Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -46%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -135%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -162%
Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.3
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Oncology Treatments, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
  Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -38 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -537%
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -26%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -36%
3   Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 80%
4   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -417%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -420%
5   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -143%
6   Key risks
CUE key risks include [1] substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern due to a limited cash runway and recurring losses, Show more.
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -46%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Oncology Treatments, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -135%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -162%
3 Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.3
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -38 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -537%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -26%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -36%
6 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 80%
7 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -417%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -420%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -143%
9 Key risks
CUE key risks include [1] substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern due to a limited cash runway and recurring losses, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CUE Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the approximate -65.6% movement in Cue Biopharma (CUE) stock between August 31, 2025, and December 21, 2025: 1. 1. Public Offering Announcement: On December 18, 2025, Cue Biopharma announced an underwritten public offering of common stock and accompanying warrants, which caused its shares to sharply decline by 30% in after-hours trading. 2. 2. Pricing of Public Offering: Following the announcement, on December 19, 2025, Cue Biopharma's shares fell by 26.49% to $0.25 after the pricing details of the $10 million public offering were released. The offering included 35,714,286 shares of common stock (or pre-funded warrants) and warrants to purchase 17,857,143 shares at a combined public offering price of $0.28 per unit. 3.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CUE Return-21%-10%-75%-7%-59%-69%-98%
Peers Return-2%-1%80%-7%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CUE Win Rate33%50%33%50%25%42% 
Peers Win Rate53%45%48%52%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CUE Max Drawdown-38%-20%-80%-40%-83%-69% 
Peers Max Drawdown-28%-25%-20%-36% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: XNCR, JANX, AMGN, REGN, GILD. See CUE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCUES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-90.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven937.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-63.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven176.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-74.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven296.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven365 days120 days

Compare to ANIP, ALXO, SNGX, ALPS, EVMN


In The Past

Cue Biopharma's stock fell -90.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/15/2021. A -90.4% loss requires a 937.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Cue Biopharma (CUE)

Better Bets than Cue Biopharma (CUE)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CUE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.4%17.4%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.7%-6.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.9%10.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
2.7%2.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
11.4%11.4%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.4%17.4%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.7%-6.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.9%10.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
2.7%2.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
11.4%11.4%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Cue Biopharma

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CUEXNCRJANXAMGNREGNGILDMedian
NameCue Biop.Xencor Janux Th.Amgen Regenero.Gilead S. 
Mkt Price0.2715.5513.79327.38767.96124.2969.92
Mkt Cap0.01.20.9176.179.6154.540.4
Rev LTM71501035,97114,24829,0867,199
Op Inc LTM-38-137-1448,6713,80711,1511,885
FCF LTM-30-138-7111,5393,8819,1621,926
FCF 3Y Avg-36-144-559,0673,8538,8151,909
CFO LTM-30-133-7013,1265,0719,6672,521
CFO 3Y Avg-36-129-5310,3224,8489,3642,406

Growth & Margins

CUEXNCRJANXAMGNREGNGILDMedian
NameCue Biop.Xencor Janux Th.Amgen Regenero.Gilead S. 
Rev Chg LTM-25.5%38.2%-23.4%10.6%2.9%2.8%2.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg21.6%-12.7%15.1%11.2%1.4%2.3%6.8%
Rev Chg Q-35.6%18.0%2,177.9%12.4%0.9%3.0%7.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-14.3%2.2%2,177.9%3.0%0.2%0.8%1.5%
Op Mgn LTM-536.7%-91.3%-1,442.9%24.1%26.7%38.3%-33.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-802.7%-123.4%-996.2%25.4%30.0%39.2%-49.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-60.4%7.2%31,559.2%0.6%-0.9%0.9%0.8%
CFO/Rev LTM-417.5%-88.8%-704.2%36.5%35.6%33.2%-27.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-617.8%-98.4%-536.2%32.7%35.4%33.1%-32.8%
FCF/Rev LTM-420.0%-91.9%-714.0%32.1%27.2%31.5%-32.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-618.8%-109.0%-555.0%28.8%28.2%31.2%-40.4%

Valuation

CUEXNCRJANXAMGNREGNGILDMedian
NameCue Biop.Xencor Janux Th.Amgen Regenero.Gilead S. 
Mkt Cap0.01.20.9176.179.6154.540.4
P/S3.87.785.54.95.65.35.4
P/EBIT-0.7-12.0-5.915.915.314.26.7
P/E-0.7-8.8-8.425.117.419.08.3
P/CFO-0.9-8.7-12.113.415.716.06.2
Total Yield-138.4%-11.3%-11.9%6.8%6.1%7.8%-2.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%2.9%0.3%2.6%0.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-59.0%-13.1%-6.1%5.9%4.9%8.0%-0.6%
D/E0.20.10.00.30.00.20.1
Net D/E-0.5-0.3-1.10.3-0.10.1-0.2

Returns

CUEXNCRJANXAMGNREGNGILDMedian
NameCue Biop.Xencor Janux Th.Amgen Regenero.Gilead S. 
1M Rtn-50.4%-0.2%-51.8%-2.6%4.2%0.1%-1.4%
3M Rtn-60.1%51.1%-41.2%15.5%29.9%9.7%12.6%
6M Rtn-61.7%82.1%-41.6%14.9%51.1%16.1%15.5%
12M Rtn-73.4%-35.6%-75.7%28.3%10.0%38.0%-12.8%
3Y Rtn-90.0%-39.5%14.8%35.3%4.9%62.0%9.9%
1M Excs Rtn-56.7%-4.3%-55.0%-7.3%6.4%-5.2%-6.2%
3M Excs Rtn-64.0%47.6%-43.4%13.2%27.0%9.1%11.1%
6M Excs Rtn-72.5%71.5%-53.2%8.6%37.0%5.2%6.9%
12M Excs Rtn-87.7%-50.9%-89.8%14.1%-8.6%24.7%-29.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-162.0%-116.5%-68.9%-38.2%-68.1%-14.8%-68.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Developing a novel class of therapeutic biologics to selectively modulate disease-specific T cells511533
Total511533


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity441,825
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-13.3%
Average Daily Volume181,939
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.43
Basic Shares Quantity100,869,349
Short % of Basic Shares0.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/12/2025-7.2%-13.1%-30.7%
8/12/20252.6%3.3%-3.1%
3/31/2025-17.7%-31.3%-17.1%
5/9/2024-9.1%-9.1%-24.8%
3/17/2020-13.7%22.7%63.3%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121
# Negative434
Median Positive2.6%13.0%63.3%
Median Negative-11.4%-13.1%-21.0%
Max Positive2.6%22.7%63.3%
Max Negative-17.7%-31.3%-30.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251112202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025812202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024331202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241114202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023328202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022321202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021316202210-K 12/31/2021