Celldex Therapeutics (CLDX)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $25.77 | Market Cap: $1.7 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Celldex Therapeutics (CLDX)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $25.77Market Cap: $1.7 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -34% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -68%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -102% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -256 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -9855% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more. | Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 13.27, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 658x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -74%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is null | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6903%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6987% | ||
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 315% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -17% | ||
| Key risksCLDX key risks include [1] its pivotal dependency on the successful clinical trial outcomes and regulatory approval of its lead candidate, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -34% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -68%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -102% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 13.27, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -256 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -9855% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 658x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -74%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is null |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6903%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6987% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 315% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -17% |
| Key risksCLDX key risks include [1] its pivotal dependency on the successful clinical trial outcomes and regulatory approval of its lead candidate, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CLDX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Continued Positive Data for Barzolvolimab in Chronic Spontaneous Urticaria (CSU).
Celldex reported "unprecedented data" from a Phase 2 study of barzolvolimab in CSU during its Q2 2025 financial results on August 7, 2025, demonstrating profound and sustained complete responses. This positive momentum was reinforced on September 17, 2025, with further promising efficacy data for barzolvolimab in CSU, showing rapid and significant efficacy regardless of IgE levels, which led to the advancement of the program into global Phase 3 trials. The sustained positive results from this key clinical program likely instilled investor confidence.
2. Initiation of Global Phase 3 Program for Barzolvolimab in Cold Urticaria and Symptomatic Dermographism.
On December 9, 2025, Celldex announced the initiation of a global registrational Phase 3 program for barzolvolimab in adults with cold urticaria and symptomatic dermographism. This followed positive Phase 2 data for these indications, which were highlighted in the company's Q3 2025 financial results on November 10, 2025, showing sustained efficacy over a 20-week placebo-controlled treatment period. The expansion of barzolvolimab into a second late-stage clinical program for additional underserved indications was seen as a positive development.
3. Positive Analyst Coverage and Price Target Initiations/Adjustments.
During this period, several analyst firms provided or updated their outlook on Celldex Therapeutics. Notably, Mizuho initiated coverage with an "Outperform" rating and a $48.00 price target on October 21, 2025. Canaccord Genuity also maintained a "Buy" rating with a price target of $62.00 on September 17, 2025. Even a subsequent price target increase by Barclays from $21.00 to $24.00 on December 17, 2025, despite an "Underweight" rating, reflected ongoing evaluation and potential for the company's progress. These analyst actions contributed to market sentiment.
4. Appointment of Chief Commercial Officer.
Celldex announced the appointment of Teri Lawver as Senior Vice President, Chief Commercial Officer, on November 10, 2025. This strategic hire, with Ms. Lawver's "deep background in successfully launching multiple important immunology drugs," was positioned as critical for Celldex's mission to deliver life-changing therapies and indicated active preparation for the potential commercialization of barzolvolimab. This move likely signaled future revenue potential to investors.
5. Stock Reaching New 52-Week Highs.
On December 5, 2025, Celldex Therapeutics' stock price hit a new 52-week high, trading as high as $29.40. This achievement reflects strong positive momentum and investor interest in the company during the specified timeframe, indicative of a favorable market response to the aforementioned clinical and corporate developments.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CLDX Return | 686% | 121% | 15% | -11% | -36% | 6% | 1096% |
| Peers Return | 75% | -8% | 21% | -4% | 6% | 119% | 337% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CLDX Win Rate | 75% | 67% | 50% | 42% | 42% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 55% | 48% | 50% | 52% | 52% | 63% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CLDX Max Drawdown | -30% | -8% | -47% | -49% | -41% | -40% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -24% | -27% | -23% | -31% | -15% | -22% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: REGN, AMGN, COGT, INCY, KNSA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CLDX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -63.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 174.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -49.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 98.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 75 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -96.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 2797.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -98.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 5214.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1480 days |
Compare to PTGX, ANIK, CHRS, ACSB, AIXC
In The Past
Celldex Therapeutics's stock fell -63.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/4/2021. A -63.6% loss requires a 174.5% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CLDX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Celldex Therapeutics
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 69.55 |
| Mkt Cap | 12.3 |
| Rev LTM | 2,671 |
| Op Inc LTM | 630 |
| FCF LTM | 619 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 316 |
| CFO LTM | 659 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 354 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 10.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 13.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 12.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 24.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 13.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 26.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 24.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 12.3 |
| P/S | 4.2 |
| P/EBIT | 10.8 |
| P/E | 13.3 |
| P/CFO | 11.5 |
| Total Yield | 3.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.2% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -0.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 18.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 44.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 33.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 26.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 15.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 32.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 22.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -44.3% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/10/2025 | 7.5% | 14.7% | 23.2% |
| 8/7/2025 | -2.6% | 17.6% | 10.3% |
| 5/8/2025 | -6.1% | 3.0% | 6.1% |
| 2/27/2025 | 1.3% | 5.0% | -1.9% |
| 11/6/2024 | -4.2% | -2.9% | -3.1% |
| 8/8/2024 | 0.6% | 1.2% | 29.3% |
| 5/6/2024 | 1.3% | -3.7% | -20.7% |
| 2/26/2024 | 27.8% | 37.4% | 9.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 12 | 13 |
| # Negative | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 6.6% | 5.5% | 14.0% |
| Median Negative | -3.9% | -3.4% | -12.7% |
| Max Positive | 27.8% | 37.4% | 51.3% |
| Max Negative | -6.1% | -12.0% | -20.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11102025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11062024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5062024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2262024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2282023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8082022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2282022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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