Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

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Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 5.1 Bil

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 2.1 Bil

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 36%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, Electrification of Everything, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Building Management Systems, Show more.

Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.8%

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -13%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -1.3%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 34x

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.9%

Key risks
CARR key risks include [1] a significant debt load and margin pressures from rising operating costs, Show more.

0 Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 5.1 Bil
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 2.1 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 36%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, Electrification of Everything, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Building Management Systems, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.8%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -13%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -1.3%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 34x
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.9%
8 Key risks
CARR key risks include [1] a significant debt load and margin pressures from rising operating costs, Show more.

CARR in ETFs

Weight = CARR's share of each fund

SPY0.09%
VOO0.08%
IVV0.09%
VTI0.07%
ITOT0.08%
IWB0.08%
RSP0.23%
VTV0.19%
+23 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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Updated on 6/25/2026

Carrier Global (CARR) stock has gained about 20% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Exceptional Fiscal Q1 2026 Earnings Performance.

Carrier Global reported stronger-than-anticipated fiscal Q1 2026 results on April 30, 2026, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.57, surpassing analysts' consensus estimates of $0.51. Quarterly revenue also exceeded expectations, reaching $5.34 billion against a consensus of $5.01 billion, marking a 2.36% increase year-over-year.

2. Accelerated Demand in Data Center Solutions.

The company demonstrated significant growth in its core climate solutions business, particularly driven by robust demand for data center cooling. Global data center orders surged by over 500% in fiscal Q1 2026, with the current backlog sufficient to cover the targeted $1.5 billion in data center sales for the year. Carrier's strategic focus on high-margin climate control systems for data centers, complemented by investments such as expanding its stake in ZutaCore for liquid cooling, has strongly positioned the company in a high-growth market.

Show more
Updated on 6/25/2026

Carrier Global (CARR) stock has gained about 20% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Exceptional Fiscal Q1 2026 Earnings Performance.

Carrier Global reported stronger-than-anticipated fiscal Q1 2026 results on April 30, 2026, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.57, surpassing analysts' consensus estimates of $0.51. Quarterly revenue also exceeded expectations, reaching $5.34 billion against a consensus of $5.01 billion, marking a 2.36% increase year-over-year.

2. Accelerated Demand in Data Center Solutions.

The company demonstrated significant growth in its core climate solutions business, particularly driven by robust demand for data center cooling. Global data center orders surged by over 500% in fiscal Q1 2026, with the current backlog sufficient to cover the targeted $1.5 billion in data center sales for the year. Carrier's strategic focus on high-margin climate control systems for data centers, complemented by investments such as expanding its stake in ZutaCore for liquid cooling, has strongly positioned the company in a high-growth market.

3. Strategic Share Repurchase Program and Reaffirmed Outlook.

Following its fiscal Q4 2025 earnings announcement on February 5, 2026, Carrier initiated a substantial $1.5 billion share repurchase program for 2026, indicating management's confidence in the company's valuation and future prospects. This was reinforced by the reaffirmation of its full-year 2026 guidance, projecting approximately $22 billion in revenue and an adjusted EPS of about $2.80, signaling continued high single-digit growth.

4. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Price Targets.

Throughout the period, Carrier Global maintained a consensus "Buy" rating from Wall Street analysts. The average price target for CARR stock, as of June 2026, ranged from approximately $74.09 to $76.25, suggesting potential upside and reflecting positive market sentiment regarding the company's strategic direction and financial outlook.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 18.4% change in CARR stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/25/2026 was primarily driven by a 33.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)22820266252026Change
Stock Price ($)64.1776.0018.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)21,74721,8700.6%
Net Income Margin (%)6.8%6.0%-12.2%
P/E Multiple36.348.433.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)8398350.5%
Cumulative Contribution18.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2026 to 6/25/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CARR18.4% 
Market (SPY)7.3%50.4%
Sector (XLI)4.2%72.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 39.6% change in CARR stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/25/2026 was primarily driven by a 317.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)113020256252026Change
Stock Price ($)54.4576.0039.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)22,05821,870-0.9%
Net Income Margin (%)18.1%6.0%-66.8%
P/E Multiple11.648.4317.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)8498351.7%
Cumulative Contribution39.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

11/30/2025 to 6/25/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CARR39.6% 
Market (SPY)8.1%45.7%
Sector (XLI)20.5%66.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 8.3% change in CARR stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/25/2026 was primarily driven by a 357.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)53120256252026Change
Stock Price ($)70.1776.008.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)22,28421,870-1.9%
Net Income Margin (%)25.8%6.0%-76.8%
P/E Multiple10.648.4357.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)8678353.8%
Cumulative Contribution8.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

5/31/2025 to 6/25/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CARR8.3% 
Market (SPY)26.0%44.1%
Sector (XLI)30.7%66.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 93.6% change in CARR stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/25/2026 was primarily driven by a 273.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)53120236252026Change
Stock Price ($)39.2676.0093.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)17,90721,87022.1%
Net Income Margin (%)14.1%6.0%-57.6%
P/E Multiple13.048.4273.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)8358350.0%
Cumulative Contribution93.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

5/31/2023 to 6/25/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CARR93.6% 
Market (SPY)82.6%55.0%
Sector (XLI)98.8%68.9%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
CARR Return45%-23%41%20%-22%41%111%
Peers Return35%-14%36%31%4%15%148%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%7%96%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CARR Win Rate83%42%50%75%25%67% 
Peers Win Rate75%37%52%60%48%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CARR Max Drawdown-15%-37%-22%-19%-37%-19% 
Peers Max Drawdown-14%-37%-19%-11%-25%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: JCI, TT, LII, HON, IR. See CARR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/25/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventCARRS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-15.8%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven18.8%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven23 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-13.6%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven15.7%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven43 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-10.5%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven11.8%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven42 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-34.6%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven53.0%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven263 days427 days

Compare to JCI, TT, LII, HON, IR

In The Past

Carrier Global's stock fell -15.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

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EventCARRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-34.6%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven53.0%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven263 days427 days

Compare to JCI, TT, LII, HON, IR

In The Past

Carrier Global's stock fell -15.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Carrier Global (CARR)

Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) is a global leader in providing essential technology solutions for buildings and cold chain management. The company specializes in heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC), refrigeration, and comprehensive fire and security systems. Carrier develops, manufactures, and services a wide range of products and integrated solutions designed to ensure comfort, efficiency, and safety across residential, commercial, and industrial environments worldwide.

The company's operations are organized into three primary segments. Its HVAC segment offers products like air conditioners, heating systems, and building automation controls, along with maintenance services, serving both individual homeowners and commercial enterprises. The Refrigeration segment focuses on transport refrigeration for trucks, trailers, and shipping containers, as well as commercial refrigeration solutions such as display cabinets and freezers for food retail and warehousing, supporting critical supply chain logistics. Lastly, the Fire & Security segment provides a full suite of technologies, including fire detection, suppression systems, intruder alarms, access control, and video management, catering to residential, commercial, and industrial clients seeking advanced safety and security.

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Analogies for Carrier Global (CARR):

Carrier is like Johnson Controls, but with a significant focus on refrigeration for transport and food retail.

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  • HVAC Systems: Provides air conditioners, heating systems, and related controls for residential and commercial customers.
  • Building Automation Solutions: Offers integrated systems and services for managing building heating, cooling, and ventilation needs.
  • Transport Refrigeration Products: Manufactures refrigeration units and monitoring products for trucks, trailers, and shipping containers.
  • Commercial Refrigeration Solutions: Supplies refrigerated cabinets, freezers, and control systems for food retail and warehouse applications.
  • Fire Detection & Suppression Systems: Develops and provides technologies for detecting and suppressing fire, flame, gas, smoke, and carbon monoxide.
  • Security & Access Control Systems: Offers intruder alarms, access control systems, and video management systems for various premises.
  • Fire & Security Services: Delivers audit, design, installation, maintenance, and monitoring services for fire and security technologies.

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Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) primarily sells its heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC), refrigeration, fire, security, and building automation technologies to other businesses (B2B).

While specific individual major customer names are not publicly disclosed due to the fragmented nature of its broad customer base, Carrier's products and services are acquired by a diverse range of companies across various industries. Its major customer categories include:

  1. **Commercial and Residential Property Developers, Builders, and Managers:** These customers procure Carrier's HVAC systems, building automation solutions, and fire & security technologies for new construction projects, renovations, and the ongoing operation of commercial buildings (e.g., offices, retail, hospitality, healthcare) and multi-family residential complexes.
  2. **Cold Chain, Logistics, and Food Retail Companies:** This category includes businesses requiring refrigeration solutions, such as trucking and shipping companies for transport refrigeration (Carrier Transicold), as well as supermarket chains, grocery stores, and food service providers for commercial refrigeration systems and warehouse cooling.
  3. **Industrial, Institutional, and Security Integration Businesses:** These customers rely on Carrier for specialized fire suppression systems, detection technologies, and integrated security solutions (e.g., access control, video management) for factories, data centers, government facilities, and other critical infrastructure. Security system integrators also purchase Carrier's components to deliver comprehensive solutions to their end clients.

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```html David L. Gitlin, Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

David L. Gitlin has served as Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Carrier Global Corporation since 2019, and was elected Chairman of the Board in April 2021. He led Carrier's spin-off from United Technologies in 2020. Prior to joining Carrier, he held significant leadership roles within United Technologies Corporation, including President and Chief Operating Officer of Collins Aerospace, and President of UTC Aerospace Systems. He has over two decades of experience in the aerospace industry. He also serves on the Board of Directors for The Boeing Company.

Patrick Goris, Executive Vice President & Chief Financial and Strategy Officer

Patrick Goris was appointed Executive Vice President & Chief Financial and Strategy Officer of Carrier in November 2020. In this role, he oversees all financial management aspects, enterprise strategy, and government relations for the company. Before joining Carrier, he served as Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer of Rockwell Automation from 2017 to 2020, and held other senior finance and investor relations roles at Rockwell Automation since 2006. He brings more than 30 years of leadership and financial management experience.

Ajay Agrawal, Senior Vice President, Global Services & Chief Business Development Officer

Ajay Agrawal is Senior Vice President, Global Services & Chief Business Development Officer at Carrier, responsible for accelerating growth through global services and aftermarket, as well as leading mergers, acquisitions, and Carrier Ventures. He was appointed Chief Strategy Officer and SVP, Global Services & Healthy Buildings in March 2021, after previously serving as SVP, Strategy & Services from October 2019 to March 2021. Prior to Carrier, he was Vice President, Aftermarket Services, for Collins Aerospace, where he led worldwide commercial and military aftermarket business and customer service organizations. He also held roles in UTC Corporate Strategy and as a management consultant at Bain & Company.

Nadia Villeneuve, Senior Vice President, Chief People & Communications Officer

Nadia Villeneuve leads Carrier's global human resources, communications, corporate social responsibility, and enterprise events functions. She was appointed Senior Vice President & Chief Human Resources Officer of Carrier at the time of the company's spin-off from United Technologies in April 2020, and later expanded her responsibilities to include Communications, Corporate Social Responsibility, Enterprise Events, and Flight Operations. She joined United Technologies, Carrier's former parent company, in 2000, and held various senior global HR leadership roles across aerospace and commercial businesses, including Chief Human Resources Officer for Pratt & Whitney and UTC Fire & Security Asia. She has 30 years of experience in human resources and enterprise leadership.

Thomas Heim, President, Climate Solutions Europe

Thomas Heim is President, Climate Solutions Europe, for Carrier, responsible for driving profitable growth through digitally enabled lifecycle solutions and a multi-brand, multi-tier channel strategy across the region. He also leads global marketing. He joined Carrier in January 2024 through the acquisition of Viessmann Climate Solutions. Previously, he served as President, Climate Solutions Europe Residential & Light Commercial, and before that, Chief Executive Officer of Viessmann Climate Solutions, following a role as Chief Sales & Marketing Officer. Earlier in his career, he held senior positions at Bosch.

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Key Risks for Carrier Global (CARR)

  1. Exposure to Cyclical Construction and Real Estate Markets: Carrier Global's demand for HVAC systems and commercial refrigeration solutions is significantly tied to new building construction, renovation, and the broader health of the commercial and residential real estate markets. A downturn or prolonged stagnation in these global markets could lead to reduced sales and profitability for Carrier's core segments.

  2. Regulatory and Technological Shifts in Refrigerants and Energy Efficiency: The company faces ongoing pressure to adapt to evolving environmental regulations, particularly concerning the phasing out of certain refrigerants (e.g., hydrofluorocarbons or HFCs) and increasingly stringent energy efficiency standards across its HVAC and refrigeration product lines. Failure to timely develop and implement compliant and competitive technologies could result in significant R&D costs, market share loss, or penalties.

  3. Supply Chain Disruptions and Commodity Price Volatility: As a global manufacturer, Carrier is susceptible to disruptions in its supply chain, including geopolitical events, natural disasters, and issues with key component availability (e.g., semiconductors). Additionally, fluctuations in the prices of raw materials such as copper, steel, and aluminum can significantly impact manufacturing costs and profit margins.

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  • Disruptive Solid-State Cooling Technologies: Ongoing research and development into solid-state cooling methods such as magnetocaloric, electrocaloric, and elastocaloric cooling present a long-term emerging threat. These technologies aim to eliminate the need for traditional refrigerants and vapor-compression systems, potentially offering significantly higher efficiencies and reduced environmental impact. If these technologies achieve commercial scalability and cost-effectiveness, they could fundamentally displace Carrier's core HVAC and refrigeration product lines, similar to how digital cameras supplanted film.
  • AI-Powered, Open-Source Building Management and Security Platforms: The increasing sophistication and adoption of AI and machine learning in building management systems, coupled with a push towards open-source standards for hardware integration, could commoditize Carrier's proprietary building automation and security control systems. Third-party software platforms that offer superior, vendor-agnostic intelligence for optimizing energy usage, security protocols, and occupant comfort could diminish the value proposition of Carrier's integrated hardware and software solutions, potentially reducing their role to being a hardware provider in a largely software-controlled environment.

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Carrier Global Corporation operates in several significant addressable markets globally, encompassing HVAC, Refrigeration, and Fire & Security technologies.

HVAC Segment

  • The global HVAC systems market was estimated at USD 258.96 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 445.73 billion by 2033, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.0%.
  • The global residential HVAC market size was valued at approximately USD 89.58 billion in 2024 and is poised to grow to USD 163.31 billion by 2033, with a CAGR of 6.9% during the forecast period (2026–2033). North America is the largest market, accounting for approximately 40% of the global market share, followed by Europe (around 30%) and Asia-Pacific (around 25%).
  • The global commercial HVAC market generated USD 74.81 billion in 2024 and is expected to hit USD 120.6 billion by 2029, exhibiting a CAGR of 7.7%. Asia-Pacific leads commercial HVAC growth, contributing 44% of global sales.

Refrigeration Segment

  • The global commercial refrigeration market size was valued at USD 85.6 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 161 billion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 6.6% from 2025 to 2034.
  • The global refrigerated transport market is projected to grow from USD 130.3 billion in 2025 to USD 233.4 billion by 2035, at a CAGR of 6.0%. North America, Asia-Pacific, and Europe are identified as key growth regions.

Fire & Security Segment

  • The global security market size was estimated at USD 143.55 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 225.21 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 7.6% from 2025 to 2030. North America dominated this market with a revenue share of 32% in 2024.
  • The global access control market size was estimated at USD 10.76 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 17.30 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 8.4% from 2025 to 2030. North America dominated with a revenue share of over 31% in 2024.
  • The global video management system (VMS) market size was valued at USD 17.34 billion in 2024 and is poised to grow to USD 86.83 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 19.6% during the forecast period (2026–2033).
  • The global burglar alarm systems market size was estimated at USD 4,388.1 million (USD 4.39 billion) in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 6,721.0 million (USD 6.72 billion) by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 6.3% from 2024 to 2030. North America was the largest revenue-generating market in 2023.
  • The global fire protection system market size is projected to grow from USD 85.06 billion in 2025 to USD 118.14 billion by 2030 at a CAGR of 6.8%. North America is projected to reach USD 42.95 billion by 2030.
  • The global fire suppression system market size was valued at USD 22,038.9 million (USD 22.04 billion) in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 34,973.6 million (USD 34.97 billion) by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 5.4% from 2025 to 2033.

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Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several key initiatives:

  1. Growth in Commercial HVAC, especially Data Center Cooling Solutions: Carrier Global is strategically positioned to capitalize on the increasing demand for advanced cooling systems in data centers. The company has reported significant increases in commercial HVAC orders, particularly from data center wins, and anticipates double-digit revenue growth in this area, with data center-related revenues expected to grow by approximately 50% in 2026 and nearly double in 2025 to roughly $1 billion.
  2. Expansion of Aftermarket Services and Digital Solutions: Carrier is focusing on expanding its aftermarket services, which include maintenance, parts, and digital solutions. This segment consistently shows strong performance, with aftermarket sales growing by 13% in Q2 2025 and expected to achieve its fifth consecutive year of double-digit growth. The company leverages AI to enhance service efficiency and customer satisfaction.
  3. Strategic Acquisitions and Focus on Sustainable Climate Solutions, particularly Heat Pumps in Europe: The acquisition of Viessmann Climate Solutions in 2024 is a significant driver, expected to deliver approximately $100 million in incremental revenue synergies in 2025 and enhance Carrier's capabilities in intelligent climate and energy solutions. This move reinforces the company's focus on global trends towards sustainability and energy efficiency, particularly the transition from boilers to heat pumps in Europe.
  4. Product Innovation and Technological Advancements: Carrier is investing in research and development and launching innovative products and technologies. This includes the development of AI-powered solutions for home energy management and the introduction of advanced cooling solutions like the AquaEdge® 30CF Chiller to enhance data center reliability. These innovations are crucial for maintaining market share and expanding into evolving markets.

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Share Repurchases

  • In October 2025, Carrier's Board of Directors approved a new $5 billion share repurchase authorization.
  • This new authorization, combined with an existing balance, increased the total current repurchase authorization to approximately $5.8 billion as of October 28, 2025.
  • Carrier repurchased 4,267,425 shares from Viessmann for $300 million in June 2025.

Share Issuance

  • Carrier Global's shares outstanding saw a 6.88% increase from 2023 to 2024, reaching 0.912 billion, but then declined by 5.41% to 0.862 billion in 2025.

Outbound Investments

  • Carrier completed the acquisition of Viessmann Climate Solutions for $13.1 billion in December 2023, enhancing its focus on climate and energy solutions.
  • The company made strategic acquisitions including Blaich Automation in August 2025 and AddVolt in May 2025.
  • Carrier made a strategic investment in Net Feasa to improve real-time monitoring of shipping containers during ocean transit through wireless IoT connectivity.

Capital Expenditures

  • For the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended December 2025, Carrier's capital expenditures were -$392 million.
  • The company plans to invest an additional $1 billion over five years (starting May 2025) in U.S. manufacturing, innovation, and workforce expansion.
  • This investment focuses on expanding existing facilities, constructing a new manufacturing site for heat pump components and battery assemblies, and accelerating next-generation research and development, particularly in liquid cooling for data centers.

Better Bets vs. Carrier Global (CARR)

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Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CARRJCITTLIIHONIRMedian
NameCarrier .Johnson .Trane Te.Lennox I.Honeywel.Ingersol. 
Mkt Price76.00145.49503.46570.73231.2481.70188.37
Mkt Cap63.589.0111.619.9146.832.076.2
Rev LTM21,87024,43321,6035,25836,7637,78121,736
Op Inc LTM1,5843,3733,9251,0626,3191,5002,478
FCF LTM1,6861,3663,137661-1,1611,366
FCF 3Y Avg1,4231,8732,764661-1,2521,423
CFO LTM2,1091,7383,481810-1,2991,738
CFO 3Y Avg1,8812,2953,116845-1,3861,881

Growth & Margins

CARRJCITTLIIHONIRMedian
NameCarrier .Johnson .Trane Te.Lennox I.Honeywel.Ingersol. 
Rev Chg LTM-1.9%5.1%6.4%-2.0%6.4%6.9%5.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg7.1%4.8%9.9%3.5%0.9%7.8%5.9%
Rev Chg Q2.4%8.2%6.0%5.8%2.4%7.6%5.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.6%1.9%1.3%1.2%0.6%1.7%1.3%
Op Inc Chg LTM-30.3%2.7%6.5%1.4%-3.4%2.6%2.0%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-2.9%29.1%16.7%16.3%-2.5%16.6%16.4%
Op Mgn LTM7.2%13.8%18.2%20.2%17.2%19.3%17.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.3%11.8%17.7%19.1%18.3%19.4%18.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.5%0.6%-0.4%-0.3%-0.1%-0.5%-0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM9.6%7.1%16.1%15.4%-16.7%15.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg8.8%10.1%15.5%16.2%-19.0%15.5%
FCF/Rev LTM7.7%5.6%14.5%12.6%-14.9%12.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg6.7%8.2%13.7%12.7%-17.1%12.7%

Valuation

CARRJCITTLIIHONIRMedian
NameCarrier .Johnson .Trane Te.Lennox I.Honeywel.Ingersol. 
Mkt Cap63.589.0111.619.9146.832.076.2
P/S2.93.65.23.84.04.13.9
P/Op Inc40.126.428.418.723.221.324.8
P/EBIT33.832.828.718.924.927.428.0
P/E48.425.238.524.735.854.537.1
P/CFO30.151.232.024.5-24.630.1
Total Yield3.3%4.5%3.4%4.5%4.3%1.9%3.9%
Dividend Yield1.2%0.5%0.8%0.4%1.5%0.1%0.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.8%3.4%3.5%3.7%-3.7%3.5%
D/E0.20.10.00.10.30.20.1
Net D/E0.20.10.00.10.20.10.1

Returns

CARRJCITTLIIHONIRMedian
NameCarrier .Johnson .Trane Te.Lennox I.Honeywel.Ingersol. 
1M Rtn17.1%4.0%9.4%13.6%-0.2%12.8%11.1%
3M Rtn39.5%10.9%23.9%30.2%3.3%0.4%17.4%
6M Rtn43.2%20.6%28.6%15.4%18.7%0.2%19.6%
12M Rtn6.5%42.6%18.9%2.1%13.0%-1.8%9.7%
3Y Rtn62.2%133.0%178.5%86.6%29.1%29.6%74.4%
1M Excs Rtn19.3%6.2%11.5%15.7%1.9%14.9%13.2%
3M Excs Rtn17.1%-5.5%4.7%6.9%-8.6%-13.9%-0.4%
6M Excs Rtn37.0%15.0%22.8%8.9%12.3%-6.2%13.7%
12M Excs Rtn-14.3%21.5%-2.3%-19.4%-9.2%-23.0%-11.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-1.3%66.4%112.1%20.7%-37.1%-39.9%9.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Climate Solutions Americas (CSA)10,47010,527   
Climate Solutions Europe (CSE)5,0444,984   
Climate Solutions Asia Pacific, Middle East & Africa (CSAME)3,3393,500   
Limate Solutions Transportation (CST)2,8943,475   
Corporate and other  -6  
Heating, ventilating and air conditioning (HVAC)  15,13913,40811,390
Refrigeration  3,8183,8834,127
Eliminations and other   -440-419
Fire & Security   3,5705,515
General corporate expenses   0 
Total21,74722,48618,95120,42120,613


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Climate Solutions Americas (CSA)2,1502,323   
Limate Solutions Transportation (CST)452485   
Climate Solutions Asia Pacific, Middle East & Africa (CSAME)448466   
Climate Solutions Europe (CSE)444469   
Commercial Refrigeration business (CCR) gain7318   
Acquisition on step-up amortization0-282   
Bridge loan financing costs00   
Gain on liability adjustment046   
Toshiba Carrier Corporation (TCC) Acquisition-related adjustment00   
Viessmann-related hedges0-86   
VCS pre-acquisition product replacement cost-380   
Acquisition/divestiture-related costs-55-95   
Restructuring costs-178-108   
Corporate and other-202-201-543  
Amortization of acquired intangibles-856-689   
Heating, ventilating and air conditioning (HVAC)  2,2752,6101,738
Refrigeration  428483476
Eliminations and other   -80-96
Fire & Security   1,630662
General corporate expenses   -128-135
Total2,1722,6462,1604,5152,645


Assets by Segment
$ Mil202520242023
Goodwill15,50114,6017,520
Intangible assets, net6,3266,432945
Fixed assets, net3,1652,9992,160
Climate Solutions Europe (CSE)1,6601,590 
Cash and cash equivalents1,5553,9699,852
Climate Solutions Americas (CSA)1,4721,405 
Equity method investments1,3211,1941,140
Other assets, current1,264972728
Future income tax benefits1,0741,131718
Climate Solutions Asia Pacific, Middle East & Africa (CSAME)988952 
Limate Solutions Transportation (CST)915818 
Other assets668558310
Assets held for sale59205,093
Operating lease right-of-use assets546554421
Corporate and other87185 
Pension and post-retirement assets564332
Eliminations and other  171
Heating, ventilating and air conditioning (HVAC)  2,899
Refrigeration  833
Total37,19037,40332,822


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$76.00 
Market Cap ($ Bil)63.5 
First Trading Date03/19/2020 
Distance from 52W High-4.8% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$65.87$59.54
DMA Trendindeterminateup
Distance from DMA15.4%27.7%
 3M1YR
Volatility45.2%35.9%
Downside Capture44.79118.50
Upside Capture141.4698.02
Correlation (SPY)49.0%44.3%
CARR Betas & Captures as of 5/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta2.921.891.651.341.271.18
Up Beta4.462.471.871.671.451.06
Down Beta3.063.212.452.161.631.14
Up Capture100%105%103%98%75%185%
Bmk +ve Days13283667141432
Stock +ve Days8223366123389
Down Capture429%166%157%84%123%107%
Bmk -ve Days7132757109318
Stock -ve Days12193058126359

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CARR
CARR6.5%35.8%0.24-
Sector ETF (XLI)28.4%16.4%1.3466.1%
Equity (SPY)22.1%12.4%1.3344.2%
Gold (GLD)20.8%27.7%0.6716.2%
Commodities (DBC)23.3%18.5%0.99-18.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)11.6%13.8%0.5531.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-42.9%42.5%-1.2010.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CARR
CARR12.1%32.0%0.40-
Sector ETF (XLI)14.5%17.6%0.6571.5%
Equity (SPY)13.3%17.1%0.6061.1%
Gold (GLD)17.4%18.3%0.779.5%
Commodities (DBC)7.9%19.5%0.307.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.8%18.9%0.0551.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)9.8%54.1%0.3819.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CARR
CARR21.3%37.6%0.92-
Sector ETF (XLI)14.7%20.0%0.6460.0%
Equity (SPY)15.3%18.0%0.7350.7%
Gold (GLD)11.6%16.1%0.595.0%
Commodities (DBC)5.9%18.0%0.2510.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.5%20.7%0.2344.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)56.4%66.5%0.9715.2%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date6152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity16.6 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 5312026-1.7%
Average Daily Volume6.7 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.5 days
Basic Shares Quantity835.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares2.0%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/3/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
4/30/20268.8%10.4%3.8%
10/28/20250.8%-0.4%-7.1%
7/29/2025-10.6%-17.0%-17.1%
5/1/202511.6%12.3%14.2%
2/11/2025-1.6%0.5%-1.2%
10/24/2024-8.8%-7.7%-4.7%
7/25/2024-1.8%3.2%5.4%
4/25/20249.2%11.6%17.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101214
# Negative13119
Median Positive3.4%7.2%8.7%
Median Negative-1.8%-2.0%-2.3%
Max Positive11.6%12.3%19.5%
Max Negative-10.6%-17.0%-17.1%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
4/30/20268.8%10.4%3.8%
10/28/20250.8%-0.4%-7.1%
7/29/2025-10.6%-17.0%-17.1%
5/1/202511.6%12.3%14.2%
2/11/2025-1.6%0.5%-1.2%
10/24/2024-8.8%-7.7%-4.7%
7/25/2024-1.8%3.2%5.4%
4/25/20249.2%11.6%17.9%
2/6/2024-3.5%-0.4%2.6%
10/26/2023-1.0%6.0%13.1%
7/27/20234.3%8.4%-0.9%
4/25/2023-3.9%-1.2%-2.0%
2/7/2023-3.8%-1.5%2.7%
10/27/20222.4%5.8%19.5%
7/28/2022-0.2%3.1%6.2%
4/28/2022-1.7%-1.7%-1.9%
2/8/20220.7%-2.0%-2.5%
10/28/20212.6%-2.0%4.4%
7/29/20214.6%10.6%11.3%
4/29/2021-0.8%-2.5%2.1%
2/9/2021-6.2%-5.8%-2.3%
10/29/20202.6%10.7%13.8%
7/30/2020-1.0%3.4%11.4%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101214
# Negative13119
Median Positive3.4%7.2%8.7%
Median Negative-1.8%-2.0%-2.3%
Max Positive11.6%12.3%19.5%
Max Negative-10.6%-17.0%-17.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202604/30/202610-Q
12/31/202502/05/202610-K
09/30/202510/28/202510-Q
06/30/202507/29/202510-Q
03/31/202505/01/202510-Q
12/31/202402/11/202510-K
09/30/202410/25/202410-Q
06/30/202407/25/202410-Q
03/31/202404/25/202410-Q
12/31/202302/06/202410-K
09/30/202310/26/202310-Q
06/30/202307/27/202310-Q
03/31/202304/26/202310-Q
12/31/202202/07/202310-K
09/30/202210/27/202210-Q
06/30/202207/28/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202604/30/202610-Q
12/31/202502/05/202610-K
09/30/202510/28/202510-Q
06/30/202507/29/202510-Q
03/31/202505/01/202510-Q
12/31/202402/11/202510-K
09/30/202410/25/202410-Q
06/30/202407/25/202410-Q
03/31/202404/25/202410-Q
12/31/202302/06/202410-K
09/30/202310/26/202310-Q
06/30/202307/27/202310-Q
03/31/202304/26/202310-Q
12/31/202202/07/202310-K
09/30/202210/27/202210-Q
06/30/202207/28/202210-Q
03/31/202204/28/202210-Q
12/31/202102/08/202210-K
09/30/202110/28/202110-Q
06/30/202107/29/202110-Q
03/31/202104/29/202110-Q
12/31/202002/09/202110-K
09/30/202010/29/202010-Q
06/30/202007/31/202010-Q
03/31/202005/11/202010-Q
12/31/201903/13/2020S-1

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 5/31/2026

Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/30/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Revenue 22.00 Bil 0 Same NewActual: 22.00 Bil for 2025
2026 EPS 2.8 5.7% Higher NewActual: 2.65 for 2025
2026 Free Cash Flow 2.00 Bil 0 Same NewActual: 2.00 Bil for 2025

Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/28/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2025 Revenue 22.00 Bil -4.3% LoweredGuidance: 23.00 Bil for 2025
2025 Operating Margin15.0%15.25%15.5%-9.0%-1.5%LoweredGuidance: 16.75% for 2025
2025 EPS 2.65 -13.1% LoweredGuidance: 3.05 for 2025
2025 Free Cash Flow 2.00 Bil -20.0% LoweredGuidance: 2.50 Bil for 2025

Insider Activity

Updated 5/20/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Viessmann, MaximilianSee FootnoteSell520202662.0112,094,823749,999,9742,355,095,525Form
2Gitlin, David LChairman and CEODirectBuy1125202552.6219,3001,015,57228,124,182Form
3Viessmann, MaximilianSee FootnoteSell605202570.304,267,425299,999,9783,820,209,840Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Viessmann, MaximilianSee FootnoteSell520202662.0112,094,823749,999,9742,355,095,525Form
2Gitlin, David LChairman and CEODirectBuy1125202552.6219,3001,015,57228,124,182Form
3Viessmann, MaximilianSee FootnoteSell605202570.304,267,425299,999,9783,820,209,840Form
Core Cache Last Updated: 6/25/2026