Credo Technology (CRDO)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $188.24 | Market Cap: $32.4 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors
Credo Technology (CRDO)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $188.24Market Cap: $32.4 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Semiconductors
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 176% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 27x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 141x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 126x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 127x |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 147%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 168% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Telecom Infrastructure, Show more. | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.5% | |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 103% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 176% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Telecom Infrastructure, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 27x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 141x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 126x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 127x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 147%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 168% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.5% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 103% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CRDO Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Credo Technology (CRDO) experienced a significant stock movement from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, driven by several key factors: 1. Exceptional Q2 Fiscal Year 2026 Financial Results: Credo Technology reported record-breaking revenues of $268 million for the second quarter of fiscal year 2026 (ended November 1, 2025), significantly surpassing analyst estimates and representing a 272.1% year-over-year increase. The company also exceeded EPS expectations with $0.67 per share, achieving a sharp turnaround to profitability with a net income of $82.6 million. 2. Robust Future Guidance Driven by AI Demand: Credo provided strong Q3 Fiscal Year 2026 revenue guidance, projecting between $335 million and $345 million, which was well above consensus estimates. This optimistic outlook is primarily fueled by the accelerating demand for high-speed connectivity solutions in AI data center build-outs and the expansion of the world's largest AI training and inference clusters. 3.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CRDO Return | - | - | - | 46% | 245% | 180% | 1316% |
| Peers Return | 46% | 17% | -5% | 13% | -4% | 5% | 85% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CRDO Win Rate | - | - | 45% | 42% | 67% | 80% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 42% | 32% | 42% | 35% | 47% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CRDO Max Drawdown | - | - | - | -45% | -13% | -50% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -27% | -12% | -30% | -12% | -16% | -26% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: QCOM, FSLR, SLAB, POWI, AMBQ.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CRDO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -62.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 163.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 225 days | 464 days |
Compare to QCOM, FSLR, SLAB, POWI, AMBQ
In The Past
Credo Technology's stock fell -62.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/14/2023. A -62.0% loss requires a 163.4% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Credo Technology Earnings Notes | |||
| Credo Technology Stock Leaps 23% In One Week, Things To Be Wary Of When Buying The Stock | Buy or Fear | ||
| Would You Still Hold Credo Technology Stock If It Fell 30%? | Return | ||
| Is CRDO Stock Still the Best Pick Among Its Peers? | |||
| Day 6 of Gains Streak for Credo Technology Stock with 25% Return (vs. 73% YTD) [7/30/2025] | Notification | ||
| CRDO Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Credo Technology (CRDO) Valuation Ratios Comparison | Financials | ||
| Credo Technology (CRDO) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Credo Technology (CRDO) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Credo Technology (CRDO) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Credo Stock: $33 Billion Backbone Of AI Boom? | December 3rd, 2025 | ||
| Mid Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | December 3rd, 2025 | ||
| Mid Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | December 3rd, 2025 | ||
| How Will Credo Technology Stock React To Its Upcoming Earnings? | November 26th, 2025 | ||
| Credo Technology Stock To $199? | October 21st, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CRDO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Credo Technology
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 155.93 |
| Mkt Cap | 27.5 |
| Rev LTM | 671 |
| Op Inc LTM | 59 |
| FCF LTM | 77 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 23 |
| CFO LTM | 113 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 85 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 15.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 1.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 10.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 10.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 5.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 17.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 12.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 1.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 27.5 |
| P/S | 5.4 |
| P/EBIT | 17.1 |
| P/E | 32.4 |
| P/CFO | 44.2 |
| Total Yield | 2.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -0.0% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -3.6% |
| 3M Rtn | 7.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 18.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 22.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 47.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -3.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 0.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 3.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 10.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -18.2% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 7312025 | 9042025 | 10-Q 8/2/2025 |
| 4302025 | 7022025 | 10-K 5/3/2025 |
| 1312025 | 3102025 | 10-Q 2/1/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12032024 | 10-Q 11/2/2024 |
| 7312024 | 9052024 | 10-Q 8/3/2024 |
| 4302024 | 6242024 | 10-K 4/27/2024 |
| 1312024 | 2282024 | 10-Q 1/27/2024 |
| 10312023 | 11302023 | 10-Q 10/28/2023 |
| 7312023 | 8292023 | 10-Q 7/29/2023 |
| 4302023 | 6232023 | 10-K 4/29/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3022023 | 10-Q 1/28/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12012022 | 10-Q 10/29/2022 |
| 7312022 | 9012022 | 10-Q 7/30/2022 |
| 4302022 | 6082022 | 10-K 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3102022 | 10-Q 1/31/2022 |
| 4302021 | 1272022 | 424B4 4/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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