Astera Labs (ALAB)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $151.4 | Market Cap: $25.3 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors
Astera Labs (ALAB)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $151.4Market Cap: $25.3 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Semiconductors
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 137% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 45x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 308x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 124x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 165x |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32% | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 128% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, and AI Chips. | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.6% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 137% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, and AI Chips. |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 45x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 308x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 124x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 165x |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 128% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.6% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
ALAB Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points highlighting why Astera Labs (ALAB) stock moved by approximately -16.3% during the period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. 1. Heightened Competitive Pressures and Market Share Concerns: Astera Labs' stock experienced significant downward pressure, including a nearly 40% plunge from its mid-September peak and a 20% drop on a single day in October 2025. This decline was primarily driven by renewed investor fears regarding the potential shrinkage of Astera Labs' market share, intensified by aggressive moves from competitors like Arista Networks and a new partnership between AMD and Oracle. 2. 2. Concerns over Intel-Nvidia Partnership: On September 24, 2025, Astera Labs' stock decreased by 10.76% following reports of a partnership between Intel and Nvidia to co-develop chips for PC and data center markets. This collaboration raised concerns among investors about Astera Labs' competitive standing and future prospects in the rapidly evolving semiconductor industry. 3.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ALAB Return | - | - | - | - | - | 8% | 8% |
| Peers Return | 46% | 17% | -5% | 13% | -4% | 5% | 85% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ALAB Win Rate | - | - | - | - | 56% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 42% | 32% | 42% | 35% | 47% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ALAB Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | - | -60% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -27% | -12% | -30% | -12% | -16% | -26% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: QCOM, FSLR, SLAB, POWI, AMBQ.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
ALAB has limited trading history. Below is the Information Technology sector ETF (XLK) in its place.
| Event | XLK | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -34.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 278 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -31.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 46.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 79 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -24.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 105 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -53.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 115.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1183 days | 1480 days |
Compare to
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -34.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/27/2021. A -34.0% loss requires a 51.6% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Astera Labs Stock vs Competition: Who Wins? | Peer Comparison | ||
| Why Astera Labs Stock Moved: ALAB Stock Has Gained 15% Since 2024 Fiscal End, Primarily Due To Favorable Change In Revenues | |||
| ALAB Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Astera Labs (ALAB) Valuation Ratios Comparison | Financials | ||
| Astera Labs (ALAB) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Astera Labs (ALAB) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Astera Labs (ALAB) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Astera Labs (ALAB) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| ALAB Leaps 11% In One Week, Things To Be Wary Of When Buying The Stock | September 17th, 2025 | ||
| ALAB vs the Competition: Which Stock Comes Out on Top? | August 12th, 2025 | ||
| Mid Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | August 12th, 2025 | ||
| Mid Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | August 9th, 2025 | ||
| Market Movers | Winners: GO, VSAT, ALAB | Losers: BLMN, LNTH, EOLS | August 7th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ALAB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Astera Labs
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 145.09 |
| Mkt Cap | 25.5 |
| Rev LTM | 733 |
| Op Inc LTM | 56 |
| FCF LTM | 77 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 32 |
| CFO LTM | 182 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 424 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 15.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 0.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 10.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 8.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 14.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 17.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 20.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 13.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 25.5 |
| P/S | 5.4 |
| P/EBIT | 17.1 |
| P/E | 32.4 |
| P/CFO | 44.2 |
| Total Yield | 2.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 1.0% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -4.8% |
| 3M Rtn | -4.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 18.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 22.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 22.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -4.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -13.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 3.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 10.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -45.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2142025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11052024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3212024 | 424B4 12/31/2023 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Mazzara Philip | General Counsel and Secretary | 11192025 | Sell | 146.42 | 454 | 66,473 | 22,139,038 | Form |
| 1 | Tate Michael Truett | Chief Financial Officer | 11192025 | Sell | 146.42 | 1,124 | 164,571 | 29,664,159 | Form |
| 2 | Gajendra Sanjay | President and COO | 11192025 | Sell | 146.65 | 4,421 | 648,356 | 247,226,879 | Form |
| 3 | Mohan Jitendra | Chief Executive Officer | 11192025 | Sell | 146.65 | 4,421 | 648,356 | 317,718,572 | Form |
| 4 | ALBA MANUEL | 9042025 | Sell | 168.23 | 6,717 | 1,130,012 | 314,219,786 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |