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Janux Therapeutics (JANX)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $14.075 | Market Cap: $873.0 Mil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Janux Therapeutics (JANX)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $14.075
Market Cap: $873.0 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -64%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -3.5%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -71%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -144 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1443%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Oncology Treatments, Show more.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 152x
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -23%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -704%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -714%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11%
5   Key risks
JANX key risks include [1] the clinical trial success of its early-stage assets, Show more.
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -64%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Oncology Treatments, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -3.5%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -71%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -144 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1443%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 152x
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -23%
7 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -704%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -714%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11%
9 Key risks
JANX key risks include [1] the clinical trial success of its early-stage assets, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

JANX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Janux Therapeutics (JANX) stock moved by -37.9% for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: **1. Negative Investor Reaction to JANX007 Prostate Cancer Trial Update.** Despite Janux Therapeutics announcing an "encouraging efficacy and safety profile" from its ongoing Phase 1 clinical trial for JANX007 in metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer, the market reacted negatively to the update in early December 2025. This led to concerns among investors regarding "gaps in prostate cancer study data" and resulted in a significant stock decline.

**2. Numerous Analyst Price Target Reductions.** In December 2025, several prominent brokerage firms significantly lowered their price targets for Janux Therapeutics. Notable reductions included Cantor Fitzgerald (from $200.00 to $150.00), Wedbush (from $76.00 to $45.00), Bank of America (from $58.00 to $49.00), UBS Group (to $57.00), Barclays (from $48.00 to $29.00), Clear Street (from $80 to $32), Stifel (from $46 to $38), and HC Wainwright & Co. (from $70 to $45). This widespread lowering of targets reflected a broader reassessment of the company's valuation and future prospects.

**3. Stock Reached New 52-Week Lows.** Janux Therapeutics' stock experienced significant selling pressure, hitting a new 52-week low in December 2025. The stock traded as low as $14.85 on December 16, 2025, indicating a prevailing bearish sentiment in the market.

**4. Overall Bearish Trend and Negative Technical Signals.** The stock has been in a sustained falling trend since late October 2025, with a total price change of approximately -50.77% during this period. Various technical indicators signal a bearish outlook, further contributing to the negative stock movement.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
JANX Return-33%-19%399%-73%
Peers Return12%16%23%5%-4%23%99%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
JANX Win Rate67%50%50%42%42% 
Peers Win Rate57%55%60%52%48%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
JANX Max Drawdown-52%-56%-26%-73% 
Peers Max Drawdown-22%-7%-5%-13%-9%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: REGN, AMGN, JNJ, ABBV, MRK.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventJANXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-83.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven493.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven110 days464 days

Compare to VRTX, ACSB, AIXC, ALPS, APRI


In The Past

Janux Therapeutics's stock fell -83.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/5/2021. A -83.1% loss requires a 493.0% gain to breakeven.

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About Janux Therapeutics (JANX)

Better Bets than Janux Therapeutics (JANX)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to JANX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Janux Therapeutics

Peers to compare with:

Financials

JANXREGNAMGNJNJABBVMRKMedian
NameJanux Th.Regenero.Amgen Johnson .AbbVie Merck  
Mkt Price14.10749.79326.01210.33224.3199.18217.32
Mkt Cap0.977.7175.4506.5396.8247.5211.4
Rev LTM1014,24835,97192,14959,64464,23547,808
Op Inc LTM-1443,8078,67124,14614,36622,39111,518
FCF LTM-713,88111,53918,67919,68413,04912,294
FCF 3Y Avg-553,8539,06717,81420,01213,68511,376
CFO LTM-705,07113,12624,20420,86017,06515,096
CFO 3Y Avg-534,84810,32223,20920,96217,50613,914

Growth & Margins

JANXREGNAMGNJNJABBVMRKMedian
NameJanux Th.Regenero.Amgen Johnson .AbbVie Merck  
Rev Chg LTM-23.4%2.9%10.6%5.1%7.4%1.7%4.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg15.1%1.4%11.2%6.1%1.2%2.9%4.5%
Rev Chg Q2,177.9%0.9%12.4%6.8%9.1%3.7%7.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2,177.9%0.2%3.0%1.7%2.3%1.0%2.0%
Op Mgn LTM-1,442.9%26.7%24.1%26.2%24.1%34.9%25.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-996.2%30.0%25.4%26.4%27.0%23.7%25.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM31,559.2%-0.9%0.6%1.7%0.6%3.7%1.2%
CFO/Rev LTM-704.2%35.6%36.5%26.3%35.0%26.6%30.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-536.2%35.4%32.7%26.4%37.0%28.2%30.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-714.0%27.2%32.1%20.3%33.0%20.3%23.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-555.0%28.2%28.8%20.3%35.3%22.0%25.1%

Valuation

JANXREGNAMGNJNJABBVMRKMedian
NameJanux Th.Regenero.Amgen Johnson .AbbVie Merck  
Mkt Cap0.977.7175.4506.5396.8247.5211.4
P/S151.64.14.24.86.93.34.5
P/EBIT-10.511.213.713.890.29.112.5
P/E-14.912.721.717.8171.511.015.3
P/CFO-21.511.511.618.419.612.311.9
Total Yield-6.7%8.3%7.9%8.4%3.4%13.0%8.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.5%3.3%2.7%2.8%3.9%2.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-6.1%4.9%5.9%4.4%6.2%5.5%5.2%
D/E0.00.00.40.10.20.20.1
Net D/E-0.6-0.10.30.10.20.10.1

Returns

JANXREGNAMGNJNJABBVMRKMedian
NameJanux Th.Regenero.Amgen Johnson .AbbVie Merck  
1M Rtn-50.9%6.5%-4.6%6.1%-4.1%7.7%1.0%
3M Rtn-39.9%28.2%19.5%19.5%2.3%23.3%19.5%
6M Rtn-37.9%46.4%14.3%41.5%22.9%27.4%25.1%
12M Rtn-76.3%1.9%26.6%48.1%32.4%2.8%14.7%
3Y Rtn13.3%4.3%34.2%31.2%56.0%-0.5%22.2%
1M Excs Rtn-51.6%5.7%-5.3%5.3%-4.9%7.0%0.2%
3M Excs Rtn-43.6%24.0%17.7%20.2%0.4%21.3%18.9%
6M Excs Rtn-50.3%34.0%1.9%29.1%10.5%15.0%12.7%
12M Excs Rtn-88.0%-8.0%13.3%36.8%22.8%-9.4%2.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-70.5%-66.9%-38.8%-38.9%-17.0%-68.0%-52.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Research and development of a broad pipeline of novel immunotherapies894 
Total894 


Assets by Segment
$ Mil2024202320222021
Research and development of a broad pipeline of novel immunotherapies   16
Total   16


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7,606,181
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520256.6%
Average Daily Volume1,100,209
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.91
Basic Shares Quantity62,023,685
Short % of Basic Shares12.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/2025-7.6%-4.2%-45.1%
8/7/20251.1%10.6%9.9%
5/8/2025-3.1%-11.8%-1.6%
2/27/20252.7%-3.9%-9.1%
11/6/2024-1.2%-5.3%18.4%
8/7/20243.4%13.8%16.9%
3/8/20240.4%-0.9%0.6%
11/7/20230.9%27.0%43.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive857
# Negative7108
Median Positive3.1%10.6%9.9%
Median Negative-2.7%-6.1%-13.0%
Max Positive11.9%27.0%43.6%
Max Negative-9.5%-15.3%-45.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023308202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022310202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021318202210-K 12/31/2021