Capital Southwest (CSWC)
Market Price (11/6/2026): $23.3 | Market Cap: $1.5 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
Capital Southwest (CSWC)
Market Price (11/6/2026): $23.3Market Cap: $1.5 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 18%, Dividend Yield is 11%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 12% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 19% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Equity, and Private Credit. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -13%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -32% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 90% Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 10x Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -8.6% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -300%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -300% Key risksCSWC key risks include [1] credit risk from its heavy exposure to lower middle-market companies. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 18%, Dividend Yield is 11%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 12% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 19% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Equity, and Private Credit. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -13%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -32% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 90% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 10x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -8.6% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -300%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -300% |
| Key risksCSWC key risks include [1] credit risk from its heavy exposure to lower middle-market companies. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Capital Southwest (CSWC) stock has remained largely at the same level since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Mixed Fiscal Q1 and Q2 2027 Earnings Results.
Capital Southwest reported mixed financial results during the period. For fiscal Q1 2027 (ended June 30, 2026), the company's earnings per share (EPS) of $0.58 exceeded analysts' consensus estimates of $0.56, but revenue of $61.05 million fell slightly below the $61.22 million consensus. Similarly, for fiscal Q2 2027 (ended September 30, 2026), Capital Southwest reported Net Investment Income (NII) of $0.56 per share, surpassing expectations by $0.04, and revenue of $67.16 million, which beat analyst estimates by 2.3%. However, GAAP EPS for Q2 2027 was $0.33, missing the consensus estimate of $0.57 by $0.24. This combination of beats and misses across key metrics likely resulted in a balanced market reaction, contributing to the stock's relatively stable price.
2. Consistent but High Dividend Payout with Sustainability Questions.
Capital Southwest maintained its attractive dividend policy, declaring a regular quarterly dividend of $0.58 per share and a supplemental dividend of $0.06 per share for both the quarter ending September 30, 2026, and the quarter ending December 31, 2026, totaling $0.64 per share each quarter. This translates to a high forward dividend yield of approximately 10.0% to 11.13%. While the high yield supports the stock's valuation, the reported dividend payout ratio of around 126% to 128.18% raises concerns about its long-term sustainability, which may temper significant capital appreciation despite the appealing income stream.
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Capital Southwest (CSWC) stock has remained largely at the same level since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Mixed Fiscal Q1 and Q2 2027 Earnings Results.
Capital Southwest reported mixed financial results during the period. For fiscal Q1 2027 (ended June 30, 2026), the company's earnings per share (EPS) of $0.58 exceeded analysts' consensus estimates of $0.56, but revenue of $61.05 million fell slightly below the $61.22 million consensus. Similarly, for fiscal Q2 2027 (ended September 30, 2026), Capital Southwest reported Net Investment Income (NII) of $0.56 per share, surpassing expectations by $0.04, and revenue of $67.16 million, which beat analyst estimates by 2.3%. However, GAAP EPS for Q2 2027 was $0.33, missing the consensus estimate of $0.57 by $0.24. This combination of beats and misses across key metrics likely resulted in a balanced market reaction, contributing to the stock's relatively stable price.
2. Consistent but High Dividend Payout with Sustainability Questions.
Capital Southwest maintained its attractive dividend policy, declaring a regular quarterly dividend of $0.58 per share and a supplemental dividend of $0.06 per share for both the quarter ending September 30, 2026, and the quarter ending December 31, 2026, totaling $0.64 per share each quarter. This translates to a high forward dividend yield of approximately 10.0% to 11.13%. While the high yield supports the stock's valuation, the reported dividend payout ratio of around 126% to 128.18% raises concerns about its long-term sustainability, which may temper significant capital appreciation despite the appealing income stream.
3. Strategic Capital Structure Enhancements and Investment Activities.
During the period, Capital Southwest actively managed its capital structure and continued investment. In September 2026, the company successfully increased its Corporate Credit Facility to $595 million and extended its maturity to September 2031. Additionally, it completed a public offering of $350 million in 6.750% Notes due 2031, enhancing its funding capacity. The company also received SBA approval to increase the leverage commitment for Capital Southwest SBIC II, LP from $175 million to $250 million. Concurrently, CSWC sold 2,732,562 shares of common stock under its Equity ATM Program at a weighted-average price of $24.50 per share, generating $67.0 million in gross proceeds during fiscal Q2 2027. These activities demonstrate efforts to secure capital for future growth but the issuance of new shares through the ATM program can lead to some dilution, balancing out potential upward price movement.
4. Analyst Consensus for "Moderate Buy" with Limited Price Target Upside.
Analyst ratings for Capital Southwest generally reflected a "Buy" or "Moderate Buy" consensus throughout the period. The average 12-month price target ranged from approximately $24.10 to $25.08. Given that the stock traded around $23.17 to $23.43 at the close of October 2026 and November 2026 respectively, these price targets suggest a modest upside potential of 8-12%. This limited projected upside, coupled with the existing high dividend yield, likely encouraged investors focused on income rather than aggressive capital gains, thus contributing to the stock largely maintaining its level.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 1.3% change in CSWC stock from 7/31/2026 to 11/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 14.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 7312026 | 11052026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 22.97 | 23.27 | 1.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 151 | 142 | -5.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 74.7% | 74.8% | 0.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 12.1 | 13.9 | 14.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 60 | 64 | -6.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 1.3% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2026 to 11/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CSWC | 1.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | -1.9% | 50.9% |
| Sector (XLF) | 1.0% | 49.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 2.3% change in CSWC stock from 4/30/2026 to 11/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 9.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302026 | 11052026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 22.75 | 23.27 | 2.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 150 | 142 | -4.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 68.9% | 74.8% | 8.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 12.7 | 13.9 | 9.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 58 | 64 | -9.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 2.3% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2026 to 11/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CSWC | 2.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 2.3% | 42.2% |
| Sector (XLF) | 10.7% | 41.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 27.9% change in CSWC stock from 10/31/2025 to 11/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 19.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 11052026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 18.19 | 23.27 | 27.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 123 | 142 | 15.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 67.6% | 74.8% | 10.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 11.7 | 13.9 | 19.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 54 | 64 | -15.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 27.9% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 11/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CSWC | 27.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.4% | 46.1% |
| Sector (XLF) | 11.1% | 46.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 50.9% change in CSWC stock from 10/31/2023 to 11/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 53.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312023 | 11052026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 15.42 | 23.27 | 50.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 94 | 142 | 52.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 72.1% | 74.8% | 3.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 9.1 | 13.9 | 53.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 40 | 64 | -37.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 50.9% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2023 to 11/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CSWC | 50.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 81.3% | 53.2% |
| Sector (XLF) | 85.5% | 53.0% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CSWC Return | 57% | -24% | 56% | 2% | 14% | 15% | 149% |
| Peers Return | 33% | -7% | 30% | 24% | -3% | -2% | 90% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 12% | 105% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CSWC Win Rate | 67% | 17% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 73% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 75% | 45% | 70% | 75% | 50% | 53% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 45% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CSWC Max Drawdown | -15% | -31% | -14% | -19% | -22% | -11% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -9% | -24% | -11% | -11% | -22% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: ARCC, MAIN, FSK, OBDC, GBDC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 11/5/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CSWC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -21.6% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.5% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 85 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -12.4% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 14.1% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 518 days | 18 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -10.8% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 12.1% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 35 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -28.9% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.6% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 300 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -59.6% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 147.3% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 295 days | 140 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -17.7% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 21.5% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 309 days | 62 days |
In The Past
Capital Southwest's stock fell -21.6% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 27.5% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | CSWC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -21.6% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.5% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 85 days | 79 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -28.9% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.6% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 300 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -59.6% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 147.3% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 295 days | 140 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -26.4% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.9% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 225 days | 123 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -55.6% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 125.1% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1193 days | 1085 days |
| Summer 2007 Credit Crunch | ||
| % Loss | -29.0% | -8.6% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.9% | 9.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2025 days | 47 days |
In The Past
Capital Southwest's stock fell -21.6% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 27.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Capital Southwest (CSWC)
Capital Southwest Corporation (CSWC) is a Business Development Company (BDC) that provides debt and equity financing to a diverse range of middle market companies in the United States. The firm focuses on supporting established businesses with revenues generally exceeding $10 million, a track record of profitability, and historical growth, while strategically avoiding early-stage startups, troubled companies, or those involved in real estate development or oil and gas exploration.
CSWC's primary offerings include various forms of debt, such as Unitranche, subordinated, senior, and first and second lien debt. They also make preferred and common equity co-investments, typically taking non-control stakes, and may utilize warrants. Individual investment sizes for securities range from $5 million to $25 million, with capabilities for larger equity investments and co-investments up to $40 million. Beyond direct lending, CSWC also allocates capital to syndicated first and second lien term loans for larger, upper middle market companies.
The company primarily targets both lower middle market companies (with less than $15 million in EBITDA) and, opportunistically, upper middle market firms (with EBITDA exceeding $50 million). CSWC invests across a broad spectrum of industries, favoring industrial manufacturing and services, value-added distribution, healthcare products and services, business services, specialty chemicals, food and beverage, tech-enabled services, and SaaS models. Specific interest areas include differentiated energy services, industrial technologies, and highly specialized chemicals and products.
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Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Capital Southwest (CSWC):
Blackstone Credit for middle-market companies.
JPMorgan Chase's specialized lending arm for growing private businesses.
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- Direct Debt Financing: Provides various forms of direct loans to middle market companies, including Unitranche debt, subordinated debt, senior debt, and first and second lien debt.
- Equity Co-Investments: Makes non-control equity investments, including preferred and common equity, alongside debt investments in middle market companies.
- Syndicated Loan Investments: Allocates capital to participate in syndicated first and second lien term loans in upper middle market companies.
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Capital Southwest Corporation (CSWC) is a business development company (BDC) that specializes in providing credit and equity investments to other companies. Therefore, its "customers" are the private companies in which it invests, also known as its portfolio companies.
The provided background information describes the types of companies and industries that CSWC targets for investment, rather than listing the names of specific major customer companies or their public symbols. Based on this, the categories of companies CSWC serves are:
- Middle Market Companies (by size and investment stage): CSWC primarily invests in lower middle market companies (generally with less than $15 million in EBITDA) and opportunistically invests in upper middle market companies (generally with EBITDA in excess of $50 million, or more than $30 million for syndicated first lien term loans and more than $50 million for syndicated second lien term loans). These companies often seek capital for various purposes, including growth financing, bolt-on acquisitions, new platform acquisitions, refinancing, dividend recapitalizations, sponsor-led buyouts, and management buyouts.
- Companies in Targeted Industries: CSWC has a strong preference for investing in companies operating within specific sectors. These include industrial manufacturing and services, value-added distribution, healthcare products and services, business services, specialty chemicals, food and beverage, tech-enabled services, and SaaS models. The firm also targets energy services and products (excluding exploration and production), industrial technologies, and specialty chemicals and products. Exceptional opportunities in building products are also considered.
- Companies with Strong Financials and Growth Potential: CSWC generally seeks to invest in companies that demonstrate solid financial performance and growth prospects. This typically includes companies with revenues approaching above $10 million, profitable operations, and a historical growth rate of at least 15 percent per year.
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Michael Sarner
President and Chief Executive Officer
Michael Sarner was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer of Capital Southwest in February 2025. He joined Capital Southwest in 2015 and has over 30 years of financial and business development company (BDC) experience. Mr. Sarner was instrumental in planning and executing the corporate and capitalization strategy for Capital Southwest, raising over $2 billion in both debt and equity. Prior to his CEO appointment, he served as the company's Chief Financial Officer, Chief Compliance Officer, and Secretary, and was a member of the Investment Committee throughout his tenure at Capital Southwest. Before joining Capital Southwest, Mr. Sarner spent 15 years at American Capital, a BDC, in various financial roles, including Executive Vice President and Treasurer, indicating a pattern of managing companies involved with private equity or private credit.
Chris T. Rehberger
Chief Financial Officer, Secretary and Treasurer
Chris T. Rehberger was promoted to Chief Financial Officer, Treasurer & Secretary of Capital Southwest in February 2025. He joined Capital Southwest in 2015 and brings 20 years of experience in corporate finance roles within the BDC sector. Mr. Rehberger previously served as Executive Vice President of Finance and Treasurer. He worked closely with Michael Sarner for two decades, including 10 years in corporate finance roles at American Capital, a BDC, which aligns with managing companies involved with private equity or private credit.
Joshua S. Weinstein
Chief Investment Officer
Joshua S. Weinstein serves as the Chief Investment Officer of Capital Southwest. He joined Capital Southwest in 2015 to help build out the firm's credit-focused investment activities and has been a member of the Investment Committee since 2017. Before Capital Southwest, Mr. Weinstein was a Principal at Whitehorse Capital (also H.I.G. WhiteHorse), where he was responsible for all aspects of the investment process, including sourcing, structuring, analyzing, and monitoring middle market credits. His earlier career included Analyst positions with Morgan Stanley and Citigroup.
Tabitha Geiger
Chief Compliance Officer
Tabitha Geiger was promoted to Chief Compliance Officer of Capital Southwest in February 2025. She has nearly a decade of compliance experience, including eight years in compliance consulting with IQ-EQ, where she was responsible for implementing and overseeing compliance programs for private equity, venture capital, and hedge fund managers.
Bowen S. Diehl
Advisor (Former President and CEO)
Bowen S. Diehl, the former President and Chief Executive Officer, now serves in an advisory capacity for Capital Southwest. He joined Capital Southwest in 2014 and previously led the firm's investment activities and strategic direction. Mr. Diehl brings over 20 years of experience in sourcing, structuring, and managing investments. Prior to Capital Southwest, he was a Managing Director at American Capital, Ltd. since 2007, where he closed investments in 15 platform companies and several add-on acquisitions, representing over $1.1 billion of invested capital.
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Key Risks to Capital Southwest (CSWC)
- Credit Risk and Economic Downturns: As a business development company primarily focused on providing debt financing to middle-market companies, Capital Southwest is highly susceptible to credit risk. An economic downturn, industry-specific challenges, or deterioration in the financial health of its portfolio companies could lead to increased loan defaults, non-performing assets, and a reduction in interest income. The firm's opportunistic investments in upper middle-market syndicated loans, which often involve companies with high closing leverage (greater than 4x for first lien and greater than 6x for second lien), further magnifies the potential for losses during periods of economic stress.
- Interest Rate Risk: Capital Southwest's profitability is significantly influenced by interest rate fluctuations. A substantial portion of its debt investments are likely to have floating interest rates. While rising interest rates can increase interest income, a rapid or sustained decrease in interest rates could reduce the income generated from these investments. Conversely, if the company's cost of capital rises faster than the rates it can charge on its investments, its net interest margin and overall profitability could be negatively impacted.
- Illiquidity and Valuation Risk of Private Investments: Investing in private, middle-market companies inherently carries risks related to illiquidity and valuation uncertainty. Unlike publicly traded securities, there is no active public market for the vast majority of Capital Southwest's investments, making them difficult to sell quickly or at desired prices. The valuation of these private assets, particularly debt and equity co-investments, relies on subjective judgments and estimates, which can be challenging and prone to significant fluctuations, especially during volatile market conditions or economic contractions. This could lead to substantial write-downs in the value of its portfolio and impact its net asset value.
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Capital Southwest (CSWC) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through a combination of strategic investment activities and effective portfolio management.
Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth:
- Expansion of the Investment Portfolio: Capital Southwest continues to grow its total investment portfolio by deploying new committed capital into both new and existing portfolio companies. For example, the on-balance sheet credit portfolio grew 19% year-over-year to $1.8 billion as of December 2024, and the company deployed $199 million in new committed capital in a recent quarter. This growth in the asset base directly contributes to increased interest and dividend income.
- New Senior Loan Joint Venture: The company has launched a new joint venture specifically focused on senior loans. This initiative is designed to increase Capital Southwest's participation in larger, higher-quality deals within its core lower middle market and is expected to enhance returns through origination, administration fees, and profit allocations.
- Realization of Equity Gains: Capital Southwest actively generates realized gains from exiting equity investments in its portfolio companies. This strategy contributes significantly to overall revenue and supports undistributed taxable income (UTI), which can be harvested to support future distributions. The company has harvested significant realized gains from equity exits in recent periods, with anticipation of further gains in fiscal year 2026.
- Maintenance of Stable Cash Yields on Debt Investments: While the interest rate environment may see some normalization, Capital Southwest's revenue growth will also be supported by maintaining stable cash yields on its debt investments. The company’s portfolio is predominantly composed of first lien senior secured debt with a weighted average yield, and effective portfolio management aims to ensure consistent recurring earnings.
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Share Repurchases
- Capital Southwest entered into a share repurchase agreement on August 31, 2021, authorizing the repurchase of common stock up to $20 million.
- As of December 31, 2025, no shares were repurchased under the August 2021 share repurchase program during that quarter.
Share Issuance
- Capital Southwest has issued common stock through its Equity ATM Program at a premium to Net Asset Value (NAV) per share, which has contributed to an increase in NAV per share.
- The company raised $53 million through its equity ATM program at a 27% premium to NAV.
- In November 2024, Capital Southwest priced an underwritten public offering of $200 million in 5.125% Convertible Notes due 2029, with potential additional issuance of $30 million from over-allotment options, with net proceeds primarily intended for debt redemption and general corporate purposes, including investments.
Outbound Investments
- During the quarter ended December 31, 2025, Capital Southwest originated $244.0 million in new commitments, including $199.4 million in eight new portfolio companies and $44.6 million in add-on commitments across 16 existing portfolio companies.
- For the quarter ended September 30, 2025, the company originated $245.5 million in new commitments, comprising investments in seven new portfolio companies totaling $165.8 million and add-on commitments in ten portfolio companies totaling $79.7 million.
- As of December 31, 2025, the total investment portfolio reached $2.0 billion, with the credit portfolio valued at $1.8 billion and the equity portfolio at $182.7 million.
Peer Outperformance in Asset Management & Custody Banks
| Ticker | Name | Rev Growth 3Y Avg | P/E | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 5Y Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSWC | Capital Southwest | 15.4% | 13.9x | 26.4% | 50.6% | 50.9% | — |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 19.0% | 32.2x | 111.5% | 457.9% | 206.5% | +156pp |
| Industry | Names | 1Y med | 3Y med | 5Y med | Top 3 by 5Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reinsurance | 6 | 33.1% | 75.7% | 125.1% | SPNT 168% · RGA 162% · RNR 141% |
| Investment Banking & Brokerage | 13 | -3.9% | 89.1% | 93.1% | IBKR 305% · SNEX 152% · GS 141% |
| Diversified Banks | 12 | 30.0% | 140.4% | 90.3% | CM 144% · RY 129% · JPM 127% |
| Life & Health Insurance | 20 | 14.3% | 52.3% | 75.4% | JXN 514% · UNM 224% · FG 188% |
| Property & Casualty Insurance | 42 | 18.9% | 76.8% | 66.8% | TRV 178% · PGR 172% · ACGL 168% |
| Multi-Sector Holdings | 3 | 10.1% | 53.8% | 59.4% | BRK-B 99% · VOYA 59% · JEF 37% |
| Multi-line Insurance | 9 | 9.5% | 71.4% | 59.4% | AIZ 105% · GNW 104% · L 98% |
| Regional Banks | 263 | 30.0% | 87.5% | 46.7% | CBC 268% · FCNCA 176% · NIC 136% |
| Insurance Brokers | 15 | 5.5% | 13.4% | 33.4% | LIFE 287% · ARX 89% · WTW 56% |
| Financial Exchanges & Data | 15 | 20.6% | 37.2% | 27.9% | CBOE 183% · VIRT 131% · CME 71% |
| Asset Management & Custody Banks ← | 83 | -5.9% | 22.8% | 12.3% | VCTR 210% · AAMI 207% · WT 205% |
| Consumer Finance | 30 | 2.9% | 81.0% | 8.1% | ENVA 330% · FCFS 130% · ECPG 111% |
| Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance | 14 | -46.5% | 36.8% | 2.5% | FNMA 327% · FMCC 293% · ACT 158% |
| Diversified Financial Services | 4 | -1.6% | 20.1% | -1.1% | FRHC 153% · EQH 71% |
| Specialized Finance | 3 | 15.8% | 31.5% | -19.7% | HASI -20% · CACC -24% |
| Transaction & Payment Processing Services | 17 | 19.3% | 9.1% | -29.4% | V 103% · MA 94% · CPAY 83% |
| Mortgage REITs | 35 | -18.0% | -6.1% | -37.2% | RITM 36% · DX 17% · AGNC 10% |
| Diversified Capital Markets | 20 | -47.1% | -8.5% | -70.1% | LPLA 83% · TW 38% · RIOT -53% |
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 16.13 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.3 |
| Rev LTM | 315 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 1,032 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 172 |
| CFO LTM | 1,032 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 172 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -37.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | -14.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -5.1% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | - |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | - |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 106.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 106.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.0% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $23.27 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.5 | |
| First Trading Date | 03/27/1990 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -7.3% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $23.39 | $22.51 |
| DMA Trend | down | up |
| Distance from DMA | -0.5% | 3.4% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 16.2% | 18.5% |
| Downside Capture | 43.31 | 55.28 |
| Upside Capture | 28.01 | 80.66 |
| Correlation (S&P 500) | 34.0% | 43.1% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.42 | 0.51 | 0.71 | 0.51 | 0.64 | 0.72 |
| Up Beta | -0.07 | 0.23 | 1.07 | 0.28 | 0.37 | 0.70 |
| Down Beta | 0.79 | 0.49 | 0.55 | 0.41 | 0.67 | 0.86 |
| Up Capture | 40% | 28% | 64% | 56% | 76% | 34% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 12 | 18 | 28 | 62 | 130 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 17 | 31 | 64 | 130 | 402 |
| Down Capture | 21% | 88% | 68% | 67% | 70% | 85% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 10 | 25 | 36 | 64 | 121 | 325 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 26 | 33 | 59 | 116 | 337 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CSWC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSWC | 30.3% | 18.5% | 1.28 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 11.1% | 15.2% | 0.47 | 47.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 9.5% | 13.6% | 0.41 | 45.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 3.6% | 28.7% | 0.11 | 15.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 37.7% | 21.2% | 1.40 | -13.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 12.0% | 14.2% | 0.55 | 37.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -20.8% | 43.3% | -0.42 | 23.0% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CSWC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSWC | 8.2% | 21.9% | 0.29 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 9.1% | 18.4% | 0.36 | 52.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.3% | 17.3% | 0.48 | 51.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.5% | 19.1% | 0.74 | 8.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.0% | 19.6% | 0.29 | 10.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.2% | 18.9% | -0.05 | 45.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 5.9% | 51.5% | 0.29 | 22.8% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CSWC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSWC | 17.0% | 27.4% | 0.61 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 13.3% | 22.1% | 0.54 | 48.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.9% | 18.0% | 0.70 | 47.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.0% | 16.5% | 0.59 | 7.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.6% | 18.1% | 0.33 | 18.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.7% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 46.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 61.3% | 66.2% | 1.01 | 16.6% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 11/5/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/2/2026 | -0.8% | ||
| 8/3/2026 | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% |
| 5/13/2026 | 2.4% | -0.0% | 1.2% |
| 2/2/2026 | 0.6% | 0.4% | -1.1% |
| 11/3/2025 | -2.3% | 1.8% | 8.0% |
| 8/6/2025 | -0.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% |
| 5/14/2025 | -0.4% | -1.1% | 1.6% |
| 2/3/2025 | 2.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 17 | 17 | 13 |
| # Negative | 7 | 6 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 2.3% | 2.8% | 5.1% |
| Median Negative | -0.8% | -2.5% | -3.9% |
| Max Positive | 6.6% | 11.6% | 20.7% |
| Max Negative | -4.8% | -13.2% | -12.6% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/2/2026 | -0.8% | ||
| 8/3/2026 | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% |
| 5/13/2026 | 2.4% | -0.0% | 1.2% |
| 2/2/2026 | 0.6% | 0.4% | -1.1% |
| 11/3/2025 | -2.3% | 1.8% | 8.0% |
| 8/6/2025 | -0.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% |
| 5/14/2025 | -0.4% | -1.1% | 1.6% |
| 2/3/2025 | 2.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| 10/28/2024 | -4.8% | -13.2% | -9.6% |
| 8/5/2024 | 3.4% | 1.1% | 6.8% |
| 5/14/2024 | -3.0% | -2.9% | -4.0% |
| 1/29/2024 | 1.5% | -3.3% | -5.9% |
| 10/30/2023 | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.7% |
| 8/7/2023 | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| 5/22/2023 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 7.4% |
| 1/30/2023 | 4.7% | 2.9% | -1.3% |
| 10/31/2022 | 2.4% | 4.0% | -3.8% |
| 8/1/2022 | -0.6% | 0.8% | -2.5% |
| 5/23/2022 | 1.8% | 2.3% | -12.6% |
| 2/1/2022 | 0.5% | -2.1% | -6.8% |
| 11/1/2021 | 0.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| 8/2/2021 | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% |
| 5/25/2021 | 0.8% | 3.1% | -2.7% |
| 2/1/2021 | 2.3% | 11.6% | 20.7% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 17 | 17 | 13 |
| # Negative | 7 | 6 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 2.3% | 2.8% | 5.1% |
| Median Negative | -0.8% | -2.5% | -3.9% |
| Max Positive | 6.6% | 11.6% | 20.7% |
| Max Negative | -4.8% | -13.2% | -12.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2026 | 11/02/2026 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2026 | 08/03/2026 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2026 | 05/19/2026 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/02/2026 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/03/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/20/2025 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/29/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/21/2024 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2023 | 01/30/2024 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2023 | 10/31/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/23/2023 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2022 | 01/31/2023 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2026 | 11/02/2026 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2026 | 08/03/2026 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2026 | 05/19/2026 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/02/2026 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/03/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/20/2025 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/29/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/21/2024 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2023 | 01/30/2024 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2023 | 10/31/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/23/2023 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2022 | 01/31/2023 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/01/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/02/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/24/2022 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/01/2022 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/02/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/03/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/26/2021 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2020 | 02/02/2021 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2020 | 11/02/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 08/04/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 06/02/2020 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2019 | 02/04/2020 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 11/3/2026Latest: Q2 2027 Earnings Reported 11/2/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Source | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q3 2027 Regular Quarterly Dividend Per Share | Reported | 0.58 | 0.0% | Same New | Guidance: 0.58 for Q2 2027 | |||
| Q3 2027 Supplemental Quarterly Dividend Per Share | Reported | 0.06 | 0.0% | Same New | Guidance: 0.06 for Q2 2027 | |||
| Q3 2027 Total Dividends Per Share | Reported | 0.64 | ||||||
Prior: Q4 2026 Earnings Reported 5/13/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Source | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2027 Regular Quarterly Dividend | Reported | 0.58 | -0.0% | Lowered | Actual: 0.58 for Q1 2026 | |||
| Q1 2027 Supplemental Quarterly Dividend | Reported | 0.06 | 0 | Affirmed | Actual: 0.06 for Q1 2026 | |||
Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 2/2/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Source | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Regular Monthly Dividend | Reported | 0.19 | ||||||
| Q1 2026 Quarterly Supplemental Dividend | Reported | 0.06 | ||||||
Insider Activity
Updated 10/1/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thomas, William R Iii | Direct | Buy | 10012026 | 23.04 | 2,170 | 50,005 | 526,371 | Form | |
| 2 | Rogers-Windsor, Ramona Lynn | Direct | Buy | 6302026 | 23.70 | 211 | 5,000 | 547,272 | Form | |
| 3 | Battist, Christine | Direct | Buy | 6182026 | 23.23 | 860 | 19,978 | 326,962 | Form | |
| 4 | Thomas, William R Iii | Direct | Sell | 6052026 | 23.29 | 4,661 | 108,569 | 318,718 | Form | |
| 5 | Thomas, William R Iii | Direct | Buy | 6052026 | 23.40 | 5,000 | 117,000 | 437,180 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thomas, William R Iii | Direct | Buy | 10012026 | 23.04 | 2,170 | 50,005 | 526,371 | Form | |
| 2 | Rogers-Windsor, Ramona Lynn | Direct | Buy | 6302026 | 23.70 | 211 | 5,000 | 547,272 | Form | |
| 3 | Battist, Christine | Direct | Buy | 6182026 | 23.23 | 860 | 19,978 | 326,962 | Form | |
| 4 | Thomas, William R Iii | Direct | Sell | 6052026 | 23.29 | 4,661 | 108,569 | 318,718 | Form | |
| 5 | Thomas, William R Iii | Direct | Buy | 6052026 | 23.40 | 5,000 | 117,000 | 437,180 | Form | |
| 6 | Rogers-Windsor, Ramona Lynn | Direct | Buy | 6012026 | 23.42 | 213 | 4,988 | 535,843 | Form | |
| 7 | Sarner, Michael Scott | President and CEO | Direct | Buy | 3022026 | 21.90 | 2,695 | 59,013 | 10,362,080 | Form |
| 8 | Battist, Christine | Direct | Buy | 2092026 | 23.16 | 600 | 13,895 | 306,042 | Form | |
| 9 | Rogers-Windsor, Ramona Lynn | Direct | Buy | 10012025 | 21.55 | 463 | 9,979 | 465,796 | Form |
Investor Activity (13F)
Updated Nov 6, 2026Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.
Industry Resources
| Financials Resources |
| Federal Reserve Economic Data |
| Federal Reserve |
| FDIC Data |
| American Banker |
| The Banker |
| Banking Technology |
| Asset Management & Custody Banks Resources |
| Pensions & Investments |
| Institutional Investor |
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External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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