RoboStrategy (BOT)
Market Price (10/17/2026): $24.13 | Market Cap: $489.2 MilSector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
RoboStrategy (BOT)
Market Price (10/17/2026): $24.13Market Cap: $489.2 MilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics. Themes include Industrial Robotics, Factory Automation, and Process / Warehouse Automation. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -72%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -116% | High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 153% Key risksBOT key risks include [1] its significant stock premium over a Net Asset Value based on uncertainly valued private holdings, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics. Themes include Industrial Robotics, Factory Automation, and Process / Warehouse Automation. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -72%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -116% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 153% |
| Key risksBOT key risks include [1] its significant stock premium over a Net Asset Value based on uncertainly valued private holdings, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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RoboStrategy (BOT) stock has lost about 40% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Compression of IPO Premium Due to Initial Overvaluation. RoboStrategy's stock experienced a significant market correction after trading at a substantial premium relative to its Net Asset Value (NAV) following its initial public offering in May 2026. For instance, on June 12, 2026, the market price was $35.39, which was significantly higher than the unaudited NAV per share of $7.26 as of May 31, 2026. This overvaluation led to a subsequent decline as the market adjusted.
2. Market Price Decoupling Despite Appreciating Net Asset Value (NAV). The company's stock price declined despite consistent appreciation in its Net Asset Value per share during the period. RoboStrategy's initial fiscal year ended August 31, 2026. The NAV per share, reflecting the performance of its underlying private robotics and physical AI portfolio, increased from $10.51 on June 30, 2026, to $11.32 by July 31, 2026 (a 7.71% increase), and further to $11.35 by September 30, 2026. This divergence indicates that the stock's market price decline was driven by factors external to the intrinsic value of its holdings, suggesting a shift in market sentiment or valuation perception rather than a deterioration of the portfolio itself.
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RoboStrategy (BOT) stock has lost about 40% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Compression of IPO Premium Due to Initial Overvaluation. RoboStrategy's stock experienced a significant market correction after trading at a substantial premium relative to its Net Asset Value (NAV) following its initial public offering in May 2026. For instance, on June 12, 2026, the market price was $35.39, which was significantly higher than the unaudited NAV per share of $7.26 as of May 31, 2026. This overvaluation led to a subsequent decline as the market adjusted.
2. Market Price Decoupling Despite Appreciating Net Asset Value (NAV). The company's stock price declined despite consistent appreciation in its Net Asset Value per share during the period. RoboStrategy's initial fiscal year ended August 31, 2026. The NAV per share, reflecting the performance of its underlying private robotics and physical AI portfolio, increased from $10.51 on June 30, 2026, to $11.32 by July 31, 2026 (a 7.71% increase), and further to $11.35 by September 30, 2026. This divergence indicates that the stock's market price decline was driven by factors external to the intrinsic value of its holdings, suggesting a shift in market sentiment or valuation perception rather than a deterioration of the portfolio itself.
3. Significant Share Issuances and Potential Dilution Concerns. RoboStrategy undertook substantial private share issuances during the period. Approximately $28.9 million worth of shares were issued between June 11 and June 16, 2026, at a weighted average price of $36.28 per share. Additionally, in July 2026, RoboStrategy raised approximately $16.0 million through private share issuances, which included a $10.0 million investment from CEO Andrew Kang on July 15, 2026. Earlier, in May 2026, the company announced a committed equity facility of up to $2 billion and filed a resale registration statement for 14.1 million shares. These significant share issuances and the potential for future dilution from the committed equity facility likely contributed to downward pressure on the stock price.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -39.2% change in BOT stock from 6/30/2026 to 10/16/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 6302026 | 10162026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 39.75 | 24.16 | -39.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | � | 0.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | � | � | 0.0% |
| P/E Multiple | � | � | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 20 | 20 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2026 to 10/16/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BOT | -39.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 2.2% | 29.7% |
| Sector (XLF) | 3.6% | 5.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
nullnull
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 10/16/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BOT | ||
| Market (SPY) | 17.7% | 14.1% |
| Sector (XLF) | 12.9% | 1.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
nullnull
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 10/16/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BOT | ||
| Market (SPY) | 15.5% | 14.1% |
| Sector (XLF) | 4.3% | 1.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
nullnull
Market Drivers
9/30/2023 to 10/16/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BOT | ||
| Market (SPY) | 84.7% | 14.1% |
| Sector (XLF) | 74.7% | 1.2% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BOT Return | - | - | - | - | - | -33% | -33% |
| Peers Return | 50% | -45% | 75% | 46% | 29% | 28% | 249% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BOT Win Rate | - | - | - | - | - | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 63% | 37% | 60% | 58% | 60% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BOT Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | - | - | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -24% | -57% | -29% | -32% | -41% | -26% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: NVDA, TSLA, ROK, TER, CGNX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 10/16/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
BOT has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.
| Event | XLF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -15.5% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.4% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 80 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -10.7% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 12.0% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 26 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -16.1% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.1% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 270 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -22.3% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.6% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 467 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -42.8% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 289 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -19.7% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 24.5% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 123 days | 105 days |
In The Past
State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -15.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
BOT has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.
| Event | XLF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -22.3% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.6% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 467 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -42.8% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 289 days | 140 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -21.4% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.3% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 272 days | 62 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -26.1% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.3% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 162 days | 123 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -78.3% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 359.8% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2329 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -15.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About RoboStrategy (BOT)
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- Premium to Net Asset Value (NAV) and Valuation Uncertainty of Private Holdings: RoboStrategy's stock has frequently traded at a significant premium over its reported Net Asset Value, which complicates the assessment of its risk-reward balance. A substantial portion of its portfolio consists of investments in private robotics and AI companies, whose valuations are less transparent and often based on internal estimates or the timing of funding rounds, rather than continuous market pricing. This valuation uncertainty means that if these private holdings are overvalued or if subsequent funding rounds occur at lower valuations, the fund's NAV could face considerable downward pressure, potentially leading investors to overpay for their exposure.
- Dilution Risk from Equity Offerings: The company has engaged in activities such as announcing a committed equity facility and registering shares for resale, as well as conducting private share issuances. These actions have raised concerns about potential dilution of existing shareholder value. Should RoboStrategy issue more shares to raise additional capital, the ownership percentage of current shareholders could decrease. The ultimate impact of such dilution hinges on whether new capital is secured on favorable terms and if management effectively invests this capital into opportunities that yield strong returns.
- Concentrated and Non-Diversified Portfolio with Limited Operating History: As a recently established fund, RoboStrategy possesses a limited operating history. It operates as a non-diversified, closed-end investment company, concentrating its investments in a specific portfolio of private and public entities within the robotics and embodied artificial intelligence sectors. This concentrated approach renders the fund's performance potentially more volatile than that of a diversified fund, making it susceptible to significant adverse developments affecting a single industry or issuer. Furthermore, investments in private companies inherently carry risks such as limited publicly available information, illiquidity, and the possibility that these companies may never achieve a liquidity event.
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Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for RoboStrategy (BOT)
For RoboStrategy (NASDAQ: BOT), a closed-end management investment company focused on robotics and embodied artificial intelligence, future revenue growth is primarily driven by the appreciation and expansion of its investment portfolio over the next 2-3 years.
- Expansion of Investment Portfolio in High-Growth Robotics and AI: RoboStrategy's ability to deploy its recently secured capital, including approximately $28.9 million from private share issuances and a $2 billion committed equity facility, to make new and follow-on investments in private and public robotics and embodied artificial intelligence companies is a key driver. This strategic deployment aims to grow the fund's assets under management and capture high-growth opportunities in the sector.
- Appreciation of Existing Portfolio Companies Driven by Sector Growth: The performance and increasing valuations of RoboStrategy's current holdings, such as Figure AI, Apptronik, Dyna Robotics, and Standard Bots, are critical. The burgeoning robotics and physical AI markets, including the mass-market rollout of industrial and humanoid robots and the convergence of large language models (LLMs) and hardware, are expected to significantly boost the value of these underlying investments.
- Successful Exits and Liquidity Events from Private Investments: As a venture capital-style fund, a significant driver of future revenue growth will be the eventual successful initial public offerings (IPOs) or acquisitions of its private portfolio companies. Such liquidity events would unlock substantial value, contributing to realized gains and net asset value (NAV) appreciation for RoboStrategy.
- Strategic Capital Deployment and Active Portfolio Management: The firm's expertise in identifying and investing in "category-defining companies" and providing strategic guidance to its portfolio companies is vital. The flexible nature of its $2 billion committed equity facility allows RoboStrategy to opportunistically access and deploy capital, aligning funding with strategic investment opportunities to enhance the growth potential of its portfolio.
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Share Repurchases
- RoboStrategy has not reported any share repurchases; financial data for the period ending September 5, 2025, indicated zero share repurchases.
Share Issuance
- RoboStrategy completed private share issuances totaling approximately $28.9 million between June 11 and June 16, 2026, at a weighted average price of $36.28 per share.
- During fiscal Q2 2026, the company announced a committed equity facility of up to $2 billion from Roth Principal Investments, LLC, which included a resale registration statement for 14.1 million shares.
- Multiple SEC filings in May and June 2026 registered significant amounts of shares, including 19.66 million shares and 14.1 million shares.
Inbound Investments
- In fiscal Q2 2026, RoboStrategy secured a committed equity facility of up to $2 billion from Roth Principal Investments, LLC.
Outbound Investments
- As a closed-end fund, RoboStrategy's primary capital allocation strategy involves investing in private and public companies within the robotics and physical AI sectors.
- The fund aims to offer investors exposure to private companies in the robotics and physical AI industries.
- Examples of companies within its portfolio include FIGURE AI, APPTRONIK, and DYNA Robotics.
Capital Expenditures
- For the period ending September 5, 2025, RoboStrategy reported zero in total capital expenditures.
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 268.38 |
| Mkt Cap | 48.9 |
| Rev LTM | 8,973 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,772 |
| FCF LTM | 1,504 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,290 |
| CFO LTM | 1,732 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,508 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 17.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 25.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 5.9% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 80.7% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 25.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 21.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 17.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 23.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 17.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.6% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $24.16 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.5 | |
| First Trading Date | 05/11/2026 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -42.1% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $27.99 | |
| DMA Trend | down | |
| Distance from DMA | -13.7% | |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 87.3% | 153.3% |
| Downside Capture | 449.24 | |
| Upside Capture | 275.99 | |
| Correlation (S&P 500) | 34.9% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.63 | 1.52 | 2.30 | -2.34 | 0.88 | -0.16 |
| Up Beta | 2.22 | 0.67 | 0.50 | -4.46 | 0.10 | 2.90 |
| Down Beta | 4.31 | 5.48 | 4.60 | -0.05 | 2.84 | -1.77 |
| Up Capture | 118% | 135% | 131% | 233% | 102% | 9% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 6 | 16 | 27 | 66 | 132 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 19 | 26 | 44 | 44 | 44 |
| Down Capture | 143% | 145% | 318% | 273% | 141% | 81% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 16 | 26 | 37 | 60 | 120 | 328 |
| Stock -ve Days | 13 | 22 | 37 | 53 | 53 | 53 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with BOT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOT | -38.2% | 153.3% | 0.03 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 5.6% | 14.7% | 0.14 | 1.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.8% | 12.7% | 0.86 | 14.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | -1.4% | 29.4% | -0.05 | 7.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 50.4% | 20.7% | 1.86 | -17.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.8% | 13.7% | 0.09 | -9.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -25.9% | 43.6% | -0.57 | 7.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with BOT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOT | -9.1% | 153.3% | 0.03 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 9.1% | 18.3% | 0.36 | 1.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.2% | 17.1% | 0.59 | 14.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 18.4% | 18.9% | 0.79 | 7.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.6% | 19.5% | 0.37 | -17.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.6% | 18.8% | -0.02 | -9.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 8.8% | 51.8% | 0.35 | 7.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with BOT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOT | -4.7% | 153.3% | 0.03 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 13.0% | 22.1% | 0.53 | 1.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.2% | 17.9% | 0.72 | 14.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.3% | 16.4% | 0.61 | 7.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.1% | 18.1% | 0.36 | -17.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.2% | 20.7% | 0.21 | -9.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 63.2% | 66.2% | 1.03 | 7.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/3/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 02/28/2026 | 05/05/2026 | 424B3 |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 02/28/2026 | 05/05/2026 | 424B3 |
Insider Activity
Updated 7/15/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kang, Andrew Kai | President | See Footnote | Buy | 7152026 | 36.71 | 272,405 | 9,999,988 | 74,436,390 | Form |
| 2 | Weinstein, Marc Adam | COO and Secretary | See Footnote | Buy | 5052026 | 10.00 | 43,500 | 435,000 | 585,000 | Form |
| 3 | Kang, Andrew Kai | President | See Footnote | Buy | 5052026 | 10.00 | 246,500 | 2,465,000 | 3,315,000 | Form |
| 4 | Fp, Strategies Llc | Direct | Buy | 4082026 | 10.00 | 290,000 | 2,900,000 | 3,900,000 | Form | |
| 5 | Zhao, Jason | See Footnote | Buy | 11052025 | 10.00 | 400,000 | 4,000,000 | 4,000,000 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kang, Andrew Kai | President | See Footnote | Buy | 7152026 | 36.71 | 272,405 | 9,999,988 | 74,436,390 | Form |
| 2 | Weinstein, Marc Adam | COO and Secretary | See Footnote | Buy | 5052026 | 10.00 | 43,500 | 435,000 | 585,000 | Form |
| 3 | Kang, Andrew Kai | President | See Footnote | Buy | 5052026 | 10.00 | 246,500 | 2,465,000 | 3,315,000 | Form |
| 4 | Fp, Strategies Llc | Direct | Buy | 4082026 | 10.00 | 290,000 | 2,900,000 | 3,900,000 | Form | |
| 5 | Zhao, Jason | See Footnote | Buy | 11052025 | 10.00 | 400,000 | 4,000,000 | 4,000,000 | Form | |
| 6 | Fields, James Michael | Direct | Buy | 11042025 | 10.00 | 10,000 | 100,000 | 100,000 | Form |
Industry Resources
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| Asset Management & Custody Banks Resources |
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External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
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