Tearsheet

Carter's (CRI)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $32.11 | Market Cap: $1.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods

Carter's (CRI)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $32.11
Market Cap: $1.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 17%, Dividend Yield is 7.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 12%, FCF Yield is 9.2%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -95%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -118%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 99%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -31%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.1%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Sustainable Consumption, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands (Staples), Show more.
  Key risks
CRI key risks include [1] intense pricing pressure within the highly competitive children's apparel market and [2] supply chain cost and tariff exposures from its heavy reliance on Asian manufacturing.
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 17%, Dividend Yield is 7.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 12%, FCF Yield is 9.2%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -31%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Sustainable Consumption, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands (Staples), Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -95%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -118%
4 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 99%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.1%
7 Key risks
CRI key risks include [1] intense pricing pressure within the highly competitive children's apparel market and [2] supply chain cost and tariff exposures from its heavy reliance on Asian manufacturing.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CRI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Carter's (CRI) stock experienced an approximate 13.4% movement during the period from late August 2025 to mid-December 2025, influenced by several key factors.

1. Strategic Financial Refinancing Activity: Carter's strengthened its financial position by completing the sale of $575 million in 7.375% senior notes due 2031 in November 2025. The proceeds from this offering were intended to redeem existing 5.625% senior notes due 2027 and for general corporate purposes, signaling proactive debt management and enhanced financial flexibility.

2. Consistent Shareholder Returns: In November 2025, Carter's declared a quarterly dividend of $0.25 per share, payable in December 2025. This consistent return of capital to shareholders often boosts investor confidence and indicates a stable financial outlook.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CRI Return-13%9%-23%5%-24%-37%-64%
Peers Return-10%20%-39%12%4%5%-19%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CRI Win Rate50%58%42%42%50%42% 
Peers Win Rate50%52%33%52%50%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CRI Max Drawdown-42%-12%-35%-16%-30%-55% 
Peers Max Drawdown-60%-8%-51%-25%-30%-42% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PLCE, PVH, RL, VFC, LEVI. See CRI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCRIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-44.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven81.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-43.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven77.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-38.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven62.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-54.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven119.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven381 days1,480 days

Compare to TPR, RL, PVH, COLM, HBI


In The Past

Carter's's stock fell -44.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/3/2021. A -44.9% loss requires a 81.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Carter's (CRI)

Better Bets than Carter's (CRI)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CRI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%
CRI_8312022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy08312022CRICarter'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%2.2%-13.2%
CRI_3312020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy03312020CRICarter'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
30.3%35.3%-4.5%
CRI_12312018_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield12312018CRICarter'sDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
18.0%36.8%-4.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%
CRI_8312022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy08312022CRICarter'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%2.2%-13.2%
CRI_3312020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy03312020CRICarter'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
30.3%35.3%-4.5%
CRI_12312018_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield12312018CRICarter'sDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
18.0%36.8%-4.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Carter's

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CRIPLCEPVHRLVFCLEVIMedian
NameCarter's Children.PVH Ralph La.VF Levi Str. 
Mkt Price32.124.6471.72365.7218.5421.7726.95
Mkt Cap1.10.14.022.37.28.65.6
Rev LTM2,8331,2888,8177,5719,5416,5897,080
Op Inc LTM172-106561,153468716562
FCF LTM9240442668240324282
FCF 3Y Avg275-52508716285278281
CFO LTM151545841,090375560467
CFO 3Y Avg332-28707981455538497

Growth & Margins

CRIPLCEPVHRLVFCLEVIMedian
NameCarter's Children.PVH Ralph La.VF Levi Str. 
Rev Chg LTM-0.3%-10.1%0.5%12.3%-0.1%11.2%0.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-5.5%-9.9%-0.5%5.8%-6.7%1.9%-3.0%
Rev Chg Q-0.1%-13.0%1.7%16.5%1.6%7.0%1.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.0%-3.8%0.4%3.9%0.5%1.5%0.5%
Op Mgn LTM6.1%-0.7%7.4%15.2%4.9%10.9%6.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.0%-2.5%8.2%13.2%5.2%8.9%8.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.7%-1.9%0.1%0.6%0.4%0.3%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM5.3%4.2%6.6%14.4%3.9%8.5%6.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg11.4%-1.7%7.9%14.1%4.7%8.7%8.3%
FCF/Rev LTM3.2%3.1%5.0%8.8%2.5%4.9%4.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg9.4%-3.3%5.7%10.4%3.0%4.5%5.1%

Valuation

CRIPLCEPVHRLVFCLEVIMedian
NameCarter's Children.PVH Ralph La.VF Levi Str. 
Mkt Cap1.10.14.022.37.28.65.6
P/S0.40.10.42.50.61.40.5
P/EBIT6.9-10.8-17.214.113.613.6
P/E11.2-2.011.622.462.415.313.5
P/CFO6.61.96.817.615.116.510.9
Total Yield16.5%-50.3%8.7%5.5%4.1%8.3%6.9%
Dividend Yield7.6%0.0%0.1%1.1%2.5%1.7%1.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg13.1%-18.2%-6.1%4.1%2.8%4.1%
D/E1.25.6-0.11.00.21.0
Net D/E1.05.5-0.11.00.21.0

Returns

CRIPLCEPVHRLVFCLEVIMedian
NameCarter's Children.PVH Ralph La.VF Levi Str. 
1M Rtn5.2%-39.6%-5.7%12.8%30.8%6.4%5.8%
3M Rtn3.3%-38.6%-14.6%19.8%26.2%-3.4%-0.1%
6M Rtn9.6%24.1%10.7%37.4%59.4%25.3%24.7%
12M Rtn-40.9%-58.8%-34.6%62.6%-16.1%32.2%-25.3%
3Y Rtn-46.8%-87.0%3.1%268.6%-22.9%49.7%-9.9%
1M Excs Rtn4.4%-40.3%-6.4%12.1%30.0%5.6%5.0%
3M Excs Rtn0.5%-34.5%-18.8%15.5%22.0%-6.2%-2.8%
6M Excs Rtn-2.8%11.7%-1.7%25.0%47.0%12.9%12.3%
12M Excs Rtn-50.7%-68.2%-44.9%51.9%-21.1%18.5%-33.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-117.9%-155.5%-69.9%180.1%-96.2%-28.5%-83.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Baby1,0981,1031,1251,0271,229
Playclothes9931,1251,2621,0521,363
Other443492599504499
Sleepwear412492501441429
Total2,9463,2133,4863,0243,519


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,332,700
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202510.4%
Average Daily Volume1,115,391
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.88
Basic Shares Quantity35,443,712
Short % of Basic Shares12.2%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/27/20251.9%-2.9%-6.7%
7/25/2025-19.7%-26.0%-19.7%
2/25/2025-16.1%-19.3%-18.3%
10/25/2024-13.3%-16.7%-17.8%
7/26/2024-4.3%-2.3%10.8%
2/27/2024-1.1%-1.1%1.7%
10/27/20230.2%7.2%5.6%
7/28/20231.1%2.4%-8.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive889
# Negative111110
Median Positive0.6%3.0%5.2%
Median Negative-5.1%-12.3%-9.4%
Max Positive10.4%10.4%22.6%
Max Negative-19.7%-26.0%-40.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251027202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025725202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025425202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/28/2024
93020241025202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024726202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024426202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/30/2023
93020231027202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023728202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023428202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221028202210-Q 10/1/2022
6302022729202210-Q 7/2/2022
3312022429202210-Q 4/2/2022
12312021225202210-K 1/1/2022