Lear (LEA)


Market Price (8/19/2026): $123.9 | Market Cap: $6.2 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment

Lear (LEA)


Market Price (8/19/2026): $123.9
Market Cap: $6.2 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, Dividend Yield is 2.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.0%, FCF Yield is 14%

Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 1.2 Bil

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include EV Manufacturing, EV Charging Infrastructure, and Autonomous Driving Technology.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -24%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -78%

Key risks
LEA key risks include [1] the high susceptibility of its large seating segment to cyclical automotive production, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, Dividend Yield is 2.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.0%, FCF Yield is 14%
1 Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 1.2 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include EV Manufacturing, EV Charging Infrastructure, and Autonomous Driving Technology.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -24%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -78%
5 Key risks
LEA key risks include [1] the high susceptibility of its large seating segment to cyclical automotive production, Show more.

LEA in ETFs

Weight = LEA's share of each fund

VTI0.01%
ITOT0.01%
IWB0.01%
IJH0.17%
VYM0.03%
VB0.08%
AVUV0.65%
MDYV0.35%
+17 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 8/6/2026

Lear (LEA) stock has remained largely at the same level since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Lear Corporation's stock declined despite reporting strong fiscal Q2 2026 (ended June 2026) financial results, which surpassed analyst expectations for adjusted earnings per share and revenue, and the company raising its full-year 2026 guidance. Investors focused instead on persistent weakness in the China automotive market and a cautious outlook for limited growth in 2027.

2. The company experienced a 2% organic sales decline in its E-Systems segment during fiscal Q2 2026 due to lower volumes on several Volkswagen programs in China and the Mustang Mach-E in North America, along with the phaseout of Ford Escape, Focus, and Lincoln Corsair programs. This indicates specific operational headwinds impacting a key segment.

Show more
Updated on 8/6/2026

Lear (LEA) stock has remained largely at the same level since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Lear Corporation's stock declined despite reporting strong fiscal Q2 2026 (ended June 2026) financial results, which surpassed analyst expectations for adjusted earnings per share and revenue, and the company raising its full-year 2026 guidance. Investors focused instead on persistent weakness in the China automotive market and a cautious outlook for limited growth in 2027.

2. The company experienced a 2% organic sales decline in its E-Systems segment during fiscal Q2 2026 due to lower volumes on several Volkswagen programs in China and the Mustang Mach-E in North America, along with the phaseout of Ford Escape, Focus, and Lincoln Corsair programs. This indicates specific operational headwinds impacting a key segment.

3. Insider selling activity, notably by CEO Raymond E. Scott, occurred in June 2026 with transactions exceeding USD 5 million. This significant insider selling likely contributed to negative investor sentiment during the period.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -2.0% change in LEA stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/18/2026 was primarily driven by a -25.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020268182026Change
Stock Price ($)126.47123.90-2.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)23,25923,7011.9%
Net Income Margin (%)1.9%2.3%24.9%
P/E Multiple15.011.2-25.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)52502.9%
Cumulative Contribution-2.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 8/18/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LEA-2.0% 
Market (SPY)6.8%32.6%
Sector (XLY)-1.7%17.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 7.0% change in LEA stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/18/2026 was primarily driven by a 21.9% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)13120268182026Change
Stock Price ($)115.75123.907.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)22,98523,7013.1%
Net Income Margin (%)1.9%2.3%21.9%
P/E Multiple13.911.2-19.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)53505.8%
Cumulative Contribution7.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 8/18/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LEA7.0% 
Market (SPY)11.2%37.0%
Sector (XLY)-3.8%29.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 34.8% change in LEA stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/18/2026 was primarily driven by a 14.3% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)73120258182026Change
Stock Price ($)91.89123.9034.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)22,89023,7013.5%
Net Income Margin (%)2.1%2.3%14.3%
P/E Multiple10.511.26.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)54506.9%
Cumulative Contribution34.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 8/18/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LEA34.8% 
Market (SPY)22.4%38.0%
Sector (XLY)5.7%37.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The -13.3% change in LEA stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/18/2026 was primarily driven by a -44.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120238182026Change
Stock Price ($)142.90123.90-13.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)21,52923,70110.1%
Net Income Margin (%)2.0%2.3%19.7%
P/E Multiple20.111.2-44.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)595017.9%
Cumulative Contribution-13.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2023 to 8/18/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LEA-13.3% 
Market (SPY)73.6%46.0%
Sector (XLY)37.0%44.5%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
LEA Return16%-31%16%-31%25%10%-11%
Peers Return21%-26%7%-26%19%13%-5%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%13%106%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LEA Win Rate50%33%50%33%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate63%35%40%32%55%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LEA Max Drawdown-28%-37%-20%-36%-24%-20% 
Peers Max Drawdown-24%-43%-31%-34%-30%-29% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: MGA, ADNT, APTV, BWA, GNTX. See LEA Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/18/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventLEAS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-21.9%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven28.1%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven84 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-16.0%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven19.1%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven820 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-14.8%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven17.4%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven39 days31 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-43.5%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven77.1%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven82 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-22.0%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven28.2%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven24 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-11.3%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven12.7%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven21 days62 days

Compare to MGA, ADNT, APTV, BWA, GNTX

In The Past

Lear's stock fell -21.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 28.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventLEAS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-21.9%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven28.1%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven84 days79 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-43.5%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven77.1%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven82 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-22.0%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven28.2%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven24 days105 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-22.5%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven29.0%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven110 days15 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-24.9%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven33.1%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven505 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-24.0%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven31.7%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven97 days125 days

Compare to MGA, ADNT, APTV, BWA, GNTX

In The Past

Lear's stock fell -21.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 28.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Lear (LEA)

Lear Corporation (LEA) is a global automotive technology company that designs, develops, and manufactures essential components and systems for the world's leading automotive original equipment manufacturers (OEMs). The company operates through two primary segments: Seating and E-Systems, serving customers across North America, Europe, Africa, Asia, and South America.

The Seating segment is a comprehensive supplier of automotive interior solutions. It provides complete seat systems, seat subsystems, and individual components such as seat mechanisms, foams, headrests, and trim covers. Lear also supplies high-quality surface materials like leather and fabric, catering to a wide range of vehicles including automobiles, light trucks, compact cars, pickup trucks, and sport utility vehicles.

Lear's E-Systems segment specializes in electrical distribution and connection systems, managing electrical signals and power within vehicles. This includes traditional products like wire harnesses, terminals, connectors, and junction boxes, alongside advanced electronic solutions such as control modules, gateway modules, and high voltage switching and power control systems. Additionally, E-Systems offers critical software and connected services, encompassing in-vehicle commerce platforms, cybersecurity, advanced vehicle positioning for automated driving, and various vehicle connectivity protocols.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Lear is like a specialized Magna International, focusing on providing the complete interior seating and the entire electrical 'nervous system' for most cars on the road.

Imagine Lear as a combination of Adient (a leading car seat maker) and Aptiv (a major automotive electrical systems and electronics supplier), building these essential components for nearly all major automakers.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Automotive Seating Systems: Complete seat systems, including all necessary components such as trim covers, mechanisms, foams, and headrests, for various vehicle types.
  • Electrical Distribution and Connection Systems: Systems that efficiently route electrical signals and manage power within a vehicle.
  • Electronic System Products: Advanced electronic control units like body domain control modules, smart junction boxes, and high voltage power control systems.
  • Wire Harnesses and Components: Fundamental electrical components including wire harnesses, terminals, connectors, and junction boxes.
  • In-Vehicle Commerce and Connectivity Platforms: An in-vehicle commerce and service platform like Xevo Market, enabling various transactions and services.
  • Vehicle Software and Connected Services: Broad software and service offerings for the cloud, vehicle systems, and mobile devices.
  • Cybersecurity Software: Dedicated software to provide cybersecurity protection for vehicle systems.
  • Advanced Driving Support Systems: Advanced vehicle positioning systems critical for automated and autonomous driving applications.
  • Vehicle Communication Protocols: Solutions encompassing short-range communication and cellular protocols to ensure vehicle connectivity.

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Lear Corporation (LEA) sells primarily to other companies, specifically automotive original equipment manufacturers (OEMs).

The provided company description does not list the names of Lear's specific customer companies.

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Raymond E. Scott, President, Chief Executive Officer and Director

Raymond E. Scott has served as President, CEO, and Director of Lear Corporation since February 28, 2018, having started his career at Lear in 1988. He held various positions of increasing responsibility, including leading the global Electrical Power Management Systems division (now E-Systems) and the global Seating division. Scott holds a Bachelor of Science degree in Economics from the University of Michigan and a Master of Business Administration degree from Michigan State University. He also serves as a director of Penske Automotive Group.

Jason Cardew, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Jason Cardew became Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Lear Corporation in November 2019, after beginning his career with the company as an accountant in 1992. Throughout his tenure at Lear, he has held various operational and commercial finance positions, including interim chief financial officer. Mr. Cardew earned a Bachelor of Arts degree in Accounting and a Master of Business Administration degree from Michigan State University. He is also a member of the Board of Directors of Knowles Corporation.

Frank Orsini, Executive Vice President and President, Seating

Frank Orsini was appointed Executive Vice President and President of Lear's Seating business in March 2018. He joined Lear in 1994 and has progressed through various leadership roles within both the Seating and E-Systems segments, previously serving as Senior Vice President and President of Lear's E-Systems division. Orsini holds a Bachelor's degree from Oakland University and an Executive Master of Business Administration degree from Michigan State University.

Carl Esposito, Senior Vice President, IDEA by Lear

Carl Esposito was appointed Senior Vice President, IDEA by Lear, effective May 2024. Before this role, he served as Senior Vice President and President of E-Systems for Lear since 2019. Prior to joining Lear in 2019, Esposito had a 30-year career at Honeywell, where his last role was President of the Electronic Solutions Strategic Business Unit for Honeywell Aerospace, overseeing a $5 billion portfolio. He holds a bachelor's degree in electrical engineering from Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute and master's degrees in program management and business administration from the Keller Graduate School of Management.

Nicholas Roelli, Senior Vice President and President, E-Systems

Nicholas Roelli was appointed Senior Vice President and President of E-Systems, effective May 2024, succeeding Carl Esposito. Roelli joined Lear in 1994 and has held various roles of increasing responsibility within the company, including Vice President of Seating, North America, and Vice President of Global Seat Structures, demonstrating extensive experience in operational and commercial strategy.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Lear Corporation's business include:

  1. Cyclical Nature of the Automotive Industry and Production Volatility: Lear's financial performance is highly dependent on the cyclical nature of the automotive industry. Economic downturns, geopolitical events, or other adverse conditions can lead to significant fluctuations and declines in global vehicle production, directly impacting Lear's sales, costs, and overall profitability. The company's 2025 guidance, for example, already assumes a volatile production environment.

  2. Customer Concentration and Pricing Pressure: As a major Tier 1 supplier to global automotive original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), Lear faces substantial customer concentration. Decreases in the business or market share of its largest customers can significantly affect its results. Furthermore, downward pricing pressure is a characteristic of the automotive industry, with customer contracts often requiring annual price reductions, forcing Lear to continuously achieve cost efficiencies to maintain margins.

  3. Increasing Exposure and Risks Associated with the Chinese Automotive Market: A significant portion of Lear's expected and recent growth is derived from Chinese OEMs, with a target to have almost half of its exposure in China by 2027. This increasing reliance correlates Lear's growth to the specific dynamics and risks of the Chinese automotive market, including potential overcapacity, intense pricing competition, possible reductions in government subsidies, and geopolitical factors that could hinder international expansion for Chinese brands. A downturn in the Chinese market could therefore materially impact Lear's forecasted growth.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The clear emerging threat for Lear is the rapid advancement and increasing dominance of major technology companies and specialized software providers in the automotive software and connected services domain. As vehicles become more digitized, autonomous, and connected, original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) are increasingly looking for comprehensive, integrated software solutions for in-vehicle commerce (such as Lear's Xevo Market), cybersecurity, advanced vehicle positioning for autonomous driving, and vehicle connectivity protocols. Companies like Google, Apple, Amazon, and specialized autonomous driving software firms (e.g., Mobileye, Nvidia, Waymo) are investing heavily and developing robust, ecosystem-wide platforms that could potentially integrate these functions natively or offer superior, more comprehensive solutions. This shift could marginalize Lear's specific software and services offerings, as OEMs might prefer to adopt broader, deeply integrated platforms from these tech giants or specialized players, thereby reducing the demand for Lear's more focused solutions in areas like Xevo Market, cybersecurity software, and advanced vehicle positioning.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Lear Corporation (symbol: LEA) operates in two main segments: Seating and E-Systems. The addressable markets for their primary products and services are substantial, with both global and regional market sizes available. For its **Seating segment**, which includes seat systems, components, and materials, the addressable markets are as follows: * The global automotive seating market was valued at USD 72.3 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach approximately USD 96.8 billion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 3% between 2025 and 2034. Another estimate places the global automotive seats market size at USD 73.62 billion in 2024, projected to grow to USD 90.51 billion by 2032 with a CAGR of 2.7%. * The Asia Pacific region dominated the global market with a share of 54.44% in 2024. Specifically, China's automotive seating market was worth over USD 27.6 billion in 2024. * North America holds the third-largest automotive seats market share. The U.S. automotive seating market is growing, driven by increasing vehicle sales. * The Europe automotive seat market was valued at USD 15.81 billion in 2025 and is estimated to grow to USD 20.07 billion by 2031, at a CAGR of 4.06% during the forecast period. Germany accounted for 36.78% of the European automotive seat market revenue share in 2025. For its **E-Systems segment**, encompassing electrical distribution systems, electronic system products, and software: * The global automotive electrical distribution systems market was valued at USD 45.7 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 89.6 billion by 2034, at a CAGR of 7.2% between 2025 and 2034. Another source states the market was valued at US$ 45,790.43 million in 2024, expanding at a CAGR of 7.90% from 2025 to 2032. * The wiring harness segment within the automotive electrical distribution systems market held over 24% of the market share in 2024 and is expected to exceed USD 20 billion by 2034. * The global automotive wiring harness market size was estimated at USD 86.54 billion in 2024 and is projected to increase to approximately USD 121.72 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 3.47% from 2025 to 2034. Another estimate values the global automotive wiring harness market at USD 89.4 billion in 2025, reaching USD 122.0 billion by 2034 with a CAGR of 3.4%. * Asia Pacific dominated the automotive wiring harness market with a 48% market share in 2024. Its market size in Asia Pacific was USD 41.54 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach around USD 59.03 billion by 2034. * The global automotive electronics market was valued at USD 283.8 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach approximately USD 641.7 billion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 8.6% from 2025 to 2034. Other data indicates a market size of USD 262.60 billion in 2023, projected to reach USD 468.17 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 8.8% from 2024 to 2030. * Asia Pacific dominated the automotive electronics market with a 41.4% share in 2023 and a 43.57% share in 2025. The Asia Pacific market is likely to reach USD 301.8 billion by 2034. * The global automotive software market size was estimated at USD 32,959.1 million in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 108,574.7 million by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 16.4% from 2026 to 2033. Another report estimates the global automotive software market at USD 36.07 billion in 2025, growing to USD 113.09 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 13.48%. * North America held a significant revenue share of over 34.62% in 2025 in the global automotive software market. Its market size in 2025 was USD 12.14 billion. * The automotive software market in Asia Pacific is expected to experience a CAGR of 18.7% during the forecast period. In 2025, Asia Pacific's market for automotive software reached USD 8.72 billion.

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Lear Corporation (LEA) anticipates several key drivers of future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, primarily stemming from advancements in its Seating and E-Systems segments, strategic geographic expansion, and targeted acquisitions.

  1. Expansion of E-Systems Segment through Vehicle Electrification and New Technologies: Lear's E-Systems segment is positioned as a primary engine for growth, capitalizing on the accelerating shift towards electric vehicles (EVs). The company is securing significant new business awards related to vehicle electrification, including high-voltage power distribution products, Battery Disconnect Units (BDUs), and high-performance computing gateways. The substantial future sales backlog in E-Systems underscores this growth trajectory.
  2. Growth in Seating Segment through Market Share Gains and Advanced Thermal Comfort Systems: Lear aims to increase its market share in the Seating segment, particularly in luxury vehicles, pickup trucks, SUVs, and electric vehicles. Investments in advanced Thermal Comfort Systems (TCS), which include seat heating, ventilation, active cooling, lumbar support, and massage, are expected to drive both market share expansion and margin growth within this segment. The company has also secured new complete seat assembly programs globally, including significant wins in China and North America.
  3. Strategic Geographic Expansion, with a Focus on the Chinese Market: Lear is actively expanding its presence in the burgeoning Chinese automotive market. The company has set ambitious targets to increase revenue generated from Chinese domestic original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), aiming to reach 50% by 2027, up from 33% in 2024. This expansion is supported by strategic new business wins with major Chinese automakers in both its Seating and E-Systems segments.
  4. Strategic Acquisitions and Advancements in Automation and Artificial Intelligence (AI) Capabilities: Lear is pursuing strategic acquisitions to enhance its advanced automation and artificial intelligence capabilities, particularly within its E-Systems business. These acquisitions, such as WIP Industrial Automation (expected to close by Q3 2024), aim to improve wire harness production efficiency and strengthen operational capabilities. Furthermore, the company is accelerating its digital and AI initiatives, including through programs like the Lear Fellowship with Palantir, to support long-term efficiency and innovation.

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Share Repurchases

  • Lear Corporation repurchased $325 million of shares in 2025.
  • During the fourth quarter of 2025, Lear repurchased 1,632,456 shares of its common stock for a total of $175 million.
  • In February 2024, Lear increased its share repurchase authorization to $1.5 billion, extending the authorization period until December 31, 2026.

Share Issuance

  • Lear's shares outstanding have seen a decline, from 0.06 billion in 2021 to 0.054 billion in 2025, indicating a net reduction in shares rather than significant issuance for capital raising.

Outbound Investments

  • Lear acquired StoneShield Engineering in 2025 to enhance its advanced automation capabilities, which is expected to improve wire harness production efficiency in E-Systems.
  • The company obtained operating control of two joint ventures in China in 2025, with one supplying key programs for Series, expected to add approximately $70-$75 million to reported revenue for 2025.

Capital Expenditures

  • Lear's capital expenditure was -$561.60 million for the trailing twelve months as of December 2025.
  • For the first nine months of 2025, capital expenditures totaled $366.8 million.
  • Expected capital expenditures for 2026 are approximately $660 million, with a focus on strategic investments in automation, digital tools, and restructuring to drive operational excellence and improve competitiveness, including accelerating digital and AI capabilities.
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Better Bets vs. Lear (LEA)

Peer Outperformance in Automotive Parts & Equipment

LEA has outperformed 59% of its 37 Automotive Parts & Equipment peers over 5Y. Among the peers that beat it are BWA, PATK and ALV. Automotive Parts & Equipment ranks 14th of 23 industries in Consumer Discretionary by median 5Y return. The sector’s gains have largely come from elsewhere.
Share of Automotive Parts & Equipment constituents that LEA has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
74%
of 38 industry peers · 24.0% return
3Y
53%
of 38 industry peers · -5.5% return
5Y
59%
of 37 industry peers · -9.7% return
Automotive Parts & Equipment peers with revenue growth within 4pp of LEA's that beat it on at least 2 of 3 windows, and by at least 20pp over 5Y. Growth is matched by construction, so the gap is largely a re-rating gap. The multiple column is the context for it.
Ticker Name Rev Growth 3Y Avg P/E 1Y3Y5Y 5Y Gap
LEA Lear 4.0% 11.2x 24.0%-5.5%-9.7%
BWA BorgWarner 1.8% 33.2x 65.1%78.3%94.9% +105pp
PATK Patrick Industries 0.6% 18.1x -22.8%65.3%70.3% +80pp
ALV Autoliv 4.4% 13.9x 4.2%40.5%51.7% +61pp
DORM Dorman Products 5.0% 18.1x -12.9%61.7%39.3% +49pp
Price returns, excluding dividends. P/E shown for context only and not used for matching.
Median price return by industry across the Consumer Discretionary sector, ranked by 5Y. Automotive Parts & Equipment is LEA's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Education Services 14 -9.5%105.8%73.4% LINC 348% · CVSA 280% · UTI 274%
Homebuilding 18 -3.5%30.2%54.4% GRBK 185% · TOL 160% · PHM 156%
Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines 22 21.3%56.1%22.8% RCL 303% · MAR 186% · HLT 179%
Home Improvement Retail 5 -12.3%3.3%11.5% HD 18% · LOW 17% · HVT 12%
Automotive Retail 18 -10.0%-0.6%10.2% MUSA 279% · PAG 188% · ORLY 126%
Specialty Stores 7 2.4%22.8%8.8% DKS 113% · ASO 39% · SIG 36%
Casinos & Gaming 20 -6.4%-26.2%0.5% BRAG 970% · MCRI 119% · RSI 110%
Home Furnishings 4 4.0%39.0%-0.6% SGI 58% · LZB 31% · MHK -33%
Specialized Consumer Services 10 -14.0%17.3%-3.1% HRB 138% · FTDR 101% · SCI 40%
Footwear 9 69.4%44.3%-7.6% WEYS 161% · SHOO 32% · DECK 26%
Distributors 4 -8.1%-25.0%-9.7% ARMK 171% · GPC 24% · LKQ -44%
Restaurants 34 -6.3%-8.4%-12.7% EAT 365% · CAKE 189% · RAVE 161%
Leisure Products 13 -1.3%-22.0%-30.8% GOLF 90% · HAS 19% · MCFT 5%
Automotive Parts & Equipment ← 38 -4.5%-5.6%-34.1% MOD 1470% · GTX 316% · STRT 102%
Household Appliances 17 14.9%40.9%-36.8% KEQU 163% · FLXS 146% · HBB 129%
Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods 27 5.9%-3.8%-37.2% TPR 275% · ELA 268% · RL 264%
Leisure Facilities 12 -11.4%-7.9%-40.1% OSW 186% · JAKK 126% · ESCA 9%
Apparel Retail 25 4.8%3.8%-40.7% DXLG 192% · ANF 176% · TJX 120%
Broadline Retail 15 5.3%9.9%-50.9% DDS 289% · AMZN 63% · EBAY 53%
Computer & Electronics Retail 3 -13.4%-2.2%-53.0% BBY 0% · GME -53% · UPBD -58%
Automobile Manufacturers 8 -68.5%-67.3%-69.2% GM 78% · TSLA 50% · F 50%
Consumer Electronics 11 -19.9%-26.7%-73.0% AXIL 2354% · GRMN 98% · TBCH -54%
Other Specialty Retail 18 -29.4%-44.2%-78.5% BBW 215% · TLF 105% · WINA 97%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Latest Trefis Analyses

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LEAMGAADNTAPTVBWAGNTXMedian
NameLear Magna In.Adient Aptiv BorgWarn.Gentex  
Mkt Price123.9070.2719.4848.6067.9523.6858.28
Mkt Cap6.219.11.510.313.84.98.3
Rev LTM23,70142,67115,12618,72514,3442,62616,926
Op Inc LTM8702,3394281,8251,4205131,145
FCF LTM8493,2072956841,242497767
FCF 3Y Avg6591,8772871,2571,050433855
CFO LTM1,4794,5255791,3511,7255941,415
CFO 3Y Avg1,2473,7465511,9831,6255671,436

Growth & Margins

LEAMGAADNTAPTVBWAGNTXMedian
NameLear Magna In.Adient Aptiv BorgWarn.Gentex  
Rev Chg LTM3.5%2.6%5.0%5.3%2.2%10.1%4.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.0%1.8%-0.3%-0.7%1.8%7.4%1.8%
Rev Chg Q3.0%3.3%5.0%2.3%0.3%-1.0%2.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.8%0.8%1.3%0.4%0.1%-0.2%0.6%
Op Inc Chg LTM1.2%17.0%-2.1%-4.1%10.1%10.3%5.6%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg1.1%11.0%-3.5%1.3%5.5%7.3%3.4%
Op Mgn LTM3.7%5.5%2.8%9.7%9.9%19.5%7.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg3.7%5.0%2.9%10.0%9.4%20.2%7.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%0.2%-0.1%0.2%0.5%0.7%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM6.2%10.6%3.8%7.2%12.0%22.6%8.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg5.0%8.8%3.7%10.6%11.4%23.2%9.7%
FCF/Rev LTM3.6%7.5%2.0%3.7%8.7%18.9%5.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg2.6%4.4%1.9%6.7%7.4%17.7%5.6%

Valuation

LEAMGAADNTAPTVBWAGNTXMedian
NameLear Magna In.Adient Aptiv BorgWarn.Gentex  
Mkt Cap6.219.11.510.313.84.98.3
P/S0.30.40.10.51.01.90.5
P/Op Inc7.28.13.65.69.79.67.7
P/EBIT7.512.53.49.417.19.69.5
P/E11.225.031.746.733.212.128.4
P/CFO4.24.22.67.68.08.35.9
Total Yield11.5%6.8%3.2%2.1%4.0%10.3%5.4%
Dividend Yield2.6%2.8%0.0%0.0%1.0%2.1%1.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg10.8%13.2%16.8%8.0%11.8%7.7%11.3%
D/E0.40.31.60.60.30.00.4
Net D/E0.30.31.00.50.1-0.00.3

Returns

LEAMGAADNTAPTVBWAGNTXMedian
NameLear Magna In.Adient Aptiv BorgWarn.Gentex  
1M Rtn-12.6%6.5%-1.6%-15.4%8.8%-2.8%-2.2%
3M Rtn-3.3%19.1%-1.0%-7.6%11.4%5.0%2.0%
6M Rtn-8.3%7.6%-24.8%-41.3%9.3%-2.7%-5.5%
12M Rtn24.0%64.9%-15.5%-35.8%65.1%-11.1%6.4%
3Y Rtn-5.5%42.3%-49.1%-49.3%78.3%-21.5%-13.5%
1M Excs Rtn-14.9%3.8%-4.2%-18.5%6.9%-4.5%-4.4%
3M Excs Rtn-8.4%14.9%-9.5%-12.2%6.3%1.0%-3.7%
6M Excs Rtn-20.7%-4.8%-37.2%-53.7%-3.1%-15.1%-17.9%
12M Excs Rtn4.9%44.6%-36.8%-53.7%47.0%-30.9%-13.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-78.3%-32.8%-122.8%-123.1%1.1%-96.7%-87.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Seating17,28817,22617,54915,71414,411
E-Systems6,2426,3146,1435,3694,852
Other-271-234-226-1910
Total23,25923,30623,46720,89219,263


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Seating9499881,067893851
E-Systems18624722974121
Other-358-348-363-313-297
Total777888933654675


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Seating8,5807,9748,3717,8977,414
E-Systems3,9633,7994,0463,6853,585
Other2,3012,2542,2782,1812,354
Total14,84314,02814,69613,76313,352


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$123.90 
Market Cap ($ Bil)6.2 
First Trading Date11/09/2009 
Distance from 52W High-16.7% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$135.43$124.93
DMA Trendupindeterminate
Distance from DMA-8.5%-0.8%
 3M1YR
Volatility37.8%33.7%
Downside Capture137.48101.43
Upside Capture95.50104.62
Correlation (SPY)23.2%38.0%
LEA Betas & Captures as of 7/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.320.651.101.091.040.97
Up Beta-1.42-0.95-0.281.241.150.99
Down Beta0.210.620.780.860.940.92
Up Capture61%84%164%114%123%64%
Bmk +ve Days11223567138427
Stock +ve Days12213358129389
Down Capture102%129%158%107%94%102%
Bmk -ve Days11212859114326
Stock -ve Days10223068123363

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with LEA
LEA24.2%33.7%0.68-
Sector ETF (XLY)2.2%19.4%-0.0136.2%
Equity (SPY)20.4%12.8%1.1738.0%
Gold (GLD)29.8%28.5%0.9120.3%
Commodities (DBC)40.2%20.2%1.56-17.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)13.1%13.9%0.6534.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-45.4%42.7%-1.3014.0%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with LEA
LEA-3.6%34.4%-0.04-
Sector ETF (XLY)5.9%24.0%0.2154.7%
Equity (SPY)13.1%17.2%0.5955.8%
Gold (GLD)19.8%18.6%0.878.9%
Commodities (DBC)9.8%19.6%0.397.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.4%18.9%0.0247.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)7.1%52.6%0.3224.2%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with LEA
LEA2.7%35.4%0.17-
Sector ETF (XLY)12.2%22.2%0.5058.9%
Equity (SPY)15.2%17.9%0.7260.1%
Gold (GLD)12.1%16.2%0.614.6%
Commodities (DBC)7.8%18.1%0.3520.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.8%20.7%0.2048.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)59.9%66.0%1.0016.2%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date7312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2.0 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 7152026-12.6%
Average Daily Volume0.7 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.7 days
Basic Shares Quantity50.3 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares3.9%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 8/11/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/31/2026-10.7%-18.6% 
5/1/20264.2%6.4%13.2%
2/4/202610.7%15.9%2.6%
10/31/20251.1%4.7%4.2%
7/25/2025-8.1%-12.8%0.4%
5/6/2025-2.5%7.3%-0.2%
2/6/20251.3%3.1%6.7%
10/24/2024-6.5%-6.8%-8.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131313
# Negative121211
Median Positive1.5%3.4%4.1%
Median Negative-3.5%-5.7%-5.6%
Max Positive10.7%15.9%14.5%
Max Negative-10.7%-18.6%-17.2%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/31/2026-10.7%-18.6% 
5/1/20264.2%6.4%13.2%
2/4/202610.7%15.9%2.6%
10/31/20251.1%4.7%4.2%
7/25/2025-8.1%-12.8%0.4%
5/6/2025-2.5%7.3%-0.2%
2/6/20251.3%3.1%6.7%
10/24/2024-6.5%-6.8%-8.2%
7/25/20243.7%4.8%-2.0%
4/30/2024-8.3%-6.9%-11.1%
2/6/20240.6%2.3%4.1%
10/26/20232.9%0.4%3.5%
8/1/2023-0.2%0.5%-6.0%
4/27/2023-2.1%-6.9%-5.0%
2/2/2023-3.1%-6.3%-4.6%
11/1/2022-3.7%-2.5%4.0%
8/2/20222.5%-2.5%-7.4%
5/3/20223.5%-1.4%7.4%
2/8/20220.6%-1.9%-17.2%
11/2/2021-1.5%1.3%-3.7%
8/6/20210.1%-0.5%-5.6%
5/7/20211.5%-5.0%2.5%
2/4/2021-4.4%0.8%10.5%
10/30/2020-3.2%4.4%14.5%
8/4/20200.0%3.4%3.6%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131313
# Negative121211
Median Positive1.5%3.4%4.1%
Median Negative-3.5%-5.7%-5.6%
Max Positive10.7%15.9%14.5%
Max Negative-10.7%-18.6%-17.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202607/31/202610-Q
03/31/202605/01/202610-Q
12/31/202502/13/202610-K
09/30/202510/31/202510-Q
06/30/202507/25/202510-Q
03/31/202505/06/202510-Q
12/31/202402/14/202510-K
09/30/202410/24/202410-Q
06/30/202407/25/202410-Q
03/31/202404/30/202410-Q
12/31/202302/08/202410-K
09/30/202310/26/202310-Q
06/30/202308/01/202310-Q
03/31/202304/27/202310-Q
12/31/202202/09/202310-K
09/30/202211/01/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202607/31/202610-Q
03/31/202605/01/202610-Q
12/31/202502/13/202610-K
09/30/202510/31/202510-Q
06/30/202507/25/202510-Q
03/31/202505/06/202510-Q
12/31/202402/14/202510-K
09/30/202410/24/202410-Q
06/30/202407/25/202410-Q
03/31/202404/30/202410-Q
12/31/202302/08/202410-K
09/30/202310/26/202310-Q
06/30/202308/01/202310-Q
03/31/202304/27/202310-Q
12/31/202202/09/202310-K
09/30/202211/01/202210-Q
06/30/202208/02/202210-Q
03/31/202205/03/202210-Q
12/31/202102/10/202210-K
09/30/202111/02/202110-Q
06/30/202108/06/202110-Q
03/31/202105/07/202110-Q
12/31/202002/10/202110-K
09/30/202010/30/202010-Q
06/30/202008/04/202010-Q
03/31/202005/08/202010-Q
12/31/201902/04/202010-K
09/30/201910/25/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 8/1/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 7/31/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Net Sales23.54 Bil23.77 Bil24.01 Bil0.7% RaisedGuidance: 23.61 Bil for 2026
2026 Core Operating Earnings1.08 Bil1.14 Bil1.20 Bil2.2% RaisedGuidance: 1.11 Bil for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDA1.70 Bil1.76 Bil1.82 Bil1.4% RaisedGuidance: 1.74 Bil for 2026
2026 Restructuring Costs 175.00 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 175.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Operating Cash Flow1.25 Bil1.30 Bil1.35 Bil3.2% RaisedGuidance: 1.26 Bil for 2026
2026 Capital Spending 660.00 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 660.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Free Cash Flow590.00 Mil640.00 Mil690.00 Mil6.7% RaisedGuidance: 600.00 Mil for 2026

Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/1/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Net Sales23.21 Bil23.61 Bil24.01 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 23.61 Bil for 2026
2026 Core Operating Earnings1.03 Bil1.11 Bil1.20 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 1.11 Bil for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDA1.65 Bil1.74 Bil1.82 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 1.74 Bil for 2026
2026 Restructuring Costs 175.00 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 175.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Operating Cash Flow1.21 Bil1.26 Bil1.31 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 1.26 Bil for 2026
2026 Capital Spending 660.00 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 660.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Free Cash Flow550.00 Mil600.00 Mil650.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 600.00 Mil for 2026

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/4/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Net Sales23.21 Bil23.61 Bil24.01 Bil2.7% Higher NewActual: 23.00 Bil for 2025
2026 Core Operating Earnings1.03 Bil1.11 Bil1.20 Bil8.8% Higher NewActual: 1.02 Bil for 2025
2026 Adjusted EBITDA1.65 Bil1.74 Bil1.82 Bil6.1% Higher NewActual: 1.64 Bil for 2025
2026 Restructuring Costs 175.00 Mil -25.5% Lower NewActual: 235.00 Mil for 2025
2026 Operating Cash Flow1.21 Bil1.26 Bil1.31 Bil18.9% Higher NewActual: 1.06 Bil for 2025
2026 Capital Spending 660.00 Mil 17.9% Higher NewActual: 560.00 Mil for 2025
2026 Free Cash Flow550.00 Mil600.00 Mil650.00 Mil20.0% Higher NewActual: 500.00 Mil for 2025

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/31/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2025 Net Sales22.85 Bil23.00 Bil23.15 Bil1.0% RaisedGuidance: 22.77 Bil for 2025
2025 Core Operating Earnings995.00 Mil1.02 Bil1.05 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 1.02 Bil for 2025
2025 Adjusted EBITDA1.60 Bil1.64 Bil1.67 Bil-0.3% LoweredGuidance: 1.64 Bil for 2025
2025 Restructuring Costs 235.00 Mil 9.3% RaisedGuidance: 215.00 Mil for 2025
2025 Operating Cash Flow1.03 Bil1.06 Bil1.08 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 1.06 Bil for 2025
2025 Capital Spending 560.00 Mil -5.1% LoweredGuidance: 590.00 Mil for 2025
2025 Free Cash Flow475.00 Mil500.00 Mil525.00 Mil6.4% RaisedGuidance: 470.00 Mil for 2025

Insider Activity

Updated 8/7/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Mallett, Conrad L JR DirectSell8072026121.351,646199,7424,490Form
2Scott, Raymond EPresident and CEODirectSell6252026135.3750,0006,768,4526,739,889Form
3Mallett, Conrad L JR DirectSell6112026141.3419026,855237,875Form
4Orsini, Frank CEVP and President, SeatingDirectSell6032026148.505,000742,5001,751,558Form
5Cardew, Jason MSVP and CFODirectSell6032026147.505,000737,5001,953,048Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Mallett, Conrad L JR DirectSell8072026121.351,646199,7424,490Form
2Scott, Raymond EPresident and CEODirectSell6252026135.3750,0006,768,4526,739,889Form
3Mallett, Conrad L JR DirectSell6112026141.3419026,855237,875Form
4Orsini, Frank CEVP and President, SeatingDirectSell6032026148.505,000742,5001,751,558Form
5Cardew, Jason MSVP and CFODirectSell6032026147.505,000737,5001,953,048Form
6Cardew, Jason MSVP and CFODirectSell6032026141.144,500635,1302,574,535Form
7Roelli, Nicholas JonSVP and President, E-SystemsDirectSell5262026141.382,336330,252330,676Form
8Mallett, Conrad L JR DirectSell3162026116.12445,10912,309Form
9Orsini, Frank CEVP and President, SeatingDirectSell2272026135.507,133966,5222,275,722Form
10Vidershain, MarianneVP, Treas & Head of Inv RelatDirectSell2262026135.001,590214,650251,370Form
11Davis, Alicia JSVP and Chief Strategy OfficerDirectSell2232026132.986,630881,6511,326,067Form
12Cardew, Jason MSVP and CFODirectSell2232026134.5110,0001,345,0763,058,837Form
13Kemp, Harry AlbertSVP & Chief Admin OfficerDirectSell2232026136.317,000954,1702,374,929Form
14Orsini, Frank CEVP and President, SeatingDirectSell2232026136.148,3541,137,3473,257,654Form
15Cardew, Jason MSVP and CFODirectSell12182025118.175,000590,8451,801,368Form
16Orsini, Frank CEVP and President, SeatingDirectSell8272025110.628,500940,2621,635,502Form
17Cardew, Jason MSVP and CFODirectSell731202598.475,000492,3681,993,499Form
18Scott, Raymond EPresident and CEODirectSell731202596.775,000483,8733,747,986Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Aug 19, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Oldfield Partners LLP$78.1 Mil19.9%18Hold13F
Paradice Investment Management LLC$38.3 Mil7.2%23Hold13F
Greenhaven Associates Inc$205.5 Mil3.4%27Hold13F
Active Manager
Active Manager
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Greenhaven Associates Inc$205.5 Mil3.4%27Hold13F
Oldfield Partners LLP$78.1 Mil19.9%18Hold13F
Paradice Investment Management LLC$38.3 Mil7.2%23Hold13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 8/18/2026