Coursera (COUR)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $8.36 | Market Cap: $1.4 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Education Services
Coursera (COUR)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $8.36Market Cap: $1.4 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Education Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -41% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -108%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -110% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -70 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -9.4% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 72% | |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.3% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.5% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Education & Work. Themes include Online Learning Platforms, Workforce Reskilling & Upskilling, and Lifelong Learning. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -41% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.3% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Education & Work. Themes include Online Learning Platforms, Workforce Reskilling & Upskilling, and Lifelong Learning. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -108%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -110% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -70 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -9.4% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 72% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.5% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
COUR Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Lowered Full-Year Revenue Guidance: Coursera repeatedly revised its full-year revenue guidance downward for 2024, initially projecting $730-$740 million, then lowering it to $695-$705 million after Q1 2024 results, and further reducing it to $690-$694 million after Q3 2024. This continuous reduction in revenue expectations indicated a deceleration in anticipated growth, dampening investor confidence.
2. Slowing Growth in Enterprise Segment and Declining Net Retention Rate: The Enterprise segment, a key business-to-business area, showed signs of slowing, with its revenue slightly shrinking in Q1 2024. Additionally, the Net Retention Rate for Paid Enterprise Customers declined to 87% in Q4 2024, a drop from 98% in the prior year, suggesting challenges in retaining existing business clients and impacting future revenue prospects.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| COUR Return | - | - | -52% | 64% | -56% | -2% | -66% |
| Peers Return | 98% | -24% | -24% | 16% | -9% | 7% | 30% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| COUR Win Rate | - | 33% | 33% | 75% | 25% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 60% | 33% | 35% | 60% | 47% | 42% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| COUR Max Drawdown | - | - | -59% | -16% | -67% | -27% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -28% | -37% | -45% | -13% | -34% | -28% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ACIW, APPN, ALRM, HI, ARRY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | COUR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -82.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 483.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to ACIW, APPN, ALRM, HI, ARRY
In The Past
Coursera's stock fell -82.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/7/2021. A -82.9% loss requires a 483.5% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| With Coursera Stock Sliding, Have You Assessed The Risk? | Return | ||
| Coursera Earnings Notes | |||
| How Does Coursera Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers? | Peer Comparison | ||
| Coursera (COUR) Debt Comparison | Financials | ||
| Coursera (COUR) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Coursera (COUR) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Coursera (COUR) EBITDA Comparison | Financials | ||
| Coursera (COUR) Tax Expense Comparison | Financials | ||
| Coursera (COUR) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Coursera (COUR) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Small Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | July 29th, 2025 | ||
| Market Movers | Winners: COUR, FIX, BELFA | Losers: CRI, LBRDA, CHTR | July 26th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to COUR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.2% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.1% | -4.1% | -4.1% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.2% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.1% | -4.1% | -4.1% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Coursera
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 35.59 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.4 |
| Rev LTM | 1,163 |
| Op Inc LTM | 137 |
| FCF LTM | 108 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 124 |
| CFO LTM | 139 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 159 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 8.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 9.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 13.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 12.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.4 |
| P/S | 2.6 |
| P/EBIT | 14.6 |
| P/E | -39.7 |
| P/CFO | 15.5 |
| Total Yield | 1.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.5% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.8% |
| 3M Rtn | -7.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 4.6% |
| 12M Rtn | -4.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | -13.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -14.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -10.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -15.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -84.7% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10312025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2242025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11062024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2222024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3032022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Meyers Michele M | VP, Accounting, and CAO | 10202025 | Sell | 10.27 | 3,500 | 35,945 | 2,406,210 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |