RoboStrategy (BOT)
Market Price (6/21/2026): $31.86 | Market Cap: $645.9 MilSector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
RoboStrategy (BOT)
Market Price (6/21/2026): $31.86Market Cap: $645.9 MilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics. Themes include Industrial Robotics, Factory Automation, and Process / Warehouse Automation. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -57%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -91% | High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 258% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics. Themes include Industrial Robotics, Factory Automation, and Process / Warehouse Automation. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -57%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -91% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 258% |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
RoboStrategy (BOT) stock has lost about 20% since it went public on 5/11/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Significant profit-taking and re-evaluation of an elevated valuation after initial post-IPO surges. RoboStrategy (BOT) experienced substantial rallies following its May 11, 2026 Nasdaq debut, including a gain of over 32% on May 15, 2026, and another rise of over 15% on May 20, 2026. However, these rapid increases were met with profit-taking, notably a nearly 7% decline around June 11, 2026, as investors locked in gains. Contributing to the downward pressure was the stock trading at a considerable premium to its Net Asset Value (NAV), with shares closing at $46 around June 9, 2026, against an NAV of $7.34 per share as of fiscal Q1 2026, which ended on March 31, 2026.
2. Concerns over potential share dilution stemming from a substantial committed equity facility. On May 15, 2026, during fiscal Q2 2026, RoboStrategy announced a committed equity facility of up to $2 billion with Roth Principal Investments, LLC. While providing capital flexibility, this facility was accompanied by the registration of 14.1 million shares for resale. This prospective increase in publicly traded shares raised investor concerns about potential dilution of existing shareholders, which was cited as a factor in the stock's decline around June 11, 2026.
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RoboStrategy (BOT) stock has lost about 20% since it went public on 5/11/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Significant profit-taking and re-evaluation of an elevated valuation after initial post-IPO surges. RoboStrategy (BOT) experienced substantial rallies following its May 11, 2026 Nasdaq debut, including a gain of over 32% on May 15, 2026, and another rise of over 15% on May 20, 2026. However, these rapid increases were met with profit-taking, notably a nearly 7% decline around June 11, 2026, as investors locked in gains. Contributing to the downward pressure was the stock trading at a considerable premium to its Net Asset Value (NAV), with shares closing at $46 around June 9, 2026, against an NAV of $7.34 per share as of fiscal Q1 2026, which ended on March 31, 2026.
2. Concerns over potential share dilution stemming from a substantial committed equity facility. On May 15, 2026, during fiscal Q2 2026, RoboStrategy announced a committed equity facility of up to $2 billion with Roth Principal Investments, LLC. While providing capital flexibility, this facility was accompanied by the registration of 14.1 million shares for resale. This prospective increase in publicly traded shares raised investor concerns about potential dilution of existing shareholders, which was cited as a factor in the stock's decline around June 11, 2026.
3. Broader macroeconomic headwinds and a tech sector-wide selloff. The stock's decline was exacerbated by a "risk-off backdrop" in the wider market during the period. This included surging oil prices exceeding $110/barrel, rising global bond yields, and macro uncertainty related to the Iran war's impact on the Strait of Hormuz. These factors, alongside renewed concerns over AI valuations, contributed to a tech-driven selloff and pressured speculative and early-stage equities, including RoboStrategy, causing the Nasdaq to experience steep intraday declines.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 6/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BOT | ||
| Market (SPY) | 9.2% | 1.4% |
| Sector (XLF) | 4.7% | -0.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 6/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BOT | ||
| Market (SPY) | 9.9% | 1.4% |
| Sector (XLF) | 1.3% | -0.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
5/31/2025 to 6/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BOT | ||
| Market (SPY) | 28.1% | 1.4% |
| Sector (XLF) | 6.7% | -0.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
5/31/2023 to 6/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BOT | ||
| Market (SPY) | 85.7% | 1.4% |
| Sector (XLF) | 77.0% | -0.9% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BOT Return | - | - | - | - | - | -17% | -17% |
| Peers Return | 50% | -45% | 75% | 46% | 29% | 42% | 286% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 98% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BOT Win Rate | - | - | - | - | - | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 63% | 37% | 60% | 58% | 60% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BOT Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | - | - | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -24% | -57% | -29% | -32% | -41% | -21% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: NVDA, TSLA, ROK, TER, CGNX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/18/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
BOT has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.
| Event | XLF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -15.5% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.4% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 80 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -10.7% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 12.0% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 26 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -16.1% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.1% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 270 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -22.3% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.6% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 467 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -42.8% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 289 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -19.7% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 24.5% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 123 days | 105 days |
In The Past
State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -15.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
BOT has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.
| Event | XLF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -22.3% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.6% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 467 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -42.8% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 289 days | 140 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -21.4% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.3% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 272 days | 62 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -26.1% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.3% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 162 days | 123 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -78.3% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 359.8% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2329 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -15.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 305.59 |
| Mkt Cap | 68.5 |
| Rev LTM | 8,804 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,669 |
| FCF LTM | 1,339 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,152 |
| CFO LTM | 1,535 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,361 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 13.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 24.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 5.3% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 54.7% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 7.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 19.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 16.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 2.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 20.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 15.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 16.6% |
Price Behavior
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 10.20 | -11.62 | 8.91 | 6.21 | -11.35 | -4.41 |
| Up Beta | 29.25 | -27.50 | -1.15 | -17.00 | -4.50 | 13.33 |
| Down Beta | 15.08 | 1.08 | 22.02 | 12.86 | -18.13 | -14.52 |
| Up Capture | -13% | -5% | -3% | -2% | -1% | -0% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 36 | 67 | 141 | 432 |
| Stock +ve Days | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| Down Capture | 1290% | 789% | 227% | 129% | 80% | 40% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 13 | 27 | 57 | 109 | 318 |
| Stock -ve Days | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with BOT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOT | -19.1% | 258.0% | 0.50 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 8.3% | 14.6% | 0.33 | -0.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 26.5% | 12.4% | 1.61 | 1.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.2% | 27.5% | 0.77 | -1.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 19.8% | 18.8% | 0.83 | -36.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 11.0% | 13.7% | 0.52 | -2.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -40.0% | 42.5% | -1.08 | 10.8% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with BOT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOT | -4.1% | 258.0% | 0.50 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 9.3% | 18.6% | 0.37 | -0.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.5% | 17.1% | 0.62 | 1.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.1% | 18.3% | 0.76 | -1.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.5% | 19.4% | 0.29 | -36.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.9% | 18.9% | 0.00 | -2.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 11.0% | 54.2% | 0.40 | 10.8% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with BOT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOT | -2.1% | 258.0% | 0.50 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 13.0% | 22.2% | 0.54 | -0.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 18.0% | 0.73 | 1.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.3% | 16.1% | 0.63 | -1.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 5.9% | 18.0% | 0.26 | -36.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.3% | 20.7% | 0.22 | -2.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 60.0% | 66.8% | 1.00 | 10.8% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/3/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 02/28/2026 | 05/05/2026 | 424B3 |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 02/28/2026 | 05/05/2026 | 424B3 |
Industry Resources
| Financials Resources |
| Federal Reserve Economic Data |
| Federal Reserve |
| FDIC Data |
| American Banker |
| The Banker |
| Banking Technology |
| Asset Management & Custody Banks Resources |
| Pensions & Investments |
| Institutional Investor |
| Ignites |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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