Tearsheet

Connect Biopharma (CNTB)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.64 | Market Cap: $146.5 Mil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Connect Biopharma (CNTB)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.64
Market Cap: $146.5 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -85%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -24 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -99%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Targeted Therapies.
Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 244%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 140%
2  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -128%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -129%
3  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -24%
4  High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 108%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -85%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Targeted Therapies.
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -24 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -99%
3 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 244%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 140%
4 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -128%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -129%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -24%
6 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 108%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CNTB Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points explaining the 28.6% stock movement for Connect Biopharma (CNTB) from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:



1. Connect Biopharma Completed the Termination of its American Depositary Receipt (ADR) Program and Directly Listed its Ordinary Shares on Nasdaq. This transition took place on September 2, 2025, with the company maintaining its existing "CNTB" ticker symbol. This strategic move was aimed at becoming a more U.S.-centric company and enhancing institutional access for U.S. investors, potentially increasing its appeal in the market.

2. The Company Announced its Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results, Revealing an Extended Cash Runway. On November 12, 2025, Connect Biopharma reported a net loss of $17.2 million for Q3 2025, but highlighted a strong liquidity position with $54.8 million in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments as of September 30, 2025. Management projected these resources would fund operations into 2027, providing financial stability and confidence to investors.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CNTB Return---83%36%17%93%-48%
Peers Return2%-1%6%8%-0%2%17%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CNTB Win Rate-56%25%58%42%60% 
Peers Win Rate13%8%13%12%10%90% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CNTB Max Drawdown---89%-25%-19%-60% 
Peers Max Drawdown-2%-5%0%-0%-1%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCNTBS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-98.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven4979.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN


In The Past

Connect Biopharma's stock fell -98.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/10/2021. A -98.0% loss requires a 4979.3% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Connect Biopharma (CNTB)

Better Bets than Connect Biopharma (CNTB)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CNTB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Connect Biopharma

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CNTBVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameConnect .Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Mkt Price2.65463.132.541.0711.0721.226.86
Mkt Cap0.1118.4----59.3
Rev LTM2411,7230-01010
Op Inc LTM-24-92-5--93-70-70
FCF LTM-313,337-6--60-64-31
FCF 3Y Avg-2,064-10---1,027
CFO LTM-313,718-6--60-64-31
CFO 3Y Avg-2,419-10---1,204

Growth & Margins

CNTBVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameConnect .Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Rev Chg LTM-10.3%----10.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-10.5%----10.5%
Rev Chg Q-11.0%----11.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.7%----2.7%
Op Mgn LTM-98.7%-0.8%----700.7%-98.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-26.2%----26.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.0%----1.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-127.6%31.7%----635.6%-127.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-23.1%----23.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-129.2%28.5%----636.5%-129.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-19.8%----19.8%

Valuation

CNTBVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameConnect .Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Mkt Cap0.1118.4----59.3
P/S3.58.5----6.0
P/EBIT-3.522.4----9.5
P/E-4.927.2----11.2
P/CFO-2.726.9----12.1
Total Yield-20.3%3.7%-----8.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-2.3%----2.3%
D/E0.00.0----0.0
Net D/E-0.8-0.0-----0.4

Returns

CNTBVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameConnect .Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
1M Rtn60.6%8.7%---9.9%-8.7%
3M Rtn33.2%16.8%--12.5%-16.8%
6M Rtn243.5%3.9%----123.7%
12M Rtn139.8%1.3%----70.6%
3Y Rtn269.9%44.1%----157.0%
1M Excs Rtn60.6%8.7%---9.9%-8.7%
3M Excs Rtn43.5%11.3%--4.5%-11.3%
6M Excs Rtn228.8%-10.8%----109.0%
12M Excs Rtn136.5%-14.6%----60.9%
3Y Excs Rtn195.1%-25.9%----84.6%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity73,308
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120257.9%
Average Daily Volume200,979
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity55,498,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025813202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025515202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024331202510-K 12/31/2024
630202490520246-K 6/30/2024
12312023416202420-F 12/31/2023
630202391220236-K 6/30/2023
12312022411202320-F 12/31/2022
630202291320226-K 6/30/2022
12312021331202220-F 12/31/2021
630202183120216-K 6/30/2021
123120203192021424B4 12/31/2020