Tearsheet

Peabody Energy (BTU)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $29.46 | Market Cap: $3.6 Bil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Coal & Consumable Fuels

Peabody Energy (BTU)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $29.46
Market Cap: $3.6 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Coal & Consumable Fuels

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Industrial Raw Materials, Global Energy Security, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Metallurgical Coal for Steel Production, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -23%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -69%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 71x
1  Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14%
Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 121%
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.0%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.0%
3   Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.5%
4   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 107%
5   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.0%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Industrial Raw Materials, Global Energy Security, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Metallurgical Coal for Steel Production, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -23%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -69%
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14%
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 71x
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 121%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.0%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.0%
6 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.5%
7 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 107%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.0%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BTU Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The requested time period for Peabody Energy (BTU) stock movement is from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025. As this period is in the future relative to the current information available, it is not possible to provide factual reasons for stock movements or confirm a 69.6% stock increase during that specific future timeframe. However, based on the most recent available information, here are some general factors that have influenced Peabody Energy's stock and the broader coal market around late 2024 and heading into 2025, which may hypothetically be relevant to future performance:

1. Strategic Acquisition and Metallurgical Coal Focus: Peabody Energy completed a strategic acquisition of premium hard coking coal operations in Australia's Bowen Basin in late 2024/early 2025, aiming to transform the company into a leading steelmaking-coal supplier. This move is anticipated to increase Peabody's exposure to infrastructure and steel production-driven demand, mainly in Asia-Pacific, underpinning future topline growth and higher operating margins.

2. Board Member Appointments and Strategic Shift: Peabody Energy strengthened its Board of Directors with new appointments in late 2025, bringing decades of experience in the energy and mining sectors. This expanded board could influence future strategy and generate fresh investor conversations, suggesting optimism about the company's evolving strategy and growth prospects.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BTU Return-74%318%162%-7%-13%34%214%
Peers Return-49%123%62%10%-13%-8%61%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BTU Win Rate33%67%58%50%42%60% 
Peers Win Rate37%63%63%47%45%44% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BTU Max Drawdown-91%0%0%-31%-18%-51% 
Peers Max Drawdown-75%-6%-1%-20%-27%-37% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SR, CVI, SM, NOG, KOS. See BTU Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBTUS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-53.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven115.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven78 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-91.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1108.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven241 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-81.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven429.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-81.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven441.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to SR, CVI, SM, NOG, KOS


In The Past

Peabody Energy's stock fell -53.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/18/2021. A -53.6% loss requires a 115.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Peabody Energy (BTU)

Better Bets than Peabody Energy (BTU)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BTU. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Peabody Energy

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BTUSRCVISMNOGKOSMedian
NamePeabody .Spire CVR Ener.SM EnergyNorthern.Kosmos E. 
Mkt Price29.4383.8434.3120.2123.901.0926.66
Mkt Cap3.64.93.42.32.30.52.9
Rev LTM3,9622,4367,2983,2722,1931,3912,854
Op Inc LTM155443021,018693-105423
FCF LTM-61-264-146-1,563-141-131-144
FCF 3Y Avg466-196240-280-313-182-189
CFO LTM3856662422,1371,483274525
CFO 3Y Avg8595955321,7351,357603731

Growth & Margins

BTUSRCVISMNOGKOSMedian
NamePeabody .Spire CVR Ener.SM EnergyNorthern.Kosmos E. 
Rev Chg LTM-8.9%-6.6%-7.2%34.0%1.5%-22.1%-6.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-4.0%4.6%-10.7%1.1%5.9%-14.5%-1.4%
Rev Chg Q-7.0%1.9%6.1%26.3%-5.7%-23.7%-1.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.9%0.3%1.5%5.4%-1.3%-6.5%-0.5%
Op Mgn LTM0.4%22.3%4.1%31.1%31.6%-7.6%13.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg12.9%19.0%6.3%37.3%39.6%24.7%21.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-3.7%1.5%8.7%-3.1%-2.9%-11.4%-3.0%
CFO/Rev LTM9.7%27.3%3.3%65.3%67.6%19.7%23.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg18.0%23.3%6.0%63.8%65.9%35.9%29.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-1.5%-10.8%-2.0%-47.8%-6.4%-9.4%-7.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg9.1%-7.6%2.3%-6.0%-17.1%-11.0%-6.8%

Valuation

BTUSRCVISMNOGKOSMedian
NamePeabody .Spire CVR Ener.SM EnergyNorthern.Kosmos E. 
Mkt Cap3.64.93.42.32.30.52.9
P/S0.81.80.50.91.10.60.8
P/EBIT70.87.911.02.65.8-8.26.8
P/E-98.715.122.13.913.3-2.48.6
P/CFO8.46.515.11.31.62.94.7
Total Yield0.1%10.8%4.5%27.0%14.6%-41.5%7.7%
Dividend Yield1.1%4.2%0.0%1.6%7.1%0.0%1.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg13.6%-5.3%7.3%-12.9%-9.0%-11.8%-7.2%
D/E0.11.10.50.91.03.81.0
Net D/E-0.11.10.30.91.03.70.9

Returns

BTUSRCVISMNOGKOSMedian
NamePeabody .Spire CVR Ener.SM EnergyNorthern.Kosmos E. 
1M Rtn-1.5%-4.5%-6.8%4.4%8.4%-26.4%-3.0%
3M Rtn72.6%13.1%11.1%-26.6%-5.3%-35.1%2.9%
6M Rtn121.1%16.8%46.6%-14.9%-12.5%-39.8%2.1%
12M Rtn27.1%22.0%80.6%-53.2%-41.7%-71.4%-9.9%
3Y Rtn-3.1%39.6%20.5%-47.5%-22.9%-83.0%-13.0%
1M Excs Rtn-1.4%-4.5%-6.8%4.5%8.4%-26.3%-3.0%
3M Excs Rtn64.2%6.4%5.4%-33.0%-12.0%-42.0%-3.3%
6M Excs Rtn106.4%2.1%31.8%-29.7%-27.3%-54.5%-12.6%
12M Excs Rtn11.9%6.0%63.8%-67.4%-55.3%-85.9%-24.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-68.6%-42.5%-66.0%-121.6%-93.3%-155.2%-81.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Seaborne Thermal1,3301,346934712972
Seaborne Metallurgical1,3021,6177284861,033
Powder River Basin1,1981,0669719911,229
Other U.S. Thermal8889526897071,309
Corporate and Other2292-4-1680
Total4,9474,9823,3182,8814,623


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Corporate and Other2,5012,6191,9621,5591,497
Seaborne2,0881,6331,6701,7632,001
Other U.S. Thermal1,3731,3591,3181,345 
U.S. Mining    3,045
Total5,9625,6114,9504,6676,543


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity17,028,900
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-0.9%
Average Daily Volume3,575,032
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.76
Basic Shares Quantity121,700,000
Short % of Basic Shares14.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024220202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021218202210-K 12/31/2021