Tearsheet

Candel Therapeutics (CADL)


Market Price (2/3/2026): $5.88 | Market Cap: $322.8 Mil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Candel Therapeutics (CADL)


Market Price (2/3/2026): $5.88
Market Cap: $322.8 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -25%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.97, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Show more.
  Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -41 Mil
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11%
3   Key risks
CADL key risks include [1] its critical dependence on the clinical trial success and regulatory approval of its lead candidate, Show more.
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -25%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Show more.
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.97, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17%
3 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -41 Mil
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11%
6 Key risks
CADL key risks include [1] its critical dependence on the clinical trial success and regulatory approval of its lead candidate, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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Candel Therapeutics (CADL) stock has gained about 10% since 10/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Positive Clinical Trial Data for Key Candidates. Candel Therapeutics reported encouraging survival data from the CAN-3110 study in recurrent glioblastoma, which laid the groundwork for a Phase II trial and prompted Freedom Capital to increase its estimate of the program's probability of approval in November 2025. Additionally, positive Phase 3 clinical trial results for CAN-2409 in localized prostate cancer were presented at ASTRO 2025, demonstrating significant improvements in disease-free survival and prostate cancer-specific disease-free survival.

2. Substantial Funding Secured to Extend Cash Runway. In October 2025, Candel Therapeutics secured a $130 million term loan facility with Trinity Capital Inc. This capital infusion, with an initial draw of $50 million, is expected to fund operations into Q1 2027 and is critical for advancing the pivotal Phase 3 trial of CAN-2409 in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and preparing for the Biologics License Application (BLA) submission for prostate cancer in Q4 2026.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 9.1% change in CADL stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/2/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)103120252022026Change
Stock Price ($)5.385.879.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)000.0%
P/S Multiple∞∞0.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)5155-6.2%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 2/2/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CADL9.1% 
Market (SPY)2.0%37.2%
Sector (XLV)7.9%11.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The -8.9% change in CADL stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/2/2026 was primarily driven by a -8.0% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)73120252022026Change
Stock Price ($)6.455.87-8.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)000.0%
P/S Multiple∞∞0.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)5055-8.0%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 2/2/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CADL-8.9% 
Market (SPY)10.3%32.1%
Sector (XLV)19.9%19.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The -17.0% change in CADL stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/2/2026 was primarily driven by a -41.7% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)13120252022026Change
Stock Price ($)7.075.87-17.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)000.0%
P/S Multiple∞∞0.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3255-41.7%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2025 to 2/2/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CADL-17.0% 
Market (SPY)16.6%44.8%
Sector (XLV)7.4%30.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 128.4% change in CADL stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/2/2026 was primarily driven by a 9.2233720368547763E17% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120232022026Change
Stock Price ($)2.575.87128.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)00 
P/S Multiple598.7∞9.2233720368547763E17%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2955-47.4%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2023 to 2/2/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CADL128.4% 
Market (SPY)77.5%6.6%
Sector (XLV)22.2%0.7%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
CADL Return12%-77%-18%490%-35%3%-17%
Peers Return-33%-22%9%-36%3%-9%-65%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%1%85%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CADL Win Rate67%33%33%50%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate25%36%40%38%45%20% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CADL Max Drawdown-18%-81%-62%-18%-49%-6% 
Peers Max Drawdown-35%-58%-33%-59%-58%-17% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-1% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: REPL, CGON, TOVX, GNLX, ONCY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/2/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCADLS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-94.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1662.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven194 days464 days

Compare to REPL, CGON, TOVX, GNLX, ONCY

In The Past

Candel Therapeutics's stock fell -94.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/26/2021. A -94.3% loss requires a 1662.7% gain to breakeven.

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About Candel Therapeutics (CADL)

Candel Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in the development immunotherapies for the cancer patients. The company develops CAN-2409, which is in Phase II clinical trails for the treatment of pancreatic cancer; Phase III clinical trials for the treatment of prostate cancer; and Phase II clinical trials for the treatment of lung cancer, as well as has completed Phase Ib/II clinical trials for the treatment of high-grade glioma. It also develops CAN-3110, which is in Phase I clinical trials for the treatment of recurrent glioblastoma. The company was formerly known as Advantagene, Inc. and changed its name to Candel Therapeutics, Inc. in November 2020. The company was incorporated in 2003 and is based in Needham, Massachusetts.

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1. A clinical-stage Moderna or BioNTech for cancer therapies, but using oncolytic viruses instead of mRNA.

2. The Kite Pharma (Gilead Sciences) of viral immunotherapies for solid tumor cancers.

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  • CAN-2409: A viral immunotherapy designed to induce an individualized anti-tumor immune response, currently in clinical trials for various cancers including prostate, pancreatic, and non-small cell lung cancer.
  • CAN-3110: An oncolytic viral immunotherapy engineered to selectively replicate within and destroy cancer cells while stimulating an immune response, currently in development for recurrent high-grade glioma.
  • ENACT Platform: A proprietary adeno-associated virus (AAV) based platform for delivering therapeutic genes directly to cancer cells to generate localized and systemic anti-tumor immune responses.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Candel Therapeutics (CADL) is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on developing novel viral immunotherapies for cancer.

As of the current date, Candel Therapeutics does not have any commercially approved products available for sale to other companies or individuals. Therefore, the company does not currently generate revenue from product sales and does not have "major customers" in the traditional sense.

The company's primary activities are research and development, funded through equity financing, grants, and collaborations, rather than sales of commercial products.

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Paul Peter Tak, M.D., Ph.D., FMedSci
President & Chief Executive Officer

Dr. Tak has served as President and Chief Executive Officer and a member of the board of directors of Candel Therapeutics since September 2020, overseeing the company's IPO on Nasdaq in 2021. He previously held the position of President and CEO at Tempero Pharmaceuticals, which was acquired by GlaxoSmithKline (GSK). He also served as President and CEO of Kintai Therapeutics, which later merged with Senda Biosciences. Dr. Tak was a venture partner at Flagship Pioneering and previously served as Senior Vice President, Chief Immunology Officer, and Global Development Leader at GSK from 2011 to 2018. He is also a co-founder and board director of Sitryx Therapeutics, a board director of Levicept, and the Chair of Citryll.

Charles Schoch
Chief Financial Officer

Mr. Schoch was appointed permanent Chief Financial Officer of Candel Therapeutics in June 2025, after serving as interim CFO since January 2024. He joined Candel in November 2021 and previously held roles as VP of Finance and Corporate Controller, and then Senior VP. During his tenure as interim CFO, he led a capital raise that generated approximately $86 million in net proceeds. Prior to Candel, Mr. Schoch was Corporate Controller at Corbus Pharmaceuticals from 2019 to 2021. He also spent seven years in PwC's Health Industry assurance practice, working with a diverse range of audit clients from pre-IPO to multinational public companies in the life sciences sector. Earlier in his career, Mr. Schoch worked for several Third Rock Venture portfolio companies, indicating a pattern of managing companies backed by private equity firms.

W. Garrett Nichols, M.D., M.S.
Chief Medical Officer

Dr. Nichols joined Candel Therapeutics as Chief Medical Officer in September 2022. From April 2020 to April 2022, he served as Chief Medical Officer for Istari Oncology, Inc., an oncolytic viral immunotherapy company. Before that, he was the Chief Medical Officer at Chimerix, Inc. from 2014-2020, where he was involved in the development of brincidofovir (TEMBEXA). Dr. Nichols led multiple global development programs in the United States and Europe for GlaxoSmithKline and ViiV Healthcare, Inc., including the Phase 2 and Phase 3 development and global regulatory submissions that led to the approval of dolutegravir (TIVICAY) and its fixed-dose combination product (TRIUMEQ) for HIV treatment.

Francesca Barone, M.D., Ph.D.
Chief Scientific Officer

Dr. Barone serves as Chief Scientific Officer at Candel Therapeutics, where she is responsible for overseeing scientific discovery, the development of the company's novel viral immunotherapies, and its biomarker strategy. Prior to joining Candel, Dr. Barone was Vice President and Head of Experimental Medicine at Flagship Pioneering's Kintai Therapeutics (now Senda Biosciences). Before her industry roles, she held academic positions as Reader in Translational Rheumatology and Academic Director of Business Engagement for the College of Medical and Dental Sciences at the University of Birmingham.

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Candel Therapeutics (CADL), a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, faces several key risks inherent to its stage of development and the competitive biotechnology landscape. The most significant risk to Candel Therapeutics is the **clinical trial and regulatory approval process** of its product candidates. The company's future success is heavily dependent on the positive outcomes of its ongoing clinical trials, particularly for its lead candidate, CAN-2409, which is in Phase 3 trials for prostate cancer. Any failure to demonstrate adequate safety and efficacy in these trials, or unexpected delays, could prevent or significantly hinder regulatory approval and commercialization. Even with promising results, the regulatory approval process is lengthy, time-consuming, and inherently unpredictable, with no guarantee of expedited marketing approval, even with designations like Fast Track. A second major risk is Candel Therapeutics' **financial viability due to its lack of revenue and high burn rate**. As a pre-commercial company, Candel Therapeutics currently generates no product sales and has historically incurred significant operating losses. The company anticipates continuing to incur substantial expenses and increasing operating losses for at least the next several years. While it has secured some financing, its ability to continue as a going concern relies on obtaining sufficient additional funding. The need for future capital raises could lead to further shareholder dilution. Finally, Candel Therapeutics faces **market acceptance and commercialization risk**. Even if its product candidates, such as CAN-2409, receive regulatory approval, there is no guarantee that they will achieve broad market acceptance. The product candidates are based on a novel approach to cancer treatment, which makes it challenging to predict the time and cost associated with development and subsequent market adoption. Factors such as pricing, reimbursement policies, and the integration of these novel therapies into existing medical practices could limit the revenue generated from sales.

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The rapid advancement and significant investment in messenger RNA (mRNA) based cancer vaccines by major pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies (e.g., Moderna, BioNTech) represent a clear emerging threat. While Candel Therapeutics focuses on oncolytic viral immunotherapies to stimulate anti-tumor immunity, mRNA vaccines offer an alternative, non-viral platform to achieve similar therapeutic goals. This emerging technology could potentially provide superior safety profiles, enhanced manufacturing scalability, and greater adaptability for personalized cancer treatments or broad-spectrum immune responses, challenging the market positioning and future adoption of oncolytic viral therapies.

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Candel Therapeutics (CADL) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing viral immunotherapies for various cancers. Their main product candidates, CAN-2409 and CAN-3110, target several significant addressable markets:

  • CAN-2409 for Localized Prostate Cancer: The addressable market for CAN-2409 in localized prostate cancer is potentially over $10 billion in the U.S. alone. Approximately 65,000 patients in the U.S. per year are estimated to have intermediate-to-high-risk localized prostate cancer.
  • CAN-2409 for Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma (PDAC): The global market for PDAC therapies was approximately $29.7 billion and is projected to increase to $38 billion by the end of 2030.
  • CAN-2409 for Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC): The global non-small cell lung cancer therapeutics market size was estimated at $21.45 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $43.89 billion by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12.71% from 2025 to 2030. North America held a 35.41% market share in 2024 for NSCLC therapeutics.
  • CAN-3110 for Recurrent High-Grade Glioma: The global glioblastoma market is estimated at $1.30 billion in 2025 and is expected to grow to $3.12 billion by 2032. Another estimate places the glioblastoma multiforme treatment market at $3.6 billion in 2024, with a projected increase to $8.3 billion by 2034.

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Candel Therapeutics (CADL), a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, anticipates its future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years to be primarily driven by the advancement and potential commercialization of its lead immunotherapy candidates. As the company currently does not generate revenue from product sales, these drivers are contingent on successful clinical development and regulatory approvals.

Here are the key expected drivers of future revenue growth:

  1. Regulatory Approval and Commercialization of CAN-2409 in Prostate Cancer: Candel Therapeutics has reported positive Phase 3 clinical trial data for CAN-2409 in localized prostate cancer, demonstrating a 30% reduction in cancer recurrence risk and an 80.4% pathological complete response rate. The company plans to submit a Biologics License Application (BLA) for CAN-2409 in prostate cancer in the fourth quarter of 2026. The U.S. FDA has granted CAN-2409 Regenerative Medicine Advanced Therapy (RMAT) and Fast Track designations, which could accelerate its regulatory review and enhance its commercial positioning.
  2. Advancement of CAN-2409 in Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma (PDAC) and Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC): Beyond prostate cancer, CAN-2409 has shown promising clinical results in other indications. Updated overall survival data for CAN-2409 in pancreatic cancer indicates a median overall survival of 28.8 to 31.4 months compared to 12.5 months in the control group. The FDA has also granted Orphan Drug Designation to CAN-2409 for PDAC. In non-small cell lung cancer, Phase 2a data showed a median overall survival of 24.5 months in patients with advanced NSCLC who inadequately responded to immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) treatment, which is significantly longer than outcomes typically seen with standard chemotherapy. Continued positive data and subsequent regulatory pathways in these indications could open additional significant revenue streams.
  3. Development and Clinical Progress of CAN-3110 in Recurrent High-Grade Glioma (rHGG): Candel is also advancing CAN-3110, a different oncolytic viral immunotherapy, in a Phase 1b clinical trial for recurrent high-grade glioma. The company expects to report additional clinical and biomarker activity data from this trial in the fourth quarter of 2025. Successful progression of CAN-3110 through clinical development could represent another substantial driver of future revenue, addressing a challenging and underserved tumor type.
  4. Pipeline Expansion through the enLIGHTEN™ Discovery Platform: Candel Therapeutics is leveraging its proprietary enLIGHTEN™ Discovery Platform to generate new viral immunotherapies. This platform utilizes human biology and machine learning to design novel viral constructs. While candidates from this platform are in earlier stages, successful development of new experimental assets, such as those designed to interfere with pathways like CD47/SIRP1α, could contribute to a broader and deeper product pipeline, leading to long-term revenue growth beyond the immediate 2-3 year horizon.

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Share Issuance

  • Candel Therapeutics completed an initial public offering (IPO) on July 27, 2021, offering 9,000,000 shares of common stock at an expected price of $8.00 per share.
  • In December 2024, Candel Therapeutics closed a public offering, generating approximately $92 million in gross proceeds from the sale of 12,000,001 shares of common stock at $6.00 per share and 3,333,333 pre-funded warrants at $5.99 per warrant.
  • The company executed a $15 million registered direct offering of common stock in June 2025, involving the sale of 3.2 million shares.

Inbound Investments

  • In October 2025, Candel Therapeutics secured a five-year, $130 million term loan facility with Trinity Capital, having already drawn the first tranche of $50 million.
  • As of April 2025, institutional investors held approximately 41.99% of Candel Therapeutics' shares, with holdings valued at about $90 million.

Capital Expenditures

  • Over the last 12 months, Candel Therapeutics reported capital expenditures of -$37,000.

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleDate
0DASHBOARDS 
1Candel Therapeutics Earnings Notes12/16/2025
Title
0ARTICLES

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Unique Key

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Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CADLREPLCGONTOVXGNLXONCYMedian
NameCandel T.ReplimuneCG Oncol.Theriva .Genelux Oncolyti. 
Mkt Price5.876.9754.340.182.730.974.30
Mkt Cap0.30.64.20.00.10.10.2
Rev LTM0020000
Op Inc LTM-41-318-180-27-34-35-38
FCF LTM-34-270-117-18-24-26-30
FCF 3Y Avg-32-205-76-18-21-27-30
CFO LTM-34-263-117-18-23-26-30
CFO 3Y Avg-32-199-76-18-21-27-29

Growth & Margins

CADLREPLCGONTOVXGNLXONCYMedian
NameCandel T.ReplimuneCG Oncol.Theriva .Genelux Oncolyti. 
Rev Chg LTM--217.8%--100.0%-58.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-----98.2%--98.2%
Rev Chg Q--3,774.4%---3,774.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM--294.6%---294.6%
Op Mgn LTM---8,285.3%----8,285.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg---14,894.4%----14,894.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--20,260.8%---20,260.8%
CFO/Rev LTM---5,372.2%----5,372.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg---11,550.7%----11,550.7%
FCF/Rev LTM---5,387.7%----5,387.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg---11,557.1%----11,557.1%

Valuation

CADLREPLCGONTOVXGNLXONCYMedian
NameCandel T.ReplimuneCG Oncol.Theriva .Genelux Oncolyti. 
Mkt Cap0.30.64.20.00.10.10.2
P/S--1,917.9---1,917.9
P/EBIT-14.9-2.1-23.1-0.1-3.3-2.8-3.0
P/E-14.2-2.1-27.5-0.1-3.2-2.8-3.0
P/CFO-9.6-2.4-35.7-0.1-4.4-3.7-4.1
Total Yield-7.1%-48.4%-3.6%-1,503.6%-30.8%-35.9%-33.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-34.0%-26.0%--701.4%-16.3%-32.0%-32.0%
D/E0.00.10.01.60.00.00.0
Net D/E-0.2-0.4-0.2-2.7-0.2-0.1-0.2

Returns

CADLREPLCGONTOVXGNLXONCYMedian
NameCandel T.ReplimuneCG Oncol.Theriva .Genelux Oncolyti. 
1M Rtn7.9%-21.6%30.0%-31.0%-40.0%-1.6%-11.6%
3M Rtn12.5%-25.0%29.7%-45.2%-66.9%-11.2%-18.1%
6M Rtn-7.0%22.2%108.3%-58.0%-22.2%9.6%1.3%
12M Rtn-17.0%-50.1%80.7%-86.0%-30.9%32.8%-23.9%
3Y Rtn142.6%-75.3%46.2%-99.3%-50.9%-46.5%-48.7%
1M Excs Rtn2.0%-30.2%29.0%-17.3%-39.3%8.9%-7.7%
3M Excs Rtn2.9%-34.2%25.7%-47.3%-68.0%-18.8%-26.5%
6M Excs Rtn-18.5%-20.1%94.7%-70.7%-34.1%-14.0%-19.3%
12M Excs Rtn-30.6%-63.7%65.3%-101.0%-45.4%17.4%-38.0%
3Y Excs Rtn63.0%-145.1%-25.6%-171.0%-127.4%-116.8%-122.1%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil2024202320222021
Development, and potential commercialization of off-the-shelf viral immunotherapies 000
Total 000


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil2024202320222021
Development, and potential commercialization of off-the-shelf viral immunotherapies-38   
Total-38   


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil2024202320222021
Development, and potential commercialization of off-the-shelf viral immunotherapies-38   
Total-38   


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$5.87 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.3 
First Trading Date07/27/2021 
Distance from 52W High-51.9% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$5.58$5.51
DMA Trenddownup
Distance from DMA5.1%6.5%
 3M1YR
Volatility66.0%80.5%
Downside Capture218.53279.84
Upside Capture265.80219.32
Correlation (SPY)37.3%44.7%
CADL Betas & Captures as of 1/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta2.563.232.181.931.860.86
Up Beta6.842.100.831.701.661.48
Down Beta4.093.312.612.161.370.41
Up Capture53%540%284%162%445%129%
Bmk +ve Days11223471142430
Stock +ve Days10212859119355
Down Capture-16%206%201%197%159%100%
Bmk -ve Days9192754109321
Stock -ve Days9193161123366

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CADL
CADL-15.7%80.4%0.14-
Sector ETF (XLV)7.1%17.2%0.2430.3%
Equity (SPY)16.0%19.2%0.6444.8%
Gold (GLD)66.9%23.7%2.11-1.3%
Commodities (DBC)7.0%16.3%0.2317.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.9%16.5%-0.0027.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-19.7%39.9%-0.4634.4%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CADL
CADL-3.5%172.0%0.48-
Sector ETF (XLV)7.3%14.5%0.335.3%
Equity (SPY)14.1%17.1%0.6611.4%
Gold (GLD)19.9%16.6%0.97-0.5%
Commodities (DBC)11.4%18.9%0.492.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.5%18.8%0.155.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)20.9%57.6%0.5610.5%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CADL
CADL-1.7%172.0%0.48-
Sector ETF (XLV)10.6%16.6%0.535.3%
Equity (SPY)15.9%17.9%0.7611.4%
Gold (GLD)15.0%15.3%0.81-0.5%
Commodities (DBC)8.3%17.6%0.392.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.8%20.8%0.255.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)71.1%66.4%1.1010.5%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date1152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity9.3 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 123120251.4%
Average Daily Volume0.7 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest13.0 days
Basic Shares Quantity54.9 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares17.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/13/2025-6.3%-10.2%17.3%
8/14/2025-5.6%-13.1%-25.2%
3/13/202510.2%3.9%-37.4%
11/14/20240.2%-7.2%57.3%
8/13/20244.7%-5.9%18.1%
3/28/20242.6%315.6%314.9%
11/9/2023-13.0%-2.3%-10.0%
8/10/2023-3.6%1.8%7.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive767
# Negative676
Median Positive4.7%9.6%18.1%
Median Negative-4.6%-7.2%-13.7%
Max Positive12.6%315.6%314.9%
Max Negative-13.0%-17.3%-37.4%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202511/13/202510-Q
06/30/202508/14/202510-Q
03/31/202505/13/202510-Q
12/31/202403/13/202510-K
09/30/202411/14/202410-Q
06/30/202408/13/202410-Q
03/31/202405/14/202410-Q
12/31/202303/28/202410-K
09/30/202311/09/202310-Q
06/30/202308/10/202310-Q
03/31/202305/11/202310-Q
12/31/202203/30/202310-K
09/30/202211/10/202210-Q
06/30/202208/05/202210-Q
03/31/202205/12/202210-Q
12/31/202103/29/202210-K

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Nichols, William GarrettChief Medical OfficerDirectSell73020256.989376,540366,401Form
2Nichols, William GarrettChief Medical OfficerDirectSell70220255.047813,936264,565Form
3Nichols, William GarrettChief Medical OfficerDirectSell32020258.7645,316396,995459,870Form
4Barone, FrancescaChief Scientific OfficerDirectSell32020258.7632,146281,673845,799Form
5Tak, Paul PeterChief Executive OfficerDirectSell32020258.7725,772226,0231,983,270Form