Tearsheet

Deere (DE)


Market Price (12/25/2025): $466.99 | Market Cap: $126.2 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Agricultural & Farm Machinery

Deere (DE)


Market Price (12/25/2025): $466.99
Market Cap: $126.2 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Agricultural & Farm Machinery

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.3%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -23%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -69%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -12%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.4%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, CFO LTM is 7.5 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.2 Bil
  Key risks
DE key risks include [1] execution risks tied to its "Smart Industrial Strategy," particularly in achieving ambitious margin expansion and overcoming slower-than-expected progress in its software-as-a-service offerings.
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Autonomous Technologies, Automation & Robotics, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Machine Vision, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.3%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, CFO LTM is 7.5 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.2 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Autonomous Technologies, Automation & Robotics, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Machine Vision, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -23%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -69%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -12%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.4%
6 Key risks
DE key risks include [1] execution risks tied to its "Smart Industrial Strategy," particularly in achieving ambitious margin expansion and overcoming slower-than-expected progress in its software-as-a-service offerings.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

DE Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining recent movements in Deere's stock:

1. Deere reported a significant 47% year-over-year drop in net income for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2024, alongside a 28% decrease in worldwide net sales and revenues. This substantial decline in financial performance highlighted challenges in the market environment.

2. The company provided a cautious outlook for fiscal year 2025, projecting net income to be in the range of $5.0 billion to $5.5 billion, a potential decrease from the $7.1 billion reported for fiscal 2024. This guidance fell short of FactSet's expectation of $5.8 billion.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -0.3% change in DE stock from 9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a -6.2% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
924202512242025Change
Stock Price ($)468.94467.44-0.32%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)43397.0044664.002.92%
Net Income Margin (%)12.00%11.26%-6.20%
P/E Multiple24.3825.133.10%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)270.70270.300.15%
Cumulative Contribution-0.32%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
DE-0.3% 
Market (SPY)4.4%10.6%
Sector (XLI)3.4%21.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The -7.1% change in DE stock from 6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a -11.5% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
625202512242025Change
Stock Price ($)503.38467.44-7.14%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)44462.0044664.000.45%
Net Income Margin (%)12.71%11.26%-11.46%
P/E Multiple24.1425.134.10%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)271.10270.300.30%
Cumulative Contribution-7.14%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
DE-7.1% 
Market (SPY)14.0%23.4%
Sector (XLI)10.0%36.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 9.5% change in DE stock from 12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 53.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
1224202412242025Change
Stock Price ($)426.84467.449.51%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)50518.0044664.00-11.59%
Net Income Margin (%)14.05%11.26%-19.92%
P/E Multiple16.3925.1353.31%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)272.70270.300.88%
Cumulative Contribution9.50%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
DE9.5% 
Market (SPY)15.8%52.4%
Sector (XLI)18.6%61.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 11.5% change in DE stock from 12/25/2022 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 42.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
1225202212242025Change
Stock Price ($)419.26467.4411.49%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)51283.0044664.00-12.91%
Net Income Margin (%)13.91%11.26%-19.06%
P/E Multiple17.6725.1342.21%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)300.60270.3010.08%
Cumulative Contribution10.36%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/25/2023 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
DE21.2% 
Market (SPY)48.9%45.2%
Sector (XLI)42.7%56.6%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DE Return58%29%27%-5%8%11%191%
Peers Return17%15%11%17%-2%26%116%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%18%115%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DE Win Rate75%58%50%25%42%67% 
Peers Win Rate62%55%52%48%50%53% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DE Max Drawdown-36%-1%-15%-19%-13%-4% 
Peers Max Drawdown-41%-2%-22%-15%-14%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CAT, AGCO, PCAR, OSK, TTC. See DE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/24/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-34.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven142 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-37.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven59.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven128 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-23.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven31.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven351 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-73.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven281.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven711 days1,480 days

Compare to

In The Past

Deere's stock fell -34.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/18/2022. A -34.1% loss requires a 51.6% gain to breakeven.

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About Deere (DE)

Deere & Company manufactures and distributes various equipment worldwide. The company operates through four segments: Production and Precision Agriculture, Small Agriculture and Turf, Construction and Forestry, and Financial Services. The Production and Precision Agriculture segment provides mid-size tractors, combines, cotton pickers and strippers, sugarcane harvesters, harvesting front-end equipment, sugarcane loaders, pull-behind scrapers, and tillage and seeding equipment, as well as application equipment, including sprayers and nutrient management, and soil preparation machinery for grain growers. The Small Agriculture and Turf segment offers utility tractors, and related loaders and attachments; turf and utility equipment, including riding lawn equipment, commercial mowing equipment, golf course equipment, and utility vehicles, as well as implements for mowing, tilling, snow and debris handling, aerating, residential, commercial, golf, and sports turf care applications; other outdoor power products; and hay and forage equipment. This segment also resells products from other manufacturers. It serves dairy and livestock producers, crop producers, and turf and utility customers. The Construction and Forestry segment provides a range of backhoe loaders, crawler dozers and loaders, four-wheel-drive loaders, excavators, motor graders, articulated dump trucks, landscape and skid-steer loaders, milling machines, pavers, compactors, rollers, crushers, screens, asphalt plants, log skidders, log feller bunchers, log loaders and forwarders, log harvesters, and attachments; and roadbuilding equipment. The Financial Services segment finances sales and leases agriculture and turf, and construction and forestry equipment. It also offers wholesale financing to dealers of the foregoing equipment; and extended equipment warranties, as well as finances retail revolving charge accounts. Deere & Company was founded in 1837 and is headquartered in Moline, Illinois.

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Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Deere:

  • The Caterpillar of agriculture.
  • The Harley-Davidson of agricultural machinery.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the major products and services of Deere & Company (DE):
  • Agricultural Equipment: Manufactures a wide range of machinery for farming, including tractors, combines, planters, and sprayers.
  • Turf Equipment: Produces equipment for lawn care and landscaping, such as mowers, utility vehicles, and golf course maintenance machinery.
  • Construction Equipment: Develops and manufactures machinery for construction, roadbuilding, and earthmoving, including excavators, loaders, and motor graders.
  • Forestry Equipment: Offers specialized machinery for logging and timber harvesting, such as feller bunchers, skidders, and harvesters.
  • Financial Services: Provides retail financing for new and used John Deere equipment, as well as wholesale financing for dealers' inventories.

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Deere & Company (DE) primarily sells its equipment to other businesses, rather than directly to individuals. While its sales model heavily relies on an independent dealer network that then sells to a fragmented market of end-users (such as farmers, construction contractors, forestry companies, and landscapers), certain large equipment rental companies represent significant direct or indirect bulk purchasers from manufacturers like Deere, especially within its Construction & Forestry segment.

The major customer companies for Deere's equipment, particularly for its construction and industrial machinery, include:

  • United Rentals, Inc. (NYSE: URI)
    As the world's largest equipment rental company, United Rentals procures a wide range of construction and industrial equipment from manufacturers, including Deere, for its extensive rental fleet that it then leases to various businesses and contractors.
  • Herc Holdings Inc. (NYSE: HRI)
    Herc Rentals, a leading equipment rental company, is another significant buyer of construction and industrial machinery from manufacturers like Deere for its rental operations across North America.
  • Ashtead Group plc (LSE: ASHT.L)
    Ashtead Group, through its primary subsidiary Sunbelt Rentals (a major equipment rental provider in North America), is a substantial purchaser of various equipment types, including those offered by Deere, for its rental inventory.

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  • Titan International (TWI)
  • The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company (GT)
  • Michelin (ML)
  • Parker Hannifin Corporation (PH)
  • Eaton Corporation plc (ETN)
  • The Timken Company (TKR)

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John C. May, Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer

John C. May joined Deere in 1997. He has held various leadership roles, including President & Chief Operating Officer, President Worldwide Agriculture & Turf Division, Chief Information Officer, and President Agricultural Solutions. May also managed Deere's China operations during a period of significant growth and was factory manager at the Dubuque (Iowa) Works. Before joining Deere, he worked as a management consultant at KPMG Peat Marwick for five years. He became CEO in November 2019 and Chairman in May 2020. May serves on the board of the Ford Motor Company.

Joshua A. Jepsen, Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer

Joshua A. Jepsen was appointed Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer in September 2022. He began his career at Deere in 1999 as an intern. Jepsen has held various accounting and financial-analysis roles across the company's manufacturing and North American sales and marketing operations. His experience also includes serving as Manager of Commercial Operations for the Construction & Forestry division outside the U.S. and Canada, and Controller for the Asia Pacific and Africa region based in Singapore. He was also Manager of Investor Communications and Director of Investor Relations, becoming Deputy Financial Officer in March 2022.

Rajesh Kalathur, President, John Deere Financial, and Chief Information Officer

Rajesh Kalathur assumed his current role as President, John Deere Financial, and Chief Information Officer in 2019. He previously served as Chief Financial Officer for over six years. Throughout his more than 27 years at Deere, Kalathur has held positions of increasing responsibility in finance, business development, logistics, operations, marketing, and general management in the U.S. and Mexico. He led the initiative to establish the John Deere Technology Center in India and served as Managing Director and CEO of John Deere India.

Jahmy Hindman, Senior Vice President & Chief Technology Officer

Jahmy Hindman was appointed Chief Technology Officer in July 2020 and Senior Vice President in June 2023. He joined John Deere in 1996 as a test engineer. Hindman has over 25 years of experience in advanced technology, artificial intelligence, product engineering, and manufacturing. His previous leadership assignments include Global Manager, Architectures, Systems and Modules; platform architect for the tractor product lines; Manager, Large Tractor Chassis; general manager and engineering manager at Deere's construction-equipment factory in Tianjin, China; and product marketing manager and engineering supervisor for four-wheel-drive construction loaders.

Felecia J. Pryor, Senior Vice President & Chief People Officer

Felecia J. Pryor joined Deere as Senior Vice President & Chief People Officer in August 2022. She brings nearly two decades of human resources experience, including serving as Executive Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer at BorgWarner, Inc. Pryor also spent 16 years at Ford Motor Company, where she held various human resources and labor relations roles, including Global Human Resources Director and executive roles in Thailand and China. She is licensed to practice law in Michigan.

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The key risks to Deere & Company (DE) are:

  1. Cyclical Downturn in Agricultural and Construction Markets: Deere's financial results are heavily dependent on the business cycles of the agricultural and construction industries. Negative conditions in these sectors, driven by factors such as high interest rates, lower commodity prices, trade uncertainty, and cautious customer spending, directly lead to weakened demand for Deere's equipment and services. This has resulted in declining sales volumes, reduced operating profits across segments, and workforce reductions. The agricultural market, in particular, has seen significant downturns due to falling farm income and elevated used equipment inventory levels. Similarly, the construction and forestry segments are experiencing pressure from slowing housing starts and reduced commercial construction activity.
  2. Supply Chain Disruptions and Increased Costs: Deere faces ongoing challenges related to its supply chain, including difficulties in sourcing critical components like semiconductor chips and other parts. These disruptions lead to production inefficiencies, delays, and increased manufacturing costs. Additionally, tariffs, particularly on steel and aluminum imports, represent a substantial financial burden and direct cost drag on Deere's margins, adding another layer of uncertainty to its financial outlook.
  3. Reliance on Technology and Execution Risks of Strategic Initiatives: Deere & Company's operations are increasingly reliant on complex technology systems. Any failure, inefficiency, or obsolescence in these systems could lead to operational delays, reduced product demand, and negative impacts on sales, customer retention, and the company's reputation. While Deere has ambitious growth targets tied to its "Smart Industrial Strategy" and the development of intelligent, connected machines and autonomous solutions, there are inherent execution risks in successfully implementing these strategies, including achieving projected margin expansion and navigating slower-than-expected progress in its software-as-a-service (SaaS) offerings.

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The emergence of specialized, often electric and autonomous, agricultural technology (AgTech) startups directly challenging aspects of Deere's traditional equipment market by offering alternative solutions for farming tasks.

Companies such as Monarch Tractor are developing and selling electric, autonomous tractors for specific farm operations. Carbon Robotics offers AI-powered laser weeding robots that eliminate weeds without chemicals. Small Robot Company provides a fleet of small, autonomous robots for tasks like planting, weeding, and spraying. These solutions, while often niche today, represent a different paradigm of farming that prioritizes precision, sustainability, and potentially lower operating costs for specific tasks, potentially eroding the market for large, multi-purpose traditional machinery in the long term.

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Here are the addressable market sizes for Deere's main products and services:

  • Agricultural Equipment: The global agriculture equipment market size was estimated at USD 169.55 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 295.28 billion by 2033, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 6.7% from 2025 to 2033. The Asia Pacific region held a significant share of over 37.7% in 2024.
  • Construction Equipment: The global construction equipment market size was valued at USD 224.56 billion in 2024, exhibiting a CAGR of 8.50% during 2025–2034. Another estimate valued the global market at USD 249.99 billion in 2025, projected to reach USD 349.91 billion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 3.42% from 2026-2034. The Asia Pacific region dominates this market, holding a market share of over 43.8% in 2024.
  • Forestry Equipment: The global forestry equipment market size was valued at USD 11.59 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 17.16 billion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 4.00% from 2025 to 2034. North America leads in market valuation with approximately US$ 3.63 billion, followed by Europe with approximately USD 4.5 billion in logging attachments alone, and Asia-Pacific at around USD 2.6 billion in 2023.
  • Financial Services: null

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Deere (symbol: DE) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several strategic initiatives and market dynamics:

  1. Expansion of Precision Agriculture Technologies: Deere is actively rolling out advanced precision technologies, such as "See & Spray" and "Smart Apply," to a broader range of crops including corn, soy, small grains, specialty crops, and orchards. These initiatives are planned through 2026 and are expected to boost sales through enhanced product offerings that increase efficiency and profitability for farmers.
  2. Growth in the Construction and Forestry Segment: Following the integration of Wirtgen, Deere is targeting growth in its compaction, milling, and paving operations globally. The company also plans to localize excavator production to enhance competitiveness in North and Latin American markets between 2024 and 2026.
  3. Strategic Expansion into Emerging Markets: Deere has identified Brazil and India as key priority markets for expansion. The company aims to scale the sales of planters, sprayers, and sugarcane harvesters in Brazil, while in India, it plans to expand its offerings of mid-horsepower tractors and combines, alongside growing its dealer network to achieve double-digit unit growth.
  4. Increasing Recurring Revenue from Connected Fleets and Software Services: With over 600,000 connected machines globally, Deere is focusing on monetizing parts, services, and subscription models. The company's management has set a multi-year priority (2024-2025) to shift its revenue mix towards higher-margin, recurring software and service streams by leveraging telematics and SATCOM-enabled acreage.
  5. Anticipated Cyclical Recovery in Agricultural Equipment Demand: Despite recent year-over-year revenue declines in its segments due to a cyclical downturn, some markets are showing early signs of positive inflection. Analysts forecast a revenue growth of 16.5% over the next 12 months, indicating an expected rebound in demand for agricultural equipment after a period of lower sales. This recovery in market conditions is a crucial driver for future revenue growth.

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Share Repurchases

  • In December 2022, Deere's board authorized an additional $18 billion for common stock repurchases, raising the total authorization to $39 billion.
  • The company repurchased approximately $7.28 billion of its common stock in fiscal year 2023.
  • Deere repurchased approximately $4.04 billion in fiscal year 2024 and about $1.05 billion in fiscal year 2025 (as of July 31, 2025).

Share Issuance

  • No significant share issuances were identified over the last 3-5 years; the company has been actively reducing outstanding shares through repurchases.

Inbound Investments

  • No major inbound investments from third-parties (e.g., strategic partners or private equity firms) were reported.

Outbound Investments

  • Deere has made several acquisitions focusing on agricultural technology, including GUSS (August 2025), Sentera (May 2025), Smart-Apply (July 2023), and Bear Flag Robotics ($250 million, August 2021).
  • The acquisitions primarily target advancements in autonomous vehicles, spraying technology, and geospatial data platforms for agriculture.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures amounted to $2.656 billion in fiscal year 2020, $2.58 billion in fiscal year 2021, $3.788 billion in fiscal year 2022, $4.468 billion in fiscal year 2023, and $4.802 billion in fiscal year 2024.
  • Deere has committed to investing $20 billion in its U.S. operations over the next decade, including $100 million for American factory investments in 2025, with an estimated $1.6 billion in total capital expenditures for fiscal year 2025.
  • The primary focus of these expenditures includes expanding manufacturing capabilities, developing new products and cutting-edge technology, and upgrading facilities for initiatives like new excavator factories, turf equipment expansions, and assembly lines for high-horsepower tractors.

Better Bets than Deere (DE)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to DE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.7%17.7%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.4%4.4%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.3%6.3%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
6.3%6.3%-0.4%

Recent Active Movers

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Peer Comparisons for Deere

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DECATAGCOPCAROSKTTCMedian
NameDeere Caterpil.AGCO PACCAR Oshkosh Toro  
Mkt Price467.44583.76105.28111.51130.4378.88120.97
Mkt Cap126.3273.57.958.68.47.733.5
Rev LTM44,66464,67110,04929,53210,3324,51019,932
Op Inc LTM8,41511,4156583,3659574912,161
FCF LTM3,2317,5607493,1947555781,974
FCF 3Y Avg3,9278,6166543,0053164011,829
CFO LTM7,45911,5411,0224,7179746622,870
CFO 3Y Avg8,42611,9361,0504,4505995132,750

Growth & Margins

DECATAGCOPCAROSKTTCMedian
NameDeere Caterpil.AGCO PACCAR Oshkosh Toro  
Rev Chg LTM-11.6%-1.5%-20.1%-15.2%-2.5%-1.6%-7.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-3.4%4.9%-3.9%3.8%9.9%-0.0%1.9%
Rev Chg Q11.7%9.5%-4.7%-19.0%-1.9%-0.9%-1.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.9%2.4%-1.2%-5.0%-0.5%-0.2%-0.4%
Op Mgn LTM18.8%17.7%6.5%11.4%9.3%10.9%11.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg21.9%18.9%9.2%14.4%9.2%11.8%13.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.1%-0.6%0.4%-1.0%-0.0%-0.3%-0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM16.7%17.8%10.2%16.0%9.4%14.7%15.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg16.4%18.2%8.6%13.7%6.0%11.3%12.5%
FCF/Rev LTM7.2%11.7%7.5%10.8%7.3%12.8%9.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg7.6%13.1%5.4%9.2%3.1%8.8%8.2%

Valuation

DECATAGCOPCAROSKTTCMedian
NameDeere Caterpil.AGCO PACCAR Oshkosh Toro  
Mkt Cap126.3273.57.958.68.47.733.5
P/S2.84.20.82.00.81.71.8
P/EBIT13.422.332.817.48.517.717.6
P/E25.129.520.921.812.624.523.1
P/CFO16.923.77.712.48.611.712.1
Total Yield5.3%4.4%5.9%8.4%9.5%6.0%6.0%
Dividend Yield1.4%1.0%1.1%3.8%1.5%2.0%1.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.4%4.9%8.0%6.1%4.1%4.9%4.9%
D/E0.50.20.40.30.10.10.2
Net D/E0.40.10.30.10.10.10.1

Returns

DECATAGCOPCAROSKTTCMedian
NameDeere Caterpil.AGCO PACCAR Oshkosh Toro  
1M Rtn-4.1%4.3%-1.9%10.2%4.2%13.6%4.2%
3M Rtn-0.3%24.6%-1.6%16.9%1.4%4.2%2.8%
6M Rtn-7.1%58.1%5.3%20.8%19.7%13.2%16.4%
12M Rtn9.5%61.2%13.2%8.8%40.1%-0.4%11.4%
3Y Rtn11.5%156.1%-13.6%86.0%56.7%-26.2%34.1%
1M Excs Rtn-7.4%0.9%-5.3%6.8%0.8%10.3%0.9%
3M Excs Rtn-4.8%21.3%-7.2%13.6%-2.2%0.3%-1.0%
6M Excs Rtn-20.3%41.0%-9.7%6.9%3.5%-0.6%1.4%
12M Excs Rtn-7.3%45.0%-3.0%-8.2%24.6%-17.6%-5.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-69.0%82.9%-92.6%7.1%-21.4%-106.5%-45.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Financial services (FS)73,61270,73258,86451,62448,719
Corporate13,74513,13411,54715,05311,076
Production and precision agriculture (PPA)8,6968,7348,4147,0215,708
Construction and forestry (CF)7,1377,1396,7546,4576,322
Small agriculture and turf (SAT)4,1304,3484,4513,9593,266
Total107,320104,08790,03084,11475,091


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$467.44 
Market Cap ($ Bil)126.5 
First Trading Date06/01/1972 
Distance from 52W High-11.5% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$472.28$481.83
DMA Trendindeterminateup
Distance from DMA-1.0%-3.0%
 3M1YR
Volatility22.4%27.7%
Downside Capture3.0264.60
Upside Capture0.9064.04
Correlation (SPY)10.8%52.3%
DE Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.200.280.270.600.770.77
Up Beta0.850.340.531.000.850.82
Down Beta0.630.860.590.830.790.75
Up Capture5%12%-0%16%51%37%
Bmk +ve Days12253873141426
Stock +ve Days12253263121385
Down Capture-9%-6%9%60%78%93%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days7163062127364

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of DE With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 DESector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return11.1%20.9%19.2%71.9%8.9%6.0%-10.4%
Annualized Volatility27.6%18.8%19.5%19.3%15.3%17.1%35.0%
Sharpe Ratio0.360.870.782.690.360.18-0.12
Correlation With Other Assets 61.8%52.4%-4.6%22.7%48.0%26.8%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLI, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of DE With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 DESector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return13.8%14.0%14.9%18.7%11.7%4.8%32.6%
Annualized Volatility28.9%17.2%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.7%
Sharpe Ratio0.480.660.700.970.510.170.59
Correlation With Other Assets 62.9%47.2%7.6%26.2%39.0%21.7%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLI, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of DE With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 DESector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return21.6%13.4%14.7%14.9%6.9%5.2%69.2%
Annualized Volatility29.9%19.9%18.0%14.8%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio0.720.600.700.830.310.220.90
Correlation With Other Assets 70.6%59.0%3.1%31.6%46.2%15.4%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLI, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date12152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,613,451
Short Interest: % Change Since 113020254.9%
Average Daily Volume1,468,276
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.82
Basic Shares Quantity270,300,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.1%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/26/2025-5.7%-3.0% 
8/14/2025-6.8%-4.1%-8.4%
5/15/20253.8%3.4%2.4%
2/13/2025-2.2%4.0%0.2%
11/21/20248.0%15.1%6.8%
8/15/20246.3%7.3%12.4%
5/16/2024-4.7%-6.8%-8.7%
2/15/2024-5.2%-7.3%-0.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111212
# Negative131212
Median Positive5.3%5.8%7.5%
Median Negative-3.1%-4.5%-4.9%
Max Positive9.9%15.9%24.1%
Max Negative-14.1%-8.8%-32.7%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
103120251218202510-K 11/2/2025
7312025828202510-Q 7/27/2025
4302025529202510-Q 4/27/2025
1312025227202510-Q 1/26/2025
103120241212202410-K 10/27/2024
7312024829202410-Q 7/28/2024
4302024530202410-Q 4/28/2024
1312024229202410-Q 1/28/2024
103120231215202310-K 10/29/2023
7312023831202310-Q 7/30/2023
4302023601202310-Q 4/30/2023
1312023223202310-Q 1/29/2023
103120221215202210-K 10/30/2022
7312022901202210-Q 7/31/2022
4302022526202210-Q 5/1/2022
1312022224202210-Q 1/30/2022