Contango Silver & Gold (CTGO)
Market Price (5/11/2026): $27.06 | Market Cap: $408.0 MilSector: Materials | Industry: Gold
Contango Silver & Gold (CTGO)
Market Price (5/11/2026): $27.06Market Cap: $408.0 MilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Gold
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 6.2% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Resource Exploration & Development. Themes include Gold Mine Development. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -2.5%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -89% Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -20 Mil Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -13% Key risksCTGO key risks include [1] permitting delays for its Johnson Tract project, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 6.2% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Resource Exploration & Development. Themes include Gold Mine Development. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -2.5%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -89% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -20 Mil |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -13% |
| Key risksCTGO key risks include [1] permitting delays for its Johnson Tract project, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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1. Contango Silver & Gold (CTGO) reported a significant earnings miss for Q4 2025, which was disclosed on March 16, 2026.
The company posted an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $-1.81, missing analyst estimates of $0.58 by 4.12%. This marked the second consecutive quarter that Contango Silver & Gold missed its EPS estimates, contributing to negative investor sentiment.
2. The company issued increased All-in Sustaining Costs (AISC) guidance for 2026 and analysts pushed back the breakeven date.
Management confirmed that the projected All-in Sustaining Costs (AISC) for 2026 would be between $2,200 and $2,300 per ounce, a notable increase from the $1,616 per ounce recorded in 2025. This rise was primarily attributed to mine plan sequencing, including increased pre-stripping activities. Concurrently, analysts adjusted their forecasts, pushing back the expected breakeven date for the company from 2026 to 2027, signaling delayed profitability.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -4.1% change in CTGO stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/10/2026 was primarily driven by a -17.9% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 28.35 | 27.19 | -4.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 12 | 15 | -17.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CTGO | -4.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.6% | 55.6% |
| Sector (XLB) | 5.2% | 59.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 26.7% change in CTGO stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 21.46 | 27.19 | 26.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 12 | 15 | -19.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CTGO | 26.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 5.5% | 40.6% |
| Sector (XLB) | 21.6% | 46.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 93.4% change in CTGO stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 14.06 | 27.19 | 93.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 12 | 15 | -18.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CTGO | 93.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 30.4% | 27.1% |
| Sector (XLB) | 25.4% | 35.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -9.1% change in CTGO stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/10/2026 was primarily driven by a -52.9% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 4302023 | 5102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 29.90 | 27.19 | -9.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 7 | 15 | -52.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CTGO | -9.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 78.7% | 20.9% |
| Sector (XLB) | 35.9% | 27.5% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CTGO Return | 220% | -10% | -21% | -45% | 164% | -7% | 208% |
| Peers Return | -25% | -19% | -14% | 12% | 217% | 17% | 117% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 7% | 95% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CTGO Win Rate | 8% | 58% | 42% | 50% | 75% | 80% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 37% | 48% | 47% | 48% | 70% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CTGO Max Drawdown | 0% | -17% | -27% | -45% | -10% | -37% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -34% | -39% | -34% | -35% | -6% | -7% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: HL, CDE, PAAS, AG, SSRM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/8/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CTGO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -10.4% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 11.7% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 14 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -11.2% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 12.7% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 9 days | 18 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -17.4% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 21.0% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 45 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -46.7% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 87.5% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 603 days | 140 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -10.7% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 12.0% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3 days | 123 days |
In The Past
Contango Silver & Gold's stock fell -10.4% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 11.7% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | CTGO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -46.7% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 87.5% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 603 days | 140 days |
In The Past
Contango Silver & Gold's stock fell -10.4% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 11.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Contango Silver & Gold (CTGO)
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It's the 'seed stage' of a gold and silver mining company, aspiring to become a major producer like Newmont or Barrick Gold.
Think of them as the 'geological prospecting team' of a major diversified miner like Rio Tinto or BHP, but operating as a standalone company focused solely on discovery.
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- Gold Exploration: Identifying and assessing potential gold deposits and associated minerals for future development.
- Silver Exploration: Discovering and evaluating potential silver deposits for future extraction.
- Copper Exploration: Locating and appraising potential copper deposits for future mining operations.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Based on the provided company description, Contango Ore, Inc. (CTGO) is an "exploration stage company." This means its primary activities involve exploring for mineral deposits (gold, silver, copper) and developing its mining claims, rather than actively producing and selling minerals. As an exploration-stage company, it does not have major customers for products or services in the traditional sense.
Should the company advance its projects to a production stage, its potential customers would typically be refiners, smelters, or metal traders. Alternatively, as an exploration company, it might sell its developed mineral properties or enter into joint ventures with larger mining companies, in which case those companies would be its strategic partners or buyers of its assets, rather than traditional customers.
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Rick Van Nieuwenhuyse, President, Chief Executive Officer, and DirectorMr. Van Nieuwenhuyse was appointed President, Chief Executive Officer, and director of Contango Ore, Inc. effective January 6, 2020. He previously served as President and Chief Executive Officer of Trilogy Metals Inc. from January 2012 until December 2019. From May 1999 to January 2012, he was the President and Chief Executive Officer of NOVAGOLD, Inc., a company he founded. He has over 40 years of experience in the minerals mining industry and was involved in the discovery and advancement of two of Alaska's largest gold and copper discoveries, including the Donlin Gold project and the Arctic and Bornite polymetallic deposits.
Michael Clark, Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, Corporate Secretary and Principal Accounting Officer
Mr. Clark was appointed Executive Vice President - Finance of Contango Ore, Inc. effective July 11, 2023, and then Chief Financial Officer & Corporate Secretary effective January 1, 2024. Prior to joining Contango Ore, Inc., he served as Chief Financial Officer and Corporate Secretary for Alexco Resource Corp. from December 2014 to September 2022, a company that was acquired by Hecla Mining Company. He also held the position of Chief Financial Officer for Goldgroup Mining Inc. between 2010 and 2014, and for the Grosso Group and its member companies from 2007 to 2010.
Darwin Green, Director
Mr. Green served as Director, President, and Chief Executive Officer of HighGold Mining Inc. from August 2019 until its acquisition by Contango ORE in July 2024. He was a founder of HighGold and Onyx Gold, both publicly traded companies focused on mineral exploration and mine development in North America.
Dave Larimer, Exploration Manager
Mr. Larimer brings over 20 years of experience in executing exploration programs. His prior roles include Chief Exploration Geologist for the Pogo Gold Mine and Principal Geologist Exploration for Teck Resources Vancouver Head Office. He possesses extensive expertise in operating exploration activities in Alaska.
Derek Meneghin, Director of Finance
Mr. Meneghin assumed the role of Director of Finance for Contango Ore in October 2023, bringing a background in the mining and exploration sector. He has experience across various stages of mine life, including exploration, permitting, construction, and operations. Previously, he was the Site Controller for the Keno Hill Mine at Hecla Mining.
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Key Risks for Contango Silver & Gold (CTGO)
1. Exploration Success and Resource Definition: As an exploration stage company, Contango Silver & Gold's primary business activity is the identification and delineation of commercially viable mineral deposits. There is an inherent risk that their exploration efforts may not result in the discovery of economically extractable gold, silver, copper, or associated minerals. Failure to establish proven and probable reserves would significantly impair the company's long-term viability.
2. Capital Requirements and Financing: The exploration and potential development of mining projects are capital-intensive endeavors. Contango Silver & Gold will require substantial capital to continue its exploration programs and, if successful, to advance any discoveries through development and into production. There is a risk that the company may not be able to obtain necessary financing on favorable terms or at all, which could impede its ability to fund operations and achieve its business objectives.
3. Commodity Price Fluctuations: The economic viability and profitability of Contango Silver & Gold's potential projects are highly dependent on the market prices of gold, silver, and copper. These commodity prices are subject to significant volatility influenced by factors such as global economic conditions, supply and demand, currency fluctuations, and geopolitical events. Sustained low commodity prices could render potential mineral deposits uneconomical to extract, negatively impacting the company's financial performance and project valuations.
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Addressable Markets for Contango Silver & Gold (CTGO)
Gold
- The global gold market was valued at approximately USD 291.68 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 400 billion by the end of 2030, with a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 6.51% from 2025 to 2030.
- Another estimate for the global gold precious metal market size shows a valuation of US$ 354,004.4 million in 2024, expected to grow to US$ 594,021.5 million by 2030 at a CAGR of 8.9% from 2024 to 2030.
- The global gold market size in terms of volume stood at 4,890.0 Tons in 2025 and is expected to grow to 7,424.4 Tons by 2034.
- In North America, the gold market recorded a size of USD 23.22 billion in 2025, accounting for 7.50% of the global market share, and is projected to reach USD 24.24 billion in 2026. The U.S. market alone is likely to reach 343.7 tons in 2026.
Silver
- The global silver market size was valued at USD 87.12 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow from USD 95.20 billion in 2025 to USD 202.07 billion by 2033, exhibiting a CAGR of 9.86% during the forecast period (2025-2033).
- In terms of volume, the global silver market size is expected to grow from 37.78 kilotons in 2025 to 39.53 kilotons in 2026 and is forecast to reach 49.54 kilotons by 2031 at a 4.62% CAGR over 2026-2031.
- The U.S. silver market is influenced by steady production and a strong industrial demand, particularly in electronics and solar panels. The U.S. silver market is projected to grow at a 3.19% CAGR from 2025 to 2035. In 2025, the electronics sector is estimated to account for approximately 30% of silver consumption in the U.S., while the jewelry sector is projected to account for around 25%.
Copper
- The global copper market size was estimated at USD 241.88 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 339.95 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 6.5% from 2025 to 2030.
- Another assessment values the global copper market size at USD 349.14 billion in 2025, with an expectation to reach approximately USD 573.24 billion by 2035, expanding at a CAGR of 5.08% from 2026 to 2035.
- The U.S. copper market size was estimated at USD 14.39 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 19.68 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 6.0% from 2025 to 2030.
- In 2024, the U.S. accounted for 5.9% of the global copper market in terms of revenue. The U.S. copper market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 6% from 2025 to 2030, reaching a projected revenue of US$ 19,684.9 million by 2030.
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Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Contango Silver & Gold (CTGO) over the next 2-3 years:
- Increased Gold Production from the Manh Choh Mine: Contango Silver & Gold (formerly Contango ORE, Inc.) anticipates significant revenue growth from its 30% interest in the Manh Choh gold mine, operated in partnership with Kinross. The mine began production in Q3 2024 and produced approximately 60,200 gold equivalent ounces (GEO) for Contango's share in FY 2025. This is projected to increase to an estimated 75,000 to 80,000 ounces of gold for Contango's account in FY 2027. The Manh Choh project is characterized by its high-grade gold deposit, which is expected to contribute to strong profitability.
- Advancement and Potential Production from the Johnson Tract Project: The company is actively progressing its Johnson Tract project, which has demonstrated favorable economics through an S-K 1300 Technical Report Summary Initial Assessment. Permitting is currently underway to establish underground access for feasibility-level mine planning. Contango's objective for Johnson Tract is to define 400,000 to 500,000 GEO over the next two years and to develop a mine capable of producing 40,000 to 50,000 GEO annually. The project's permitting timetable was officially placed on the FAST-41 Dashboard in January 2026.
- Advancement and Potential Production from the Lucky Shot Project: Contango Silver & Gold initiated an underground drilling program at its Lucky Shot project in Q4 2025. The company aims for an annual production target of 40,000 to 50,000 ounces from this project, with a production decision expected in 2027. The Lucky Shot project consists of mineral rights to approximately 8,600 acres of State of Alaska and patented mining claims.
- Integration and Development of Dolly Varden Silver Assets: A significant driver of future revenue growth is the recent merger with Dolly Varden Silver Corporation, completed in March 2026. This merger transformed the entity into Contango Silver & Gold Inc., creating a North American mid-tier precious metals producer. The integration brings Dolly Varden's high-grade Kitsault Valley silver-gold project in British Columbia's Golden Triangle into Contango's portfolio, offering exposure to additional high-grade silver and gold assets and significant exploration upside.
- Favorable Precious Metals Prices: While an external factor, a sustained increase in gold and silver prices is a crucial driver for revenue growth. Contango Silver & Gold has been actively reducing its gold hedge contracts, indicating a strategy to increase its exposure to potentially rising commodity prices. The company has utilized an estimated gold price of $3,700 per ounce for its FY 2027 cash distribution estimates, suggesting a positive outlook on future gold values. Higher commodity prices directly translate to increased revenue for the company's precious metals production.
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Share Issuance
- In March 2026, stockholders approved the issuance of Contango shares to Dolly Varden shareholders as part of an acquisition, at an exchange ratio of 0.1652 Contango shares for each Dolly Varden share. Shareholders also approved increasing authorized common shares from 45 million to 250 million.
- In February 2026, Contango Silver & Gold (then Contango Ore, Inc.) completed an underwritten offering, generating approximately $50 million in gross proceeds from the sale of 1,678,206 shares of common stock at $24.96 per share and pre-funded warrants to purchase 325,000 shares at $24.95 per pre-funded warrant.
- On September 25, 2025, the company raised gross proceeds of $50 million through the issuance of 1,975,000 shares of common stock and pre-funded warrants to purchase up to 525,000 shares, at a public offering price of $20.00 per share and $19.99 per pre-funded warrant, respectively.
Inbound Investments
- The merger with Dolly Varden Silver Corporation, completed in March 2026, is expected to significantly boost the company's financial strength, with consolidated cash projected to surpass $100 million post-merger due to cash brought in by Dolly Varden.
Outbound Investments
- Contango Silver & Gold completed the acquisition of Dolly Varden Silver Corporation in March 2026, a strategic investment to enhance its precious metals portfolio.
Capital Expenditures
- In 2021, the Peak Gold Joint Venture, in which Contango holds a 30% interest, spent approximately $15.8 million on a drilling program for the Manh Choh Project, primarily focused on in-fill drilling to support a detailed mine plan and feasibility study.
- Contango Silver & Gold invested $35,000 in capital expenditures in Q3 2024.
- For 2026, capital expenditures are anticipated to increase All-in Sustaining Costs (AISC) due to pre-stripping activities as operations transition from the North Pit to the South Pit at the Manh Choh mine, with a $5 million exploration budget allocated for near-mine exploration to extend the mine life.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Contango Ore Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| Would You Still Hold Contango Ore Stock If It Fell 30%? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
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Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 24.52 |
| Mkt Cap | 11.6 |
| Rev LTM | 1,734 |
| Op Inc LTM | 703 |
| FCF LTM | 424 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 150 |
| CFO LTM | 688 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 368 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 75.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 38.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 100.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 16.3% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 265.5% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 376.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 37.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 19.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 5.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 41.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 26.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 29.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 11.6 |
| P/S | 6.2 |
| P/Op Inc | 14.3 |
| P/EBIT | 13.6 |
| P/E | 25.1 |
| P/CFO | 15.5 |
| Total Yield | 2.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 0.0% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.9% |
| 3M Rtn | -0.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 52.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 165.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 248.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -5.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -6.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 55.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 183.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 137.0% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $27.19 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.4 | |
| First Trading Date | 12/20/2010 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -17.9% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $22.72 | $24.16 |
| DMA Trend | up | down |
| Distance from DMA | 19.7% | 12.5% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 76.7% | 64.3% |
| Downside Capture | 1.00 | 0.71 |
| Upside Capture | 159.42 | 180.61 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 53.6% | 28.7% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 4.09 | 3.05 | 2.83 | 2.02 | 1.37 | 0.92 |
| Up Beta | 4.12 | 4.21 | 4.06 | 2.57 | 1.39 | 1.24 |
| Down Beta | 25.48 | 1.36 | 2.22 | 0.89 | 0.71 | 0.86 |
| Up Capture | 317% | 187% | 169% | 280% | 228% | 27% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 13 | 18 | 30 | 69 | 132 | 386 |
| Down Capture | 675% | 355% | 282% | 183% | 137% | 95% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 9 | 25 | 34 | 56 | 118 | 361 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CTGO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CTGO | 98.6% | 64.4% | 1.32 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 26.5% | 16.6% | 1.24 | 36.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 29.0% | 12.5% | 1.83 | 28.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 39.8% | 27.0% | 1.22 | 55.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 50.6% | 18.0% | 2.21 | 6.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.0% | 13.5% | 0.66 | 19.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -17.4% | 42.1% | -0.34 | 25.0% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CTGO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CTGO | 6.4% | 61.2% | 0.38 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 6.2% | 18.9% | 0.23 | 20.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.8% | 17.1% | 0.59 | 14.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.9% | 17.9% | 0.95 | 33.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 13.8% | 19.1% | 0.59 | 8.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.4% | 18.8% | 0.08 | 11.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 7.0% | 56.0% | 0.34 | 10.3% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CTGO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CTGO | -4.5% | 64.1% | 0.10 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 10.4% | 20.6% | 0.45 | 24.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.1% | 17.9% | 0.72 | 19.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.4% | 15.9% | 0.69 | 32.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.3% | 17.8% | 0.44 | 11.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.8% | 20.7% | 0.24 | 17.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.8% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 17.6% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 3/16/2026 | -6.5% | -24.7% | 9.2% |
| 11/14/2025 | 2.9% | -4.8% | 24.3% |
| 8/14/2025 | -0.3% | -5.6% | 8.7% |
| 3/17/2025 | 12.3% | 1.7% | 30.0% |
| 11/14/2024 | -0.8% | 4.4% | -36.6% |
| 8/16/2024 | 4.6% | 4.3% | -0.3% |
| 3/14/2024 | 12.3% | -3.3% | 1.0% |
| 11/15/2023 | 1.9% | 14.0% | -11.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 10 | 12 |
| # Negative | 5 | 8 | 6 |
| Median Positive | 1.9% | 1.4% | 8.9% |
| Median Negative | -1.3% | -5.8% | -6.9% |
| Max Positive | 16.4% | 21.9% | 233.7% |
| Max Negative | -6.5% | -24.7% | -36.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 03/16/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/14/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/17/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/13/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/14/2024 | 10-KT |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 09/13/2023 | 10-K |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/11/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/06/2023 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/31/2022 | 10-K |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/11/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/16/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Gold oz production guidance | 40,000 | 42,500 | 45,000 | 21.4% | Raised | Guidance: 35,000 for 2026 | |
| 2027 Gold oz production guidance | 75,000 | 77,500 | 80,000 | ||||
| 2026 Cash costs on a by-product basis, per oz | 1,900 | 1,950 | 2,000 | ||||
| 2027 Cash costs on a by-product basis, per oz | 1,200 | 1,250 | 1,300 | ||||
| 2026 Cash distributions from Peak Gold JV | 48.00 Mil | 51.00 Mil | 54.00 Mil | ||||
| 2027 Cash distributions from Peak Gold JV | 165.00 Mil | 170.00 Mil | 175.00 Mil | ||||
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/14/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q4 2025 Gold Production | 6,000 | 7,000 | 8,000 | -53.3% | Lower New | Actual: 15,000 for Q3 2025 | |
| 2025 Gold Production | 60,000 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 60,000 for 2025 | |||
| 2026 Gold Production | 30,000 | 35,000 | 40,000 | ||||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nauman, Clynton R | Direct | Buy | 4072026 | 18.56 | 10,000 | 185,600 | 455,648 | Form | |
| 2 | Clark, Michael Aaron | CFO & Secretary | Direct | Sell | 3202026 | 17.92 | 10,075 | 180,544 | 713,180 | Form |
| 3 | Larimer, David Gregory | VP Exploration | Direct | Sell | 3202026 | 17.92 | 2,775 | 49,728 | 229,251 | Form |
| 4 | Van, Nieuwenhuyse Rick | President & CEO | Direct | Sell | 3202026 | 17.92 | 21,621 | 387,448 | 9,267,149 | Form |
| 5 | Clark, Michael Aaron | CFO & Secretary | Direct | Sell | 1092026 | 26.00 | 10,097 | 262,522 | 1,296,698 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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