Tearsheet

American Vanguard (AVD)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $4.6 | Market Cap: $130.4 Mil
Sector: Materials | Industry: Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals

American Vanguard (AVD)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $4.6
Market Cap: $130.4 Mil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 10.0%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -101%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -152%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -35 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -6.7%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Food Security & Sustainable Agriculture, Advanced Materials, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Crop Protection & Enhancement, Show more.
  Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 175%
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.2%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -116%
0 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 10.0%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Food Security & Sustainable Agriculture, Advanced Materials, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Crop Protection & Enhancement, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -101%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -152%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -35 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -6.7%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 175%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.2%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -116%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AVD Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the -14.4% stock movement for American Vanguard (AVD) from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Lowered Full-Year 2025 Net Sales Forecast. The company revised its full-year 2025 net sales forecast downwards to between $520 million and $535 million, citing challenging market conditions primarily in Mexico, Central America, and Australia.

2. Earnings Per Share (EPS) Miss. American Vanguard reported an EPS of $(0.43) for the third quarter of 2025, which did not meet the consensus forecast of -$0.08. This miss led to an immediate pre-market stock price decrease of 7.06% following the earnings release on November 10, 2025.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AVD Return-20%6%33%-49%-58%-3%-76%
Peers Return6%49%6%-22%-3%-1%27%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AVD Win Rate42%42%42%50%25%40% 
Peers Win Rate53%60%55%40%52%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AVD Max Drawdown-40%-8%-13%-61%-60%-27% 
Peers Max Drawdown-49%-6%-13%-36%-17%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CF, FMC, IPI, CTVA, NTR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAVDS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-67.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven207.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-40.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven68.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven336 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-46.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven86.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1014 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-65.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven186.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven850 days1480 days

Compare to CF, FMC, IPI, CTVA, NTR


In The Past

American Vanguard's stock fell -67.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/2/2022. A -67.4% loss requires a 207.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About American Vanguard (AVD)

Better Bets than American Vanguard (AVD)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AVD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for American Vanguard

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AVDCFFMCIPICTVANTRMedian
NameAmerican.CF Indus.FMC Intrepid.Corteva Nutrien  
Mkt Price4.6279.2913.6025.8065.3060.0742.94
Mkt Cap0.112.81.70.344.329.27.2
Rev LTM5296,7363,60827817,46926,6245,172
Op Inc LTM-352,09743372,7163,5781,265
FCF LTM111,710-409282,6692,132869
FCF 3Y Avg-131,574-4091,4212,449715
CFO LTM132,633-318543,2194,1531,344
CFO 3Y Avg-32,60962611,9904,7891,026

Growth & Margins

AVDCFFMCIPICTVANTRMedian
NameAmerican.CF Indus.FMC Intrepid.Corteva Nutrien  
Rev Chg LTM-9.6%12.6%-13.4%8.9%5.0%0.3%2.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-4.2%-13.5%-13.6%-6.1%0.8%-10.6%-8.3%
Rev Chg Q0.9%21.1%-49.1%-7.5%12.6%12.3%6.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.2%4.5%-12.7%-1.5%1.7%2.5%1.0%
Op Mgn LTM-6.7%31.1%12.0%2.5%15.5%13.4%12.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg0.4%33.2%15.4%1.6%13.0%13.7%13.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.2%1.9%-4.8%0.9%0.9%2.0%1.0%
CFO/Rev LTM2.5%39.1%-8.8%19.6%18.4%15.6%17.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-0.5%38.5%1.2%22.3%11.6%17.0%14.3%
FCF/Rev LTM2.1%25.4%-11.3%10.0%15.3%8.0%9.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-2.2%22.3%-1.2%3.7%8.3%8.7%6.0%

Valuation

AVDCFFMCIPICTVANTRMedian
NameAmerican.CF Indus.FMC Intrepid.Corteva Nutrien  
Mkt Cap0.112.81.70.344.329.27.2
P/S0.22.11.21.42.61.11.3
P/EBIT-1.16.51,913.81,515.218.48.813.6
P/E-0.910.5-7.9-2.028.615.84.8
P/CFO8.35.5-13.37.314.36.97.1
Total Yield-112.2%11.9%-9.2%-49.0%3.7%10.1%-2.7%
Dividend Yield0.8%2.3%3.5%0.0%0.3%3.7%1.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-1.6%10.1%-2.1%2.3%3.2%9.0%2.8%
D/E1.90.21.10.00.10.50.4
Net D/E1.70.11.0-0.20.00.50.3

Returns

AVDCFFMCIPICTVANTRMedian
NameAmerican.CF Indus.FMC Intrepid.Corteva Nutrien  
1M Rtn-1.1%-5.5%-4.2%-1.8%5.5%10.2%-1.4%
3M Rtn-14.4%-5.9%-62.7%-12.3%-9.6%6.8%-10.9%
6M Rtn-0.9%-12.4%-66.8%-32.1%-8.0%1.5%-10.2%
12M Rtn-24.4%-13.7%-75.8%-7.0%6.4%28.4%-10.4%
3Y Rtn-79.8%-18.6%-88.6%-29.0%0.3%-14.3%-23.8%
1M Excs Rtn-1.0%-5.5%-4.1%-1.8%5.5%10.2%-1.4%
3M Excs Rtn-20.4%-10.6%-68.2%-17.3%-15.2%1.1%-16.3%
6M Excs Rtn-15.6%-27.2%-81.5%-46.8%-22.8%-13.2%-25.0%
12M Excs Rtn-36.7%-23.0%-89.2%-18.4%-7.3%20.7%-20.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-151.7%-91.4%-160.8%-99.9%-68.8%-88.0%-95.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Developing, manufacturing and distributing chemical, biological and biorational products for579610   
Single Segment  558459468
Total579610558459468


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Developing, manufacturing and distributing chemical, biological and biorational products for827   
Total827   


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity596,756
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202521.8%
Average Daily Volume186,761
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.20
Basic Shares Quantity28,345,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025606202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024529202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023328202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022316202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021314202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211108202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Kaye DouglasCHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER6122025Buy4.672,0009,3401,356,453Form
1Eilers PeterSee Remarks12162024Sell5.353,00016,050204,247Form