BlackRock (BLK)
Market Price (12/15/2025): $1090.96 | Market Cap: $169.0 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
BlackRock (BLK)
Market Price (12/15/2025): $1090.96Market Cap: $169.0 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.2% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -8.5% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, CFO LTM is 4.3 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.9 Bil | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 28% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Sustainable Finance, Digital & Alternative Assets, and AI in Financial Services. Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.2% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, CFO LTM is 4.3 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.9 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 28% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Sustainable Finance, Digital & Alternative Assets, and AI in Financial Services. Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -8.5% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
BLK Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are key points explaining BlackRock's (BLK) stock movement from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 15, 2025:
1. BlackRock experienced a significant one-time client outflow of $52 billion, which was reported in Q3 2025 and caused a substantial stock plunge of over 5% in July 2025. While this occurred just before the requested period, the impact and investor reaction to such a large outflow from a low-cost fund could have continued to influence the stock's performance and investor sentiment into the specified timeframe.
2. The company faced margin pressure as its net profit margins dipped to 26.6% from 31.4% a year earlier, as of October 2025. This decline occurred despite analyst expectations for margin improvement, raising questions about the pace of recovery and suggesting a less clear-cut risk-reward balance for investors.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BLK Return | 47% | 29% | -20% | 18% | 29% | 10% | 153% |
| Peers Return | 15% | 38% | -17% | 13% | 35% | 36% | 171% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 111% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BLK Win Rate | 75% | 58% | 42% | 50% | 83% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 63% | 70% | 43% | 47% | 62% | 70% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BLK Max Drawdown | -34% | -5% | -41% | -14% | -7% | -20% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -41% | -2% | -33% | -14% | -5% | -20% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: STT, JPM, MS, GS, TROW. See BLK Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | BLK | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -45.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 82.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 730 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -42.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 116 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -39.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 64.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 612 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -60.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 154.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 231 days | 1480 days |
Compare to MS, GS, SCHW, BK, STT
In The Past
BlackRock's stock fell -45.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/12/2021. A -45.3% loss requires a 82.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to BLK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.5% | 16.5% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 11.3% | 11.3% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.8% | -1.8% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.4% | 5.4% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -8.8% | -8.8% | -11.0% |
| 06302022 | BLK | BlackRock | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.3% | 16.8% | -12.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.5% | 16.5% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 11.3% | 11.3% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.8% | -1.8% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.4% | 5.4% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -8.8% | -8.8% | -11.0% |
| 06302022 | BLK | BlackRock | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.3% | 16.8% | -12.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for BlackRock
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 248.46 |
| Mkt Cap | 221.8 |
| Rev LTM | 40,792 |
| Op Inc LTM | 5,077 |
| FCF LTM | -2,721 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -12,974 |
| CFO LTM | -1,094 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -10,880 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 12.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 15.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 33.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 34.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.9% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 6.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -22.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 2.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -25.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 221.8 |
| P/S | 4.0 |
| P/EBIT | 14.9 |
| P/E | 14.9 |
| P/CFO | 3.9 |
| Total Yield | 6.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -6.5% |
| D/E | 0.8 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 6.9% |
| 3M Rtn | 9.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 28.1% |
| 12M Rtn | 33.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 102.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 5.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 13.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 19.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 27.4% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity | 7,161 | 7,203 | 8,000 | 5,900 | 5,716 |
| Fixed income | 3,480 | 3,495 | 3,863 | 3,539 | 3,286 |
| Alternatives | 1,646 | 1,590 | 1,513 | 1,247 | 1,009 |
| Technology services and subscription revenue | 1,485 | 1,364 | 1,281 | 1,139 | 974 |
| Distribution fees | 1,262 | 1,381 | 1,521 | 1,131 | 1,069 |
| Active multi-asset | 1,203 | 1,299 | 1,414 | 1,163 | 1,148 |
| Cash management | 909 | 864 | 470 | 790 | 618 |
| Investment Advisory Performance Fees | 554 | 514 | 1,143 | 1,104 | 450 |
| Advisory and other revenue | 159 | 163 | 169 | 192 | 269 |
| Total | 17,859 | 17,873 | 19,374 | 16,205 | 14,539 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 7/15/2024 | -0.6% | 0.3% | 1.2% |
| 4/12/2024 | -2.9% | -4.9% | 1.4% |
| 1/12/2024 | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% |
| 10/13/2023 | -1.3% | -2.1% | 4.5% |
| 7/14/2023 | -1.6% | 1.5% | -6.0% |
| 4/14/2023 | 3.1% | 3.8% | -3.8% |
| 1/13/2023 | 0.0% | -1.6% | -2.3% |
| 10/13/2022 | 6.6% | 8.8% | 43.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 14 | 15 | 15 |
| # Negative | 10 | 9 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.7% |
| Median Negative | -1.9% | -3.2% | -6.0% |
| Max Positive | 6.6% | 8.8% | 43.1% |
| Max Negative | -4.6% | -8.1% | -16.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2252025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11062024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2232024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11062023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2242023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
