Tearsheet

Alpha Metallurgical Resources (AMR)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $182.99 | Market Cap: $2.4 Bil
Sector: Materials | Industry: Steel

Alpha Metallurgical Resources (AMR)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $182.99
Market Cap: $2.4 Bil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Steel

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -21%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -85%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -61%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -30 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.3%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Industrial & Infrastructure Development. Themes include Steel Industry Raw Materials, Heavy Industrial Materials, and Global Infrastructure Build-out.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -33%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -17%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -22%
2   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 54%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.3%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -21%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Industrial & Infrastructure Development. Themes include Steel Industry Raw Materials, Heavy Industrial Materials, and Global Infrastructure Build-out.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -85%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -61%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -30 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.3%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -33%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -17%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -22%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 54%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.3%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AMR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Significant insider buying demonstrated strong confidence in the company's future prospects. In September 2025, Director Kenneth S. Courtis purchased 53,000 shares for over $8.19 million on September 15 and 55,000 shares for over $7.84 million on September 12, indicating a substantial vote of confidence from a corporate insider.

2. Alpha Metallurgical Resources achieved back-to-back record quarterly cost performance. The company reported a non-GAAP cost per ton of $97.27 in the third quarter of 2025, representing an achievement of strong operational efficiency that was highlighted by the CEO.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AMR Return26%437%150%134%-41%-19%1785%
Peers Return3%52%26%37%3%35%278%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AMR Win Rate58%67%75%67%25%50% 
Peers Win Rate50%58%58%52%60%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AMR Max Drawdown-77%-5%-2%-8%-44%-50% 
Peers Max Drawdown-47%-12%-17%-8%-15%-15% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HCC, NWPX, FRD, NUE, STLD.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAMRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-40.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven67.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven240 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-76.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven331.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven183 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-95.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven2226.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven11 days120 days

Compare to HCC, NWPX, FRD, NUE, STLD


In The Past

Alpha Metallurgical Resources's stock fell -40.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/7/2022. A -40.2% loss requires a 67.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Alpha Metallurgical Resources (AMR)

Better Bets than Alpha Metallurgical Resources (AMR)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AMR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%
AMR_2282025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE02282025AMRAlpha Metallurgical ResourcesDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
8.5%17.8%-27.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%
AMR_2282025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE02282025AMRAlpha Metallurgical ResourcesDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
8.5%17.8%-27.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Alpha Metallurgical Resources

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AMRHCCNWPXFRDNUESTLDMedian
NameAlpha Me.Warrior .NWPX Inf.Friedman.Nucor Steel Dy. 
Mkt Price180.7982.9259.4319.59164.71171.50123.81
Mkt Cap2.44.40.60.138.025.23.4
Rev LTM2,2261,22452046530,80617,6351,725
Op Inc LTM-30748112,1431,51930
FCF LTM41-1594811-38531126
FCF 3Y Avg3804922253,1151,018214
CFO LTM18220767173,1301,524195
CFO 3Y Avg58147244345,8422,562526

Growth & Margins

AMRHCCNWPXFRDNUESTLDMedian
NameAlpha Me.Warrior .NWPX Inf.Friedman.Nucor Steel Dy. 
Rev Chg LTM-32.5%-23.1%7.6%-5.8%-5.8%-1.5%-5.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-17.5%-11.8%4.8%8.6%-10.4%-8.0%-9.2%
Rev Chg Q-21.6%0.3%16.0%17.7%4.7%11.2%8.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-6.1%0.1%4.2%4.5%1.2%2.8%2.0%
Op Mgn LTM-1.3%0.6%9.3%2.4%7.0%8.6%4.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg12.5%19.3%9.0%2.9%13.9%13.7%13.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.4%-1.5%0.3%1.8%-0.0%0.5%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM8.2%16.9%13.0%3.7%10.2%8.6%9.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg18.4%30.4%9.0%6.6%17.0%13.8%15.4%
FCF/Rev LTM1.9%-13.0%9.3%2.5%-1.2%1.8%1.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg11.6%1.9%4.4%4.9%8.7%5.4%5.1%

Valuation

AMRHCCNWPXFRDNUESTLDMedian
NameAlpha Me.Warrior .NWPX Inf.Friedman.Nucor Steel Dy. 
Mkt Cap2.44.40.60.138.025.23.4
P/S1.02.71.00.21.01.21.0
P/EBIT-41.2116.910.68.213.713.812.1
P/E-45.995.214.013.523.118.216.1
P/CFO11.716.17.66.79.513.410.6
Total Yield-2.2%1.6%7.2%7.7%6.1%6.9%6.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.5%0.0%0.2%1.7%1.4%0.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg11.7%2.1%4.9%26.5%7.7%5.6%6.6%
D/E0.00.10.30.30.20.20.2
Net D/E-0.2-0.00.30.30.10.10.1

Returns

AMRHCCNWPXFRDNUESTLDMedian
NameAlpha Me.Warrior .NWPX Inf.Friedman.Nucor Steel Dy. 
1M Rtn-0.5%19.3%-7.0%-12.4%11.2%10.0%4.7%
3M Rtn30.6%49.0%15.6%-7.2%13.9%32.8%23.1%
6M Rtn62.7%75.5%49.2%17.0%36.3%28.0%42.8%
12M Rtn-25.4%19.5%5.8%24.5%8.2%21.6%13.8%
3Y Rtn12.3%123.3%60.7%124.4%11.6%63.7%62.2%
1M Excs Rtn-0.5%19.4%-6.9%-12.4%11.2%10.0%4.7%
3M Excs Rtn27.7%45.2%8.5%-12.5%8.8%26.2%17.5%
6M Excs Rtn48.0%60.8%34.5%2.3%21.6%13.3%28.0%
12M Excs Rtn-39.9%5.0%-7.5%16.3%-5.2%6.4%-0.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-61.1%80.6%-10.6%47.3%-56.1%1.5%-4.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Met3,4214,0242,1761,2641,711
All other5078831524
Central Appalachia - thermal    286
Total3,4714,1022,2591,4162,001


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Met7401,647   
All other-19-199   
Total7221,449   


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,334,512
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-6.3%
Average Daily Volume343,156
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.89
Basic Shares Quantity13,015,413
Short % of Basic Shares10.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024805202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024506202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023226202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023508202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221107202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021307202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Whitehead Jason E.President & COO8142025Sell161.7610,6511,722,9061,783,566Form
1Munsey Joshua ToddChief Financial Officer8142025Sell157.002,135335,195701,162Form
2Courtis Kenneth S. 12172024Sell227.663,743852,131138,922,685Form