Coursera (COUR)
Market Price (11/16/2025): $8.465 | Market Cap: $1.4 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Education Services
Coursera (COUR)
Market Price (11/16/2025): $8.465Market Cap: $1.4 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Education Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -57% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -107%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -113% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -70 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -9.4% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 72% | |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 7.4% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.5% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Education & Work. Themes include Online Learning Platforms, Workforce Reskilling & Upskilling, and Lifelong Learning. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -57% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 7.4% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Education & Work. Themes include Online Learning Platforms, Workforce Reskilling & Upskilling, and Lifelong Learning. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -107%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -113% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -70 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -9.4% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 72% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.5% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
COUR Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are key points highlighting potential reasons for Coursera's (COUR) stock movement by -32.9% for the approximate time period from July 31, 2025, to November 15, 2025:
1. Despite beating Q3 revenue estimates, the slower anticipated long-term revenue growth likely dampened investor enthusiasm. While Coursera reported a 10% year-over-year revenue increase in Q3 2025 and raised its full-year outlook, analysts projected a slower revenue growth of 6.1% per year over the next three years, trailing the broader US market's 10% annual growth outlook. This slower projected growth, in comparison to the market, could have led to a re-evaluation of the stock's future potential.
2. Continued unprofitability and a prolonged timeline to profitability weighed on investor confidence. Coursera was still operating at a net loss, and analysts expected the company to remain unprofitable for at least the next three years. This persistent lack of profitability, despite efforts to narrow losses, contributed to a negative outlook and impacted investor sentiment.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| COUR Return | - | - | -52% | 64% | -56% | -0% | -65% |
| Peers Return | 98% | -24% | -24% | 16% | -9% | 9% | 33% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| COUR Win Rate | - | 33% | 33% | 75% | 25% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 60% | 33% | 35% | 60% | 47% | 42% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| COUR Max Drawdown | - | - | -59% | -16% | -67% | -27% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -28% | -37% | -45% | -13% | -34% | -28% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ACIW, ALRM, APPN, HI, ARRY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/14/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | COUR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -82.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 483.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to ACIW, ALRM, APPN, HI, ARRY
In The Past
Coursera's stock fell -82.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/7/2021. A -82.9% loss requires a 483.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Is Coursera Stock Built to Withstand More Downside? | Return | ||
| Coursera Earnings Notes | |||
| null | |||
| Coursera (COUR) Debt Comparison | Financials | ||
| Coursera (COUR) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Coursera (COUR) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Coursera (COUR) EBITDA Comparison | Financials | ||
| Coursera (COUR) Tax Expense Comparison | Financials | ||
| Coursera (COUR) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Coursera (COUR) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Small Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | July 29th, 2025 | ||
| Market Movers | Winners: COUR, FIX, BELFA | Losers: CRI, LBRDA, CHTR | July 26th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to COUR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.8% | -5.8% | -5.8% |
| 10312025 | DECK | Deckers Outdoor | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -2.4% |
| 10312025 | ATGE | Adtalem Global Education | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -1.6% | -1.6% | -5.9% |
| 10242025 | GNTX | Gentex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.2% | -3.2% | -3.2% |
| 10172025 | LNW | Light & Wonder | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.4% | 12.4% | -6.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.8% | -5.8% | -5.8% |
| 10312025 | DECK | Deckers Outdoor | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -2.4% |
| 10312025 | ATGE | Adtalem Global Education | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -1.6% | -1.6% | -5.9% |
| 10242025 | GNTX | Gentex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.2% | -3.2% | -3.2% |
| 10172025 | LNW | Light & Wonder | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.4% | 12.4% | -6.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Coursera
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 37.45 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.4 |
| Rev LTM | 1,163 |
| Op Inc LTM | 137 |
| FCF LTM | 108 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 124 |
| CFO LTM | 139 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 159 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 8.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 9.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 13.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 12.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.4 |
| P/S | 2.2 |
| P/EBIT | 14.2 |
| P/E | -33.9 |
| P/CFO | 14.5 |
| Total Yield | 0.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.5% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -1.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 4.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 1.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 9.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | -13.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -3.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -6.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -11.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -4.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -87.8% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/2/2025 | -8.6% | -9.1% | -24.9% |
| 7/24/2025 | 36.2% | 39.2% | 25.3% |
| 4/24/2025 | 13.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% |
| 1/30/2025 | -11.7% | -19.8% | -17.3% |
| 10/24/2024 | -9.7% | -8.8% | -6.7% |
| 7/25/2024 | 44.7% | 18.2% | 12.8% |
| 4/29/2024 | -14.0% | -19.4% | -35.4% |
| 2/1/2024 | -4.9% | -7.9% | -19.6% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 8 | 8 |
| # Negative | 11 | 11 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 18.2% | 7.6% | 14.0% |
| Median Negative | -9.1% | -9.1% | -20.3% |
| Max Positive | 44.7% | 39.2% | 29.8% |
| Max Negative | -16.7% | -19.8% | -35.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10312025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2242025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11062024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2222024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3032022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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