Tearsheet

Consumer Portfolio Services (CPSS)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $8.56 | Market Cap: $187.4 Mil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Consumer Finance

Consumer Portfolio Services (CPSS)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $8.56
Market Cap: $187.4 Mil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Consumer Finance

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.8%, FCF Yield is 123%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -61%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -62%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 1569%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 129%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 129%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.58
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.6%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 47%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.8%, FCF Yield is 123%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 129%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 129%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 47%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -61%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -62%
5 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.58
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 1569%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.6%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CPSS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The movement of Consumer Portfolio Services (CPSS) stock during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, can be attributed to several key developments:

1. Q3 2025 Earnings Miss Against Analyst Expectations
Consumer Portfolio Services announced its third-quarter 2025 earnings on November 10, 2025, reporting diluted earnings per share of $0.20. This figure significantly missed analysts' expectations of $0.25 per share. Additionally, net income for Q3 2025 was $4.9 million, a substantial decrease compared to $10.4 million in Q3 2023 and $25.4 million in Q3 2022. This underperformance relative to expectations and prior periods likely exerted downward pressure on the stock.

2. Increase in Revenues and Pretax Income Year-over-Year
Despite the earnings per share miss, the company's revenues for the third quarter of 2025 reached $108.4 million, an increase from $100.6 million in the prior year's third quarter. Pretax income also saw a slight improvement, rising to $7.0 million compared to $6.9 million in the third quarter of 2024. This year-over-year growth in top-line figures and pretax profitability could have provided some support to the stock price.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CPSS Return26%179%-25%6%16%-26%140%
Peers Return1%28%-29%33%27%24%92%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CPSS Win Rate75%67%42%58%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate57%50%28%40%45%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CPSS Max Drawdown-68%-10%-61%-10%-22%-33% 
Peers Max Drawdown-30%-5%-34%-15%-15%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PRAA, SUIG, AXP, COF, SOFI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCPSSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-69.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven222.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-73.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven281.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven203 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-43.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven78.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven958 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-96.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven2900.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1446 days1480 days

Compare to PRAA, SUIG, AXP, COF, SOFI


In The Past

Consumer Portfolio Services's stock fell -69.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/9/2022. A -69.0% loss requires a 222.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Consumer Portfolio Services (CPSS)

Better Bets than Consumer Portfolio Services (CPSS)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CPSS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Consumer Portfolio Services

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CPSSPRAASUIGAXPCOFSOFIMedian
NameConsumer.PRA Sui American.Capital .SoFi Tec. 
Mkt Price8.5617.092.02368.13227.2429.0723.08
Mkt Cap0.20.7-254.7145.234.034.0
Rev LTM2061,142470,42848,2313,3222,232
Op Inc LTM-207----207
FCF LTM265-62618,94420,845-3,179135
FCF 3Y Avg231-69-016,90421,063-4,671116
CFO LTM266-58621,13922,335-2,951136
CFO 3Y Avg232-65-018,80122,259-4,506116

Growth & Margins

CPSSPRAASUIGAXPCOFSOFIMedian
NameConsumer.PRA Sui American.Capital .SoFi Tec. 
Rev Chg LTM0.7%15.8%76.6%9.1%25.4%34.0%20.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-2.6%5.2%0.3%11.6%13.4%33.4%8.4%
Rev Chg Q3.8%1.4%250.4%10.8%54.4%38.6%24.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.9%0.4%49.0%2.6%12.7%8.8%5.7%
Op Mgn LTM-18.1%----18.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-10.4%----10.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--0.8%-----0.8%
CFO/Rev LTM129.0%-5.0%158.3%30.0%46.3%-88.8%38.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg110.5%-6.4%-15.0%29.2%55.1%-204.8%11.4%
FCF/Rev LTM128.6%-5.4%158.3%26.9%43.2%-95.7%35.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg110.1%-6.9%-15.0%26.3%52.2%-211.1%9.7%

Valuation

CPSSPRAASUIGAXPCOFSOFIMedian
NameConsumer.PRA Sui American.Capital .SoFi Tec. 
Mkt Cap0.20.7-254.7145.234.034.0
P/S1.00.5-3.32.89.32.8
P/EBIT-2.5----2.5
P/E11.16.3-21.896.048.321.8
P/CFO0.8-10.1-10.96.1-10.50.8
Total Yield9.0%15.8%-4.6%2.0%2.1%4.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%-0.0%0.9%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg104.6%-9.7%-10.7%36.3%-50.4%10.7%
D/E15.86.3-0.30.40.10.4
Net D/E15.75.9-0.0-0.1-0.10.0

Returns

CPSSPRAASUIGAXPCOFSOFIMedian
NameConsumer.PRA Sui American.Capital .SoFi Tec. 
1M Rtn1.3%16.7%-29.1%1.8%2.9%-5.1%1.6%
3M Rtn17.6%1.2%-67.1%14.0%3.1%18.7%8.5%
6M Rtn-8.5%18.8%-25.0%18.6%116.0%18.8%
12M Rtn-19.0%-16.6%-23.2%23.0%83.1%23.0%
3Y Rtn3.4%-50.5%-143.8%145.0%518.5%143.8%
1M Excs Rtn1.3%16.7%-29.1%1.8%2.9%-5.1%1.6%
3M Excs Rtn10.3%-4.6%-72.5%6.3%-4.6%9.2%0.9%
6M Excs Rtn-23.3%4.0%-10.3%3.9%101.3%4.0%
12M Excs Rtn-30.9%-32.9%-8.6%6.3%63.6%6.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-62.1%-121.8%-80.5%67.6%480.5%67.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single segment205242193170234
Total205242193170234


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity259,360
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120251.4%
Average Daily Volume22,400
Days-to-Cover Short Interest11.58
Basic Shares Quantity21,893,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024312202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023315202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022315202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021316202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211110202110-Q 9/30/2021