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Janux Therapeutics (JANX)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $17.13 | Market Cap: $1.1 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Janux Therapeutics (JANX)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $17.13
Market Cap: $1.1 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -64%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -47%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -144 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1443%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Oncology Treatments, Show more.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 152x
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -23%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -704%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -714%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -64%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Oncology Treatments, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -47%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -144 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1443%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 152x
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -23%
7 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -704%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -714%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

JANX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For the period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, Janux Therapeutics (JANX) experienced a stock decline of 24.7% primarily due to the market's reaction to updated Phase 1 clinical trial data for its lead drug candidate, JANX007. 1. Lower Objective Response Rate (ORR) for JANX007: Janux Therapeutics announced updated interim Phase 1 clinical data for JANX007 in metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) on December 1, 2025. The data revealed an Objective Response Rate (ORR) of 30% among evaluable patients, a decrease from a previously reported 50% in an earlier dataset.

2. Significant Stock Sell-off: Following the release of the updated clinical trial results, Janux Therapeutics' stock experienced a substantial sell-off, dropping as much as 44% to over 50% in extended trading and during the subsequent days.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
JANX Return---33%-19%399%-70%-20%
Peers Return6%-1%-7%-13%-25%2%-34%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
JANX Win Rate-67%50%50%42%40% 
Peers Win Rate29%21%25%27%15%40% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
JANX Max Drawdown---52%-56%-26%-59% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-10%-17%-24%-25%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, ACSB, AIXC, ALPS, APRI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventJANXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-83.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven493.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven110 days464 days

Compare to VRTX, ACSB, AIXC, ALPS, APRI


In The Past

Janux Therapeutics's stock fell -83.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/5/2021. A -83.1% loss requires a 493.0% gain to breakeven.

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About Janux Therapeutics (JANX)

Better Bets than Janux Therapeutics (JANX)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to JANX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Janux Therapeutics

Peers to compare with:

Financials

JANXVRTXACSBAIXCALPSAPRIMedian
NameJanux Th.Vertex P.Acesis AIxCryptoALPS Aprinoia. 
Mkt Price17.11463.13-2.541.07-9.82
Mkt Cap1.1118.4----59.7
Rev LTM1011,723-0--10
Op Inc LTM-144-92--5---92
FCF LTM-713,337--6---6
FCF 3Y Avg-552,064--10---10
CFO LTM-703,718--6---6
CFO 3Y Avg-532,419--10---10

Growth & Margins

JANXVRTXACSBAIXCALPSAPRIMedian
NameJanux Th.Vertex P.Acesis AIxCryptoALPS Aprinoia. 
Rev Chg LTM-23.4%10.3%-----6.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg15.1%10.5%----12.8%
Rev Chg Q2,177.9%11.0%----1,094.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2,177.9%2.7%----1,090.3%
Op Mgn LTM-1,442.9%-0.8%-----721.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-996.2%26.2%-----485.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM31,559.2%1.0%----15,780.1%
CFO/Rev LTM-704.2%31.7%-----336.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-536.2%23.1%-----256.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-714.0%28.5%-----342.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-555.0%19.8%-----267.6%

Valuation

JANXVRTXACSBAIXCALPSAPRIMedian
NameJanux Th.Vertex P.Acesis AIxCryptoALPS Aprinoia. 
Mkt Cap1.1118.4----59.7
P/S151.68.5----80.1
P/EBIT-10.522.4----6.0
P/E-14.927.2----6.2
P/CFO-21.526.9----2.7
Total Yield-6.7%3.7%-----1.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-6.1%2.3%-----1.9%
D/E0.00.0----0.0
Net D/E-0.6-0.0-----0.3

Returns

JANXVRTXACSBAIXCALPSAPRIMedian
NameJanux Th.Vertex P.Acesis AIxCryptoALPS Aprinoia. 
1M Rtn-37.5%8.7%-----14.4%
3M Rtn-25.7%16.8%-----4.5%
6M Rtn-31.9%3.9%-----14.0%
12M Rtn-71.4%1.3%-----35.0%
3Y Rtn25.5%44.1%----34.8%
1M Excs Rtn-37.5%8.7%-----14.4%
3M Excs Rtn-33.9%11.3%-----11.3%
6M Excs Rtn-46.6%-10.8%-----28.7%
12M Excs Rtn-75.7%-14.6%-----45.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-47.4%-25.9%-----36.6%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7,131,951
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120252.7%
Average Daily Volume1,042,069
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.84
Basic Shares Quantity62,023,685
Short % of Basic Shares11.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023308202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022310202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021318202210-K 12/31/2021