Credo Technology (CRDO)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $134.2 | Market Cap: $23.5 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors
Credo Technology (CRDO)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $134.2Market Cap: $23.5 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Semiconductors
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 224% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 30x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 117x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 132x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 111x |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 25% | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 105% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.2% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Telecom Infrastructure, Show more. | Key risksCRDO key risks include [1] extreme customer concentration, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 224% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 25% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Telecom Infrastructure, Show more. |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 30x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 117x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 132x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 111x |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 105% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.2% |
| Key risksCRDO key risks include [1] extreme customer concentration, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CRDO Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Strong Q2 FY2026 Earnings Beat and Robust Guidance. Credo Technology reported exceptional financial results for the second quarter of fiscal year 2026 on December 1, 2025. The company announced earnings per share (EPS) of $0.67, significantly surpassing analyst estimates of $0.49. Revenue reached $268.03 million, exceeding the consensus estimate of $234.99 million and marking an extraordinary 272% increase year-over-year. Furthermore, Credo provided strong guidance for Q3 revenue, projecting a range of $335 million to $345 million, considerably higher than analyst expectations. These positive results contributed to a 13.8% surge in the stock on December 2, 2025.
2. Numerous Analyst Upgrades and Increased Price Targets. Following the impressive Q2 FY2026 earnings report, several financial analysts upgraded their ratings and substantially raised their price targets for Credo Technology. On or around December 2, 2025, firms like KGI Securities, Needham & Company LLC, Barclays, Mizuho, and Roth Capital all increased their price objectives, with some targets reaching as high as $250.00, reflecting heightened confidence in the company's future prospects.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CRDO Return | � | � | � | 46% | 245% | 109% | � |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | � | � | 7% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CRDO Win Rate | � | � | 45% | 42% | 67% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | � | � | 61% | 53% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CRDO Max Drawdown | � | � | � | -45% | -13% | -50% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | -53% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MRVL, AVGO, ALAB, SMTC, MXL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CRDO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -62.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 163.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 225 days | 464 days |
Compare to QCOM, FSLR, SLAB, POWI, AMBQ
In The Past
Credo Technology's stock fell -62.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/14/2023. A -62.0% loss requires a 163.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Credo Technology Earnings Notes | |||
| Credo Technology Stock Shares Sink 18% In A Week, Should You Buy The Stock Despite Its High Valuation? | Buy or Fear | ||
| Can Credo Technology Stock Recover If Markets Fall? | Return | ||
| Is CRDO Stock Still the Best Pick Among Its Peers? | |||
| Day 6 of Gains Streak for Credo Technology Stock with 25% Return (vs. 73% YTD) [7/30/2025] | Notification | ||
| CRDO Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Credo Technology (CRDO) Valuation Ratios Comparison | Financials | ||
| Credo Technology (CRDO) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Credo Technology (CRDO) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Credo Technology (CRDO) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Credo Stock: $33 Billion Backbone Of AI Boom? | December 3rd, 2025 | ||
| Mid Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | December 3rd, 2025 | ||
| Mid Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | December 3rd, 2025 | ||
| How Will Credo Technology Stock React To Its Upcoming Earnings? | November 26th, 2025 | ||
| Credo Technology Stock To $199? | October 21st, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CRDO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.4% | 10.4% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.7% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.2% | 12.2% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.2% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.6% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.4% | 10.4% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.7% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.2% | 12.2% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.2% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.6% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Credo Technology
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 107.91 |
| Mkt Cap | 23.5 |
| Rev LTM | 911 |
| Op Inc LTM | 163 |
| FCF LTM | 187 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 37 |
| CFO LTM | 221 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 66 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 36.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 12.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 46.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 9.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 14.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -1.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 6.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 23.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 19.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 1.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 23.5 |
| P/S | 15.5 |
| P/EBIT | 86.9 |
| P/E | 89.8 |
| P/CFO | 46.0 |
| Total Yield | 0.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -0.0% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -1.5% |
| 3M Rtn | -0.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 35.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 5.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 142.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -2.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -3.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 23.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -6.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 55.5% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 9/3/2025 | 7.4% | 31.4% | 19.9% |
| 6/2/2025 | 14.8% | 13.5% | 42.6% |
| 3/4/2025 | -14.0% | -20.2% | -20.8% |
| 12/2/2024 | 47.9% | 40.2% | 48.4% |
| 9/4/2024 | -14.9% | -14.9% | -1.3% |
| 5/29/2024 | 27.1% | 31.1% | 58.0% |
| 2/27/2024 | 0.7% | -5.6% | -3.7% |
| 11/29/2023 | -7.0% | -8.4% | 1.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| # Negative | 6 | 7 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 14.8% | 25.4% | 24.6% |
| Median Negative | -6.4% | -8.4% | -13.0% |
| Max Positive | 47.9% | 40.2% | 58.0% |
| Max Negative | -14.9% | -20.2% | -20.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | 12022025 | 10-Q 11/1/2025 |
| 7312025 | 9042025 | 10-Q 8/2/2025 |
| 4302025 | 7022025 | 10-K 5/3/2025 |
| 1312025 | 3102025 | 10-Q 2/1/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12032024 | 10-Q 11/2/2024 |
| 7312024 | 9052024 | 10-Q 8/3/2024 |
| 4302024 | 6242024 | 10-K 4/27/2024 |
| 1312024 | 2282024 | 10-Q 1/27/2024 |
| 10312023 | 11302023 | 10-Q 10/28/2023 |
| 7312023 | 8292023 | 10-Q 7/29/2023 |
| 4302023 | 6232023 | 10-K 4/29/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3022023 | 10-Q 1/28/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12012022 | 10-Q 10/29/2022 |
| 7312022 | 9012022 | 10-Q 7/30/2022 |
| 4302022 | 6082022 | 10-K 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3102022 | 10-Q 1/31/2022 |
External Quote Links
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| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |