Elemental Royalty (ELE)
Market Price (3/30/2026): $17.5 | Market Cap: $1.1 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Precious Metals & Minerals
Elemental Royalty (ELE)
Market Price (3/30/2026): $17.5Market Cap: $1.1 BilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Precious Metals & Minerals
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 167% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -27% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 25x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 165x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 36x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 628x |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 71% | Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -87% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Hydrogen Economy, and Battery Technology & Metals. Themes include Fuel Cell Technology, Green Hydrogen Production, Show more. | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.9% | |
| Key risksELE key risks include [1] paused royalty payments from key assets due to jurisdictional instability in regions like Africa, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 167% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 71% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Hydrogen Economy, and Battery Technology & Metals. Themes include Fuel Cell Technology, Green Hydrogen Production, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -27% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 25x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 165x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 36x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 628x |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -87% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.9% |
| Key risksELE key risks include [1] paused royalty payments from key assets due to jurisdictional instability in regions like Africa, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Record Financial Performance and Robust 2026 Guidance.
Elemental Royalty reported a record 128% increase in full-year 2025 revenue plus attributable share of Caserones, reaching US$49.2 million, which exceeded its updated guidance of US$42 million. Adjusted EBITDA also surged by 131% to US$34.9 million. The company provided strong 2026 guidance, projecting revenue between US$76.5 million and US$94.5 million and 17,000 to 21,000 Gold Equivalent Ounces (GEOs), signaling continued significant growth.
2. Favorable Precious Metals Price Rally.
A significant macroeconomic tailwind for Elemental Royalty was the substantial increase in precious metal prices during and leading into the period. Gold prices rose 65.0% and silver prices increased 149.1% from New Year's Eve 2024 to the end of December 2025. In November 2025, gold gained 5.4% and silver gained nearly 20%, with expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts further supporting these prices. Elemental Royalty's 2026 guidance is based on an assumed gold price of US$4,500/oz and copper price of US$5.50/lb.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 21.7% change in ELE stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 812.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 3292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 14.30 | 17.41 | 21.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 33 | 44 | 31.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 15.4% | 4.1% | -73.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 68.8 | 627.8 | 812.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 25 | 64 | -61.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 21.7% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ELE | 21.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.3% | 32.6% |
| Sector (XLB) | 10.0% | 43.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
nullnull
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ELE | ||
| Market (SPY) | 0.6% | 32.7% |
| Sector (XLB) | 7.1% | 43.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
nullnull
Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ELE | ||
| Market (SPY) | 9.8% | 32.7% |
| Sector (XLB) | 12.4% | 43.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
nullnull
Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ELE | ||
| Market (SPY) | 69.4% | 32.7% |
| Sector (XLB) | 26.8% | 43.1% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ELE Return | - | - | - | - | 32% | -2% | 29% |
| Peers Return | -9% | 0% | -6% | 8% | 116% | -2% | 97% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -5% | 72% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ELE Win Rate | - | - | - | - | 100% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 48% | 51% | 40% | 52% | 75% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ELE Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | 0% | -7% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -25% | -23% | -19% | -12% | -0% | -7% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -5% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: FNV, RGLD, OR, TFPM, MTA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/27/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
ELE has limited trading history. Below is the Materials sector ETF (XLB) in its place.
| Event | XLB | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -25.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 534 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -37.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 60.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 121 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -26.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 617 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -60.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 154.6% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,761 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to FNV, RGLD, OR, TFPM, MTA
In The Past
Materials Select Sector SPDR's stock fell -25.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -25.7% loss requires a 34.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Elemental Royalty (ELE)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are a few brief analogies for Elemental Royalty (ELE):
- It's like McDonald's for the mining industry; they don't dig for gold or silver themselves, but they collect a percentage (a royalty) from many different mines around the world.
- Imagine a real estate investment trust (REIT), but for mining projects; they invest in and own rights to a stream of revenue from mines globally, rather than owning physical properties and collecting rent.
AI Analysis | Feedback
```html- Precious Metal Royalties: The company acquires and generates financial interests in the production or revenue of mining projects primarily involving gold, silver, and copper.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Elemental Royalty Corporation (ELE) operates as a precious metal royalty company. Its business model involves acquiring and generating royalties on gold, silver, and copper projects.
In this type of business model, Elemental Royalty Corporation does not have "customers" in the traditional sense of companies or individuals purchasing products or services from them.
Instead, Elemental Royalty Corporation generates its revenue by receiving royalty payments from the mining companies that operate the underlying mineral properties on which ELE holds a royalty interest. These payments are typically a percentage of the production, revenue, or net smelter returns from the mines.
Therefore, Elemental Royalty Corporation does not sell goods or services to other companies or individuals, and as such, it does not have major customers to identify.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
David M. Cole Chief Executive OfficerDavid Cole brings over two decades of leadership experience, having been the co-founder and long-time Chief Executive Officer of EMX Royalty Corp.. Under his leadership, EMX grew from a single-asset explorer into a globally diversified royalty company with over 250 mineral assets across six continents. He also co-founded Standard Uranium Corp. and served as a director of Energy Metals Corporation, which was subsequently acquired for US$1.8 billion. Furthermore, Mr. Cole chaired IG Copper, overseeing the sale of the Malmyzh copper-gold discovery for US$200 million. Prior to his time at EMX, he spent 17 years in senior technical and management roles with Newmont Mining.
Stefan Wenger Chief Financial OfficerStefan Wenger is a senior executive with over 25 years of experience in various leadership roles. He served as Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer of Royal Gold, Inc., a publicly traded company specializing in precious metals streams and royalties, from July 2003 to June 2018. During his tenure at Royal Gold, Mr. Wenger led the company in raising over $2 billion in equity and debt capital markets and managed a $1 billion revolving credit facility. He began his career as an auditor with Arthur Andersen.
Juan Sartori Executive ChairmanJuan Sartori is the Chairman and founder of Union Group International Holdings, a privately owned investment and private equity management firm that focuses on sectors such as agriculture, energy, forestry, infrastructure, and real estate in Latin America. He established Union Group in 2007. Mr. Sartori also launched Union Capital Group, a Geneva-based multi-strategy asset manager, in 2002, selling its control in 2008. He has served as non-executive Chairman for Union Acquisition Corp. II (2018-2021) and Union Acquisition Corp., which merged with Bioceres Crop Solutions in 2019.
Frederick Bell President & Chief Operating OfficerFrederick Bell co-founded Elemental Royalties as a private company in 2016 and guided it through its listing in 2020, followed by mergers with Altus Strategies PLC in 2022 and EMX Royalty Corp. in 2025. Before Elemental, he was the Managing Director of Goldcrest Resources PLC, a UK-listed gold exploration company, where he assembled a portfolio of gold licenses in northeast Ghana and took the company to an AIM IPO. He also served as General Manager of Resource Star Ltd., an ASX-listed uranium exploration company.
David Baker Chief Investment OfficerDavid Baker has more than 20 years of industry experience. He served as Chief Geologist for EMX Royalty Corp. from 2011 to 2025, managing generative activities across the Americas. Mr. Baker is also a co-founder of Bronco Creek Exploration, a private project generator. His roles have encompassed both commercial and technical responsibilities, including designing and managing generative activities, negotiating property agreements, and assisting in due diligence for royalty acquisitions.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Elemental Royalty's business are:- Commodity Price Volatility: Elemental Royalty's revenue is directly tied to the market prices of precious metals, primarily gold, silver, and copper. Fluctuations in these commodity prices, influenced by global economic conditions, interest rates, and geopolitical tensions, can significantly impact the company's financial performance. For instance, a decline in gold prices can lead to reduced royalty income.
- Reliance on Third-Party Mining Operations and Counterparty Risk: As a royalty company, Elemental Royalty does not operate mines but instead receives income from projects operated by third parties. This exposes the company to risks associated with the operational performance, exploration success, and financial stability of the underlying mining companies. Delays in project development, production shortfalls, or unforeseen operational challenges at these mines can directly affect Elemental Royalty's cash flow and profitability, as it has limited control over these operations.
- Political Instability and Regulatory Changes: Elemental Royalty holds royalties across diverse international jurisdictions. Mining operations in these regions are susceptible to political instability, changes in government policies, taxation, and environmental regulations. Adverse shifts in the regulatory or political landscape of any country where the company has significant royalty interests could negatively impact the viability and profitability of the underlying mines, thereby reducing Elemental Royalty's expected income.
AI Analysis | Feedback
null
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Elemental Royalty (ELE) is poised for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several key factors stemming from its diversified portfolio and strategic initiatives.
- Increased Production from Maturing Royalty Assets: A significant driver for Elemental Royalty's future revenue is the ramp-up and commencement of royalty payments from its development-stage projects. Notably, the Chapi Copper Project in Peru achieved its first copper cathode production, with initial royalty payments anticipated in Q1 2026 and a planned ramp-up towards 10,000 tonnes per annum of copper cathode production. Additionally, the Laverton gold royalty in Australia, a recent acquisition, is expected to transition into a producing asset within the next couple of years, contributing long-life gold exposure to the portfolio.
- Strategic Acquisitions of New Royalties and Streams: Elemental Royalty's capacity to acquire new royalty and streaming interests is a core growth strategy. The company recently upsized its revolving credit facility to US$150 million, with a potential for US$200 million including an accordion feature, specifically to support future royalty and streaming transactions. This enhanced financial flexibility positions the company to continue its accretive acquisition strategy and expand its globally diversified asset base.
- Favorable Precious and Base Metal Prices: The company's revenue is directly tied to commodity prices, particularly gold, silver, and copper. Elemental Royalty has a gold-focused portfolio, with approximately 67% of its revenue allocated to precious metals. Sustained strong or rising prices for these commodities, influenced by factors such as geopolitical uncertainty and central bank purchases for gold, directly translate into higher royalty revenues.
- Organic Royalty Generation: Leveraging the combined expertise from its merger with EMX Royalty Corporation, Elemental Royalty focuses on organic growth through royalty generation. This unique approach allows for the creation of low-cost royalties from early-stage exploration, benefiting from the EMX team's strengths in economic geology and entrepreneurial spirit, alongside Elemental Altus's capital markets expertise. This strategy provides a pipeline for future revenue streams beyond outright acquisitions.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Issuance
- In December 2022, Elemental Altus Royalties completed a non-brokered private placement, issuing 3,970,997 shares at C$1.28 per share, generating aggregate gross proceeds of approximately C$5.1 million (approximately US$3.7 million).
- In September 2025, in conjunction with the merger with EMX Royalty, Tether Investments agreed to purchase approximately 75 million Elemental Altus shares at C$1.84 per share, injecting US$100 million into the company.
- In January 2026, Elemental Royalty granted 663,339 stock options exercisable at C$23.48 per share and 155,133 Restricted Share Units (RSUs) which entitle the holder to acquire common shares.
Inbound Investments
- In June 2025, Tether Investments, an affiliate of the Tether Group, acquired a substantial stake of approximately 31.9% of Elemental Altus Royalties' issued and outstanding shares from La Mancha Investments S. à. r.l.
- In September 2025, Tether Investments committed to a US$100 million investment through a concurrent financing to support the merger with EMX Royalty, purchasing approximately 75 million Elemental Altus shares.
- In March 2026, Elemental Royalty amended and upsized its revolving credit facility from US$50 million to US$150 million, with an additional US$50 million accordion feature, providing a potential total capacity of up to US$200 million.
Outbound Investments
- In September 2025, Elemental Altus Royalties merged with EMX Royalty Corporation, with Elemental Altus acquiring all outstanding shares of EMX, forming Elemental Royalty Corporation.
- In September 2025, Elemental Altus entered into an agreement to acquire the Laverton royalty for a total cash consideration of A$80 million (approximately US$52 million), with an initial cash payment of US$2.7 million.
- In April 2025, Elemental Altus acquired the AlphaStream portfolio, which included 3 producing royalties and 21 exploration/development royalties, as well as a royalty on the Mactung tungsten project for US$3.5 million.
Capital Expenditures
- Elemental Royalty's business model focuses on acquiring royalties rather than direct mining operations, so traditional capital expenditures are not a primary focus.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Elemental Royalty Stock Pre-Market (-5.8%): Precious Metals Sector Sell-Off | 03/07/2026 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to ELE.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01312026 | IP | International Paper | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 9.1% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| 01302026 | B | Barrick Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 11.7% | 11.7% | -4.0% |
| 12312025 | AMR | Alpha Metallurgical Resources | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | -18.6% | -18.6% | -18.6% |
| 12262025 | EMN | Eastman Chemical | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.9% | 18.9% | 0.0% |
| 12122025 | AMCR | Amcor | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 19.2% | 19.2% | -0.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 34.00 |
| Mkt Cap | 6.7 |
| Rev LTM | 333 |
| Op Inc LTM | 209 |
| FCF LTM | -17 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 67 |
| CFO LTM | 279 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 204 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 54.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 28.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 85.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 19.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 60.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 52.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 75.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 74.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -6.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 6.7 |
| P/S | 24.3 |
| P/EBIT | 29.3 |
| P/E | 36.4 |
| P/CFO | 28.7 |
| Total Yield | 2.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 0.9% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -23.2% |
| 3M Rtn | -3.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 11.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 60.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 77.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -14.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 6.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 17.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 50.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 24.1% |
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.