Tearsheet

Diebold Nixdorf (DBD)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $67.56 | Market Cap: $2.5 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software

Diebold Nixdorf (DBD)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $67.56
Market Cap: $2.5 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Application Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 11%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
 
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 36%
  
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 11%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 36%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, Show more.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

DBD Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 15, 2025, saw Diebold Nixdorf (DBD) stock experience notable movements driven by several key factors:

1. Strong Earnings Performance and Positive Outlook: Diebold Nixdorf reported strong quarterly earnings in November 2025, with EPS of $1.39, significantly surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.66. The company's revenue was also largely in line with expectations. Analysts are forecasting a full-year EPS of approximately $4.59.

2. Share Repurchase Program: On November 5, 2025, Diebold Nixdorf's Board of Directors authorized a new share repurchase program of $200 million, allowing the company to repurchase up to 8.7% of its common stock. This initiative often signals management's belief that the stock is undervalued and can act as a catalyst for stock appreciation.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DBD Return49%57%
Peers Return35%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DBD Win Rate100%58%83% 
Peers Win Rate67%53%44% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DBD Max Drawdown-4%-14% 
Peers Max Drawdown-13%-39% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NATL, VYX, FI, FIS, ORCL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

DBD has limited trading history. Below is the Information Technology sector ETF (XLK) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLKS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-34.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven278 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-31.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven46.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven79 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven31.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven105 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-53.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven115.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1183 days1480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -34.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/27/2021. A -34.0% loss requires a 51.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Diebold Nixdorf (DBD)

Better Bets than Diebold Nixdorf (DBD)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DBD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.7%11.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.8%5.8%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.6%11.6%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.7%11.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.8%5.8%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.6%11.6%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Diebold Nixdorf

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DBDNATLVYXFIFISORCLMedian
NameDiebold .NCR Atle.NCR VoyixFiserv Fidelity.Oracle  
Mkt Price67.6838.7110.10-67.11189.9767.11
Mkt Cap2.52.91.435.135.0805.518.9
Rev LTM3,6904,3132,65321,11210,46461,0177,388
Op Inc LTM21552996,3441,74219,4901,136
FCF LTM23055-6015,1571,779-13,181142
FCF 3Y Avg-147-1104,1297862,155786
CFO LTM279205-4406,7722,63222,2961,456
CFO 3Y Avg-2861585,6401,64219,8741,642

Growth & Margins

DBDNATLVYXFIFISORCLMedian
NameDiebold .NCR Atle.NCR VoyixFiserv Fidelity.Oracle  
Rev Chg LTM-0.4%-9.6%6.7%4.2%11.1%4.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--9,716.9%7.5%6.2%9.8%8.7%
Rev Chg Q2.0%4.5%-3.4%8.0%5.7%14.2%5.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.5%1.1%-0.9%2.0%1.4%3.4%1.3%
Op Mgn LTM5.8%12.3%0.3%30.0%16.6%31.9%14.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-8.5%-895.5%26.7%16.1%30.8%16.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.7%-0.3%-0.0%0.7%-0.6%0.3%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM7.6%4.8%-16.6%32.1%25.2%36.5%16.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-6.7%3,027.9%28.4%16.0%35.5%28.4%
FCF/Rev LTM6.2%1.3%-22.7%24.4%17.0%-21.6%3.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-3.5%1,709.7%20.7%7.5%5.1%7.5%

Valuation

DBDNATLVYXFIFISORCLMedian
NameDiebold .NCR Atle.NCR VoyixFiserv Fidelity.Oracle  
Mkt Cap2.52.91.435.135.0805.518.9
P/S0.60.70.73.43.313.22.0
P/EBIT12.46.2-216.811.520.5-11.5
P/E41.122.5-36.921.0226.052.231.8
P/CFO7.514.1-3.910.513.136.111.8
Total Yield2.4%4.5%-2.7%4.8%2.9%2.6%2.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%2.4%0.7%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg---11.1%5.3%1.9%-1.9%
D/E0.41.00.80.40.4-0.4
Net D/E0.30.90.60.40.4-0.4

Returns

DBDNATLVYXFIFISORCLMedian
NameDiebold .NCR Atle.NCR VoyixFiserv Fidelity.Oracle  
1M Rtn4.0%9.5%-6.3%-5.1%-14.8%4.0%
3M Rtn14.2%-0.1%-21.1%-1.0%-34.9%-0.1%
6M Rtn32.6%43.4%-12.6%--14.4%-11.4%-11.4%
12M Rtn39.8%16.5%-31.2%--18.4%10.7%10.7%
3Y Rtn---56.4%-3.9%146.2%3.9%
1M Excs Rtn4.2%6.7%-9.3%-2.3%-16.0%2.3%
3M Excs Rtn9.6%-5.7%-24.5%--2.3%-40.2%-5.7%
6M Excs Rtn18.4%29.2%-26.9%--28.6%-25.6%-25.6%
12M Excs Rtn25.9%-0.3%-45.7%--32.2%-5.2%-5.2%
3Y Excs Rtn---129.4%--68.1%76.7%-68.1%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity849,625
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202511.6%
Average Daily Volume163,233
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.20
Basic Shares Quantity36,500,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
2/9/2023   
11/8/2022   
8/2/2022   
5/10/2022   
2/10/2022   
10/28/2021   
7/29/2021   
5/10/2021   
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive000
# Negative252525
Median Positive   
Median Negative   
Max Positive   
Max Negative   

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023530202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022316202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021311202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211028202110-Q 9/30/2021
6302021729202110-Q 6/30/2021