Dell Technologies (DELL)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $127.85 | Market Cap: $85.8 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals
Dell Technologies (DELL)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $127.85Market Cap: $85.8 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.0% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.2% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO LTM is 7.1 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.4 Bil | Key risksDELL key risks include [1] margin pressure and cash flow strain from its booming but high-cost AI server business and [2] concurrent weakness in its personal computer segment. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.0% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO LTM is 7.1 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.4 Bil |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more. |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.2% |
| Key risksDELL key risks include [1] margin pressure and cash flow strain from its booming but high-cost AI server business and [2] concurrent weakness in its personal computer segment. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
DELL Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Dell Technologies' stock surged by 5.2% on October 7, 2025, after the company significantly raised its sales and profit growth estimates for the next four years, citing strong demand for artificial intelligence (AI) products. The company noted unprecedented demand for AI-optimized servers, with $12.1 billion in AI-related orders and a $14.4 billion backlog.
2. The Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) demonstrated robust performance, with Q3 Fiscal Year 2025 revenue increasing by 34% year-over-year, and servers and networking revenue specifically rising by 58%. This growth, driven by both AI and traditional servers, indicated a strong operational foundation leading into and within the specified period.
3.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| DELL Return | 43% | 52% | -27% | 96% | 53% | 18% | 464% |
| Peers Return | 16% | 38% | -12% | 21% | 26% | 16% | 151% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| DELL Win Rate | 67% | 75% | 33% | 75% | 75% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 65% | 42% | 68% | 57% | 53% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| DELL Max Drawdown | -44% | -3% | -39% | -8% | -2% | -38% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -34% | -5% | -26% | -7% | -9% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL. See DELL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | DELL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -44.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 80.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 324 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -45.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 84.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 103 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -35.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 54.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 412 days | 120 days |
Compare to AAPL, IBM, HPQ, BGIN, VELO
In The Past
Dell Technologies's stock fell -44.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/9/2022. A -44.4% loss requires a 80.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to DELL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.4% | 10.4% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.7% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.2% | 12.2% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.2% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.6% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.4% | 10.4% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.7% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.2% | 12.2% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.2% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.6% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Dell Technologies
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 101.94 |
| Mkt Cap | 189.2 |
| Rev LTM | 61,549 |
| Op Inc LTM | 9,234 |
| FCF LTM | 8,152 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 8,267 |
| CFO LTM | 10,290 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 10,486 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 12.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 12.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 14.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 11.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 189.2 |
| P/S | 2.5 |
| P/EBIT | 22.5 |
| P/E | 25.4 |
| P/CFO | 16.5 |
| Total Yield | 6.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.9% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 5.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 13.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 12.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 89.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 2.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 1.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 0.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 11.2% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Client Solutions Group | 48,916 | 58,213 | 61,464 | 48,387 | 45,838 |
| Infrastructure Solutions Group | 33,885 | 38,356 | 34,366 | 33,002 | 33,969 |
| Corporate and other | 5,624 | ||||
| Impact of purchase accounting | 0 | -32 | -106 | -347 | |
| Other businesses | 5,721 | 5,388 | 5,382 | 1,788 | |
| Unallocated transactions | 11 | 11 | 5 | 1 | |
| VMware | 10,905 | ||||
| Total | 88,425 | 102,301 | 101,197 | 86,670 | 92,154 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Infrastructure Solutions Group | 4,286 | 5,045 | 3,736 | 3,753 | 4,001 |
| Client Solutions Group | 3,712 | 3,824 | 4,365 | 3,333 | 3,138 |
| Corporate and other | -120 | ||||
| Other corporate expenses | -756 | -899 | -337 | -376 | -1,160 |
| Amortization of intangibles | -833 | -970 | -1,641 | -2,133 | -4,408 |
| Stock-based compensation expense | -878 | -931 | -808 | -487 | -1,262 |
| Impact of purchase accounting | -44 | -67 | -144 | -411 | |
| Other businesses | -240 | -319 | -139 | -43 | |
| Transaction-related expenses | -22 | -273 | -124 | -285 | |
| Unallocated transactions | 8 | 3 | 2 | -29 | |
| VMware | 3,081 | ||||
| Total | 5,411 | 5,771 | 4,659 | 3,685 | 2,622 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/25/2025 | 5.8% | 10.4% | |
| 8/28/2025 | -8.9% | -6.9% | -0.1% |
| 5/29/2025 | -2.1% | -1.6% | 7.9% |
| 2/27/2025 | -4.7% | -13.7% | -14.4% |
| 11/26/2024 | -12.2% | -11.0% | -17.2% |
| 8/29/2024 | 4.3% | -7.9% | 7.0% |
| 5/30/2024 | -17.9% | -21.2% | -15.9% |
| 2/29/2024 | 31.6% | 27.3% | 26.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 12 | 14 |
| # Negative | 13 | 12 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.9% |
| Median Negative | -5.2% | -7.4% | -11.0% |
| Max Positive | 31.6% | 27.3% | 26.4% |
| Max Negative | -17.9% | -21.4% | -27.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | 12092025 | 10-Q 10/31/2025 |
| 7312025 | 9082025 | 10-Q 8/1/2025 |
| 4302025 | 6102025 | 10-Q 5/2/2025 |
| 1312025 | 3252025 | 10-K 1/31/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12102024 | 10-Q 11/1/2024 |
| 7312024 | 9102024 | 10-Q 8/2/2024 |
| 4302024 | 6112024 | 10-Q 5/3/2024 |
| 1312024 | 3252024 | 10-K 2/2/2024 |
| 10312023 | 12082023 | 10-Q 11/3/2023 |
| 7312023 | 9122023 | 10-Q 8/4/2023 |
| 4302023 | 6122023 | 10-Q 5/5/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3302023 | 10-K 2/3/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12052022 | 10-Q 10/28/2022 |
| 7312022 | 9012022 | 10-Q 7/29/2022 |
| 4302022 | 6062022 | 10-Q 4/29/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3242022 | 10-K 1/28/2022 |
Industry Resources
| Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals Resources |
| The Verge |
| TechRadar |
| Tom’s Hardware |
| PCMag |
| CNET |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |