Dnow (DNOW)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $14.5 | Market Cap: $1.5 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Trading Companies & Distributors
Dnow (DNOW)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $14.5Market Cap: $1.5 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Trading Companies & Distributors
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.9%, FCF Yield is 11% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -6.7%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -55% | |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -14% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 45% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence, Water Infrastructure, and Hydrogen Economy. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.9%, FCF Yield is 11% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -14% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 45% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence, Water Infrastructure, and Hydrogen Economy. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -6.7%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -55% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
DNOW Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for why DNOW (symbol: DNOW) stock moved by -10.6% from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025:
1. Third Quarter 2025 Revenue Slightly Missed Analyst Expectations. On November 5, 2025, DNOW announced its third-quarter 2025 results, reporting revenue of $634 million. While this reflected a 1% sequential increase and 5% year-over-year growth, it slightly missed analyst projections of $635.13 million, leading to a pre-market stock decline of 7.72% on the day of the announcement.
2. Potential Share Dilution from All-Stock MRC Global Merger. The company completed its all-stock acquisition of MRC Global, valued at approximately $1.5 billion, on November 6, 2025. While strategically aimed at creating a premier energy industrial solutions provider, all-stock transactions can lead to the issuance of new shares, potentially diluting the ownership stake of existing shareholders and exerting downward pressure on the stock price.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| DNOW Return | -36% | 19% | 49% | -11% | 15% | 10% | 27% |
| Peers Return | 26% | 36% | -10% | 40% | 9% | 6% | 149% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| DNOW Win Rate | 42% | 50% | 67% | 42% | 42% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 43% | 50% | 28% | 50% | 48% | 56% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| DNOW Max Drawdown | -64% | -2% | 0% | -30% | -16% | -6% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -28% | -2% | -25% | -6% | -8% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WSO, UHAL, URI, FERG, FAST.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | DNOW | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -40.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 67.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 291 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -65.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 190.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 584 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -58.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 140.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to WSO, UHAL, URI, FERG, FAST
In The Past
Dnow's stock fell -40.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/12/2021. A -40.4% loss requires a 67.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to DNOW. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.5% | 9.5% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.5% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.5% | 9.5% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.5% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Dnow
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 151.20 |
| Mkt Cap | 30.5 |
| Rev LTM | 7,706 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,175 |
| FCF LTM | 484 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 493 |
| CFO LTM | 1,415 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,406 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 10.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 13.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 11.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 30.5 |
| P/S | 2.0 |
| P/EBIT | 17.2 |
| P/E | 26.8 |
| P/CFO | 17.4 |
| Total Yield | 4.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.5% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.7% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -1.7% |
| 3M Rtn | -11.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 0.4% |
| 12M Rtn | -5.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 46.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -2.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -17.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -15.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -18.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -33.4% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pumps, production and drilling | 639 | 531 | 423 | ||
| Valves | 437 | 409 | 317 | 326 | 608 |
| Fittings and flanges | 433 | 389 | 285 | 287 | 524 |
| Pipe | 422 | 432 | 277 | 228 | 473 |
| Mill tool, maintenance, repair and operating supplies (MRO), safety and other | 390 | 375 | 330 | 350 | 635 |
| Drilling and production | 428 | 711 | |||
| Total | 2,321 | 2,136 | 1,632 | 1,619 | 2,951 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2182025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5102024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2152024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2162023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11022022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8032022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2172022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |