Cadrenal Therapeutics (CVKD)
Market Price (8/8/2026): $1.96 | Market Cap: $4.7 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Cadrenal Therapeutics (CVKD)
Market Price (8/8/2026): $1.96Market Cap: $4.7 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -49% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Geriatric Care. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -114%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -157% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -12 Mil Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -258% Key risksCVKD key risks include [1] its pre-revenue status and significant need for future financing, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -49% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Geriatric Care. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -114%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -157% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -12 Mil |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -258% |
| Key risksCVKD key risks include [1] its pre-revenue status and significant need for future financing, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Cadrenal Therapeutics (CVKD) stock has lost about 70% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Dilutive Private Placement Led to Shareholder Value Erosion. Cadrenal Therapeutics announced an "up to $8.8 million private placement priced at-the-market" around early July 2026, following a previous $2.5 million financing completed on April 1, 2026. These capital raises, while providing funding for operations and clinical development, are inherently dilutive, leading to an increase in the number of outstanding shares and consequently reducing the value of existing shares.
2. Sustained Lack of Revenue Coupled with Ongoing Cash Burn Concerns. The company consistently reported no revenue in its fiscal Q1 2026 earnings, reported on May 7, 2026, for the quarter ending March 31, 2026. Despite beating EPS estimates with a loss of -$1.04, the continued absence of a revenue stream and the necessity for recurrent financing underscore significant cash burn, raising investor concerns about the company's long-term financial stability and reliance on future capital raises that could further dilute shareholders.
Show more
Cadrenal Therapeutics (CVKD) stock has lost about 70% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Dilutive Private Placement Led to Shareholder Value Erosion. Cadrenal Therapeutics announced an "up to $8.8 million private placement priced at-the-market" around early July 2026, following a previous $2.5 million financing completed on April 1, 2026. These capital raises, while providing funding for operations and clinical development, are inherently dilutive, leading to an increase in the number of outstanding shares and consequently reducing the value of existing shares.
2. Sustained Lack of Revenue Coupled with Ongoing Cash Burn Concerns. The company consistently reported no revenue in its fiscal Q1 2026 earnings, reported on May 7, 2026, for the quarter ending March 31, 2026. Despite beating EPS estimates with a loss of -$1.04, the continued absence of a revenue stream and the necessity for recurrent financing underscore significant cash burn, raising investor concerns about the company's long-term financial stability and reliance on future capital raises that could further dilute shareholders.
3. Market Disappointment Despite Positive Clinical Data. On July 13, 2026, Cadrenal Therapeutics presented late-breaking Phase 2 data for its CAD-1005 program at the ISTH 2026 Congress, demonstrating a greater than 25% reduction in thrombotic events in Heparin-Induced Thrombocytopenia (HIT). Despite this positive clinical progress, the stock experienced a significant one-day decline of -16.26% on the day of the announcement, indicating that the market may have had higher expectations or that other financial concerns outweighed the clinical success.
4. Deteriorating Technical Indicators and Negative Analyst Sentiment. Throughout July 2026, key technical indicators for CVKD turned bearish. The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on July 13, 2026, and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turned negative on July 14, 2026, both signaling a new downward trend. Analyst sentiment also became increasingly negative, with the stock identified as a "Sell candidate" since July 6, 2026, reflecting a loss of -40.18%, and an average analyst price target for September 2026 indicating a potential -68.55% decrease from the July 31, 2026, price of $2.01.
Show less
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -70.8% change in CVKD stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/7/2026 was primarily driven by a -11.8% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 4302026 | 8072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 6.67 | 1.95 | -70.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 2 | 2 | -11.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2026 to 8/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CVKD | -70.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 7.6% | 10.2% |
| Sector (XLV) | 13.5% | 8.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -71.9% change in CVKD stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/7/2026 was primarily driven by a -15.1% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 8072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 6.95 | 1.95 | -71.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 2 | 2 | -15.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 8/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CVKD | -71.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.1% | 37.0% |
| Sector (XLV) | 7.5% | 21.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -81.3% change in CVKD stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/7/2026 was primarily driven by a -23.4% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 8072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 10.42 | 1.95 | -81.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 2 | 2 | -23.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 8/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CVKD | -81.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 23.4% | 23.0% |
| Sector (XLV) | 28.7% | 15.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -84.7% change in CVKD stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/7/2026 was primarily driven by a -67.8% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 7312023 | 8072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 12.75 | 1.95 | -84.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | � | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 1 | 2 | -67.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2023 to 8/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CVKD | -84.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 74.9% | 15.8% |
| Sector (XLV) | 29.3% | 9.6% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CVKD Return | - | - | -82% | 31% | -53% | -72% | -97% |
| Peers Return | -5% | 6% | 2% | -16% | 20% | 6% | 10% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 13% | 105% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CVKD Win Rate | - | - | 33% | 42% | 25% | 38% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 48% | 62% | 40% | 38% | 58% | 55% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CVKD Max Drawdown | - | - | - | -79% | -68% | -78% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -36% | -30% | -30% | -32% | -34% | -26% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: BMY, PFE, JNJ, IONS, RCKT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/7/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CVKD | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -13.5% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 15.6% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1 days | 18 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -58.2% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 139.0% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 67 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -39.4% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 65.0% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 114 days | 31 days |
In The Past
Cadrenal Therapeutics's stock fell -13.5% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 15.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
| Event | CVKD | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -58.2% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 139.0% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 67 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -39.4% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 65.0% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 114 days | 31 days |
In The Past
Cadrenal Therapeutics's stock fell -13.5% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 15.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Cadrenal Therapeutics (CVKD)
Cadrenal Therapeutics (CVKD) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company primarily focused on developing its lead product candidate, tecarfarin. Tecarfarin is a novel anticoagulant with an Orphan Drug Designation from the FDA, specifically designed for the prevention of systemic thromboembolism (blood clots) of cardiac origin in patients suffering from end-stage renal disease (ESRD) and atrial fibrillation (AFib). The company acquired the rights to tecarfarin in 2022 and is currently preparing to submit its Phase 3 trial design to the FDA, with plans to commence the pivotal trial in the second half of 2023, pending regulatory acceptance.
Tecarfarin operates as a vitamin K antagonist, similar to warfarin, but distinguishes itself through a unique drug design. Unlike most commonly prescribed anticoagulants, which are metabolized through the liver's CYP450 pathway, tecarfarin utilizes both CYP450 and non-CYP450 metabolic pathways. This difference is crucial for its target market, as ESRD patients and those on multiple medications often experience complications with drugs metabolized via the saturated CYP450 system. This unique metabolic profile aims to minimize drug interactions and improve safety, addressing a significant unmet medical need for ESRD and AFib patients who currently lack an FDA-approved anticoagulant specifically for their condition, and for whom existing therapies like warfarin can cause substantial harm.
The primary market for Cadrenal Therapeutics is the approximately 150,000 ESRD patients in the U.S. who also have AFib. This patient population is considered high-risk, experiencing nearly double the anticipated mortality and a five-fold increased stroke risk. The Orphan Drug Designation provides valuable benefits, including potential seven-year U.S. marketing exclusivity upon approval, aiming to offer a critical treatment option where there are currently no safe and effective approved therapies. Additionally, Cadrenal Therapeutics has licensed tecarfarin rights for several Asian markets to Lee’s Pharmaceutical Holdings Limited, which is developing the drug for other indications.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-2 brief analogies for Cadrenal Therapeutics (CVKD):
- Cadrenal Therapeutics is like **BioMarin, but focused on creating a specialized blood thinner for patients with end-stage kidney disease and irregular heartbeats.**
- They aim to be the **'Eliquis for end-stage kidney disease patients with atrial fibrillation,'** developing a tailored anticoagulant for this vulnerable group where safe options are lacking.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Tecarfarin: A novel, oral, once-daily anticoagulant, in Phase 3 development, for the prevention of systemic thromboembolism in patients with end-stage renal disease and atrial fibrillation.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Cadrenal Therapeutics (CVKD) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing its drug candidate, tecarfarin. As such, it does not currently have major customers in the traditional sense of selling an approved product to individuals, healthcare providers, or pharmacies.
However, the company has entered into a licensing agreement that can be considered a form of business-to-business relationship generating revenue or partnership. The major identified partner in this capacity is:
- Lee’s Pharmaceutical Holdings Limited (listed in Hong Kong, HKEX: 00950) - Cadrenal Therapeutics has licensed out the rights to tecarfarin for several Asian markets, including China, to Lee’s Pharmaceutical Holdings Limited. This company is developing tecarfarin as an anti-thrombotic for patients with mechanical heart valves.
AI Analysis | Feedback
AI Analysis | Feedback
Quang Pham, Chairman & Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Pham formed Cadrenal Therapeutics and has served as its Chief Executive Officer since its inception. He previously served as Chairman & CEO and co-founder of Espero BioPharma, Inc., which was the previous sponsor of the tecarfarin Investigational New Drug (IND). He also served as a consultant to HESP LLC, the assignee for Espero to Horizon Technology Finance.
Matthew Szot, Chief Financial Officer and Co-Founder
Mr. Szot has served as Cadrenal Therapeutics' Chief Financial Officer since May 2022. From March 2010 to November 2021, he served as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of S&W Seed Company, a Nasdaq-listed agricultural seed biotechnology company. Since September 2020, Mr. Szot has served on the Board of Directors and as Chairman of the Audit and Compensation Committees of INVO Bioscience, Inc., a Nasdaq-listed commercial-stage fertility company. He was also the Chief Financial Officer for Cardiff Partners, LLC, a strategic consulting company providing executive financial services to various publicly traded and privately held companies from 2007 until 2011.
James Ferguson, M.D., FACC, FAHA, Chief Medical Officer
Dr. Ferguson joined Cadrenal Therapeutics in February 2025 as Chief Medical Officer, bringing over 25 years of leadership and deep expertise in clinical development within the cardiovascular field. Before joining Cadrenal, he served as Chief Medical Officer at Matinas BioPharma. His prior experience includes serving as Head of U.S. Cardiovascular Medical Affairs at Amgen and holding several senior positions at AstraZeneca.
Jeff Cole, Chief Operating Officer
Mr. Cole brings over 25 years of experience in global pharmaceutical manufacturing and commercial operations, finance, and corporate development. Since August 2010, he has served as Principal of J. Scott Capital, LLC, a firm that provides executive and capital resources to emerging companies.
Matthew Boxer, Ph.D., MBA
Dr. Boxer has more than 18 years of experience in drug discovery, development, and corporate strategy. Prior to joining Cadrenal, Dr. Boxer co-founded Veralox Therapeutics in 2017 and served as its Chief Operating Officer, where he was responsible for corporate strategy, governance, finance, and operations.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Risk of Insufficient Funding and Going Concern Doubts
Cadrenal Therapeutics has a history of operating losses and anticipates continued substantial losses, with its independent registered public accounting firm expressing substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern. The company's current cash and offering proceeds will only fund operations for a limited time and are insufficient to fully fund the planned pivotal Phase 3 clinical trial for tecarfarin, necessitating additional capital raises for its initiation and completion.
Clinical Development and Regulatory Approval Risk for Tecarfarin
The company's success is entirely dependent on the successful completion of Phase 3 clinical trials and subsequent FDA approval of tecarfarin. There is no assurance that the FDA will accept the company's Phase 3 trial design, even if submitted using a previously proposed protocol. Although tecarfarin has Orphan Drug Designation, this status does not guarantee FDA approval or marketing exclusivity.
Intellectual Property Protection and Freedom to Operate Risk
Cadrenal Therapeutics holds two U.S. patents for tecarfarin, which are currently set to expire in 2024, although the company expects to seek extensions. Critically, the company has not yet conducted a freedom-to-operate analysis. This lack of analysis means there is no certainty that the company will not face third-party legal claims, liabilities, or litigation when developing, manufacturing, and marketing products using its tecarfarin technology.
AI Analysis | Feedback
AI Analysis | Feedback
The addressable market for Cadrenal Therapeutics' main product, tecarfarin, is approximately 150,000 patients in the U.S. This market comprises individuals with end-stage renal disease (ESRD) and atrial fibrillation (AFib).
```AI Analysis | Feedback
- Milestone Payments from Asian Licensing Agreement: Cadrenal Therapeutics has licensed the rights to tecarfarin for several Asian markets, including China, to Lee’s Pharmaceutical Holdings Limited. Lee’s Pharmaceutical is currently preparing for its Phase 2 trial of tecarfarin. As Lee's Pharmaceutical advances tecarfarin through clinical development in these territories, Cadrenal Therapeutics is expected to receive milestone payments, which would contribute to revenue growth.
- Advancement of the U.S. Phase 3 Clinical Program for Tecarfarin: The company intends to commence its pivotal Phase 3 clinical trial for tecarfarin in the second half of 2023, assuming FDA acceptance of its trial design. While not generating direct product revenue within the 2-3 year timeframe, successful initiation, patient enrollment, and positive progress in this critical trial would significantly de-risk the asset, enhance its valuation, and pave the way for eventual regulatory approval and commercialization. This progress is a fundamental driver for future revenue potential.
- New Strategic Partnerships and Licensing Agreements: Cadrenal Therapeutics has indicated a need to raise additional capital to fully fund its planned pivotal Phase 3 clinical trial. Securing new strategic partnerships or additional licensing agreements for tecarfarin in other regions or for different indications could provide upfront payments, research and development funding, and potential future royalties, thereby contributing to the company's revenue base and funding its continued development.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Cadrenal Therapeutics Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 41.66 |
| Mkt Cap | 70.8 |
| Rev LTM | 25,031 |
| Op Inc LTM | 6,915 |
| FCF LTM | 5,487 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 4,701 |
| CFO LTM | 6,386 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 6,095 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 1.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.0% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 14.8% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 5.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 26.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 20.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 23.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 20.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.2% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $1.95 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 01/20/2023 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -86.3% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $3.22 | $6.65 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -39.5% | -70.7% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 85.6% | 97.4% |
| Downside Capture | 446.30 | 381.09 |
| Upside Capture | -129.34 | 100.62 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 10.5% | 26.6% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.44 | 0.27 | 0.41 | 2.60 | 1.79 | 1.02 |
| Up Beta | 2.57 | 0.82 | 1.15 | 4.86 | 1.77 | 0.67 |
| Down Beta | 4.05 | -1.71 | -1.61 | 0.39 | 1.16 | 0.85 |
| Up Capture | -170% | -174% | -145% | 75% | 71% | 52% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 35 | 67 | 138 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 5 | 12 | 20 | 49 | 106 | 341 |
| Down Capture | 515% | 297% | 304% | 247% | 181% | 110% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 11 | 21 | 28 | 59 | 114 | 326 |
| Stock -ve Days | 16 | 30 | 41 | 74 | 142 | 393 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CVKD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CVKD | -82.3% | 97.3% | -1.32 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 28.7% | 15.5% | 1.42 | 18.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 23.3% | 12.8% | 1.36 | 27.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 28.5% | 28.4% | 0.87 | 17.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 32.9% | 19.8% | 1.32 | -0.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 14.2% | 13.8% | 0.72 | 10.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -44.2% | 42.9% | -1.23 | 12.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CVKD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CVKD | -50.3% | 100.8% | -0.52 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 6.2% | 15.0% | 0.23 | 8.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.5% | 17.2% | 0.61 | 14.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 18.6% | 18.6% | 0.81 | 9.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.2% | 19.6% | 0.31 | 2.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.3% | 18.9% | 0.02 | 7.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 8.8% | 53.0% | 0.35 | 5.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CVKD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CVKD | -29.5% | 100.8% | -0.52 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 10.1% | 16.6% | 0.49 | 8.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.4% | 17.9% | 0.73 | 14.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.1% | 16.2% | 0.61 | 9.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.4% | 18.0% | 0.33 | 2.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.8% | 20.7% | 0.20 | 7.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 58.2% | 66.2% | 0.98 | 5.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Updated 7/21/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/7/2026 | -2.4% | -13.9% | -28.0% |
| 11/10/2025 | -3.2% | -4.4% | -8.5% |
| 8/11/2025 | -0.3% | 19.3% | 21.1% |
| 5/8/2025 | -6.8% | -2.3% | -3.2% |
| 3/13/2025 | 9.4% | 11.7% | -14.0% |
| 11/7/2024 | 2.4% | 4.1% | -21.1% |
| 8/8/2024 | -0.7% | 16.4% | 13.6% |
| 3/11/2024 | -2.8% | -12.2% | -39.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 4 | 7 | 5 |
| # Negative | 7 | 4 | 6 |
| Median Positive | 3.4% | 5.3% | 13.6% |
| Median Negative | -2.8% | -8.3% | -17.6% |
| Max Positive | 9.4% | 19.3% | 31.0% |
| Max Negative | -6.8% | -13.9% | -39.0% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/7/2026 | -2.4% | -13.9% | -28.0% |
| 11/10/2025 | -3.2% | -4.4% | -8.5% |
| 8/11/2025 | -0.3% | 19.3% | 21.1% |
| 5/8/2025 | -6.8% | -2.3% | -3.2% |
| 3/13/2025 | 9.4% | 11.7% | -14.0% |
| 11/7/2024 | 2.4% | 4.1% | -21.1% |
| 8/8/2024 | -0.7% | 16.4% | 13.6% |
| 3/11/2024 | -2.8% | -12.2% | -39.0% |
| 11/9/2023 | -5.4% | 5.3% | 11.5% |
| 8/10/2023 | 4.3% | 0.1% | 31.0% |
| 5/10/2023 | 2.4% | 1.7% | 10.1% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 4 | 7 | 5 |
| # Negative | 7 | 4 | 6 |
| Median Positive | 3.4% | 5.3% | 13.6% |
| Median Negative | -2.8% | -8.3% | -17.6% |
| Max Positive | 9.4% | 19.3% | 31.0% |
| Max Negative | -6.8% | -13.9% | -39.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/07/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/31/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/10/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/11/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/13/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/11/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2022 | 01/23/2023 | 424B4 |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/07/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/31/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/10/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/11/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/13/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/11/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2022 | 01/23/2023 | 424B4 |
Insider Activity
Updated 7/1/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pham, Quang X | Chairman and CEO | Direct | Sell | 7012026 | 3.03 | 7,400 | 22,422 | 298,725 | Form |
| 2 | Pham, Quang X | Chairman, CEO and Interim CFO | Direct | Sell | 6262026 | 3.05 | 9,029 | 27,538 | 323,266 | Form |
| 3 | Pham, Quang X | Chairman, CEO and Interim CFO | Direct | Sell | 6262026 | 3.00 | 2,127 | 6,381 | 345,054 | Form |
| 4 | Pham, Quang X | Chairman, CEO and Interim CFO | Direct | Sell | 6242026 | 3.20 | 2,277 | 7,286 | 374,864 | Form |
| 5 | Pham, Quang X | Chairman, CEO and Interim CFO | Direct | Sell | 6242026 | 3.55 | 9,167 | 32,543 | 423,948 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pham, Quang X | Chairman and CEO | Direct | Sell | 7012026 | 3.03 | 7,400 | 22,422 | 298,725 | Form |
| 2 | Pham, Quang X | Chairman, CEO and Interim CFO | Direct | Sell | 6262026 | 3.05 | 9,029 | 27,538 | 323,266 | Form |
| 3 | Pham, Quang X | Chairman, CEO and Interim CFO | Direct | Sell | 6262026 | 3.00 | 2,127 | 6,381 | 345,054 | Form |
| 4 | Pham, Quang X | Chairman, CEO and Interim CFO | Direct | Sell | 6242026 | 3.20 | 2,277 | 7,286 | 374,864 | Form |
| 5 | Pham, Quang X | Chairman, CEO and Interim CFO | Direct | Sell | 6242026 | 3.55 | 9,167 | 32,543 | 423,948 | Form |
| 6 | Pham, Quang X | Chairman, CEO and Interim CFO | Direct | Sell | 6182026 | 3.16 | 513 | 1,621 | 406,341 | Form |
| 7 | Pham, Quang X | Chairman, CEO and Interim CFO | Direct | Sell | 6182026 | 3.18 | 3,613 | 11,489 | 410,544 | Form |
| 8 | Pham, Quang X | Chairman, CEO and Interim CFO | Direct | Sell | 6152026 | 3.58 | 3,666 | 13,124 | 475,120 | Form |
| 9 | Pham, Quang X | Chairman, CEO and Interim CFO | Direct | Sell | 6152026 | 3.94 | 12,996 | 51,204 | 537,341 | Form |
| 10 | Pham, Quang X | Chairman, CEO and Interim CFO | Direct | Sell | 6152026 | 4.12 | 1,462 | 6,023 | 615,433 | Form |
| 11 | Pham, Quang X | Chairman, CEO and Interim CFO | Direct | Sell | 6102026 | 4.21 | 3,500 | 14,735 | 635,032 | Form |
| 12 | Pham, Quang X | Chairman, CEO and Interim CFO | Direct | Sell | 6102026 | 4.06 | 12,992 | 52,748 | 626,616 | Form |
| 13 | Pham, Quang X | Chairman, CEO and Interim CFO | Direct | Sell | 6102026 | 4.38 | 5,893 | 25,811 | 732,910 | Form |
| 14 | Pham, Quang X | CEO and Chairman | Direct | Sell | 6052026 | 4.42 | 2,064 | 9,123 | 765,650 | Form |
| 15 | Pham, Quang X | CEO and Chairman | Direct | Sell | 6052026 | 4.41 | 3,898 | 17,190 | 773,020 | Form |
| 16 | Pham, Quang X | CEO and Chairman | Direct | Sell | 6052026 | 4.26 | 2,323 | 9,896 | 763,332 | Form |
| 17 | Pham, Quang X | CEO and Chairman | Direct | Sell | 6022026 | 4.46 | 349 | 1,557 | 809,530 | Form |
| 18 | Pham, Quang X | CEO and Chairman | Direct | Sell | 6022026 | 5.01 | 303 | 1,518 | 911,109 | Form |
| 19 | Pham, Quang X | CEO and Chairman | Direct | Sell | 5292026 | 4.93 | 2,989 | 14,736 | 898,054 | Form |
| 20 | Pham, Quang X | CEO and Chairman | Direct | Sell | 5292026 | 5.28 | 3,298 | 17,413 | 977,592 | Form |
| 21 | Pham, Quang X | CEO and Chairman | Direct | Sell | 5292026 | 5.76 | 6,476 | 37,302 | 1,085,460 | Form |
| 22 | Pham, Quang X | CEO and Chairman | Direct | Sell | 5262026 | 5.69 | 1,165 | 6,629 | 1,109,118 | Form |
| 23 | Szot, Matthew K | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 12312025 | 6.97 | 9,933 | Form | ||
| 24 | Szot, Matthew K | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 10282025 | 13.99 | 1,800 | 25,182 | 138,963 | Form |
| 25 | Pham, Quang X | CEO and Chairman | Direct | Sell | 10282025 | 13.99 | 1,315 | 18,397 | 2,743,285 | Form |
| 26 | Szot, Matthew K | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 10282025 | 13.99 | 1,800 | 25,182 | 164,145 | Form |
| 27 | Pham, Quang X | CEO and Chairman | Direct | Sell | 10282025 | 14.03 | 1,129 | 15,840 | 2,769,578 | Form |
| 28 | Szot, Matthew K | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 10142025 | 14.07 | 1,800 | 25,326 | 190,409 | Form |
| 29 | Pham, Quang X | CEO and Chairman | Direct | Sell | 10142025 | 14.15 | 1,800 | 25,470 | 2,809,242 | Form |
| 30 | Szot, Matthew K | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 10142025 | 13.99 | 1,693 | 23,685 | 214,509 | Form |
| 31 | Pham, Quang X | CEO and Chairman | Direct | Sell | 10142025 | 14.02 | 1,800 | 25,236 | 2,808,669 | Form |
| 32 | Szot, Matthew K | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 10072025 | 13.99 | 107 | 1,497 | 238,194 | Form |
| 33 | Pham, Quang X | CEO and Chairman | Direct | Sell | 10032025 | 14.13 | 500 | 7,065 | 2,856,139 | Form |
| 34 | Szot, Matthew K | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 10012025 | 13.99 | 1,700 | 23,783 | 239,691 | Form |
| 35 | Pham, Quang X | CEO and Chairman | Direct | Sell | 10012025 | 14.01 | 881 | 12,343 | 2,838,888 | Form |
| 36 | Szot, Matthew K | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 10012025 | 14.00 | 100 | 1,400 | 263,662 | Form |
| 37 | Pham, Quang X | CEO and Chairman | Direct | Sell | 10012025 | 14.01 | 419 | 5,870 | 2,851,231 | Form |
| 38 | Szot, Matthew K | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 9262025 | 14.05 | 10,900 | 153,182 | 266,073 | Form |
| 39 | Pham, Quang X | CEO and Chairman | Direct | Sell | 9262025 | 14.09 | 6,790 | 95,671 | 2,873,416 | Form |
| 40 | Szot, Matthew K | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 9262025 | 14.00 | 1,500 | 20,993 | 417,522 | Form |
| 41 | Pham, Quang X | CEO and Chairman | Direct | Sell | 9262025 | 13.99 | 2,581 | 36,108 | 2,948,015 | Form |
| 42 | Szot, Matthew K | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 8292025 | 14.00 | 400 | 5,600 | 438,662 | Form |
| 43 | Pham, Quang X | CEO and Chairman | Direct | Sell | 8292025 | 13.99 | 1,193 | 16,690 | 2,984,123 | Form |
| 44 | Szot, Matthew K | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 8292025 | 13.99 | 1,600 | 22,392 | 444,103 | Form |
| 45 | Pham, Quang X | CEO and Chairman | Direct | Sell | 8292025 | 13.99 | 3,836 | 53,666 | 3,000,813 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.