Tearsheet

Candel Therapeutics (CADL)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $6.355 | Market Cap: $348.9 Mil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Candel Therapeutics (CADL)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $6.355
Market Cap: $348.9 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -28%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.87, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Show more.
  Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -41 Mil
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12%
3   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 126%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -28%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Show more.
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.87, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15%
3 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -41 Mil
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12%
6 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 126%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CADL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The following are key points explaining the movement of Candel Therapeutics (CADL) stock during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 15, 2025:

1. Positive Clinical Data Presentations: Candel Therapeutics highlighted encouraging clinical progress, including new Phase 3 subgroup analyses of CAN-2409 in localized prostate cancer that demonstrated statistically significant improvements in disease-free survival, presented at the American Society for Radiation Oncology (ASTRO) 2025 meeting. The company also showcased updated survival data from its Phase 1b CAN-3110 trial in recurrent high-grade glioma.

2. Strategic Financing Secured: In October 2025, Candel Therapeutics entered into a $130 million term loan facility with Trinity Capital Inc., drawing $50 million upon closing. This financing is intended to fund ongoing operations, including the initiation of a pivotal Phase 3 trial for CAN-2409 in metastatic non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and preparations for a Biologics License Application (BLA) submission for localized prostate cancer.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CADL Return-77%-18%490%-25%
Peers Return7%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CADL Win Rate60%33%33%50%42% 
Peers Win Rate37%47% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CADL Max Drawdown-81%-62%-18%-49% 
Peers Max Drawdown-57% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: REPL, CGON, TOVX, GNLX, ONCY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCADLS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-94.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1662.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven194 days464 days

Compare to VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN


In The Past

Candel Therapeutics's stock fell -94.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/26/2021. A -94.3% loss requires a 1662.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Candel Therapeutics (CADL)

Better Bets than Candel Therapeutics (CADL)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CADL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.1%-5.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.0%9.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
2.3%2.3%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.0%16.0%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.1%-5.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.0%9.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
2.3%2.3%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.0%16.0%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Candel Therapeutics

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CADLREPLCGONTOVXGNLXONCYMedian
NameCandel T.ReplimuneCG Oncol.Theriva .Genelux Oncolyti. 
Mkt Price6.3510.1840.940.224.310.995.33
Mkt Cap0.30.93.10.00.20.10.3
Rev LTM0020000
Op Inc LTM-41-318-180-27-34-35-38
FCF LTM-34-270-117-18-24-26-30
FCF 3Y Avg-32-205-76-18-21-27-30
CFO LTM-34-263-117-18-23-26-30
CFO 3Y Avg-32-199-76-18-21-27-29

Growth & Margins

CADLREPLCGONTOVXGNLXONCYMedian
NameCandel T.ReplimuneCG Oncol.Theriva .Genelux Oncolyti. 
Rev Chg LTM--217.8%--100.0%-58.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-----98.2%--98.2%
Rev Chg Q--3,774.4%---3,774.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM--294.6%---294.6%
Op Mgn LTM---8,285.3%----8,285.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg---14,894.4%----14,894.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--20,260.8%---20,260.8%
CFO/Rev LTM---5,372.2%----5,372.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg---11,550.7%----11,550.7%
FCF/Rev LTM---5,387.7%----5,387.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg---11,557.1%----11,557.1%

Valuation

CADLREPLCGONTOVXGNLXONCYMedian
NameCandel T.ReplimuneCG Oncol.Theriva .Genelux Oncolyti. 
Mkt Cap0.30.93.10.00.20.10.3
P/S--1,444.9---1,444.9
P/EBIT-12.9-1.3-17.2--5.0--9.0
P/E-15.3-1.2-20.7-0.1-5.1-4.0-4.6
P/CFO-10.4-1.5-26.9-0.2-7.0-5.4-6.2
Total Yield-6.5%-80.6%-4.8%-668.1%-19.5%-24.9%-22.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-51.4%-35.2%---15.8%--35.2%
D/E0.00.20.0-0.0-0.0
Net D/E-0.3-0.6-0.2--0.1--0.3

Returns

CADLREPLCGONTOVXGNLXONCYMedian
NameCandel T.ReplimuneCG Oncol.Theriva .Genelux Oncolyti. 
1M Rtn36.9%13.2%-0.2%-19.9%-19.0%-4.5%-2.3%
3M Rtn32.6%77.7%22.8%-47.7%9.1%-22.4%16.0%
6M Rtn23.8%4.1%58.3%-54.7%40.8%63.3%32.3%
12M Rtn-5.9%-18.9%42.4%-81.6%85.0%22.1%8.1%
3Y Rtn236.0%-62.3%--98.5%--45.7%-54.0%
1M Excs Rtn29.4%13.0%4.2%-26.7%-27.0%-12.2%-4.0%
3M Excs Rtn27.7%76.3%15.1%-50.8%6.7%-23.1%10.9%
6M Excs Rtn9.6%-10.1%44.1%-68.9%26.6%49.1%18.1%
12M Excs Rtn24.6%-33.8%8.4%-96.3%45.3%2.5%5.4%
3Y Excs Rtn238.8%-129.5%--172.1%--115.1%-122.3%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8,272,637
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-0.9%
Average Daily Volume696,763
Days-to-Cover Short Interest11.87
Basic Shares Quantity54,894,347
Short % of Basic Shares15.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/13/2025-6.3%-10.2% 
8/14/2025-5.6%-13.1%-25.2%
3/13/202510.2%3.9%-37.4%
11/14/20240.2%-7.2%57.3%
8/13/20244.7%-5.9%18.1%
3/28/20242.6%315.6%314.9%
11/9/2023-13.0%-2.3%-10.0%
8/10/2023-3.6%1.8%7.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive766
# Negative677
Median Positive4.7%9.6%28.7%
Median Negative-4.6%-7.2%-13.7%
Max Positive12.6%315.6%314.9%
Max Negative-13.0%-17.3%-37.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251113202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025814202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025513202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024313202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241114202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024813202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024514202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023328202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022330202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022512202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021329202210-K 12/31/2021