Tearsheet

Astera Labs (ALAB)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $151.4 | Market Cap: $25.3 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors

Astera Labs (ALAB)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $151.4
Market Cap: $25.3 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 137%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 45x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 308x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 124x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 165x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%
Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 128%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, and AI Chips.
Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.6%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 137%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, and AI Chips.
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 45x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 308x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 124x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 165x
4 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 128%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.6%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ALAB Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points highlighting why Astera Labs (ALAB) stock moved by approximately -16.3% during the period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. 1. Heightened Competitive Pressures and Market Share Concerns: Astera Labs' stock experienced significant downward pressure, including a nearly 40% plunge from its mid-September peak and a 20% drop on a single day in October 2025. This decline was primarily driven by renewed investor fears regarding the potential shrinkage of Astera Labs' market share, intensified by aggressive moves from competitors like Arista Networks and a new partnership between AMD and Oracle. 2. 2. Concerns over Intel-Nvidia Partnership: On September 24, 2025, Astera Labs' stock decreased by 10.76% following reports of a partnership between Intel and Nvidia to co-develop chips for PC and data center markets. This collaboration raised concerns among investors about Astera Labs' competitive standing and future prospects in the rapidly evolving semiconductor industry. 3.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ALAB Return-----8%8%
Peers Return46%17%-5%13%-4%5%85%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ALAB Win Rate----56%50% 
Peers Win Rate52%42%32%42%35%47% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ALAB Max Drawdown------60% 
Peers Max Drawdown-27%-12%-30%-12%-16%-26% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: QCOM, FSLR, SLAB, POWI, AMBQ.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

ALAB has limited trading history. Below is the Information Technology sector ETF (XLK) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLKS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-34.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven278 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-31.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven46.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven79 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven31.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven105 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-53.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven115.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1183 days1480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -34.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/27/2021. A -34.0% loss requires a 51.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About Astera Labs (ALAB)

Better Bets than Astera Labs (ALAB)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ALAB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Astera Labs

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ALABQCOMFSLRSLABPOWIAMBQMedian
NameAstera L.Qualcomm First So.Silicon .Power In.Ambiq Mi. 
Mkt Price152.50174.18256.06137.6836.1927.53145.09
Mkt Cap25.5187.827.54.52.0-25.5
Rev LTM72344,2844,34374344669733
Op Inc LTM10712,3941,362-965-3856
FCF LTM22912,820-9437480-2177
FCF 3Y Avg-11,277-557-165-32
CFO LTM26414,01229997100-16182
CFO 3Y Avg-12,5047621985-424

Growth & Margins

ALABQCOMFSLRSLABPOWIAMBQMedian
NameAstera L.Qualcomm First So.Silicon .Power In.Ambiq Mi. 
Rev Chg LTM136.5%13.7%15.4%47.1%10.5%-15.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-1.2%20.6%-0.7%-12.3%-0.2%
Rev Chg Q103.9%10.0%8.6%23.8%2.7%-10.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM19.4%2.4%2.0%5.6%0.7%-2.4%
Op Mgn LTM14.7%28.0%31.3%-12.9%1.2%-54.6%8.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-25.9%22.9%-15.6%5.4%-14.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM7.8%-0.2%-0.9%3.2%-3.5%--0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM36.5%31.6%6.9%13.1%22.5%-22.6%17.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-31.5%21.7%2.8%19.4%-20.6%
FCF/Rev LTM31.7%28.9%-21.7%9.9%17.9%-29.7%13.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-28.4%-14.8%0.1%14.8%-7.4%

Valuation

ALABQCOMFSLRSLABPOWIAMBQMedian
NameAstera L.Qualcomm First So.Silicon .Power In.Ambiq Mi. 
Mkt Cap25.5187.827.54.52.0-25.5
P/S45.34.05.45.85.0-5.4
P/EBIT307.513.517.1-52.3420.2-17.1
P/E164.932.418.8-50.0125.0-32.4
P/CFO124.312.879.144.222.4-44.2
Total Yield0.6%5.2%5.3%-2.0%2.9%-2.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.1%0.0%0.0%2.1%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-7.0%-2.6%-0.1%2.2%-1.0%
D/E0.00.10.00.00.0-0.0
Net D/E-0.00.0-0.0-0.1-0.1--0.0

Returns

ALABQCOMFSLRSLABPOWIAMBQMedian
NameAstera L.Qualcomm First So.Silicon .Power In.Ambiq Mi. 
1M Rtn-20.4%-3.6%-3.6%7.6%-12.5%-6.0%-4.8%
3M Rtn-13.7%10.7%27.1%5.1%-17.1%-28.3%-4.3%
6M Rtn60.2%18.2%60.2%9.9%-32.9%-18.2%
12M Rtn30.9%9.5%23.4%22.7%-44.2%-22.7%
3Y Rtn-47.6%52.1%-2.8%-52.4%-22.4%
1M Excs Rtn-20.4%-3.6%-3.6%7.6%-12.5%-6.0%-4.8%
3M Excs Rtn-24.2%3.7%21.5%-3.3%-23.9%-37.5%-13.6%
6M Excs Rtn45.4%3.5%45.5%-4.9%-47.7%-3.5%
12M Excs Rtn34.2%-1.2%14.9%10.9%-57.3%-10.9%
3Y Excs Rtn--16.6%-18.2%-72.8%-123.3%--45.5%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity10,645,508
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202526.8%
Average Daily Volume6,402,199
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.66
Basic Shares Quantity167,436,000
Short % of Basic Shares6.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024214202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
123120233212024424B4 12/31/2023

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Mazzara PhilipGeneral Counsel and Secretary11192025Sell146.4245466,47322,139,038Form
1Tate Michael TruettChief Financial Officer11192025Sell146.421,124164,57129,664,159Form
2Gajendra SanjayPresident and COO11192025Sell146.654,421648,356247,226,879Form
3Mohan JitendraChief Executive Officer11192025Sell146.654,421648,356317,718,572Form
4ALBA MANUEL 9042025Sell168.236,7171,130,012314,219,786Form