Cogent Biosciences (COGT)
Market Price (2/28/2026): $38.87 | Market Cap: $5.8 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Cogent Biosciences (COGT)
Market Price (2/28/2026): $38.87Market Cap: $5.8 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -11% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.83, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -333 Mil | |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 222%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 456% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -9.9% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 137% | ||
| Key risksCOGT key risks include [1] its ongoing financial losses and reliance on future funding to continue operations, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -11% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.83, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -333 Mil |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 222%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 456% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -9.9% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 137% |
| Key risksCOGT key risks include [1] its ongoing financial losses and reliance on future funding to continue operations, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Multiple Positive Pivotal Clinical Trial Results for Bezuclastinib.
Cogent Biosciences announced positive top-line results across three pivotal trials for its lead drug candidate, bezuclastinib. In November 2025, the Phase 3 PEAK trial in gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GIST) demonstrated a highly statistically significant clinical benefit, reducing the risk of disease progression or death by 50% with a median progression-free survival (mPFS) of 16.5 months for the bezuclastinib combination versus 9.2 months for sunitinib monotherapy (HR=0.50, p<0.0001). Additionally, in December 2025, positive results from the APEX trial in Advanced Systemic Mastocytosis (AdvSM) showed an objective response rate of 57% by mIWG criteria and 80% by PPR criteria, with 89% of patients achieving a ≥50% reduction in bone marrow mast cells. Positive results were also reported for the SUMMIT trial in Non-Advanced Systemic Mastocytosis (NonAdvSM) in 2025.
2. Significant Regulatory Milestones and Designations.
The company achieved critical regulatory advancements, including the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) granting Breakthrough Therapy Designation for bezuclastinib in combination with sunitinib for GIST patients in January 2026. This designation is expected to accelerate the review process. Furthermore, Cogent submitted a New Drug Application (NDA) for bezuclastinib in NonAdvSM in December 2025 and initiated the PEAK NDA submission for second-line GIST under the Real-Time Oncology Review (RTOR) program in January 2026, with an APEX NDA for AdvSM on track for the first half of 2026.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 138.3% change in COGT stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/27/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 2272026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 16.30 | 38.85 | 138.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 114 | 150 | -23.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 2/27/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| COGT | 138.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 0.6% | 30.3% |
| Sector (XLV) | 11.1% | 13.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 240.2% change in COGT stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/27/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 2272026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 11.42 | 38.85 | 240.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 113 | 150 | -24.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 2/27/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| COGT | 240.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.8% | 25.7% |
| Sector (XLV) | 23.4% | 13.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 317.3% change in COGT stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/27/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 1312025 | 2272026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 9.31 | 38.85 | 317.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 110 | 150 | -26.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 2/27/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| COGT | 317.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.0% | 26.9% |
| Sector (XLV) | 10.5% | 19.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 158.0% change in COGT stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/27/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 1312023 | 2272026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 15.06 | 38.85 | 158.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 70 | 150 | -53.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 2/27/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| COGT | 158.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 75.0% | 24.7% |
| Sector (XLV) | 25.7% | 20.3% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| COGT Return | -24% | 35% | -49% | 33% | 355% | 11% | 251% |
| Peers Return | -22% | -46% | 21% | -16% | 79% | 4% | -20% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 1% | 84% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| COGT Win Rate | 42% | 33% | 33% | 58% | 67% | 100% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 42% | 53% | 50% | 67% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| COGT Max Drawdown | -47% | -54% | -65% | -26% | -48% | -4% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -29% | -61% | -32% | -48% | -33% | -14% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: RVMD, RLAY, VSTM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/27/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | COGT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -76.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 318.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 700 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -73.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 271.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 112 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -97.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 3188.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to RVMD, RLAY, VSTM
In The Past
Cogent Biosciences's stock fell -76.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/1/2022. A -76.1% loss requires a 318.5% gain to breakeven.
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About Cogent Biosciences (COGT)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-2 brief analogies to describe Cogent Biosciences:
Vertex Pharmaceuticals for certain rare cancers and genetic diseases. (Like Vertex's targeted approach to cystic fibrosis, Cogent focuses on precision therapies for specific genetically defined rare cancers and disorders.)
Moderna, but instead of mRNA vaccines, they focus on precision small molecule therapies for genetically defined rare cancers and disorders. (Similar to how Moderna specializes in an innovative technology platform, Cogent builds its pipeline around highly specific small molecule inhibitors for niche indications.)
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Bezopirdine (CGT9486): A selective inhibitor targeting the KIT D816V mutation, currently in clinical development for the treatment of systemic mastocytosis and gastrointestinal stromal tumors.
- CGT5696: A selective inhibitor of FGFR2, currently in early clinical development for the treatment of FGFR2-driven cholangiocarcinoma.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Cogent Biosciences (COGT) is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on developing precision therapies for patients with genetically defined diseases. As of its current stage, the company does not have any approved commercial products on the market, nor does it generate revenue from product sales.
Therefore, Cogent Biosciences does not currently have major commercial customers, either companies or individuals, that purchase its drugs or therapies. Its revenue primarily comes from capital raises (e.g., selling equity to investors) and potential future collaboration or licensing agreements with larger pharmaceutical companies, rather than from direct sales of products to customers or individuals.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Andrew Robbins, Chief Executive Officer and President
Mr. Robbins is an accomplished executive with over 20 years of commercial, development, and strategic leadership experience in the pharmaceutical industry, particularly in oncology and hematology products. He previously served as Chief Operating Officer at Array BioPharma until its acquisition by Pfizer in 2019, where he was responsible for leading sales, marketing, manufacturing, and corporate strategy teams, culminating in the successful commercialization of Mektovi and Braftovi. Prior to Array, he held management positions at Hospira, Inc. and Pfizer, Inc.'s Oncology business unit. Mr. Robbins also served on the Board of Directors for Harpoon Therapeutics, which was acquired by Merck in March 2024.
John Green, Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Green was appointed Chief Financial Officer in 2020.
Jessica Sachs, MD, Chief Medical Officer
Brad Barnett, Chief Technology Officer
Mr. Barnett is an experienced technical operations executive, with nearly 20 years at Array BioPharma, where he served as Vice President of Supply Chain & Manufacturing. He played a key role in bringing precision oncology medicines Mektovi and Braftovi to market and led their manufacturing integration into Pfizer following Array's acquisition.
John Robinson, PhD, Chief Scientific Officer
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Cogent Biosciences (COGT) are primarily concentrated around its financial stability, the inherent uncertainties of drug development and regulatory processes, and its significant reliance on a single lead asset.
- Financial Risks: No Revenue, Ongoing Losses, and Future Funding Needs
Cogent Biosciences is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company that currently generates no revenue from product sales and has incurred significant net losses since its inception, which are anticipated to continue. These losses are primarily driven by substantial research and development costs required to advance its drug candidates through clinical trials. The company's continued operations are reliant on its ability to secure additional funding, which has historically involved public offerings, leading to the dilution of existing shareholders, and is likely to continue to do so. - Drug Development and Regulatory Risks
The success of Cogent Biosciences is highly dependent on the successful development, clinical trial outcomes, and regulatory approval of its product candidates, most notably bezuclastinib. There is inherent uncertainty in drug development, and unfavorable or inconclusive clinical trial results for bezuclastinib (e.g., SUMMIT, APEX, PEAK trials) or unexpected safety signals could necessitate abandoning or limiting development. Furthermore, delays in the FDA New Drug Application (NDA) review timeline or failure to obtain regulatory approvals would significantly impact the company's ability to commercialize its drugs. The biotechnology sector is also intensely competitive, and rival companies may develop more effective, safer, or more affordable treatments. - High Dependence on Bezuclastinib Program
Cogent Biosciences' business is highly dependent on the success of its lead asset, bezuclastinib (CGT9486). This drug candidate is central to the company's investment narrative and is being developed for multiple indications, including systemic mastocytosis and gastrointestinal stromal tumors. While Cogent has other programs in earlier stages of development, the failure of bezuclastinib to achieve regulatory approval or commercial success would severely impact the company's prospects and financial viability.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Cogent Biosciences (NASDAQ: COGT) focuses on developing precision therapies, with its lead product candidate, bezuclastinib (CGT9486), targeting genetically defined diseases such as Non-Advanced Systemic Mastocytosis (Non-AdvSM), Advanced Systemic Mastocytosis (AdvSM), and Gastrointestinal Stromal Tumors (GIST). The addressable markets for bezuclastinib in these key indications are as follows:- For the aggregate market across Non-Advanced Systemic Mastocytosis, Advanced Systemic Mastocytosis, and Gastrointestinal Stromal Tumors, the total addressable market (TAM) is estimated to be up to $2.5 billion.
- This aggregate market can be broken down further:
- Non-Advanced Systemic Mastocytosis: $1.5 billion
- Advanced Systemic Mastocytosis: $300 million
- Gastrointestinal Stromal Tumors: $700 million
- Another estimate suggests that bezuclastinib could achieve aggregate U.S. annual sales of greater than $3 billion across GIST, Non-AdvSM, and AdvSM.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Cogent Biosciences (COGT) is a clinical-stage biotechnology company with no current revenue, meaning its future revenue growth will be driven by the successful development and commercialization of its pipeline assets. The primary expected drivers of future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years include:
- Commercial Launch of Bezuclastinib for Non-Advanced Systemic Mastocytosis (NonAdvSM): This is the most significant near-term revenue driver. Cogent Biosciences reported positive top-line results from the registration-directed SUMMIT trial for bezuclastinib in NonAdvSM in July 2025. The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has granted Breakthrough Therapy Designation for bezuclastinib in this indication, which is expected to expedite regulatory review. The company plans to submit its first New Drug Application (NDA) by the end of 2025, with an anticipated commercial launch in 2026. Analysts anticipate a robust market presence and significant growth potential, potentially capturing a substantial share of the non-AdvSM market.
- Potential Approval and Commercialization of Bezuclastinib for Advanced Systemic Mastocytosis (AdvSM): Top-line results from the registration-directed APEX trial for bezuclastinib in Advanced Systemic Mastocytosis are expected in the second half of 2025. Positive data and subsequent regulatory approval would open another significant market opportunity for bezuclastinib.
- Potential Approval and Commercialization of Bezuclastinib for Gastrointestinal Stromal Tumors (GIST): The pivotal Phase 3 PEAK trial evaluating bezuclastinib in second-line GIST patients is expected to report top-line results by the end of 2025 (or in November 2025). Successful outcomes and regulatory approval in this indication would further expand bezuclastinib's market potential, which has an aggregate total addressable market of up to $2.5 billion across systemic mastocytosis and GIST.
- Advancement and Potential Commercialization of Early-Stage Pipeline Candidates: Beyond bezuclastinib, Cogent Biosciences is developing other targeted therapies. This includes an ongoing Phase 1 study for its novel FGFR2 inhibitor (CGT4859). The company also plans to file Investigational New Drug (IND) applications for its ErbB2 and PI3Kα programs during 2025. Additionally, preclinical data for a pan-KRAS inhibitor program and a JAK2 V617F mutant-selective inhibitor program suggest future IND filings in 2026, representing longer-term growth potential. A Phase 1 trial for CGT4255, a CNS-penetrant ErbB2 inhibitor, is on track to initiate in November 2025.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Issuance
- In July 2025, Cogent Biosciences successfully closed an upsized underwritten public offering of 25,555,556 shares of common stock at $9.00 per share, generating net proceeds of $215.8 million.
- In November 2020, the company announced an underwritten public offering of $60.0 million of common stock, granting underwriters an option to purchase an additional $9.0 million in shares.
- As of November 2025, Cogent Biosciences also raised an additional $39 million through targeted share sales via its at-the-market (ATM) facility.
Inbound Investments
- In June 2025, Cogent Biosciences secured a non-dilutive debt financing facility of up to $400 million with SLR Capital Partners, drawing an initial tranche of $50 million at closing.
- Director Fairmount Funds Management LLC made a significant investment on July 14, 2025, purchasing 2,777,777 shares of the company's stock valued at approximately $25 million.
Outbound Investments
- In 2020, Cogent Biosciences acquired worldwide rights to develop and market its lead candidate, bezuclastinib (previously CGT0206), by purchasing Kiq Bio, assuming potential milestone obligations of $32.5 million, of which $2.5 million has been paid to date.
Capital Expenditures
- Cogent Biosciences anticipates its cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities will be sufficient to fund its operating expenses and capital expenditure requirements into late 2026 or into 2027.
- The primary focus for capital allocation and expenditures is on advancing its research and development pipeline, particularly for clinical trials such as SUMMIT, PEAK, and APEX, and the progression of early-stage programs.
- Research and development expenses were $69.0 million for the third quarter of 2025, an increase from $63.6 million in the third quarter of 2024, reflecting increased costs for ongoing clinical trials and preclinical programs.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
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| 01302026 | ABT | Abbott Laboratories | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.0% | 5.0% | -1.0% |
| 01302026 | VEEV | Veeva Systems | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -13.5% | -13.5% | -15.7% |
| 01162026 | BIIB | Biogen | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.0% | 16.0% | 0.0% |
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| 01162026 | DOCS | Doximity | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -40.9% | -40.9% | -42.4% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 24.55 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.8 |
| Rev LTM | 4 |
| Op Inc LTM | -330 |
| FCF LTM | -257 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -239 |
| CFO LTM | -256 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -237 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -16.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 189.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | - |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 263.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -2,556.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -3,096.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 3,159.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -1,982.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -2,271.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -1,984.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -2,288.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.8 |
| P/S | 121.5 |
| P/EBIT | -11.6 |
| P/E | -11.8 |
| P/CFO | -14.6 |
| Total Yield | -11.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -24.3% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.0% |
| 3M Rtn | 13.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 177.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 188.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 92.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 4.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 11.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 171.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 147.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 24.0% |
Segment Financials
Net Income by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Development and commercialization of precision therapies for genetically defined diseases | -256 | ||||
| Total | -256 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Development and commercialization of precision therapies for genetically defined diseases | 313 | 301 | 232 | 251 | |
| Total | 313 | 301 | 232 | 251 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $38.85 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 5.3 | |
| First Trading Date | 03/29/2018 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -7.7% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $37.68 | $21.09 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 3.1% | 84.2% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 46.1% | 137.3% |
| Downside Capture | 146.93 | 173.64 |
| Upside Capture | 121.22 | 320.12 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 18.4% | 26.6% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.88 | -0.37 | 6.96 | 4.12 | 1.89 | 1.69 |
| Up Beta | 3.34 | 2.15 | 28.72 | 13.70 | 1.74 | 1.85 |
| Down Beta | -1.89 | -2.34 | -0.38 | -0.09 | 1.55 | 1.56 |
| Up Capture | -77% | -21% | 944% | 721% | 802% | 454% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 34 | 71 | 142 | 430 |
| Stock +ve Days | 8 | 16 | 28 | 62 | 125 | 371 |
| Down Capture | -150% | 102% | 139% | 117% | 131% | 109% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 9 | 19 | 27 | 54 | 109 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 24 | 32 | 61 | 122 | 368 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with COGT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COGT | 361.6% | 135.0% | 1.56 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 9.9% | 17.4% | 0.38 | 21.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 16.5% | 19.4% | 0.66 | 27.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 81.3% | 25.7% | 2.29 | 6.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 13.4% | 16.9% | 0.58 | 9.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 7.3% | 16.6% | 0.25 | 15.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -20.2% | 44.9% | -0.37 | 16.0% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with COGT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COGT | 29.1% | 94.8% | 0.64 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 8.7% | 14.5% | 0.41 | 17.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.6% | 17.0% | 0.63 | 21.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 23.5% | 17.1% | 1.12 | 8.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.6% | 19.0% | 0.44 | 2.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.1% | 18.8% | 0.18 | 17.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 4.5% | 57.0% | 0.30 | 12.9% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with COGT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COGT | -3.6% | 168.8% | 0.37 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 11.1% | 16.5% | 0.56 | 10.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.4% | 17.9% | 0.74 | 12.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 15.3% | 15.6% | 0.82 | 5.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.7% | 17.6% | 0.41 | 4.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.6% | 20.7% | 0.28 | 7.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 66.2% | 66.8% | 1.06 | 7.2% |
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Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/3/2025 | -4.9% | -9.1% | 140.2% |
| 8/5/2025 | -5.7% | -9.3% | 8.5% |
| 5/6/2025 | -15.6% | -7.9% | 1.3% |
| 2/25/2025 | -6.3% | -6.2% | -7.5% |
| 11/12/2024 | -0.2% | -13.6% | -10.9% |
| 8/6/2024 | 1.3% | -7.0% | 25.6% |
| 5/7/2024 | 2.5% | -2.9% | 17.8% |
| 2/26/2024 | 0.8% | -2.8% | -22.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 8 | 11 |
| # Negative | 7 | 12 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 2.7% | 11.6% | 17.8% |
| Median Negative | -5.7% | -8.2% | -7.5% |
| Max Positive | 7.6% | 28.2% | 140.2% |
| Max Negative | -15.6% | -20.8% | -22.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/17/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/25/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/26/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/14/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/14/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/10/2022 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kearns, Evan | Chief Legal Officer | Direct | Sell | 12302025 | 38.70 | 65,000 | 2,515,500 | 4,233,703 | Form |
| 2 | Green, John L | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 12302025 | 38.68 | 77,000 | 2,978,360 | 5,099,339 | Form |
| 3 | Sachs, Jessica | Chief Medical Officer | Direct | Sell | 12302025 | 38.70 | 82,642 | 3,198,245 | 5,183,401 | Form |
| 4 | Robinson, John Edward | Chief Scientific Officer | Direct | Sell | 12302025 | 38.74 | 90,000 | 3,486,600 | 5,423,677 | Form |
| 5 | Fairmount, Funds Management Llc | Fairmount Healthcare Fund II LP | Buy | 7142025 | 9.00 | 2,777,777 | 24,999,993 | 81,030,762 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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