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Coursera (COUR)


Market Price (11/16/2025): $8.465 | Market Cap: $1.4 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Education Services

Coursera (COUR)


Market Price (11/16/2025): $8.465
Market Cap: $1.4 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Education Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -57%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -107%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -113%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -70 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -9.4%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
  Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 72%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 7.4%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.5%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Education & Work. Themes include Online Learning Platforms, Workforce Reskilling & Upskilling, and Lifelong Learning.
  
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -57%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 7.4%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Education & Work. Themes include Online Learning Platforms, Workforce Reskilling & Upskilling, and Lifelong Learning.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -107%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -113%
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -70 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -9.4%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 72%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.5%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

COUR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points highlighting potential reasons for Coursera's (COUR) stock movement by -32.9% for the approximate time period from July 31, 2025, to November 15, 2025:



1. Despite beating Q3 revenue estimates, the slower anticipated long-term revenue growth likely dampened investor enthusiasm. While Coursera reported a 10% year-over-year revenue increase in Q3 2025 and raised its full-year outlook, analysts projected a slower revenue growth of 6.1% per year over the next three years, trailing the broader US market's 10% annual growth outlook. This slower projected growth, in comparison to the market, could have led to a re-evaluation of the stock's future potential.

2. Continued unprofitability and a prolonged timeline to profitability weighed on investor confidence. Coursera was still operating at a net loss, and analysts expected the company to remain unprofitable for at least the next three years. This persistent lack of profitability, despite efforts to narrow losses, contributed to a negative outlook and impacted investor sentiment.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
COUR Return---52%64%-56%-0%-65%
Peers Return98%-24%-24%16%-9%9%33%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
COUR Win Rate-33%33%75%25%50% 
Peers Win Rate60%33%35%60%47%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
COUR Max Drawdown---59%-16%-67%-27% 
Peers Max Drawdown-28%-37%-45%-13%-34%-28% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ACIW, ALRM, APPN, HI, ARRY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/14/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCOURS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-82.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven483.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to ACIW, ALRM, APPN, HI, ARRY


In The Past

Coursera's stock fell -82.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/7/2021. A -82.9% loss requires a 483.5% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Coursera (COUR)

Better Bets than Coursera (COUR)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to COUR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
LRN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.8%-5.8%-5.8%
DECK_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10312025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-2.4%
ATGE_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025ATGEAdtalem Global EducationQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-1.6%-1.6%-5.9%
GNTX_10242025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10242025GNTXGentexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.2%-3.2%-3.2%
LNW_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025LNWLight & WonderDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%-6.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
LRN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.8%-5.8%-5.8%
DECK_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10312025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-2.4%
ATGE_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025ATGEAdtalem Global EducationQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-1.6%-1.6%-5.9%
GNTX_10242025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10242025GNTXGentexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.2%-3.2%-3.2%
LNW_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025LNWLight & WonderDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%-6.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Coursera

Financials

COURACIWALRMAPPNHIARRYMedian
NameCoursera ACI Worl.Alarm.comAppian Hillenbr.Array Te. 
Mkt Price8.4846.9750.3043.2731.648.1837.45
Mkt Cap1.44.82.53.22.21.22.4
Rev LTM7401,7319926912,8591,3331,163
Op Inc LTM-703431306174144137
FCF LTM1032881537311388108
FCF 3Y Avg57216150-2598163124
CFO LTM12232817476155116139
CFO 3Y Avg74257165-18153181159

Growth & Margins

COURACIWALRMAPPNHIARRYMedian
NameCoursera ACI Worl.Alarm.comAppian Hillenbr.Array Te. 
Rev Chg LTM8.1%7.0%7.4%16.0%-8.0%35.8%7.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg14.4%6.6%6.1%15.6%17.8%2.7%10.5%
Rev Chg Q10.3%6.8%6.6%21.4%-23.9%70.0%8.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.5%1.8%1.6%5.0%-6.2%13.8%2.2%
Op Mgn LTM-9.4%19.8%13.1%0.9%6.1%10.8%8.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-17.7%18.6%10.2%-12.7%8.5%11.4%9.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.1%-0.1%0.2%3.0%-0.7%-0.0%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM16.5%18.9%17.5%10.9%5.4%8.7%13.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg10.5%15.8%17.7%-4.5%5.4%14.1%12.3%
FCF/Rev LTM13.9%16.6%15.4%10.5%3.9%6.6%12.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg7.9%13.2%16.2%-5.6%3.5%12.8%10.3%

Valuation

COURACIWALRMAPPNHIARRYMedian
NameCoursera ACI Worl.Alarm.comAppian Hillenbr.Array Te. 
Mkt Cap1.44.82.53.22.21.22.4
P/S1.92.82.54.60.80.92.2
P/EBIT-20.012.814.1174.514.4283.314.2
P/E-30.518.619.6-438.0-124.5-37.4-33.9
P/CFO11.414.814.542.414.510.814.5
Total Yield-3.3%5.4%5.1%-0.2%2.0%-2.7%0.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%2.8%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.6%4.6%5.4%-0.5%4.4%10.5%4.5%
D/E0.00.20.40.10.80.50.3
Net D/E-0.60.10.00.00.70.40.1

Returns

COURACIWALRMAPPNHIARRYMedian
NameCoursera ACI Worl.Alarm.comAppian Hillenbr.Array Te. 
1M Rtn-16.0%-2.5%-0.6%55.7%1.1%-6.7%-1.5%
3M Rtn-28.8%0.9%-9.8%46.0%26.9%7.3%4.1%
6M Rtn-5.8%-3.9%-15.7%33.0%48.8%6.5%1.3%
12M Rtn22.4%-13.5%-16.0%18.8%0.1%19.4%9.5%
3Y Rtn-40.1%124.0%-4.2%10.9%-23.1%-60.4%-13.6%
1M Excs Rtn-17.5%-4.1%-2.2%54.1%-0.5%-8.3%-3.1%
3M Excs Rtn-33.3%-5.0%-15.7%40.2%21.7%-7.3%-6.1%
6M Excs Rtn-18.8%-16.9%-28.7%20.0%35.8%-6.5%-11.7%
12M Excs Rtn3.2%-29.8%-29.4%-4.3%-5.6%11.6%-4.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-112.6%55.2%-74.5%-60.6%-101.2%-137.2%-87.8%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7,051,912
Short Interest: % Change Since 1015202511.4%
Average Daily Volume3,532,399
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2
Basic Shares Quantity164,600,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.3%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/2/2025-8.6%-9.1%-24.9%
7/24/202536.2%39.2%25.3%
4/24/202513.6%9.2%10.0%
1/30/2025-11.7%-19.8%-17.3%
10/24/2024-9.7%-8.8%-6.7%
7/25/202444.7%18.2%12.8%
4/29/2024-14.0%-19.4%-35.4%
2/1/2024-4.9%-7.9%-19.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive888
# Negative111111
Median Positive18.2%7.6%14.0%
Median Negative-9.1%-9.1%-20.3%
Max Positive44.7%39.2%29.8%
Max Negative-16.7%-19.8%-35.4%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251031202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024224202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021303202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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