Tearsheet

Lear (LEA)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $116.57 | Market Cap: $6.2 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment

Lear (LEA)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $116.57
Market Cap: $6.2 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 3.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.2%, FCF Yield is 14%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -21%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -50%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -73%
Key risks
LEA key risks include [1] the high susceptibility of its large seating segment to cyclical automotive production, Show more.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include EV Manufacturing, EV Charging Infrastructure, and Autonomous Driving Technology.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 3.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.2%, FCF Yield is 14%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include EV Manufacturing, EV Charging Infrastructure, and Autonomous Driving Technology.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -50%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -73%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -21%
6 Key risks
LEA key risks include [1] the high susceptibility of its large seating segment to cyclical automotive production, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

LEA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Following are key points explaining the approximate 7.5% stock movement for Lear (LEA) between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025: 1. Lear reported strong third-quarter 2025 financial results, with revenue and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) surpassing analyst expectations. Additionally, the company increased the midpoint of its full-year free cash flow outlook. 2. The company demonstrated robust financial health through significant free cash flow generation and share repurchases. Lear achieved strong operating cash flow and increased its free cash flow, coupled with repurchasing $100 million of its common stock during the third quarter of 2025, which typically boosts shareholder value. 3.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LEA Return17%16%-31%16%-31%26%-5%
Peers Return29%21%-26%7%-26%20%8%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LEA Win Rate67%50%33%50%33%50% 
Peers Win Rate63%63%35%40%32%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LEA Max Drawdown-49%-8%-34%-4%-33%-20% 
Peers Max Drawdown-55%-5%-39%-12%-32%-27% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MGA, ADNT, APTV, BWA, GNTX. See LEA Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLEAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-40.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven69.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-50.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven100.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven243 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-48.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven93.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to BWA, ALV, GNTX, ADNT, APTV


In The Past

Lear's stock fell -40.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/3/2021. A -40.9% loss requires a 69.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Lear (LEA)

Better Bets than Lear (LEA)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to LEA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Lear

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LEAMGAADNTAPTVBWAGNTXMedian
NameLear Magna In.Adient Aptiv BorgWarn.Gentex  
Mkt Price116.5453.6019.5176.7544.6623.6249.13
Mkt Cap6.215.11.916.79.55.17.9
Rev LTM22,98541,79014,53519,79414,1832,43217,164
Op Inc LTM8321,9884392,0891,3174631,075
FCF LTM7352,0362041,6571,261471998
FCF 3Y Avg5911,1332991,341816376704
CFO LTM1,2943,5264492,3421,7116161,502
CFO 3Y Avg1,1733,2185532,1651,4795331,326

Growth & Margins

LEAMGAADNTAPTVBWAGNTXMedian
NameLear Magna In.Adient Aptiv BorgWarn.Gentex  
Rev Chg LTM-20.8%-2.0%-1.0%-1.0%0.1%3.0%-1.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg6.0%4.0%1.1%7.7%7.8%9.9%6.9%
Rev Chg Q1.7%1.8%3.5%3.1%4.1%7.7%3.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.4%0.4%0.9%0.8%1.0%2.0%0.8%
Op Mgn LTM3.6%4.8%3.0%10.6%9.3%19.0%7.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg3.7%4.6%3.0%9.8%9.1%20.4%6.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%-0.0%-0.0%0.1%0.1%-0.5%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM5.6%8.4%3.1%11.8%12.1%25.3%10.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg4.8%7.6%3.7%11.0%10.5%22.8%9.1%
FCF/Rev LTM3.2%4.9%1.4%8.4%8.9%19.4%6.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg2.4%2.7%2.0%6.8%5.8%16.1%4.2%

Valuation

LEAMGAADNTAPTVBWAGNTXMedian
NameLear Magna In.Adient Aptiv BorgWarn.Gentex  
Mkt Cap6.215.11.916.79.55.17.9
P/S0.20.30.10.90.72.50.5
P/EBIT6.97.1-9.617.113.29.6
P/E12.112.9-6.918.570.116.114.5
P/CFO4.13.84.38.05.59.94.9
Total Yield11.4%11.8%-14.5%5.4%2.1%8.0%6.7%
Dividend Yield3.1%4.1%0.0%0.0%0.6%1.8%1.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg9.5%8.6%-6.5%9.2%5.7%8.6%
D/E0.50.6-0.40.40.00.4
Net D/E0.30.5-0.40.2-0.00.3

Returns

LEAMGAADNTAPTVBWAGNTXMedian
NameLear Magna In.Adient Aptiv BorgWarn.Gentex  
1M Rtn15.2%12.1%2.4%-0.1%3.2%5.5%4.4%
3M Rtn10.9%15.8%-20.2%-7.4%1.5%-18.4%-3.0%
6M Rtn29.5%45.5%3.3%13.4%35.2%11.5%21.5%
12M Rtn27.0%29.1%10.9%32.6%36.4%-19.5%28.0%
3Y Rtn1.2%6.0%-43.7%-17.9%30.4%-6.8%-2.8%
1M Excs Rtn14.5%11.4%1.7%-0.9%2.5%4.8%3.7%
3M Excs Rtn8.0%13.0%-24.0%-11.4%-0.5%-19.7%-6.0%
6M Excs Rtn17.2%33.1%-9.1%1.1%22.8%-0.9%9.1%
12M Excs Rtn11.2%15.8%-8.2%21.3%22.1%-32.3%13.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-73.2%-67.0%-112.7%-88.6%-40.6%-78.0%-75.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Seating17,54915,71114,41112,71315,097
E-Systems6,1435,1804,8524,3334,713
Other-2260   
Total23,46720,89219,26317,04619,810


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Seating1,067893851590961
E-Systems2297412198366
Other-363-313-297-234-257
Total9336546754541,070


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Seating8,3717,8977,4147,5967,278
E-Systems4,0463,6853,5853,4033,068
Other2,2782,1812,3542,1992,335
Total14,69613,76313,35213,19912,681


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,910,393
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-10.4%
Average Daily Volume577,499
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.31
Basic Shares Quantity53,222,383
Short % of Basic Shares3.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/31/20251.1%4.7%4.2%
7/25/2025-8.1%-12.8%0.4%
5/6/2025-2.5%7.3%-0.2%
2/6/20251.3%3.1%6.7%
10/24/2024-6.5%-6.8%-8.2%
7/25/20243.7%4.8%-2.0%
4/30/2024-8.3%-6.9%-11.1%
2/6/20240.6%2.3%4.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121212
# Negative121212
Median Positive1.4%2.8%4.2%
Median Negative-3.4%-4.5%-5.8%
Max Positive9.3%7.3%35.8%
Max Negative-8.3%-12.8%-17.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251031202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025725202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024214202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241024202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024725202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024430202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023208202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231026202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023801202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023427202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022209202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221101202210-Q 10/1/2022
6302022802202210-Q 7/2/2022
3312022503202210-Q 4/2/2022
12312021210202210-K 12/31/2021