Tearsheet

Black Rock Coffee Bar (BRCB)


Market Price (5/25/2026): $6.83 | Market Cap: $120.0 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants

Black Rock Coffee Bar (BRCB)


Market Price (5/25/2026): $6.83
Market Cap: $120.0 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Restaurants

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -78%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Experiential Retail, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -116%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -155%

Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 127%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 76x

Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -19%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.8%

Key risks
BRCB key risks include [1] its heavy geographic concentration in the Western U.S., Show more.

0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -78%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Experiential Retail, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -116%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -155%
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 127%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 76x
5 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -19%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.8%
7 Key risks
BRCB key risks include [1] its heavy geographic concentration in the Western U.S., Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Black Rock Coffee Bar (BRCB) stock has lost about 55% since 1/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Q1 2026 Earnings Miss: Black Rock Coffee Bar reported Q1 2026 earnings per share (EPS) of $0.02 on May 12, 2026, falling short of the consensus estimate of $0.03 or $0.04 by 33.33% to 50%. Despite a 23.7% year-over-year revenue increase to $55.5 million, the market reacted negatively, leading to a significant stock price plunge of 30.39% in after-hours trading. The company's same-store sales growth of 5.2% also showed moderation from the 9.2% in the prior year, partly attributed to strategic densification causing cannibalization in existing markets.

2. Significant Insider Selling: On May 15, 2026, entities connected to a Black Rock Coffee Bar director executed a substantial sale of 11,618,782 shares (Class A equivalent) for an aggregate amount of $41,698,806.43. The proceeds from this sale were used to satisfy a Margin Loan Agreement, indicating a forced liquidation that likely exerted significant downward pressure and generated negative sentiment around the stock.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -54.3% change in BRCB stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/24/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)13120265242026Change
Stock Price ($)14.916.81-54.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)0.0%
Net Income Margin (%)0.0%
P/E Multiple0.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)15150.0%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 5/24/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BRCB-54.3% 
Market (SPY)8.1%34.6%
Sector (XLY)-1.4%36.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The -73.5% change in BRCB stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/24/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)103120255242026Change
Stock Price ($)25.666.81-73.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)0.0%
Net Income Margin (%)0.0%
P/E Multiple0.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)15150.0%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 5/24/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BRCB-73.5% 
Market (SPY)9.9%36.3%
Sector (XLY)-0.3%35.0%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

4/30/2025 to 5/24/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BRCB  
Market (SPY)36.0%36.8%
Sector (XLY)21.8%34.3%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

4/30/2023 to 5/24/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BRCB  
Market (SPY)86.3%36.8%
Sector (XLY)65.2%34.3%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
BRCB Return-----19%-70%-76%
Peers Return18%-5%3%8%1%7%33%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%9%98%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BRCB Win Rate----25%0% 
Peers Win Rate53%50%50%47%52%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%60% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BRCB Max Drawdown------72% 
Peers Max Drawdown-16%-30%-28%-22%-27%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: SBUX, BROS, QSR, KDP, SJM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/22/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

BRCB has limited trading history. Below is the Consumer Discretionary sector ETF (XLY) in its place.

EventXLYS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-21.8%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven27.9%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven105 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-11.2%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven12.6%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven37 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-13.6%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven15.8%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven42 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-35.9%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven56.0%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven874 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-33.9%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven51.3%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven82 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-19.6%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven24.4%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven98 days105 days

Compare to SBUX, BROS, QSR, KDP, SJM

In The Past

State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -21.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 27.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

BRCB has limited trading history. Below is the Consumer Discretionary sector ETF (XLY) in its place.

EventXLYS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-21.8%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven27.9%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven105 days79 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-35.9%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven56.0%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven874 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-33.9%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven51.3%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven82 days140 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-51.0%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven104.3%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven372 days1085 days

Compare to SBUX, BROS, QSR, KDP, SJM

In The Past

State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -21.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 27.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Black Rock Coffee Bar (BRCB)

Our Mission: To Fuel People Forward - One Connection, One Moment, One Cup at a Time We are a high-growth operator of guest-centric, drive-thru coffee bars offering premium caffeinated beverages and an elevated in-store experience crafted by our engaging baristas. Black Rock Coffee Bar was founded in 2008 in Beaverton, Oregon, by our co-founders Daniel Brand and Jeff Hernandez. What started as a single 160 square foot coffee bar in 2008 is now one of the fastest growing beverage companies in the United States by revenue and the largest fully company-owned coffee retailer in the country, with 158 locations spanning seven states as of June 30, 2025, from the Pacific Northwest to Texas. We were founded as a drive-thru only concept and evolved to include engaging seating areas, which we call "lobbies." All of our locations include efficient drive-thrus and approximately 75% of our locations include lobbies as of June 30, 2025. We expect most of our new locations to include both drive-thrus and lobbies as we continue to grow. Our modern, inviting store formats-paired with a robust digital platform-allow us to deliver a dynamic and multi-faceted guest experience. Driven by a passion for Connection, Caffeine, and Community, Black Rock is a platform to do well by our baristas, guests, and the communities we serve. With a relentless focus on people and excellence, our culture has been key to our success. Connection We are a people first organization and we win with authentic connections. Our success is fueled by the personal connections between our store teams and our diverse range of guests that are cultivated while serving premium, caffeinated beverages with speed and consistency. These daily interactions, whether over a drink hand-off at a drive-thru window or a longer visit in one of our inviting lobbies, create "moments that matter" with our guests. Our exceptional guest satisfaction score, according to the September 2024 study, confirms our ability to consistently deliver on our brand promise while creating meaningful connections. We invest in making meaningful internal connections with our team members through a combination of extensive on-the-job training and career advancement opportunities. Black Rock offers more than a job-it is a platform for long-term development. Providing our team members with the tools and opportunities to advance fuels a more engaged, high-performing workforce. This commitment to professional growth leads to stronger guest relationships, excellent retention, and lasting brand loyalty. Caffeine Our approach to coffee and handcrafted beverages reflects the same attention to detail and care that we show every guest. Our team members are passionate about delivering high-quality, premium coffee and caffeinated beverages. That commitment starts with our exclusive use of premium beans that we roast in small batches in one of our two roasting facilities, promoting consistency, flavor integrity, and freshness. Coffee beans are delivered to our stores weekly and consumed within 14 days of roasting to maintain optimal taste and quality. We offer a broad range of premium coffee beverages, from our deliciously refreshing Nitro Cold Brew to our unapologetically indulgent Caramel Blondie. We also offer competitively priced, premium classics, including the Americano and customizable Lattes, providing a high perceived value offering to our guests. The breadth and flexibility of our menu supports long-term guest engagement, allowing individuals to evolve their drink choices over time without compromising on quality. This consistency strengthens brand trust and enhances overall guest experience. Our proprietary Iced and Frozen Fuel energy drinks further broaden our appeal, offering a customizable, flavor-forward option that resonates with a wide demographic. With a simplified menu and a wide variety of flavor combinations, Fuel provides an energizing and refreshing alternative that is suitable any time of day. Fuel showcases our ability to innovate while aligning with guest demand for bold, flexible options. Fuel has quickly grown into a popular product category, helping drive increased transaction volume and guest frequency. Community At Black Rock, we build genuine connections with our guests, support their daily lives, and foster a sense of community. These relationships-formed through shared moments and premium beverages-enable us to create a highly engaged guest base. Many of our guests refer to our stores as "my Black Rock," reflecting a sense of ownership and belonging that is uncommon in our category. Our modern, purposefully designed stores serve as welcoming hubs where people come together. This environment is powered by our baristas, whose friendly, attentive service ensures guests feel recognized, welcomed and respected. Whether hosting a business meeting, a study group, a casual catch-up, or a first date, our locations offer a space where people connect and return regularly. As we expand into new and existing markets, our emphasis on building strong local ties remains central to our growth strategy. Our consistent, people-first approach helps ensure that each Black Rock location continues to function not just as a coffee bar, but as a trusted part of the communities we serve. Rapid Growth We have delivered strong performance by staying true to our core pillars: Connection, Caffeine, and Community. These values continue to guide our strategy and contribute to our ongoing momentum. As we scale our business, each new unit brings new, local baristas into the Black Rock family-deepening our connection with guests and fueling their daily routines. Our continued investment in people, infrastructure, and a distinctive guest experience supports sustained growth and operational excellence. These results demonstrate the strength and consistency of our model and highlight our genuine connection to our guests across diverse markets. Our principal executive offices are located in Scottsdale, AZ.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are a few brief analogies for Black Rock Coffee Bar (BRCB):

  • A premium version of Dutch Bros.
  • Like Dutch Bros with a Starbucks sensibility.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Premium Coffee Beverages: A wide array of handcrafted coffee drinks, including Nitro Cold Brew, Americanos, and customizable Lattes, made with small-batch roasted premium beans.
  • Proprietary Fuel Energy Drinks: Customizable iced and frozen energy drinks designed to be a bold, flexible, and refreshing alternative.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Black Rock Coffee Bar (BRCB) primarily sells its products directly to individuals, referred to as "guests." Based on the company description, the following are up to three categories of customers it serves:

  • Commuters and On-the-Go Consumers: This category includes individuals who frequent the drive-thru locations for quick and convenient access to premium caffeinated beverages as part of their daily routine. The company was founded as a drive-thru only concept and emphasizes efficiency.
  • Social and Leisure Customers: These customers utilize Black Rock Coffee Bar's inviting lobbies as a space for social interactions, such as "casual catch-ups" or "first dates," seeking an elevated in-store experience and a sense of community.
  • Work and Study Individuals: This category encompasses guests who use the comfortable lobby spaces for productive activities like "business meetings" or "study groups," leveraging the welcoming environment for work-related or academic purposes.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Mark Davis, Chief Executive Officer
Mark Davis has served as the Chief Executive Officer and a member of the Board of Black Rock Coffee Bar since 2023. Prior to joining Black Rock Coffee, Mr. Davis was the Chief Operating Officer of Coffee & Bagel Brands from July 2019 to April 2023, where he oversaw operations for brands including Einstein Bros., Bruegger's, Noah's, and Manhattan Bagels. Before this, he was the Chief Executive Officer of Tokyo Joe's from January 2015 to June 2019, where the brand significantly expanded its national footprint under his leadership. Mr. Davis also held roles as Chief Operations Officer at Breckenridge-Wynkoop LLC and Vice President of Operations at Panera Bread Co.

Rodd Booth, Chief Financial Officer
Rodd Booth has been the Chief Financial Officer of Black Rock Coffee Bar since October 2020. Before his tenure at Black Rock Coffee, Mr. Booth worked as an Assurance Senior Manager and Audit Practice Leader at Aldrich CPA+ Advisors LLP from November 2014 to October 2020. Earlier in his career, he served as an Audit Manager at Grant Thornton LLP, an international accounting firm, from 2011 to 2014. Mr. Booth is a Certified Public Accountant (Inactive).

Clay Geyer, Chief Operating Officer
Clay Geyer assumed the role of Chief Operating Officer in January 2025. Previously, he served as Black Rock Coffee Bar's Vice President of Operations from January 2022 to December 2024. Before joining the corporate team, Mr. Geyer was a franchisee of Black Rock Coffee from 2016 to 2021.

Robert Kaufmann, Chief Development Officer
Robert Kaufmann has served as the Chief Development Officer of Black Rock Coffee Bar since January 2025. Prior to this role, he was the Vice President of Development from January 2015 to January 2025.

Jessica Wegener-Beyer, Chief Marketing Officer
Jessica Wegener-Beyer became the Chief Marketing Officer in April 2024. Before joining Black Rock Coffee Bar, Ms. Wegener-Beyer was the Chief Marketing Officer at eegee's, an Arizona-based sandwich restaurant chain, from November 2020 to January 2023. She also served as Senior Director of Marketing at True Food Kitchen.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Key Business Risks for Black Rock Coffee Bar (BRCB)

  1. Intense Competition and Market Saturation: Black Rock Coffee Bar operates in a highly competitive industry with numerous established national chains, regional players, and independent coffee shops. As a "high-growth operator," the company's rapid expansion into new and existing markets will likely intensify this competition. Competitors may offer similar products, competitive pricing, or alternative experiences, potentially limiting Black Rock Coffee Bar's ability to gain market share, secure desirable locations, attract new customers, and maintain pricing power, which could hinder its growth objectives.
  2. Dependence on Attracting, Retaining, and Training Engaged Baristas, and Maintaining Consistent Customer Experience: The company's mission to "Fuel People Forward - One Connection, One Moment, One Cup at a Time" and its emphasis on "engaging baristas," "authentic connections," and "exceptional guest satisfaction" highlight the critical role of its workforce in delivering its brand promise. The business model is highly reliant on attracting, training, and retaining a large number of quality staff who can consistently provide an "elevated in-store experience." Labor shortages, increased labor costs, high employee turnover, or challenges in maintaining consistent training and service standards across a rapidly expanding network of locations could directly impact customer loyalty, operational efficiency, and brand reputation.
  3. Supply Chain Disruptions and Fluctuations in Commodity Costs: Black Rock Coffee Bar's commitment to "exclusive use of premium beans" and its operation of "two roasting facilities" make it vulnerable to external factors affecting its supply chain. The company is exposed to price volatility of coffee beans, which are global commodities, as well as potential supply shortages due to climate change, geopolitical events, or transportation issues. Significant increases in the cost of coffee beans or other essential ingredients and operational supplies, or disruptions to their sourcing and roasting processes, could adversely impact profitability and the ability to maintain consistent product quality and competitive pricing.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

The addressable markets for Black Rock Coffee Bar's main products and services in the United States are as follows:

United States Coffee Shop Market

The U.S. coffee shop industry revenue is estimated at approximately $74.3 billion in 2025.

United States Energy Drinks Market

The U.S. energy drinks market size was estimated at $25.01 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.2% from 2024 to 2030.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Black Rock Coffee Bar (BRCB) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:

  1. New Store Expansion: The company plans to continue its rapid growth by opening new locations. As of June 30, 2025, Black Rock Coffee Bar operated 158 locations, and its strategy involves scaling the business by adding new units and expanding into new and existing markets to deepen connections with guests and fuel daily routines.
  2. Growth of "Fuel" Energy Drinks: The proprietary Iced and Frozen Fuel energy drinks have quickly become a popular product category. Their continued growth is expected to drive increased transaction volume and guest frequency by offering a customizable, flavor-forward option that resonates with a wide demographic and provides an energizing alternative.
  3. Enhanced Guest Experience and Loyalty: Black Rock Coffee Bar focuses on "Connection, Caffeine, and Community" to foster strong guest relationships, excellent retention, and lasting brand loyalty. This strategy, supported by an exceptional guest satisfaction score and the inclusion of engaging lobbies in most new locations, is designed to increase guest frequency and average spending per visit.
  4. Ongoing Menu Innovation and Premium Offerings: The company's commitment to delivering high-quality, premium coffee and handcrafted beverages, along with a broad and flexible menu, supports long-term guest engagement. This includes the exclusive use of premium beans, small-batch roasting, and the ability to innovate, ensuring offerings remain competitive and appealing to a diverse customer base.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Issuance

  • Black Rock Coffee Bar completed an initial public offering (IPO) in September 2025.
  • The IPO involved the offering of 16.9 million Class A shares at $20.00 per share.
  • The offering raised approximately $314.6 million in gross proceeds.

Capital Expenditures

  • In the last 12 months, capital expenditures for Black Rock Coffee Bar amounted to -$34.89 million.
  • The company invested $12.0 million in capital expenditures during Q4 2025, primarily for funding long-term assets and infrastructure.
  • Black Rock Coffee Bar plans to open 36 new stores in 2026, continuing its expansion, after adding 32 locations in 2025.

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to BRCB.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
FUN_4302026_Short_Squeeze04302026FUNSix Flags EntertainmentSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
0.0%0.0%0.0%
MGM_4242026_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V204242026MGMMGM Resorts InternationalInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
-1.5%-1.5%-1.5%
WEN_4242026_Short_Squeeze04242026WENWendy'sSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-2.5%-2.5%-5.3%
WHR_4102026_Short_Squeeze04102026WHRWhirlpoolSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-0.8%-0.8%-4.8%
SKY_4022026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04022026SKYChampion HomesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.1%3.1%-1.2%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BRCBSBUXBROSQSRKDPSJMMedian
NameBlack Ro.StarbucksDutch Br.Restaura.Keurig D.JM Smuck. 
Mkt Price6.81103.1152.1275.3829.12103.3663.75
Mkt Cap0.1117.56.626.239.611.018.6
Rev LTM21138,4721,7479,58916,9448,9279,258
Op Inc LTM63,5681642,5613,6081,2821,921
FCF LTM-392,726911,5641,5769711,268
FCF 3Y Avg-3,147191,3491,3798101,349
CFO LTM64,3463431,8232,0631,2881,556
CFO 3Y Avg-5,4842551,5571,9161,2591,557

Growth & Margins

BRCBSBUXBROSQSRKDPSJMMedian
NameBlack Ro.StarbucksDutch Br.Restaura.Keurig D.JM Smuck. 
Rev Chg LTM-5.8%28.4%9.3%9.2%1.6%9.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-4.3%30.6%13.2%5.8%2.4%5.8%
Rev Chg Q23.7%8.8%30.8%7.3%9.4%7.0%9.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.3%2.0%6.7%1.6%2.1%1.7%2.0%
Op Inc Chg LTM--18.5%47.4%10.6%7.9%-24.5%7.9%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg--7.9%211.7%7.6%10.7%8.5%8.5%
Op Mgn LTM2.8%9.3%9.4%26.7%21.3%14.4%11.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-12.2%8.2%27.6%21.8%16.9%16.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.2%0.2%-0.4%0.3%-0.7%-0.8%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM2.6%11.3%19.7%19.0%12.2%14.4%13.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-14.8%18.2%18.3%12.1%14.6%14.8%
FCF/Rev LTM-18.7%7.1%5.2%16.3%9.3%10.9%8.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-8.5%0.5%15.9%8.7%9.3%8.7%

Valuation

BRCBSBUXBROSQSRKDPSJMMedian
NameBlack Ro.StarbucksDutch Br.Restaura.Keurig D.JM Smuck. 
Mkt Cap0.1117.56.626.239.611.018.6
P/S0.63.13.82.72.31.22.5
P/Op Inc19.932.940.310.211.08.615.5
P/EBIT-24.038.639.711.012.1-15.811.6
P/E76.278.582.227.421.6-8.851.8
P/CFO21.627.019.314.319.28.619.2
Total Yield1.3%3.7%1.2%8.0%6.2%-7.2%2.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.4%0.0%4.3%1.6%4.2%2.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-3.0%-0.2%5.6%3.4%7.0%3.4%
D/E1.40.20.20.60.60.70.6
Net D/E1.30.20.10.60.60.70.6

Returns

BRCBSBUXBROSQSRKDPSJMMedian
NameBlack Ro.StarbucksDutch Br.Restaura.Keurig D.JM Smuck. 
1M Rtn-47.9%5.1%-9.3%-6.8%-0.3%8.8%-3.6%
3M Rtn-47.6%6.4%6.8%10.5%-0.6%-5.3%2.9%
6M Rtn-65.8%22.3%-5.0%8.8%6.8%0.0%3.4%
12M Rtn-75.3%25.4%-23.2%11.6%-8.6%-4.4%-6.5%
3Y Rtn-75.3%12.9%82.3%15.1%0.6%-21.2%6.8%
1M Excs Rtn-51.5%-0.9%-9.6%-12.3%-3.1%3.5%-6.3%
3M Excs Rtn-52.8%0.1%0.9%3.3%-10.6%-15.1%-5.2%
6M Excs Rtn-77.7%12.2%-8.7%0.6%-2.4%-11.7%-5.5%
12M Excs Rtn-103.1%-0.3%-47.6%-15.2%-38.3%-32.2%-35.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-155.0%-74.5%4.1%-65.4%-80.9%-104.8%-77.7%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024
Single segment161133
Total161133


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024
Single segment-7-9
Total-7-9


Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date4302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1.6 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 4152026-5.1%
Average Daily Volume0.3 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.2 days
Basic Shares Quantity17.6 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares9.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/12/2026-30.3%-39.1% 
3/3/20269.6%8.3%-11.2%
11/12/2025-5.1%-14.9%-4.1%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive110
# Negative222
Median Positive9.6%8.3% 
Median Negative-17.7%-27.0%-7.7%
Max Positive9.6%8.3% 
Max Negative-30.3%-39.1%-11.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/13/202610-Q
12/31/202503/04/202610-K
09/30/202511/12/202510-Q
06/30/202509/15/2025424B4

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/12/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 New Store Openings 36 0 AffirmedGuidance: 36 for 2026
2026 Revenue255.00 Mil256.00 Mil257.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 256.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDA33.50 Mil34.00 Mil34.50 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 34.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Capital Expenditures40.00 Mil40.50 Mil41.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 40.50 Mil for 2026

Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/3/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 New Store Openings 36 20.0% Higher NewActual: 30 for 2025
2026 Revenue255.00 Mil256.00 Mil257.00 Mil28.3% Higher NewActual: 199.50 Mil for 2025
2026 Same Store Sales Growth 5.0%    
2026 Adjusted EBITDA33.50 Mil34.00 Mil34.50 Mil27.1% Higher NewActual: 26.75 Mil for 2025
2026 Capital Expenditures40.00 Mil40.50 Mil41.00 Mil30.6% Higher NewActual: 31.00 Mil for 2025

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Schmidt, Michael RyanPrincipal Accounting OfficerDirectBuy52120266.987,10049,55849,558Form
2Wegener-Beyer, Jessica MicheleChief Marketing OfficerBeyer Family Living TrustBuy52120266.463,09820,01520,015Form
3Cynosure, Group, LlcSee footnoteBuy51920265.3512,042,71264,428,509106,546,876Form
4Cynosure, Group, LlcSee footnoteBuy51920265.351,600,0008,560,00010,250,664Form