Peabody Energy (BTU)
Market Price (12/27/2025): $30.16 | Market Cap: $3.7 BilSector: Energy | Industry: Coal & Consumable Fuels
Peabody Energy (BTU)
Market Price (12/27/2025): $30.16Market Cap: $3.7 BilSector: EnergyIndustry: Coal & Consumable Fuels
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Industrial Raw Materials, Global Energy Security, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Metallurgical Coal for Steel Production, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -18%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -71% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 81x |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14% | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 141% | |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.0%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.0% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.5% | ||
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 131% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.0% | ||
| Key risksBTU key risks include [1] execution challenges and prolonged negative free cash flow associated with its strategic pivot to metallurgical coal, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Industrial Raw Materials, Global Energy Security, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Metallurgical Coal for Steel Production, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -18%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -71% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 81x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 141% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.0%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.0% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.5% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 131% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.0% |
| Key risksBTU key risks include [1] execution challenges and prolonged negative free cash flow associated with its strategic pivot to metallurgical coal, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
<b>1. "Coal Comeback" Narrative and Supportive Political Stance:</b> A significant shift in sentiment towards coal and a highly supportive political environment in 2025, particularly in the U.S., contributed to a more favorable operating landscape for Peabody Energy. This included actions such as reduced coal royalty rates, streamlined permitting, and the potential for tax credits for metallurgical coal.
<br><br>
<b>2. Increased U.S. Coal Demand Projections:</b> Forecasts for 2025 indicated a projected increase in U.S. coal demand, or a return to 2024 levels, driven by rising electricity consumption from data centers and higher natural gas prices, which made coal a more competitive energy source.
<br><br>
<b>3. Strong Operational Performance and Centurion Project Advancement:</b> Peabody Energy delivered solid operational results, including the Centurion development project surpassing expectations and commencing its first customer shipments in late 2024. The company's strategic focus in 2025 on ramping up the Centurion Mine and successfully integrating new acquisitions was expected to substantially enhance its long-term earnings potential, particularly in metallurgical coal.
<br><br>
<b>4. Significant Shareholder Returns:</b> The company demonstrated a commitment to returning capital to shareholders through substantial share repurchases, including $100 million in Q3 2024, contributing to a total of $220.7 million in shareholder returns for 2024. Consistent dividend declarations also played a role in boosting investor confidence and contributing to stock valuation.
<br><br>
<b>5. Strategic Focus on Metallurgical Coal and Asian Market Growth:</b> Peabody's strategic transformation into a primarily metallurgical coal producer, combined with its efforts to capitalize on growing thermal coal demand in Asian markets through its Australian export platform, positioned it favorably. Additionally, the termination of a planned $3.78 billion acquisition of Anglo American's metallurgical coal assets in 2025, attributed to a "material adverse change," signaled a focus on capital preservation and shareholder value, which was perceived positively by the market.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 24.2% change in BTU stock from 9/26/2025 to 12/26/2025 was primarily driven by a 26.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 9262025 | 12262025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 24.47 | 30.38 | 24.15% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 4038.20 | 3962.30 | -1.88% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.74 | 0.93 | 26.53% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 121.70 | 121.70 | 0.00% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 24.15% |
Market Drivers
9/26/2025 to 12/26/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BTU | 24.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 4.3% | 24.7% |
| Sector (XLE) | -3.9% | 17.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 141.4% change in BTU stock from 6/27/2025 to 12/26/2025 was primarily driven by a 155.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 6272025 | 12262025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 12.59 | 30.38 | 141.36% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 4190.10 | 3962.30 | -5.44% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.37 | 0.93 | 155.24% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 121.70 | 121.70 | 0.00% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 141.36% |
Market Drivers
6/27/2025 to 12/26/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BTU | 141.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.6% | 20.6% |
| Sector (XLE) | 4.5% | 13.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 55.9% change in BTU stock from 12/26/2024 to 12/26/2025 was primarily driven by a 66.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 12262024 | 12262025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 19.49 | 30.38 | 55.90% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 4348.60 | 3962.30 | -8.88% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.56 | 0.93 | 66.71% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 124.90 | 121.70 | 2.56% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 55.80% |
Market Drivers
12/26/2024 to 12/26/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BTU | 55.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.8% | 31.1% |
| Sector (XLE) | 7.1% | 37.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 7.4% change in BTU stock from 12/27/2022 to 12/26/2025 was primarily driven by a 15.5% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| 12272022 | 12262025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 28.28 | 30.38 | 7.44% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 4620.40 | 3962.30 | -14.24% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.88 | 0.93 | 5.81% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 144.10 | 121.70 | 15.54% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 4.85% |
Market Drivers
12/27/2023 to 12/26/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BTU | 25.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 48.0% | 28.6% |
| Sector (XLE) | 9.7% | 36.1% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BTU Return | -74% | 318% | 162% | -7% | -13% | 49% | 251% |
| Peers Return | 16% | 38% | -12% | 21% | 26% | 16% | 150% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 114% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BTU Win Rate | 33% | 67% | 58% | 50% | 42% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 65% | 42% | 68% | 57% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BTU Max Drawdown | -91% | 0% | 0% | -31% | -18% | -51% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -34% | -5% | -26% | -7% | -9% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL. See BTU Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/26/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | BTU | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -53.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 115.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 78 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -91.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1108.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 241 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -81.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 429.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -81.5% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 441.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1,480 days |
Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL
In The Past
Peabody Energy's stock fell -53.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/18/2021. A -53.6% loss requires a 115.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Peabody Energy is like ExxonMobil, but for coal.
Think of them as the Chevron of the global coal industry.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Thermal Coal: Primarily sold to power generators for electricity production.
- Metallurgical Coal: A crucial ingredient used in the production of steel.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Peabody Energy (symbol: BTU) primarily sells coal to other companies, not individuals.
The company's major customers fall into the following categories:
- Electric Utilities and Power Generators: These companies are the primary purchasers of thermal coal, which they use to generate electricity. Peabody Energy serves a broad base of electric utilities in the United States (from its Powder River Basin and Other U.S. Thermal segments) and power generation companies in international markets, particularly across Asia (from its Seaborne Thermal segment).
- Steel Producers: These companies purchase metallurgical (or coking) coal, an essential raw material used in the blast furnace process for steel production. Peabody Energy supplies steel producers predominantly in Asian markets (such as Japan, China, Korea, and India) and Europe through its Seaborne Met segment.
Due to the nature of long-term supply contracts and competitive considerations, Peabody Energy does not typically disclose the specific names of individual customer companies in its public filings.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
```htmlJim Grech, President and Chief Executive Officer
Jim Grech joined Peabody Energy in June 2021 as President and Chief Executive Officer and has over thirty years of experience in the coal and natural resources industry. He previously served as Chief Executive Officer of Wolverine Fuels from 2018 to 2021. His career also includes roles as President of Nexus Gas Transmission, Chief Commercial Officer and Executive Vice President of Consol Energy, and Vice President at DTE Energy.
Mark Spurbeck, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Mark Spurbeck was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer in June 2020, having first joined Peabody in early 2018. He brings more than 20 years of accounting and financial experience. Prior to Peabody, Mr. Spurbeck served as Vice President of Finance and Chief Accounting Officer at Coeur Mining, Inc. He also held various finance and accounting positions over an eight-year period at Newmont Mining Corporation, including Group Executive, Assistant Controller, and worked at First Data Corporation and Deloitte LLP.
Darren Yeates, Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer
Darren Yeates joined Peabody in his current role in 2020 and has over 40 years of experience in the mining industry. He previously served as Chief Operating Officer of MACH Energy Australia before joining Peabody. Mr. Yeates also served on Peabody's board of directors from February 2020 to December 2021.
Patrick Forkin III, Executive Vice President, Global Strategy and Peabody Development
Patrick Forkin III joined Peabody in 2010 and leads global strategy and all non-coal mining initiatives, investments, and joint ventures. He possesses an extensive background in the energy and mining industries, including mergers and acquisitions, corporate finance, new technology commercialization, and equity market research. Before joining Peabody, Mr. Forkin held senior leadership roles at a U.S. solar development company and investment banking firms specializing in energy research, and began his career at Deloitte LLP.
Scott Jarboe, Chief Administrative Officer and Corporate Secretary
Scott Jarboe serves as Peabody Energy's Chief Administrative Officer and Corporate Secretary.
```AI Analysis | Feedback
Peabody Energy (BTU) faces several key risks inherent to the coal industry and its strategic direction. The most significant risks include the long-term decline in global coal demand, the persistent volatility of coal prices, and the operational and strategic execution challenges associated with its business transformation.The primary and most significant risk to Peabody Energy is the **declining global demand for coal and the ongoing energy transition**. Governments and industries worldwide are increasingly prioritizing cleaner energy sources such as natural gas, renewables, and nuclear power to reduce carbon emissions, which directly threatens the long-term viability of coal as an energy source. This structural shift away from fossil fuels, particularly thermal coal, presents a fundamental challenge to Peabody's core business model.
Secondly, **volatility in coal prices** poses a significant and constant risk to Peabody Energy's financial performance. Coal prices are highly susceptible to fluctuations driven by global supply and demand dynamics, geopolitical events, and shifts in government energy policies. Such price instability can lead to considerable swings in profitability, making long-term financial planning and investment decisions challenging for the company.
Finally, **operational and strategic execution risks** are critical, especially given Peabody's strategic pivot towards metallurgical (steelmaking) coal. Key projects, such as the Centurion Mine development, are central to this strategy, and their successful execution is vital for future operating leverage. Peabody currently faces negative free cash flow due to heavy investment in growth projects, and any delays in these ramp-ups could prolong this period. Additionally, ongoing operational challenges, including weather-related disruptions, particularly in Australia, continue to pose a persistent risk to production and shipment volumes.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The rapid global transition towards renewable energy sources (solar, wind, and battery storage) is increasingly displacing thermal coal in electricity generation, driven by decreasing costs and supportive policies worldwide.
The emerging development and scaling of "green steel" production methods, which utilize hydrogen instead of coking coal, threaten the long-term demand for metallurgical coal.
Escalating global decarbonization policies and increasing ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) investor pressures are restricting capital access and increasing regulatory burdens for coal companies, impacting their ability to finance operations and future projects.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Peabody Energy's main products are thermal coal and metallurgical coal.
Thermal Coal
The global addressable market size for thermal coal is estimated to be approximately $150 billion in 2025. Another estimate values the global thermal coal market at approximately $655.89 billion in 2025, projected to reach $799.11 billion by 2034.
Regionally, Asia dominates the thermal coal market, with robust demand from countries like China and India for electricity generation. Asia's total thermal coal imports are expected to exceed one billion metric tons in 2024. The U.S. electric power sector coal consumption is predicted to increase to 371.7 million short tons in 2025. Meanwhile, Europe has seen a significant decline in thermal coal use due to environmental regulations and a shift towards renewable energy, with imports showing a generally downward trend, though there were temporary surges.
Metallurgical Coal
The global addressable market size for metallurgical coal was valued at approximately $15.13 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach nearly $18.29 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 2.4% from 2025 to 2032.
Asia-Pacific is the largest market for metallurgical coal, contributing significantly to its growth, with China being a major consumer of seaborne metallurgical coal. The North America metallurgical coal market was valued at $23.72 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $27.27 billion by 2030.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Peabody Energy (BTU) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives and market trends:
- Significant Expansion of Premium Metallurgical Coal Production: The flagship Centurion mine is anticipated to be a major contributor, with longwall production commencing in Q4 2025 or Q1 2026. Shipments of premium hard coking coal from Centurion are projected to expand sevenfold in 2026, reaching 3.5 million tons, and continue to grow beyond that. This mine is expected to be Peabody's lowest-cost metallurgical coal mine, which should also boost the company's average met coal portfolio realizations.
- Increased U.S. Thermal Coal Volumes and Strong Domestic Demand: Peabody Energy anticipates higher volumes from its Powder River Basin (PRB) operations, with Q4 2025 shipments targeted at 23 million tons. The U.S. thermal coal market is experiencing positive trends, including a 2% increase in electricity demand driven by industrial activity and the growth of data centers, leading to higher coal plant utilization.
- Improved Seaborne Thermal Coal Volumes and Market Conditions: The company has seen better-than-expected seaborne thermal coal volumes, leading to favorable adjustments in its full-year guidance. Seaborne thermal volumes are anticipated to be 15.1 million to 15.4 million tons, with Q4 2025 volumes targeted at 3.2 million tons.
- Potential for Rare Earth Elements and Critical Minerals Development: Peabody Energy is actively assessing the potential for rare earth elements and critical minerals within its Powder River Basin assets. Preliminary results from these efforts are expected in early 2025, which could open new revenue streams for the company.
- Positive Pricing Outlook Across Key Markets: Management believes that all three of Peabody’s end markets (U.S. thermal, seaborne thermal, and seaborne metallurgical coal) could experience upside pricing pressure in 2026. The forward curve for benchmark metallurgical coal prices in 2026 is noted to be in the $215 range, up from approximately $195 per metric ton in Q3 2025.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- Peabody launched a significant shareholder return program in April 2023, initially starting with a $1 billion share buyback authorization.
- As of August 1, 2024, Peabody had $569.6 million remaining under its existing $1.0 billion share repurchase program and committed an additional $100 million for repurchases in 2024.
- The company's share buybacks amounted to $347.7 million in 2023 and $183.1 million in 2024. For the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended June 2025, repurchases were -$101 million.
Share Issuance
- In March 2022, Peabody Energy entered into an "At Market Issuance Sales Agreement" to offer and sell up to $225 million of common stock. The net proceeds from these issuances were intended to repay outstanding indebtedness under its $150 million senior unsecured revolving credit facility.
Outbound Investments
- Peabody Energy announced an agreement on November 25, 2024, to acquire Anglo American's Australian coal assets for $3.7 billion, aiming to double coal sales by 2026 and shift its product mix.
- In April 2025, Peabody Energy was reviewing options regarding the $3.78 billion acquisition of Anglo American's Australian steelmaking coal assets due to an ignition incident at one of the mines.
- By September 2025, Peabody decided to terminate the $3.8 billion acquisition of Anglo American's Australian coal mines, emphasizing a renewed focus on its U.S. portfolio.
Capital Expenditures
- Peabody Energy's capital expenditures have shown an increasing trend, from $191.4 million in 2020 to $401.3 million in December 2024. Capital expenditures for the latest twelve months ending June 30, 2025, were $398.9 million.
- The company projects capital expenditures of $420 million for 2025, focusing on growth and operational efficiency.
- Significant capital has been directed towards the Centurion project, a hard coking coal growth initiative, which is on budget with longwall coal production targeted for Q1 2026, and the acquisition of the Wards Well deposit extended the Centurion mine life to over 25 years.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to BTU. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.0% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.6% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.7% | 5.7% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 28.4% | 28.4% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.5% | -4.5% | -7.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Peabody Energy
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 54.27 |
| Mkt Cap | 158.8 |
| Rev LTM | 56,496 |
| Op Inc LTM | 7,584 |
| FCF LTM | 7,327 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 7,366 |
| CFO LTM | 8,590 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 8,697 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 12.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 14.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 15.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 11.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 158.8 |
| P/S | 2.7 |
| P/EBIT | 23.8 |
| P/E | 33.0 |
| P/CFO | 16.2 |
| Total Yield | 3.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.2% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 7.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 24.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 23.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 73.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 3.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 12.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 9.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -6.2% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seaborne Thermal | 1,330 | 1,346 | 934 | 712 | 972 |
| Seaborne Metallurgical | 1,302 | 1,617 | 728 | 486 | 1,033 |
| Powder River Basin | 1,198 | 1,066 | 971 | 991 | 1,229 |
| Other U.S. Thermal | 888 | 952 | 689 | 707 | 1,309 |
| Corporate and Other | 229 | 2 | -4 | -16 | 80 |
| Total | 4,947 | 4,982 | 3,318 | 2,881 | 4,623 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corporate and Other | 2,501 | 2,619 | 1,962 | 1,559 | 1,497 |
| Seaborne | 2,088 | 1,633 | 1,670 | 1,763 | 2,001 |
| Other U.S. Thermal | 1,373 | 1,359 | 1,318 | 1,345 | |
| U.S. Mining | 3,045 | ||||
| Total | 5,962 | 5,611 | 4,950 | 4,667 | 6,543 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $30.38 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 3.7 | |
| First Trading Date | 12/29/2006 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -12.7% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $28.82 | $19.57 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 5.4% | 55.2% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 62.1% | 62.5% |
| Downside Capture | 121.53 | 49.45 |
| Upside Capture | 201.55 | 86.07 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 24.7% | 31.2% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.12 | 1.12 | 1.11 | 0.77 | 0.93 | 0.90 |
| Up Beta | -2.35 | 0.04 | -0.30 | -0.21 | 0.92 | 0.82 |
| Down Beta | 3.05 | 2.27 | 2.98 | 1.34 | 1.63 | 1.34 |
| Up Capture | 217% | 95% | 205% | 201% | 37% | 32% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 12 | 25 | 38 | 73 | 141 | 426 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 19 | 34 | 66 | 116 | 366 |
| Down Capture | 144% | 95% | -35% | -11% | 51% | 95% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 22 | 28 | 58 | 131 | 381 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Comparison of BTU With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTU | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 49.7% | 8.6% | 17.8% | 72.1% | 8.6% | 4.4% | -8.3% |
| Annualized Volatility | 62.2% | 24.4% | 19.4% | 19.3% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 35.0% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.89 | 0.29 | 0.72 | 2.70 | 0.34 | 0.09 | -0.08 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 37.0% | 30.9% | 27.0% | 29.2% | 25.1% | 22.3% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLE, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Comparison of BTU With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTU | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 71.8% | 21.8% | 14.7% | 18.7% | 11.5% | 4.6% | 30.8% |
| Annualized Volatility | 77.6% | 26.7% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 48.7% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.03 | 0.75 | 0.70 | 0.97 | 0.50 | 0.16 | 0.57 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 38.5% | 19.6% | 19.7% | 34.0% | 13.1% | 11.9% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLE, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Comparison of BTU With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTU | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 16.7% | 8.2% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 69.2% |
| Annualized Volatility | 472.8% | 29.8% | 18.0% | 14.7% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 55.8% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.37 | 0.33 | 0.71 | 0.86 | 0.32 | 0.22 | 0.90 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLE, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/30/2025 | -4.2% | 7.6% | -0.7% |
| 7/31/2025 | 4.7% | 7.0% | 9.7% |
| 5/6/2025 | 9.5% | 8.0% | -0.5% |
| 2/6/2025 | -9.1% | -6.6% | -30.3% |
| 10/31/2024 | 6.4% | 20.7% | -3.1% |
| 8/1/2024 | 1.8% | -1.8% | 5.8% |
| 5/2/2024 | 0.5% | 2.2% | 16.0% |
| 2/8/2024 | 0.2% | -4.0% | 5.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 15 | 11 | 11 |
| # Negative | 9 | 13 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 6.4% | 8.0% | 16.0% |
| Median Negative | -7.7% | -5.4% | -7.6% |
| Max Positive | 25.6% | 20.7% | 69.4% |
| Max Negative | -14.9% | -16.6% | -33.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2202025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11082024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2232024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11032023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2242023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2182022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.