Tearsheet

Credo Technology (CRDO)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $143.82 | Market Cap: $25.2 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors

Credo Technology (CRDO)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $143.82
Market Cap: $25.2 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 224%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 32x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 142x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%
Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 105%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Telecom Infrastructure, Show more.
Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.3%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 224%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Telecom Infrastructure, Show more.
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 32x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 142x
4 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 105%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.3%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CRDO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Credo Technology (CRDO) experienced a significant upward movement, with its stock trading over 17% higher in the premarket around December 1, 2025, driven by a combination of strong financial results, optimistic future guidance, and positive market sentiment regarding its role in AI infrastructure.

1. Strong Q2 2026 Earnings Beat: Credo Technology Group reported record revenue of $268 million for its second quarter of fiscal year 2026, surpassing analyst estimates of $235 million. The company also posted adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.67, significantly exceeding the consensus estimate of $0.42. This represented a 20% sequential growth and an extraordinary 272% increase year-over-year.

2. Optimistic Q3 2026 Revenue Guidance: The company provided robust guidance for the third quarter of fiscal year 2026, projecting revenue between $335 million and $345 million. This forecast indicates a 27% sequential increase and significantly outpaced analysts' consensus estimates of $247.6 million.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CRDO Return46%245%130%
Peers Return22%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CRDO Win Rate45%42%67%67% 
Peers Win Rate61%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CRDO Max Drawdown-45%-13%-50% 
Peers Max Drawdown-53% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MRVL, AVGO, ALAB, SMTC, MXL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCRDOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-62.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven163.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven225 days464 days

Compare to QCOM, FSLR, SLAB, POWI, AMBQ


In The Past

Credo Technology's stock fell -62.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/14/2023. A -62.0% loss requires a 163.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Credo Technology (CRDO)

Better Bets than Credo Technology (CRDO)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CRDO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.7%11.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.8%5.8%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.6%11.6%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.7%11.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.8%5.8%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.6%11.6%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Credo Technology

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CRDOMRVLAVGOALABSMTCMXLMedian
NameCredo Te.Marvell .Broadcom Astera L.Semtech MaxLinear 
Mkt Price143.9184.42359.93148.8572.8917.41114.17
Mkt Cap25.271.91,696.724.96.31.525.1
Rev LTM7967,79359,9267231,027423911
Op Inc LTM2001,14723,366107125-125163
FCF LTM1441,57724,930229137-38187
FCF 3Y Avg371,28020,319-0-037
CFO LTM1781,89125,438264153-19221
CFO 3Y Avg661,59320,821-222666

Growth & Margins

CRDOMRVLAVGOALABSMTCMXLMedian
NameCredo Te.Marvell .Broadcom Astera L.Semtech MaxLinear 
Rev Chg LTM224.2%45.0%28.0%136.5%20.6%7.5%36.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg90.5%12.3%24.0%-9.9%-22.3%12.3%
Rev Chg Q272.1%36.8%22.0%103.9%12.7%55.9%46.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM32.7%7.7%5.0%19.4%3.0%12.0%9.9%
Op Mgn LTM25.2%14.7%39.0%14.7%12.2%-29.6%14.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-4.6%-1.2%38.4%--1.4%-21.2%-1.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM6.3%8.7%1.5%7.8%1.0%5.8%6.1%
CFO/Rev LTM22.3%24.3%42.4%36.5%14.9%-4.4%23.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg11.4%25.8%44.6%-1.5%0.7%11.4%
FCF/Rev LTM18.0%20.2%41.6%31.7%13.4%-8.9%19.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg1.4%20.7%43.5%--0.9%-4.1%1.4%

Valuation

CRDOMRVLAVGOALABSMTCMXLMedian
NameCredo Te.Marvell .Broadcom Astera L.Semtech MaxLinear 
Mkt Cap25.271.91,696.724.96.31.525.1
P/S31.79.221.745.36.13.315.5
P/EBIT127.4-56.5307.5--9.192.0
P/E119.029.168.6164.9219.3-7.893.8
P/CFO141.838.151.1124.340.9-75.346.0
Total Yield0.8%3.7%1.5%0.6%0.5%-12.8%0.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-0.0%-3.1%---0.7%-0.0%
D/E0.0-0.00.0-0.10.0
Net D/E-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0

Returns

CRDOMRVLAVGOALABSMTCMXLMedian
NameCredo Te.Marvell .Broadcom Astera L.Semtech MaxLinear 
1M Rtn-1.1%-2.3%5.1%3.1%11.4%25.3%4.1%
3M Rtn-11.2%25.4%0.2%-35.1%20.9%10.5%5.4%
6M Rtn95.8%25.8%45.3%65.9%86.2%49.2%57.5%
12M Rtn89.5%-29.9%61.7%12.6%11.9%-15.8%12.3%
3Y Rtn923.5%113.5%579.0%-156.8%-51.5%156.8%
1M Excs Rtn-9.9%-5.1%1.7%-5.3%2.0%17.3%-1.7%
3M Excs Rtn-15.4%22.1%-4.3%-38.9%13.2%1.7%-1.3%
6M Excs Rtn81.6%11.6%31.1%51.7%72.0%35.0%43.3%
12M Excs Rtn104.1%-33.7%98.4%12.8%2.8%-16.4%7.8%
3Y Excs Rtn778.2%37.9%557.1%-80.5%-123.3%80.5%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8,581,265
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520259.1%
Average Daily Volume6,985,406
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.23
Basic Shares Quantity175,307,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
9/3/20257.4%31.4%19.9%
6/2/202514.8%13.5%42.6%
3/4/2025-14.0%-20.2%-20.8%
12/2/202447.9%40.2%48.4%
9/4/2024-14.9%-14.9%-1.3%
5/29/202427.1%31.1%58.0%
2/27/20240.7%-5.6%-3.7%
11/29/2023-7.0%-8.4%1.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive988
# Negative677
Median Positive14.8%25.4%24.6%
Median Negative-6.4%-8.4%-13.0%
Max Positive47.9%40.2%58.0%
Max Negative-14.9%-20.2%-20.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
103120251202202510-Q 11/1/2025
7312025904202510-Q 8/2/2025
4302025702202510-K 5/3/2025
1312025310202510-Q 2/1/2025
103120241203202410-Q 11/2/2024
7312024905202410-Q 8/3/2024
4302024624202410-K 4/27/2024
1312024228202410-Q 1/27/2024
103120231130202310-Q 10/28/2023
7312023829202310-Q 7/29/2023
4302023623202310-K 4/29/2023
1312023302202310-Q 1/28/2023
103120221201202210-Q 10/29/2022
7312022901202210-Q 7/30/2022
4302022608202210-K 4/30/2022
1312022310202210-Q 1/31/2022