Tearsheet

Cogent Biosciences (COGT)


Market Price (12/8/2025): $38.77 | Market Cap: $5.3 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Cogent Biosciences (COGT)


Market Price (12/8/2025): $38.77
Market Cap: $5.3 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -17%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.0%, Dist 3Y High is -4.0%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -308 Mil
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 470%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 336%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -19%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 138%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -17%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
2 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.0%, Dist 3Y High is -4.0%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
4 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -308 Mil
6 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 470%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 336%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -19%
8 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 138%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

COGT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Positive Top-line Results from SUMMIT Trial for NonAdvanced Systemic Mastocytosis

Cogent Biosciences reported positive top-line results from the registration-directed SUMMIT trial for bezuclastinib in patients with NonAdvanced Systemic Mastocytosis (NonAdvSM) in August 2025. These results demonstrated clinically meaningful and statistically significant improvements across all primary and key secondary endpoints. Further detailed full results presented at the 67th Annual Meeting of the American Society of Hematology (ASH) in December 2025 reinforced these positive findings, showing significant symptomatic and objective improvements.

2. Positive Results from Phase 3 PEAK Trial in GIST

In November 2025, Cogent Biosciences announced positive results from the Phase 3 PEAK trial of bezuclastinib in combination with sunitinib for patients with imatinib-resistant gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GIST). This represented another significant clinical advancement for the company's lead candidate.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
COGT Return290%-24%35%-49%33%404%1265%
Peers Return20%-22%-46%21%-16%93%-0%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
COGT Win Rate58%42%33%33%58%70% 
Peers Win Rate48%50%42%53%50%63% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
COGT Max Drawdown-56%-47%-54%-65%-26%-48% 
Peers Max Drawdown-6%-29%-61%-32%-48%-33% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: RVMD, RLAY, VSTM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/5/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCOGTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-76.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven318.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven700 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-73.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven271.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven112 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-97.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven3188.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to VRTX, ACSB, AIXC, ALPS, APRI


In The Past

Cogent Biosciences's stock fell -76.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/1/2022. A -76.1% loss requires a 318.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Cogent Biosciences (COGT)

Better Bets than Cogent Biosciences (COGT)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to COGT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.8%9.8%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-8.8%-8.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
2.5%2.5%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
12.5%12.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.1%10.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.8%9.8%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-8.8%-8.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
2.5%2.5%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
12.5%12.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.1%10.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Cogent Biosciences

Peers to compare with:

Financials

COGTRVMDRLAYVSTMMedian
NameCogent B.Revoluti.Relay Th.Verastem  
Mkt Price38.7779.647.6810.3624.57
Mkt Cap5.315.11.30.83.3
Rev LTM008134
Op Inc LTM-308-1,037-327-160-317
FCF LTM-247-777-249-133-248
FCF 3Y Avg-194-543-269-105-231
CFO LTM-246-762-248-133-247
CFO 3Y Avg-192-531-266-105-229

Growth & Margins

COGTRVMDRLAYVSTMMedian
NameCogent B.Revoluti.Relay Th.Verastem  
Rev Chg LTM--100.0%-16.5%33.8%-16.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--69.5%448.1%-189.3%
Rev Chg Q-----
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM--0.0%526.1%263.0%
Op Mgn LTM---3,914.4%-1,197.7%-2,556.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg---3,096.7%--3,096.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--191.2%6,128.3%3,159.8%
CFO/Rev LTM---2,973.4%-991.5%-1,982.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg---2,271.9%--2,271.9%
FCF/Rev LTM---2,978.3%-991.5%-1,984.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg---2,288.8%--2,288.8%

Valuation

COGTRVMDRLAYVSTMMedian
NameCogent B.Revoluti.Relay Th.Verastem  
Mkt Cap5.315.11.30.83.3
P/S--107.748.378.0
P/EBIT-6.3-8.2-2.8-2.7-4.5
P/E-6.7-9.2-3.0-2.7-4.9
P/CFO-8.0-11.6-3.6-4.9-6.5
Total Yield-14.9%-10.9%-33.1%-37.3%-24.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-15.2%-8.7%-27.6%-48.4%-21.4%
D/E0.00.00.00.10.0
Net D/E-0.2-0.2-0.6-0.1-0.2

Returns

COGTRVMDRLAYVSTMMedian
NameCogent B.Revoluti.Relay Th.Verastem  
1M Rtn161.6%30.5%26.9%28.4%29.5%
3M Rtn197.1%96.6%86.4%-3.8%91.5%
6M Rtn470.1%93.8%128.6%61.4%111.2%
12M Rtn336.1%65.7%66.6%83.4%75.0%
3Y Rtn245.2%221.8%-55.7%110.7%166.2%
1M Excs Rtn167.8%33.1%16.2%25.9%29.5%
3M Excs Rtn200.0%88.2%83.4%-4.5%85.8%
6M Excs Rtn455.6%79.3%114.1%46.9%96.7%
12M Excs Rtn308.3%51.6%61.4%78.6%70.0%
3Y Excs Rtn139.8%169.2%-127.1%19.3%79.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Development and commercialization of precision therapies for genetically defined diseases    22
Total    22


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Development and commercialization of precision therapies for genetically defined diseases313301232251 
Total313301232251 


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity15,477,473
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120252.8%
Average Daily Volume6,515,153
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.38
Basic Shares Quantity137,550,159
Short % of Basic Shares11.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/3/2025-4.9%-9.1%140.2%
8/5/2025-5.7%-9.3%8.5%
5/6/2025-15.6%-7.9%1.3%
2/25/2025-6.3%-6.2%-7.5%
11/12/2024-0.2%-13.6%-10.9%
8/6/20241.3%-7.0%25.6%
5/7/20242.5%-2.9%17.8%
2/26/20240.8%-2.8%-22.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive13811
# Negative81310
Median Positive2.7%11.6%17.8%
Median Negative-5.3%-8.5%-9.2%
Max Positive7.6%28.2%140.2%
Max Negative-15.6%-37.3%-48.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023226202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022314202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021315202210-K 12/31/2021