 2011 to 2015. Silverman was an Executive-in-Residence at Greylock Partners and a Senior Operating Advisor at Hellman & Friedman, a private equity firm.

Brad Minor, Chief Marketing Officer

Brad Minor was appointed Chief Marketing Officer of Etsy effective the first week of January 2025. He previously held the position of Chief Brand Officer at Etsy, which he joined in 2022. In his role as Chief Brand Officer, Minor was responsible for developing and executing Etsy's brand strategy, including initiatives like the gifting strategy and brand mission campaign.

Rafe Colburn, Chief Product and Technology Officer

Rafe Colburn is Etsy's Chief Product and Technology Officer.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Key Risks to Etsy's Business

  1. Intense Competition and Market Share Erosion: Etsy operates in a highly competitive e-commerce landscape, facing aggressive challenges from a variety of platforms. These competitors include fast-fashion retailers like Temu and Shein, general e-commerce giants such as Amazon and AliExpress, and other specialized marketplaces like Amazon Handmade and Shopify-based stores. This heightened competition is leading to market share losses, a decline in active buyers and Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) per active buyer, and puts pressure on Etsy's core value proposition of unique, handmade, and vintage items. The influx of mass-manufactured and overseas products on various platforms, and even within Etsy's own ecosystem, further dilutes its brand and makes it challenging for genuine artisans to gain visibility.
  2. Cyclicality of Discretionary Consumer Spending: Etsy's business performance is significantly influenced by macroeconomic factors, making it vulnerable to economic downturns and inflationary pressures. Products typically sold on Etsy, such as furniture, apparel, and jewelry, are often considered discretionary purchases. During periods of economic uncertainty, consumers tend to reduce spending on such items, which can directly lead to declining Gross Merchandise Sales (GMS) and a shrinking base of active buyers and sellers on the platform. This indicates that the business may be more cyclical than previously perceived.
  3. Seller Dependence, Platform Integrity, and Regulatory Compliance: Etsy's operational success is intrinsically linked to the health and satisfaction of its seller community. Risks include potential seller attrition due to increasing fees, brand dilution caused by the presence of mass-produced goods, and challenges in maintaining a trustworthy and safe marketplace, which can be undermined by fraud, counterfeit items, or even mistaken account suspensions. Furthermore, operating globally subjects Etsy and its sellers to a complex and evolving regulatory environment, particularly concerning product safety and consumer protection laws (e.g., the EU's General Product Safety Regulation). Compliance with these regulations can impose significant burdens, potentially leading to costly changes in business practices for Etsy and its sellers, and may even result in listing removals or account suspensions for non-compliance.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Etsy, Inc. operates several online marketplaces, each catering to distinct addressable markets globally and in specific regions.

Etsy.com (Handmade, Vintage, and Craft Supplies)

  • The global market for handmade and crafts was estimated to be over $906 billion in 2024. This market is projected to reach approximately $1.94 trillion by 2033.
  • In the U.S. alone, the handmade goods market is estimated to be worth over $268 billion.

Depop (Fashion Resale Marketplace)

  • The global secondhand apparel market was estimated at $190 billion in 2024. It is projected to reach $367 billion by 2029, or $350 billion by 2028.
  • The U.S. secondhand market is projected to reach $74 billion by 2028, or $73 billion by 2028, or $70 billion by 2027.
  • Specifically, the global vintage fashion market was valued at $100 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach $250 billion by 2033.

Reverb (Musical Instrument Marketplace)

  • The global musical instrument market size was estimated at $17.52 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach $31.40 billion by 2033. Another estimate places the global musical instrument market size at $20.94 billion in 2025, projected to grow to $36.76 billion by 2034.
  • The worldwide musical instruments e-commerce market generated an e-commerce revenue of $24.503 billion in 2025.

Elo7 (Brazil-based Marketplace for Handmade and Unique Items)

  • The Brazil Handicraft market size was valued at $24.078 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.6% during the forecast period.
  • Another estimate for the Brazil handicrafts market size in 2024 is $15.87 billion, with a projection to reach $58.60 billion by 2035.
  • The Brazil art and craft market size was $1.859 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach $3.678 billion by 2034.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Etsy (ETSY) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:

  1. Enhanced Monetization of Seller Services: Etsy anticipates increasing its "take rate"—the percentage of Gross Merchandise Sales (GMS) retained as revenue—primarily by expanding and optimizing its seller services. Etsy Ads, a key contributor to recent growth, is expected to continue to be a primary driver through improvements in ad relevance and localization for international markets. Payments revenue also plays a role in this increased monetization.
  2. Growth in Active Buyers and Increased Purchase Frequency: Etsy aims to expand its active buyer base through improved acquisition and reactivation efforts. A significant focus is on driving higher purchase frequency and average order value from both new and existing buyers. This includes strategic marketing initiatives and efforts to make the platform a go-to destination for gifting.
  3. Leveraging Artificial Intelligence and Personalization: The company is making significant investments in artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) to enhance buyer discovery, personalize experiences, and improve inventory matching. These technological advancements are designed to drive engagement, increase conversion rates, and strengthen the overall buyer journey on the platform.
  4. Mobile App Optimization and International Market Growth: Etsy is prioritizing its mobile application, which has shown to outperform the broader marketplace in GMS growth. Continuous improvements to the app are aimed at attracting and retaining buyers, particularly younger demographics, and showing up earlier in the shopping journey. Additionally, strong international buyer growth is expected to continue contributing to overall revenue expansion.

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Share Repurchases

  • Etsy repurchased approximately $576.968 million in shares during 2023.
  • In 2024, Etsy repurchased approximately $723.899 million in shares.
  • Etsy's Board of Directors approved a new stock repurchase program in October 2024, authorizing the repurchase of up to an additional $1 billion of common stock. The company repurchased approximately $777 million for the full year 2025.

Share Issuance

  • Etsy completed a private placement of convertible notes, raising approximately $700 million in cash during the second quarter of 2025.
  • The number of outstanding shares for Etsy was 127.022 million at the end of 2021, and decreased to 99.334 million by March 2026, primarily influenced by share buybacks.

Inbound Investments

  • During the second quarter of 2025, Etsy completed a private placement of convertible notes, raising approximately $700 million in cash.

Outbound Investments

  • Etsy acquired Depop for $1.62 billion in June 2021 and Elo7 for $217 million in the same year.
  • Etsy sold Reverb, its musical instrument marketplace, to private investors in 2025.
  • The company sold Depop to eBay for approximately $1.2 billion in February 2026, which was less than the original acquisition price.

Capital Expenditures

  • Etsy's capital expenditures were $11.248 million in 2021, $10.237 million in 2022, $12.938 million in 2023, and $14.208 million in 2024.
  • For the fiscal year ending December 2025, capital expenditures peaked at $18.154 million.
  • Etsy's forecast for capital expenditures in 2026 is approximately $47.33 million. The company plans to continue investing in product experience and AI capabilities.

Better Bets vs. Etsy (ETSY)

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Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to ETSY.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
SKY_3312026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03312026SKYChampion HomesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.0%0.0%0.0%
DPZ_3272026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03272026DPZDomino's PizzaDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.1%3.1%0.0%
ETSY_3272026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03272026ETSYEtsyDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.6%5.6%0.0%
OLLI_3272026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy03272026OLLIOllie's Bargain OutletDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.1%3.1%0.0%
PATK_3272026_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V203272026PATKPatrick IndustriesInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-1.6%
ETSY_9122025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09122025ETSYEtsyDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-11.7%-15.2%-25.3%
ETSY_12312024_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield12312024ETSYEtsyDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.9%4.8%-22.9%
ETSY_1312024_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield01312024ETSYEtsyDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.1%-15.8%-28.7%
ETSY_5312023_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield05312023ETSYEtsyDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.8%-24.2%-26.9%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ETSYAMZNEBAYSHOPWWSMMedian
NameEtsy Amazon.c.eBay Shopify Wayfair Williams. 
Mkt Price55.34239.8998.15114.9772.81193.52106.56
Mkt Cap5.42,569.244.5149.89.323.133.8
Rev LTM2,884716,92411,10011,55612,4577,80711,328
Op Inc LTM36879,9752,2771,885931,4161,650
FCF LTM6397,6951,4342,0073291,0551,245
FCF 3Y Avg67124,2631,7871,5031371,2291,366
CFO LTM693139,5141,9592,0335341,3151,637
CFO 3Y Avg717113,4462,2661,5314001,4521,491

Growth & Margins

ETSYAMZNEBAYSHOPWWSMMedian
NameEtsy Amazon.c.eBay Shopify Wayfair Williams. 
Rev Chg LTM2.7%12.4%7.9%30.1%5.1%1.2%6.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.0%11.7%4.3%27.3%0.7%-3.3%4.1%
Rev Chg Q3.5%13.6%15.0%30.6%6.9%-4.3%10.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.0%3.7%3.6%8.0%1.8%-1.3%2.7%
Op Mgn LTM12.8%11.2%20.5%16.3%0.7%18.1%14.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg13.0%9.4%20.8%10.7%-2.8%17.6%11.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.0%0.1%-0.2%0.6%1.2%-0.4%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM24.0%19.5%17.6%17.6%4.3%16.8%17.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg25.5%17.5%21.7%16.4%3.3%18.7%18.1%
FCF/Rev LTM22.2%1.1%12.9%17.4%2.6%13.5%13.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg23.9%3.9%17.1%16.1%1.1%15.8%16.0%

Valuation

ETSYAMZNEBAYSHOPWWSMMedian
NameEtsy Amazon.c.eBay Shopify Wayfair Williams. 
Mkt Cap5.42,569.244.5149.89.323.133.8
P/S1.93.64.013.00.73.03.3
P/EBIT14.525.817.479.4-50.416.316.8
P/E33.433.121.9121.7-29.821.227.5
P/CFO7.918.422.773.717.517.518.0
Total Yield3.0%3.0%5.8%0.8%-3.4%6.1%3.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%1.2%0.0%0.0%1.4%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg10.2%1.3%6.3%1.0%1.3%6.0%3.7%
D/E0.60.10.20.00.50.10.1
Net D/E0.30.00.1-0.00.30.00.1

Returns

ETSYAMZNEBAYSHOPWWSMMedian
NameEtsy Amazon.c.eBay Shopify Wayfair Williams. 
1M Rtn6.4%15.5%7.5%-6.5%-3.9%7.5%6.9%
3M Rtn-8.4%-2.7%5.6%-31.5%-36.6%-5.9%-7.1%
6M Rtn-21.4%9.0%10.6%-25.2%-4.5%2.5%-1.0%
12M Rtn26.9%29.8%54.1%37.3%170.2%32.6%35.0%
3Y Rtn-46.0%134.0%138.3%147.8%109.2%244.9%136.2%
1M Excs Rtn3.2%11.3%5.9%-12.1%-4.5%4.7%4.0%
3M Excs Rtn-9.4%-1.9%9.5%-29.0%-36.0%-1.3%-5.6%
6M Excs Rtn-26.3%3.1%7.4%-32.1%-9.9%0.7%-4.6%
12M Excs Rtn-0.5%-0.7%34.4%-0.4%119.3%-2.0%-0.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-115.8%68.9%68.2%86.1%43.1%178.5%68.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment2,748    
Marketplace revenue 1,9111,7461,303594
Services revenue 655583422225
Total2,7482,5662,3291,726818


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$55.34 
Market Cap ($ Bil)5.4 
First Trading Date04/16/2015 
Distance from 52W High-26.8% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$52.29$58.18
DMA Trendindeterminatedown
Distance from DMA5.8%-4.9%
 3M1YR
Volatility55.7%54.2%
Downside Capture0.520.48
Upside Capture90.3697.48
Correlation (SPY)25.1%25.2%
ETSY Betas & Captures as of 3/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.590.901.221.420.971.06
Up Beta0.383.633.582.740.770.74
Down Beta-0.41-0.89-0.321.471.151.03
Up Capture36%88%138%45%97%88%
Bmk +ve Days7162765139424
Stock +ve Days10182963136364
Down Capture129%120%154%141%108%109%
Bmk -ve Days12233358110323
Stock -ve Days12243463115382

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ETSY
ETSY24.1%54.0%0.59-
Sector ETF (XLY)17.3%19.7%0.6928.5%
Equity (SPY)18.7%13.7%1.0625.0%
Gold (GLD)53.7%27.6%1.550.9%
Commodities (DBC)25.2%16.2%1.37-1.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)14.8%14.0%0.7627.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-11.7%43.0%-0.1731.8%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ETSY
ETSY-23.3%55.5%-0.26-
Sector ETF (XLY)6.4%23.7%0.2353.1%
Equity (SPY)11.1%17.0%0.5046.1%
Gold (GLD)21.8%17.8%1.015.5%
Commodities (DBC)11.7%18.8%0.511.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.7%18.8%0.1037.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)4.6%56.6%0.3025.6%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ETSY
ETSY20.2%56.1%0.56-
Sector ETF (XLY)12.4%22.0%0.5249.8%
Equity (SPY)13.9%17.9%0.6743.9%
Gold (GLD)14.2%15.9%0.746.0%
Commodities (DBC)8.8%17.6%0.428.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.2%20.7%0.2231.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.5%66.9%1.0713.1%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date3312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity15.7 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 31520269.7%
Average Daily Volume2.7 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.7 days
Basic Shares Quantity98.4 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares16.0%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
2/18/20269.3%21.3%24.3%
10/29/2025-12.8%-22.1%-27.6%
7/30/20252.8%-7.2%-9.7%
4/30/2025-5.7%-2.2%14.9%
2/19/2025-10.1%-7.3%-21.9%
10/30/20247.2%10.6%14.3%
7/31/2024-7.6%-18.1%-14.8%
5/1/2024-15.1%-10.3%-9.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive10911
# Negative121311
Median Positive9.6%8.5%14.3%
Median Negative-8.0%-7.9%-14.3%
Max Positive16.2%24.7%60.5%
Max Negative-15.1%-22.1%-27.6%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202510/29/202510-Q
06/30/202507/30/202510-Q
03/31/202504/30/202510-Q
12/31/202402/19/202510-K
09/30/202410/31/202410-Q
06/30/202408/01/202410-Q
03/31/202405/02/202410-Q
12/31/202302/22/202410-K
09/30/202311/02/202310-Q
06/30/202308/03/202310-Q
03/31/202305/04/202310-Q
12/31/202202/23/202310-K
09/30/202211/03/202210-Q
06/30/202207/28/202210-Q
03/31/202205/05/202210-Q
12/31/202102/25/202210-K

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/19/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2026 GMS2.38 Bil2.40 Bil2.43 Bil-32.7% LoweredGuidance: 3.58 Bil for Q4 2025
Q1 2026 Take Rate 0.26 4.1% RaisedGuidance: 0.24 for Q4 2025
Q1 2026 Adjusted EBITDA Margin28.0%29.0%30.0%20.8%5.0%RaisedGuidance: 24.0% for Q4 2025
2026 GMS Growth      

Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/29/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2025 GMS3.50 Bil3.58 Bil3.65 Bil34.9% Higher NewGuidance: 2.65 Bil for Q3 2025
Q4 2025 Take Rate 0.24 0 Same NewGuidance: 0.24 for Q3 2025
Q4 2025 Adjusted EBITDA Margin 24.0% -4.0%-1.0%Lower NewGuidance: 25.0% for Q3 2025

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Buckley, MerileeCHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICERDirectSell105202658.455,636  Form
2Silverman, JoshDirectSell105202657.4686,6664,980,1705,209,738Form
3Silverman, JoshChief Executive OfficerDirectSell1203202554.6721,6661,184,3924,315,658Form
4Blow, Marla JDirectSell1121202552.3530015,706481,176Form
5Minor, BradleyChief Marketing OfficerDirectSell1106202557.813,095178,922426,233Form