Credo Technology (CRDO)
Market Price (12/15/2025): $143.82 | Market Cap: $25.2 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors
Credo Technology (CRDO)
Market Price (12/15/2025): $143.82Market Cap: $25.2 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Semiconductors
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 224% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 32x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 142x |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18% | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 105% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Telecom Infrastructure, Show more. | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.3% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 224% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Telecom Infrastructure, Show more. |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 32x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 142x |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 105% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.3% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CRDO Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Credo Technology (CRDO) experienced a significant upward movement, with its stock trading over 17% higher in the premarket around December 1, 2025, driven by a combination of strong financial results, optimistic future guidance, and positive market sentiment regarding its role in AI infrastructure.
1. Strong Q2 2026 Earnings Beat: Credo Technology Group reported record revenue of $268 million for its second quarter of fiscal year 2026, surpassing analyst estimates of $235 million. The company also posted adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.67, significantly exceeding the consensus estimate of $0.42. This represented a 20% sequential growth and an extraordinary 272% increase year-over-year.
2. Optimistic Q3 2026 Revenue Guidance: The company provided robust guidance for the third quarter of fiscal year 2026, projecting revenue between $335 million and $345 million. This forecast indicates a 27% sequential increase and significantly outpaced analysts' consensus estimates of $247.6 million.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CRDO Return | � | � | � | 46% | 245% | 130% | � |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | � | � | 22% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 111% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CRDO Win Rate | � | � | 45% | 42% | 67% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | � | � | 61% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CRDO Max Drawdown | � | � | � | -45% | -13% | -50% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | -53% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MRVL, AVGO, ALAB, SMTC, MXL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CRDO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -62.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 163.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 225 days | 464 days |
Compare to QCOM, FSLR, SLAB, POWI, AMBQ
In The Past
Credo Technology's stock fell -62.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/14/2023. A -62.0% loss requires a 163.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Credo Technology Earnings Notes | |||
| Credo Technology Stock Shares Sink 6.8% In A Day, Things To Be Wary Of When Buying The Stock | Buy or Fear | ||
| With Credo Technology Stock Sliding, Have You Assessed The Risk? | Return | ||
| Is CRDO Stock Still the Best Pick Among Its Peers? | |||
| Day 6 of Gains Streak for Credo Technology Stock with 25% Return (vs. 73% YTD) [7/30/2025] | Notification | ||
| CRDO Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Credo Technology (CRDO) Valuation Ratios Comparison | Financials | ||
| Credo Technology (CRDO) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Credo Technology (CRDO) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Credo Technology (CRDO) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Credo Stock: $33 Billion Backbone Of AI Boom? | December 3rd, 2025 | ||
| Mid Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | December 3rd, 2025 | ||
| Mid Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | December 3rd, 2025 | ||
| How Will Credo Technology Stock React To Its Upcoming Earnings? | November 26th, 2025 | ||
| Credo Technology Stock To $199? | October 21st, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CRDO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.5% | 11.5% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.7% | 11.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.5% | 15.5% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.8% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.6% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.5% | 11.5% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.7% | 11.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.5% | 15.5% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.8% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.6% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Credo Technology
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 114.17 |
| Mkt Cap | 25.1 |
| Rev LTM | 911 |
| Op Inc LTM | 163 |
| FCF LTM | 187 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 37 |
| CFO LTM | 221 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 66 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 36.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 12.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 46.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 9.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 14.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -1.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 6.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 23.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 19.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 1.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 25.1 |
| P/S | 15.5 |
| P/EBIT | 92.0 |
| P/E | 93.8 |
| P/CFO | 46.0 |
| Total Yield | 0.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -0.0% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 5.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 57.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 12.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 156.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -1.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 43.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 7.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 80.5% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 9/3/2025 | 7.4% | 31.4% | 19.9% |
| 6/2/2025 | 14.8% | 13.5% | 42.6% |
| 3/4/2025 | -14.0% | -20.2% | -20.8% |
| 12/2/2024 | 47.9% | 40.2% | 48.4% |
| 9/4/2024 | -14.9% | -14.9% | -1.3% |
| 5/29/2024 | 27.1% | 31.1% | 58.0% |
| 2/27/2024 | 0.7% | -5.6% | -3.7% |
| 11/29/2023 | -7.0% | -8.4% | 1.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| # Negative | 6 | 7 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 14.8% | 25.4% | 24.6% |
| Median Negative | -6.4% | -8.4% | -13.0% |
| Max Positive | 47.9% | 40.2% | 58.0% |
| Max Negative | -14.9% | -20.2% | -20.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | 12022025 | 10-Q 11/1/2025 |
| 7312025 | 9042025 | 10-Q 8/2/2025 |
| 4302025 | 7022025 | 10-K 5/3/2025 |
| 1312025 | 3102025 | 10-Q 2/1/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12032024 | 10-Q 11/2/2024 |
| 7312024 | 9052024 | 10-Q 8/3/2024 |
| 4302024 | 6242024 | 10-K 4/27/2024 |
| 1312024 | 2282024 | 10-Q 1/27/2024 |
| 10312023 | 11302023 | 10-Q 10/28/2023 |
| 7312023 | 8292023 | 10-Q 7/29/2023 |
| 4302023 | 6232023 | 10-K 4/29/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3022023 | 10-Q 1/28/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12012022 | 10-Q 10/29/2022 |
| 7312022 | 9012022 | 10-Q 7/30/2022 |
| 4302022 | 6082022 | 10-K 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3102022 | 10-Q 1/31/2022 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |