Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $52.06 | Market Cap: $106.0 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Pharmaceuticals
Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $52.06Market Cap: $106.0 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Pharmaceuticals
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, Dividend Yield is 5.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.9%, FCF Yield is 17% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -34%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -98% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 1.0% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 24% | ||
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, CFO LTM is 17 Bil, FCF LTM is 15 Bil | ||
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -26% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 29% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, Dividend Yield is 5.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.9%, FCF Yield is 17% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 24% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, CFO LTM is 17 Bil, FCF LTM is 15 Bil |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -26% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 29% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -34%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -98% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 1.0% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
BMY Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY) experienced significant positive movements in its stock price between late August and early December 2025, driven by a series of favorable corporate and pipeline developments.
**1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results.**
Bristol-Myers Squibb reported robust third-quarter 2025 earnings on October 30, 2025, surpassing analyst expectations for both revenue and earnings per share (EPS). The company's revenues increased by 3% year-over-year to $12.2 billion, and non-GAAP EPS reached $1.63, exceeding consensus estimates. This strong performance was further bolstered by the company's decision to raise its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to a range of $47.5 billion to $48.0 billion, indicating confidence in its growth portfolio. The earnings beat led to positive pre-market trading, with the stock initially rising by approximately 1.7% to 4.3%.
**2. FDA Approval of Breyanzi for Marginal Zone Lymphoma.**
On December 4, 2025, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approved Bristol-Myers Squibb's CAR T cell therapy, Breyanzi (lisocabtagene maraleucel; liso-cel), for the treatment of relapsed or refractory marginal zone lymphoma (MZL) in adults who have received at least two prior lines of systemic therapy. This marks Breyanzi as the first and only CAR T cell therapy approved for this specific patient population, expanding its indications to five cancer types, the most for any CD19-directed CAR T cell therapy. The application had previously received priority review from the FDA in August 2025.
**3. Continuation of ADEPT-2 Phase 3 Study.**
On December 3, 2025, Bristol-Myers Squibb announced the continuation of its Phase 3 ADEPT-2 study, evaluating Cobenfy for psychosis associated with Alzheimer's disease. Despite identifying "irregularities due to clinical trial execution" at a small number of study sites, the company decided to exclude the affected data and, following consultation with the FDA and a data monitoring committee, will enroll additional patients. This decision was viewed as an "incremental positive" by analysts, mitigating concerns about the trial's potential failure and leading to a stock increase of between 1.5% and 5.62% on the news.
**4. Promising Hematology Pipeline Data at ASH 2025.**
Bristol-Myers Squibb showcased the potential of its hematology pipeline at the 67th American Society of Hematology (ASH) Annual Meeting around December 1-2, 2025. The company presented more than 95 data disclosures, including 27 oral presentations, highlighting significant advancements in its next-generation hematology portfolio. The presentations featured data from targeted protein degradation and cell therapy research platforms across key disease areas such as multiple myeloma and lymphomas, reinforcing the strength and innovation of its drug development pipeline.
**5. Expansion of Cell Therapy Manufacturing Capabilities.**
Bristol-Myers Squibb received U.S. FDA approval for commercial production at its new state-of-the-art cell therapy manufacturing facility in Devens, Massachusetts. This expansion is a critical component of the company's strategy to increase its global cell therapy manufacturing footprint, ensuring long-term supply for its growing cell therapy portfolio. The new facility integrates advanced technology and aims to enhance product capacity to meet patient needs for complex autologous cell therapies.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BMY Return | 0% | 3% | 19% | -26% | 16% | -4% | 1% |
| Peers Return | 15% | 32% | 13% | 22% | 1% | 15% | 143% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BMY Win Rate | 42% | 42% | 75% | 25% | 67% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 56% | 60% | 58% | 54% | 46% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BMY Max Drawdown | -27% | -12% | -1% | -30% | -20% | -21% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -22% | -7% | -18% | -10% | -11% | -18% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LLY, JNJ, MRK, ZTS, LHI. See BMY Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | BMY | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -40.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 67.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -31.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 45.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 476 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -38.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 61.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 743 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -46.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 86.2% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1084 days | 1480 days |
Compare to LLY, JNJ, MRK, ZTS, LHI
In The Past
Bristol-Myers Squibb's stock fell -40.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/2/2022. A -40.2% loss requires a 67.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to BMY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 10.0% | 10.0% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.9% | 6.9% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.5% | 11.5% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.9% | 8.9% | -5.1% |
| 07312025 | BMY | Bristol-Myers Squibb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.3% | 19.3% | -0.3% |
| 04302024 | BMY | Bristol-Myers Squibb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 22.7% | 19.9% | -8.8% |
| 10312023 | BMY | Bristol-Myers Squibb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -12.7% | 7.4% | -20.4% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 10.0% | 10.0% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.9% | 6.9% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.5% | 11.5% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.9% | 8.9% | -5.1% |
| 07312025 | BMY | Bristol-Myers Squibb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.3% | 19.3% | -0.3% |
| 04302024 | BMY | Bristol-Myers Squibb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 22.7% | 19.9% | -8.8% |
| 10312023 | BMY | Bristol-Myers Squibb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -12.7% | 7.4% | -20.4% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Bristol-Myers Squibb
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 120.41 |
| Mkt Cap | 251.7 |
| Rev LTM | 53,258 |
| Op Inc LTM | 22,391 |
| FCF LTM | 13,049 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 13,598 |
| CFO LTM | 16,621 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 14,846 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 34.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 26.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 26.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 28.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 20.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 22.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 251.7 |
| P/S | 4.8 |
| P/EBIT | 13.8 |
| P/E | 17.8 |
| P/CFO | 18.4 |
| Total Yield | 8.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.4% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 12.0% |
| 3M Rtn | 14.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 32.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 3.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 0.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 10.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 8.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 17.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -9.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -71.9% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliquis | 12,206 | 11,789 | 10,762 | 9,168 | 7,929 |
| Opdivo | 9,009 | 8,249 | 7,523 | 6,992 | 7,204 |
| Revlimid | 6,097 | 9,978 | 12,821 | 12,106 | 1,299 |
| Orencia | 3,601 | 3,464 | 3,306 | 3,157 | 2,977 |
| Pomalyst/Imnovid | 3,441 | 3,497 | 3,332 | 3,070 | 322 |
| Yervoy | 2,238 | 2,131 | 2,026 | 1,682 | 1,489 |
| Sprycel | 1,930 | 2,165 | 2,117 | 2,140 | 2,110 |
| Other Growth products | 1,211 | ||||
| Reblozyl | 1,008 | 717 | 551 | 274 | |
| Abraxane | 1,004 | 811 | 1,181 | 1,247 | 166 |
| Other Legacy products | 962 | ||||
| Opdualag | 627 | 252 | |||
| Abecma | 472 | 388 | 164 | ||
| Zeposia | 434 | 250 | 134 | 12 | |
| Breyanzi | 364 | 182 | 87 | ||
| Camzyos | 231 | 24 | |||
| Sotyktu | 170 | 8 | |||
| Augtyro | 1 | 0 | |||
| Cobenfy | 0 | ||||
| Krazati | 0 | ||||
| Inrebic | 85 | 74 | 55 | 5 | |
| Mature and other brands | 2,045 | 1,900 | 2,217 | ||
| Onureg | 124 | 73 | 17 | ||
| Empliciti | 334 | 381 | 357 | ||
| Baraclude | 555 | ||||
| Other Brands | 1,674 | ||||
| Vidaza | 58 | ||||
| Total | 45,006 | 46,159 | 46,385 | 42,518 | 26,145 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4242025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2122025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7262024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4252024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2132024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10262023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7272023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4272023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2142023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10262022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7272022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4292022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2092022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
