Tearsheet

Credo Technology (CRDO)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $188.24 | Market Cap: $32.4 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors

Credo Technology (CRDO)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $188.24
Market Cap: $32.4 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 176%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 27x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 141x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 126x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 127x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
  Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 147%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 168%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Telecom Infrastructure, Show more.
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.5%
3   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 103%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 176%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Telecom Infrastructure, Show more.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 27x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 141x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 126x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 127x
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 147%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 168%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.5%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 103%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CRDO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Credo Technology (CRDO) experienced a significant stock movement from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, driven by several key factors: 1. Exceptional Q2 Fiscal Year 2026 Financial Results: Credo Technology reported record-breaking revenues of $268 million for the second quarter of fiscal year 2026 (ended November 1, 2025), significantly surpassing analyst estimates and representing a 272.1% year-over-year increase. The company also exceeded EPS expectations with $0.67 per share, achieving a sharp turnaround to profitability with a net income of $82.6 million. 2. Robust Future Guidance Driven by AI Demand: Credo provided strong Q3 Fiscal Year 2026 revenue guidance, projecting between $335 million and $345 million, which was well above consensus estimates. This optimistic outlook is primarily fueled by the accelerating demand for high-speed connectivity solutions in AI data center build-outs and the expansion of the world's largest AI training and inference clusters. 3.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CRDO Return---46%245%180%1316%
Peers Return46%17%-5%13%-4%5%85%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CRDO Win Rate--45%42%67%80% 
Peers Win Rate52%42%32%42%35%47% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CRDO Max Drawdown----45%-13%-50% 
Peers Max Drawdown-27%-12%-30%-12%-16%-26% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: QCOM, FSLR, SLAB, POWI, AMBQ.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCRDOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-62.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven163.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven225 days464 days

Compare to QCOM, FSLR, SLAB, POWI, AMBQ


In The Past

Credo Technology's stock fell -62.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/14/2023. A -62.0% loss requires a 163.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Credo Technology (CRDO)

Better Bets than Credo Technology (CRDO)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CRDO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Credo Technology

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CRDOQCOMFSLRSLABPOWIAMBQMedian
NameCredo Te.Qualcomm First So.Silicon .Power In.Ambiq Mi. 
Mkt Price189.19174.18256.06137.6836.1927.53155.93
Mkt Cap32.5187.827.54.52.0-27.5
Rev LTM60044,2844,34374344669671
Op Inc LTM11312,3941,362-965-3859
FCF LTM9312,820-9437480-2177
FCF 3Y Avg2311,277-557-165-23
CFO LTM12614,01229997100-16113
CFO 3Y Avg4712,5047621985-85

Growth & Margins

CRDOQCOMFSLRSLABPOWIAMBQMedian
NameCredo Te.Qualcomm First So.Silicon .Power In.Ambiq Mi. 
Rev Chg LTM175.8%13.7%15.4%47.1%10.5%-15.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg74.4%1.2%20.6%-0.7%-12.3%-1.2%
Rev Chg Q273.6%10.0%8.6%23.8%2.7%-10.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM37.4%2.4%2.0%5.6%0.7%-2.4%
Op Mgn LTM18.9%28.0%31.3%-12.9%1.2%-54.6%10.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-5.6%25.9%22.9%-15.6%5.4%-5.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM10.2%-0.2%-0.9%3.2%-3.5%--0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM21.1%31.6%6.9%13.1%22.5%-22.6%17.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg9.5%31.5%21.7%2.8%19.4%-19.4%
FCF/Rev LTM15.6%28.9%-21.7%9.9%17.9%-29.7%12.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg1.0%28.4%-14.8%0.1%14.8%-1.0%

Valuation

CRDOQCOMFSLRSLABPOWIAMBQMedian
NameCredo Te.Qualcomm First So.Silicon .Power In.Ambiq Mi. 
Mkt Cap32.5187.827.54.52.0-27.5
P/S26.54.05.45.85.0-5.4
P/EBIT140.613.517.1-52.3420.2-17.1
P/E127.232.418.8-50.0125.0-32.4
P/CFO125.912.879.144.222.4-44.2
Total Yield0.8%5.2%5.3%-2.0%2.9%-2.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.1%0.0%0.0%2.1%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-0.0%7.0%-2.6%-0.1%2.2%--0.0%
D/E0.00.10.00.00.0-0.0
Net D/E-0.00.0-0.0-0.1-0.1--0.0

Returns

CRDOQCOMFSLRSLABPOWIAMBQMedian
NameCredo Te.Qualcomm First So.Silicon .Power In.Ambiq Mi. 
1M Rtn4.7%-3.6%-3.6%7.6%-12.5%-6.0%-3.6%
3M Rtn51.6%10.7%27.1%5.1%-17.1%-28.3%7.9%
6M Rtn147.4%18.2%60.2%9.9%-32.9%-18.2%
12M Rtn167.6%9.5%23.4%22.7%-44.2%-22.7%
3Y Rtn1,166.3%47.6%52.1%-2.8%-52.4%-47.6%
1M Excs Rtn4.8%-3.6%-3.6%7.6%-12.5%-6.0%-3.6%
3M Excs Rtn35.8%3.7%21.5%-3.3%-23.9%-37.5%0.2%
6M Excs Rtn132.7%3.5%45.5%-4.9%-47.7%-3.5%
12M Excs Rtn272.9%-1.2%14.9%10.9%-57.3%-10.9%
3Y Excs Rtn1,166.1%-16.6%-18.2%-72.8%-123.3%--18.2%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7,867,821
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120254.8%
Average Daily Volume5,226,430
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.51
Basic Shares Quantity171,927,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
7312025904202510-Q 8/2/2025
4302025702202510-K 5/3/2025
1312025310202510-Q 2/1/2025
103120241203202410-Q 11/2/2024
7312024905202410-Q 8/3/2024
4302024624202410-K 4/27/2024
1312024228202410-Q 1/27/2024
103120231130202310-Q 10/28/2023
7312023829202310-Q 7/29/2023
4302023623202310-K 4/29/2023
1312023302202310-Q 1/28/2023
103120221201202210-Q 10/29/2022
7312022901202210-Q 7/30/2022
4302022608202210-K 4/30/2022
1312022310202210-Q 1/31/2022
43020211272022424B4 4/30/2021