Bowhead Specialty (BOW)


Market Price (8/7/2026): $33.85 | Market Cap: $1.1 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Property & Casualty Insurance

Bowhead Specialty (BOW)


Market Price (8/7/2026): $33.85
Market Cap: $1.1 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Property & Casualty Insurance

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.6%, FCF Yield is 30%

Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -71%

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 54%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 53%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Insurance Innovation & Risk Management. Themes include Specialty Underwriting, Insurtech Adoption, and Emerging Risk Coverage.

Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -17%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -26%

Key risks
BOW key risks include [1] potential under-reserving in its underdeveloped, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.6%, FCF Yield is 30%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -71%
2 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 54%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 53%
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Insurance Innovation & Risk Management. Themes include Specialty Underwriting, Insurtech Adoption, and Emerging Risk Coverage.
6 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
7 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -17%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -26%
8 Key risks
BOW key risks include [1] potential under-reserving in its underdeveloped, Show more.

BOW in ETFs

Weight = BOW's share of each fund

IWM0.02%
IWN0.04%
DFAS0.02%
AVUV0.02%
VTWO0.02%
SCHA0.01%
SCHB0.00%
IWV0.00%
+1 more covered ETF

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 8/4/2026

Bowhead Specialty (BOW) stock has gained about 40% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Acquisition Agreement by American Family.

Bowhead Specialty's stock surged significantly following the announcement on August 3, 2026, that American Family Mutual Insurance Company, S.I. agreed to acquire all outstanding shares for $34.00 per share in an all-cash transaction. This deal values Bowhead at approximately $1.2 billion and represented an 11% premium to Bowhead's closing share price on July 31, 2026.

2. Robust Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Exceeding Expectations.

The company reported strong financial results for fiscal Q2 2026, which ended June 30, 2026. Bowhead announced diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.48, surpassing analysts' consensus estimates of $0.47. Net income increased 30.8% year-over-year to $16.1 million, while gross written premiums grew 28.2% to $297.9 million. Furthermore, adjusted net income rose over 26%, and the combined ratio improved to 95.9% from 96.8% a year prior, indicating enhanced underwriting profitability.

Show more
Updated on 8/4/2026

Bowhead Specialty (BOW) stock has gained about 40% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Acquisition Agreement by American Family.

Bowhead Specialty's stock surged significantly following the announcement on August 3, 2026, that American Family Mutual Insurance Company, S.I. agreed to acquire all outstanding shares for $34.00 per share in an all-cash transaction. This deal values Bowhead at approximately $1.2 billion and represented an 11% premium to Bowhead's closing share price on July 31, 2026.

2. Robust Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Exceeding Expectations.

The company reported strong financial results for fiscal Q2 2026, which ended June 30, 2026. Bowhead announced diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.48, surpassing analysts' consensus estimates of $0.47. Net income increased 30.8% year-over-year to $16.1 million, while gross written premiums grew 28.2% to $297.9 million. Furthermore, adjusted net income rose over 26%, and the combined ratio improved to 95.9% from 96.8% a year prior, indicating enhanced underwriting profitability.

3. Continued Strong Performance in Fiscal Q1 2026.

Bowhead Specialty commenced fiscal year 2026 with strong results for Q1 (ended March 31, 2026), reporting a 24.0% increase in gross written premiums to $216.7 million and net income of $16.0 million, or $0.48 per diluted share. The expense ratio also saw an improvement, decreasing by 2.0 points to 28.4% compared to the same period in the previous year. This consistent top-line growth and operational efficiency contributed to positive investor sentiment.

4. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Price Target Revisions.

Multiple Wall Street analysts raised their price targets for Bowhead Specialty during the specified period, reflecting increased confidence in the company's valuation and outlook. In July 2026, firms such as JP Morgan, Piper Sandler, RBC Capital, Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, and Morgan Stanley all increased their price objectives. Additionally, Weiss Ratings upgraded the stock from a "hold (c-)" to a "hold (c)" rating in June 2026. The average analyst price target ranged from approximately $33.00 to $34.14.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 42.4% change in BOW stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 23.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020268062026Change
Stock Price ($)23.7833.8742.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)55261511.5%
Net Income Margin (%)9.8%10.1%3.6%
P/E Multiple14.517.923.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3333-0.3%
Cumulative Contribution42.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 8/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BOW42.4% 
Market (SPY)6.9%-17.4%
Sector (XLF)10.9%20.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 37.9% change in BOW stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 18.5% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)13120268062026Change
Stock Price ($)24.5633.8737.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)51961518.5%
Net Income Margin (%)10.1%10.1%-0.2%
P/E Multiple15.317.916.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3333-0.3%
Cumulative Contribution37.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 8/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BOW37.9% 
Market (SPY)11.4%3.1%
Sector (XLF)8.7%30.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 4.2% change in BOW stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 34.4% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)73120258062026Change
Stock Price ($)32.5033.874.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)45861534.4%
Net Income Margin (%)9.3%10.1%8.4%
P/E Multiple24.917.9-28.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3333-0.7%
Cumulative Contribution4.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 8/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BOW4.2% 
Market (SPY)22.6%3.5%
Sector (XLF)11.7%29.8%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

7/31/2023 to 8/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BOW  
Market (SPY)73.8%16.2%
Sector (XLF)71.0%33.3%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
BOW Return---49%-20%18%41%
Peers Return4%11%11%20%4%-0%59%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%13%106%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BOW Win Rate---62%42%75% 
Peers Win Rate52%48%55%60%52%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BOW Max Drawdown-----44%-25% 
Peers Max Drawdown-27%-21%-33%-26%-27%-27% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: KNSL, SKWD, RLI, JRVR, WRB.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/6/2026 (YTD)

About Bowhead Specialty (BOW)

Bowhead Specialty (BOW) is a profitable and rapidly growing specialty Property & Casualty (P&C) insurer founded in 2020. The company focuses on offering highly customized "craft solutions" for complex, niche risks that require deep underwriting and claims expertise. Primarily operating in the excess and surplus (E&S) market, Bowhead leverages its flexibility in rate and policy forms to tailor solutions for its diverse policyholders. A core component of its business model involves a strategic partnership with AmFam, where Bowhead originates business on AmFam's paper and then reinsures 100% of these policies to its wholly-owned insurance subsidiary.

Bowhead's insurance products are organized into three specialized underwriting divisions: Casualty, Professional Liability, and Healthcare. Its Casualty division provides primary and excess General Liability, Product Liability, and Auto Liability coverage, primarily targeting segments like construction, manufacturing, real estate, and hospitality. The Professional Liability division offers a suite of management liability products such as D&O, E&O, EPL, Fiduciary, and Cyber coverage, serving financial institutions, public and private companies, and various professional services. The Healthcare division delivers tailored PL/GL and Management Liability solutions for nonstandard risks encountered by hospitals, senior care providers, managed care organizations, and other medical facilities. Bowhead distinguishes itself through its experienced underwriting teams, in-house specialized claims handling, collaborative remote-friendly operating model, and proprietary technology, all contributing to its strong growth and consistent underwriting profitability.

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Bowhead Specialty is like RLI Corp for modern specialty insurance, delivering highly profitable underwriting for complex and customized risks with a nimble, tech-enabled approach.

Bowhead operates like the 'craft brewery' of complex business insurance, offering highly customized, expert-driven solutions for niche P&C risks that standard insurers typically avoid.

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Bowhead Specialty (BOW) offers the following major specialty P&C products:
  • Casualty Insurance: Offers primary and excess General Liability, Product Liability, and Auto Liability coverage for diverse sectors like construction, manufacturing, real estate, and hospitality.
  • Financial Institutions (FI) Management Liability: Provides a suite of D&O, E&O, EPL, Fiduciary, Fidelity, and related lines of coverage for banks, asset managers, and other financial institutions.
  • Public Directors & Officers (D&O) Insurance: Offers primary and excess D&O, Excess Fiduciary, and EPL coverage for publicly traded companies of various sizes and sectors.
  • Private Directors & Officers (D&O) Insurance: Provides D&O, EPL, Fiduciary, and Crime coverage in a package policy for private and not-for-profit entities.
  • Miscellaneous Errors & Omissions (E&O) Insurance: Delivers Primary and Excess E&O coverage for various professional services, including Lawyers Professional Liability.
  • Cyber and Technology E&O Liability Insurance: Offers excess follow-form Cyber and Technology E&O Liability coverage to middle-market and large corporate organizations.
  • Healthcare Professional Liability/General Liability (PL/GL): Provides primary and excess PL/GL coverage for healthcare organizations such as hospitals, senior care providers, and miscellaneous medical facilities.
  • Managed Care Errors & Omissions (E&O): Offers specialized E&O coverage for various classes of managed care providers and payors.
  • Healthcare Management Liability (HCML): Delivers primary and excess D&O, EPL, Fiduciary, and Crime coverage specifically designed for all classes of healthcare entities.

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Bowhead Specialty (BOW) sells primarily to other companies and organizations, not individuals. The provided company description does not name specific major customer companies. Instead, it details the types of businesses and entities it serves across its three underwriting divisions. Therefore, its major customers can be categorized as:

  • Commercial and Industrial Businesses & Public Entities: This category includes various entities primarily from the construction, distribution, heavy manufacturing, real estate, and hospitality segments, as well as public entities. Examples of customers in this segment include large commercial general contractors, developers, middle-market contractors and subcontractors, real estate companies, hospitality companies, manufacturing companies, and distributors. They seek solutions for General Liability (GL), Product Liability, and Auto Liability coverage on both a primary and excess basis.
  • Financial Institutions, Public & Private Companies, and Professional Firms: This broad category covers a diverse range of corporate and professional entities. These include asset and investment management companies, banks and lenders, insurance companies, emerging financial institutions, public companies of all sizes, privately held entities, not-for-profit organizations, property managers, developers, construction management firms, associations, franchisors, consultants, and law firms. They are primarily served with management liability products (such as D&O, E&O, EPL, Fiduciary, Fidelity, and Crime), as well as Cyber and Technology E&O Liability coverage.
  • Healthcare Organizations: This segment exclusively focuses on various healthcare entities. This includes hospitals, skilled care facilities, assisted living facilities, independent living facilities, continuing care retirement community facilities, managed care providers and payors, and miscellaneous medical facilities (MMF). Bowhead Specialty provides these organizations with Healthcare Professional Liability (PL)/General Liability (GL) coverage and Healthcare Management Liability (HCML) products (including D&O, EPL, Fiduciary, and Crime).

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Stephen Sills, Chief Executive Officer and President

Stephen Sills founded Bowhead in September 2020. Prior to founding Bowhead, he founded Executive Risk in 1987, where he served as Chief Underwriting Officer and later as Chief Executive Officer until its sale to the Chubb Corporation in 1999. After the acquisition, he was an Executive Vice President of Chubb until 2001. Mr. Sills then founded Darwin in 2003 and served as Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer of Darwin from 2003 through 2008. From 2013 through 2019, he served as the Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of CapSpecialty and Professional Risk Management Services, Inc. Executive Risk was a joint venture between Aetna and various private equity groups, and he also started Darwin after approaching Weston Hicks of Alleghany. Before creating Bowhead, he was in discussions with Matt Botein, co-founder of Gallatin Point, a private investment firm.

Brad Mulcahey, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer

Mr. Mulcahey is responsible for the overall financial management of Bowhead Specialty, including financial planning, analysis, reporting, and capital management. He oversees accounting operations, treasury functions, investor relations, and ensures the company's financial health and compliance with financial regulations.

David Newman, Chief Underwriting Officer

Mr. Newman is responsible for setting Bowhead Specialty's underwriting strategy and overseeing all underwriting operations. He guides the company's approach to risk selection, pricing, and policy terms across its diverse specialty insurance lines.

Steven Feltner, Chief Operating Officer

Mr. Feltner is responsible for the day-to-day administrative and operational functions of Bowhead Specialty. He oversees key business processes, drives operational efficiency, and ensures that the company's strategic goals are translated into actionable operational plans.

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Key Risks to Bowhead Specialty (BOW):

  1. Dependence on Relationship with AmFam: Bowhead Specialty's ability to underwrite insurance policies is largely reliant on its relationship with AmFam, as it originates business on AmFam's paper and reinsures 100% of this business to its wholly-owned subsidiary, BICI. Any adverse change or termination of this foundational relationship could severely impact Bowhead Specialty's operational capacity and growth prospects.
  2. Exposure to Social Inflation and Increased Claim Severity: The company operates in specialty P&C markets, including Healthcare, where it has observed rate increases driven by "social inflation" and heightened frequency and severity of claims. This trend, characterized by outsized settlements and jury verdicts, presents a continuous risk that could negatively affect underwriting profitability and loss reserves across its product lines.
  3. Highly Competitive Insurance Market: Bowhead Specialty operates in a highly competitive insurance landscape, particularly within its Professional Liability division. Intense market competition can lead to pressure on pricing, challenges in securing and retaining business, and potentially impact the company's ability to achieve its growth and profitability objectives through its "craft" solutions.

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The addressable market for Bowhead Specialty's products or services is as follows:
  • Casualty Division (Construction Segment): The construction industry in the U.S. was a $2.4 trillion industry as of December 31, 2023.

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Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Bowhead Specialty (BOW) over the next 2-3 years:

  1. Continued Expansion and Deepening of Specialty "Craft Solutions" within Existing Underwriting Divisions: Bowhead Specialty emphasizes providing tailored "craft solutions" across its Casualty, Professional Liability, and Healthcare divisions. The company plans to expand its Healthcare business, selectively pursue opportunities in small and middle-market public Directors & Officers (D&O), and sees significant growth potential in Cyber and Technology Errors & Omissions (E&O) by developing primary capabilities for smaller accounts. This targeted approach within complex, specialized lines of business, leveraging their deep underwriting and claims expertise, is expected to drive continued premium growth by capturing market share in attractive sub-markets.
  2. Favorable Market Conditions and Sustained Demand for Specialized Products: The company was founded during a "favorable pricing environment and a growing and unmet demand from brokers and policyholders for craft solutions and quality service in complex lines of business." It has observed sustained rate increases in segments like Senior Care, Managed Care, and Hospitals within its Healthcare division. Bowhead Specialty believes its current market opportunity and differentiated expertise position it well to continue growing profitably, indicating that a continuation of these favorable market dynamics, including pricing power and strong demand for specialized coverage, will be a key revenue driver.
  3. Strategic Growth and Optimization of Distribution Partnerships: Bowhead Specialty relies on "carefully selected relationships with leading distribution partners in both the wholesale and retail markets." The company maintains a deliberate approach to building its broker network, aiming to be a "first call" for a core group of brokers. By continuing to foster these deep, longstanding relationships and strategically evaluating new opportunities to expand its network, Bowhead Specialty expects to increase the flow of business and generate higher gross written premiums.
  4. Scalability of the Remote-Friendly Operating Model and Talent Acquisition: The company's "nimble, remote-friendly organization able to attract best-in-class talent that we source nationwide" is highlighted as a competitive advantage. This operating model allows Bowhead Specialty to "scale our capabilities nimbly within lines of business that we feel align with our expertise, goals and risk appetite." This inherent flexibility in attracting top talent and expanding operations without geographical constraints directly supports the company's ability to capitalize on market opportunities and drive revenue growth.

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Inbound Investments

  • Bowhead Specialty is backed by capital provided by GPC Fund and its strategic partner, AmFam.
  • The partnership with AmFam has facilitated rapid and prudent growth, allowing for capital deployment and employee expansion as business and growth justified.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures are primarily focused on technology investments.
  • The company has developed proprietary in-house underwriting tools, known as BRATs, and integrates customized third-party data.
  • These technology investments aim to enhance the understanding of underlying risks for each line of business and provide rapid feedback to brokers on structure and price.

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BOWKNSLSKWDRLIJRVRWRBMedian
NameBowhead .Kinsale .Skyward .RLI James Ri.WR Berkl. 
Mkt Price33.87376.3765.6364.384.7972.1365.00
Mkt Cap1.18.62.95.90.228.14.4
Rev LTM6151,9961,5661,97466714,9181,770
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM3291,001421517283,470469
FCF 3Y Avg307952349522-713,400436
CFO LTM3341,036428524323,603476
CFO 3Y Avg312982354528-663,501441

Growth & Margins

BOWKNSLSKWDRLIJRVRWRBMedian
NameBowhead .Kinsale .Skyward .RLI James Ri.WR Berkl. 
Rev Chg LTM25.0%15.8%29.0%8.7%-1.8%4.8%12.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-25.1%31.7%1.0%2.4%8.7%8.7%
Rev Chg Q23.0%16.8%44.4%15.2%-12.1%2.7%16.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.2%4.1%10.3%4.0%-3.0%0.7%4.0%
Op Inc Chg LTM-------
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-------
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM54.3%51.9%27.3%26.5%4.8%24.2%26.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg66.1%58.0%28.8%29.2%-10.5%25.1%29.0%
FCF/Rev LTM53.5%50.1%26.9%26.2%4.2%23.3%26.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg65.2%56.4%28.5%28.9%-11.2%24.4%28.7%

Valuation

BOWKNSLSKWDRLIJRVRWRBMedian
NameBowhead .Kinsale .Skyward .RLI James Ri.WR Berkl. 
Mkt Cap1.18.62.95.90.228.14.4
P/S1.84.31.93.00.31.91.9
P/Op Inc-------
P/EBIT12.911.812.110.64.711.111.4
P/E17.915.116.413.57.614.614.8
P/CFO3.38.36.811.36.97.87.3
Total Yield5.6%6.9%6.1%14.7%14.0%8.6%7.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.2%0.0%7.2%0.9%1.7%0.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg32.5%10.7%17.4%8.5%-26.2%13.4%12.0%
D/E0.10.00.20.11.50.10.1
Net D/E-0.7-0.3-0.5-0.2-2.4-0.9-0.6

Returns

BOWKNSLSKWDRLIJRVRWRBMedian
NameBowhead .Kinsale .Skyward .RLI James Ri.WR Berkl. 
1M Rtn5.8%7.9%5.2%3.6%5.0%0.8%5.1%
3M Rtn28.5%22.0%44.2%35.5%11.7%9.4%25.2%
6M Rtn34.5%-8.2%49.1%8.8%-30.7%2.2%5.5%
12M Rtn5.5%-15.2%36.9%2.8%-17.1%5.1%3.9%
3Y Rtn42.3%0.3%174.6%7.8%-71.9%87.0%25.0%
1M Excs Rtn3.7%5.8%5.7%3.0%1.3%-1.8%3.4%
3M Excs Rtn32.3%19.4%45.0%32.5%1.9%5.4%25.9%
6M Excs Rtn21.2%-19.8%37.8%-1.5%-42.8%-8.2%-4.9%
12M Excs Rtn-13.7%-37.5%14.0%-18.3%-36.1%-16.6%-17.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-26.1%-67.2%107.3%-58.8%-141.3%22.5%-42.5%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil2025202420232022
Specialty insurance group552426283188
Total552426283188


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$33.87 
Market Cap ($ Bil)1.1 
First Trading Date05/23/2024 
Distance from 52W High0.0% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$29.41$26.37
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA15.2%28.4%
 3M1YR
Volatility41.2%38.8%
Downside Capture-143.431.28
Upside Capture-5.427.10
Correlation (SPY)-22.1%2.1%
BOW Betas & Captures as of 7/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.93-0.97-0.87-0.020.030.17
Up Beta-3.10-0.27-0.370.160.640.07
Down Beta-0.17-1.30-1.46-0.59-0.590.03
Up Capture-37%-53%-8%29%1%8%
Bmk +ve Days11223567138427
Stock +ve Days13253466127275
Down Capture-77%-172%-182%-17%12%46%
Bmk -ve Days11212859114326
Stock -ve Days9182960125271

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with BOW
BOW8.8%38.8%0.30-
Sector ETF (XLF)13.2%14.6%0.6329.1%
Equity (SPY)23.5%12.9%1.372.0%
Gold (GLD)25.3%28.3%0.79-7.1%
Commodities (DBC)32.4%19.8%1.30-17.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)12.9%13.8%0.6420.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-43.6%43.0%-1.212.5%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with BOW
BOW7.7%36.6%0.53-
Sector ETF (XLF)11.3%18.4%0.4733.2%
Equity (SPY)13.2%17.2%0.5916.1%
Gold (GLD)17.9%18.5%0.780.0%
Commodities (DBC)8.0%19.6%0.31-6.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.3%18.9%0.0226.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)10.0%53.0%0.388.8%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with BOW
BOW3.8%36.6%0.53-
Sector ETF (XLF)13.7%22.1%0.5733.2%
Equity (SPY)15.3%17.9%0.7316.1%
Gold (GLD)11.8%16.2%0.590.0%
Commodities (DBC)7.4%18.0%0.33-6.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.9%20.7%0.2026.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)58.3%66.2%0.988.8%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date7152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity0.7 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 6302026-9.7%
Average Daily Volume0.2 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.5 days
Basic Shares Quantity32.9 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares2.0%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 8/6/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/3/202610.1%  
5/5/20267.7%19.7%4.5%
2/24/2026-1.7%3.1%-9.0%
11/4/20254.5%8.9%6.7%
8/5/2025-3.9%-2.5%-3.5%
5/6/2025-0.8%-6.5%-10.9%
2/25/20256.9%9.9%30.0%
11/5/20240.4%12.0%23.7%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive554
# Negative323
Median Positive6.9%9.9%15.2%
Median Negative-1.7%-4.5%-9.0%
Max Positive10.1%19.7%30.0%
Max Negative-3.9%-6.5%-10.9%
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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/3/202610.1%  
5/5/20267.7%19.7%4.5%
2/24/2026-1.7%3.1%-9.0%
11/4/20254.5%8.9%6.7%
8/5/2025-3.9%-2.5%-3.5%
5/6/2025-0.8%-6.5%-10.9%
2/25/20256.9%9.9%30.0%
11/5/20240.4%12.0%23.7%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive554
# Negative323
Median Positive6.9%9.9%15.2%
Median Negative-1.7%-4.5%-9.0%
Max Positive10.1%19.7%30.0%
Max Negative-3.9%-6.5%-10.9%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/03/202610-Q
03/31/202605/05/202610-Q
12/31/202502/24/202610-K
09/30/202511/04/202510-Q
06/30/202508/05/202510-Q
03/31/202505/06/202510-Q
12/31/202402/27/202510-K
09/30/202411/05/202410-Q
06/30/202408/08/202410-Q
03/31/202405/24/2024424B4
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Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/03/202610-Q
03/31/202605/05/202610-Q
12/31/202502/24/202610-K
09/30/202511/04/202510-Q
06/30/202508/05/202510-Q
03/31/202505/06/202510-Q
12/31/202402/27/202510-K
09/30/202411/05/202410-Q
06/30/202408/08/202410-Q
03/31/202405/24/2024424B4

Insider Activity

Updated 5/26/2026
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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Botein, Matthew See footnotesSell808202530.662,000,00061,320,000274,972,524Form
2Gallatin, Point Capital Llc See footnotesSell808202530.662,000,00061,320,000274,972,524Form
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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Botein, Matthew See footnotesSell808202530.662,000,00061,320,000274,972,524Form
2Gallatin, Point Capital Llc See footnotesSell808202530.662,000,00061,320,000274,972,524Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Aug 7, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
American Family Investments, Inc.$105.4 Mil2.8%13Hold13F
Active Manager
Active Manager
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
American Family Investments, Inc.$105.4 Mil2.8%13Hold13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 8/6/2026