Candel Therapeutics (CADL)
Market Price (12/15/2025): $6.355 | Market Cap: $348.9 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Candel Therapeutics (CADL)
Market Price (12/15/2025): $6.355Market Cap: $348.9 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -28% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.87, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Show more. | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -41 Mil | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 126% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -28% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Show more. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.87, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -41 Mil |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 126% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CADL Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The following are key points explaining the movement of Candel Therapeutics (CADL) stock during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 15, 2025:
1. Positive Clinical Data Presentations: Candel Therapeutics highlighted encouraging clinical progress, including new Phase 3 subgroup analyses of CAN-2409 in localized prostate cancer that demonstrated statistically significant improvements in disease-free survival, presented at the American Society for Radiation Oncology (ASTRO) 2025 meeting. The company also showcased updated survival data from its Phase 1b CAN-3110 trial in recurrent high-grade glioma.
2. Strategic Financing Secured: In October 2025, Candel Therapeutics entered into a $130 million term loan facility with Trinity Capital Inc., drawing $50 million upon closing. This financing is intended to fund ongoing operations, including the initiation of a pivotal Phase 3 trial for CAN-2409 in metastatic non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and preparations for a Biologics License Application (BLA) submission for localized prostate cancer.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CADL Return | � | � | -77% | -18% | 490% | -25% | � |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | � | � | 7% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 111% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CADL Win Rate | � | 60% | 33% | 33% | 50% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | � | � | 37% | 47% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CADL Max Drawdown | � | � | -81% | -62% | -18% | -49% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | -57% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: REPL, CGON, TOVX, GNLX, ONCY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CADL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -94.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1662.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 194 days | 464 days |
Compare to VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN
In The Past
Candel Therapeutics's stock fell -94.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/26/2021. A -94.3% loss requires a 1662.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CADL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.0% | 15.0% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.1% | -5.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.0% | 9.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.0% | 16.0% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.0% | 15.0% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.1% | -5.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.0% | 9.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.0% | 16.0% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Candel Therapeutics
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 5.33 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.3 |
| Rev LTM | 0 |
| Op Inc LTM | -38 |
| FCF LTM | -30 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -30 |
| CFO LTM | -30 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -29 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 58.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -98.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3,774.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 294.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -8,285.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -14,894.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 20,260.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -5,372.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -11,550.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -5,387.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -11,557.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.3 |
| P/S | 1,444.9 |
| P/EBIT | -9.0 |
| P/E | -4.6 |
| P/CFO | -6.2 |
| Total Yield | -22.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -35.2% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -2.3% |
| 3M Rtn | 16.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 32.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 8.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | -54.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -4.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 10.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 18.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 5.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -122.3% |
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/13/2025 | -6.3% | -10.2% | |
| 8/14/2025 | -5.6% | -13.1% | -25.2% |
| 3/13/2025 | 10.2% | 3.9% | -37.4% |
| 11/14/2024 | 0.2% | -7.2% | 57.3% |
| 8/13/2024 | 4.7% | -5.9% | 18.1% |
| 3/28/2024 | 2.6% | 315.6% | 314.9% |
| 11/9/2023 | -13.0% | -2.3% | -10.0% |
| 8/10/2023 | -3.6% | 1.8% | 7.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| # Negative | 6 | 7 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 4.7% | 9.6% | 28.7% |
| Median Negative | -4.6% | -7.2% | -13.7% |
| Max Positive | 12.6% | 315.6% | 314.9% |
| Max Negative | -13.0% | -17.3% | -37.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11132025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8142025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5132025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3132025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11142024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8132024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5142024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3282024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8102023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5112023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3302023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11102022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5122022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3292022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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