Tearsheet

Leonardo DRS (DRS)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $32.525 | Market Cap: $8.7 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Leonardo DRS (DRS)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $32.525
Market Cap: $8.7 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 36x
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
Key risks
DRS key risks include [1] the potential termination of classified U.S. Show more.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity, Autonomous Technologies, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Software Security, Show more.
 
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity, Autonomous Technologies, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Software Security, Show more.
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 36x
4 Key risks
DRS key risks include [1] the potential termination of classified U.S. Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

DRS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate -21.7% stock movement for Leonardo DRS (DRS) from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Analyst Downgrades and Price Target Reductions Following Q3 Earnings. Despite Leonardo DRS reporting strong third-quarter 2025 financial results, which included an 18% increase in revenue and a 21% rise in adjusted diluted earnings per share, and a raised full-year revenue guidance, several analysts subsequently lowered their price targets for the stock on October 30, 2025. This analyst reaction contributed to a nearly 6% drop in the stock price on that day, and Zacks Research downgraded Leonardo DRS from a "strong-buy" to a "hold" rating.

2. High Investor Expectations Unmet by Strong, Yet Not "Blowout," Q3 Performance. The market's reaction to the Q3 2025 earnings suggested that even with the company's robust financial growth and increased guidance, investors had set exceptionally high expectations for defense stocks. The failure to deliver an even more substantial "blowout quarter" likely led to investor disappointment and a subsequent pullback in the stock price.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DRS Return57%61%4%
Peers Return-14%25%22%-0%4%45%97%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DRS Win Rate100%58%58%58% 
Peers Win Rate47%60%53%47%57%67% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DRS Max Drawdown-9%-7%-11% 
Peers Max Drawdown-36%-7%-3%-21%-9%-8% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LHX, RTX, GD, NOC, HII.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDRSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-14.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven17.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven8 days464 days

Compare to FLY, ATRO, APEX, BETA, DFSC


In The Past

Leonardo DRS's stock fell -14.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/13/2023. A -14.6% loss requires a 17.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Leonardo DRS (DRS)

Better Bets than Leonardo DRS (DRS)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DRS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Leonardo DRS

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DRSLHXRTXGDNOCHIIMedian
NameLeonardo.L3Harris.RTX General .Northrop.Huntingt. 
Mkt Price32.55278.72177.20336.41564.19321.29300.00
Mkt Cap8.752.1238.090.680.712.766.4
Rev LTM3,56921,37385,98851,50940,92811,56931,150
Op Inc LTM3422,3668,8155,3274,0984693,232
FCF LTM2652,1644,7264,8121,8346671,999
FCF 3Y Avg1441,8285,5473,3952,1374561,983
CFO LTM3842,5077,9635,7193,4381,0322,972
CFO 3Y Avg2322,2088,6914,3503,7917913,000

Growth & Margins

DRSLHXRTXGDNOCHIIMedian
NameLeonardo.L3Harris.RTX General .Northrop.Huntingt. 
Rev Chg LTM12.3%2.9%8.8%11.9%-0.1%-1.7%5.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg10.0%8.4%9.4%9.9%5.2%4.2%8.9%
Rev Chg Q18.2%2.4%11.9%10.6%4.3%3.5%7.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.3%0.6%2.9%2.5%1.1%0.9%1.8%
Op Mgn LTM9.6%11.1%10.3%10.3%10.0%4.1%10.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg8.7%10.4%7.7%10.2%9.0%5.1%8.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%0.2%0.3%0.0%0.2%-0.2%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM10.8%11.7%9.3%11.1%8.4%8.9%10.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg6.8%11.0%11.3%9.3%9.4%6.9%9.4%
FCF/Rev LTM7.4%10.1%5.5%9.3%4.5%5.8%6.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.0%9.2%7.2%7.3%5.3%4.0%6.3%

Valuation

DRSLHXRTXGDNOCHIIMedian
NameLeonardo.L3Harris.RTX General .Northrop.Huntingt. 
Mkt Cap8.752.1238.090.680.712.766.4
P/S3.42.72.61.82.11.02.4
P/EBIT36.222.621.616.815.815.719.2
P/E45.633.734.121.821.721.627.7
P/CFO31.522.828.216.125.411.024.1
Total Yield2.8%4.5%4.5%6.3%5.3%6.0%4.9%
Dividend Yield0.6%1.6%1.5%1.7%0.7%1.4%1.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.1%4.2%3.7%4.4%2.8%4.5%4.0%
D/E0.00.20.20.10.20.30.2
Net D/E0.00.20.20.10.20.20.2

Returns

DRSLHXRTXGDNOCHIIMedian
NameLeonardo.L3Harris.RTX General .Northrop.Huntingt. 
1M Rtn-5.0%-3.1%1.3%-1.6%0.6%4.2%-0.5%
3M Rtn-21.4%-0.7%12.4%3.9%-1.8%18.4%1.6%
6M Rtn-26.1%13.0%22.5%21.9%15.0%38.5%18.5%
12M Rtn-4.6%30.0%53.7%29.4%19.5%69.9%29.7%
3Y Rtn172.4%39.3%92.8%45.7%12.0%48.6%47.1%
1M Excs Rtn-5.8%-3.9%0.6%-2.3%-0.1%3.5%-1.2%
3M Excs Rtn-24.7%-2.4%11.1%2.8%-2.6%16.1%0.2%
6M Excs Rtn-38.5%0.6%10.1%9.6%2.6%26.1%6.1%
12M Excs Rtn-14.6%16.2%42.2%19.4%8.5%60.1%17.8%
3Y Excs Rtn121.0%-31.9%22.0%-24.8%-57.6%-22.5%-23.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Advanced Sensing and Computing (ASC)1,8311,733  
Integrated Mission Systems (IMS)1,021983  
Corporate & Eliminations-26-23  
Total2,8262,693  


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil2024202320222021
Advanced Sensing and Computing (ASC)136199  
Integrated Mission Systems (IMS)92119  
Corporate & Eliminations30  
Amortization of intangibles -10  
Deal related transaction costs -43  
Depreciation -55  
Gain on sale of business 354  
Total231564  


Assets by Segment
$ Mil2024202320222021
Advanced Sensing and Computing (ASC)2,2442,1671,545862
Integrated Mission Systems (IMS)1,1461,1521,145963
Corporate & Eliminations531358379440
Network Computing & Communications (NC&C)   691
Total3,9213,6773,0692,956


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,925,791
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202512.3%
Average Daily Volume944,263
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.10
Basic Shares Quantity266,200,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/2025-4.4%-10.0%-15.9%
7/30/2025-10.3%-13.9%-12.6%
5/1/20258.8%12.4%14.7%
2/20/20255.6%1.2%14.4%
10/30/202411.4%16.3%22.0%
7/30/2024-0.7%-7.4%-2.2%
2/27/20248.7%9.2%3.6%
11/2/20231.9%1.2%-2.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive565
# Negative545
Median Positive8.7%5.4%14.7%
Median Negative-1.0%-8.7%-2.8%
Max Positive11.4%16.3%22.0%
Max Negative-10.3%-13.9%-15.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024303202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024730202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022328202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221107202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022815202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022516202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021328202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Baylouny JohnEVP and COO10162025Sell43.698,481370,5354,631,446Form